Level I R11 Hypothesis Testing Test Code: L1 R11 HYPT Q-Bank 2020 Number of questions: 36 Question 1 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-001 LOS a Section 2 LOS a Section 2 Which of the following is most likely to be the first step in hypothesis testing? A) Specifying the significance level. B) Stating the decision rule. C) Stating the hypothesis. Answer C) Stating the hypothesis. Explanation C is correct. The first step in hypothesis testing is ‘stating the hypothesis’. In order to test a hypothesis, we follow these steps: 1. Stating the hypothesis. 2. Identifying the appropriate test statistic and its probability distribution. 3. Specifying the significance level. 4. Stating the decision rule. 5. Collecting the data and calculating the test statistic. 6. Making the statistical decision. 7. Making the economic or investment decision. Section 2. LO.a. Question 2 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-003 Professor Alan Chang is reviewing the following statements made by his students: Beth: The null hypothesis is the hypothesis that is being tested; and a two tailed hypothesis may have either of the two signs: $leq$ or $geq$. Donald: Specifying the significance level, $alpha$, isn't a necessary step and one could do without it during hypothesis testing. Kevin: The test statistic is a quantity calculated based on a sample, whose value is the basis for deciding whether or not to reject the alternate hypothesis. Whose statements will Professor Chang will least likely agree to? A) Only Donald. B) Only Donald and Beth. C) All of them. Answer C) All of them. Explanation C is correct. Beth is incorrect because the null hypothesis is the hypothesis that is tested, and a two tailed hypothesis has the sign: =. Donald is incorrect because specifying the significance level, α, is a necessary step and one cannot do without it during hypothesis testing. Kevin is incorrect because the test statistic is a quantity calculated based on a sample, whose value is the basis for deciding whether or not to reject the null hypothesis. Section 2. LO.a. Question 3 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-005 Which of the following statement (s) is most likely correct regarding a Type II error? A) Type II error fails to reject a false null hypothesis. B) Type II error fails to reject a true null hypothesis. C) Type II error rejects a true null hypothesis. LOS c Section 2 Answer A) Type II error fails to reject a false null hypothesis. Explanation A is correct. In reaching a statistical decision, we can make two possible errors: Type I error: We may reject a true null hypothesis. Type II error: We may fail to reject a false null hypothesis. The following table shows the possible outcomes of a test. Decision True condition H0 true Do not reject H0 Reject H0 (accept Ha ) H0 false Correct decision Type II error Type I error Correct decision Section 2. LO.c. Question 4 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-007 LOS c Section 2 LOS d Section 2 When a false null hypothesis is not rejected, it leads to a/an: A) Type I Error. B) Type II Error. C) acceptance of the alternate hypothesis. Answer B) Type II Error. Explanation B is correct. In reaching a statistical decision, we can make two possible errors: Type I error: We may reject a true null hypothesis. Type II error: We may fail to reject a false null hypothesis. The following table shows the possible outcomes of a test. Decision True condition H0 true H0 false Do not reject H0 Correct decision Type II error Reject H0 (accept Ha ) Type I error Correct decision Section 2. LO.c. Question 5 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-009 Jane Norah is an analyst for a midcap growth fund. The fund earns a quarterly return of 4.5 percent relative to an estimated return of 6.0 percent. If Norah wishes to test whether the actual results are different from the estimated return of 6 percent, the null hypothesis is most likely: A) H0: µ ≤ 6.0. B) H0: µ = 6.0. C) H0: µ ≠ 6.0. Answer B) H0: µ = 6.0. Explanation B is correct. We use a two-tailed hypothesis test to determine whether the estimated value of a population parameter is different from the hypothesized value. In a two-tailed test, we reject the null in favor of the alternative if the evidence indicates that the population parameter is either smaller or larger than the value of the parameter under H0. The null hypothesis for this test will be H0 = 6.0. Section 2. LO.d. Question 6 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-013 LOS e Section 2 What type of consideration is an investor‟s tolerance for risk and financial position in hypothesis testing? A) Investment or economic decision. B) Statistical