Basics of Demand, Supply, & Market Equilibrium Demand, Supply & Market Equilibrium For Good “x” Demand, Supply and Market Equlibrium • Demand shows how much consumers are able and willing to purchase at different prices • Supply shows how much firms are able and willing to sell at different prices • In a free market, the prices of goods, services, financial assets, etc. are determine by forces of demand and supply • Basic understanding of demand are essential to make informed predictions about price changes Law of Demand The law of demand states that a decrease in the price of a good, all other things constant, will cause an increase in the quantity demanded for that good. Or , an increase in the price of a good, all other things constant, will cause a decrease in the quantity demanded of the good. Key Assumption: Other things held constant (income, price of other products, advertising, taste and preferences, etc. are assumed constant) πΈπ = πΈπ (π·π , πΌ, ππ¦ , π … ) A Graphic Representation of the Law of Demand An increase in price other things constant, causes a decrease in quantity demanded (law of demand). Price P1 P0 Q1 Q0 Quantity Change in Qty. Demanded vs. Change in Demand Change in quantity demanded refers to a movement along the demand curve. It is caused by changes in the price of the product when other things are held constant. Change in demand refers to a shift in the demand curve. It is caused when factors other than price change. Increase in Demand Increase in demand refers to a rightward shift in the demand curve. Price The quantity demanded increases at a given price (caused by changes in factors other than the price itself – income, price of other products, advertising, etc. P0 Q0 Q1 Quantity Factors that Cause Increase in Demand Price P0 Possible causes of an increase in demand, include: • Increases in income, for normal goods • Decreases in income, for inferior goods • Increases in the price of substitutes • Decreases in the price of complements • Increases in taste and preferences • Expectations of future price increase •Increases in the # of consumers Q0 Q1 Quantity Decrease in Demand Price Decrease in demand refers to a leftward shift in the market demand curve. P0 Q0 Q1 Quantity Factors that Cause Decrease in Demand Price P0 Possible causes of an increase in demand, include: •Decreases in income, for normal goods •Increases in income, for inferior goods •Increases in the price of complements •Decreases in the price of substitutes •Decreases in taste and preferences • Expectations future price decrease •Decrease in the # of consumers Q0 Q1 Quantity of good x Higher Income and Normal Goods Price When income increases, the demand for normal goods also increase Definition of normal goods: A good for which demand increases when income increases and decreases when income decreases (other things constant). P0 Does your company produce any normal good? What? Q0 Q1 Quantity of x (normal good) Higher Income and Inferior Goods Price When income increases, the demand for inferior goods decreases (shift to the left) Definition of inferior good: A good for which demand decreases when income increases and demand increases when income decreases. For example, bus rides. P0 Does your company produce any inferior good? What? Q1 Q0 Quantity of x (inferior good) Higher Price of Substitute Goods Goods “x” and “y” are substitutes: The increase price of good “y” causes an increase in demand for good “x”. Price Definition of substitutes: Two goods are substitute if an increase in the price of one good causes an increase in the demand for the other good and vice versa. Example, Pepsi and Coke. If the price of Pepsi increases, people by more Coke. P0 Q0 Q1 Quantity of “x” Higher Price of Complement Goods Good “x” and “y” are complements, if an increase in price of good “y” causes an decrease in demand for good “x”. Price Definition complement goods: Two goods are complements if an increase in price of one good causes decrease in the demand for the other good and vice versa. Example, SUVs and Gasoline. If the price of SUVs increases, people by less gasoline. P0 Q1 Q0 Quantity of x The Law of Supply • A decrease in the price of a good, all other things held constant, will cause a decrease in the quantity supplied of the good. • An increase in the price of a good, all other things held constant, will cause an increase in the quantity supplied of the good. Change in Quantity Supplied A decrease in price causes a decrease in quantity supplied Price (law of supply – movement along the supply curve). P0 P1 Q1 Q0 Quantity Change in Quantity Supplied An