Unit 1: Introduction to Epidemiology 1 Unit 1 Learning Objectives: 1. Define and understand the uses of epidemiology. 2. Distinguish between public health, epidemiology, and clinical medicine. 3. Understand the inter-disciplinary nature of epidemiology. 6. Understand the “epidemiologic transition” of causes of mortality from developing to developed countries. 7. Understand the natural history of disease progression. 8. Distinguish between primary, secondary, and tertiary 2 levels of disease prevention. PRACTICAL DEFINITION OF DISEASE AND EXPOSURE Disease: broad array of health conditions that we seek to understand and ultimately modify, including physiologic states, mental health, and the entire spectrum of human diseases (synonym: outcome, dependent variable). Exposure: a catch-all term for agents, interventions, conditions, policies, and anything that might affect health (synonym: predictor/explanatory/independent variable). 3 Discussion Question 1 When we think of studying “disease”, is “disease” a stable concept? 4 Discussion Question 1 Probably not, because: 1. Cultural values can influence definitions and perceptions of disease (especially psychiatric disorders). 2. Improvements in diagnostic instrumentation can lead to earlier detection of asymptomatic disease. 3. Clinical thresholds for disease classification change over time. 5 EPIDEMIOLOGY Greek: EPI - Upon DEMOS - People LOGOS - Study of, Body of Knowledge 6 DEFINITIONS OF EPIDEMIOLOGY • The study of the distribution and determinants of disease frequency in human populations. (1970) • The study of the distribution and determinants of health-related states or events in specified populations, and the application of this study to control of health problems. (1988) 7 DEFINITIONS OF EPIDEMIOLOGY The underlying premise of epidemiology is that disease not occur at random, but rather in patterns that reflect the operation of underlying factors. 8 DEFINITIONS OF PUBLIC HEALTH • The science and art of : 1) preventing disease 2) prolonging life and 3) promoting health and efficiency through organized community effort. (1920) 9 DEFINITIONS OF PUBLIC HEALTH (cont’d) • To fulfill society’s interest in assuring conditions in which people can be healthy. • The field of health science concerned with safeguarding and improving the physical, mental and social well-being of the community as a whole. (1992) 10 THE CONTENT OF PUBLIC HEALTH PRACTICE • Focus on primary prevention. • Community protection through monitoring and surveillance for infectious and toxic agents. • Response to unanticipated natural and humangenerated disasters. • Health promotion through programs to notify and educate the community about risks and protective measures. • Target hard-to-reach populations with clinical services. 11 Why is epidemiology the basic science of public health? PUBLIC HEALTH WORKS BY: • Defining a health problem • Identifying risk factors associated with the problem • Developing and testing community-level interventions to control or prevent the causes of the problem • Implementing interventions to improve the health of the population; and • Monitoring those interventions to assess their effectiveness 12 EPIDEMIOLOGY HAS THE METHODOLOGY TO: • Determine the extent of disease in the community • Study the natural history and prognosis of disease • Identify associations and potential etiology (causes) of a disease and risk factors for disease • Evaluate new preventive and therapeutic measures and new modes of health care delivery 13 EPIDEMIOLOGY HAS THE METHODOLOGY TO: • Provide a foundation for developing public policy and regulatory decisions relating to environmental problems. • In short, the primary goal of epidemiology is to measure relationships between “exposures” and health outcomes – these may provide a basis for public health initiatives and policies. 14 THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN EPIDEMIOLOGY + CLINICAL PRACTICE Clinical Practice Uses Population Data: • Diagnoses are defined and determined from large groups of patients. • Prognosis is based on experience of large groups of patients with the same disease, stage of disease, and treatments. • Selection of therapy is based on the results of large treatment studies, such as clinical trials. 