Labour Market Equilibrium Reading: Borjas, chapter 4 5-2 Equilibrium in a Single Competitive Labour Market • Labour market equilibrium coordinates the desires of firms and workers, determining the wage and employment observed in the labour market. • Competitive equilibrium occurs when supply equals demand generating a competitive wage and employment level • It is unlikely that the labour market is ever in an equilibrium, since supply and demand are dynamic • The model suggests that the market is always moving toward equilibrium 5-3 Labour Market Equilibrium Dollars Supply whigh w* wlow Demand ED E* ES Employment In a competitive labour market, equilibrium is attained at the point where supply equals demand. The “going wage” is w* and E* workers are employed. 5-4 Application: The Employment Effects of Minimum Wages • The unemployment rate is higher the higher the minimum wage and the more elasticity the supply and demand curves • The benefits of the minimum wage accrue mostly to workers who are not at the bottom of the distribution of permanent income 5-5 The Impact of the Minimum Wage on Employment Dollars S w w* D E E* ES Employment A minimum wage set at w forces employers to cut employment (from E* to E). The higher wage also encourages (ES - E*) additional workers to enter the market. The minimum wage, therefore, creates unemployment. 5-6 The Impact of Minimum Wages on the Covered and Uncovered Sectors Dollars Dollars SU (If workers migrate to covered sector) SC SU w SU (If workers migrate to uncovered sector) w* w* DU DC E EC (a) Covered Sector Employment EU EU EU Employment (b) Uncovered Sector If the minimum wage applies only to jobs in the covered sector, the displaced workers might move to the uncovered sector, shifting the supply curve to the right and reducing the uncovered sector’s wage. If it is easy to get a minimum wage job, workers in the uncovered sector might quit their jobs and wait in the covered sector until a job opens up, shifting the supply curve in the uncovered sector to the left and raising the uncovered sector’s wage. 5-7 Efficiency • Pareto Efficiency, this is the condition that exists when all possible gains from trade have been exhausted • When the state of the world is Pareto Efficient, to improve one person’s welfare necessarily means another person’s welfare is decreased • In policy applications, ask whether a change can make any one better off without harming anyone else. If the answer is yes, then a change is said to be “Paretoimproving” 5-8 Equilibrium in a Competitive Labour Market Dollars S P w* Q D0 EL E* EH Employment The labor market is in equilibrium when supply equals demand; E* workers are employed at a wage of w*. In equilibrium, all persons who are looking for work at the going wage can find a job. The triangle P gives the producer surplus; the triangle Q gives the worker surplus. A competitive market maximizes the gains from trade, or the sum P + Q. 5-9 Application: Payroll Taxes and Subsidies • Payroll taxes assessed on employers lead to a downward parallel shift in the labor demand curve - The new demand curve shows a wedge between the amount the firm must pay to hire a worker and the amount that workers actually receive - Payroll taxes increase total costs of employment, so these taxes reduce employment in the economy - Firms and workers share the cost of payroll taxes, since the cost of hiring a worker rises at the same rate the wage received by workers declines 5 - 10 The Impact of a Payroll Tax Assessed on Firms Dollars S w1 + 1 A w0 w1 B w0 1 D0 D1 E1 E0 Employment A payroll tax of $1 assessed on employers shifts down the demand curve (from D0 to D1). The payroll tax cuts the wage that workers receive from w0 to w1, and increases the cost of hiring a worker from w0 to w1 + 1. 5 - 11 The Impact of a Payroll Tax Assessed on Workers S1 Dollars S0 w0 + 1 A payroll tax assessed on workers shifts the supply curve to the left (from S0 to S1). w1 w0 w1 1 D0 D1 E1 E0 D0 Employment 5 - 12 The Impact of a Payroll Tax Assessed on Workers S1 Dollars S0 w0 + 1 w1 w0 w1 1 D0 D1 E1 E0 D0 Employment A payroll tax assessed on workers shifts the supply curve to the left (from S0 to S1). The payroll tax has the same impact on the equilibrium wage and employment regardless of who it is assessed on. 5 - 13 The Impact of a Payroll Tax Assessed on Firms with Inelastic Supply Dollars S D0 w0 A B w0 – 1 D0 D1 E0 Employment A payroll tax assessed on the firm is shifted completely to workers when the labor supply curve is perfectly inelastic. The wage is initially w0. The $1 payroll tax shifts the demand curve to D1, and the wage falls to w0 – 1. 5 - 14 5 - 15 Payroll Subsidies • An employment subsidy lowers the cost of hiring for firms • This means payroll subsidies shift the demand curve for labor to the right (down) • Total employment will increase as the cost of hiring has fallen. 5 - 16 The Impact of an Employment Subsidy S w0 + 1 B w1 w0 A w1 – 1 D1 D0 E0 E1 Employment An employment subsidy of $1 per worker hired shifts up the demand curve, increasing employment. The wage that workers receive rises from w0 to w1. The wage that firms actually pay falls from w0 to w1 – 1. 