Module 11 – Human Resource Development: Human Resource Development In recent years, economists have come to realize the importance of human resources in stimulating economic growth. This emphasis became more evident with the rise of new technologies in computers, telecommunications & the compilation, use & dissemination of information The Economics of Education Spending on formal education has increased in many developing countries over the past several decades. This increase in education spending is due to: In part, a response to an increase in the number of cohorts in the schooling age groups A result of higher incomes in these countries. Because teaching is labor intensive, it has suffered productivity losses compared with other occupations. In addition, real wages have fallen relative to the average Attempts have been made to increase productivity by: Raising class sizes Adopting split shifts Reduce spending on teaching materials Using more distance learning In some developing countries, private schools have flourished In particular, to teach specific skills like a foreign language or computer related techniques The risk from more private education is that the equalizing effect of free & universal public education will be compromised. Those who can pay gets a better education while the public educational system is starved of resources. Nevertheless, there has been a growth in public spending on education, partly as a result of growth in real income. Estimates suggest that the elasticity is somewhat less than one. When income doubles, expenditure on education rises by about 75%. As the average level of educational attainment increases, the average cost of education per pupil also rise per capita costs of secondary & tertiary education is higher than those of primary education Rates of Return to Education Evidence suggests that there are high rates of return to education at all levels But there are diminishing returns, i.e. tertiary education has lower returns per dollar invested than secondary education. Returns to primary education are the highest education is considered a merit good, that is there are external economies to education. Positive externalities arising from the provision of education includes the value of: Being able to vote intelligently Following the rules set down by society Making possible contributions to society through culture, science, social science & the arts that exceed private returns of the individual Private vs Social Returns to Education (Micro Results) How can we evaluate education’s “net benefits to society”? Social returns to secondary & tertiary education, measured as the “value of being a better citizen” because of literacy & numeracy acquired, fall off quickly after primary school Therefore the economic argument for subsidies to secondary & tertiary education is much weaker than is a subsidy for primary education A further argument for less subsidy & more competition at the tertiary level is: Private schools seem to be more responsive to changes in demand than are public schools. In Asia, social returns to secondary & tertiary education are moderately higher than private returns. This is because the public subsidy is a relatively small share of total costs. Subsidies are generally higher in Latin America & Africa In low income countries, private returns tend to be higher than social returns. Evidence from a wide cross-section growth equation that adjusts labor for degree of educational attainment don’t show a big payoff to more education Contribution of labor (adjusted for education attainment) is either negligible or even possibly negative 3 possible reasons for the shown results: 1. Differences in individual country experience masks the true relationship 2. There is rent seeking & corruption among graduates & that brings down growth 3. There is a stagnant demand for educated labor, resulting in a misallocation of resources While these results should not be ignored, the evidence from Asia, with the possible exception of bureaucracies in South Asia, does not support these conclusions. Education, particularly secondary & higher education, have played a key role in growth & development. Education can be expected to play an even stronger role in the future as highly skilled labor becomes more important as an input into the production process. Education, Labor Earnings & Productivity Briefly, there is a large body of evidence that suggests that education & experience explain a very large proportion of the variation in earnings in both industrial & developing economies There is also evidence that discrimination is also a powerful factor in influencing earnings When these two factors are put together, they argue very strongly for removing discrimination as a way to raise income for the poor segments of society Education is seen as a important tool to lift incomes, alleviate poverty & improve income distribution Education enhances productivity by: Lifting the productivity of existing labor inputs Reducing the cost of adjusting to a change in the mix of inputs Increasing the ability of workers to adapt to new technology Education also enhances the ability to find additional employment, such as during the slack season in agriculture. Women’s Education Studies show that a more educated woman has greater bargaining power within the household. this has resulted in more resources directed to herself & her children, education and health outcomes for female children improve significantly Even where labor force participation is suppressed, there is evidence that increased education among women impacts positively on infant mortality & general family health. Education in Asia Changes in the dependency rate (proportion under 15 & over 65 years old) have an important impact on the ability of an economy to raise the average educational attainment When the dependency rate is high, particularly the proportion under 15 years of age, the cost of raising the level of educational attainment is also high. The NIEs & ASEAN countries show the largest decline in dependency rates in the past three decades (Table 10.1) There is a weak correlation between an increase in per capita income and a nation’s share of the budget for education (Table 10.2) The ratio of cost of tertiary to primary education are much higher in South Asia, the poorest region sampled (see Bangladesh, India and Nepal in Table 10.3) China and Malaysia also have higher tertiary-to-primary cost ratios compared to Indonesia, Korea, the Philippines, Sri Lanka and Thailand. The private sector play a much bigger role as a tertiary education provider in Indonesia, Korea & the Philippines (Table 10.4) There does not seem to be any relationship between the share of the private sector in higher education & the level of per capita income. Having said this, it is also true that the poorest countries in the region all have small private sector involvement in higher education. Trends in Enrolment Ratios Primary education has become widespread, if not universal throughout Asia (see Table 10.5) However the quality of this education can vary substantially Efficiency of education (lack of over-age & repeaters) is higher in richer countries (see Table 10.6 & Figure 10.3) Across Asia, the NIEs had a high mean number of years of schooling for the workforce. Gains in tertiary education were most pronounced in the NIEs & the Philippines, although the Philippines started at a high rate in the 1960s compared with other countries in Southeast Asia. In South Asia, the increase in enrolment rates have been modest, particularly in tertiary education, where they have increased very little as a percentage of the cohort group since the mid 1960s. In Southeast Asia, the most impressive gains were in secondary education. Improving Efficiency in the Delivery of Education An argument can be made for greater privatization of the school system by allowing the co-existence of private schools with public schools Greater