1648 IEEE WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS LETTERS, VOL. 9, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2020 Long Term Fade Margin for 90% Availability in Fixed Wireless Links With Diversity Reinaldo A. Valenzuela, Fellow, IEEE, Rodolfo Feick , Life Senior Member, IEEE, Patricio Alegre, Mauricio Rodríguez , Senior Member, IEEE, Luciano Ahumada , Senior Member, IEEE, and Dmitry Chizhik , Fellow, IEEE Abstract—Fixed wireless access is becoming a major 5G application. We measured received power for 72 urban fixed wireless links at 5.8 GHz over a period of 48 hours each. We find that 5-minute power averages show temporal variations requiring additional fade margins close to 6 dB at the 90th percentile. The average power temporal variation was found to increase with the excess path loss of the link. We propose a model that accurately characterizes first and second order link statistics. Spatial and frequency diversity measurements allowed us to also assess the effectiveness of the corresponding fade mitigation techniques. From them we conclude that the long-term fades appear to be consistent with time-varying multipath propagation, as opposed to shadowing. Index Terms—Channel models, propagation, fading, diversity. I. I NTRODUCTION IXED wireless links (FWL) are experiencing intense interest for applications such as small cell, relay backhaul, local access, etc. [1], [2]. For such links, temporal fades have been characterized with respect to the average power calculated over time intervals in the order of minutes, typically in a range of 5 to 15 minutes [2]–[5] to exclude the non-stationarities associated with changes in average power. We refer to these fades as “short-term fades”. In urban environments such fades have been reported to be quite shallow, characterized by Ricean K-factors that exceed 13 dB under virtually all conditions [3]. Somewhat lower values for K were observed in a suburban fixed wireless link with foliage F Manuscript received April 18, 2020; revised May 22, 2020; accepted May 28, 2020. Date of publication June 3, 2020; date of current version October 7, 2020. This work was supported in part by the Chilean Research Agency Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo (ANID), through Research under Grant ANID PIA/APOYO AFB180002, Grant ANID BASAL AC3E FB0008, Grant ANID FONDECYT/INICACION 11171159, and Grant ANID REDES 180144, and in part by the Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso under Project VRIEA-PUCV 039.430/2020 and Project VRIEAPUCV 039.437/2020. The associate editor coordinating the review of this article and approving it for publication was V. Raghavan. (Corresponding author: Mauricio Rodríguez.) Reinaldo A. Valenzuela and Dmitry Chizhik are with Bell Laboratories, Nokia, Holmdel, NJ 07974 USA. Rodolfo Feick and Patricio Alegre are with the Electronics Engineering Department, Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María, Valparaíso 1680, Chile. Mauricio Rodríguez is with the Escuela de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Valparaíso 2950, Chile (e-mail: mauricio.rodriguez.g@pucv.cl). Luciano Ahumada is with the Escuela de Informática y Telecomunicaciones, Universidad Diego Portales, Santiago 8370190, Chile. Digital Object Identifier 10.1109/LWC.2020.2999564 obstructions subject to wind-induced fluctuation [4], [6]. In contrast, little is known about the temporal variation of the average powers used as reference for the short-term fades. We refer to these variations as the “long-term fades”. Intuition suggests that such long-term fades will exhibit the effect of cyclic daily patterns such as temperature or human activity, but the significance of this has not been reported for urban environments. Such fades are an important consideration for FWLs because a terminal placement will typically be based on a short-term assessment of link quality. Thus, a position found to be favorable, will only remain so over longer time intervals if the short-term average power remains higher than that of alternative positions. Statistical data on the variation of average power will provide information on whether or not this variation is of significance in planning actual FWLs. It is often assumed that long-term power variations are dealt with through link adaptation techniques, for example by power control and/or by changing modulation and error control. As pointed out in [6], being able to characterize the slow-fading phenomena will be useful to the designer in selecting adequate fade mitigation techniques and appropriate adaptation rates. Equally important is the assessment of the effectiveness of diversity techniques, a topic well understood for short-term fades but not discussed to date for time scales of several days. We present the first measurements of fading in urban FW channels over days, in scenarios with very scarce vegetation and moderate wind. This letter includes single-input singleoutput (SISO) as well as diversity non-line-of-sight (NLOS) FWLs. The network topography corresponds to a base servicing multiple users as described in the ITU document “Fixed service use and future trends” [7]. We