Chapter 1/Part 3 What Is Economics? ECON1211: Principles of Microeconomics Department of Economics and Finance College of Economics and Political Science Sultan Qaboos University Usamah F. Alfarhan The Economic Way of Thinking: Important Concepts: • Rationality: A rational person is someone with well-defined objectives and who tries to fulfill those objectives as best as they can. • Marginal cost: The incremental cost of a given decision or action. • Marginal benefit: The incremental benefit of a given decision or action. • Opportunity cost: The value of the next best alternative to the decision or action taken. This cost is the total of all explicit and implicit costs. • Trade-off: The fact imposed by scarcity, that something has always to be given up if we decide to get something else. 2 Important Elaborations: • Rationality has nothing to do with morality or legality. • Marginal costs and benefits of activities must be measured in a way that enables comparisons, which is not always easy. • People respond to incentives that alter marginal benefits and/or costs. • Opportunity cost is not the value of all your alternatives, because you can never choose all your alternatives. You chose one thing at a time! • Trade-offs are a fact and phenomenon, not something we necessarily assign a dollar value to. 3 How Do We Make Economic Decisions? We take a decision by applying the cost-benefit principle THAT IS EXTRA BENEFIT OF AN ACTION > EXTRA COST OF AN ACTION DO IT EXTRA BENEFIT OF AN ACTION < EXTRA COST OF AN ACTION DONTDO IT EXTRA BENEFIT OF AN ACTION = EXTRA COST OF AN ACTION INDIFFERENT 4 Example • You want to decide on your next meal, and you go to a restaurant. • You can identify your benefit in terms of dollar values for each item on the menu. That means, you can express the maximum amount of money you would be willing and able to pay for a given meal BEFORE seeing the price and REGARDLESS of the price 5 Your Benefit Identification: ITEM Benefit ($) Mutton Kabsa 5 Grilled Grouper 4 Pizza 2.5 Hamburger with Fries 3 Steak with Mashed Potato 6 Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing 2 Omani Shiwa 3.5 6 Your Benefit Identification: ITEM ITEM Benefit ($) Rank Mutton Kabsa 5 Mutton Kabsa 2nd Grilled Grouper 4 Grilled Grouper 3rd Pizza 6th Pizza 2.5 Hamburger with Fries 3 Hamburger with Fries 5th Steak with Mashed Potato 6 Steak with Mashed Potato 1st Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing 2 Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing 7th Omani Shiwa 4th Omani Shiwa 3.5 7 Decision if Meal is Free: ITEM Benefit ($) Opportunity Cost ITEM Rank Mutton Kabsa 5 Mutton Kabsa 2nd Grilled Grouper 4 Grilled Grouper 3rd Pizza 6th Pizza 2.5 Hamburger with Fries 3 Hamburger with Fries 5th Steak with Mashed Potato 6 Steak with Mashed Potato 1st Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing 2 Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing 7th Omani Shiwa 4th Omani Shiwa 3.5 Choice 8 Cost-Benefit Principle ITEM Benefit ($) Cost ($) Net Benefit ($) Mutton Kabsah 5 4.5 0.5 Grilled Groupper 4 4 0 2.5 1.5 1 Hamburger with Fries 3 1.5 1.5 Steak with Mashed Potato 6 7 -1 Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing 2 3.5 -1.5 3.5 4 -0.5 Pizza Omani Shiwa 9 Economic Surplus = Benefit - Cost Cost-Benefit Principle ITEM Net Benefit ($) Rank 0.5 3rd Grilled Groupper 0 4th Pizza 1 2nd Hamburger with Fries 1.5 1st Steak with Mashed Potato -1 6th Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing -1.5 7th Omani Shiwa -0.5 5th Mutton Kabsah 10 Decision if Meal is Not Free: ITEM Net Benefit ($) Rank 0.5 3rd Grilled Groupper 0 4th Pizza 1 2nd Hamburger with Fries 1.5 1st Steak with Mashed Potato -1 6th Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing -1.5 7th Omani Shiwa -0.5 5th Mutton Kabsah 11 Decision if Meal is Not Free: ITEM Net Benefit ($) Rank Opportunity Cost 0.5 3rd Grilled Groupper 0 4th Pizza 1 2nd Hamburger with Fries 1.5 1st Steak with Mashed Potato -1 6th Chicken Salad with Italian Dressing -1.5 7th Omani Shiwa -0.5 5th Mutton Kabsah Choice 12 Economist as Social Scientist: Positive versus Normative Economics • Normative economic statements say how economic agents should behave: • Economics of “what ought to be” cannot be proven true or false: - Gas prices are too high - Oman should organize more sport event - People should wear masks during COVID-19. Positive economic statements predict how economic agents will behave: • Economics of “what is” focuses on facts and can be proven with data: - The price of crude oil in 2012 was higher than in 2019 - Organizing a world cup costs more in Qatar than in Germany - The unemployment rate has risen during the COVID-19 pandemic. Unsrcambling Cause and Effect: Economic Models • The task of economic science is to discover positive statements that are consistent with what we observe in the world and that enable us to understand how the economic world works. • Economists create and test economic models. 14 Unsrcambling Cause and Effect: Economic Models • An economic model: A simplification or abstraction of the reality of an economic phenomenon, that captures sufficient elements to enable the understanding, explaining and predicting reality. • Economic models rely on simplifying assumptions, such as: - All other factors are constant, ceteris paribus. - True in both directions, vice versa • Such assumptions may not always be true, yet they are necessary for abstraction and do not distort models’ explanatory power. Example of an Economic Model: • As the price of a good rises, the quantity demanded by a consumer falls, such that: Q = 100 – 2 Price Notice that: 1. Everything else affecting the demand is held unchanged. This includes gender, age, weather, health, culture, tastes, prices of other goods, income …etc. 2. The effect holds for price increases, and vice versa for price decreases. - Are those things, in reality, constant? NO! - Do quantities necessarily respond to price increases and decreases the same way? NO! Is the model still useful in explaining consumer behavior? YES! Unsrcambling Cause and Effect: Economic Models A model is tested by comparing its predictions with the facts. • But testing an economic model is difficult, so economists also use: ■ Natural experiments ■ Statistical investigations ■ Economic experiments 17 Economics: A Social Science and Policy Tool • Economist as Policy Adviser • Economics is a toolkit for advising governments and businesses and for making personal decisions. • All the policy questions on which economists provide advice involve a blend of the positive and the normative. • Economics can’t help with the normative part—the goal. • But for a given goal, economics provides a method of evaluating alternative solutions—comparing marginal benefits and marginal costs. Economists in the Economy • Jobs for an Economics Major • A major in economics opens the door to the pursuit of a masters or PhD and a career as an economist. • The work of economists varies enormously but it includes collecting and analyzing data on the production and use of resources, goods, and services; predicting future trends; and studying ways of using resources more efficiently. • Economists work in private firms, government, and international organizations. Economists in the Economy • Economics majors also work as market research analysts, financial analysts, and budget analysts. • Figure 1.3 shows the the relative number of jobs for economists and analysts that use economic ideas and tools. Economists in the Economy Will Jobs for Economists Grow? • The BLS forecasts that jobs for: • 1. Economists with a PhD will grow by 6 percent. • 2. Budget analysts will grow by 2 percent. • 3. Financial analysts will grow by 12 percent. • 4. Market research analysts will grow by 19 percent. Economists in the Economy Earnings of Economics Majors • Earnings of economics majors vary a lot depending on the job and their qualifications. • Economists with a PhD would expect to earn about $100,000 a year by mid-career. Economists in the Economy Skills Needed for Economics Jobs • Employers look for five skills: • 1. Critical-thinking skills. • 2. Analytical skills • 3. Math skills • 4. Writing skills • 5. Oral communication skills END OF CHAPTER 1, P3 24