From Technologies to Markets Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 Market and Technology Report 2020 Sample © 2020 TABLE OF CONTENTS Part 1/2 Glossary Companies cited in this report Report methodology & definitions What we got right, what we got wrong Executive Summary Context o Historical perspective and global market o CIS market segmentation o Huawei ban timeline o Global CO2 emission intensity o CMOS image sensor landscape, by player(2019) o CMOS image sensor landscape, by application (2019-2025) o CMOS image sensor technology shift - CMOS vs. CCD o CMOS image sensor technology shift - BSI vs. FSI o CMOS image sensor technology shift - 300mm vs. 200m CIS market forecast 2 5 7 8 14 33 Players & rankings 70 2019 CIS revenue rankings, by player 2019 CIS production rankings TOP 10, by foundry 2019 CIS player activity breakdown 2019 CIS mobile market revenue breakdown, by player 2019 CIS consumer photography market revenue breakdown, by player 2019 CIS consumer home market revenue breakdown, by player 2019 CIS consumer computing market revenue breakdown, by player 2019 CIS automotive market revenue breakdown, by player 2019 CIS medical market revenue breakdown, by player 2019 CIS security & surveillance market revenue breakdown, by player 2019 CIS industry market revenue breakdown, by player 2019 CIS Defense & Aerospace market revenue breakdown, by player Ecosystem 84 2019 M&A activity in CIS 53 CMOS image sensor – M&A historical timeline o 2019 CIS revenue breakdown, by market, by player CMOS image sensor – noteworthy news of the last 2 years o CIS volume shipment forecast 2015 - 2025 CMOS image sensor – ecosystem o CIS revenue forecast 2015 - 2025 CMOS image sensor - supplychain o CIS average selling price forecast 2015 - 2025 CMOS image sensor - competitive landscape o CIS wafer production forecast 2015 - 2025 CIS foundries - geographic mapping Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS Part 2/2 Mobile market trends 93 Automotive market trends o Mobile market dynamics o Automotive market dynamics o Mobile market volume forecast, by player o Automotive imaging trends o Market drivers o Automotive camera volume forecast and market trend o Mobile phone market trend o Robotic vehicle trends o Mobile resolution mix - forecast o 3D camera applications o Mobile 3D sensing camera trend o Mobile optical fingerprint market trend Consumer market trends o Consumer market dynamics o 120 Other high-end market trends 149 Medical CIS market trends 146 Security & surveillance CIS market rend 164 Industry CIS market trends 173 Defense & aerospace CIS market trend Technology trends Pixel/resolution/optical format Consumer photography volume forecast o BSI opened the way to 3D semiconductor o Consumer home IOT volume forecast o In-pixel hybrid stack technology o Consumer market trend o In-pixel hybrid stack technology o 3D imaging & sensing o Other technology trends o High dynamic range (HDR) with LED flicker mitigation (LFM) o NIR IMAGING and sensing o Computing market dynamics o Computing volume forecast o Computing market trends 129 181 187 o Computing market trends 134 Conclusions 220 Company profiles 224 Yole Group of companies 239 Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 3 ABOUT THE AUHTORS Biographies & contacts Chenmeijing LIANG Chenmeijing Liang works as a Technology & Market Analyst within the Photonics & Sensor division. As part of the Imaging team, Chenmeijing contributes to analyses of CIS markets, related technologies and market strategies as well as the quarterly Monitor. Chenmeijing Liang holds a Master’s Degree in the field of Applied physics and Optical engineering from Paris-Saclay University and University Pierre and Marie Curie UPMC (Paris, France). Contact: chenmeijing.liang@yole.fr Pierre CAMBOU Pierre Cambou MSc, MBA, is a Principal analyst in the Photonic and Display Division. Pierre has authored more than 15 Yole Market & Technology reports. Pierre hold an Engineering degree from Université de Technologie de Compiègne (France) and a Master of Science from Virginia Tech. (VA, USA), Pierre also graduated with an MBA from Grenoble Ecole de Management (France). Contact: pierre.cambou@yole.fr Richard LIU Richard Liu is a Technology and Market Analyst in the Photonics & Sensing division. Based in Shenzhen (China), Richard focuses on imaging activity as well as the development of technology & market reports. Richard has over 12 years post graduate experience in both the imaging semiconductor and camera module industries. Richard graduated from Wuhan University (China) and holds an Electronics Engineering Degree. Contact: richard.liu@yole.fr Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 4 OBJECTIVES & SCOPE OF THIS REPORT Markets CIS devices Forecasts Players Trends Smartphone camera Feature phones camera Mobile DSLR/DSC Forecasts Camcorder Consumer Market trends Market shares Technology trends Action Cam Consumer