decision. C) Both statistical and economic decision. Answer A) Investment or economic decision. Explanation A is correct. A statistical decision simply consists of rejecting or not rejecting the null hypothesis. Whereas, an economic decision takes into consideration all economic issues relevant to the decision, such as transaction costs, risk tolerance and the impact on the existing portfolio. Investor’s risk tolerance is an investment or economic decision, and not a statistical decision. Section 2. LO.e. Question 7 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-016 LOS f Section 2 A researcher conducted a one-tailed test with the null hypothesis that the mean of a distribution is greater than 2. The p-value came out to be 0.0475. If the researcher decides to use a 5% level of significance, the best conclusion is to: A) fail to reject the null hypothesis. B) reject the null hypothesis. C) decrease the level of significance to 4.75%. Answer B) reject the null hypothesis. Explanation B is correct. If the p-value is lower than our specified level of significance, we reject the null hypothesis. Because the p-value (0.0475) is lower than the stated level of significance (0.05), we will reject the null hypothesis. Section 2. LO.f Question 8 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-011 LOS d Section 2 Assume that the population mean is μ, sample mean is x̅ and sx̅ is the standard error of the sample mean. Which of the following is a condition for rejecting the null hypothesis at the 95 percent confidence interval ? A) (X̄ - μ0) / sx̅ > 1.96 B) (X̄ - μ0) > 1.96 C) μ0 - X̄ / sx̅ > 1.96 Answer A) (X̄ - μ0) / sx̅ > 1.96 Explanation A is correct. At 5% level of significance or 95% confidence interval, we calculate the z-values that correspond to 0.05/2 = 0.025 level of significance. These are +1.96 and -1.96. We reject the null hypothesis if we find that the test statistic ((X̄ - μ 0) / s x̅) is less than -1.96 or greater than +1.96. Section 2. LO.d. Question 9 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-002 Section 2 Marco Vitaly is a researcher and wants to test whether a particular parameter is larger than a specific value. In this case, the null and alternative hypothesis would be best defined as: A) H${}_{0}$: $theta$ = $theta 0$versusH$a$ : $θ$$≠$$θ {}_{0}$. B) H${}_{0}$: $theta$ $mathrm{le}$ $theta 0$versusH$a$ : $θ$$ > $$θ {}_{0}$. C) H${}_{0}$: $theta$ $mathrm{ge}$ $theta 0$versusH$a$ {}_{0}$. Answer LOS a B) H${}_{0}$: $theta$ $mathrm{le}$ $theta : $θ$$ < $$θ 0$versusH$a$ : $θ$$ > $$θ {}_{0}$. Explanation B is correct. A positive "hoped for'' condition means that we will only reject the null (and accept the alternative) if the evidence indicates that the population parameter is greater than $theta 0$. Thus, H$0$ : $θ$$≤$$θ {}_{0}$ versus Ha: $theta$ $>$ $theta$${}_{0}$ is the correct statement of the null and alternative hypotheses. Section 2. LO.a. Question 10 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-004 LOS b Section 2 Which of the following statements requires a two-tailed test ? A) H${}_{0}$: µ $mathrm{le}$ 0 versus H${}_{a}$: µ $>$ 0. B) H${}_{0}$: µ = 0 versus H${}_{a}$: µ $mathrm{neq}$ 0. C) H${}_{0}$: µ $mathrm{ge}$ 0 versus H${}_{a}$: µ $<$ 0. Answer B) H${}_{0}$: µ = 0 versus H${}_{a}$: µ $mathrm{neq}$ 0. Explanation B is correct. A two-tailed test for the population mean is structured as: Ho : µ = 0 versus Ha : µ ≠ 0. Section 2. In a two-tailed test, we reject the null in favor of the alternative if the evidence indicates that the population parameter is either smaller or larger than the value of the parameter under H0. LO.b. Question 11 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-006 LOS c Section 2 In order to calculate the test statistic, the difference between the sample statistic and the value of the population parameter under Ho is most likely divided by: A) appropriate value from the t-distribution. B) sample standard deviation. C) standard error of the sample statistic. Answer C) standard error of the sample statistic. Explanation C is correct. A test statistic is defined as the difference between the sample statistic and the value of the population parameter under Ho divided by the standard error of the sample statistic. test statistic = (sample statistic - value of the parameter under H0) / standard error of the sample statistic Section 2. LO.c. Question 12 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-008 LOS c Section 2 The results of an experiment are statistically significant when: A) the null hypothesis is rejected. B) the null hypothesis is not rejected. C) the level of significance is altered. Answer A) the null hypothesis is rejected. Explanation