propose a statistical fading model for an ensemble of users of such a service. Previous work with similar time scales was focused on the effect of wind on trees [6] and on factory scenarios [8], [9]. In contrast to this letter, the results reported in [6] specifically exclude all effects other than vegetation by using narrow beam antennas with the first Fresnel zone obstructed by treetops. Long-term measurements were also included in an outdoorto-indoor path-loss study at 28 GHz [10]. However, this considered only a single scenario with short-range line-of-sight (LOS) links. The large volume of empirical data we collected allowed us to relate the severity of fades to the excess path loss characterizing the link and to propose a very simple model for the fading dynamics of the Mean Received Signal Strength (MRSS). We also evaluated the performance improvement c 2020 IEEE. Personal use is permitted, but republication/redistribution requires IEEE permission. 2162-2345 See https://www.ieee.org/publications/rights/index.html for more information. Authorized licensed use limited to: Nokia. Downloaded on February 02,2022 at 14:08:28 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply. VALENZUELA et al.: LONG TERM FADE MARGIN FOR 90% AVAILABILITY IN FIXED WIRELESS LINKS WITH DIVERSITY 1649 Fig. 1. Measurement region: a) Viña del Mar and b) Valparaíso. (Source: Google Earth). from spatial and frequency diversity. Interestingly, we find that slow fades can be effectively mitigated with spatial diversity, using antenna separations similar to those required for fast fades, suggesting that fading is caused by multipath propagation in both cases. II. M EASUREMENT S CENARIOS AND S ETUP A. Measured Scenarios We measured received power for narrowband urban fixed wireless links over uninterrupted periods of 48 hours each at a carrier frequency of 5.8 GHz for over 70 links in residential urban environments in Valparaíso and Viña del Mar, Chile. These are shown in Fig. 1(a) and 1(b) respectively. We measured a wide variety of links, with varying degrees of obstruction and with path lengths from 150 m to 2 km. The test area contains nearby hills and flat regions with residential houses and buildings up to 20 stories high. Moderate vehicular traffic occurred during the daytime measurements, with almost no traffic at night. Pedestrian presence was sparse. There are few trees in the area, with heights not exceeding 5 m and no significant wind induced movement. Our links emulate the connection between a base station with a sector antenna and a remote terminal with an omnidirectional antenna located within the sector to be covered. Arbitrarily, we placed the transmitter at the base station. Its location was chosen at an unobstructed position overlooking the receiving terminal positioning area on an 180 m high hill in Viña del Mar, and on a radio mast 15 m above nearby rooftops in Valparaíso. Transmitter output was 30 dBm, fed to a vertically polarized 15 dBi gain antenna with 90◦ -azimuth and 8◦ -elevation beamwidth between half power angles. The remote terminal used 1 or 2 vertically polarized dipoles for frequency diversity or spatial diversity respectively. This terminal was located outdoors below the clutter, attached to an exterior facing wall or window located well within the sector covered by the transmitting antenna. B. Measurement Setup We used two narrowband sounding systems. 1) For spatial diversity measurements we used a twoantenna data acquisition system, where a single receiver was switched between 2 antennas every 10 ms. The receiver samples power at intervals less than 2 ms, which allows eliminating the values affected by antenna switching. For each antenna, a power measurement is obtained every 20 ms averaging 3 samples, which we found only differed by fractions of 1 dB. We note that 20 ms is much shorter than the reported FW coherence times [3]. Fig. 2. Typical MRSS time series with different values of EPL. 2) For frequency diversity measurements, we used a similar arrangement with a two-tone CW transmitter and a corresponding 2-channel receiver. Tone frequency separations of 0.5, 2, 4, 10 and 20 MHz were used. To verify long-term stability of the measurement system, we calibrated often, using back-to-back connections. We observed power variations within +/−1 dB of average over several days. We also measured absolute transmit power output, receiver gains and receiver noise floor to compute path losses. The receiver has a noise figure of 11 dB and allows up to 145 dB path loss with 5 dB minimum SNR. III. E MPIRICAL R ESULTS AND A NALYSIS A. Characterization of Slow Fades and First Order Statistics As mentioned in [8], slow fades may have characteristics that differ significantly from those of short time scales. For the latter we found that amplitude variations with respect to 5-minute averages were well characterized by Rician fade statistics with K-factors that even for the most obstructed links exceed 9 dB in 90% of cases, matching previous results [3]. In what follows, we propose a model for the power averaged over the 5-minute intervals, i.e., the MRSS of the long-term fades. As shown in Fig. 2, greater