drones camera Computing Players and ranking Units AR, VR headset camera Webcam Automotive Laptop camera $US dollar Tablet camera Industrial Viewing cameras ADAS cameras Medical Security 12’’ Wafers Capsule endoscopy camera The objectives of this report are to provide: X-ray FPD o A global view about the future of CIS PET detectors o An understanding of the CIS markets and applications (Mobile, consumer, computing, automotive, industrial, medical, security, and Aerospace/Defense) Security camera Machine vision camera Defense & aerospace 8’’ Are your needs outside the scope of this report? Contact us for a customized report: o CIS players’ rankings, dynamics and market shares o CIS market data in $M, units, and wafers for 2019 - 2025 o A presentation of CIS market and technology trends Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 5 A COMPLETE SET OF PRODUCTS & SERVICES TO ANSWER YOUR NEEDS QUARTERLY MONITORS YEARLY REPORTS Insight › Yearly reports › Market, technology and strategy analysis › Supply chain changes analysis › Reverse costing and reverse engineering Format › PDF files with analyses › Excel files with graphics and data Topics › Photonics, Imaging & Sensing › Lighting & Displays › Power Electronics & Battery › Compound Semiconductors › Semiconductor Manufacturing and Packaging › Computing & Memory 115+reports reports per 125+ peryear year Insight › Quarterly updated market data and technology trends in units, value and wafer › Direct access to the analyst SERVICES Format › Excel files with data › PDF files with analyses graphs and key facts › Web access (to be available soon) Topics › › › › › › › Advanced Packaging Application Processor DRAM NAND Compound Semiconductor CMOS Image Sensors Smartphones 7 different monitors quarterly updated WEEKLY TRACKS CUSTOM SERVICE Insight › Teardowns of phones, smart home, wearables and automotive modules and systems › Bill-of-Materials › Block diagrams Insight › Specific and dedicated projects › Strategic, financial, technical, supply chain, market and other semiconductor-related fields › Reverse costing and reverse engineering Format › Web access › PDF and Excel files › High-resolution photos Format › PDF files with analyses › Excel files with graphics and data Topics › Consumer: Smartphones, smart home, wearables › Automotive: Infotainment, ADAS, Connectivity Topics › Photonics, Imaging & Sensing › Lighting & Displays › Power Electronics & Battery › Compound Semiconductors › Semiconductor Manufacturing and Packaging › Computing & Memory 175+ teardowns per year 190 custom projects per year Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 6 METHODOLOGY & DEFINITIONS Yole’s market forecast model is based on matching heterogeneous sources: Preexisting information Forecast Reconciliation END SYSTEM Market segmentation volume (in Munits), ASP (in $), revenue (in $M) SEMICONDUCTOR DEVICE Information aggregation Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 7 COMPANIES CITED IN THIS REPORT Almalence, Ambarella, Apple, Ams, Arm, Axis, Basler, Bosch, Brigates, BYD, Caeleste, Canon, Clairpixel, Cmosis, Cognex, Continental, Core Photonics, CSEM, Dahua, DB Hitek, DXO Mark, Espros Photonics, Evg, Excelitas Technologies, Fairchild Imaging, Flir, Forza Silicon, Fotonic, Foxconn, Fraunhofer, Fujitsu, Fujifilm, GalaxyCore, Given Imaging, GoPro, Gpixel, Grass Valley, Hamamatsu, Hasselblad, Himax Imaging, HikVision, Honeywell, Hoya, HTC, Huawei, Image Lab, IMEC, Infineon, Invisage, Kingpak, Konica Minolta, Lattice, Leap Motion, Leica, Lenovo, LG, Luxima, Magna, Mantis Vision, Medigus, Melexis, Microsoft, Mobileye, Movidius, New Imaging Technologies, Nikon, NXP, Nvidia, Olympus, Omnivision, Omron, ON Semiconductor, Panasonic, PerkinElmer, Philips, Pixart, PixelPlus, Pelco, PMD Technologies, Pyxalis, Raytrix, Rosnes, Red, Samsung, Sanei Hytech, Sharp, Silicon Optronics, Sirona, SK Hynix, SMIC, Siemens, Smartsens, Socionext, Soitec, Sony, STMicroelectronics, SuperPix, Teledyne, Teradyne, Trixell, TSMC, TowerJazz, TPSCo, UMC,Valeo,Videantis, Viimagic, WLCSP, Xiaomi, X-Fab, Xintec, Xperi, ZTE, and more. Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 8 WHAT WE GOT RIGHT, WHAT WE GOT WRONG Technology and market forecast - challenge What we got wrong What we got right o CIS’ industry double digit growth impacted by memory bubble burst not o Continuing investments in capacity o Smartphone market increasing demand for high end cameras o Emergence of the Chinese players o Introduction of new CIS technology (GS, iToF, dToF) o Sanctions on Huawei exacerbated demand for CIS o CIS’ under capacity bubble end of 2019 o Triple stack share of production did not pick up o Smartphone market increasing demand for low resolution cameras o In 2020 COVID-19 crisis had limited impact on the CIS market Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 9 WHAT DOES OUR ANALYSIS COVER? From wafer to the first packaged sensor Market report