A is correct. The results of an experiment are statistically significant when the null hypothesis is rejected. Section 2. LO.c. Question 13 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-010 LOS d Section 2 The mean annual return is 8 percent and the standard deviation is 6.4 percent for a sample containing 25 sectors. A fund manager is testing whether the mean annual return is less than 9 percent. The critical value is -1.96. What is the most likely conclusion from this test ? A) Reject the null hypothesis. B) Do not reject the null hypothesis. C) Additional information is required to decide. Answer B) Do not reject the null hypothesis. Explanation B is correct. Step 1: State the hypothesis H0: µ ≥ 9% Ha : µ < 9% Step 2: Calculate the test statistic Step 3: Calculate the critical value This is a one-tailed test and we will be looking at the left tail. The critical value given, which is -1.96 Step 4: Decision Since the test statistic is less negative (lower absolute value) than the critical value (1.96), the null hypothesis is not rejected. Section 2. LO.d. Question 14 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-012 LOS e Section 2 Rejecting or not rejecting the null hypothesis is a: A) Statistical decision. B) Economic decision. C) Both statistical and economic decision. Answer A) Statistical decision. Explanation A is correct. A statistical decision simply consists of rejecting or not rejecting the null hypothesis. Whereas, an economic decision takes into consideration all economic issues relevant to the decision, such as transaction costs, risk tolerance and the impact on the existing portfolio. Section 2. LO.e. Question 15 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-014 LOS f Section 2 Which of the following statements regarding the p-value is most likely to be correct? A) The p-value is the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis can be rejected. B) The p-value is the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis can be accepted. C) The p-value is the largest level of significance at which the null hypothesis can be rejected. Answer A) The p-value is the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis can be rejected. Explanation A is correct. The p-value is defined as the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis can be rejected. It can be used in the hypothesis testing framework as an alternative to using rejection points. If the p-value is lower than our specified level of significance, we reject the null hypothesis. If the p-value is greater than our specified level of significance, we do not reject the null hypothesis. For example, if the p-value of a test is 4%, then the hypothesis can be rejected at the 5% level of significance, but not at the 1% level of significance. Section 2. LO.f. Question 16 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-015 LOS f Section 2 A researcher formulates a null hypothesis that the mean of a distribution is equal to 20. He obtains a p-value of 0.018. Using a 5% level of significance, the best conclusion is to: A) reject the null hypothesis. B) accept the null hypothesis. C) decrease the level of significance. Answer A) reject the null hypothesis. Explanation A is correct. If the p-value is lower than our specified level of significance, we reject the null hypothesis. As the pvalue of 0.018 is less than the stated level of significance (0.05), we reject the null hypothesis. Section 2. LO.f. Question 17 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-017 LOS f Section 2 A researcher is using the p-value test for conducting hypothesis testing. He is most likely to reject the null hypothesis when the p-value of the test statistic: A) exceeds a specified level of significance. B) falls below a specified level of significance. C) is negative. Answer B) falls below a specified level of significance. Explanation B is correct. If the p-value is less than the specified level of significance, the null hypothesis is rejected. If the p-value is greater than our specified level of significance, we do not reject the null hypothesis. For example, if the p-value of a test is 4%, then the hypothesis can be rejected at the 5% level of significance, but not at the 1% level of significance. Section 2. LO.f. Question 18 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-018 LOS f Section 2 A researcher conducts a two-tailed t-test test with a null hypothesis that the population mean differs from zero. If the p-value is 0.089 and he is using a significance level of 5%, the most appropriate conclusion is: A) do not reject the null hypothesis. B) reject the null hypothesis. C) the chosen significance level is too high. Answer