Article in Higher Education Research & Development journal (2021) Let nine universities blossom: opportunities and constraints on the development of higher education in China Kris Hartley1 & Darryl S. L. Jarvis2 To cite this article: Kris Hartley & Darryl S. L. Jarvis (2021): Let nine universities blossom: opportunities and constraints on the development of higher education in China, Higher Education Research & Development, DOI: 10.1080/07294360.2021.1915963 Link: https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/07294360.2021.1915963 Received 19 March 2020 Accepted 17 March 2021 Published online: 21 Apr 2021 ABSTRACT China’s pursuit of global superpower status compels the country to make coordinated efforts across numerous sectors. Global leadership in higher education is one example and provides a case study in how resource support and strategic vision can generate ‘quick wins’ in reputation and rankings. The ascendancy of Peking University, Tsinghua University and Fudan University, among others, has positioned China to attract top-tier faculty and supports local innovation ecosystems through collaborative research capacity. However, universities with global visibility account for only a fraction of China’s university enrollment, and reputational stagnation among universities outside the elite ‘C9 League’ has implications for regional economic development, geographic diffusion of innovation, and workforce competitiveness. This article offers explanations for why China has not developed a cadre of globally competitive non-elite universities in the same vein as many Western countries. Issues explored include the institutional and political contexts of university governance, national strategic focus on high-visibility institutions, near-exclusive emphasis on KPIs measured by university ranking indices, and concerns about academic freedom and their cooling effects on research and faculty recruitment. KEYWORDS China; higher education policy; managerialism; political ideology; university rankings; knowledge economy; knowledge competition 1 2 Assistant Professor, Department of Asian and Policy Studies, Education University of Hong Kong Professor, Department of Asian and Policy Studies, Education University of Hong Kong 1 Introduction China has boasted a culture of educational sophistication throughout its history, shaped in part by an imperial examination process that produced government administrators trained in Confucian philosophy and public and cultural affairs. Steeped in a deep history of meritocracy and now possessing one of the world’s largest tertiary education systems,1 China declared an interest in internationalizing its higher education system and in the 1990s identified a group of universities around which to develop capacities in targeted disciplines (Kim et al., 2018; Levin, 2010; Luo, 2013; Mohrman, 2008; Peters & Besley, 2018; Rhoads et al., 2014). This initiative evolved ultimately into a pursuit of elite global university status – such as it can be defined – that emerged from then-President Jiang Zemin’s 1998 proclamation that the country should develop several world-class universities (WCUs) as facilitated by national-level schemes (Song, 2017; Yang & Welch, 2012). This pitted universities in a competition for resources and visibility (Li, 2012; Ngok & Guo, 2008). Nearly two decades later, China’s elite universities have earned recognition in global rankings while making substantial efforts to internationalize. Tsinghua University, for example, reached its first-ever top ranking among Asian universities in the Times Higher Education 2019 report, a position it maintained in 2020 (Bothwell, 2019; Times Higher Education, 2017; WUR, 2019, 2020). Of mainland China’s universities, six were in the top-20 (30%) in the 2020 iteration of the same ranking, 26 in the top-100 (26%), and 65 in the top-300 (22%). In the 2020 ranking of Asian universities by Quacquarelli Symonds, Tsinghua University ranked fourth and mainland China’s universities performed similarly: five in the top-20 (25%), 24 in the top-100 (24%), and 73 in top-300 (24%) (QS, 2020). Tsinghua University’s top ranking in one of the major regional (Asia) indices is symbolically significant because the ranking ended the National University of Singapore’s extended run in first place; the milestone was embraced as a cause for celebration in Chinese media and engendered positive reflection among some higher education analysts (Kang-chung & Chiu, 2019). Such recognition is arguably the result of China’s coordinated and well-resourced effort to boost the global research profile of its top universities, including those in the C9 League2 and members of Project 985 (39 universities; Zhang et al., 2013) and Project 211 (116 universities) (Grove, 2017; Mohrman, 2008; Rhoads et al., 2014). Announced in 2015 as an extension of these programs, the Double First Class Project (DFCP; Peters & Besley, 2018) encompasses 36 Class A universities, six Class B universities, and 95 universities housing ‘first class disciplines’; the aim is to help members achieve global status by 2050 (Asian Correspondent, 2017). These programs offer institutional support, resources, and monitoring capacity to universities for boosting research capabilities, internationalization, and talent recruitment, among other activities (Kim 2 et al., 2018; Shen, 2018). Of these select few, C9 universities account for 10 percent of national expenditures appropriated for university research (Times Higher Education, 2017). Despite these rapid gains in higher education stature, there remain policy, institutional, and sector-level deficiencies that