focus Market analysis only Analysis at the component level. Courtesy of Xiaomi Courtesy of Sony Courtesy of Omnivision Courtesy of Sony Courtesy of Valeo CIS wafer CIS dies Courtesy of Apple Image sensors Camera modules Courtesy of Tesla Systems | Status of the CIS industry | www.yole.fr| ©2020 | ©2018 Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr 10 WHAT WE GOT RIGHT, WHAT WE GOT WRONG Yole’s CIS forecast over the years In 2019 CIS revenues far exceeded our forecast CIS market forecasting iterative approach. On the short term 2021 and 2022 we expect be back on the 2019’s prediction as the effect of Huawei overspending disappear. On the longer term Yole increases its forecast for CMOS image sensors to reach $27B by 2025 Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | Status of the CIS industry | www.yole.fr| ©2020 | ©2018 11 2020 CMOS IMAGE SENSOR INDUSTRY STATUS REPORT Well exceeding previous forecast in the “Status of CIS industry 2019” the CIS industry did end FY2019 up 13.6% above previously estimated forecast. The CIS industry players exceptionally achieved 25% YoY growth rate amid a global semiconductor recession. Having reached $19.3B in 2019 the CIS industry is showing thriving growth. Globally the CMOS image sensors industry showed thriving growth. This performance is mainly due to the sustainability of the mobile camera market but also most of the high-end markets. In this context sanctions on Huawei exacerbated the demand for CIS having this player adding in the range of 2 quarters of additional inventory. As of 2019, the industry reached the $19.3B and Yole expectation is for 8.1% CAGR forecast for 2019 – 2025 timeframe, revenue should hit $27 B within five years. In 2020, security and automotive have become the second and third largest CIS market segments. Within “all markets except mobile”, two end product segments are on a downward slope : consumer photography (DSC, DSLR, action cameras, drone cameras) and computing (PC, laptop, tablets) but with possible signs of recovery. All other sub-segments, automotive, medical, security, industrial and defense & aerospace, will outperform CIS market average in the next 5 years. CIS growth is currently dominated by mobile, this will eventually switch to high-end segments before 2025. Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 12 2019 CIS REVENUE BREAKDOWN by market (in $M) 2019 $19.3B 2019 CIS revenue breakdown by market. 2018 $15.5B Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 13 2019 CIS SEMICONDUCTOR MARKET SHARES by player (in $M) 2019 CIS semiconductor marketshare by player (in % revenue) 2019 $19.3B 2018-2019 CIS revenue breakdown by player. 2018 $15.5B Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 14 CIS WAFER PRODUCTION FORECAST 2015 - 2025 by stacking technology (in kW 12” eq.) CIS is now mainly produced using stacked technology. Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 15 CMOS IMAGE SENSOR LANDSCAPE 2019 market landscape, by application Rear and front cameras for smartphones remain the key applications for CMOS image sensors. Mobile is king, but it is not alone. Yole Développement © 2018 Automotive ADAS image sensors have quickly established themselves as a dynamic application, along with surveillance camera. Medical imaging remain high ASP. Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 16 CMOS IMAGE SENSOR - ECOSYSTEM (1/2) CIS is a specialized semiconductor supply chain Image processing sensors and software are gaining importance. Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 17 MOBILE MARKET DYNAMICS 2014 2007 2000 Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 18 AUTOMOTIVE MARKET DYNAMICS Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 19 SECURITY & SURVEILLANCE MARKET TREND Smart home Retail Doorbell Smart retail Smart building Commercial camera Smart retail Smart building Smart city Government Infrastructure camera Indoor/outdoor Security Borde & r/ surveillance defens camera e camer a Consumer camera Home IOT (consumer) Defense & border border & coastal surveillance homeland security law enforcement Smart city Transportation (industrial) Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 20 INNOVATION PATH FOR THE CIS INDUSTRY High end incremental New technology more data Low end excellence Current CIS market Same markets up-market race High end excellence New markets open low end Same technology better data Low end disruption Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 21 MOBILE TECHNOLOGY TREND The market is asking for a smaller module and better image quality CRA Due to optical limitations, module height cannot shrink as desired. Sensor array Shifted micro lens array (MLA) Deep trench isolation (DTI) Limitations to reducing module height: o Light must enter the pixel in the corner of the array. CRA cannot increase. o Focal length is a consequence of sensor array size and maximum CRA. Improvement