NEDUET DEMAND & SUPPLY Instructor: Kamal Hayder 1 Basic Concepts 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Demand? Quantity Demand? (by other factors) Change in Quantity Demand? (by own price) Movement along the Curve Movement across the Curve Change in Demand ? Supply? Quantity Supply? Change in Quantity Supply? Change in Supply? 2 Demand? Demand is an economic principle referring to a consumer's desire to purchase goods and services and willingness to pay a price for a specific good or service. For example: you desire to have a bike, but you don’t have enough money to buy it. The desire become demand only when you are ready to spend money to buy bike. 3 Demand by Economists? Demand refers to the quantities of commodity that the consumers are able to buy at each possible price during a given period of time, other things being equal . (By: Ferguson) Demand is the ability and willingness to buy specific quantity of a good at alternative prices in a given time period, ceteris paribus. (by: B.R.Schiller) 4 Features of Demand Desire and demand: demand is the amount of commodity for which consumer has willingness and ability to buy. Demand and price: demand is always at a price. Unless price is stated, the commodity has no meaning. The consumer must know both the price and the commodity. Utility: demand depend upon utility of the commodity. A consumer is rational and demands only those commodities which provide utility. 5 Purpose of Demand Study a) Demand Forecasting: Forecasting of demand is the art of predicting demand for a product or a service at some future date on the basis of certain present and past behavior pattern of some related events. b) Production planning: demand analysis is prerequisite for the production planning of a business firm. c) Sales forecasting: sales forecasting is based on the demand analysis. 6 Purpose of Demand Study d) Control of Business: It is essential for controlling the business, to have a well conceived budgeting of costs and profits that is based on the estimation of yearly demand/sales and prices. Furthermore purposes may be: i: inventory control ii: Growth and long term investment decisions iii: economic planning and policy making for planners or engineers 7 Factors affecting Demand Price of related goods: Demand for a commodity is also influenced by change in price of related goods. For example: substitute goods, complementary goods. Size of population: demand rises with the rise in population and vice versa. Price of the commodity: The law of states that other things remain constant the demand of the commodity is inversely related to its price. It implies that the when price of commodity increases the fall of demand of commodity and vice versa. 8 Factors affecting Demand Expectations: if the consumer expect that price in future will increase, he/she will purchase more quantity in present, at existing price. Likewise, if he/she hopes that price in future will decline, he/she will purchase less quantity in present, or may even postpone his/her demand. Consumer’s Income: the ability to purchase a commodity depends upon the consumer’s income. When the income increases so the consumer would purchase more and when vice versa. 9 Factors affecting Demand Taste & Preference: it includes fashion, customs etc, it can be influenced through advertisements change in fashion new inventions etc. other things being equal, demand for those goods rises for which consumer develop tastes and preferences. Furthermore, if he/she has no taste or preference for a product, its demand would fall. Income distribution: If income is equally distributed there will be more demand and vice versa. Moreover, in the situation of unequal distribution most will not have enough money to buy things. 10 Law of Demand An economic law stating that as the price of a good or service increases, the quantity demanded decreases but other factors remain constant (ceteris paribus). In other words, there is an inverse relationship between quantity demanded of a commodity and its price. The word ceteris paribus implies that consumer’s income, taste & preferences, price of related goods remains constant. 11 Law of Demand: Assumptions 1. 2. 3. 4. There is no change in the consumer’s income Don’t change price of related goods. Taste & preferences of consumers remain constant In near future, consumers don’t expect any change in the price of commodity 12 Increase in Demand 13 Decrease in Demand 14 15 Example Price (per gallon) Quantity Demanded (millions of gallons) $1.00 800 $1.20 700 $1.40 600 $1.60 550 $1.80 500 $2.00 460 $2.20 420 16 Supply? Supply is a fundamental economic concept that describes the total amount of a specific good or service that is available to consumers. For example, a company A will make more software systems if the price of those systems increases. The opposite is true if the price of systems decreases. 17 Supply by Economists? Supply refers to the amounts of a goods that producers in a given market desire to sell, during a given time period at various prices, ceteris paribus. (By: Samuelson) The Supply of goods is the quantity offered for sale in a given market at a given time at various prices. (By: Thomas) 18 Aspects of Supply Supply is desired quantity. Supply is always showed with reference to price. Time duration which it is offered for sale. 19 Factors affecting Supply Price of commodity: there is a direct relationship between price of commodity and its quantity supplied when price increases supply also increases because its motivate the firm to supply more in order to get more profit and vice versa. Price of related goods: producers always have the tendency of shifting from the production of one commodity to another commodity. If the prices of another commodity increases specially substitute goods producers will find it more profitable to produce that commodity by reducing the production of the exiting commodity. 