power variation was observed for links with larger excess path loss (EPL), defined as the dB difference between the full-record average and the free space received power [3]. First-order statistics for the individual voltage magnitude time series did not fit well with any of the classical distributions, i.e., Rice/Rayleigh, Nakagami, etc. and in many cases the probability density functions (PDFs) were bi-modal. Alternatively, we define for each time series Δ90% [dB] as the range containing 90% of the power differences (up-and down-fades) of the MRSS around the mean. Fig. 3 shows a scatter plot of Δ90% [dB] vs. EPL for all tested positions. Also shown are points generated with the simulation model to be presented in Section III-D. A simple linear regression fit given by (1) Δ90% [dB] = 1.3 + 0.29(EPL[dB]) (1) resulted in a small RMS error of 2.3 dB. Higher order models did not improve the fit significantly. Although first-order statistics for individual time-series were often not Rician, our measurements included a sufficiently large number of locations (i.e., individual time-series) to allow Authorized licensed use limited to: Nokia. Downloaded on February 02,2022 at 14:08:28 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply. 1650 Fig. 3. IEEE WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS LETTERS, VOL. 9, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2020 Fig. 4. Autocovariance example and CDF of the decorrelation interval. Fig. 5. Power spectrum magnitude grouped in EPL ranges. Signal variation Δ90% [dB] vs. EPL [dB]. grouping them into different EPL ranges and to estimate ensemble statistics for each range. Such statistics are relevant when considering fade margins to assure a degree of coverage for a group of users rather than a single individual. We chose the ranges 0 to 10 dB, 10 to 20 dB and > 20 dB. This separation assured a comparable amount of empirical data for each range. We find that the resulting ensembles are now well described by Rician distributions. The empirical fade Cumulative Distribution Functions (CDFs) in dB fit those of Rician voltage envelopes to within 0.6 dB. The K-factors for each range were estimated using the two-moment method [4] and were found to be 19 dB for EPL < 10 dB, 13 dB for 10 dB < EPL < 20 dB and 6 dB for EPL > 20 dB. The observed slow-fades are thus characterized by lower K-factors (i.e., deeper fades) than those reported when subtracting the short-term average [3]. B. 2nd Order Statistics: Characterization of Fade Dynamics Fade dynamics were found to be best characterized based on the voltage magnitude time series {v (ti )}i=1,2...N with v (ti ) = P (ti ), where {P (ti )}i=1,2...N are the MRSS samples for each measurement record. 1) Slow-Fade Decorrelation Interval: We define the “slowfade decorrelation interval” for the time series v (ti ) by considering a “slow-fade time-scale” corresponding to the 5minute sampling interval. This decorrelation interval is the time separation where the autocovariance of the process v (ti ) drops to 0.5. We note that this definition excludes the effect of the averaged-out short-term fades. The threshold value 0.5 has been used in the literature before, as have been values of 0.9 and exp(−1) [11]. While this choice affects the numerical values of the slow-fade decorrelation interval, their order of magnitude remains the same. The results indicate that the long-term fades are characterized by time constants in the range of hours. A typical normalized autocovariance is shown in Fig. 4(a). Fig. 4(b) shows the CDF for the decorrelation interval we found in all our measurements. The large MRSS decorrelation interval suggests that its origin is attributable to slow environmental changes in the propagation path (for example ambient temperature), as will be discussed later. 2) Periodograms: Further insight into the fluctuation dynamics and the basis for a simulation model can be obtained from the periodograms for the voltage time series. These have a constant (DC) part and a fluctuating component, the latter corresponding to the temporal variations. In order to combine empirical data from different links we first normalized each series for unit mean voltage to eliminate the effect of different large-scale path losses. The normalized voltage vn (ti ) is N 1 thus calculated through vn (ti ) = v (ti )/ v (ti ), where N i=1 N = 576 is the number of 5-minute segments in each record. We then obtain the modified periodograms of vn (ti ) using a Hanning-windowed FFT to yield N equi-spaced frequency samples [12]. Their average allows estimating the Power Spectral Density (PSD). The choice of windowing was based on the need to minimize spectral masking due to the sidelobes of the strong DC component. Using this windowing function, masking was only observed to affect the first nonzero frequency component (f1 ), which was therefore deleted. The reduced resolution that results from windowing is of no consequence here, since no purely periodic temporal components are expected to occur in these random processes. The periodograms and the PSD estimate are found to be monotonically decreasing, as reported before in [13] for