A) do not reject the null hypothesis. Explanation A is correct. The p-value is the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis can be rejected. If the pvalue is less than the specified level of significance, the null hypothesis is rejected. If the p-value is greater than our specified level of significance, we do not reject the null hypothesis. In this case, the given p-value is greater than the given level of significance. Hence, we cannot reject the null hypothesis. Note that we simply compare the given pvalue with the level of significance. Even though this is a two-tailed test we do not divide the p-value by 2. Section 2. LO.f Question 19 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-020 LOS g Section 3 Orlando Bloom is analyzing a portfolio’s performance for the past 15 years. The mean return for the portfolio is 10.25% with a sample standard deviation of 12.00%. Bloom wants to test the claim that the mean return is less than 12.50%. The null hypothesis is that the mean return is greater than or equal to 12.50%. If the critical value for this test is -2, which of the following is most likely the test statistic and the decision of this test? Option Test Statistic Decision A. -0.726 Reject Ho B. -0.726 Do not reject Ho C. -0.5422 Do not reject Ho A) Option A in the above table. B) Option B in the above table. C) Option C in the above table. Answer B) Option B in the above table. Explanation B is correct. Since the absolute value of -0.726 is less than the absolute value of -2, we cannot reject the null hypothesis. Section 2 and 3. LO.g. Question 20 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-022 LOS g Section 3 Peter is studying the earnings per share of 32 companies in an industry. He plans to use the t-test for hypothesis testing. The degrees of freedom Peter will use for defining the critical region is closest to: A) 30. B) 31. C) 32. Answer B) 31. Explanation B is correct. In a t-test, the degree of freedom is sample size (n) - 1. Therefore, it will be 32 – 1 = 31 in this case. Section 3. LO.g. Question 21 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-019 LOS g Section 3 Which of the following statistic is most likely to be used for the mean of a non-normal distribution with unknown variance and a small sample size? A) z test statistic. B) t test statistic. C) There is no test statistic for such a scenario. Answer C) There is no test statistic for such a scenario. Explanation C is correct. The statistic for a small sample size of a non-normal distribution with unknown variance is not available. The z-test statistic is used for a large sample size of a non-normal distribution with known variance while t-test statistic is used for a large sample size of a non-normal distribution with unknown variance. Refer to the table below: Sampling from Normal distribution Small sample size (n<30) Variance known Variance unknown Non –normal distribution Variance known Variance unknown Large sample size (n≥30) z z t t (or z) NA z NA t (or z) Section 3. LO.g. Question 22 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-024 LOS i Section 3 The table below shows the return data for samples which have been pooled from two normally distributed populations with equal variance. Sample # Sample size Annual returns 1 60 15.8% 2 112 12.5% The standard deviation of the pooled sample, s, is 256.68. Which of the following is the correct test statistic to test for the differences between means? A) 0.0006. B) 0.0008. C) 0.0011. Answer B) 0.0008. Explanation B is correct. When we can assume that the two populations are normally distributed and that the unknown population variances are unequal, an approximate t-test based on independent random samples is given by: In this formula, we use the tables of the t-distribution using the ‘modified’ degrees of freedom. The ‘modified’ degrees of freedom are calculated using the following formula: Section 3.1. L i. Question 23 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-023 LOS h Section 3 From two normally distributed populations, independent samples were drawn and followingobservations were made: Sample A: The sample size of 20 observations had a sample mean of 63. Sample B: The sample size of 14 observations had a sample mean of 58. Standard deviations of sample A and sample B were equal. The pooled estimate of common variance was equal to 565.03. A researcher devised the hypothesis that the two sample means are equal. In order to test this hypothesis, the ttest statistic to be used is closest to: A) 0.21. B) 0.35. C) 0.60. Answer C) 0.60. Explanation C is correct. When we assume that the two populations are normally distributed and that the unknown population variances