Strategic & International Management 1.Foundations of management What a) The „what“ Where • Developing a business: Demand à Perception à’Solution’ à Resources à Value creation à Management Exchange à Purchase à Consumption (àDemand) • Managing an organization, coordination of internal When relationships Who • Organizing flows of Goods - Information - Currency à linear process, Information supported by Finance & Accounting, Human Resource Management, IT, Legal System, R&D> Purchasing > Production > Marketing & Sales • Managing relationships to stakeholders: • Managing non-managers, other managers & yourself; Coordination & motivation towards humans b) The „why“ = need objectives to set out a path to go, they are representations of the future, visions of how the future should be & how you want the future to be Why How c) The “how” • Making decisions & implementing them, management process : • alternative decision procedure (unconscious) d) The “who” • Distinguishing from other roles: Management vs. supervision vs. ownership e) The “when” • Time horizon influences each part of the management process • • actions today have consequences on todays & future result à Management is responsible for results from today & the future, however results of today influence future actions & results in between today & future: changes (i.e. trade policy) à result my change than the expected from today f) The “where” • Management operates in multiple local spheres & has to cope with (anti)globalization forces à Management is managing a business, an organization, internal & external relationships & yourself à… tries to achieve objectives à…makes decisions & implements them in space & time à…is a role that distinguishes from other roles in the organization à… is one of the forces that change organizations along time 2. Stakeholders, objectives & governance (Steuerung/Führung) a) Stakeholder and their relationships • Specific contribution by & benefits for stakeholders (exchange relationship) à Stakeholder ↔ Customers: → Products + services, information ← Currency + Information à Suppliers ↔ Stakeholder: → Production factors (labour, material, currency, etc.) + Information ← Currency, interest, Information à Stakeholders ↔ Shareholder: → Profits (open-ended delivery of capital), Information ← Currency, Information à Stakeholder ↔ Public: → Market participation, contributions of (interdependency) development, information, etc. ← Infrastructure, legal system (without certainty about legal system processes à no economic development but has to be produced!), • information CEOs manage the relationship between the firm and its stakeholders based on corporate governance (= sum of mechanism to coordinate the external relationships to Stakeholders) b) Objectives for and of corporations • Objectives for a corporation are individual, objectives of a corporation normatively set: for vs. of • Individual objects for a corporation may differ: • aspiration level = function of 3 influencing determining factors (comparison to): à 1. Own past performance à 2. Past performance of others (Selection/Relevance) à 3. Other factors (unexpected events/conditions influencing what we want to achieve) • • the determined aspiration levels bring to the process of setting objectives of corporation Top management organizes a political process to determine objectives of the company (represents the corporation, coordinates, organizes, communicates & brings together all those influences & balance them out) • Individual interest + power à Stakeholder & shareholder approach à Objectives of the corporation c) Relationships & governance à Management manages relationships to stakeholders à Stakeholders have specific objectives & make specific contributions à Objective setting is a political process (past performances, others) à Objectives for & objectives of the firm à Stakeholder vs. shareholder approach à Governance takes place market based (product prices, factor price, share price) & law-& reputation based 3. Strategic decision making & performance a) Strategic decision making • 5 different forces that changes the firm between 2 points of time • • • • • idealized process of strategy making: Initiation à Formulation à Implementation Initiation: Perception, Identification (What is the problem?), Structuring (sub problems?), Processing (What do we have to do to come to a strategy?) Signals from different areas of internal & external environments: Competitors (Benchmarking performance, (re-)actions, announcements), Trends, Stakeholders, Performance Problem Identifications: Characteristics (What?), Causes (Why?), Decision makers, - criteria, constraints of solution (reviewed & modified during process), Limits for problem solving process, basic question to be solved à Other techniques: Mind mapping, Minto’s S(ituation)C(omplication)Q(uestion) à lead to assessment of importance and urgency (From signals -perception & interpretation- to priority) Structuring: disaggregating a complex problem into its parts à Advantages: Improving problem solving | …project planning | …communication à MECEness: Does not negate interrelations between effects! Instead: aggregation of subfactors: • Processing (=organizing a strategy process, determine what, when should be worked on, who is responsible): Developing a plan of analysis à Developing a work plan b) Performance and performance component • Profit = Income – Expenses • Reasons for bankruptcy: 1. Over-indebtedness (ration between liabilities & assets) 2. Liquidity (structure of assets) • Cash imperative (= You have to have cash/ have to be liquid in each point of time) & source of • cash: 1. Operating cash flow (inflows > outflows) 2. Asset structure 3. Cash in from external equity increase (new shareholders pay in cash etc.) 4. Cash in from external debt increase à Cash determines the space of managerial discretion Cause