competition is believed to result in greater efficiency Index of private financing & costs per capita of public higher education are further shown to be inversely related in Asia (see Figure 10.4) Rates of return to education decline with years of schooling as expected (Table 10.7) Returns are normally highest for primary education & lower for higher levels of education However, the intrinsic merit good nature of education is not that strong since social returns are lower than private returns. Based on the successful experience of the NIEs, this strategy to have larger classes & higher pay for teachers has paid off in terms of a more efficient delivery of educational services (Table 10.9 & Table 10.10) Rates of Return to Education A broader cross-cultural study of rates of return suggests that rates of return to education in poor countries has risen in the past few decades This may reflect the increased openness that has made technology more accessible throughout the world & raised the returns to skilled labor in poorer countries Gender Disparities in Education Literacy rates between genders are very similar for many Asian countries with the exception of South Asia (Table 10.8) Enrolment rates are similarly biased toward men in South Asia In several countries (Indonesia, Philippines & Thailand), tertiary education is higher for women, a somewhat surprising result given gender discrimination in so many other aspects of economic life Major Policy Conclusions for Asia Curbing population growth means lower dependency ratios; this increases the ability of the society to provide education with the same resource base. It pays to educate teachers more intensively, to develop better classroom materials & to pay teachers more. It pays to put money into education of females. Curbing population growth means lower dependency ratios; this increases the ability of the society to provide education with the same resource base. It pays to educate teachers more intensively, to develop better classroom materials & to pay teachers more. It pays to put money into education of females. It pays to introduce some private schools at the tertiary level and/or reduce the subsidy to tertiary education. To improve efficiency of the delivery of educational services, experiments with higher pupil/student ratios & decentralization of authority over curriculum, management & budgets are encouraged. Provision of a good school environment with better material resources & more qualified teachers is critical for developing countries. There is a strong case for cutting the subsidy to tertiary education in developing countries, including the brain drain problem, higher costs per student & lower returns using the “merit goods” logic. It is important to recognize that a balance must be struck between various policy objectives If the educational system is to be used to address poverty & income inequality it may be useful to consider scholarships for gifted poor students rather than an across the board cut in subsidies to tertiary education The provision of more private schools runs the risk of creating an “educational divide.” There are missing credit markets for education that should be addressed either through government program or greater access to bank loans. Health & Nutrition Health, for our purposes, means absence of illness & infirmity As indices of health (or illness), we use morbidity & mortality rates Mortality is more closely monitored than morbidity & is more easily defined Infant mortality, life expectancy, crude birth rates & crude death rates are also terms that are widely used. Health Patterns Health conditions of populations have improved gradually because of advances in the medical fields Life expectancy has increased, infant mortality has decreased & morbidity may also have fallen Availability of safe water, sanitation, immunization & access to medical facilities have also improved in Asia & the world (refer to Table 10.12) Health & Economic Growth Health improvements & economic growth go together Can their mutual causality be disentangled? The curve relating per capita income & life expectancy has shifted up over time, but it is still virtually flat after a certain level of per capita income (Figure 10.5) Aspects of Health (Environmental Health) In many developing countries, the spread of infectious & parasitic diseases can be effectively controlled by ensuring that people have access to clean water & by the provision of an adequate waste disposal system Experience has shown that such measures have effectively controlled the spread of waterborne diseases such as typhoid, dysentery & cholera Improving housing conditions – ventilation & space – can also minimize the spread of tuberculosis. Health risks for these diseases are exacerbated by the presence of urban slums in developing countries. Aspects of Health (Malnutrition & Food Consumption) What causes malnutrition & how could nutritional improvements contribute to economic development? The consumption of food, like any other good or services, are determined by three elements: Income Prices Tastes Engel’s law says that poorer households devote a greater proportion of their budget to food & that they have a relatively high income elasticity of demand for food Within households, female children are generally made to accept the greater nutritional burden of adjustment to unfavourable price movement. Aspects of Health (Medical Facilities & Services) Medical facilities & services in developing countries are very inadequate in providing for health needs of the population Public expenditures on health is much lower than those for education & defense Developing countries tend to spend far more on curative resources than on preventive health care Public Health Policies in Asia Public health spending could be increased as a proportion of total health spending to address needs of poor In Asia, infant mortality & income growth are highly negatively correlated Causation is unclear but health outcomes are closely interrelated with speed of development Medical services with higher positive externalities should be subsidized. HIV/Aids in Asia HIV/AIDS prevalence in Asia has increased in the last decade and pose significant constraints to development in the region 4 high risk groups: sex workers & their clients, drug users & men who have sex with other men HIV/AIDS impacts on the economy via … Lost productivity among infected members of the workforce Lost income and potential savings of infected working-age individuals Reduction in the stock of human capital To control the spread of AIDs, control of the spread from 4 high risk groups is required Some measures include: Promote the use of condoms among sex workers & bisexual men Publicize the necessity for using measures to protect against Aids such as condoms & not sharing needles Make condoms & needles widely available & at reasonable prices or else supplied for free in clinics General promotion of HIV/AIDs awareness through public media & NGOs as well as newspapers & magazine articles Important considerations in HIV/AIDS containment Wealth Matters! Education Matters! - Having more wealth and higher levels of education lead to a better understanding of the disease – how it is contracted and its devastating consequences – and this leads to less risky behavior - once HIV penetrates society, the poor and the uneducated are at highest risk - wealthier, more educated married women tend to speak to their husbands more about avoiding AIDS Policy Implications – preventative There is a need for highly targeted information campaigns tailored for the poor and the uneducated Increase incomes through greater employment opportunities for all Keep education levels high – get more children and young adults to attend school for more years. Policy Implications – curative HIV/AIDS treatment and drugs need to be made available to sufferers at reasonable prices Increase R&D efforts in treatment & drug development