are equal, the t-test based on independent random samples is given by: The term is known as the pooled estimator of the common variance. It is calculated by the following formula: The number of degrees of freedom is n1 + n2 – 2. = 0.604.. Section 3.1. LO.h. Question 24 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-027 LOS i Section 3 Which of the following is true for a paired comparison test? A) The samples are independent. B) The samples are dependent. C) The test conducted is a test concerning differences between mean and not mean differences. Answer B) The samples are dependent. Explanation B is correct. A paired comparison test is conducted for mean differences and the samples are dependent. For example, suppose you want to conduct tests on the mean monthly return on Toyota stock and mean monthly return on Honda stock. These two samples are believed to be dependent, as they are impacted by the same economic factors. Section 3.2. LO.i. Question Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-026 LOS i Section 3 25 An analyst collects the following data related to paired observations for Sample A and Sample B. Assume that both samples are drawn from normally distributed populations and that the population variances are not known: Paired Observation Sample A Value Sample B Value 1 12 5 2 18 15 3 4 1 4 -6 -9 5 -5 4 The t-statistic to test the hypothesis that the mean difference is equal to zero is closest to: A) 0.23. B) 0.27. C) 0.52. Answer Explanation C) 0.52. Paired Sample Sample Differences Differences Minus the Mean Observation A Value B Value 1 12 5 7 (7-1.4)2=31.36 2 18 15 3 (3-1.4)2=2.56 3 4 1 3 (3-1.4)2=2.56 4 -6 -9 3 (3-1.4)2=2.56 5 -5 4 -9 (-9-1.4)2=108.16 Sum = 7 Mean = 1.4 Sum of squared differences = 147.2 Sample variance: 147.2 / 4 = 36.8 Difference, Then Squared Standard error: t-Statistic: 1.4 - 0 / 2.712932 = 0.51605 Section 3.2. LO.i. Question 26 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-028 The table below shows the annual return summary for KSE-50 and KSE-100 portfolios. Portfolio Mean Return Standard Deviation KSE – 50 19.25% 20.05% KSE – 100 15.98% 17.11% Difference 3.27% 5.48% LOS i Section 3 The null hypothesis for the test conducted is Ho: µd = 0. The sample size is 64. Which of the following most likely represent the test conducted and the value of the test statistic? A) A chi square test with t statistic = 4.77. B) A paired comparison test with t statistic = 5.27. C) A paired comparison test with t statistic = 4.77. Answer C) A paired comparison test with t statistic = 4.77. Explanation C is correct. Since the test concerns mean differences, it is a paired comparisons test. t = (đ - μd0) / s đ = (3.27 - 0) / (5.48 / √64) = 4.77. Section 3.2. LO.i. Question 27 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-029 LOS i Section 3 A hypothesis test is to be conducted in order to test the differences between means. Which of the following will least likely be used as a null hypothesis for this test? A) H${}_{o}$: µ${}_{1}$ + µ${}_{2}$ = 0. B) H${}_{o}$: µ${}_{1}$ - µ${}_{2}$ = 0. C) H${}_{o}$: µ${}_{1 } leq $µ${}_{2}$. Answer A) H${}_{o}$: µ${}_{1}$ + µ${}_{2}$ = 0. Explanation A is correct. Since we want to test whether the two means were equal or different, we define the hypotheses as: H0: µ1 - µ2 = 0 or H0: µ1 < µ2. The incorrect null hypothesis is Ho : µ1 + µ2 = 0. Section 3.2. LO.i. Question 28 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-025 LOS i Section 3 You want to test a hypothesis related to the mean of the difference between Honda and Toyota stock returns at the 1% level of significance. Hence you calculate the difference between Honda and Toyota returns over the last 25 months. For this data, the sample mean difference is 3.25 and the sample standard deviation is 6.70. The critical value for this test is 2.8. The most appropriate conclusion is to: A) reject the hypothesis that the mean difference equals zero as the computed test statistic exceeds 2.8. B) accept the hypothesis that the mean difference equals zero as the computed test statistic exceeds 2.8. C) accept the hypothesis that the mean difference equals zero as the computed test statistic is less than 2.8. Answer C) accept the hypothesis that the mean difference equals zero as the computed test statistic is less than 2.8. Explanation C is correct. Paired observations are observations that are dependent because they have something in common. In such situations, we conduct a t-test that is based on data arranged in paired observations. As 2.4 < critical value of 2.8, we do not reject the null hypothesis that the mean difference is zero. Section 3.3. LO.i. Question 29 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-021 