SAMPLING DISTRIBUTION OF THE SAMPLE MEAN + PROBABILITIES BASED ON NORMAL DISTRIBUTION Consider a population consisting of 4 values Population mean 𝜇=5 Now suppose we select all possible samples of size 2 with replacement Standard deviation Population mean: from this population 𝝈 = 10.25 2 2 2 +24 + 2 6 4+ 8 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 𝜇 2= 4 6 8 2 4 =6 5 8 2 4 6 8 2 4 6 8 4 3 4 5 6 4 5 6 7 5 6 7 8 2 3 4 0.13 𝑥 Population standard This nowdeviation: is the distribution of sample mean 𝝈= 𝟐+𝟓 𝟐 + 𝟒+𝟓 𝟐 + 𝟔+𝟓 𝟒 𝟐 + 𝟖+𝟓 𝟐 = 10.25 𝒏=𝟐 𝜇𝑥 = 𝜇 = 5 Mean of sampling distribution of the sample mean will always be equal to the population mean 𝜎𝑥 = 7.25 = 10.25 2 = σ n Standard deviation of sampling distribution of the sample mean ( sample error) will always be equal to standard deviation divided by square root of n Central Limit Theorem As n increases, the sampling distribution of sample means approaches a normal distribution • If Population is normal, then distribution of sample mean is also normal. • If population is not normal, the distribution of sample means becomes approximately normal when n is large (by large we often say n is at least 30). with Standard Score To standardize the mean of a sample of size n, we replace the x by x-bar, and change the standard deviation to the standard error of the mean Example Given a normal population with a mean of 63 and a standard deviation of 12, find the probability that a random sample of size 16 has a mean greater than 61.5 Because we are finding the probability of sample mean we can apply Z- formula for sampling distribution of the mean 𝜎𝑥 = 12 16 =3 𝑧= 𝑥−𝜇 𝜎𝑥 = 61.5−63 = -0.5 3 µ = 63 σ = 12 n = 16 𝑥 > 61.5 P(x > 61.5) = P ( z > -0.5) = 1-0.3085 = 0.6915