Embankment dam deformations caused by earthquakes J. R. Swaisgood, P.E., C.P.G. Swaisgood Consulting, Conifer, Colorado, U.S.A. ABSTRACT: An extensive review of case histories of embankment dam behavior during earthquake was undertaken after several major embankment dams were severely shaken by the 1990 Philippines earthquake. The objectives of the study, which continues to date, were to determine if there is a “normal” trend of seismic deformation that can be predicted and if there are certain factors that consistently have an effect on the amount of damage and deformation incurred during earthquakes. Nearly 70 case histories have been reviewed, compared and statistically analyzed in this effort. The results of this empirical study have shown that the most important factors that appear to affect dam crest settlement during earthquake include the peak ground acceleration at the site and the earthquake magnitude. A chart has been prepared to summarize the relationship between the amount of measured settlement and the peak ground accelerations experienced in the incidents that were studied. In addition, an empirical equation was formulated and a graph developed as an aid in estimating the amount of deformation to be expected. 1 INTRODUCTION An evaluation of case histories of embankment dam behaviour has been in progress since 1990 with two objectives in mind: ° Providing a tool for immediate assessment of a structure that has undergone seismic loading and ° Creating a method for estimating how much an embankment dam will deform based on actual dam behaviour during past earthquakes. The findings from these ongoing empirical studies were last presented four years ago. Since that time, the research has continued, increasing the data base by nearly 30 percent. This paper presents the results of the extended examination and analyses of the entire data base. 2 CASE HISTORY DATA BASE 2.1 Previous work During the 1990 Philippines earthquake, a review of incidents of seismically-induced deformation of embankment dams was initiated to aid in evaluating the damages exhibited by several major dams during that event (Swaisgood and Au-Yeung, 1991). These studies continued on with the results last presented in 1998 (Swaisgood, 1998). At that time , the screening efforts had produced 54 incidents that had been described with sufficient quantified data for meaningful comparative studies and statistical analyses 2.2 Updated version Continuing research has yielded an additional 15 case histories, making a total data base of 69 incidents. Pertinent details of all 69 of these incidents are presented in Table 1. The new additions include nine located in California – Case Nos. 10, 25, 26, 36 to 40 (Tepel, et. al. 1996) and 19 Paper Number 014 (ICOLD 2001); four in Chile – Nos. 28, 66,67, and 68 (Pinos 2000); one in the Philippines – No. 46 (ICOLD 2001); and one in Peru (So. Peru Copper Corp. 2001). The entire data base is plotted in Figure 1 where the crest settlement is shown in relation to the peak ground acceleration at the site. Table 1. Earthquake induced settlement of embankment dams GENERAL ID No INFORMATION CREST DAM DH CL AT NAME OF DAM UPPER MURAYAMA LOCATION TYPE m m m Japan E-HF 24 320 3 ONO CHATSWORTH NO.2 Japan E 41 309 3 California HF 12 610 4 MALPASSO Peru ECRD 78 152 5 COGOTI Chile CFRD 85 159 6 SOUTH HAIWEE California HF 25 7 HEBGEN Montana E 8 MIBORO Japan ECRD 9 MINASE Japan CFRD 10 California E 11 UVAS U. SAN FERNANDO California HF 12 OROVILLE California ECRD 13 LA VILLITA Mexico ECRD 14 EL INFIERNILLO Mexico 15 EL INFIERNILLO Mexico 16 TSENGWEN 17 1 EARTHQUAKE DATE DATA M D,km SETTLEMENT PGA, g. m * % ** RELATIVE DEGREE OF DAMAGE 1 Sep 23 8.2 18 0.32 e 0.20 0.74 11 1 Sep 23 8.2 98 0.30 e 0.27 0.53 Serious ?