short-term fades. We note that the value of fp is two orders of magnitude lower than the reciprocal of the 5-minute averaging time. Thus, the low-pass characteristic of the observed spectra is not a consequence of this averaging. We grouped periodograms corresponding to different values of EPL into three ranges as before: 0 to 10 dB, 10 to 20 dB and > 20 dB and plotted them in Fig. 5. We observed that the three groups have the same general shape. The results confirm the observation that follows from Fig. 3, in that higher values of EPL correspond to higher variability, as seen by the higher total power of the spectral Authorized licensed use limited to: Nokia. Downloaded on February 02,2022 at 14:08:28 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply. VALENZUELA et al.: LONG TERM FADE MARGIN FOR 90% AVAILABILITY IN FIXED WIRELESS LINKS WITH DIVERSITY TABLE I M ODEL F ITTING PARAMETERS G ROUPED IN EPL R ANGES chosen as independent uniformly distributed random variables over (0, 2π). To obtain |Vi |, we first use (2) to obtain the average PSD and add to it a zero-mean Gaussian random variable with a standard deviation as per Table I. The corresponding power time series is the square of the voltage, scaled to the desired average power P (t): P (t) = P (t)g(t)2 . components with respect to the (0 dB) DC component. As seen in Fig. 5 the strongest components in the power spectrum correspond to frequencies of around 10 µHz, corresponding to a period of about 24 hours. This suggests that daily variations are a possible mechanism driving these fluctuations. This may include traffic density patterns and temperature induced effects as further discussed in Section III-D. C. Slow-Fading Model The average PSD of the fluctuation Va (fi ) is accurately described by a single pole model given by (2) Va (fi )[dB] = 20log10 |Va (fi )| ⎛ ⎞ A ⎠, i = 1, 2 · · · N . (2) = 20log10 ⎝ 2 1 + (fi /fp ) where for our 2-day long time series consisting of N = 576 samples, the frequency spacing fi − fi−1 is 5.79 µHz. We find A, and fp to minimize the weighted RMS error, N i=2 Wi {20log10 |Va (fi )| − 20log10 |SVn (fi )|}2 (3) where {SVn (fi )}i=2,3,...,N . is the (complex) discrete Fourier transform of the Hanning-windowed normalized voltage time-series. The error and model parameters are listed in Table I. Higher order models were also tested but did not reduce the error by more than 0.5 dB. We chose the weighting factors Wi such that they were inversely proportional to the number of data points in the respective octave, starting at 20 µHz. This compensates the unequal number of points per octave. We used a single value for fp and found the value of A that minimizes the sum of RMS errors for the time series in each EPL range. Optimizing fp separately per EPL range resulted in less than 0.5 dB decrease in the error. The modeling error (in dB) matched a zero-mean Gaussian distribution and the correlation of the error between contiguous frequency samples was typically less than 0.4. We also evaluated the statistics of the phases of the frequency components of {SVn (fi )}i=2,3,...,N . which we found to be uniformly distributed over (0, 2π) with a cross-correlation of less than 0.1. Based on the above, we propose that the normalized measured time series be modeled as g(t): N |Vi |sin(2πfi t + φi ), g(t) = 1 + 1651 (4) i=1 where the constant value 1 corresponds to the DC component and the time-varying part is the sum of sinusoids with the amplitudes |Vi | generated by our model. The phases φi are (5) As seen in Fig. 3, the model-based simulation is consistent with our empirical data and results in a regression line that differs by less than 1 dB from that based on measurements. D. Fade Mitigation Through Spatial and Frequency Diversity For spatial diversity we employed the 2-branch CW receiver with 2 omnidirectional antennas separated between 0.2 and 18 wavelengths. For frequency diversity we used the dual frequency receiver with a single dipole antenna and frequency separation in the range of 500 kHz and 30 MHz. 1) Spatial Correlation of Slow Fades: To investigate the origin of the slow-fade process we performed a total of 32 spatial diversity measurements, covering a distance range from 155 m to 2 km. Only 1 pair of the slow-fade time series exhibited a cross-covariance exceeding 0.6, but we found no evidence of higher values occurring at shorter antenna separations. The cross-covariance of the fast fades, i.e., the residual fades after subtracting the 5-minute averages were as expected found to be very low, less than 0.35 in all cases. The lack of dependence on antenna separation of up to 18 wavelengths suggests that time-varying multipath is also the main contributor to long-term fades, since shadowing would exhibit a much larger spatial correlation than we observed. The origin of this slow time-varying multipath in an urban environment may be attributable to displacements of the scattering, diffracting or reflecting surfaces from nearby construction or from elements on the street such as parked cars. In particular highrise buildings in the NLOS propagation paths are affected by temperature-induced deformations in the order of a cm over periods of hours, as has been reported for building heights similar to our environment [14]. Such a displacement is enough to cause a significant phase change at the considered frequency band. During the period in which we carried out our measurements weather conditions remained very stable with a recurring pattern of day/night temperature variation of 10 ◦ C to 15 ◦ C. Traffic patterns, for example the density of streetparked cars, also exhibits a slow and daily recurring variation that will affect multipath components. 