20 Factors affecting Supply E.g: let suppose the seller of tea notice that the price of coffee increases. They may reduce the amount of resources devoted to the selling of tea in favour of coffee. Number of firms: Market supply of a commodity depends upon number of firms in the market. Increase in the number of firms implies increase in the market supply, and decrease in the number of firms implies decrease in the market supply of a commodity. 21 Factors affecting Supply Goal of the firm: If goal of the firm is to maximize profits, more quantity of the commodity will be offered at a higher price. Furthermore, if goal of the firm is to maximize sale more will be supplied even at the same price. Price of factor of Production: Supply of a commodity is also affected by the price of factors used for the production of commodity. If the factor price decreases, cost of production also reduces. Accordingly, more of the commodity is supplied at its existing price. Conversely, if the factor price increases cost of production also increases. In such situation less of the commodity is supplied at its existing price. 22 Factors affecting Supply Change in technology: It also affects supply of commodity. Improvement in the technique of production reduce the cost of production. consequently, more of the commodity is supplied at its existing price. e.g….PC -------laptop-----mobile Expected future price: if the producer expects price of the commodity to rise in the near future, current supply of the commodity will reduce. On the other hand, if fall in the price is expected, current supply will increase. 23 Factors affecting Supply Government policy: The government policies also affect the market supply of the commodity (e.g: taxation and subsidy). Increase in taxation tends to reduce supply. Furthermore, subsidies tend to increase supply of the commodity. 24 Law of Supply An economic law stating that as the price of a good or service increases, the quantity supplied increases but other factors remain constant (ceteris paribus) and vice versa. There is a direct relationship between price and supply . 25 Law of Supply: Assumptions 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. There is no change in the technique of production. There is no change in the goal of firm. There is no change in the prices of related goods. There is no change in the prices of the factors of production. Producers don’t expect change in the price of the commodity in the near future. 26 Increase in Supply 27 Decrease in Supply 28 Example Price (per gallon) Quantity Supplied (millions of gallons) $1.00 500 $1.20 550 $1.40 600 $1.60 640 $1.80 680 $2.00 700 $2.20 720 29 EQUILIBRIUM OF DEMAND & SUPPLY Where the quantity demanded and quantity supplied are equal. Qd = Qs 30 Effect of shift in Supply or Demand on Equilibrium 1. Surplus A Surplus in the Market for Coffee" shows the same demand and supply curves we have just examined, but this time the initial price is $8 per pound of coffee. At a price of $8, we read over to the demand curve to determine the quantity of coffee consumers will be willing to buy—15 million pounds per month. The supply curve tells us what sellers will offer for sale—35 million pounds per month. The difference, 20 million pounds of coffee per month, is called a surplus. More generally, a surplus is the amount by which the quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded at the current price. 31 Effect of shift in Supply or Demand on Equilibrium 2. Shortages A shortage is the amount by which the quantity demanded exceeds the quantity supplied at the current price. "A Shortage in the Market for Coffee" shows a shortage in the market for coffee. Suppose the price is $4 per pound. At that price, 15 million pounds of coffee would be supplied per month, and 35 million pounds would be demanded per month. When more coffee is demanded than supplied, there is a shortage. 32 Equilibrium by Algebra? We can also identify the equilibrium with a little algebra if we have equations for the supply and demand curves. Let’s practice solving a few equations. Suppose that the demand for X is given by the following equation: Qd=16–2P where Qd is the amount of X that consumers want to buy (i.e., quantity demanded), and P is the price of X. Suppose the supply of X is Qs=2+5P 33 where Qs is the amount of X that producers will supply (i.e., quantity supplied). (Remember, these are simple equations for lines). Finally, recall that the X market converges to the point where supply equals demand, or Qd=Qs We now have a system of three equations and three unknowns (Qd, Qs, and P), which we can solve with algebra. Since Qd=Qs we can set the demand and supply equations equal to each other: Qd=Qs 16−2P=2+5P 34 16−2P=2+5P 16-2=5P+2P 14=7P 2=P or P = 2 units The equilibrium price of X, that is, the price where Qs = Qd will be $2. Now we want to determine the quantity amount of X. 35 We can do this by plugging the equilibrium price into either the equation showing the demand for X or the equation showing the supply of X. Let’s use demand. Remember, the formula for quantity demanded is the following: Qd=16−2P Taking the price of $2, and plugging it into the demand equation, we get Qd=16–2(2) Qd=16–4 Qd=12 36 So, if the price is $2 each, consumers will purchase 12. How much will producers supply, or what is the quantity supplied? Taking the price of $2, and plugging it into the equation for quantity supplied, we get the following: Qs=2+5P Qs=2+5(2) Qs=2+10 Qs=12 Now, if the price is $2 each, producers will supply 12 Xs. This means that we did our math correctly, since Qd=Qs and both Qd and Qs are equal to 12. That confirms that we’ve found the equilibrium quantity. 37 38