*** 30 Aug 30 5.3 1 0.40 e 0.08 0.63 Moderate 30 10 Oct 38 VI+ n/a 0.10 e 0.08 0.07 Minor 0 6 Apr 43 7.9 89 0.20 e 0.38 0.44 Minor 457 38 21 Jul 52 7.7 151 0.05 e 0.02 0.04 Minor 25 213 10 17 Aug 59 7.6 0 0.71 e 1.69 4.82 Serious 130 444 0 19 Aug 61 7.0 20 0.15 e 0.03 0.02 Minor 67 210 ? 16 Jun 64 7.5 145 0.08 e 0.06 0.09 Minor 32 335 ? 18 Dec 67 5.3 11 0.20 e 0.02 0.06 Minor 25 390 18 9 Feb 71 6.6 2 0.55 e 0.91 2.11 Serious 235 1707 0 1 Aug 75 5.9 7 0.10 r 0.01 0.004 None 60 427 75 15 Nov 75 7.2 20 0.04 r 0.02 0.02 None ECRD 146 340 0 15 Nov 75 7.2 23 0.09 r 0.02 0.02 None ECRD 146 340 0 11 Oct 75 5.9 79 0.08 r 0.04 0.03 None Taiwan ECRD 131 n/a ? 14 Apr 76 5.3 8 0.16 e 0.04 0.03 n/a EL INFIERNILLO Mexico ECRD 146 340 0 14 Mar 79 7.6 95 0.12 r 0.13 0.09 Minor 18 LA VILLITA Mexico ECRD 60 427 75 14 Mar 79 7.6 108 0.02 r 0.05 0.03 Minor 19 VERMILION California E 50 1290 50 27 May 80 6.3 22 0.24 r 0.05 0.05 None 20 LA VILLITA Mexico ECRD 60 427 75 25 Oct 81 7.3 31 0.09 r 0.14 0.11 None 21 EL INFIERNILLO Mexico ECRD 146 340 0 25 Oct 81 7.3 55 0.05 e 0.06 0.04 None 22 NAMIOKA Japan ECRD 52 265 0 26 May 83 7.7 145 0.08 r 0.06 0.11 None 23 COYOTE LEROY ANDERSON ELMER J. CHESBRO California E 43 299 0 24 Apr 84 6.2 0 0.63 e 0.08 0.18 Minor California ECRD 72 427 0 24 Apr 84 6.2 2 0.41 r 0.02 0.02 Minor California E 29 220 0 24 Apr 84 6.2 22 0.18 e 0.02 0.05 Minor 26 UVAS California E 32 335 ? 24 Apr 84 6.2 29 0.14 e 0.02 0.08 Minor 27 MAKIO Japan ECRD 77 264 29 14 Sep 84 6.8 5 0.57 e 0.50 0.47 Minor 28 AROMOS Chile ECRD 43 220 9 3 Mar 85 7.8 45 0.25 e 0.09 0.177 Minor 29 EL INFIERNILLO Mexico ECRD 146 340 0 19 Sep 85 8.1 76 0.13 r 0.11 0.08 Minor 30 LA VILLITA Mexico ECRD 60 427 75 19 Sep 85 8.1 43 0.13 r 0.33 0.24 Minor 31 LA VILLITA ECRD 60 427 75 21 Sep 85 7.5 61 0.04 r 0.12 0.09 None 32 MATAHINA Mexico New Zealand ECRD 86 400 ? 2 Mar 87 6.3 9 0.33 r 0.12 0.14 Moderate 33 NAGARA Japan ECRD 52 n/a ? 17 Dec 87 6.9 29 0.27 r 0.02 0.04 n/a 2 24 25 Moderate 34 AUSTRIAN California E 56 213 0 17 Oct 89 7.1 2 0.57 e 0.85 1.51 Serious 35 LEXINGTON California E 63 253 0 17 Oct 89 7.1 3 0.45 r 0.26 0.41 Minor 36 UVAS California E 32 335 ? 17 Oct 89 7.1 10 0.40 e 0.02 0.06 None 37 STEVENS CREEK California E 37 305 ? 17 Oct 89 7.1 16 0.30 e 0.02 0.04 None 38 ALMADEN California E 32 140 ? 17 Oct 89 7.1 9 0.44 e 0.03 0.10 Minor 39 CALERO California E 30 256 ? 17 Oct 89 7.1 13 0.38 e 0.01 0.03 None 40 RINCONDA California E 12 73 ? 17 Oct 89 7.1 9 0.41 e 0.02 0.15 Minor 41 California E 43 204 0 17 Oct 89 7.1 10 0.42 e 0.20 0.45 Minor 42 GUADALUPE ELMER J. CHESBRO California E 29 220 0 17 Oct 89 7.1 13 0.42 e 0.11 0.39 Moderate 43 VASONA California E 10 149 8 17 Oct 89 7.1 9 0.37 e 0.05 0.27 Minor 2 GENERAL ID INFORMATION CREST DAM DH CL AT LOCATION TYPE m m m 44 LEROY ANDERSON California ECRD 72 427 0 17 Oct 45 SAN JUSTO California ECRD 40 340 14 17 Oct 46 AMBUKLAO Philippines ECRF 120 450 5 16 47 MASIWAY Philippines E 25 427 3 16 48 PANTABANGAN Philippines ECRD 114 732 0 49 AYA Philippines ECRD 102 427 50 DIAYO Philippines ECRD 60 201 51 CANILI Philippines ECRD 70 52 MAGAT Philippines ECRD 53 California 54 COGSWELL ROBERT MATTHEWS 55 WIDE CANYON 56 