2) Spatial Diversity: To assess possible diversity gains we evaluated the fade reduction that would result from being able to choose every 20 ms the stronger of the two channels. Note that this includes fast and slow fades, although as already observed the latter will be dominant. As a reference for comparison we considered the statistics resulting from a single channel receiver using the antenna placement that during the first 5-minute segment had the highest average power. In the absence of any previous long-term measurements, this is a logical choice for an installation. We normalized each link by its average power and then combined the data from all Authorized licensed use limited to: Nokia. Downloaded on February 02,2022 at 14:08:28 UTC from IEEE Xplore. Restrictions apply. 1652 IEEE WIRELESS COMMUNICATIONS LETTERS, VOL. 9, NO. 10, OCTOBER 2020 IV. C ONCLUSION Fig. 6. Selection combiner for EPL > 20 dB. to obtain ensemble fade statistics for the no-diversity case. We then considered two-branch selection diversity. To this effect we normalized the second branch by the same factor of the first. This preserves possible branch imbalance of the average powers for the full time-series. The diversity gain will be the result of several factors. Low cross-covariance implies possible gains, but this may be reduced by imbalance [15]. On the other hand, our results show that a short-term power measurement is not a reliable indicator of long-term advantage of a specific antenna placement and thus spatial diversity can counter a poor initial choice. For our spatial diversity channels, the power difference (in [dB]) between the 2 slow-fade processes exhibited zero-crossings, i.e., a reversal of the channel with the strongest 5-minute average power. In less than 10% of cases the interval between zero crossings exceeded 3 hours, longer times being associated with larger average imbalances. Only 2 series, which had imbalances of 9 dB, exhibited no reversal of the best channel. To evaluate diversity gains, we again combined data from all antenna separations since this had no observable effect on cross-covariance. Fig. 6 shows the CDFs of fades with and without selection diversity. As a reference we also show Rician fading with K = 5.2 dB, which matches the data for EPL > 20 dB considering only the initially strongest branch. We note that this K-factor is only slightly less than that of the corresponding slow processes (6 dB for EPL > 20 dB), confirming that the latter are the dominant source of fades. We also show as reference the output of a selection combiner with 2 balanced and independently fading links with K = 5.2 dB, which as expected exhibits a larger diversity gain. We observe in Fig. 6 that the simple two-branch selection combiner reduced the 90% fade from about 6 dB to around 3 dB, i.e., a 3 dB reduction of fade margin at the 90th percentile. 3) Frequency Diversity: We tested 2 links with path lengths of 195 and 250 m and found that for a frequency separation of around 10 MHz the cross-covariance drops below 0.7. This is consistent with results reported in [16] and references quoted therein for small-size urban cells. A frequency coherence scale of 10 MHz is generally consistent with multipath fading, rather than shadowing, suggesting again that time-varying multipath is the origin of the observed phenomenon. Narrowband fixed wireless links exhibit significant longterm fades in the average power. The severity of the fades is related to the link’s excess path loss. We have proposed a model that accurately captures first order statistics and dynamics of these fades. First order ensemble statistics of the channel magnitude were found to be well-described by a Rician distribution whose K-factor decreased with increasing excess loss. The decorrelation interval of the fluctuations exceeded 30 min for 90% of locations. Spatial and frequency diversity measurements show that the long-term fades can be effectively countered by the same techniques that prove to be effective for the fast fades, suggesting that their origin also is multipath propagation. We observed that simple 2-branch selection diversity with antenna separations exceeding a quarter of a wavelength can reduce the 90% fade margin by 3 dB. R EFERENCES [1] J. G. Andrews, H. Claussen, M. Dohler, S. Rangan, and M. C. Reed, “Femtocells: Past, present, and future,” IEEE J. Sel. Areas Commun., vol. 30, no. 3, pp. 497–508, Apr. 2012. [2] M. W. Wasson, G. G. Messier, and D. P. Smith, “Dense urban channel measurements for utility pole fixed wireless links,” IEEE Trans. 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