MANILA JOCKEY CLUB, INC STATEMENTS OF INCOME FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 1999-2003 (In thousands) 2001 2000 2003 2002 286,907 228,099 56,326 262,545 162,342 5,101 39,811 597,246 44,469 29,673 39,032 343,233 469,799 869,814 216,991 216,431 171,842 44,537 40,289 10,104 5,775 5,347 4,878 4,119 148,295 48,776 14,549 15,549 5,795 1,589 8,447 3,401 94,296 32,485 18,708 31,199 5,691 3,136 6,104 9,611 115,010 27,787 20,927 68 3,964 113,183 26,325 25,039 160 2,210 3,792 3,160 2,649 2,571 1,828 2,198 2,189 1,927 1,421 927 294 204 0 0 0 12,857 2,122 4,164 1,927 2,741 0 17,960 523 68,884 4,683 0 8,897 2,017 4,879 1,927 3,191 2,626 164,925 27,738 0 0 22,221 7,429 1,644 688 573 2,667 1,664 3,761 338 969 14,383 311,557 360,873 31,676 108,926 OTHER CHARGES Finance costs 34,905 26,494 39,906 37,900 39,808 INCOME (LOSS) BEFORE INCOME TAX (3,229) 82,432 389,897 (26,328) (16,280) 13,163 (23,050) 31,939 (31,939) (40,543) 40,543 (11,806) 15,522 (8,706) 8,088 REVENUES Club races Recovery of doubtful accounts Gain on disposal of land Other revenues - net COSTS AND EXPENSES Racing day Salaries and wages and employees' benefits Depreciation and amortization Taxes and licenses Light and water Gas, fuel and oil Security services Commission Losses from nonrecoverable minimum Corporate income tax Supplies Professional fees Repairs and maintenance Retirment benefits Insurance Decline in value of marketable equity securities Doubtful accounts Rent Writedown of impaired assets Losses on demolition of building Loss on disposal of investment Other operating expenses INCOME FROM OPERATIONS INCOME TAX EXPENSE (BENEFIT) Deferred Change in valuation allowance NET INCOME Earnings Per Share 187,318 1999 177,399 555 385 3,052 1,401 4,107 693 7,468 7,184 0 5,165 440,011 205,419 192,903 429,803 11,572 23,528 (9,887) 0 0 3,716 (618) 6,658 82,432 389,897 (30,044) (15,662) 0.04 0.71 3.34 (0.60) (0.30) MANILA JOCKEY CLUB, INC STATEMENTS OF INCOME - VERTICAL ANALYSIS FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 1999-2003 2003 REVENUES Club races Recovery of doubtful accounts Gain on disposal of land Other revenues – net COSTS AND EXPENSES Racing day Salaries and wages and employees' benefits Depreciation and amortization Taxes and licenses Light and water Gas, fuel and oil Security services Commission Losses from nonrecoverable minimum Corporate income tax Supplies Professional fees Repairs and maintenance Retirment benefits Insurance Decline in value of marketable equity securities Doubtful accounts Rent Writedown of impaired assets Losses on demolition of building Loss on disposal of investment Other operating expenses INCOME FROM OPERATIONS 83.59% Percentage of Sales 2002 2001 2000 26.22% 16.41% 55.88% 34.56% 1.09% 8.47% 68.66% 5.11% 13.67% 18.03% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 50.07% 12.98% 11.74% 2.94% 1.68% 1.56% 1.42% 1.20% 31.57% 10.38% 3.10% 3.31% 1.23% 0.34% 1.80% 0.72% 10.84% 3.73% 2.15% 3.59% 0.65% 0.36% 0.70% 1.10% 53.00% 12.81% 9.64% 0.03% 1.83% 52.30% 12.16% 11.57% 0.07% 1.02% 1.75% 1.46% 0.77% 0.55% 0.21% 0.64% 0.64% 0.56% 0.41% 0.27% 0.09% 0.06% 0.45% 0.89% 0.41% 0.58% 0.23% 0.56% 0.22% 0.37% 0.30% 18.96% 3.19% 0.76% 0.32% 0.26% 1.23% 0.77% 1.73% 0.16% 0.45% 6.63% 3.82% 0.11% 14.66% 1.00% 86.33% 1999 81.97% 0.26% 0.18% 1.41% 0.65% 1.90% 0.32% 3.45% 3.75% 1.89% 2.55% 