57 No NAME OF DAM E A R THQUAKE DATA SETTLEMENT m % ** D,km 89 7.1 21 0.26 r 0.04 0.06 Minor 89 7.1 27 0.26 r 0.04 0.07 None Jul 90 7.7 10 0.49 e 1.10 0.880 Serious Jul 90 7.7 3 0.68 e 1.06 3.79 Serious 16 Jul 90 7.7 6 0.58 e 0.28 0.24 Moderate 0 16 Jul 90 7.7 6 0.58 e 0.20 0.20 Minor 0 16 Jul 90 7.7 18 0.38 e 0.07 0.11 Minor 351 0 16 Jul 90 7.7 18 0.38 e 0.04 0.06 Minor 100 1296 0 16 Jul 90 7.7 81 0.05 e 0.01 0.006 None CFRD 81 200 0 28 Jun 91 5.8 7 0.37 e 0.04 0.051 Minor California E 46 192 0 25 Apr 92 6.9 64 0.07 e 0.00 0.007 None California E 26 678 ? 28 Jun 92 7.5 30 0.20 e 0.01 0.048 Minor YUCAIPA No. 1 California E 13 128 9 28 Jun 92 6.6 28 0.15 e 0.01 0.028 Minor California E 15 146 9 28 Jun 92 6.6 28 0.15 e 0.00 0.019 Minor Arizona E 13 247 1 29 Apr 93 5.5 77 0.02 e 0.00 0.004 None California HF 25 390 18 17 Jan 94 6.7 10 0.42 e 0.44 1.021 Serious 60 YUCAIPA No. 2 UPPER LAKE MARY U. SAN FERNANDO L. SAN FERNANDO California E-HF 38 537 6 17 Jan 94 6.7 9 0.44 e 0.20 0.460 Serious 61 LOS ANGELES California E 47 671 0 17 Jan 94 6.7 10 0.43 r 0.09 0.188 Moderate 62 California E 36 427 0 17 Jan 94 6.7 10 0.43 e 0.03 0.089 Moderate 63 NORTH DIKE [LA] LOWER FRANKLIN California HF 31 152 ? 17 Jan 94 6.7 18 0.30 e 0.05 0.146 Moderate 64 SANTA FELICIA California E 65 389 0 17 Jan 94 6.7 33 0.18 e 0.02 0.030 Minor 65 COGSWELL California CFRD 81 200 0 17 Jan 94 6.7 53 0.10 e 0.02 0.026 Minor 66 PALOMA Chile ECRD 82 1000 14 14 Oct 97 7.6 45 0.23 e 0.14 0.141 Minor 67 COGOTI Chile CFRD 83 160 0 14 Oct 97 7.6 45 0.23 e 0.25 0.302 Moderate 68 SANTA JUANA Chile CFRD 113 390 19 14 Oct 97 7.6 260 0.03 r 0.02 0.015 None 69 TORATA Peru CFRD 120 600 0 23 Jun 01 8.3 100 0.15 e 0.05 0.042 Minor 59 PGA, g. * M 58 DATE RELATIVE DEGREE OF L E G E N D DH = dam height M = earthquake magnitude, surface-wave scale: M S D = distance from nearest ground rupture or epicenter, whichever is closest PGA = peak horizontal ground acceleration; e = estimated, r = recorded HF = E= Hydraulic Fill Earthfill ECRD = Earth Core Rockfill Dam CFRD = Concrete Faced Rockfill Dam NOTES: * - Settlement shown is the single maximum reported or is an average from upstream, downs tream and centerline readings ** - Determined as a percentage of combined dam height and alluvium thickness *** - If alluvium thickness unknown (?), it is considered to be 0 for % settlement calculations 3 DAMAGE % STTLMT = ---------------- x 100 DH + AT DH AT SERIOUS 10 0.1 0.01 NONE CFRD ECRD HF Earthfill RELATIVE DEGREE OF DAMAGE MINOR MODERATE CRESTSETTLEMENT,in%(DH+AT) 1 0.001 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 PEAKGROUND ACCELERATION,g Figure1. Settlement of embankment dams during earthquake 3 ANALYSIS OF DATA 3.1 General Similar to the previous studies, crest settlement was selected as the parameter to represent earthquake related deformation because it was the most often mentioned quantified measurement of damage presented in the case histories. It also appears to be directly related to the severity of deformation and cracking, i.e., as the percent of crest settlement increases, the extent of deformation and cracking that occurs also increases. The ranges of the relative levels of damage are summarized in Figure 1. The data base of case histories was analyzed using statistical regression techniques for the purpose of identifying those factors that have a major influence on the deformation and damage of embankment dams during earthquakes. These statistical studies were performed using the percent of crest settlement as the dependent variable and the other factors to be evaluated as the independent variables. 