LOS g Section 4 The test statistic for hypothesis test of a single mean where the population sample has unknown variance is most likely: A) (X̄ - μ) / (s/√n) B) (n-1)(s2) / σ2 C) s1 2 / s22 Answer A) (X̄ - μ) / (s/√n) Explanation A is correct. The test statistic for the hypothesis test of a single mean where the population sample has unknown variance is (X̄ - μ) / (s/√n). This would require a t-test. (n-1)(s 2) / σ02 is chi-square test statistic (χ²) s1 2 / s 22 is F-statistic. Section 4. LO.g. Question 30 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-033 LOS j Section 4 Which test should be used for hypothesis related to a single population variance? A) A chi-square test with degrees of freedom, n. B) A chi-square test with degrees of freedom, n-1. C) An F-test with degrees of freedom, n-1. Answer B) A chi-square test with degrees of freedom, n-1. Explanation B is correct. In tests concerning the variance of a single normally distributed population, we use the chi-square test statistic, denoted by χ2. The chi-square distribution is asymmetrical and like the t-distribution, is a family of distributions. It uses (n – 1) degrees of freedom. The test statistic is χ2 = (n -1)(s 2) / σ02 where: n = sample size s = sample variance Option C is incorrect because the F-test is used in order to test the equality or inequality of two variances. The F-test is the ratio of sample variances. The assumptions for a F-test to be valid are: The samples must be independent. The populations from which the samples are taken are normally distributed. Each F-distribution is defined by two values of degrees of freedom, called the numerator and denominator degrees of freedom. The formula for the test statistic of the F-test is: F = s 12 / s 22 where: s 12 = the sample variance of the first population with n observations s 22 = the sample variance of the second population with n observations A convention is to put the larger sample variance in the numerator and the smaller sample variance in the denominator. df1 = n1 – 1 numerator degrees of freedom df2 = n2 – 1 denominator degrees of freedom Section 4.1. LO.j. Question 31 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-030 LOS j Section 4 A researcher drew two samples from two normally distributed populations. The mean and standard deviation of the first sample were 4 and 48 respectively. The mean and standard deviation of the second sample were 6 and 52 respectively. The number of observations in the first sample was 30 and second sample was 32. Given a null hypothesis of ${sigma }^2_1= {sigma }^2_2$ versus an alternate hypothesis of ${sigma }^2_1neq {sigma }^2_2 $, which of the following is most likely to be the test statistic? A) 0.235. B) 0.852. C) 1.170. C) 1.170. Answer C) 1.170. Explanation C is correct. The test that compares the variances using two independent samples from two different populations makes use of the F-distributed t-statistic: The formula for the test statistic of the F-test is: A convention is to put the larger sample variance in the numerator and the smaller sample variance in the denominator. df1 = n1 – 1 numerator degrees of freedom df2 = n2 – 1 denominator degrees of freedom The test statistic is then compared with the critical values found using the two degrees of freedom and the F-tables. The smaller variance is the denominator, thus: 522 / 482 = 1.17 Option B is incorrect because it uses 482 / 522 = 0.852. Section 4.2. LO.j. Question 32 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-032 LOS j Section 4 For an F-test specified as $frac{{mathrm{s}}^{mathrm{2}}_{mathrm{1}}}{{mathrm{s}}^{mathrm{2}}_{mathrm{2}}}$, which of the following is used as the actual test statistic? A) ${mathrm{s}}_{mathrm{1}} $shouldbegreaterthan$s 2 {}_{. }$ B) ${}_{ } s 1$shouldbelessthan$s 2 {}_{.}$ C) It does not matter whether ${mathrm{s}}_{mathrm{1}} $isgreaterorlessthan$s 2 {}_{.}$ Answer A) ${mathrm{s}}_{mathrm{1}} $shouldbegreaterthan$s 2 {}_{. }$ Explanation A is correct. A convention is to put the larger sample variance in the numerator and the smaller sample variance in the denominator, which is only possible if option A is true. Section 4.2. LO.j. Question 33 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-031 LOS j Section 4 The null hypothesis ${mathrm{H}}_{mathrm{o}}mathrm{: }{mathrm{sigma }}^{mathrm{2}}_{mathrm{1}}mathrm{=}{mathrm{sigma }}^{mathrm{2}}_{mathrm{2}}$ most likely tests: A) the mean differences. B) a single variance. C) the equality of two variances. Answer C) the equality of two variances. Explanation C is correct. The test concerns the equality of two variances. It is known as the F-test. When working with F-tests, there are three hypotheses that can be formulated: 1. H0: σ12 = σ22 versus Ha : σ12 ≠ σ22. This is used when we believe the two population variances are not equal. 