Chapter 3 National Differences in Economic Development 2-1 Introduction Chapter 2 described how countries differ with regard to their political systems, economic systems, and legal systems. This chapter builds on this material to explain how these differences influence the level of economic development of a nation and, thus, how attractive it is as a place for doing business. Also How economic, political, and legal systems are changing around the world and what the implications of this are for the future rate of economic development of nations and regions. The final section of this chapter explores how differences in political, economic, and legal institutions affect the benefits, costs, and risks of doing business in different nations. 2-2 Determinants of Economic Development Different countries have dramatically different levels of economic development. A country’s level of economic development affects its attractiveness as a possible market or production location for firms. One common measure of Economic Development is a country’s gross national income (GNI) per head of population. GNI measures the total annual income received by residents of a nation. GNI per person figures can be misleading because they don’t consider differences in the cost of living. 2-3 To account for differences in the cost of living, one can adjust GNI per capita by purchasing power. Referred to as a purchasing power parity (PPP) adjustment. A purchasing power parity (PPP) adjustment allows for a more direct comparison of living standards in different countries. The base for the adjustment is the cost of living in the United States. The PPP for different countries is then adjusted (up or down) depending on whether the cost of living is lower or higher than in the United States. 2-4 The GNI and PPP data give a static picture of development. They tell us, for example, that China is much poorer than the United States, but they do not tell us if China is closing the gap. To assess this, we have to look at the economic growth rates achieved by countries. Table 3.1 gives the rate of growth in gross domestic product (GDP) per capita achieved by a number of countries between 2007 and 2016. 2-5 Table 3.1 Economic Data for Select Countries 2-6 Broader Conceptions of Development The Nobel Prize–winning economist Amartya Sen - Sen has argued that development should be assessed less by material output and more by the capabilities and opportunities that people enjoy. According to Sen, development should be seen as a process of expanding the real freedoms that people experience. Hence, development requires the removal of major impediments to freedom: poverty as well as tyranny, poor economic opportunities as well as systematic social deprivation, and neglect of public facilities as well as the intolerance of repressive states. 2-7 The United Nations created the Human Development Index (HDI) to measure the quality of human life in different nations. The HDI is based on three measures: life expectancy, education attainment, and whether average incomes are sufficient to meet the basic needs of life in a country reflects Sen’s ideas and gauges a country’s economic development and likely future growth rate 2-8 Political Economy and Economic Progress Question: What is the relationship between political economy and economic progress? Answer: It is often argued that a country’s economic development is a function of its economic and political systems. Innovation and entrepreneurship are the engines of longrun economic growth. new products, new processes, new organizations, new management practices, and new strategies Entrepreneurs first commercialize innovative new products and processes. Economic freedom in a market economy creates greater incentives for innovation and entrepreneurship than in either a planned or mixed economy. 2-9 Political Economy and Economic Progress Strong legal protection of property rights is another requirement for a business environment conducive to innovation, entrepreneurship, and economic growth Democratic regimes are more conducive to long-term economic growth than a dictatorship, even one of the benevolent kind Subsequent economic growth leads to establishment of democratic regimes 2-10 Political Economy and Economic Progress Other factors influencing a country’s rate of economic development including Geography and Education: Geography - influences economic policy, and thus economic development. countries with favorable geography are more likely to engage in trade which can promote economic growth Adam Smith for example, argued that a country’s geography can also influence its economic growth. Harvard economist, Jeffery Sachs has expanded this idea to suggest that countries that are lucky enough to have favorable geographic situations are more likely to be open to and develop market economies. So, landlocked economies tend to grow more slowly than coastal economies that have easy access to trading routes. Similarly, countries with poor climates or soil conditions are less likely to grow than those with more favorable conditions. 2-11 Political Economy and Economic Progress Education levels: Education emerges as another important determinant of economic development. nations that invest more in education will have higher growth rates because an educated population is a more productive population. 2-12 States in Transition Since the late 1980s, two trends have been evident: First, during the late 1980s and early 1990s, a wave of democratic revolutions swept the world. Totalitarian governments fell and were replaced by democratically elected governments that were typically more committed to free market capitalism than their predecessors had been. Second, there has been a move away from centrally planned and mixed economies and toward a more free market economic model. Let’s talk about each of these, beginning with the spread of democracy. 2-13 The Spread of Democracy Democracy has spread to new countries because many totalitarian regimes failed to deliver economic progress to the majority of their population new information and communication technologies have broken down the ability of the state to control access to uncensored information economic advances of the last quarter century have led to the emergence of increasingly prosperous middle and working classes who have pushed for democratic reforms. 2-14 The New World Order and Global Terrorism The end of the Cold War and the “new world order” that followed the collapse of communism in Eastern Europe and the former Soviet Union, taken together with the collapse of many authoritarian regimes in Latin America, have given rise to intense speculation about the future shape of global geopolitics Geopolitical forces can affect how companies operate in certain countries 2-15 The Spread of Market-Based Systems Since the late 1980s there has been a transformation from centrally planned command economies to marketbased economies command and mixed economies failed to deliver the sustained economic performance achieved by countries that had adopted market-based systems many countries shifted to a market-based system 2-16 The Nature of Economic Transformation The shift toward a market-based economic system involves: 1. Deregulation – involves removing legal restrictions on the free play of markets, the establishment of private enterprises, and the manner in which private enterprises operate 2. Privatization - transfers the ownership of state property into the hands of private investors because private investors are motivated by potential profits to increase productivity, privatization should increase economic efficiency 3. Legal system - that protects property rights and the machinery to enforce that system many countries have made significant strides toward creating a strong legal system, but more work is necessary 2-17 Implications of a Changing Economy Markets that were formerly off-limits to Western business are now open China (population of 1.2 billion) could be a bigger market than the U.S., the EU, and Japan combined India (population 1.1 billion) is also a potentially huge market However, just as the potential gains are large, so are the risks 2-18 Implications for Managers Question: What are the implications of the political economy for international businesses? Answer: There are two main implications: 1. the political, economic, and legal systems of a country raise important ethical issues that have implications for the practice of international business 2. the political, economic, and legal environment of a country clearly influences the attractiveness of that country as a market and/or investment site 2-19 Benefits The benefits of doing business in a country are a function of market size, and current and future consumer purchasing power by identifying and investing early in a potential future economic stars, firms may be able to gain first mover advantages (advantages that accrue to early entrants into a market) 2-20 Costs Firms must be prepared to deal costs of doing business in foreign markets 1. Political costs - include the cost of paying bribes or lobbying for favorable or fair treatment 2. Economic costs - relate primarily to the sophistication of the economic system, including the infrastructure and supporting businesses 3. Legal costs - can be higher in countries with dramatically different product, workplace, and pollution standards, or where there is poor legal protection for property rights 2-21 Risks Doing business in foreign markets involves risk Political risk - the likelihood that political forces will cause drastic changes in a country's business environment that adversely affects the profit and other goals of a business enterprise Economic risk - the likelihood that economic mismanagement will cause drastic changes in a country's business environment that adversely affects the profit and other goals of a business enterprise Legal risk - the likelihood that a trading partner will opportunistically break a contract or expropriate property rights 2-22 Overall Attractiveness The overall attractiveness of a country as a potential market and/or investment site for an international business depends on balancing the benefits, costs, and risks associated with doing business in that country Generally, the costs and risks are lower in economically developed and politically stable markets However, the potential for growth may be higher in less developed nations. 2-23