could come from bended sensor assembly process which will reduce the CRA and therefore ease the optical design. Courtesy of System Plus Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 22 MOBILE TECHNOLOGY TREND BSI opened the way to 3D semiconductor Front-side illuminated (FSI) Backside illuminated (BSI) TSV stack Hybrid stack TSV multi-stack Hybrid-TSV multi-stack ? → Backside illumination will enable ~ 100% fillfactor! → Backside illumination will enable ~ 100% fillfactor! → Backside illumination will enable ~ 100% fillfactor! → Backside illumination will enable ~ 100% fillfactor! Silicon bulk CIS wafer Logic wafer Memory wafer Computing wafer Silicon bulk 2008 Silicon bulk 2010 Silicon bulk Silicon bulk 2014 2016 Silicon bulk 2018 Silicon bulk >2020? Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 23 THREE-PAGE SUMMARY (1/3) CIS market & players • At the end of year 2019, the CMOS Image Sensor (CIS) market was overheated with a combination of high demand and high prices due to capacity limitations. • Despite Coiv-19 2020 should be a reenactment of 2019 with high CIS demand and growth lowered to 7% YoY. • Within the industry total revenue of $19.3B in 2019, Sony remains the biggest CIS player. With a market share of 42%, Samsung 21% and Omnivision 10%, all focusing on mobile with high competition with Sony, STM owning 6% has emerged as a competitor in the NIR sensing space. • Mobile keep the most important role for CIS with 69% of market revenues, Security and Automotive have emerged has significant market sub-segments with growth beyond 20% CAGR. • Within consumer products photography has reached a bottom and similarly computing devices. New momentum from home and IoT products currently include cameras or will in the future. • Yole Dévelopment envision a bright future for the CIS industry at 5.7% CAGR, with tighter links to the growth of semiconductor in general, it is expected to reach $27B in 2025. Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 24 THREE-PAGE SUMMARY (2/3) CIS technology trend • Technology race remains a key aspect of CIS competition, driving developments in smaller pixels, 3D semiconductor technologies, and novel pixel designs. • Over the years, significant improvements have been made to the CIS manufacturing process. The industry has transitioned from FSI to BSI and now toward stacked BSI, where TSVs are used to make connections to the sensor array and the logic die. Now the standard technique has moved to hybrid stack using Cu-Cu connections. • In the latest product in pixel connections are being made. • New designs, namely GS and ToF technologies, have gained large market access. • iToF arrays have become the standard approach for implementing 3D in Android phones. Apple strategy is to invest into breakthrough such as the “Lidar” it brough to market in 2020. • Quantum and Neuromorphic approaches should bring a new generation of application to market. • The next technology challenge should the integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) within CIS sensors. Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 25 THREE-PAGE SUMMARY (3/3) 2020 conclusion • Under COVID-19 situation, the CIS industry was little affected. • The short-term impact for CIS will be slower growth this year with a 7% YoY and $20.7B expected end result. • The impact of Huawei ban is much more important since large quantities of CIS inventory were added in 2019 and 2020.This effect stopped the 15th September 2020. • The expectation for 2021 is therefore the worse we have seen in recent times with a 2% YoY and $21.2B expected end result. • On the medium term the CIS industry is expected to grow 5.7% on par with global semiconductor growth. • A new cycle of growth is expected to come from the high-end markets (industrial, Security and Automotive) as well as Consumer home and IoT products, alongside continuous growth of the mobile segments. • The CIS industry has become a major sub-segment of the semiconductor industry. Beyond the US-CN geopolitical difficulties new challenges such as the mandate to reduce CO2 emissions will come into play and be part of the competition. Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 26 YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS, MONITORS, TRACKS Yole Développement CMOS Camera Module Industry for Consumer & Automotive 2020 3D Imaging & Sensing 2020 Contact our Sales Team for more information Imaging for Automotive 2019 CMOS Image Sensor Quarterly Market Monitor Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 27 YOLE GROUP OF COMPANIES RELATED REPORTS, MONITORS, TRACKS System Plus Consulting Mobile CMOS Image Sensor Comparison 2019 Smartphone 3D Sensing Modules Comparison 2020 Contact our Sales Team for more information Consumer tracks Status of the CMOS Image Sensor Industry 2020 | Sample | www.yole.fr | ©2020 28 HOW TO USE OUR DATA? 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