compromise the ability of China’s elite and non-elite universities to reach the potential envisioned for them by policy makers. It is thus fair to ask whether their performance in rankings is as high as it could be given the vast quantities of resources channeled into elite university development and, more importantly, the impacts of preferential resourcing on the non-elite institutions that comprise the vast majority of universities within China’s higher education system (2,838 of 2,880 currently in existence) (Jarvis & Mok, 2019, p. 38). As Zha (2016) argues, resources are important but not by themselves sufficient to produce globally leading higher education systems. The success of Western systems of higher education in global comparative rankings, for example, rests not on the performance of individual universities per se but rather on ‘the strength of the normative model’ (Zha, 2016). For China, this macro-institutional explanation suggests innate and perhaps irreconcilable tensions that detract, or at least limit, the development of its higher education system. Western imprints on the type of academic model China is pursing, for example, highlight the degree to which ‘indigenization’ in the context of social, political, and institutional norms might undermine this model (Altbach, 1998, pp. 37–40). Indeed, China’s higher education model is replete with such tensions, a point highlighted by Postiglione’s (2015) observation that, while ‘top-tier universities are coming to resemble their OECD counterparts,’ they find themselves caught between ‘the goals of internationalisation and safeguarding national sovereignty,’ with the government encouraging ‘Sino–foreign cooperation along with stern warnings of its dangers’ (p. 239). The implication is that, while China’s higher education system has made quantifiable progress, the limits of this progress under current institutional and political arrangements are becoming apparent. Relatedly, it is pertinent also to consider whether China’s top-down approach in resource strategies (often appropriated in lump-sum fashion; Usher, 2018) materially influences publication impact and citations that generate global status, or whether it incentivizes universities to focus only on easily quantifiable KPIs (e.g., research volume and number of publications3) that exhibit ‘quick wins’ but reflect little structural progress on quality, innovation, and discovery. Deeper issues concerning the top-down approach to higher education administration include censorship, suppression of academic freedom, and their impact on a type of academic culture that elsewhere thrives on uninhibited scholarly inquiry and international collaboration. 3 This article examines these issues through the lens of China’s higher education governance strategies and its efforts to shape the function and culture of universities in service to national socio-political goals. The article proceeds with a brief review of academic literature pertaining to China’s pursuit of global status in higher education and its efforts to managerialize universities through reform efforts that quantify research output, rationalize administrative systems, and marketize the relationship with students. An analysis of the growing divide between China’s elite and non-elite universities is presented, followed by a conclusion that describes the implications of China’s current strategy. Global status and managerialism in China’s universities This review focuses on two interrelated elements central to the article’s analysis: China’s pursuit of WCU status and the reform-backed managerialization of higher education administration in pursuit of internationalization and WCU status. The literature on China’s WCU ambitions has focused primarily on government-based declarations that confer privileged status to selected universities, as activated through the suite of numbered initiatives previously described (Grove, 2017; Peters & Besley, 2018; Rhoads et al., 2014). Since the late 1980s, China has pursued an aggressive higher education development strategy, in the early stages even departing to some degree from the country’s favored top-down resource appropriation model by introducing performance accountability and halting elements of autonomy (Huang, 2015). One example is the Law of Higher Education, introduced in 1998 to relax administrative controls in the interest of fostering creativity and entrepreneurial behavior in research and university management. The Huang (2015) study underscores the relevance of institutional culture and context in translating global WCU policy standards into national- or institution-level policies by articulating ‘narrowly defined responsibilities and productivity’ (p. 106). Context is crucial because the development of WCU strategies in the international sphere has occurred largely outside the ideological strictures of socialist-authoritarian systems; by contrast, China’s strategies reflect efforts to reinterpret such strategies in ways that complement government policy. It is prudent to note that ideological frameworks in China have often been reoriented depending on prevailing political circumstances, as illustrated in the evolution from Marxism in the Mao era to the more utilitarian approach of the Deng, Jiang, and Hu eras (Chai, 2003), and recently back towards recentralization, control, and consolidation under Xi. Peters and Besley (2018) argue that the latest iteration of China’s WCU strategy – the DFCP – uses performance measurement-based reforms to foster an ‘innovation excellence culture’ (p. 1075), with the think-tank model culturally embedded in value frames reflecting