TrendSights Analysis 2020: NextGeneration Shopping Consumer-centric business models run through technological innovation CS2012TS August 2020 Copyright @ GlobalData PLC. All rights reserved. Reproduction of part or all of this contents without permission is prohibited. Executive summary Social media and smart phone adoption are key to digitalization of shopping Trend drivers How? Innovation implications Personalization – Brands are using data and behavioral analytics to understand consumer behavior to provide quality engagement, customized to each consumer. Quality and convenience – One of the drivers is the search for experiences. Since consumers are also time-poor, this trend is about offering speedy engagement with consumers but within their busy lifestyles. Responsible innovation – Innovation should be consumercentric and provide quality engagement and improve shopping experience. Why? Social media – Consumers have expanded their use of social media, with it now covering activities from dating to shopping. As a result, businesses can translate this into sales and consumer loyalty. Smartphone adoption – Technology can be integrated in physical stores and at-home into the shopping experience. This is especially key in emerging markets. Experience-led – Consumers look for at-home and in-store experiences personalized to them Consumer targets Who? Millennials are digital natives in most cases and so they are looking for products and services that can be integrated into this lifestyle. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping What? Defining the trend Retail has become digitized and integrated various channels in order to create a more immersive experience for consumers. This trend includes bricks-and-mortar retailers, e-commerce, mcommerce, s-commerce, and how these platforms can interact with one another to create an experience for consumers, allow for more shopping occasions, and provide brands and retailers with consumer analytics in order to better serve consumers and customize options. In emerging markets consumers are adopting technologies at a fast rate and are more open to innovation than in developed markets. 2 TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping The trend is led by consumer behavior and lifestyles • 59% of global consumers say they are interested in products that are trending on social media1. • Social media is where consumers can keep track of trends, express themselves and communicate with their communities – all valuable information that can be harnessed by brands. • 23% of global consumers say they intend to spend more time shopping for groceries online2. Groceries becoming an online trend • E-commerce continues to evolve and gain more mainstream appeal – the pandemic has increased the interest among consumers in safe and convenient shopping options for everyday items. • 91% of global consumers say they are interested in products that save them time and effort1. Time-poor and convenience seeking consumers TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Hyper-connected consumers • Convenience remains a key priority for consumers and technological innovation can personalize and better serve consumers' needs. Source: [1] GlobalData 2019 Q3 global consumer survey, [2] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2 3 Contents • Trend Snapshot • Trend Analysis • What? • Why? • Who? • How? • Future Implications • Appendix 4 Trend Snapshot Next-Generation Shopping is part of the Smart & Connected mega-trend This trend reflects the hyper-connected world Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? How? What Next? The dynamics giving shape to the global consumer marketplace can be found in these eight mega-trends Sustainability & Ethics Mounting awareness and concern surround the scale, complexity, and interdependence of shared social and environmental challenges globally Comfort & Uncertainty Consumers value safety, tradition, simplicity, and reassurance due to rising stress and uncertainty in their lives and the world around them Health & Wellness People of all ages are more proactively addressing their health in a more holistic and personalized manner Individualism & Expression Values emphasizing individuality and self-expression guide confident and empowered modern consumers Sensory & Indulgence The driving force behind continually higher expectations of quality, variety, and immersive "consumption experiences" Easy & Affordable Time and money are perceived to be the great scarcities of modern life, and consumers are searching for ways to maximize these limited personal resources Smart & Connected (Digitalization) In a hyper-connected, technology-enabled society, consumers seamlessly integrate the use of multiple technologies into their lives and buying behavior Evolving Landscapes (Demographics) The underlying and mostly dependable socio-demographic and -economic trends impacting consumer societies TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping GlobalData's TrendSights framework recognizes that consumer behavior is best interpreted via an organized "trend hierarchy," whereby each overarching mega-trend is comprised of a number of trends. This is conveyed by the visualization presented on the following slide. Below is a synopsis of the eight mega-trends that are the driving force of change across the FMCG industry. 6 Next Generation Shopping is at the intersection of two trends Next-Generation Shopping brings together Smart & Connected and Easy & Affordable Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? How? What Next? Sustainability & Ethics Comfort & Uncertainty Sensory & Indulgence Easy & Affordable Smart & Connected Evolving Landscapes TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Mega-trends: Individualism & Expression Health & Wellness 7 This trend is a blend of business models and digitalization The trend is driven by convenience and digitalization Trend Snapshot What? Why? Next-Generation Shopping is shown in the following business models: Consumers most influenced by the Next-Generation Shopping trend are likely to be: Tech-savvy – A key feature of the trend is the integration of technology to enhance the shopping experience. Early adopters of technology are likely to want to experiment with new functions in-store and online. Informed – This trend forces brands and retailers to be more transparent in their offerings whether it be in smart packaging, or sustainable value chains. With so much choice, consumers are able to inform themselves and only choose the right product for them. Time-poor – One way of enhancing the customer experience is by increasing efficiency for busy consumers. Click-and-collect and home delivery provide convenient shopping solutions. How? What Next? Next-Generation Shopping is part of the Smart & Connected mega-trend TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Digital-first brands – Digital stores are not prohibitive and allow any small brands to set up shop and sell directly to consumers, meaning shoppers do not need to go through a retailer. Retail going digital – Retailers looking to offer complementary services online to increase touch points with the consumer. Smart home – Smart appliances can track purchases and order directly from e-commerce for consumers. In-store experience – Consumers have heightened expectations of what retail can offer, particularly in terms of options integrated into their personal devices. Retailers need to give consumers a reason to enter physical stores, whether it be through customer experience, personalization, or innovation. Who? 8 The trend balances drivers and inhibitors Security and privacy continue to be concerns, but consumers are balancing them with the positives in this trend Trend Snapshot What? Why? • Security and privacy – As long as brands and e-commerce platforms continue to use data analytics to track consumer preferences and spending, consumers will be wary and suspicious of innovation in shopping. • Accessibility – Cash-free society may have many benefits, but it still prevents many people from accessing the consumer market (consumers who are bank-less, which is quite common in many nations, and those who work in the informal economy). • Digital overload – Consumers also crave human connection and detoxing from social media and digital lifestyles. In a rush to innovate or digitalize, brands and services need to make sure the enhancements are not upgrades just to compete but rather to improve the consumer experience and engagement. How? What Next? Drivers • At-home lifestyle – Due to lockdowns, many products and services have pivoted to at-home offerings. While the situation is not permanent, the new behaviors are likely to be long-lasting and consumers will come to expect services that are offered in the home. • Experiential consumer – As so much happens online, consumers want in-store experiences to be memorable and personalized. • Social media – Consumers – particular members of younger, more digital generations – use social media for more than just connecting with each other. It has become a marketplace with access to influencers and brands that are big and small, which means consumers have more choice than ever before. • Smartphone adoption – As more consumers are gaining access to Internet and smart phones, the opportunity for a hyper-connected shopping experience becomes increasingly more feasible. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Inhibitors Who? • New consumers and markets – Digitalization of shopping means increased accessibility to new consumer groups and developing markets. These groups are open to innovation and with less development, it means there are opportunities for new trends and behaviors to develop. 9 An empowered consumer drives this trend This trend intersects the consumer-centric model with technological innovation Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? How? What Next? Dimensions: key characteristics of the Next-Generation Shopping trend Transparency – Consumers are informed and want to know about the products they buy. Transparency is key for consumers in purchase decisions and trusting a brand. Constant Evolution – Because so much of this trend is based in technology, it is changing everyday as brands try to offer increasingly unique and innovative experiences and shopping solutions. Empowered consumers – Consumers have access to so much choice and information to be discerning in their choices. Direct to consumer (D2C) – Consumers can now bypass more easily than ever traditional gatekeepers and purchase any brand online directly. Cause Cause Action Action Source: Images from Shutterstock Consumer-centric approach – It is more than a price war, it is about providing a service that is centered on the consumer in order to be the consumer's first choice. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Experience – The buying experience is more important than ever and this influences purchase decisions in all categories. Retail experience – Retailers know they are competing with D2C and so they must enhance the customer experience in-store with convenience, innovation, technology, and service. 10 Trend Analysis Relevance of trends by sector Food and personal care are the most relevant sectors to this trend as consumers often prioritize personalization and experiences in these categories Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? Personal care High relevance – technology, personalization, and AI have led to massive changes in personal care, allowing for instore and online unique experiences in personal care. Alcoholic drinks Medium relevance – for consumers looking to cut back on booze, apps, and labeling can help. What Next? Non-alcoholic drinks Medium relevance – for health conscious consumers, smart labeling or health apps can help consumers track their intake of sugars/calories. Smart & Connected Household care Medium relevance – new shopping touch points for "essentials" such as toilet roll and washing machine pod subscriptions, this sector is increasingly part of the trend. Tobacco and e-cigarettes Low relevance – due to regulations and taxation in this category, this trend does not apply here. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Food High relevance – smart labeling for health and ingredients, experiential tastes and a globalized world thanks to digitalization offers more variety and experiences with food for consumers. How? Pet care Medium relevance – while normally pet care isn't linked to innovation, consumers continue to care about their pets like family and new products and services tailored to pet owners are being introduced. 12 Relevance of trends by sector Retail, foodservice, and packaging are consumer-facing and service-oriented and so this is a key area for innovation Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? How? What Next? Foodservice Packaging High relevance – this is the most important facet of Next-Generation Shopping because this is where the changes are being seen in shopping habits. Whether it be in a physical bricks-and-mortar store or through e-commerce, the expectations for the retail experience are to be extremely consumercentric. The ideal retail experience will help consumers easily find the products they need, but also offer an experience to encourage more shopping and to try new products. With so many options, especially D2C, retailers have the increased pressure of competing with brands that can offer a seamless direct to consumer product. Retailers must provide the experience for the next generation shopper. High relevance – in foodservice, consumers are looking for a delicious but also sanitary and safe eating experience thanks to the global pandemic. As a result, digital tools and services have been developed and adjusted for a more hesitant and cautious foodservice patron. Full transparency and innovation will be expected of foodservice going forward in a time of social distancing and sterilized society. High relevance – this is often where consumers have direct access to smart technology, in the forms of QR codes or smart packaging. With consumers always connected, incorporated smart packaging with their personal smartphone devices is an easy way to build an experience, engagement and collect data on consumer behavior. This is likely to continue to improve and, as consumers look for contactless shopping, smart packaging will be key for those consumers wanting to protect themselves. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Retail 13 Consumers spending more time shopping online Personal care is the top category in which consumers say they are spending more time shopping online Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? 23% 22% 21% Household cleaning 20% Other food products Consumers are migrating towards online shopping, influenced by the risk of coronavirus in stores and the convenience that comes with online shopping. This mode of shopping is continuing to become more mainstream in all categories. While clothing and footwear has always been major in e-commerce, the pandemic has led consumers looking for a wardrobe change, even while in quarantine, to consider shopping online for clothing. And thanks to innovations in sizing technology, consumers can be more confident that their items will fit. 16% Dairy food products 15% Juices and squash 15% Soft drinks 15% White milk 15% Dairy beverages or liquids 14% Plant-based dairy alternatives 12% Source: [1] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2 In household cleaning, buying more affordable options in large quantities can give consumers the peace of mind that they will have the products on hand when they need them and will not have to worry about carrying them home. Alcohol has been particularly popular in subscription boxes as it creates an entertaining experience as well as giving consumers the opportunity to experiment with new flavors. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Personal care Alcoholic beverages What Next? Shopping online save consumers time and allow for easy price comparisons Global by category: consumers who say they are spending slightly/significantly more time shopping online since outbreak of COVID-191 Clothing and footwear How? Personal care has shown the most interest in online shopping, with subscription boxes being a key driver. Consumers are able to test new products and new forms of AI technology and smart mirrors mean that consumers can find customized solutions in beauty and grooming. 14 Food: high relevance Food is an "experience" and there are opportunities to innovate this experience as well as emphasizing convenience Trend Snapshot What? High relevance in food Because consumers are more informed and can access information from various channels before adding to their virtual or physical shopping cart, they expect transparency and customized products for their needs. Consumers can easily scan e-commerce sites to compare prices and food quality, as well as all available offerings from infinite number of brands. For food retailers in the physical space, creating a shopping experience that is both convenient and efficient for some, but also experiential and unique, will bring in customers who might be looking for both or one or the other. Who? This trend is relevant for both those who are looking for convenience and/or artisanal Food culture has never been more experiential and consumers have never been more discerning. More than half of global consumers consider themselves a foodie and consider craft/artisanal food/drinks to be of higher quality. As a result, brands and retailers know that the weekly food shop is not always about buying the best value for money. Rather, consumers have the expectation of an experience or a product that is tailored to their particular needs and lifestyle. There is an emphasis on provenance and quality. Features such as smart labeling so consumers can follow the "story" of their food, or opportunities to customize their favorite products to fit within their lifestyle whether in terms of ethics or diet (which are often intertwined). At the same time, consumers are also timepoor and convenience-minded. Next-Generation Shopping allows for technology not only to help inform consumers about products, but also to be integrated into their lifestyles. 55% 54% of global consumers consider craft/artisanal food/drinks to be higher quality1. of global consumers consider themselves a "foodie"1. Source: [1] GlobalData 2019 Q4 global consumer survey; [2] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2 How? What Next? COVID-19's impact COVID-19 has changed the way that consumers eat and purchase foods. For example, 50% of global consumers say that they prefer packaged/sealed food and drinks to fresh/freshly prepared alternatives2. COVID-19 has led consumers to re-think priorities. There is an emphasis on sealed packaging due to concerns over hygiene. This may turn out to be more important than shopping at waste-free shops with refillable containers. 45% of global consumers also said that they have changed the types of groceries I typically buy.2 Behavior such as panic-buying has led consumers to buy more non-perishables as they last longer on the shelves, but have also been through processes that reduce the risk of contagion. Some consumer habits will be hard to go back to the way they were before the pandemic. The concern about packaging and safety will likely remain for a while and so, long-term, brands need to find ways to ensure consumers have peace of mind, but also can fulfil the consumer need to experience the food they enjoy. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Next-Generation Shopping has a high relevance in food not only because it represents a large portion of a consumer's regular spending, but also because, for many people, it can be linked to an integral part of their lifestyle and identity. As a result, the shopping experience is important for consumers. Why? 15 Personal care: high relevance Applying this trend to personal care allows consumers to feel their products are made just for their needs Trend Snapshot What? High relevance in personal care As a result, major brands/retailers are constantly innovating. Natural personal care brand, Lush, known for its sensory experiences in its stores, launched in Tokyo in 2019 with a technological and sensory experience. Consumers in-store can use the Lush Lab app to scan items as they do their shopping to learn about the product and trace its provenance. There are also interactive multimedia experiences for customers. Technology not only creates the new shopping experience, it helps design new products that are customized. New products can utilize AI to come up with customized solutions based on the consumer's skincare needs. Who? How? Innovation allows for "smarter" personal care products that offer customization What Next? COVID-19's impact Personal care has always been linked to technology and innovation as brands often endeavor have always claimed how its solutions are scientifically engineered for the consumer. However, increasingly, the shopping experience is also expected to be engineered for the consumer. COVID-19 has forced consumers indoors but that does not mean they want their skincare regimes to end. In fact, this has been a perfect opportunity for consumers to try new products and experiment and they have been using online 63% of global consumers say that in beauty and grooming, they are influenced by how platforms to do so. digitally smart the product is. Meanwhile, 85% say they are influenced by how tailored it 22% of global consumers say that they are is to them.3 buying more personal care items online than before due to COVID-192. What this means to retailers and brands looking to design the shopping experience is that consumers look not only at the formulation and customization of the product, but Going forward, brands and retailers need to treat at in-store or online experiences that reflect the brand's quality and performance. This the internet not just as complementary to the incan be in the form of traceability of ingredients or technology used to show how the store experience, but rather as a key channel products can be personalized to each consumer. that expands their reach globally. And so the online experience must be smart, personalized Global: "What do you typically purchase online," 20191 and engaging. 