4 From these regression analyses, it was found that the only factors that had major, statistically significant effects on the amount of crest settlement included peak ground acceleration and earthquake magnitude. 3.2 Peak horizontal ground acceleration The peak horizontal ground acceleration (PGA) experienced by an embankment dam has a major, direct influence on the amount of crest settlement. This relationship is apparent in the plot shown in Figure 1. In general, dams that experience greater PGAs undergo greater deformations and damages. In this study, it was found that serious levels of damage were reported only in instances where the PGA exceeded 0.2g. This finding supports one of the findings of an earlier investigation in which it was concluded that “there is ample evidence that well-built dams can withstand moderate shaking with peak accelerations up to at le ast 0.2g with no harmful effects” (Seed, Makdisi, and DeAlba, 1978). 3.3 Magnitude The amount of crest settlement is also directly related to the magnitude (M) of the earthquake. As the magnitudes increase, settlements increase. This relationship held true even at sites where the PGAs were identical because of the longer duration of strong motion shaking associated with the greater magnitude event. 3.4 Other factors considered Several other independent variables were analyzed statistically and were found to have only minimal relational effects on the amount of crest settlement. These factors included dam type, distance from seismic source to dam site, dam height, ratio of crest length to dam height, embankment slope angles, and reservoir water level at the time of the earthquake. 4 RESULTS OF REGRESSION ANALYSES The regression analyses also provided a mathematical relationship between the crest settlement and the two factors, PGA and M. This relationship can be expressed as: % Settlement = e (6.07 PGA + 0.57 M -8.00) (1) where % Settlement = the amount of settlement of the crest of the dam (in meters) divided by the height of the dam plus the thickness of the alluvium (in meters) times 100 (see. Fig 1); PGA = peak horizontal ground acceleration of the foundation rock (in g) recorded or estimated at the dam site; and M = earthquake magnitude (in surface-wave scale: MS). This relationship is illustrated in Figure 2. 5 10 % STTLMT = e (6.07 PGA + 0.57 Ms + 8.0) (6.07 PGA + 0.57 Ms + 8.0) ESTIMATED CREST SETTLEMENT, in %(DH + AT) % STTLMT = e 9 1 8 7 0.1 6 5 0.01 Earthquake Magnitude - M s 0.001 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 PEAK GROUND ACCELERATION (PGA), in g Figure 2. Chart for estimating crest settlement 5 OTHER OBSERVATIONS 5.1 Calculated vs. actual crest settlements Using the regression equation, crest settlements were calculated for each of the 69 case histories included in the data base. Calculated settlement values are compared to the actual values in Figure 3. It is noteworthy that the statistical fit of actual to calculated values was found to be similar to that for acceleration attenuation data from recent well-instrumented earthquakes including the Loma Prieta earthquake (Governor’s Board of Inquiry 1990) the Landers earthquake (Boore et al. 1993), and the Northridge earthquake (Finn et al. 1995). These statistical similarities suggest that prediction of crest settlements cannot be improved unless the prediction of site-specific ground accelerations can be improved. Also, this observation supports the prudent use of the mean-plusone-standard-deviation value of the PGA for estimating crest settlements of critical, high-hazard structures. 