increase in price causes an increase in quantity supplied Price (law of supply – movement P1 along the supply curve). P0 Q0 Q1 Quantity Changes in Supply Factors that change supply includes: • Change in cost of production (input prices, wages, weather condition, technology, etc…) • Change in price of related products • Change in expectations (about future prices) • Change in the number of producers (sellers) πΈπ = πΈπ (π·π , πΆπ₯ π€ππππ πππ π‘ ππ πππ‘ππππππ , ππ¦ , πΈ, # π ππππππ , π€πππ‘βππ …) π‘ππβππππππ¦ Increase in Supply Price An increase in supply refers to a rightward (downward) shift in the market supply curve. Possible Factors •Improvements in technology •Lower cost of inputs •Increase in the number of producers P0 Q0 Q1 Quantity Decrease in Supply Price A decrease in supply refers to a leftward (upward) shift in the market supply curve. Possible Factors •Increase in cost of inputs •Decrease in the number of suppliers •Droughts, floods, etc… P0 Q1 Q0 Quantity Market Equilibrium • Market equilibrium is determined at the intersection of the market demand curve and the market supply curve. • The equilibrium price causes quantity demanded to be equal to quantity supplied. Market Equilibrium Price D S P Q Quantity of x Price Adjustments Price S E $3.00 Excess Demand 1.00 300 400 When the price is below the market equilibrium price, there is an excess demand and the price increases (there is not enough product in the market, consumers are willing to pay more to get the product) D 500 Quantity of x Price Adjustments Price Excess Supply at $5.00 S $5.00 E 3.00 When the price is above the market equilibrium price, there is an excess supply and the price decreases (firms have to decrease price to sell excess supply) D 300 400 500 Quantity of x Predicting Changes in Prices Price D0 D1 P1 P0 S0 Any factor that causes an increase in demand will cause the equilibrium price and quantity to increase. Review factors that cause increase in demand Q0 Q1 Quantity of x Predicting Changes in Prices Price D1 D0 P0 P1 S0 Any factor that causes a decrease in demand will cause the equilibrium price and quantity to decrease. Review factors that cause decrease in demand Q1 Q0 Quantity of x Predicting Changes in Prices Price S0 D0 P0 S1 Any factor that causes an increase in supply will cause the market equilibrium price to decrease and quantity to increase. Review factors that cause increase in supply P1 Q0 Q1 Quantity of x Predicting Changes in Prices Price S1 D0 P1 S0 Any factor that causes a decrease in supply will cause the market equilibrium price to increase and quantity to decrease. Review factors that cause decrease in supply P0 Q1 Q0 Quantity of x Thinking it Over • How could we use demand in supply to study economic inequality? • How social media affect prices? • Why not require zero pollution emission? • Should we all buy only goods produced in America? • Can the Fed keep interest rates low forever? A Public Policy Question The U.S. government administers two programs that affect the market for cigarettes. First, media campaigns and labeling requirements are aimed at making the public aware of the dangers of cigarettes. Second, the Department of Agriculture maintains a program of price supports for tobacco (an input in the production of Cigarettes). Under this program, farmers can sell tobacco at a price that is above the market equilibrium price, but the government limits the amount of land that can be devoted to tobacco production in order to eliminate surpluses. 1. Are these two programs at odds with respect to the goal of reducing cigarette consumption? 2. Illustrate the effects of both policies on the market for cigarettes using the demand and supply model Effects on the Market for Cigarettes Price S1 S0 P0 P0 1. Price support increase the cost of tobacco – a material to produce cigarettes (shift the supply to the left. 2. Marketing campaigns shift the demand to the left. Result: equilibrium quantity of cigarettes consumed decrease. The effect on the price is uncertain. D0 Q0 Q0 Q 0 Quantity of x Effects of Government Intervention — Price Controls (price ceiling & price floor) Price ceiling – the government sets the maximum price that can be charged for a product of service – It causes excess demand (shortages) Pmax Qs Qd Effects of Government Intervention — Price Controls (price ceiling & price floor) Price floor – the government sets the minimum price that must be paid for a product of service – It causes excess demand (shortages) Pmin Qd Qs Discuss 4: Is the Supply and Demand Outcome Unfair? (10 minutes). Download instructions from course site