67% 57% Clothing/footwear Holidays/travel 52% Household products 47% Beauty/grooming Source: [1] GlobalData 2019 Q4 global consumer survey; [2] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 1, [3] GlobalData 2018 Q3 global consumer survey TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Personal care is, of course, personal. As a result, the experience of the product and the purchase decision is very personal as consumers expect their beauty and grooming regime to reflect their specific needs. Why? The fourth-most purchased category online is beauty and grooming. There is interest in buying online and innovation is showing how the industry can reach consumers at home. 16 Alcoholic drinks: medium relevance This category is evolving, bringing the pub or bar experience into the home Trend Snapshot What? Medium relevance in alcoholic drinks One-fifth of global consumers' alcoholic purchase decisions are always influenced by how enjoyable and unique alcoholic beverages are. Since alcoholic beverages are linked to leisure and socializing, it makes sense that consumers make this a priority in their choices. For brands, this means associating their products with a particular lifestyle or experience. That being said, trends such as wellness and moderation and sustainability mean that at the same time consumers expect alcohol companies to also be able to fulfill these needs in packaging, formulations and marketing. Who? How? What Next? Alcohol subscription services allow for personalization and experimentation Thanks to trends such as at-home meal kits and subscription boxes in various categories, the alcohol category has evolved in terms of occasions. Monthly personalized beer subscriptions and natural wine deliveries have also increased the variety of brands and alcoholic beverages that consumers are exposed to. As a result, smaller and more niche brands have been successful thanks to social media marketing and e-commerce. As a result of quarantines, the foodservice industry has been testing take-out cocktails and consumers are recreating the bar and pub experiences through video meeting groups and at-home bar kits. The key point here is that enjoyment and a unique experience are key to the category and so the future of shopping in this category will involve creating enjoyable experiences that are also safe and personalized for a consumer who may be spending more time consuming alcohol in the home than before. For smaller brands in particular, subscription boxes removes a lot of the barriers to entering the market. Since they do not have to go through a retailer, which can be costly, they can promote themselves through their own subscription services or through partnerships with other services to get directly into the hands of consumers. Global: consumers who are always influenced by the following factors when choosing alcoholic drinks, 2018 1 9% How the world around me is changing 17% How familiar/trustworthy a product is 16% How product aligns with my time/money constraints 15% How well it is tailored to my personality How digitally/smart product is How environmentally/sustainable the product is 6% 9% 21% How enjoyable/unique a product is How it impacts my health and wellbeing Source: [1] GlobalData 2018 Q3 global consumer survey TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Many of the existing trends in other categories are relevant in alcohol from direct-to-consumer to sustainability and transparency. However, with alcohol, a one-size-fits all analysis is not possible due to laws and regulations that can change by country or even within various regions. But this is also why the Next-Generation Shopping trend is important for alcohol – how can brands and retailers work within some of the limitations of the category to still bring that experience to consumers? Why? 17% 17 Non-alcoholic drinks: medium relevance As a regular purchase, non-alcoholic beverages need to provide convenient but also ethical purchase options that can be communicated with smart labeling Trend Snapshot What? Medium relevance in non-alcoholic drinks In terms of hot drinks like tea or coffee, the at-home café experience continues to evolve as brands develop subscription services and experiential services which are particularly relevant due to lockdown. Who? How? What Next? This trend is particularly relevant to health-conscious consumers who want to know where their products originate Non-alcoholic beverages is a broad category and so it encompasses many consumer trends and behaviors. As a regularly purchased category – one third of consumers buy them once per week – convenience and accessibility are key. With the at-home lifestyle evolving and consumers limiting their time outdoors, brands in categories like coffee or tea or carbonated drinks are offering products and services that allow consumers to customize their drinks (SodaStream, for example) to create drinks that fit within their tastes but are also in control of their sugar intake. In particular, consumers closely monitor their non-alcoholic drinks as, unlike alcoholic drinks, they know they can find healthy options and they look for functionality in addition to flavor and/or experience. While alcohol might brand an experience or lifestyle, nonalcoholic packaging is important to emphasize the provenance and freshness of ingredients as well as health benefits. This is where smart labeling can come in which pushes these brands to be transparent in ingredients and health benefits. Packaging can be an important tool in the product's narrative and for consumers who value this type of detail. Daily Global: how often do you shop for non-alcoholic beverages?, 20191 10% I do not shop for these products/Someone else in my household purchases them 26% 9% Once a month Once a week 16% 7% Once every few months Several times a week Source: [1] GlobalData 2019 Q3 global consumer survey; 81% TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping One of the major changes in how non-alcoholic beverages are being marketed is as a trendy and unique alternative to alcohol, particularly for those who want to limit or stop drinking alcohol. As a result, there is the expectation that the brands can offer not so much an alternative to alcohol, but rather a unique drinking experience all on its own. Consumers who are switching to these beverages are likely interested in health and wellness and so this is where smart labeling to trace ingredients, or integrated into their smart watches or health apps is vital. Why? of global consumers say they pay attention to the ingredients in food/drinks they consumer1. 32% 18 Household care and tobacco and e-cigarettes: low relevance While less relevant in household care and tobacco, consumers still express preferences in flavors and fragrances and so purchase options need to encourage trial Trend Snapshot What? Low relevance in household care Low relevance in tobacco and e-cigarettes Thanks to varying legislation, it can be difficult navigating the regulatory framework in each country. Many of the innovation in shopping and consumer behavior are difficult to apply to countries that might have plain packaging legislation or limited access points. E-commerce and harm reduction products could be seen as opportunities going forward as a way to continue to stay relevant with younger consumers even as smoking rates drop. Who? While a functional product, the emotional aspect and "peace of mind" cannot be underrated Typically, at home essentials and cleaning products, might not have elicited excitement among the average consumer. However, e-retailers such as Amazon have offered automatic refills and "essential" packages that show how these products can be part of digitalization of shopping and provide consumers with peace of mind. How? What Next? Global top three: "What type of fragrances do you prefer in household cleaning products?", 20191 43% 33% Refreshing Floral/herbal 21% 21% Calming Fruity Particularly thanks to COVID-19, essentials such as at-home hygiene and household cleaning and of course toilet paper have been in high demand, changing how consumers look at these products and their important value in the household. Low relevance due to restrictions Due to regulations, tobacco brands have to be careful about marketing (in particular, they need to avoid being seen as using flavored tobacco to appeal to young people), but there are lots of opportunities for innovation in terms of harm reduction such as e-cigarettes. As vaping offers many opportunities to try out new flavors, like coffee pods for Keurig, brands can still adapt the category to existing shopping trends such as subscription boxes. As consumers enjoy experimenting with flavors, tobacco companies can also design new experiences and sensory experiences to enhance the experience. Source: [1] GlobalData 2019 Q4 global consumer survey; Global top three: "Which flavors appeal to you in smoking/smoking alternative products", 20191 58% 42% 27% Tobacco Menthol/Minty Fruity TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Household care might be less engaging than other categories, but in this particular climate, these products are very important. In fact, consumers are quite opinionated about which fragrances they prefer and these products are integral to defining a consumer's home, especially while spending more time indoors. While still in the early stages, there is the opportunity for brands to connect with consumers in a more experiential way, as well as offer new shopping occasions such as subscription boxes. Why? 19 Pet care: medium relevance Consumers want products for their pets that reflect their digital lifestyles Trend Snapshot What? Medium relevance in pet care Location trackers and live feeds at home also give consumers peace of mind that their pets are safe while they are away from home. In this sector there is a wide range in types of consumers and their priorities and so digitalization of the pet care shopping experience can find ways to reach these consumers at whichever is most convenient and offer products and services that reflect the way they want to offer the best health, food, and lifestyle for their pets. Who? How? Convenience and consistency are needs that can be met with creative shopping services Pet owners are particular about what they feed their pets. They are influenced by how personalized and also how convenient the product is. For pet owners, subscription services are a key way to create consistency and loyalty in their pet care purchases. Over one-third of pet owners said they would be open to subscription services for pet products and so the timing is key right now to market to these consumers as their habits are evolving. Global: "How influential are the following factors when choosing products for your pets?"