Research Proposal Masters Thesis Proposal Presentation By SAIBA AZIZ Research Topic Analysis of Desertification in the Bawku Traditional Area using GIS/Remote Sensing and Farmers Perspective 1 Background • Desertification is a serious environmental and socio-economic problem affecting huge territories at global, regional and local scale. Conference on Environment and Development (UNCED), held in 1992 provided acceptable definition as land degradation in arid, semi-arid, and dry sub-humid areas resulting from various factors, including climate variations and human activities (cited in Darkoh, 1998). 2 Background According to United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) 1992 cited in Darkoh, 1996), the anthropogenic causes of desertification include over cultivation, overgrazing, deforestation and poor irrigation practices . Desertification has affected about 35 million km2 of land globally and overall, 35% of the Earth’s land surface was at risk of been desertified (Nicholson, 1998) 3 Background The world loses over 6 million hectares of its land per year by desertification (Haktanir K, A. Karaca, Omar. S. M. , 2014) Water scarcity, poverty, and migration have all increased due to the rapid spread of desertification. These problems have threatened human survival and sustainable economic development (Wang, 2004; El-Karouri, 1986; Bullock, 1996). The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) has estimated that approximately 38 million km2 of land worldwide is prone to desertification of which 6.9 million km2 (19%) are in sub-Saharan Africa (Nana-Sinkam, 1995). Ghana is among the many African countries that are hugely affected by desertification (Gyasi et al.2006). 4 Background EPA in 2013 indicated that 35% (about 83,489 km2) of the total land area of Ghana is prone to desertification with the Upper East and eastern part of Northern Region facing the greatest hazard. land degradation in Ghana is estimated to be equivalent to 9.6% of the country’s GDP (World Bank 2007). Desertification manifests itself in the area in the form of low income and loss of livelihoods, famine and increased out-migration due to low soil productivity and crop yields (Armah et al.2011). Inline with that Nsiah-Gyabaah 1994; EPA 2005; IFPRI 2007 posited that desertification is consuming the Sahel-Sudan savannah transitional zone of the region at an alarming rate, undermining livelihood supporting systems, as well as threatening food security of the area and forcing people to migrate. 5 Problem Statement Desertification has over the years been earmarked as a considerable life threatening environmental hazard in the Bawku traditional area of Ghana, as it constantly puts considerable stress on the poor and marginalized peasant farmers in the community. Farmers in this part of the country have severally lamented about the abating environmental and soil conditions including harsh climatic conditions and depleting soil productiveness, which is suppressing agricultural outputs. Bawku traditional area which used to be the hub of food crops production and animals rearing in the region has obviously lost its prominence due to desertification The storming erotic desert conditions in the community has afflicted majority of the constituents with live threatening circumstance including poverty, famine, water shortage and many devastating conditions. Majority of the young and industrious youth migrate to the southern sector in pursue of jobs in order to make a honest living (EPA 1994 and 2005). 6 Problem Statement Those who remain at home continue to engage in activities including illegal mining, nomadic pastoralism, charcoal burning, improper farming practices, deforestation for fuel wood, and many more in attempt to adapt to the situation. Yiran et al (2012) supported the assessment for which he indicated that Signals in the region justify that projects/interventions on combating desertification in the region have had little impact, because the local people are still driving land degradation through unsustainable practices. The Food and Agricultural Organization, 2013 also attributed the limited success at combating desertification in the region to the general uncertainty about the origins, extent, and gravity of the desertification process. 7 Problem Statement (Reeves et al., 2001; Lillesand et al., 2004). Also argued that technologies such as remote sensing and geographic information systems (GIS) holds the key to combating desertification in the future. Dejene et al. (1997) posited that understanding farmers’ or land users’ perception on land degradation and project interventions and embracing their perspectives through strategically planned approaches is essential for successful restoration of land degradation and desertification . That notwithstanding little has been done on blending both remote sensing and ground findings to analyze desertification in the Bawku Area. Though Alex B. Owusu in 2013 attempted, he focused on the extend or quantification of the phenomenon in the Upper East Region using remote sensing and GIS. 8 Problem Statement Osman Fuseini, 2014 also focused on combating desertification in the Bawku West District However, investigating the evidence of desertification in the Bawku area has gained little attention. Essentially, regarding the inconsistency in impacts, vulnerability, intensity and variability of desertification over space and time, it is highly prudent for desertification to be considered in local or community level. It is however against this background that this study seeks to employ both GIS/ Remote sensing method and ground findings from the perspective of farmers to analyze desertification with focus on evidence, impact and adaptation strategies in the Bawku traditional area taking inspiration from Yiran et al (2012) ; (Reeves et al., 2001; Lillesand et al., 2004) and Dejene et al. (1997) 9 Research Objectives Main objective The main objective of this study, is to analyze the evidence of desertification in the Bawku Traditional Area. Specific objectives To investigate the anthropogenic causes of desertification in the region To find out the impact of desertification on the livelihood of farmers in the Bawku traditional area. To discuss the adaptation strategies to mitigate the impact of desertification on Agriculture in the Bawku Traditional Area. 10 Research Questions What are the evidences of desertification