0.85% 3.31% 2.39% 90.77% 76.81% 50.59% 94.67% 89.13% 9.23% 23.19% 49.41% 5.33% 10.87% OTHER CHARGES Finance costs 10.17% 5.64% 4.59% 17.47% 18.39% INCOME (LOSS) BEFORE INCOME TAX -0.94% 17.55% 44.83% -12.13% -7.52% INCOME TAX EXPENSE (BENEFIT) Deferred Change in valuation allowance 3.84% -6.72% 6.80% -6.80% -4.66% 4.66% -5.44% 7.15% -4.02% 3.74% 1.71% -0.29% 17.55% 44.83% -13.85% -7.24% -2.88% NET INCOME Earnings Per Share 1.94% 0.000012% 0.00015% 0.00038% -0.00028% -0.00014% MANILA JOCKEY CLUB, INC STATEMENTS OF INCOME - HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2000-2003 % Growth from preceding year 2003 2002 2001 2000 REVENUES Club races Recovery of doubtful accounts Gain on disposal of land Other revenues – net COSTS AND EXPENSES Racing day Salaries and wages and employees' benefits Depreciation and amortization Taxes and licenses Light and water Gas, fuel and oil Security services Commission Losses from nonrecoverable minimum Corporate income tax Supplies Professional fees Repairs and maintenance Retirment benefits Insurance Decline in value of marketable equity securities Doubtful accounts Rent Writedown of impaired assets Losses on demolition of building Loss on disposal of investment Other operating expenses 9.28% -100.00% -100.00% 41.48% 21.77% 5.59% -99.15% -10.47% 49.86% -23.98% -26.94% -45.99% 300.85% 0.26% 15.88% -8.69% 176.92% -35.02% -0.35% 236.50% -42.25% 21.11% 57.27% -18.01% 50.15% 16.91% -22.23% -10.60% -50.16% 45780.88% 1.83% 43.57% -49.33% 38.38% 60.97% -64.61% 1.61% 5.55% -16.42% -57.50% 79.37% 3.03% 15.10% 40.65% 3.58% -47.43% 0.00% -48.16% 5.21% -14.65% 0.00% -14.10% -100.00% -98.36% -89.11% -60.99% -98.11% -100.00% -100.00% -100.00% 44.51% 19.76% 11.19% -100.00% 252.01% 82.94% 15.81% -15.16% 676.92% 16920.12% 92.85% 3.41% 20.00% 23.96% 48.83% -12.61% 18.77% -8.42% 39.83% 92.60% 39.09% -13.67% -17.99% 114.20% 6.49% -70.92% -74.66% 3614.16% -50.82% 31.75% -33.61% 5.29% -4.79% -103.92% -78.86% 1380.92% 61.72% INCOME TAX EXPENSE (BENEFIT) Deferred Change in valuation allowance -58.79% -178.78% -27.83% -178.78% 243.41% 161.20% 35.61% 91.91% NET INCOME -91.92% -78.86% 1197.75% 91.83% Earnings Per Share -94.37% -78.74% -656.67% 100.00% INCOME FROM OPERATIONS OTHER CHARGES Finance costs INCOME (LOSS) BEFORE INCOME TAX -100.00% -701.29% MANILA JOCKEY CLUB, INC. BALANCE SHEETS DECEMBER 31, 1999-2003 2003 2002 (In thousands) 2001 2000 1999 ASSETS CURRENT ASSETS Cash and cash equivalents (Note 3) Marketable equity securities - net Receivables - net Prepayments and other current assets - net 68,427 3,818 189,089 18,197 34,191 28,870 224,153 9,503 147,223 13,220 206,773 1,689 3,917 3,535 8,671 1,013 15,249 3,873 11,287 1,712 Total Current Assets 279,531 296,717 368,905 17,136 32,121 NON - CURRENT ASSETS Investments Property and equipment - net Other non-current Assets 5,354 2,882,950 191,370 4,984 2,522,507 225,920 2,067 730,710 181,569 1,567 222,025 185,411 122,865 234,271 47,984 Total Non-current Assets 3,079,674 2,753,411 914,346 409,003 405,120 TOTAL ASSETS 3,359,205 3,050,128 1,283,251 426,139 437,241 CURRENT LIABILITIES Interest-bearing loans and borrowings Income tax payable Accounts payable and accrued expenses 150,000 2,615 400,809 190,333 2,517 250,537 40,333 1,777 226,334 126,311 543 58,078 241,629 0 56,949 Total Current Liabilities 553,424 443,387 268,444 