*, 20181 66% 62% 61% What Next? COVID-19's impact Subscriptions for pet foods and products became more relevant during lockdown as consumers were panic-buying these products for their pets. Going forward, it is expected that subscription boxes or regular refills will be popular as pet owners are likely to be consistent in the type of dog food or cat litter they purchase. 19% of global pet owners actively use a subscription service for pet products"1. 38% TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Next-Generation Shopping is of medium relevance as innovation continues to evolve in this category. Pet owners look for products to reflect their lifestyles and this doesn't end at pet care. This could be seen in shopping local or for natural products. This can also be shown in the way they shop. Convenience is often key for consumers and so easier ways to shop and avoid carrying large packages such as dog food or bedding for small animals. Why? 34% How enjoyable or unique product is How digitally advanced/smart a product is How well product is How well product fits tailored to needs and within time/money personality of my pet constraints *Respondents who say always/often Source: [1] GlobalData 2018 Q3 global consumer survey, [2] GlobalData 2018 Q4 global consumer survey of global pet owners would consider using a subscription-based service for pet products"1. 20 Foodservice: high relevance COVID-19 has forced foodservice to re-evaluate their business models but also are seeing the benefit of direct delivery to better understand their customers Trend Snapshot What? High relevance in foodservice The definition of foodservice has also evolved from the basic pizza delivery. Instead, consumers can order meal kits to still feel like they are cooking, can buy from smaller, local places, and can get customized options. This also allows smaller and local foodservice restaurants a democratizing opportunity as they can access the same platform as the big foodservice operators. Health and experimentation is also prevalent here. Consumers want to be able to have transparent access to ingredients. They are also always open to trying new flavors from across the globe while still offering familiar flavors. As a result, brands are looking to provide authenticity and transparency in foodservice and technology facilitates this engagement with consumers. Who? How? Digitalization allows foodservice operators to track consumer preferences, personalize their offerings, and build brand loyalty Foodservice has long been considered a people-first experience as a huge portion of the industry relates to human interaction and customer service. However, digitalization and some key foodservice leaders have found ways to use technology to enhance the consumer experience. Cafés and QSRs have apps to collect points which help build brand loyalty but also to track flavor and product preferences in order to make customized recommendations and offer discounts. There has also been a pivot to more delivery and take-out options in all levels of foodservice to appeal to the convenience trend. Coffee brands to pizza to fine dining are offered for at-home enjoyment and brands either develop their own unique system or use third party apps. Consumers have so many options and recommendations at their fingertips. Global: "How has COVID-19 impacted how often you eat the following meals outside? Significantly less frequently than before"1 19% 24% 24% Breakfast Lunch Dinner Source: [1] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2 22% What Next? COVID-19's impact Foodservice is perhaps the hardest hit area due to COVID-19 as consumers have stayed in during lockdown. Through the period, many foodservice operators closed or re-evaluated their business model through meal kits, at-home delivery, and maintaining engagement on social media such as sharing recipes of fan favorites. The hit has shown complacent operators that the model is changing. As consumers have become accustomed to the athome experience, will they feel the need to return to foodservice, or prefer the convenience of staying on the couch? Foodservice operators will need to figure out how to stay afloat considering they will run under capacity due to social distancing rules. In addition, QSRs and cafés in business areas are suffering due to consumers working from home, forcing high street chains to also re-evaluate. 51% TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Next-Generation Shopping is of high relevance to the foodservice sector as a key strategy to build and incentivize brand loyalty as well as to understand consumer preferences and tastes. Why? Of global consumers say they will dine at home instead of in restaurants once pandemic period ends1. Snack between meals 21 Retail: high relevance The pandemic has led consumers to look more toward online shopping than before Trend Snapshot What? High relevance in retail Often, this trend is seen in how e-retailers provide customized recommendations and track the consumer journey through digital methods. However, increasingly brands and retailers are finding ways to track the consumer journey from digital to bricks-and-mortar as a way to understand the consumer decision-making process. Retail also allows for real-time experimentation. Globally, flagship stores test out new technology and consumer engagement and can then gauge the success of different innovations. Consumers are still spending more money in bricks-andmortar locations than online, but online is still often a key introduction point for the consumer. As a result, physical stores need to build on the expectation for a technological and consumercentric approach to fit consumer needs. Who? How? Retailers need to find a mix between quality customer service, technology and sustainability Retailers have access to consumers at many more touch points than before. This could be a blessing or a curse, since it is a race to ensure that at these touch points your brand has more meaningful engagement than the competition. This is why retail is where there are high levels of innovation to build engagement and experience for consumers whether at home or in bricks-and-mortar locations. What Next? COVID-19's impact COVID-19's impact cannot be overstated: it has been disastrous for many retailers, particularly in the fashion sector. There have been brands declaring bankruptcy, massive layoffs, and a complete overhaul of business models. One of the key take-outs is that the fast fashion model is not In addition, as with most sectors, sustainability is part of the discussion. Online may be foolproof and this sector has had to reckon with convenient, but consumers are also aware that with this convenience comes at a cost not only its environmental impact, but also to the environment as well as conditions for workers. Next-Generation Shopping in whether or not the business model can survive retail should be able to incorporate technology as a way to offer more ethical services. crises. However, smaller boutiques have benefited from increased interest in buying local and supporting community businesses as they pivot to offering more online services. 46% of global consumers say they will buy more online than in stores once 2 pandemic period ends . For the larger corporations it has been a case of 1 re-evaluating online offers as well as reconfiguring UK: balancing the convenience of online with sustainability store layouts and making safety adjustments, UK: "I think the packaging online which take time and effort to implement on a UK: "I would be willing to wait longer orders come in is often unnecessary" large scale. As consumers spend time shopping for environmentally-friendly delivery" online, particularly in fashion and footwear, the opportunities for AI and innovation to personalize offerings will be key to winning. Certain retailers 64% 79% have already started doing this, but the pandemic has pushed the more traditional retailers to do so Agree/strongly agree as well. Agree/Strongly agree Source: [1] GlobalData's 2020 E-Retail survey of 10,000 nationally representative UK online shoppers, [2] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2 TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping The trend is of high relevance in retail as the sector continues need to keep up with the latest expectations from consumers of an experiential and customized shopping experience. Why? 22 Packaging: high relevance Engagement, security, and transparency drive this trend in packaging Trend Snapshot What? High relevance in packaging Global: "I am concerned about the safety of the packaging of the products I purchase"1 13% 10% 21% 32% Neither agree nor disagree / Don't know Somewhat agree Who? Packaging has to advance as shopping platforms do as well Packaging must reflect the fact that shopping has become increasingly digitalized. The industry has to keep up with features such as contactless payments, e-commerce and at-home delivery and cashier-less stores. Packaging can reflect the brand's narrative and storytelling, the brand's ethics as well as the product's overall quality. Consumers are discerning and look for brands that are personalized and integrate easily into their lives. The packaging is an important part of the shopping experience. Not only because of aesthetics, but how consumers perceive the brand. In addition, D2C trend on the rise among multinational brands means these companies have to change their approach, cutting out the middleman perhaps. As opposed to simply being concerned about the packaging of each individual product, the supply-chain process can be altered due to the fact that they will be responsible for designing subscription boxes or packaged options. Not only that, but consumers expect design and experience with D2C home boxes and so this is an opportunity for brands to look to packaging experts as the outside becomes just as important as the products on the inside. How? What Next? COVID-19's impact Due to health and safety concerns, the opportunity to develop smart packaging is ripe. Consumers are concerned about the safety of packaging and so scanfriendly packaging or QR codes can provide peace of mind as to the hygiene and security of the packaging. In addition, as consumers are becoming more accustomed to click-and-collect shopping or delivery, brands need to ensure the packaging is more robust and also flexible to accommodate more products that might have not been delivered before. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Innovative package design is of high relevance in NextGeneration Shopping as it can offer many answers to common consumer questions based on trust and transparency as well as build an engaging experience with the consumer. Innovation in packaging can be easily integrated into the Next-Generation Shopping trend as consumers are already hyper-connected and, with technology as simple as scanning a QR code, consumers can learn about the product, enter a contest or play a game, and even pay for the product with ease. Why? Somewhat disagree Strongly agree 24% Strongly disagree Source: [1] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2, Photo from Shutterstock 23 Consumers look for products and services that are convenient In order to grow s-commerce, target consumers who are spending time on social media but not buying yet – studying these groups will help conversion rates Trend Snapshot What? Reaching consumers where they are Social media is key for this. While profiles are a wealth of information on consumer groups, there are a number of resources such as direct advertising as well as influencer marketing where consumers can buy directly from the platform through the Instagram store. Social media, easily integrated into the lives of consumers, easily integrates advertising and it can be hard to differentiate the content from advertising. With so many accessible channels for consumers, the efficiency and convenience factors are key competitive advantage in this channel. Who? Global: "What best describes your shopping behavior: products that are trending on social media," 20191 I am interested, and I actively buy such products 24% How? What Next? Global: "What best describes your shopping behavior: products that save me time and effort," 20191 61% 35% I am interested, but do not actively buy such products 30% 8% I am not interested, and do not actively buy such products 41% 59% of global consumers say they are interested in products that are trending on social media As consumers spend time on social media as part of the lockdown, there are more opportunities to reach consumers on these platforms. What cannot be ignored as well is that 41% of consumers are interested in but do not actively buy products trending on social media. This shows a developing trend of consumers who do their browsing on social media channels but may not buy there yet. Source: [1] GlobalData 2019 Q3 global consumer survey I am interested, and I actively buy such products I am interested, but do I am not interested, and not actively buy such do not actively buy such products products 91% of global consumers say they are interested in products that save them time and effort This is the opportunity for brands to reach consumers who are looking for easy solutions. This is why the increase in demand for essentials such as toilet paper subscriptions (which the pandemic led) is an example of consumers looking to avoid the usual supermarket shopping experience for many of their usual items. While they say they are looking for products that save them time and effort, they are also looking for services that can do the same. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Consumers are busy and have access to so much information and brands know that that it is best to understand consumer touch points and be proactive in finding their particular needs and preferences where they are most active. Why? 24 Consumers want trustworthy and convenient products Opportunity in smart labeling for discerning consumers looking for health and transparency Trend Snapshot What? Why? Global: "My choice of food/drinks is influenced by the source/origin of ingredients," 20191 Who? How? What Next? Global: consumers who say they are always/often influenced by the following aspects/features, 20182 71% How familiar/trustworthy it feels 68% How well it is tailored to my needs/personality 68% Impact on health and wellness 65% How enjoyable/unique 64% How ethical/socially responsible Completely Completely agree disagree Neither agree nor disagree Somewhat agree Somewhat disagree 50% How digitally advanced/smart it is 44% Choices are driven by how the world is changing around me 43% The top factors that influence consumer purchase decisions are familiarity, convenience, and personalization TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping How well it aligns with time/money contraints These are key features seen in the Next-Generation Shopping trend. Consumers care about the products they consume and their ingredients and so technology can fulfill this need. Consumers look to brands for transparency, and digitalization and smart labeling help consumers build trust as brands are forced to be more transparent in the provenance of its products. In addition, convenience continues to be key as brands are regularly looking for ways to streamline the consumer journey and to limit the number of steps needed to make a purchase. This leads well into the third factor; personalization. Online tools and tracking can help brands and retailers track the consumer journey and provide tailored recommendations so that not only the consumer feels like they have a customized recommendation, but it also simplifies the shopping experience. Source: [1] GlobalData 2019 Q4 global consumer survey, [2] GlobalData 2018 Q4 global consumer survey 25 Consumers are changing the way they shop and pay Subscription boxes are purchased and paid for online – while at the same time, we see the increase in consumer interest in living more cash-free – all of these behaviors show how business models and payment programs influence each other Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? How? What Next? How interested are you in using subscription services for the following products2 28% of global consumers agree that they will pay for products or services only with cards or mobile phone instead of cash. 1 31% 23% 20% 24% Food New forms of payments or bringing digital payments to the mainstream means that the shopping experience will be changed. Cash-less systems remove the needs for tills or even cashiers. Consumers could scan and pay for a product at the shelf. This could lead to brands better tracking shopping behavior and integrating recommendations and customized offers. 29% 27% 9% 13% Alcohol Non-alcoholic beverages I am interested and actively use 16% 20% 18% 13% 13% Beauty/grooming Household care/laundry Pet products Children's products I don't currently use, but would consider using in the future Subscription boxes have exploded in all categories in the last few years, but the quarantine measures globally have fast-tracked the mainstream appeal Food subscription boxes is the most commonly used by consumers currently, likely as the industry has been active for a number of years in the form of meal kits for busy families and professionals. Now they have a greater variety of options, cuisines, and subscription types. Beauty and grooming is in second place as subscription services let consumers experiment with new shades and palettes and are a lower cost way to test new products. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping 55% The most interesting take-out is the future interest in trying subscription boxes. At 31%, the most promising category is in household care. This has been growing in popularity as "essential" products such as toilet paper or laundry detergents are being offered in subscription services or automatic refills through e-commerce sites. These types of service are less related to experimentation and experience and more about cost-saving and the convenience benefits of having these delivered to consumer's door so they do not forget to restock. Source: [1] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2, [2] GlobalData Global Consumer Survey 2018 Q4 26 Interest in the trend varies by generation Millennials' purchasing power and digital lifestyles make them a leader in trendsetting Trend Snapshot Why? Who? How? What Next? Global: "What describes your shopping behavior?", products trending on social media, 2019 1 of global consumers who say they actively buy products trending on social media also actively buy products/services that save them time and effort 27% 20% 35% 58% 50% 45% 42% Deeper dive: By generation 23% Gen X 82% Millennials 78% Gen Z 58% Gen Z 76% 33% 35% Gen Y 23% Gen X I am not interested, and do not actively buy such products I am interested, and I actively buy such products 9% Boomers 20% 4% Silent Gen I am interested, but do not actively buy such products Millennials, like in the case of many trends, have been early adopters of social media shopping TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping 78% What? Consumers, especially the younger generations like Millennials and Generation Z, are digital natives and so they are accustomed to the evolving landscape of consumer markets. As early adopters, they experiment with new platforms and business models, which often leads to brands following their new behaviors. Millennials in particular are interested in products they buy on social media as a way to save them time and effort. Social media shopping on Instagram, for example, where a consumer can see an influencer posting and click to buy, has allowed for both smaller brands to thrive and big players to stay relevant among younger consumers. Overall, consumers who say they buy products on social media are looking for products that save them time and effort. What this means is no matter the generation, consumers want offerings that are convenient and since social media is always in the consumers' back pocket for easy access throughout the day, brands need to understand that consumers will increasingly use it as part of their shopping behavior. Currently Generation Z is behind Millennials in this trend, but as they grow into the consumer class and have more agency, they will become the consumers that set the trend. Source: [1] GlobalData Global Consumer Survey 2019 Q3 27 Regional view: health concerns and shopping intentions Consumers globally are concerned about visiting shops during the pandemic and consumers are turning to e-commerce to assuage their concerns Trend Snapshot What? Why? Europe 17% Asia 56% MEA 62% S. America 40% MEA 24% Asia 33% What Next? Globally, consumers are unsure of the future of retail, and this is shown in their concerns about visiting stores and shopping outlets as they reopen. To tackle these concerns, it is vital that retailers continue to evolve the shopping experience to provide consumers with peace of mind on the safety and security measures. This could be a new opportunity to implement new, cash-free or more tech-savvy methods for shopping that limits human interaction for hygienic purposes. In Africa, mobile