Activity 4.1.1 Data Exploration Introduction The understanding and manipulation of data allows decision making to be based on outcomes and even predictions. Statistical calculations can be theory-based. Calculations can also be established through manipulation of data collection or experimentation. To better understand the advantages and limitations of both processes of probability, statisticians must have understanding and experience working with both theory and experimental data. Equipment Coin Dice or digital dice Calculator Procedure 1. What is the probability that the illustrated board game spinner will land on blue? a. Define the Experiment b. Define the Sample Space c. Define the Event d. Solve for Probability 2. What is the probability of a flipped coin landing on heads? 3. What is the probability of a flipped coin landing on heads 4 times out of 6 trials? 4. Calculate the probability of a flipped coin landing on heads through experimentation. a. Toss a fair coin 10 times and record your data below. © 2012 Project Lead The Way, Inc. Principles of Engineering Activity 4.1.1 Data Exploration – Page 1 Toss 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total Heads Tails b. Calculate the relative frequency of the coin landing on heads after 10 trials. c. Toss a fair coin 50 times and record your data below. Toss 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 Heads Tails © 2012 Project Lead The Way, Inc. Principles of Engineering Activity 4.1.1 Data Exploration – Page 2 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 Total d. Calculate the relative frequency of the coin landing on heads after 50 trials. e. Collect the relative frequency data from your entire class and determine the relative frequency of the coin landing on heads. f. Describe the relationship between the relative frequency of the coin landing on heads and the probability of a single coin landing on heads. Does sample size affect this relationship? 5. Create a histogram representing the summation possibilities of rolling two dice simultaneously (Note: rolling a 2 and a 3 is not the same as rolling a 3 and a 2). © 2012 Project Lead The Way, Inc. Principles of Engineering Activity 4.1.1 Data Exploration – Page 3 Sum Event Frequency 6. What is the probability of rolling a 7? 7. What is the probability of rolling a 12? 8. What is the probability of not rolling a 9? 9. Trial Simultaneously roll two dice 50 times and record your data below. 1 2 3 Die #1 4 5 6 1 2 3 Die #2 4 5 6 Total © 2012 Project Lead The Way, Inc. Principles of Engineering Activity 4.1.1 Data Exploration – Page 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 © 2012 Project Lead The Way, Inc. Principles of Engineering Activity 4.1.1 Data Exploration – Page 5 48 49 50 Total a. What is the relative frequency of rolling a summation of 7? b. What is the relative frequency of rolling a summation of 12? c. What is the relative frequency of rolling a 6 on a single die? d. What is the relative frequency of rolling a summation of 6? e. Were your dice loaded? Justify your answer. Conclusion 10. One coin is flipped four times. What is the probability of flipping two heads and two tails? 11. A set of two die are rolled twice. What is the probability of rolling “snake eyes” on both rolls? 12. A sunglasses manufacturer receives frames from three manufacturing companies. What is the probability that a defective frame was manufactured by company three? Factory 1 2 3 Percent of Production 62% 30% 8% Probability of Defect .020 .013 .027 © 2012 Project Lead The Way, Inc. Principles of Engineering Activity 4.1.1 Data Exploration – Page 6