184,932 298,578 NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES Interest-bearing loans and borrowings Other non-current liabilities 499,250 169,167 137,700 209,500 258,600 132,588 Total Non-current Liabilities 499,250 306,867 468,100 132,588 0 EQUITY Capital stock Revaluation increment in property Retained earnings 149,999 1,677,010 479,522 149,999 1,677,010 472,865 100,000 6,275 440,432 51,810 8,516 48,293 51,810 8,516 78,337 Total Equity 2,306,531 2,299,874 546,707 108,619 138,663 TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 3,359,205 3,050,128 1,283,251 426,139 437,241 LIABILITIES AND EQUITY MANILA JOCKEY CLUB, INC. BALANCE SHEETS - VERTICAL ANALYSIS DECEMBER 31, 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000 AND 1999 2003 Percentage of Total Assets 2002 2001 2000 1999 ASSETS CURRENT ASSETS Cash and cash equivalents (Note 3) Marketable equity securities – net Receivables – net Prepayments and other current assets - net 2.04% 0.11% 5.63% 0.54% 1.12% 0.95% 7.35% 0.31% 11.47% 1.03% 16.11% 0.13% 0.92% 0.83% 2.03% 0.24% 3.49% 0.89% 2.58% 0.39% Total Current Assets 8.32% 9.73% 28.75% 4.02% 7.35% NON - CURRENT ASSETS Investments Property and equipment – net Other non-current Assets 0.16% 85.82% 5.70% 0.16% 82.70% 7.41% 0.16% 56.94% 14.15% 0.37% 52.10% 43.51% 28.10% 53.58% 10.97% Total Non-current Assets 91.68% 90.27% 71.25% 95.98% 92.65% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% CURRENT LIABILITIES Interest-bearing loans and borrowings Income tax payable Accounts payable and accrued expenses 4.47% 0.08% 11.93% 6.24% 0.08% 8.21% 3.14% 0.14% 17.64% 29.64% 0.13% 13.63% 55.26% Total Current Liabilities 16.47% 14.54% 20.92% 43.40% 68.29% NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES Interest-bearing loans and borrowings Other non-current liabilities 0.00% 0.00% 14.86% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 5.55% 4.51% 0.00% 0.00% 16.33% 20.15% 0.00% 0.00% 31.11% 0.00% Total Non-current Liabilities 14.86% 10.06% 36.48% 31.11% 0.00% EQUITY Capital stock Revaluation increment in property Retained earnings 4.47% 49.92% 14.27% 4.92% 54.98% 15.50% 7.79% 0.49% 34.32% 12.16% 2.00% 11.33% 11.85% 1.95% 17.92% Total Equity 68.66% 75.40% 42.60% 25.49% 31.71% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% 100.00% TOTAL ASSETS LIABILITIES AND EQUITY TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 13.02% MANILA JOCKEY CLUB, INC. BALANCE SHEETS - HORIZONTAL ANALYSIS DECEMBER 31, 2003, 2002, 2001, 2000 AND 1999 2003 ASSETS CURRENT ASSETS Cash and cash equivalents (Note 3) Marketable equity securities – net Receivables – net Prepayments and other current assets - net % Growth from preceding year 2002 2001 2000 100.13% -86.78% -15.64% 91.49% -76.78% 118.38% 8.41% 462.64% 3658.57% 273.97% 2284.65% 66.73% -74.31% -8.73% -23.18% -40.83% -5.79% -19.57% 2052.81% -46.65% 7.42% 14.29% -15.29% 141.12% 245.21% 24.43% 31.91% 229.11% -2.07% -98.72% -5.23% 286.40% Total Non-current Assets 11.85% 201.13% 123.55% 0.96% TOTAL ASSETS 10.13% 137.69% 201.13% -2.54% -21.19% 3.89% 59.98% 371.90% 41.64% 10.69% -68.07% 227.26% 289.71% -47.73% 24.82% 65.17% 45.16% -38.06% 195.12% -19.25% -46.75% 58.01% 62.69% -34.44% 253.05% EQUITY Capital stock Revaluation increment in property Retained earnings 0.00% 0.00% 1.41% 50.00% 26625.26% 7.36% 93.01% -26.32% 812.00% 0.00% 