banking and payments are quite common and China is a leading player in evolving retail experience. Due to the changing conditions under quarantine and the next phases as things reopen, concerned consumers could choose their brand/retailers based on which means the cleanest and safest experience. In addition, consumers claim they intend to spend more time shopping online for groceries. For those consumers who would like to minimize their time in supermarkets (which is often a weekly or multiple times a week occurrence), online provides a safer alternative. In developing nations, this could be seen as the development of new e-commerce and delivery platforms specializing in grocery delivery. S. America 28% Source: [COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2 TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Europe 33% N. America 62% How? Consumers who say they intend to spend slightly/significantly more time shopping for groceries online Consumers who say they are extremely/quite concerned about visiting stores and shopping outlets N. America 30% Who? 28 Global view: shopping behavior is driven by connectivity By 2019, 73% of Internet users were in the developing world, an over 20 percentage point jump since 2008, showing the shift in connected consumers in these markets Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? How? What Next? By country: consumers who somewhat/strongly agree: "I will order grocery deliveries from online meal delivery services (e.g. Uber Eats) more often than before"1 India Brazil South Africa USA 57% 55% 54% 54% 34% 67% UAE Italy UK 41% 41% 37% 29% 87% 56% 95% 63% Sweden 24% Germany 19% 14% 84% 96% 95% By country: internet penetration2 The case for the developing world leading Next-Generation Shopping Internet penetration isn't the gold standard for openness to innovation. In fact, developing countries – where smartphone and internet penetration may be smaller than developed nations – show openness to more tech-forward services such as mobile banking and contactless payments and delivery and take-out as they have adopted these systems quickly. The number of Internet users in developing countries has overshadowed numbers of users in developed countries due to increased access and population growth, so the future Next-Generation Shopping consumer is in this part of the world going forward, and they show they are ready for this. Top four: somewhat/strongly agree that "I will pay for products/services only with cards or using my mobile phone, instead of cash" 1 Individuals using the internet (in millions), developed vs developing countries, 2018 2 2019 2008 73% 74% 68% 65% 65% Source: [1] COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2, [2] International Telecommunication Union (2018) 52% 48% Developed Developed Developing Developing TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping China 27% 29 Consumers are split on experiences vs products When asked whether they prefer products to experiences, most groups are relatively equal, showing that the two are inextricably linked and must be taken into account when designing products/services for all consumers Trend Snapshot What? By demographics: Which of the following do you find most exciting? Why? Who? How? By gender: Men and women are almost equally split on preference 51% Women show a slight preference for trying new products over experiences By generation: Silent Generation slightly prefer experiences while Millennials want products VS Trying new experiences Trying new products Global average: consumers are equally split 49.6% 50.4% Trying new experiences Trying new products By region: Asia and Europe prefer experiences while Middle Eastern consumers show high preference for products 49% 51% 51% 49% 49% 51% 62% 38% Silent Generation 57% 43% Boomer 53% 46% Generation X 49% 51% Millennials 47% 53% 56% 44% 51% 49% Generation Z Asia/Australia Central/South America Europe Trying new experiences Source: [1] GlobalData 2018 Q4 global consumer survey TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping 50% Men show equal preference on experiences vs products What Next? Middle East North America Trying new products 30 Concerns around accessibility to groceries differ by generation and locality Millennials and those in cities are most concerned about how the pandemic will affect accessibility to food Trend Snapshot What? Why? City vs country: consumers who say they are concerned about availability of basic groceries due to Coronavirus1 How? Top three by generation: consumers who say they are concerned about availability of basic groceries due to Coronavirus1 What Next? Top three by generation: consumers who say they will spend slightly/significantly more time shopping for groceries online than before due to Coronavirus1 Gen X 67% 94% 94% Abu Dhabi/UAE Gen Z 76% Gen X 23% 89% 90% Mumbai/India New York/USA 79% Cape Town/South… 68% Sydney/Australia 66% London/UK 55% Rome/Italy 52% 74% Behaviors by generation: "Which behaviors will you continue (or start) in postpandemic 'new normal'"1 72% 58% 45% 51% 37% 31% Largest City Country 30% 33% In 7 out 11 countries surveyed, consumers in the countries' largest cities were more concerned about availability of basic groceries than national average. Source: COVID19 Recovery Tracker Survey Week 2 52% 48% 47% 44% 42% 63% 54% 51% 49% 22% Stockholm/Swed en 29% 80% 78% 74% Sao Paulo/Brazil Millennials Millennials 92% Gen Z 17% 32% 34% 19% 4% Silent Gen Boomers Gen X Millennials Gen Z Working from home instead of in the office Buying more products online rather than visiting a store Dine at home instead of in restaurants Millennials lead in postpandemic behavior that will affect shopping behaviors. Working from home means fewer occasions for stops to the shops after work and dining in means more foodservice opportunities in delivery. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping 96% 95% Shanghai/China Berlin/Germany Who? 31 How to capitalize on the trend: food D2C snacking and alternative menu options are key innovations for hyper-connected consumers Trend Snapshot What? Create new occasions Who? Use technology to be agile Home Chef is a popular meal kit delivery service where consumers receive the ingredients and recipes to prepare at home. As consumers are time-poor but still want to eat healthy, the meal kit is a successful endeavor. For meal kit brands, the benefit of this business model is that it can adapt to trends. In June 2020, it announced it was partnering with Impossible Foods – consumers could swap out meat for plant-based ingredients in their recipes. Brands like Home Chef understand consumer trends and can pivot and innovate as needed which is especially important as technology evolves so quickly2. Source: [1] PepsiCo website, 2020, [2] PR Newswire July 2020, [3] The Verge, July 2020 How? What Next? Technology for sustainability In July 2020, KFC Russia announced it was launching chicken nuggets using 3D bioprinting technology. These laboratoryproduced nuggets are made with animal cells, KFC spices, and some plant materials in order to mimic the real thing. This shows how brands can show they are innovative in terms of technology but also understand the benefits of technology for a more sustainable future – both of which are appealing to consumers. The way that technology and innovation is so well integrated into consumer lifestyles means they are more open to new and more efficient solutions in food for the sustainable and convenienceminded consumer3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping PepsiCo launched PantryShop and Snacks.com quickly in response to lockdown. Consumers build boxes of their favorite products to be sent to their homes. If brands did not take the direct-to-consumer trend seriously, the lockdown is forcing them to do so. Food brands need to understand the evolving lifestyles of all consumers who may be spending more time at home or on-the-go. Their snacking habits will also evolve and so only being offered at convenience stores or supermarkets will not be sufficient. PepsiCo moved quickly to provide convenience and the fun experience of subscription boxes for products as simple as cereal and chocolate bars1. Why? 32 How to capitalize on the trend: non-alcoholic drinks Smart packaging technology helps brands tell the story of their products Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? Use technology for transparency In 2018, PepsiCo bought SodaStream, an at-home carbonated drink manufacturer, for $3.2bn. This was a strategic way to reach consumers in the home and provide personalized flavors for consumers who want to experience new flavors or limit their sugar intake. Consumers can order new flavors and there are opportunities here for subscription services for new flavors, to keep regular consumption of the products. This will help keep PepsiCo from losing relevance among younger and more health- and ethics-aware consumers1. In partnership with Rainforest Alliance, Nestlé's Zoega coffee beans are now part of their products that can be tracked through blockchain just by scanning a QR code on a smartphone. This is yet another example of how the technology in this trend can be used for consumers who want to ensure that their favorite brands are transparent. For the conscious consumer, this trend allows them to better understand the products they consumer and become more informed. This is key and allows brands to stay ahead of competition and create meaningful engagement with consumers2. Source: [1] BBC Aug 2018, [2] FoodBev Media, April 2020, [3] MediaPost May 2019 What Next? Incorporate tech into products In 2019 200 million Pepsi bottles were outfitted with QR codes that consumers can scan for augmented reality filters to be posted on Instagram. This campaign which also partnered with Instagram influencers showed how to integrate, in-store shopping experience of buying a Pepsi with the digital experience of social media engagement and sharing3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Reach more consumers by creating new occasions How? 33 How to capitalize on the trend: alcoholic drinks Technology is used to confirm quality, provide an experience, and tell a product's story Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? Personalization enhances consumer experience Halo delivers cocktails directly to consumers' home. This is a strong example of a brand that understand the evolving lifestyles of consumers and provided a service to meet consumer needs. The brand allows consumers to have the bar experience in their homes and this is likely to continue during and post-pandemic. The brand has also acknowledged the changing world of work. Since consumers cannot stop by the pub after work, Halo offers after-work drinks to colleagues who would like a digital happy hour1. Winc is a personalized wine subscription service. New users fill out a quiz