5 - 17 Payroll Tax and The tax wedge • The tax wedge is a measure of the difference between the total labour cost to an employer and the corresponding disposable income of an employee • The tax wedge is the sum of personal income tax, employee and employer social security contributions (SSC) and payroll taxes minus any cash benefits from government welfare programs • The tax wedge is usually expressed as a percentage of the total labour costs • The biggest tax wedges are in continental Europe 5 - 18 Tax wedge Wage Labour supply Wage firms pay Tax wedge Wage without tax Wage workers receive Labour demand 0 Quantity of Labour Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning 5 - 19 Why Wage Labour supply Wage firms pay Wage without tax Wage workers receive Labour demand 0 Labour demand Quantity of Labour Copyright©2003 Southwestern/Thomson Learning 5 - 20 Tax wedges in OECD countries OECD-10 unweighted average 5 - 21 Solving the partial equilibrium: Household labour supply equation The representative household decides how much to work (h) and consume (c) to maximize utility, taking prices as given (the wage w and the interest rate r). max U(c, 1 -hs ) ln(c) ln(1 h) c,h s.t c (1 t w )wh r k 1 rk h (1 ) (1 )(1 t w ) w s 5 - 22 Solving the partial equilibrium: Firm labour demand equation The representative firm decides the amount of output y to produce and labour h to hire, taking capital k and prices (w, r) as given. max Ah1 k (1 ) wh r k h 1 (1 ) Ak d h ( 1 ) w 5 - 23 Equilibrium 1 rk hs (1 ) (1 )(1 t ) w 1 (1 ) Ak d h ( 1 ) w In equilibrium, labour demand is equal to labour supply: 5 - 24 Equilibrium Solve the two equations system for w and h 1 rk h (1 ) (1 )(1 t ) w 1 (1 ) Ak h (1 ) w 5 - 25 Competitive Equilibrium Across Labour Markets • If workers were mobile and entry and exit of workers to the labor market was free, then there would be a single wage paid to all workers • The allocation of workers to firms equating the wage to the value of marginal product is also the allocation that maximizes national income (this is known as allocative efficiency) • The “invisible hand” process self-interested workers and firms accomplish a social goal that no one had in mind: allocative efficiency. 5 - 26 Efficiency Revisited • The “single wage” property of a competitive equilibrium has important implications for economic efficiency. - Recall that in a competitive equilibrium the wage equals the value of marginal product of labor. As firms and workers move to the region that provides the best opportunities, they eliminate regional wage differentials. Therefore, workers of given skills have the same value of marginal product of labour in all markets. • The allocation of workers to firms that equates the value of marginal product across markets is also the sorting that leads to an efficient allocation of labour resources. 5 - 27 Wages and International Trade: NAFTA • NAFTA created a free trade zone in North America • The effect of free trade in the zone is to reduce the income differential between the United States and other countries in the zone, such as Mexico • Total income of the countries in the trade zone is maximized as a result of equalized economic opportunities across the countries in the zone 5 - 28 Competitive Equilibrium in Two Labour Markets Linked by Migration Dollars Dollars s SN SS SS A wN B w* w* wS C DN Employment (a) The Northern Labour Market DS Employment (b) The Southern Labour Market Suppose the wage in the northern region (wN) exceeds the wage in the southern region (wS). Southern workers want to move North, shifting the southern supply curve to the left and the northern supply curve to the right. In the end, wages are equated across regions (at w*). 5 - 29 Wage Convergence Across US States 5.7 LA Percent Annual Wage Growth GA NH ME VT VA 5.5 MS AR 5.3 MD MA IA FL NC SC KS MI CT DE TN AL NE 5.1 OK TXMO RI MN PA WI NJ WV IN OH IL CO UT WA NY KY AZ ND 4.9 SD MT CA NM NV 4.7 ID OR WY 4.5 .9 1.1 1.3 1.5 Manufacturing Wage in 1950 1.7 1.9 Source: Olivier Jean Blanchard and Lawrence F. Katz, “Regional Evolutions,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1 (1992): 1-61. 5 - 30 Immigration • As immigrants enter the labour market, the supply curve shifts to the right - Total employment increases - The equilibrium wage decreases 5 - 31 The Immigration Surplus Dollars S S A B w0 C w1 F D 0 N M Employment Prior to immigration, there are N native workers in the economy and national income is given by the trapezoid ABN0. Immigration increases the labor supply to M workers and national income is given by the trapezoid ACM0. Immigrants are paid a total of FCMN dollars as salary. The immigration surplus gives the increase in national income that accrues to natives and is given by the area in the triangle BCF. 5 - 32 Effect on Native-Born Workers • Immigration reduces the wages and employment of similarly-skilled native-born workers, but native-born workers may be able to increase their productivity by specializing in tasks better suited to their skills. • Competing native workers will have lower wages; complementary native workers will have higher wages 5 - 33 The Short-Run Impact of Immigration When Immigrants and Natives Are Perfect Substitutes Dollars Supply w0 w1 Demand N1 N0 E1 Employment Because immigrants and natives are perfect substitutes, the two groups are competing in the same labor market. Immigration shifts out the supply curve. As a result, the wage falls from w0 to w1, and total employment increases from N0 to E1. Note that at the lower wage, there is a decline in the number of natives who work, from N0 to N1. 5 - 34 The Short-Run Impact of Immigration when Immigrants and Natives are Complements Dollars Supply w1 w0 Demand N0 N1 Employment If immigrants and natives are complements, they are not competing in the same labour market. The labour market in this figure denotes the supply and demand for native workers. Immigration makes natives more productive, shifting out the demand curve even though capital is fixed. This leads to a higher native wage and to an increase in native employment. 5 - 35 The Long-Run Impact of Immigration When Immigrants and Natives Are Perfect Substitutes Dollars Supply w0 w1 Demand N0 N0 + Immigrants Employment Because immigrants and natives are perfect substitutes, the two groups are competing in the same labour market. Immigration initially shifts out the supply curve. As a result, the wage falls from w0 to w1. Over time, capital expands as firms take advantage of the cheaper workforce, shifting out the labour demand curve. 5 - 36 The Native Labour Market’s Response to Immigration Dollars Dollars S0 S2 S0 S1 PLA S3 PPT w0 w0 w* w* wLA Demand Demand Employment Employment (a) Los Angeles (b) Pittsburgh