0.00% -38.35% Total Equity 0.29% 320.68% 403.33% -21.67% 10.13% 137.69% 201.13% -2.54% Total Current Assets NON - CURRENT ASSETS Investments Property and equipment – net Other non-current Assets LIABILITIES AND EQUITY CURRENT LIABILITIES Interest-bearing loans and borrowings Income tax payable Accounts payable and accrued expenses Total Current Liabilities NON-CURRENT LIABILITIES Interest-bearing loans and borrowings Other non-current liabilities Total Non-current Liabilities TOTAL LIABILITIES AND EQUITY 1.98% Ratio Analysis LIQUIDITY CURRENT RATIO QUICK RATIO MJCI PRC .51 : 1 .47 : 1 1.5 : 1 1.46 : 1 Liquidity Ratio 1.5 MJCI 1 PRC 0.5 0 CURRENT RATIO QUICK RATIO Liquidity ratios help measure a firm’s ability to cover its short-term obligations. Most firms generally pay their interest payments and short-term debts with current assets. The composition and quality of current assets is a critical factor in the analysis of your Company's liquidity MJCI’s Liquidity is very low compared to PRC, this only means that the company’s liquidity position is relatively weak. MJCI needs 480 million additional current assets in order to equal PRC’s liquidity ratios. ASSET MANAGEMENT DAYS SALES OUTSTANDING FIXED ASSET TURNOVER TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER MJCI PRC 201 days .12 times .10 times 240 days .62 times .21 times 240 MJCI 220 PRC 200 180 DAYS SALES OUTSTANDING Asset Management Ratios 0.8 MJCI 0.6 PRC 0.4 0.2 0 FIXED ASSET TURNOVER TOTAL ASSET TURNOVER These are accounting ratios that measure a firm’s ability to convert accounts within their balance sheet into cash or sales. Companies will typically try to turn their production into cash or sales as fast as possible because this will generally lead to higher revenue. Such ratios are frequently used when performing fundamental analysis on different companies. MJCI’s fixed asset turnover and total asset turnover are very much lower than PRC, this means that MJCI’s assets are not used as intensively as PRC. MJCI needs to increase its net sales by 1.5 billion to utilize it assets and cope up with PRC. DEBT MANAGEMENT MJCI PRC 31% 29% TIMES INTEREST EARNED 0.91 times 4.93 times EBITDA COVERAGE RATIO 2.06 times 4.30 times DEBT RATIO Debt Management Ratio MJCI 33% PRC 30% 27% DEBT RATIO Debt Management Ratios 5 4 MJCI 3 PRC 2 1 0 TIMES INTEREST EARNED EBITDA COVERAGE RATIO Measure the activity of the assets and the liability of the business to generate sales trough the use of the assets. In 2003 the total debt of MJCI is only 31% percent of total asset not high compared to PRC that has 29% debt ratio. MJCI has a TIE of .91 times which means that its EBIT can’t even cover its interest payment, which is a good sign in terms of paying its long-term debt. MJCI’s earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization is only half of PRC’s EBITDA coverage ratio which means that MJCI needs to increase its sales in able to be at par with its direct competitor. PROFITABILITY PROFIT MARGIN ON SALES BASIC EARNING POWER RETURN ON TOTAL ASSETS RETURN ON COMMON EQUITY MJCI 1.94% 0.94% 0.20% 1.06% PRC 16.00% 4.88% 3.33% 4.69% Profitability Ratios 16.00% 14.00% 12.00% 10.00% 8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% MJCI PRC PROFIT MARGIN ON SALES BASIC EARNING POWER RETURN ON RETURN ON TOTAL COMMON ASSETS EQUITY Profitability