so Winc can understand their palate. Winc then sends the first subscription box and consumers can rate them so that each box will be tailored to the consumer's exact palate. This technology helps create personalized experiences for consumers. Subscription boxes are popular for consumers as it allows them to try new things based on their tastes and interests. Subscription boxes also allow for smaller brands to build brand loyalty and mean consumers might stray from the bigger players2. Source: [1] Halo Website, July 2020, [2] Winc website, July 2020, [3] Everledger website, July 2020 What Next? Use technology to build consumer confidence In 2020 block chain company Everledger launched its technology for the alcohol industry. This is beneficial for consumers and retailers for many reasons: ensures the product is tamper-proof, protect against counterfeiting (which is common in particular regions worldwide) and allow for consumers to track the product's journey and ensure authenticity for aficionados. Everledger helps brands become leaders in the alcohol industry as consumers value knowing the provenance and authenticity of the drinks they consumer. In categories like wine, this is especially important3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Mimic experiences in new locations How? 34 How to capitalize on the trend: personal care Personalization and at-home care lead innovation Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? Mix online with bricks-and-mortar While much of the discussion related to preventing the spread of illness has led consumers to shop online, Meiyume is looking ahead as retailers reopen. Consumers will still want to shop for personal care products in person and sampling is a key sales tactic in make-up. The motion activated machine found in stores dispenses products, meaning the experience is completely hands-free. Not just an important safety measure, the innovative concept is sure to be an experience that will appeal to curious consumers in-store1. Credo has shown the benefits of a digital as well as physical in-store presence for consumers. CredoLive are sessions with sales associates who are trained for online consultations due to the pandemic. Currently there is also a chat function so consumers can speak in real time with Credo team online as well as Instagram Live sessions by experts from various beauty disciplines. Credo's work has shown how a traditional retailer can reposition itself online and maintain meaningful relationships that will allow it to continue to build brand loyalty and encourage shoppers instore. It also understands how to match entertainment with shopping for experiential consumers2. Source: [1] Vogue Business July 2020, [2] Credo 2020, [3] Glam Squad 2020 What Next? Bringing beauty home If consumers cannot go to the salons, the salons can come to them. GlamSquad allows consumers to book appointments with beauty experts who will do treatments in the customer's home. COVID-19 has meant the company has expanded its offerings to include haircuts as well. This offering is a mix of convenience and luxury. GlamSquad is an example that consumers want the personal touch (and not just a digital experience) and opportunities for pampering, but within their changing lifestyle3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Adapt to traditional channels How? 35 How to capitalize on the trend: household care and tobacco and e-cigarettes Smart upgrades to functional and everyday products builds consumer loyalty Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? Build experiences around everyday products For household and essential products, the Amazon Dash app allows consumers to easily refill their regular purchases. With household products such as toilet roll or detergent, consumers tend to be more price-oriented and less loyal to brands. By creating an easy button to refill, consumers consistently shop through Amazon to save time and effort. Amazon creates this habit with its customers and once this habit is well-established, it is difficult to break it1. Clean Cult is a sustainable household cleaner subscription service. Consumers receive regular deliveries of refills of cleaning products. The brand is fun and engaging and encourages consumers to change their cleaning habits. Clean Cult understands that consumers want their purchases to make a positive impact on the environment and the online subscription options allow for consumers to easily change their cleaning product patterns. It also creates experiences as consumers receive the box monthly, adding excitement to household cleaning2. Source: [1] Amazon Dash 2020, [2] Clean Cult 2020, [3] Vype 2020 What Next? Design services that reflect shopping behavior Vype has launched a subscription service for consumers who enjoy vaping tobacco. Consumers can choose their preferred device and then choose flavors to receive monthly. This is an example of a brand understanding evolving lifestyles and new trends and is adapting. Smoking is now digitized and so brands should be offering subscriptions and shopping experiences that reflect the changing demands of digitally native consumers3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Build the consumer habit for loyalty How? 36 How to capitalize on the trend: pet care Humans want to extend their own digital usage into their pets' lives Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? Tap into consumer needs for pets Chewy understood the auto-refill system used by the likes of Amazon and applied it to pet food. Pet owners tend to purchase the same products every month once they have food their animal loves. So this system is a perfect way to set up a subscription service that requires no effort from the consumer and benefits the brand in terms of regular sales and loyalty. During the pandemic, this type of pet food shopping grew in popularity due to lockdown measures1. Consumers might have even more fun than their pets when it comes to these subscription boxes. Consumers want their pets' lifestyles to reflect these and so regular deliveries are fun for everyone. The Woof Box is themed and includes new products and treats for pets to enjoy. But not only that, it is a fun experience for their human owners as well2. Source: [1] Chewy 2020, [2] Woof Box 2020, [3] Petz 2020 What Next? Create online occasions Brazil's pet care company Petz launched "Pet-Commerce" which is an online portal through their e-commerce site. The site uses facial recognition to capture your pet's responses to toys on the screen. While this feature is probably not foolproof in finding the perfect toy, it does create buzz around the brand and brings people to the website, which is a key factor in this trend. It is about getting consumers accustomed to new forms of shopping and creating the habit3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Applying new business models How? 37 How to capitalize on the trend: retail Retailers use AI and connectivity to make purchase decisions and payments easier for consumers Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? Change shopping and how consumers pay Called the QVC for Generation Z, NTWRK is a shopping platform where "hosts" such as celebrities and influencers present the products (normally trendy street wear). Instead of offering consumers tons of stock-keeping units, they promote curated pieces and "appointment viewings" so that if you miss the livestream, you miss the new product "drop," building a sense of urgency and exclusivity. This "appointment viewing" creates the experience of shopping in the digital space. It is a mix of entertainment and shopping, instead of the Amazon e-commerce experience, which could be said to offer consumers too much choice1. The Swedish bank Klarna is 15 years old and has gained popularity in Sweden and the rest of Scandinavia. It was only in the last few years where it became a worldwide phenomenon in e-commerce. The tool became more useful for the new shopping patterns. Since then, Klarna has had big partnerships in retail, known for its option to allow consumers to pay for smaller purchases in installments. This allows younger consumers to purchase for example more fast fashion (with many critics saying this encourages bad spending behavior) and regular items, and not just high price items. Klarna has disrupted how consumers pay online2. Source: [1] Vogue Business, July 2020, [2] Klarna, July 2020, [3] Raconteur, June 2020 What Next? Technology for the personalization and fit Using AI and real-time image processing, Zeekit helps consumers see themselves in any outfit they see on a fashion e-commerce site. This virtually eliminates the need for changing rooms, which is likely to be a long term concern due to the pandemic. This is a safer and surefire way to buy online from home. This partnered with sizing charts and crowd sourced reviews of clothing, consumers can do their best shopping from home, which would massively change the fashion retail industry3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Recreate the real thing online and exclusive How? 38 How to capitalize on the trend: foodservice Digitalization brings the food home and keeps consumers safe Trend Snapshot What? Invest in tech experts and innovation Who? Blending technology and safety A pub in Tokyo Japan has designed a system to protect the servers and customers during the pandemic. Customers meet the hostess on a screen and are then sprayed with sanitizer. The increasingly sanitized society due to COVID-19 means that technology, foodservice, and hygiene will intersect going forward2. Source: [1] CNBC Sept 2020, [2] SCMP May 2020, [3] Tock Website 2020 How? What Next? There's an app for that This online reservation platform retooled its offerings as soon as the pandemic hit, offering curbside pick-up and home delivery. It also focuses on fine dining establishments, offering high-end meals as an at-home experience. Tock has been successful because it has an agile system and adapted quickly to the changing foodservice environment3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping In the last two years McDonald's has invested heavily in technological innovation, particularly in AI. It has developed an innovation lab called McD Tech Labs, which looks to digitalize the McDonald's experience with machine learning, personalization, and analytics. McDonald's is a strong example of how a traditional service provider can look outside of the company for tech expertise and through acquisitions, grow its business and streamline its technological practices1. Why? 39 How to capitalize on the trend: packaging Packaging can be used as a form of transparency and creating memorable engagement with the consumer Trend Snapshot What? Why? Incorporate fun into package In 2019, Kellogg's in Australia launched augmented reality packaging for kids with Crayola. Kids could color in the cereal box, and using a smartphone, the images would come to life. Cereal boxes have always been designed with kids in mind, but this is an innovative way to create a multi-media experience with prizes. This encourages brand loyalty among consumers and a competitive advantage in a busy cereal aisle where private label can be a cheaper alternative. Brands can create small daily experiences without extra cost to the consumer1. How? Scan to engage and inform • Wine brand Böen's 2019 campaign was "Tap our Cap," encouraging consumers to use a technology called near-field communication to scan the caps and gather information on the wine, the region, and pairings through an app. This shows trust and transparency as consumers can see the origins of their wines as well as build an experience around wine tasting with their smartphones2. Source: [1] Mumbrella, July 2019, [2] Böen Website 2020, [3] 19 Crimes website 2020 What Next? Packaging can be storytelling • 19 Crimes wine packaging has made it a must-buy, for the AR scanning and app that tells the story of the prisoners on the bottle. Each prisoner, convicted of one of the 19 crimes that led to their deportation to Australia, brings the narrative to life and engages with the user. This creates the consumer experience that brands need to now offer in order to build that brand loyalty among a competitive environment3. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping • Who? 40 Future Implications What next? Taking the key learnings from this report to action brand recommendation Trend Snapshot What? Pictures courtesy of Shutterstock Who? Engage with consumers to gain behavioral analytics from users that in the end will enhance the product or service. This is the cyclical nature of the Next-Generation Shopping trend: the brand innovates to benefit the consumer, then this allows for data collection that the brand can then use to greater improve the customer experience. How? What Next? Target the underserved consumer. It is easy to look at certain income groups as more open and accessible. But thanks to the democratizing nature of technology in many sectors, opportunities to get people to join your target audience is growing. This is why brands cannot leave these consumers behind. Instead, innovations must be inclusive, affordable, and convenient. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Integrate the product or service into the consumer's lifestyle. An innovation cannot be just for the sake of innovation. Instead, it must be able to be easy to use and enhance the consumer experience or make the shopping experience more convenient or personalized. This means understanding the consumer patterns and behaviors in order to understand how to seamlessly integrate it. Why? 42 Regional insights on the trend All regions are open to the trend; however, the execution varies Trend Snapshot Why? Who? How? What Next? European consumers tend to be more conservative and a little more hesitant than elsewhere, but value the transparency that the trend can offer them. Emerging economies in MEA and LATAM are leading the way and the opportunity is to innovate and test out new technologies to an openminded consumer base APAC is advanced in terms of e-commerce and contactless payment. Brands and services should not launch without incorporating smart technology. TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping In-store innovation in North America thanks to the success of brands like Amazon means innovation is happening in-store in contactless payments and cashier-less stores. What? 43 Trend lifecycle: growth Certain categories and regions lead, but not for long Trend Snapshot What? Why? Who? Trend lifecycle: category and regional relevance Size of opportunity Asia-Pacific Emerging Growth Pet care Food Alcoholic drinks Personal care Revival • The trend is in different phases depending on the region as well the category. In AsiaPacific nations, the infrastructure and the consumer interest is there, and so it is about continuing to advance the opportunity. In Europe, innovation might be slower, but consumers are still hyper-connected and so brands and retailers have the opportunity to push it forward. Decline • While food and personal care lead in terms of trend lifecycle, other categories will move along as consumers become accustomed to incorporating the trend into their lifestyles and habits and thus purchase behavior. Maturity Non-alcoholic drinks Conception Household care Tobacco TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping • In emerging economies, cell phone adoption will soon overtake the developed world, which shows that this is where brands can focus on growing and experimenting in innovation. North America South and Central America What Next? Endless opportunities going forward as consumers are hyper-connected MEA Europe How? Time 44 How technology will keep up with the consumer A combination between following and leading the consumer is set to help brands find success Trend Snapshot What? Why? Mainstreaming Innovation Mapping the customer journey Augmented Reality Artificial intelligence Drone delivery The long term effects of the pandemic are still unknown, but innovation has taken off and as consumers become more open to a more socially distanced lifestyle, technology is not far behind. Going forward, products and services will be more automated, delivered, and contactless, not just for hygiene, but for convenience. As consumer behavior has evolved, companies have focused on meeting consumers wherever they are. Contactless AI Helper Brands are bringing innovation into their companies instead of simply looking outward. McDonalds, Carrefour, and Ikea all run labs to innovate and use the latest technology to improve the customer experience. These technologies help companies build a fabricated consumer experience and look to solve everyday problems before applying to real-world situations. What Next? Distancing from humans Design Thinking In-store personalization Behavioral analytics Predictive analytics is a proactive approach to using Big Data collected by brands and retailers thanks to consumers hyper-connected lifestyle. These technologies not only gather consumer information, but also uses AI to predict behavior and help brands plan for future innovations and marketing strategies. How? TrendSights Analysis 2020: Next-Generation Shopping Predictive analytics Who? 45 Appendix References References and further reading Websites and resources o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o o Amazon Dash, https://www.amazon.co.uk/b?ie=UTF8&node=15144566031, July 2020 BBC (2018), PepsiCo buys Sodastream for $3.2bn," https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-45244759, Aug 2018 Böen, https://boenwines.com/tap-our-cap/, July 2020 Chewy, https://www.chewy.com/app/content/autoship, July 2020 Clean Cult, https://www.cleancult.com/, July 2020 CNBC (2019), "McDonald's acquires A.I. company to help automate the drive-thru, its third tech deal this year," https://www.cnbc.com/2019/09/10/mcdonalds-acquires-ai-company-trying-toautomate-the-drive-thru.html, Sept 2019 CredoLive, https://credobeauty.com/pages/credo-live, July 2020 Everledger, https://www.everledger.io/, July 2020 FoodBev Media (2020), "Nestle introduces blockchain to its Zoegas coffee brand," https://www.foodbev.com/news/nestle-introduces-blockchain-to-its-zoegas-coffee-brand/, April 6 2020. Glam Squad, https://www.glamsquad.com/, July 2020. Klarna Website (2020), https://www.klarna.com/international/klarna-15/, Accessed July 10 2020 Halo, https://www.halo-drinks.co.uk/, July 2020 International Telecommunication Union, "Country ICT Data (2018)", https://www.itu.int/en/ITU-D/Statistics/Pages/stat/default.aspx, accessed July 13 2020. MediaPost (2019), "Pepsi Unleashes Hundreds of Instagram AR filters for summer," https://www.mediapost.com/publications/article/336171/pepsi-unleashes-hundreds-of-instagram-ar-filtersf.html, May 22 2019 Mumbrella (2019), "Kellogg's launches black and white packaging in partnership with Crayola," https://mumbrella.com.au/kelloggs-launches-black-and-white-packaging-in-partnership-withcrayola-587783, July 8 2019. PantryShop by PepsiCo, https://www.pantryshop.com/, Accessed July 2020 Petz, https://www.petz.com.br/petcommerce/, July 2020 PR newswire (2020), "Home Chef announces collaboration with Impossible Foods," https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/home-chef-announces-collaboration-with-impossible-foods301093429.html, July 14, 2020. 47 References References and further reading Websites and resources o o o o o o o o o o Raconteur (2020), "Why AR hit its stride in Covid-19 era," https://www.raconteur.net/retail/ar-retail-covid, June 30, 2020. SCMP (2020), "Japanese pub installed disinfectant spraying machine to keep diners safe," https://www.scmp.com/video/coronavirus/3085333/japanese-pub-installed-disinfectant-sprayingmachine-keep-diners-safe, May 20 2020 The Verge (2020), "KFC is working with a Russian 3D bioprinting firm to try to make lab-produced chicken nuggets," https://www.theverge.com/2020/7/18/21329453/kfc-russia-bioprinting-labchicken-nuggets-sustainable, July 18, 2020. Tock, https://www.exploretock.com/, July 2020 Vogue Business (2020), "Beauty brands scramble to salvage sampling in the pandemic," https://www.voguebusiness.com/beauty/beauty-brands-scramble-to-salvage-sampling-in-the-pandemiccovid-19, July 3 2020 Vogue Business (2020), "Experiential shopping in the digital world," https://www.voguebusiness.com/technology/vogue-business-klarna-webinar-experiential-shopping-digital-world, July 10, 2020. Vype, https://www.govype.com/gb/en/, July 2020 Winc, https://www.winc.com/, July 2020 Woof Box, https://woof-box.co.uk/, July 2020 19Crimes, https://www.19crimes.com/, July 2020 48 Meet the author Yamina Tsalamlal, Associate Analyst Yamina is an Associate Analyst in GlobalData's Consumer team. She has a bachelor's in journalism and for the last five years has worked in business development and strategy for a media start-up in Canada. In 2019, she graduated from IE Business School in Madrid with a master's in market research and consumer behavior. 49 About GlobalData GlobalData is a leading provider of data, analytics, and insights on the world's largest industries. In an increasingly fast-moving, complex, and uncertain world, it has never been harder for organizations and decision makers to predict and navigate the future. This is why GlobalData's mission is to help our clients to decode the future and profit from faster, more informed decisions. As a leading information services company, thousands of clients rely on GlobalData for trusted, timely, and actionable intelligence. Our solutions are designed to provide a daily edge to professionals within corporations, financial institutions, professional services, and government agencies.. 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