10 Actual Settlement, % (DH + AT) 1 Actual settlement is MORE than calculated 0.1 Actual settlement is LESS than calculated 0.01 0.001 0.001 0.01 0.1 1 Calculated Settlement, % (DH + AT) Figure 3. Actual vs. calculated settlements 6 10 5.2 Suitability of Newmark method for settlement calculations Currently, it is common practice to use one of several analytical procedures based on the Newmark method of analysis (Newmark 1965) to calculate theoretical crest settlements of embankment dams subjected to earthquake loadings. This method is founded on the basic assumption that a rigid block of soil slides downward along a definite shear surface whenever a critical “yield” horizontal acceleration is exceeded. There has been some concern expressed by others that the Newmark method may not correctly model crest settlement caused by earthquake. Day (Day 2002) demonstrated that it is theoretically possible for dry granular slopes to settle and spread laterally without earthquake accelerations exceeding yield values to initiate slides. He says that the Newmark method may prove to be unreliable in some instances. Matsumoto (Matsumoto 2002) described centrifuge shake table tests and supporting nonlinear analyses for modelled accelerations up to 0.7g that revealed only shallow ravelling with no deep shear surfaces in the core zones and no definite slip surfaces anywhere in rock fill dam models. Accordingly, he says that the hypothesis of deep slide surfaces in the Newmark approach “may be somewhat erroneous”. Evidence from this case history study also refutes the settlement mechanism assumed in the Newmark procedure. Personal inspection (Swaisgood & Au-Yeung 1991) and review of many photos of earthquake damages to dams disclosed that crest settlements and deformation (for structures not subject to liquefaction) seem to be from slumping and spreading movements that occur within the dam body without distinct signs of shearing displacement. This appears to be true for earth fill embankments as well as for rock fill dams. Longitudinal cracks along the crests have the appearance of tension cracks with little or no vertical offset. An example of these crest cracks is shown in Figure 4. Figure 4. Tension cracks on Cogoti Dam crest after 1997 earthquake (Case No. 67) 6 CONCLUSIONS Conclusions from this empirical study of embankment dam settlement and deformation during earthquake include: ° The vertical crest settlement experienced during an earthquake is an index of the amount of deformation and damage incurred by the embankment ° The amount of crest settlement is related primarily to two factors: peak ground acceleration at the dam site and magnitude of the causative earthquake. ° An approximate estimate of the amount of crest settlement that will occur due to an assumed earthquake can be made by using mathematical formulas that relate deformation to the peak ground acceleration and earthquake magnitude. ° Deformation of a dam’s crest caused by earthquake is principally settlement and spreading; apparently, there is no slide failure along a distinct shear plane. 7 REFERENCES: Boore, D.M., Joyner, W.B., and Fumal, T.E. 1993. 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