ECON1202 – Quantitative Analysis for Business & Economics WEEK 4 TUTORIAL: PROBABILITY Question 1 (Past exam question) Draw a probability tree to solve this problem. A qualifying test for a professional organisation was given at four locations. One thousand students sat for the test at each of locations A and B and 500 students sat for the test at each of locations C and D. Seventy percent of those who sat at location A passed the test. The percentages of students from locations B, C and D who passed were 75%, 65% and 72% respectively. If one student is selected at random from those who sat for the test, (a) what is the probability that the selected student passed the test? (b) if the selected student passed the test, what is the probability that the student sat at location C? Question 2 (HPW 8.6, Problem 19, p.410) At a certain fitness center, the probability that a member regularly attends an aerobics class is ! . If two members are randomly selected, find the probability that both attend the class " regularly. Assume independence. Question 3 (HPW 8.1, Problem 8, p. 354) In how many ways is it possible to answer a six-question multiple-choice examination if each question has four choices (and one choice is selected for each question)? Question 4 A television station must schedule four programs for a particular night and has to decide which programs to show and the order in which they will run. The station has eight programs from which to choose. How many possible schedules are there? Question 5 (HPW 8.2, Problem 37, p. 366) At a tourist attraction, two trams carry sightseers up a picturesque mountain. One tram can accommodate seven people and the other eight. A busload of 18 tourists arrives, and both the trams are at the bottom of the mountain. Obviously, only 15 tourists can initially go up the mountain. In how many ways can the attendant load 15 tourists onto the two trams? Question 6 (HPW 8.2, Problem 33, p. 366) A committee has three male and five female members. In how many ways can a subcommittee of four be selected if: a) Exactly 4 females are to serve on it? b) Exactly 3 males are to serve on it? c) at least two females are to serve on it? Question 7 (HPW 8.6, Problem 51, p. 401) Suppose six female and five male students wish to fill three openings on a campus committee on cultural diversity. If three of the students are chosen at random for the committee, find the probability that all three are female, given that at least one is female. © Copyright University of New South Wales 2020. All rights reserved. This copyright notice must not be removed from this material.