Ratios measures the company’s earning power and management effectiveness in running operations, thus indicating the profitability of sales operations and investments. It consists of the various elements that make up net income: revenues, cost of goods sold and operating expense. MJCI’s profit margin on sales is very low when we compare it to PRC, this is because MJCI’s net income dropped by 76 million compared to last year. Its BEP is also extremely low with only .94%, MJCI need 148 million additional in EBIT in able to equal PRC’s 4.88% BEP. MJCI ROA is also low at .20% when we compare it to PRC, the company needs additional 105 million to have the same ROA with PRC. MJCI’s ROE is also 3.63% lower than PRC, which has a 4.69% ROA. The company needs to increase its net income by 23 million. Based on our analysis this huge decrease in net income is brought about by the newly build race track in Carmona, Cavite, which not fully utilized as of now. Sales and net income will surely increase on the next succeeding years when this new facility is utilized intensively. MANILA JOCKEY CLUB INC. STRATEGIC PROFIT MODEL For the years ended December 31, 2003 and 2002 (Amounts in thousands) Net Income 6,658 82,432 Profit Margin 0.019398 = 0.175462 Year 2003 2002 Return on Financial Equity Leverage 1.06% = 5.34 13.23% 4.90 Return on Assets x 0.00198202 = 0.02702575 Total Assets 3,359,205 3,050,128 ÷ Shareholders' Equity 629,521 622,864 Net Sales 343,233 469,799 343,233 469,799 x Asset Turnover 0.102177 = 0.154026 = ÷ ÷ Total Assets 3,359,205 3,050,128 The ROE of MJCI dramatically from a decreased, high of 13.23 percent in 2002 down to 1.06 percent in 2003. There are a lot of factors that might have caused the said decline. First, its financial leverage increased slightly by .44, which means that MJCI debt. Assets increased its MJCI Returns on (ROA) also decreased from 2.7 percent to .20 percent, which means that its assets are not effectively utilized. Net sales also declined by almost 127 million despite the increased in total assets that also concludes that the newly acquired asset are not used as intensively to generate more revenues compared with its direct competitor. Moreover, MJCI net income roughly decreased by 92 percent, which we think is the main reason of a huge disparity between the 2002 and 2003 ROE. (IN THOUSANDS) NOWC 2003 NOWC 2002 TOC 2003 TOC 2002 (127,711.00) 14,793.00 2,755,239.00 2,537,300.00 NOPAT 2003 NOPAT 2002 21,539.68 74,069.68 OCF 2003 OCF 2002 61,828.68 88,618.68 FCF 2003 FCF 2002 MVA EVA (196,399.32) (1,604,946.32) 1,170,467.00 (309,089.00) Computation are as follows (In Thousands) Net Operating Working Capital NOWC03 = = = NOWC02 = = = Operating current assets $275,713 -127,711.00 Operating current assets $267,847 14,793 Operating current liabilities $403,424 - - Operating current liabilities $253,054 Total Net Operating Capital TOC03 = = = NOWC -$127,711 2,755,239 + + Fixed assets $2,882,950 TOC02 = = = NOWC $14,793 2,537,300 + + Fixed assets $2,522,507 Net Operating Profit After Taxes NOPAT03 = = = EBIT $31,676 21,540 x x (1-T) 68% NOPAT02 = = = EBIT $108,926 74,070 x x (1-T) 68% Operating Cash Flow OCF03 = = = NOPAT $21,540 61,829 + + Depreciation $40,289 OCF02 = = = NOPAT $74,070 88,619 + + Depreciation $14,549 Free Cash Flow FCF03 = = = OCF $61,829 -$196,399 - Gross investment