of financing & investment: c) Financial success measurement = if financial value is increased • Success of strategy is measured across time • 2 general alternatives to evaluate financial value Cash-based Profit-based - capitalization of future cash inflows - capitalization of future excess capital income à Free cash flow principle: = periodic excess cash, could be paid out to debt- &shareholders à Discounting principle: = Transforming value of a payment out of later periods in what someone would invest today to exactly get this value in this later period: making payments comparable πΉπΆπΉ! π(πΉπΆπΉ! )ππ π‘ππππ¦ = (1 + π)! à Capital productivity & efficiency principle: = whether productivity exceeds cost of capital rate ππππ΄π = π ππΌ → πΆππππ‘ππ πππππ’ππ‘ππ£ππ‘π¦ πΌππ£ππ π‘ππ πππππ‘ππ vs. πΆππ π‘ ππ πππππ‘ππ πππ‘π ← ππ΄πΆπΆ Economic value add principle: à Cost of Capital & opportunity cost principle: = search for the alternative gain, cost of capital= opp. Costs of investing in a company πΈ π· ππ΄πΆπΆ = π" ∗ + π# ∗ ππΆ ππΆ ROI & profit concepts: *NOPAT = Net operating profit after taxes • EVA logic (= asks whether capital income exceeds cost of capital) Profit (Equity) + Interest paid (Debt) = Capital income vs. Cost of capital = WACC * Invested Capital à comparison of what you get & what not • Measures for increasing value & four dimensions of financial value creation • Financial value of corporations created based on 3 main financial value measures à Five forces change the firm along time à idealized strategy process consists of three phases (initiation, formulation, implementation) à Profit is different from cash à Liquidity is imperative à Measuring performance follows principles à Free cash flow, discounting, opportunity cost principle/efficiency, EVA principle à improving financial performance based on profitability, growth, and financing measures 4.Strategy analysis a) Strategy analysis in perspective • Idealized process: Formulation: External + internal analysis à Strategy options à Evaluation (+ Objectives) à Strategy as plan • External + internal factors & their influence n performance: • Strategy & antecedents of performance advantage: Antecedents (Market position, external | Resource base, internal) à Competitive advantage (Value and/or price advantage) à Performance advantage (goal; return spread, financial value) • Overview of theoretical concepts: b) External analysis • Firms are influenced by their environments: • • Industry definition à idea of substitution: Approaches Qualitative: conditions: Similar product performance characteristics & occasions for use | Sold in the same geographic market Quantitative: Price elasticity à large E: many close substitutes Cross-price elasticity à high E: close substitutes Theory: how industry structure affects industry profitability: • Forces affecting industry attractiveness (Porter’s five forces framework) • • Basic problems of external analysis: Problem Uncertainty > Environment= dynamic/influences changes >increasingly difficult to predict changes Complexity >environment: many different influences >Filtering signals: keeping track of influences/overall picture Bias > issues: traditionally important prior viewsà tend to be biased Approach > acknowledge uncertainty > adapt analysis techniques to level of uncertainty > structure environment/make a model of environmental forces >find key issues > avoid: team composition & external input > frameworks (challenge managerial thinking) level of uncertainty determines which analyses to use (the higher the level the less the company is able to predict either changes in the environment nor consequences of own actions) § § § § Useful predictions: Traditional forecasting Discrete scenarios: Scenario techniques | Options models Continuous uncertainty: Scenario techniques | Quantitive game theory | Evolutionary models True ambiguity (Multiple dimensions of continuous uncertainty): see above c) Internal analysis • Core competencies = basis for success in any kind of business system § Resources ((In)tangible resources) + Capabilities (ability to deploy resources by coordinating them through structures, processes & systems) ß Core competencies: Valuable (revenues, cost, customers for free), Rare, Inimitable, Not transferable (PROTECTION!) • • • Resource based view: resources & capability main drivers of superior performance § Resources/capabilities à Conduct (Building resources: Value chain system; Using resources: Cost management) à Performance Value Chain & generic competitive strategies Sources of cost advantages: 1. Exploiting structural cost differences (Experience curve effects, Economies of scale & scope) 2. Cost management (Cost level “cheaper”, Cost structure “more flexible”) d) Fit between the firm and the environment • SWOT Analysis (summarizes internal & external analyses & identifies key issues) • Logic of the market & resource-based view of strategy à External & internal analyses in order to understand current performance and to predict future performance àMarket-based view & resource-based view as theoretical basis àExternal analysis: industry environment & other environments àInternal analysis: Resources, capabilities, value chain system àFit between the firm & the environments 5. Competitive strategies a) Competitive advantage & generic competitive strategies • à if company’s service to its customer is superior to that of its competitors: “Strategic triangle” ! • Generic competitive strategies (Comparison of " ) 1. Better perceived value (unique product/service) à Similar prices “Differentation” § Occurs in the interaction between companies & customers 2. Better prices à Same value “Price Leadership” § i.e. Traditional product: full service; Price leadership: offer lower price à other services not valued by the customer 3. Better prices + value (only 15% succeed)à”Outpacing” (2 