in the Bawku Traditional Area? What are the anthropogenic causes of desertification in the Bawku Traditional Area? What are the impacts of desertification on agriculture in the Bawku Traditional Area? What are the adaptation strategies employed by farmers to mitigate the impact of desertification on agriculture in the Bawku traditional area? 11 Significance of the study The study will bring to light, the conditions of desertification in Bawku area Serve as a road map for policy makers in drafting planning policies and programs to dealing with desertification. As secondary data for prospective researchers Uncover research gaps recommended for further studies 12 Scope of the Study The study will cover only the five administrative districts that make up Bawku traditional And will only include farmers who have resided in the study area for 30 years and above. Selection is based on their geographical location Also based on the intensive agricultural activities 13 Justification of the study Agriculture remains the driving force of every economy in the world and especially in Africa, it remains the heart of most economies, contributing significantly to national output and serving as the major source of livelihood to a large portion of the populace Mensah, K. C. et al, 2019. Agriculture is reported to be a major source of livelihood to a large number of Ghanaians where small-scale farming accounts for 80% of domestic production especially, in the Bawku traditional area Mensah, K. C. et al, 2019. Employs close to 60% of the formal and informal labor force and contributing about 30% of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of Ghana Mensah, K. C. et al, 2019. Researchers, governmental and nongovernment organizations have often pointed at finding lasting solution to the challenges facing agriculture in the country. 14 Justification of the study Desertification plays a significant role in this respect and hence, the need for the study on desertification toward remitting its impact on livelihood systems in the country. 15 Literature Review In the main work, literature will be viewed extensively under the following themes Meaning of desertification Trend of climatic variables including precipitation and temperature in the region Changes in vegetation over time Evidence of desertification Causes of desertification Impact of desertification Adaptation strategies to mitigating the impact of desertification There will be theoretical framework to guide the study Theoretical framework Mediterranean Desertification and Land Use (MEDLAUS) model of desertification This model identifies environmentally sensitive areas to be considered in desertification analysis either in national , regional or local scale These ESA include; climate quality, vegetation quality, soil quality and management quality (human actions). 16 Literature Review Conceptual Framework 17 Methodology The Study Area Location and size Absolutely located between latitudes 10° 30′ to 11° 1’ north of the equator and longitudes 0° 06′ east to 0° 40′ west of the Greenwich Meridian land area of about 2848 km2, Total population of about 384,151, the area makes up about 36.7% of the UER population. Climate Interior continental climatic zone of Ghana; long dry period and short unimordal wet period (May to September) Vegetation Sudan savanna 18 Map of the study area 19 Methodology Research Approach The study will adapt both the positivist and the interpretativist paradigms as it seeks to employ the qualitative and quantitative mix method in the data collection and analysis process. Research Design The study will adapt the case study design. Sample population The sample population shall include all farmers who have resided in the Bawku traditional area for 30 years and above. 20 Methodology Sample size Using the Yamane equation, 400 respondents will be selected from the sample population to take part in the study Yamane's equation = N / 1+ N(e)2 Therefore, with the population size of (N) 384151 and 0.05 margin of error (e) N = 384151/ 1+ 384151(0.05)2 = 400 Sampling technique/procedure 2 towns each from the five district using stratified random sampling technique; total of 10 towns 40 respondents each from the 10 selected towns using purposive sampling technique; total of 400 respondents and Agric extension officers form each of the communities selected 21 Methodology Purposively, climatic data will be obtained from the Ghana Methodological Agency for 18 year period; 1990-2018. High resolution images will be downloaded from GNSS for vegetation analysis. Types and Sources of Data The study shall make use of both primary and secondary data Research Instruments Questionnaires, Observation, Semi – structured interviews and Informal interaction. Questionnaire will included both close and open ended questions geared toward providing answers to the objectives 22 Methodology Data analysis and presentation Quantitative Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS Version 20) GIS and remote sensing software Presentation Frequency distribution tables, charts, graphs and maps Qualitative data Analyzed using discourse analysis. Hence, recorded data will be transcribed, Data form observation, semi-structured interview and informal interaction will be analyzed thematically Presentation Quotations, Pictures and Words or Sentences 23 Methodology Analysis of climatic data SPSS will be used to conduct trend analysis of climatic variables (Temperature, precipitation and humidity) from 1990 to 2018 Mann-Kendall (MK) trend test will be applied to analyze the annual rainfall and temperature values to determine the statistical trend in the dataset. Results will be presented in tables and graphs 24 Methodology Analysis of vegetation data GIS and remote sensing methods will be used to analyze the vegetation trend in the Bawku traditional area from 19902018. Normalize Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) will be used E.g Tahira Abbasova, 2010; Bai Xulian, 2017. Results will be presented in tables, graphs and maps Qualitative data on vegetation will be analyzed thematically and presented in pictures, words and quotes 25 Ethical Consideration Permission through informed concern form No force or coercion. To anonymity and confidentiality will be ensured Respect for Cultural values, norms and traditions Citation and acknowledgment of secondary sources. 26 Appreciation Thank You 27