Schools Division Office of Camarines Sur San Jose, Pili, Camarines Sur LEARNING ACTIVITY SHEET No. 18 (Solving Problems Involving Sampling Distribution of Sample Means) Week 7 - 8 Name of Student:_______________________________________________________ Learning Area: STATISTICS AND PROBABILITY Grade Level:_______________ Section: ______________________________________ Date:____________________ I. Introductory Concept The central limit theorem states that the sampling distribution of the sample means approaches the normal distribution as the sample size get larger – no matter what the shape of the population distribution is. In this activity sheet, you are going to answer questions/problems about sample means in the same manner that a normal distribution can be used to answer questions about individual values. II. Learning Skills from the MELCs After going through this activity sheet, you are going to solve problems involving sampling distribution of the sample means. (M11/12SP– III – e – f -1) III. Activities The central limit theorem states that as the sample size n increases without limit, the shape of the distribution of the sample means taken with replacement from a population with mean π and standard deviation π will approach a normal distribution. As previously shown in LAS 17, this distribution If the sample means are randomly selected withπreplacement, the will have a mean ππ₯ = π and standard deviation ππ₯ = π. For this reason, we can use the central limit theorem to answer questions about sample means in the same manner that a normal distribution can be used to answer questions about individual values. The only difference is that a new formula must be used for the z – values, it is π§= π− π π π Where: π − π πππππ ππππ π − ππππ’πππ‘πππ ππππ π − π π‘ππππππ πππ£πππ‘πππ π − π πππππ π ππ§π 1 It is important to remember two things when you use the central limit theorem: 1. When the variable is normally distributed, the distribution of the sample means will be normally distributed, for any sample size n. 2. When the distribution of the original variable is not normal, a sample size of 30 or more is needed to use a normal distribution to approximate the distribution of the sample means. The larger the sample, the better the approximation will be. For you to better understand the use of central limit theorem in solving problems involving sampling distribution of sample means, I will show you examples. Example 1: Fresh Cola uses a filling machine to fill the plastic bottles with soda. The contents of every bottle vary according to a normal distribution with = and = . If 10 bottles are randomly selected, what is the probability that the mean of the samples will be less than 250 ml? Steps 1. Identify the given/facts in the problem. 2. Identify what is asked for. 3. Identify the formula to be used. 4. Solve the problem. Solution = = = = The probability that the mean samples will be less than 250 ml. (In symbols, ) We are dealing with the data about sample means. So, we will use the formula . = = = = We shall find the under the normal curve. 2 =− = − by getting the area To find the area of the z – value we are going to look up the corresponding area in Annex A. 5. State the final answer. Thus, = − = The probability that 10 randomly selected bottles will have a mean less than 250 ml is 0.0008 or 0.08%. Example 2: A. C. Neilsen reported that the children between the ages 2 and 5 watch an average of 25 hours of television per week. Assume that the variable is normally distributed, and the standard deviation is 3 hours. If 20 children between the ages 2 and 4 are randomly selected, find the probability that the mean of the hours they watch television is greater than 26.3 hours. I. II. III. Given: = = = = Required: Solution: = = = We shall find the normal curve. = 3 by getting the area under From appendix A, the area to the left of 1.94 is 0.9738. But we are looking for the area to the right of 1.94. So, to obtain the area to the right of 1.93, all we need to do is to subtract 0.9738 from 1. Thus, we have = IV. = − = . Final Answer: Therefore, the probability of obtaining a sample mean larger than 26.3 is 2.62%. 4 ACTIVITY 1: DUCK EGGS Directions: Answer the given problem by filling in the blank parts of the solution. Problem: The weights of the eggs produced by a certain breed of ducks are normally distributed with mean 70 grams and standard deviation of 10 grams. What is the probability that the average weight of the 12 duck eggs selected at random will be more than 75 grams? Steps 1. Identify the given/facts in the problem. 2. Identify what is asked for. 3. Identify the formula to be used. 4. Solve the problem. Solution = = = = (1) (2) The probability that the average weight of the 12 ducks selected at random will be more than 75 grams. In symbols, . We are dealing with the data involving sample means. So, we will use the formula = . = = (for 3 and 4 substitute the values of = We shall find the normal curve. 5. State the final answer. .(5) by getting the area under the = ______) (6) =__________ (7) So, the probability that 12 randomly selected duck eggs will have a mean greater than 75 grams is ____________. (8) 5 ) ACTIVITY 2: LIFE EXPECTANCY Directions: Solve the given problem by using the steps you learned from this learning activity sheet. Write your answers on the space provided for each step. Problem: A certain study on the life expectancy of people in a Country A revealed that the mean age at death was 80 years and the standard deviation was 10 years. If a sample of 100 people from this country is selected, find the probability that the mean life expectancy will be less than 50 years. Solution Steps 1. Identify the given/facts in the problem. 2. Identify what is asked for. 3. Identify the formula to be used. 4. Solve the problem. 5. State the final answer. 6 ACTIVITY 3: PREGNANCY what Directions: Solve the given problem by using the steps you learned from this learning activity sheet. Problem: The length of human pregnancies from conception to birth varies according to a distribution that is approximately normal with mean 264 days and standard deviation 16 days. Consider 15 pregnant women from a rural area. Assume they are equivalent to a random sample from all women. What is the probability that the sample mean length of pregnancy lasts for less than 250 days? Solution Steps 1. Identify the given/facts in the problem. 2. Identify what is asked for. 3. Identify the formula to be used. 4. Solve the problem. 5. State the final answer. IV. Rubric for Scoring ACTIVITY 1 1 point for every correct answer ACTIVITY 2 2 points for every correct step. 7 ACTIVITY 3 2 points for every correct step. V. Answer Key 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. ACTIVITY 1 = 2. = 75 70 = 1.73 0.0418 or 4.18% 0.0418 or 4.18% ACTIVITY 2 I. = ACTIVITY 3 = = I. = = = = = II. III. = IV. = II. III. . IV. = =− = =− − = = V. . = The probability that the mean life expectancy will be less than 50 years is 0.01% = V. − The probability that the sample mean length of pregnancy will be less than 250 days is 0.03% VI. References Bluman, A. G. (2009). Elementary Statistics: A Step by Step Approach (7th ed.). New York: McGraw - Hill. (pp. 334) Department of Education. Prototype Contextualized Daily Lesson Plan in Grade 11/12 Statatistics and Probability. (pp. 85 -97) DEVELOPMENT TEAM OF THE LEARNING ACTIVITY SHEET WRITER : MANAGEMENT TEAM/ REVIEWERS: Editor Lay-out Artist Illustrator Validators : : : : JOHN EMMANUEL R. IBE – Magarao NHS JHOMAR B. JARAVATA- Bula NHS SONIA V. MORAL- Colacling National HS JUMAR R. VELASCO- RSMOHS JHOMAR B. JARAVATA- Bula NHS PATERNO P. MAPULA, JR. – Bolo Norte HS DAVID V. ORTIOLA-Laganac HS ROGEL JOHN O. NAVAL-Sta. Cruz NHS FROILAN R. DOBLON – San Fernando NHS 8