Qn 1 and Qn 2 The iteration stops when our error in estimation is very small, close to zero. Until that we kept on iterating. How P and R value taken here ? P – assumed initially, close to the value of R R – Comparing with same days previous week values Monday1 Monday2 161 159 Let’s assume R = 159 – 161 = 2 Let’s assume than P, close to R = 4 Let’s find K = P/(P+R) K = 4/(6)= 2/3 = 0.66 Suppose X = 157 And Z = 161 based on previous week We find, r = 157 + 0.66(161-157) r = 159.64, = 160 The New p = P * (1 - k ) = 4 * (1 – 0.66) = 1.36 Therefore, p = 1.36 1 iteration Monday1 Monday2 161 159 R=3 Z = 159 based on previous week Z= measured value of the parameter P= p = 1 Then K1 = P/(P+R) = 1.36/4.36 = 0.312 X = r = 160 r1 = X + K1*(Z-X) = 160 + 0.312 (159-159.65) = 159.7972 The new p = P * (1- K1) 1 * (1- 0.312) = 0.668 2 iteration R = 0 implies k =1 p = P * (1 - 1) = 0 This means any measurement error close to 0 i.e 1 give rise to error in estimation zero And which implies no error in our estimation and the current steps gives the predicted values. Done for Monday We have given previous week data. Then we find K K = 𝑃/(𝑃+𝑅) With this we find current estimation r r = X + K*(Z-X) X = estimated value which is assumed first time, calculated based on the average of sensor values obtained in the 5 min then we find new p =P*(1-K) where we have P and K calculated Then for Next iteration, K = p./ (p + R), R calculated from previous comparison New r = r + K*(Z-X) This iteration goes on and on until the iteration stops when our error in estimation is very small, close to zero. This is where we have to introduce covariances.