socialist principles. Peters and 4 Besley (2018) argue that this strategy, as executed through managerialist reforms, is touted by the government as a pathway towards improved university governance. We argue that the strategy captures the mechanics, but not the spirit, of innovation promotion strategies seen in WCUs around the world. The implication of our argument is that, at a politically strategic level, universities are seen by the government as vessels for legitimizing and disseminating ideology, with an underlying interest in deepening social control. This may explain why the pursuit of WCU status has proceeded only as far as material resource appropriations allow; the softer cultural aspects of openness and innovation are seen to undermine ideological and social disciplining efforts and are thus ignored. Reactions to WCU strategies have been mixed, however. For example, a study by Kim et al. (2018) of perceptions among professors at highly ranked Chinese universities reveals a disconnect between the execution of WCU strategies and the way professors interpret their role. Interviewees often referenced Western universities as models for China’s WCUs and viewed teaching quality as a key element of university status at national and global levels. The adoption of Anglo-Saxon-dominated conceptualizations of WCU status is critiqued also by Deem et al. (2008), who find that the internationalization of scholarly activities such as publishing in English-language journals is seen to distract teachers and scholars from activities that have local impacts. The study finds that, in Hong Kong, commitment to achieving WCU status compels universities and governmentbacked grantmaking bodies to focus on research performance as monitored and benchmarked through models popular in the UK. Nevertheless, China’s strategies to promote research output appear to perversely incentivize quantity over quality (Mohrman, 2013). According to Mohrman and Wang (2010), for example, a preoccupation with publication quantity has not led to a corresponding rise in citations; according to the authors, ‘the current pressure for numbers of publications in international journals in some Chinese universities is a misguided priority. Perhaps fewer, but higher quality, articles would be a more suitable goal’ (p. 174) (see also Yang & You, 2018). Seeking ‘quick wins’ on the pathway to WCU status, according to the literature, appears not only to be ineffective at building reputation in the longer term but also to divert faculty effort from tasks that some research interviewees believe better advance the core mission of their universities (i.e., to educate students and develop knowledge and capacities relevant to local needs) (Wang & Ieong, 2019). This strategy can be seen as reflective of the pragmatic and utilitarian approach to developmental ‘catch-up’ popularized under Deng (Chai, 2003; Zhang, 1996). The relationship between the pursuit of WCU status and the managerialization of higher education is analogous to that between vision and execution, and China’s higher education reforms appear to acknowledge that a fundamental shift in the behavior 5 of universities and individual academics is precipitated by shifts in institutionalized incentive structures. With ideological roots in neoliberalism and new public management, the managerialization and economic instrumentalism applied to Asia’s higher education reforms has spread apace via the embrace of university-level administrative and procedural reforms (Cheung, 2010, 2011; Fischer & Mandell, 2018; Huang, 2015, 2018). In Hong Kong, a relatively early adopter of higher education managerialization, the University Grants Committee (UCG) has focused since the 1990s on quality assurance, intricate quantification and measurement, process efficiency, and fiscal accountability, inducing universities to adopt managerialist reforms to meet increasingly specific and ambitious targets (Mok, 1999). Competing with one another for WCU status, Hong Kong’s universities have undertaken benchmarking exercises, adopted entrepreneurial approaches to resource procurement, and implemented efficiencybased reforms (Mok, 2005). The privatization and corporatization of Hong Kong’s university sector, through a wave of entrepreneurialism, has engendered a culture among academics and students that reduces educational pursuits to ‘employment readiness’ and commercial activities holding little inherent value beyond their contribution to economic outputs; this trend marginalizes what some see as the role of higher education as a center for ‘ideas and values like democracy, liberty and humanity’ (Chan & Lo, 2007, p. 317). Predictably, these changes have lowered morale by placing additional burdens and scrutiny on academic staff while diluting the meaningfulness of academic labor. Managerialist reforms ultimately filtered into mainland China, where the university governance climate is arguably indistinguishable from that of Hong Kong. According to Mohrman (2008, p. 45), ‘market values have come to dominate [China’s] academic system.’ Embracing a value-for-money view of higher education, China began to move away from the socialist market model of the 1990s and towards the marketization of universities (Mok, 1999, 2000), executed through policies such as ‘increasing student tuition fees, reducing state allocations, strengthening the relationship between the university sector and the industrial and business sectors, and encouraging universities and academics to engage in business and market-like activities to generate revenue’ (Mok, 2003, p. 123). The involvement of government in WCU development explains the bureaucratization and massification of higher education in China, particularly regarding administrative control and resource appropriation (Mohrman, 2008; Ngok, 2008; Shen, 2018). Such rapid and comprehensive reform is facilitated through the coordinated and seemingly efficient apparatus of the unitary administrative state. According to Ngok and Guo (2008), ‘traditionally, Chinese officials prefer to use administrative tools to achieve policy goals’ (p. 555). Thus, it can be expected that the pursuit of WCU status is inspired by a model of top-down policy coordination. Altbach (2015) argues that 6 WCUs are characterized by internal self-governance, but China’s approach appears to marginalize the autonomy of universities. Song (2017), for example, finds that centrallevel performance benchmarks have compelled universities to acquiesce by undertaking personnel reforms (e.g., distribution of roles and responsibilities around the researchteachingservice triad), but that these reforms have not been popular among university staff due in part to lack of consultation and general aversion to top-down tactics. Additionally, Song finds incongruence between internationalization (i.e., indigenization of Western-style university governance reforms targeting autonomy) and the government’s goal of maintaining ‘Chinese characteristics’, explained by the fact that ‘Chinese universities are deeply embedded in the political hierarchical system, unlike the liberal market in Western countries’ (p. 740). Deem et al. (2008) likewise find that the managerialist wave of internationalizing reforms is inspired by Western-style practices and neoliberal ideologies, including ‘marketization, privatization and corporatization’ (p. 92). Indeed, the adoption of some Western elements by China’s universities – which have an institutional heritage deeply rooted in non-Western models – reveals a paradox complicated by government-imposed pressure to attain WCU status (Zha, 2016). According to Yang (2013), this reform process has resulted in superficial improvements to ‘hardware’ that mimic those of Western universities, with little attention to less tangible cultural factors that lead to the types of innovation and research output that enhance a university’s global influence. Yang argues that the results of these efforts are measurable but limited, illustrated by the fact that the ‘software’ of university culture is a nonpurchasable commodity. As with neoliberal economic development prescriptions popularized by global institutions in the post-war era, the ‘copy-paste’ approach to WCU development ignores local context at the peril of its own durability. Finally, it is revealing to consider the impressions that reforms have made on those executing them, given that university culture – as shaped by emerging and shifting expectations and incentives – can impact the research behavior of individual faculty members. According to Kim et al. (2018), the prioritization by WCU policies of research over teaching and service (and within that, research of international rather than local relevance) is shaping the experience of academics in negative ways and has met some resistance. According to the study, China’s university administrators seek to ‘check boxes’ regarding physical investments, recruitment of high-profile professors (with mixed results; Ngok & Guo, 2008), and other generally quantifiable measures and ‘observable outcomes’ (p. 102). The authors argue that this phenomenon widens a culture gap between professors and administrators. In a study of lecturers and teaching staff in China, Tian and Lu (2017), for example, find that academics increasingly harbor feelings of insecurity and anxiety resulting from increased organizational hierarchy, intensified pressure to 7 perform, and ‘rigid tenure requirements’ (p. 957) that distract faculty from teaching and compromise research quality. Similarly, a qualitative study by Huang et al. (2018) of academics at China’s universities finds mixed impressions about managerial reforms; there are no uniform sentiments and levels of support vary across role types, length of tenure, and degree of influence. The study illustrates that claims about monolithic resistance to reforms should be made cautiously. It is clear from the literature that China’s higher education ecosphere has undergone substantial strategic restructuring in recent decades, with evident impacts on the culture of universities and their approach to pursuing WCU status. This restructuring blends reform models from the West with certain national-level governance characteristics, raising the additional specter of ideological agendas and their influence on university function and the execution of research. The next section builds on this literature by analyzing and discussing the implications of China’s managerialist higher education policy for the reputation of the country’s elite universities and the performance of its non-elite universities. Analysis and discussion China’s higher education policy has generated a university ecosphere characterized by a small number of well-resourced elite universities on one side and the rest on the other. China’s WCUs are, at least in observable dimensions, closing the status gap with WCUs from the West. Tsinghua University, Peking University, Fudan University, and a handful of others enjoy collaborations with elite universities around the world, boast graduates with high-profile careers in government and business, and look the part with manicured campuses near research clusters in wealthy neighborhoods like Beijing’s Haidian district. For outside observers invited to these