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Pullback Trading Strategies
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Pullback Trading Strategies
One common trading strategy is trading market pullbacks on charts. A pullback trading strategy
buys a reversal in an established uptrend when it reaches a technical chart level like a key price
support area, a bounce around an important moving average, or an oversold technical reading.
A pullback trader looks to enter an uptrend when it retraces and creates a better risk/reward
ratio at a lower price.
One high probability pullback area for a stock chart in a long term uptrend is a big price dip back
to the 50-day moving average. Historically, the 50-day moving average has acted as a level for
buyers to get back into growth stocks they wanted to own at lower prices. This pullback signal is
best used used in market leading stocks under accumulation. This level has a higher probability
of success by first waiting for a strong bounce near the 50-day moving average confirming
buying interest before entering. The signal will not be exact you have to see it more as a zone
around the 50-day SMA or EMA. The stop loss would be a close under the 50-day moving
average and then let a winner run with a trailing stop of your choice.
Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com
The relative strength index (RSI) measures and quantifies when price has moved too far and
too fast in one direction. As the RSI reading approaches the 30 RSI it can show an oversold
reading increasing the probability for a bounce. Even in strong bull markets charts can end up
with pullbacks strong enough to create a 30 RSI reading. When a chart reaches a 30 RSI
reading or lower then bounces back higher that is a potential signal for an opportunity to enter
on the pullback after the price shows interest from buyers at that level. The stop loss would be a
close back under the 30 RSI and the price target could be a 50 RSI reading.
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Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com
One of the biggest pullback signals in a long term uptrend or bull market is a retracement all the
way back to the 200-day simple moving average. Many times this will create a good risk/reward
ratio for a short term bounce in price or a great entry for a new longer term uptrend to resume.
The stop loss is a close back under the 200-day SMA and the short term profit target can be the
the 50-day moving average or the position can be held for a longer term trend trade. The
downside of the 200-day SMA signal is that it can give many false signals when there's a lot of
noise around the 200-day moving average line and repeated moves through it in both
directions. However, when it works as a trend filter it can create really big wins to offset the
small losses.
Chart courtesy of TrendSpider.com
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You can learn more about my trading signals in the new second edition of my book Moving
Averages 101.
We wish you much success!
Steve & Holly Burns
New Trader U
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Read the original article at: https://www.newtraderu.com/2020/11/04/pullback-trading-strategies/
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