in operating capital $258,228 NOPAT $21,540 -$196,399 - Net investment in operating capital $217,939 or FCF03 = = = FCF02 = = = OCF $88,619 -$1,604,946 - Gross investment in operating capital $1,693,565 NOPAT $74,070 -$1,604,946 - Net investment in operating capital $1,679,016 or FCF02 = = = EVA AND MVA FOR 2003 Additional Input Data Stock price $6.00 # of shares (in thousands) 149,999 A-T cost of capital 12% Market Value Added MVA = = = Stock price $12.00 $1,170,467 x x Economic Value Added EVA = = = NOPAT $21,540 -$309,089 - # of shares 149,999 Operating Capital $2,755,239 - Total common equity $629,521 x After-tax cost of capital 12% x MVA The firm’s market value exceeds its book value by P 1,170,467,000. This means that the management has added this much to shareholder’s value over the company’s history. EVA EVA shows how much value management has added during the latest year. Since it has negative (–) 309,089,000 EVA. This means that the management has decreased its value instead of adding on it in the current year. The most probable cause of this decline is the large investment used in the newly build international standard racetrack in Carmona, which we think is not fully utilized at present. Financial Analysis For the Manila Jockey Club, 2003 had been an adversity in terms of financial performance. The company’s net income went down from 82 million pesos to 6 million pesos (92% drop), despite the increase in club races revenue in 2003. This is because in 2002 the company had recovered doubtful accounts worth 162 million pesos that resulted into a higher net income. Another possible reason that might have cause the company’s poor financial performance was the acquisition of parcel of land located in Carmona, Cavite in the year 2001. The said property was acquired from KPPI Land Corporation valued at 523.6 million pesos which is payable in 12 equal quarterly installments from 2001 to 2004. Total payments made by the Company as of December 31, 2002 amounted to 265.9 million pesos. The company long-term debt also increased by 330 million pesos in 2003 that also resulted into an increased on interest payments. Moreover, MJCI’s depreciation and amortization also increased by 26 million pesos, which adds to the company’s costs and expenses. The company’s financial ratios are way below when compared to PRC. There are many possible reason why MJCI’s ratios are poor. First, the move from the old San Lazaro to Carmona, which cost millions of pesos. Moreover, since this racing facility was just recently brought into operation, it might not be fully utilize until such time the period of adjustment to the new location come to an end. Another reason would be the additional interest, depreciation and amortization causing the net income to decrease. ROE and ROA are also relatively low if we compare it to PRC because of a low net income and also as we have mentioned earlier the newly acquired assets are not fully utilized yet as intensively as PRC. And lastly, after comparing the income statement of MJCI and PRC, MJCI has smaller revenue and a higher operating expenses whereas PRC has a higher revenue and at the same time, a smaller operating expenses. This only means that MJCI needs to increase sales and decrease expenses simultaneously in able to cope up with PRC in terms of financial performance.