universities to participate in conferences and collaborations, the image promoted is that of modern, progressive, open, and generously funded higher education environments. The appearance of these universities near the top of the global rankings has also generated media interest around the world in a way that supports the ‘growth of Asia’ hypothesis while also helping project an image of rapid progress and global leadership favored by Beijing’s political leadership. The capacities of these universities is undeniably formidable, with privileged access to government coffers and public research institutes, connections to the private sector, and the privilege to cherry-pick China’s top-performing college entrants. A majority of the faculty at these elite institutions are Chinese nationals who received advanced degrees from high-profile Western universities and were recruited back to China through schemes like the ‘Thousand Talents’ program launched in 2008 (Hepeng, 2018; Li et al., 2018; Lundh, 2011). These scholars have the advantage of returning 8 to their country as a cadre of celebrated researchers and thought-leaders ready to advance the reputational interests of their employer-universities and shape the development of China as a whole. Indeed, the Chinese WCU is a rarefied environment to which few are granted access and in which the country has placed nearly all its hopes for global scholarly leadership. Furthermore, funding privileges set these universities apart and have placed them on a path towards unassailable long-term preeminence. China’s 30 richest elite universities, for example, now each record annual expenditures in excess of US$1 billion – a figure surpassed only in the United States and indicative of rapidly increased resources commitments since 2009, when only five Chinese universities enjoyed annual expenditures of US$1 billion or more (Zha, 2016, p. 10) (see Table 1). Outside WCUs, higher education in China is vastly different. Many of the country’s non-elite universities are striving for status by competitively jostling for resources and personnel. These universities also strive to both meet managerially imposed internationalization targets and enhance their global image by aggressively recruiting foreign students – at some material expense and often considerable relaxation of admissions and graduation standards. The lesser among these (constituting a majority of China’s higher education institutions) exhibit a substantial drop-off in capacity and performance on typical measurements of university quality such as teaching and research, due largely to limited resources, inadequate facilities, and research or staffing capacities that reflect historical patterns of training and recruitment (Jarvis & Mok, 2019). Lesser pay, modest professional qualifications among academic staff (normally acquired domestically), and less research funding severely constrain publication opportunities as a pathway to career advancement and institutional status, while internal methods for assessment and quality assurance are often lacking (Altbach, 2016). At the same time, regulatory and procedural restrictions limit opportunities for advancement pursued by more creative and entrepreneurial strivers. Given these circumstances, disaffection among scholars and failure to retain talented staff perpetuates a cycle of underperformance, with leadership churn and waves of initiatives seeking but failing to reshape the trajectory of these universities. This dynamic is particularly evident in cases where elite universities in coastal areas recruit talented scholars away from inland and regional universities – furthering the country’s geographic imbalance in university quality. As such, the set of complex problems facing administrators in the vast bulk of non-elite universities includes not only resources and administrative constraints but also the accumulated cultural and psychological effects of being on the less-privileged side of a highly bifurcated system (Postiglione, 2015; Postiglione & Arimoto, 2015). 9 Beyond its influence on non-elite universities themselves, the concentration of resources and efforts among WCUs also comes at the detriment of economic development opportunities in regional communities. All but two C9 universities (exceptions being Xi’an Jiao Tong University and Harbin Institute of Technology) are located in the country’s most populous corridors: the Beijing-Bohai Rim and Shanghai-Yangtze River agglomeration belts. While universities in the DFCP are somewhat more geographically dispersed, there remains a concentration in Beijing and Shanghai, with no presence among the 36 Class A universities in the country’s interior. This exacerbates spatial inequalities in economic development as localities fail to capture the spillover effects of research activities, including spin-off enterprises leveraging research innovations and the presence of talent that can support regional economies. Deleterious effects are felt also in the absence of exchanges and collaborations with international universities, which could expand the perspectives of local staff and introduce foreigners to the higher education environment outside of China’s first-tier cities and regions. Finally, foregone opportunities to improve educational quality in regional areas tend to stunt workforce development and over time can compromise regional economic competitiveness. Taken as a whole, China’s higher education system – top-heavy in global reputation and national influence – arguably cannot be appraised on the performance of so small a share of its elite universities. Relative to other, internationally