15 EVOLVING FIELD OF EPIDEMIOLOGY Chief Causes of Death in the U.S. -- 1900 l l l l l l l Pneumonia/Influenza Tuberculosis Gastritis, enteritis, colitis Heart disease Senility, ill-defined conditions Vascular lesions affecting CNS Nephritis and renal sclerosis 11.8% 11.3% 8.3% 8.0% 6.8% 6.2% 4.7% 16 Chief Causes of Death in the U.S. -- 2001* l l l l l l l Disease of heart Malignant neoplasms Cerebrovascular diseases Chronic lower respiratory diseases Unintentional injuries Diabetes mellitus Pneumonia & influenza 248 196 58 44 36 25 22 *Age-adjusted per 100,000 17 Causes of Disease Burden (DALYs) Worldwide: 2002: Ages 15 - 59 Cause DALYs (000) HIV/AIDS 68661 Unipolar depressive disorders 57843 Tuberculosis 28380 Road traffic injuries 27264 Ischemic heart disease 26155 Alcohol use disorders 19567 Hearing loss, adult onset 19486 Violence 18962 18 Causes of Disease Burden (DALYs) Worldwide: 2002: Ages 60 and Older Cause DALYs (000) Ischemic heart disease 31481 Cerebrovascular disease 29595 COPD 14380 Alzheimers and other dementias 8569 Cataracts 7384 Lower respiratory infections 6597 Hearing loss, adult onset 6548 Trachea, bronchus, lung cancers 5952 19 EVOLVING FIELD OF EPIDEMIOLOGY l l l Historically, in developed countries, there has been a marked shift in the leading causes of mortality from “infectious” to “chronic” diseases. In the U.S. today, the fastest growing segment of the population is aged 85 and older. Virtually all “chronic” diseases have multi-factorial etiologies. 20 Discussion Question 2 If a “cure” was found for heart disease, how might this likely affect mortality rates from: (1) AIDS; and (2) Cancer in the United States? 21 Discussion Question 2 Most likely: 1. AIDS-related mortality would be largely unaffected since most deaths from AIDS occur in persons not at high risk (age) for heart disease mortality. 2. Cancer mortality would increase since persons who would not have died from heart disease would now be at risk of dying from cancer. This concept of one cause of mortality affecting another is know as “competing risks.” 22 THE HOST - ENVIRONMENT INTERACTION ANKYLOSING SPONDYLITIS l l Persons with HLA-B27 approximately 90 times more likely to develop the disease (Genetic Susceptibility) However, only 10% of the individuals with HLA-B27 will develop the disease (Environmental Exposure) 23 THE HOST - ENVIRONMENT INTERACTION “Virtually all chronic diseases have multi-factorial etiologies” -- many may have infectious components. Enteroviruses Epstein Barr virus Chlamydia pneumoniae Helicobacter pylori Hepatitis B and C Borna disease virus Type I diabetes B-cell lymphomas Heart disease Peptic ulcers Liver cancer Schizophrenia 24 Natural history of disease Onset of symptoms Exposure Pathologic changes Stage of susceptibility PRIMARY PREVENTION Stage of subclinical disease Usual time of diagnosis Stage of clinical disease SECONDARY PREVENTION Stage of recovery, disability or death TERTIARY PREVENTION 25 The natural history of disease STAGE 1: Susceptibility DESCRIPTION: Risk factors which assist the development of disease exist, but disease has not developed EXAMPLE: Smoking 26 The natural history of disease (cont’d) STAGE 2: Presymptomatic disease DESCRIPTION: Changes have occurred to lead toward illness but disease is not yet clinically detectable EXAMPLE: Alveoli deteriorate 27 The natural history of disease (cont’d) STAGE 3: Clinical Disease DESCRIPTION: Detectable signs and/or symptoms of disease exist EXAMPLE: Emphysema detected by pulmonary function test 28 The natural history of disease (cont’d) STAGE 4: Disability DESCRIPTION: Disease has progressed to the point of causing a residual effect EXAMPLE: Person has difficulty breathing 29 LEVELS OF PREVENTION LEVEL: Primary DESCRIPTION: Promote general health and avoid risk factors for disease --- Utilize protective measures to prevent susceptibility and presymptomatic disease EXAMPLE: Stop smoking or choose not to start; avoid areas where people are smoking 30 LEVELS OF PREVENTION (cont’d) LEVEL: DESCRIPTION: EXAMPLE: Secondary Early detection and timely treatment Routine pulmonary function tests for those at risk; medicine to help patients breath more easily; smoking cessation programs if patient smokes 31 LEVELS OF PREVENTION (cont’d) LEVEL: Tertiary DESCRIPTION: Rehabilitation and prevention of further disease or disability EXAMPLE: Oxygen therapy; facilitating ambulation with technical devices 32 PREVENTION APPROACHES Population-Based Approach: • Preventive measure widely applied to an entire population (public health approach) • Strive for small absolute change among many persons • Must be relatively inexpensive and noninvasive 33 PREVENTION APPROACHES High-Risk Approach: • Target group of individual at high risk • Strive for strong risk factor control • Often times requires clinical action to identify the high risk group and to motivate risk factor control. 34 LEVELS OF PREVENTION (Review) PRIMARY PREVENTION Prevention of disease by controlling risk factors (e.g., non-smoking promotion) 35 LEVELS OF PREVENTION (Review) SECONDARY PREVENTION Reduction in consequences of disease by early diagnosis and treatment (e.g., cervical cancer screening) 36 LEVELS OF PREVENTION (Review) TERTIARY PREVENTION Reduction in complications of disease (e.g., MV crashes and ICU) 37