2. H0: σ12 ≤ σ22 versus Ha : σ12 > σ22. This is used when we believe the variance of the first population is greater than the variance of the second population. 3. H0: σ12 ≥ σ22 versus Ha : σ12 < σ22. This is used when we believe the variance of the first population is less than the variance of the second population. The term σ12 represents the population variance of the first population and σ22 represents the population variance of the second population. The formula for the test statistic of the F-test is: F = s 12 / s 22 where: s 12 = the sample variance of the first population with n observations s 22= the sample variance of the second population with n observations A convention is to put the larger sample variance in the numerator and the smaller sample variance in the denominator. df1 = n1 – 1 numerator degrees of freedom df2 = n2 – 1 denominator degrees of freedom The test statistic is then compared with the critical values found using the two degrees of freedom and the Ftables. Section 4.2. LO.j. For mean differences we use the following: H 0: µd = µd0 versus Ha : µd ≠ µd0 µd stands for the population mean difference and µd0 stands for the hypothesized value for the population mean difference. For single mean difference, we use the following: The null and alternative hypotheses for this example will be: H0: µ = 0 versus Ha: µ ≠ 0 Question 34 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-048 LOS k Section 4 The sample correlation between the current account (% of GDP) and fiscal balance (% of GDP) of a Country is 0.6345 for the period from June 2005 through June 2015. Assuming 0.05 level of significance, which of the following is most likely correct? A) The test statistic is 8.96, so we can reject the null hypothesis. B) The test statistic is 8.92, so we can reject the null hypothesis. C) The test statistic is 8.92, so we cannot reject the null hypothesis. Answer B) The test statistic is 8.92, so we can reject the null hypothesis. Explanation B is correct. With 120 months from June 2005 through June 2015, we use the following statistic to test the null hypothesis, H0, that the true correlation in the population is 0, against the alternative hypothesis, Ha , that the correlation in the population is different from 0: t = [0.6345(120 - 2)½] / [1 - 0.63452] = 8.92 At the 0.05 significance level, the critical level for this test statistic is 1.984 (n = 120, degrees of freedom = 118). When the test statistic is either larger than 1.984 or smaller than 1.984, we can reject the hypothesis that the correlation in the population is 0. The test statistic is 8.92, so we can reject the null hypothesis. Section 4.3. LO. k. Question 35 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-035 LOS k An investment analyst will least likely use a non-parametric test in which of the following situations? Section 5 A) When the data does not meet distributional assumptions. B) When the data provided is given in ranks. C) When the hypothesis being addressed concerns a parameter. Answer C) When the hypothesis being addressed concerns a parameter. Explanation C is correct. We use nonparametric procedures in three situations: Data does not meet distributional assumptions. Data is given in ranks. (Example: relative size of the company and use of derivatives.) The hypothesis does not concern a parameter. (Example: Is a sample random or not?) Section 5. LO.k. Question 36 Q-Code: L1-QM-HYPT-034 LOS k Section 5 A test that makes minimal assumptions about the population from which the sample comes is known as a: A) paired comparisons test. B) parametric test. C) nonparametric test. Answer C) nonparametric test. Explanation C is correct. Nonparametric tests are not concerned with a parameter and/or make few assumptions about the population from which the sample are drawn. We use nonparametric procedures in three situations: Data does not meet distributional assumptions. Data is given in ranks. (Example: relative size of the company and use of derivatives.) The hypothesis does not concern a parameter. (Example: Is a sample random or not?) The Spearman rank correlation coefficient test is a popular nonparametric test. The coefficient is calculated based on the ranks of two variables within their respective samples. A parametric test is a hypothesis test concerning a parameter or a hypothesis test based on specific distributional assumptions. The paired comparison test is a hypothesis test on differences between the means of two populations when two samples are believed to be dependent. Section 5. LO.k.