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Finance Article

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Executive Summary
Financial year 2020 is one of the worst year in financial point of view. As the GDP reaches to the
negative in first time of Pakistan’s history. Along with it the disaster of COVID-19 has made
many businesses to shut down, and those who get survived are having very bad impacts, almost
negative profit ratio of everyone. Almost in every sector Pakistan have faced the down fall. To
overcome this situation Pakistan must have to look again on its polices and work hard on each
and every sector. And also consider other rising talents and support them which can help to
develop the economy again. Especially the import/export sector.
GDP fall
GDP this year fall to the negative, the least in the history of Pakistan. In 2019 the GPD was 1.9
Percent and it fall to negative 1.5 percent in 2020. This fall is the first noticed contraction of the
decade. The primary and main reason behind it is the pandemic situation of COVID-19. This
devastating virus have a great impact on economy. And it has affected the economy in many
ways that impacted the monetary and fiscal tightening to the outbreak of COVID. So because of
it, the economy face the very negative impact.
Areas of Defecation
Areas
Fiscal Year 2019 Fiscal Year 2020
GDP
1.9%
-1.5%
GNI
297.790 Billion USD
282.806 Billion USD
Current Account
4.8%
1.1%
Fiscal Deficit
9.1%
8.1%
Imports
4.546 Billion USD
3.9 Billion USD
Exports
9.55 Billion USD
2.2 Billion USD
Agribusiness
0.58% growth
2.67% growth
Service Sector
3.75%
-0.59%
Growth Rate
1.9%
-0.4%
Per capita Income
1455 USD
1358 USD
Inflation
6.8%
11.2%
Government total
revenues
4900.7 Billion PKR
6272.2 Billion PKR
Total tax revenue
4473.4 Billion PKR
4747.8 Billion PKR
FBR tax Collection
3829.5 Billion PKR
3997.9 Billion PKR
Government total
Expenditure
8345.6 Billion PKR
9648.5 Billion PKR
Total debt and liabilities
40223.1 Billion PKR
44556.4 Billion PKR
Foreign exchange
reserves
14482 Million USD
19400 Million USD
Foreign Direct
Investment
1362.4 Million USD
2561.2 Million USD
Worker’s remittances
growth rate
9.2%
6.4%
Reason
Let see what happens in the beginning of 2020. A Virus named COVID-19 attack the whole
world that causes the pandemic situation and all the world get closed. Same happens in Pakistan.
So Government imposed the lock down firstly in order to stop the pandemic in the country. Also
the ultimate shutting down of airline service industries happened to stop spread the COVID.
Similarly, public places, gatherings, malls and other businesses get shut down for some time and
then after some time were only open in the prescribed timings. Due to all of this many of the
industries and business were shuted down and no longer working for almost half of the year.
This causes many problems in industry and economy like, flow of money in the market was very
low, decline of Job ratio in huge percentage. Because of it many small businesses did not
survived as they couldn’t make their self able to meet the market demand. By different reports
only service sector has shrinked by 1 percent in this decade. And on the other hand, contraction
effects on consumer side has deadliest impacts such as the inflation rate was higher as compared
to the last fiscal year and the consumption has been reduced by the normal households, also the
investment rate was really badly impacted by this and in contrast the government spending were
rose to encounter the pandemic.
Suggestion
In the following financial year, GDP development has to rise marginally to 0.9pc, so that it can
approaches to 3.2pc in 2022. Because of these advancements Pakistan’s monetary situation is
compressed as the duty assortment is affected hugely while on the other hand spending needs are
expanding. The GDP execution depends on development of 1pc in farming this year, of 2.1pc
decrease in mechanical yield and fall of 1.7pc in area of administrations. Agribusiness sector
have to develop by 1.7pc in financial year 2020-21 and 2.3pc in financial year 2021-22. Current
record of shortfall is extended to 1.9pc in financial year 2020, because of the more contraction of
imports then exports. Fare development also required to be negative in financial year 2021 so it
can bounce back to 6.7pc in financial year 2022.
The fiscal year has impacted our economy very badly and it has to been widen by the new
development areas and sectors. The development authority should seriously look into the
matter and need to take some extra measures reading the fiscal deficit. Also the fiscal policy
can be richly handled with extreme care and huge following up the current account expenditure
and revenue accounts holdings and the government should also need to revise their policies for
the companies whose sole business is to import or exports
Conclusion
In a very nut shell or to sum up the fiscal deficit of the year 2020 has very extreme impacts on
the economy of Pakistan. In my personal opinion the economy of Pakistan has been badly stuck
by the deadliest natural disaster COVID-19. The economy of Pakistan has been in a stage of
development and in this stage the impacts of these pandemics raised numerous problems in the
economy of Pakistan.
The fiscal deficit of the year 2020, is contracting because of the global impact on these COVID19 disease and the other aspects may be of poor negligence of the government and lack of
communication between the autonomous bodies and the government., also the revised policies
will ensure industries and businesses to produce more and more earn the profit and ultimately
the economy will boost up.
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