competitive higher education systems, what characterizes China’s higher education system is its highly 10 unequal nature, where levels of internationalization, quality of staffing and academic labor, and curriculum design and teaching practices in a majority of universities operate at a much lower level of achievement than that of elite universities (Altbach, 2016, 2009; Jarvis & Mok, 2019). Indeed, for outsiders who recurrently spend time visiting elite and non-elite universities in both China and elsewhere, the differences can appear stark. Even in the elite university sector, however, quality, impact and reputational issues persist, suggesting that reform efforts have further progress to make. As publication pressures mount, the country’s higher education system is increasingly plagued with a scholarly reputation for shoddy workmanship, including recent high-profile cases of fraudulent research (e.g., retractions from the Journal of Tumor Biology of 107 papers authored by Chinese academics and the official retraction, in 2016, of 81 percent of Chinese drug approvals due to suspicious and possibly fraudulent pharmacological studies) (Hancock, 2017a; Hancock, 2017b; Retraction Watch, 2020). Even a system as large and well-resourced as China’s cannot fully protect its global image amidst the repeated discrediting of its output. Furthermore, restrictions on academic freedom and high-profile cases of academic firings, some of which are suspected to relate to political sensitivities, does not reflect well on prospects for the longer term development of the sector’s international image (Bothwell, 2018; Qiang, 2015; Rui, 2020; Shepherd, 2019). Given that academia, and in particular the field the social sciences and humanities, are sensitive to issues of free speech and criticism, China’s compromised credibility can undermine efforts to appear open and collaborative – two essential characteristics of WCUs. China’s universities are thus trapped by resource dependency, where any institutionalstrategic deviation from the government’s vision of a university as ‘think tank with socialist core values’ (Peters & Besley, 2018, p. 1075) risks denial of funding or, worse, professional and disciplinary consequences. This resource-performance trap handcuffs elite universities to a prescribed ideology while inducing them to meet expectations regarding internationalization and collaboration – an especially perilous passage for university administrators to navigate. Importantly, these contradictory pressures appear only to be worsening with the reassertion of party ideology since 2013 (Altbach, 2016). As Altbach and de Wit (2018) observe, ‘China’s investment of billions of dollars in the upgrading of its top universities to create “world-class” institutions may be…put at risk [by ideological forces]’ (p. 25), along with China’s internationalization efforts and its attempts to build joint-collaborative ventures with leading international universities (Altbach & de Wit, 2018; Feng, 2017). Recent and on-going political developments seem to support this assertion. 11 Finally, the ‘indigenization’ of global WCU practices, under the most recent re-assertion of party ideology, is revealing limits to reform and innovation efforts even among elite institutions. Relative to their international counterparts, for example, elite Chinese universities continue to have much less institutional autonomy. The autonomy once enjoyed by university presidents, often professors themselves, has been ceded increasingly to government bodies and political authorities. Subject and academic organization, for example, remains at the discretion of the Ministry of Education (MoE). Areas of study must be defined in relation to established disciplines prescribed by central authorities in order to access funding and build legitimacy, reducing the prospects for the inter-disciplinary experimentation crucial for fostering the type of creative and innovative scholarship produced in international universities. Tenure practices are likewise subject to centralized procedures mandating that only departments teaching undergraduate programs are allowed to offer tenured appointments, with applicants vetted not only for their academic abilities but also for their political suitability as viewed by party cadres embedded in each department and in the senior leadership ranks of universities (Altbach, 2016, p. 12; Liu, 2020). Similarly, program and curriculum design are overseen by the MoE, while university-level administration remains, in essence, the preserve of central and regional political authorities and is interlaced with dense administrative and reporting requirements (Rhoads et al., 2014, p. 38). At a broader level, the increasing influence of party ideology on university management – from the veiled and coded instruments of managerialism to more politically manifest monitoring – has the effect of sidelining the MoE as party secretaries and operatives exert control through parallel institutional structures. Conclusion The pursuit of a WCU model, now deeply institutionalized in China, has produced paradoxical outcomes. On the one hand, intensive and targeted resource strategies have benefited the elite university sector, rapidly transforming capacities, research output, international reputation, and impact. On the other hand, ‘home-grown’ WCUs and ‘indigenization’ have fundamentally strengthened the relationship between the party-state and university – facilitating a reassertion of party control over institutions and, in some instances, of corruption in resource allocation, accreditation, and promotion practices, among other issues (Ngok & Guo, 2008). As recently as the mid-2000s, China was trending from explicit control to looser supervision, from a center to peripheral locus of power, and towards increased autonomy for universities through financial decentralization, institution-based decision-making, increased organizational experimentation, and shrinkage of staff numbers at the MoE (Luo, 2013; Mohrman, 2008; Mok, 2003). The recent re-centralization of authority in China’s higher education system, not only through bureaucratic and managerialist reforms but also through the pursuit of ideological 12 conformity, raises concerns about academic autonomy and freedom of inquiry – a phenomenon that will almost certainly compromise the global standing of China’s universities pending the direction and intensity of party ideology in the coming years. These developments also bear implications for institutional and academic creativity and the competitiveness of Chinese higher education at the global scale, as Chinese scholars increasingly position their scholarship in ways that support party ideology to secure professional rewards (Hancock, 2017b; Li, 2012; Qiang, 2015). While WCU status would seem to be more a byproduct than a core objective of research efforts, there is some evidence that higher rankings precipitate material outcomes, whether positive or negative. Yang and Liu (2018) argue that the rise in rankings of China’s universities has compelled the government to pay increasing attention to higher education, with Project 985 and Project 211 as examples; higher prestige also avails universities of a broader pool of external research funding options. Additionally, the pursuit of high rankings has motivated universities to broaden international institutional collaboration, provide some international exchange opportunities for domestic students, and serve as ‘soft’ national branding vehicles through visitations by international students and scholars. If the pursuit of WCU status continues to be the paramount objective of China’s higher education policy, it would be necessary to more robustly examine the associated institutional and governance arrangements – those that are often found to influence competitiveness in many other sectors. At the same time, the ambition for university improvement cannot be advanced while international collaboration and academic freedom are apprehensively thought by government to threaten national sovereignty (Postiglione, 2015). China’s universities thus endure a constraint to further development reminiscent of Liebig’s Law, according to which no level of resource investment can overcome the predominance of a single limiting factor. Vast sums of money have indeed earned China’s universities ‘quick wins,’ as anticipated. Further progress – at the individual university and systemic levels – is now contingent on institutional and cultural factors. The government’s command-and-control approach to higher education institutions, including dominion over university-level strategic initiatives, promotion, tenure, research directions, establishment of new academic programs, and publication and academic content (Gorban et al., 2011), is largely inconsistent with the types of institutional and cultural conditions under which many current global WCUs earned their reputations. In closing, the types of reforms that have propelled China’s nominated WCUs to their current lofty global status (e.g., focused efforts to enhance teaching and research quality, internationalization, and faculty recruitment (Altbach, 2016)) have been largely unavailable to China’s non-elite universities. This perhaps is the single most significant challenge for China’s higher education system: an overt favoritism towards and celebration of only 13 a handful of anointed WCUs, to the relative neglect of the vast array of non-elite universities where most students are trained for vocations and careers. Our goal in this article has been to call for deeper acknowledgment of the convergence of these factors, with the purpose of identifying how China might re-think its ambitions for developing not only a globally competitive cadre of WCUs but also a world-class system of higher education that serves students, communities, and scholarship at all levels. This is where the impact of reform can best enable the higher education sector to advance China’s developmental aspirations in the decades ahead. Notes 1. In 2020, China is expected to have 8.74 million new tertiary graduates (Xinhua, 2019), outpacing the United States twofold (3.96 million; NCES, n.d.). 2. The C9 League is considered the country’s most prestigious group of universities. It includes: Peking University, Tsinghua University, Fudan University, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Nanjing University, University of Science and Technology of China, Zhejiang University, Xi’an Jiao Tong University, and Harbin Institute of Technology. (http://en. people.cn/203691/7822275.html; accessed 9 Aug 2020) 3. The motivations behind this policy change are addressed in (https://www.nature.com/ articles/d41586-020-00574-8 accessed 9 Aug 2020) Acknowledgment We thank Dr. Alex He, Education University of Hong Kong, for helpful insights. Disclosure statement No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors. ORCID Kris Hartley http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5349-0427 Darryl S. L. Jarvis http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4661-9154 14 References Altbach, P. (2009). China and India: A Steep climb to world-class universities. In J. A. Douglass, C. J. King, & I. 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