advantages; should gain market much faster) à most companies “Stuck in the middle” (should be avoided) b) Five elements to form a strategy • Arena selection: (Environment leads to:) Industry attractiveness Target market selection (Fit) Arenas: in which market active? (Resources lead to:) Own strengths Differentiatiors: Which competitive advantage? Economic Logic/Financials: How obtain revenues & profits? Vehicles/Systems: business system? Staging/Timing: speed & sequences of moves? • Strategic positioning (determining advantages) • Economic Logic: 4 key characteristics 1. Revenue model? Transfer of ownership | Pay-per-use | Membership model (granting access to a product bundle) | Cross-subsidy of complementary goods | Two-sided market model (Re-sale of attention) 2. What determines your costs? (level/structure) 3. & Margin model? (high; low) 4. When cash flow-in & flow-out? (timing) • Designing business systems § Vertical integration: Which value chain function should be bought / self generated? § Economies of Scale: How it is possible to achieve sub-proportional development of costs? § § • Support: Which sales-related supporting function? Differentiation: How to perform single functions in an innovative way? Speed & sequences of moves § role of a sequence for a competitive strategy à Sequence of moves matters c) International market (entry) strategies • Foreign market entry disturbs existing customer relationships à change of market structure by foreign market entry • • Enter foreign markets in not fully developed markets for market share (race) Reasons for foreign market entry: § Triggered by foreign competitors themselves (reactive competitive mode) à “cross –investment” § § Triggered by domestic competitors à “Following the leader” As a consequence of business model design (Business models require investments in research (for economies of scale) à high margin high investment, business HAS to be international) § à “active decision” Proactive expansion resulting from firm specific advantages (Business model = “superior”; Transfer of firm specific advatnages) • Elements of market entry strategies: § Target market selection: à Institutional factors (legally possible?) àMarket potential (revenue potential attractive?) àCompetitive barriers (potential share attractive?) àLiabilities of foreignness (How dissimilar is the target country?) § Customization depends on need for local responsiveness & economies of integration Arenas - Target market selection: Where to enter? Advantages - Target market customization: What to offer? Vehicles - Entry mode: How to enter? Timing - Market entry timing: When to enter? Economics - Target market business case: How to profit? Outsider (new product; lack of market-specific konwledge) has to become an insider (specific advantages in the new settings; market-specific responsiveness) by: à Gaining market-specific knowledge by acting within the various environmental settings à Becoming an insider in a new area with(out) a partner à Growth comes with a inefficiency trap (Efficiency over a project duration) § Choice of entry depends on a cascade of local circumstances: Partner modes: Do I get what I hope for & at what price? (Risk? Speed? Managerial control? Opportunistic behaviour? Access to customers, resources, knowledge?) § Market entry timing depends on the existence of first-/late movers’ (dis)advantages ππππππ‘ππππππ‘π¦ − ππ’πππ‘πππ ππ π‘πππππ § Exchange rates can influence economic logic of foreign market activities Managing exchange rate risks: à Hedging (Absicherung): financial, operational à Price/Cost adjustments à Diversification: financial, operational 6. Strategy Implementation a) Relevance & fields of strategy implementation • Strategy implementation targets toward a plan- action- outcome fit: Strategy as action (intended behaviour) Developing structures & systems to support strategy Structures: formally defined roles, responisbilities, lines of reporting Systems: support & control • Deriving plans of operations (shape process) --> value chain function Concrete goals & measures for all functional units (R&D, Purchasing, Types of structures: Producation...) Envisioning, enabling, empowering people to live strategy ensure their qualifications to live startegy & give power to make decisions & impement these according to strategy à Forms of divisional structures: Strategy control (put objectives against results) feedback loops on assumptions, consistency & strategy-action fit § Multinational Structures (MNEs 4 types) § Definition & role of project structures • Systems (used to control strategy implementation) • Functional plans: translation of strategy towards value chain functions • Envisioning, enabling & empowering (Make participants to embassadors of strategy) àEnvisioning: “I know”, “I believe”, “I want” (strategy as their “own baby”) àEnabling: “I can” (abilities) àEmpowering: “I will” (power) • Strategy control basis for subsequent strategic decision making § Strategy as a plan (Objectives …) + Strategy as action à Results àDerivation of results from objectives à… of behaviour from plans (did the corporation do as action what was planned?àunintended behaviour) à… of external developments from scenarios (àunanticipated environment/events compares objectives to results) b) From strategy to achievement of objectives • Strategy needs structure, structure determines how the corporation really acts • Example of strategy – structure fit • Autonomous structures (Structural requirements for new business) c) Strategic change: creates new situation for the company à Strategy Implementation Targets towards a strategy-action-Outcome fit àStrategy implementation includes 4 fields of Action: § Structures and Systems § Functional plans § Envisioning, enabling, empowering § Strategy Control àStrategy Change includes Change initiatives and has to deal with Change resistance