Chapter 2: Constant and Time Varying Demand Costs in inventory models Economic order quantity (EOQ) Optimal Order Quantity, Reorder point. Safety stock Discount Planned shortage models 1. Type of Costs in Inventory Models Inventory analyses can be thought of as cost-control techniques. Categories of costs in inventory models: Holding (carrying costs) Order/ Setup costs Customer satisfaction costs Procurement/Manufacturing costs Type of Costs in Inventory Models Holding Costs (Carrying costs): depend on the order size Cost of capital Storage space rental cost Costs of utilities Labor Insurance Security Theft and breakage Deterioration or Obsolescence Type of Costs in Inventory Models Order/Setup Cost: is independent of the order size. Order costs are incurred when purchasing a good from a supplier. They include costs such as Telephone Order checking Labor Transportation Setup costs are incurred when producing goods for sale to others. They can include costs of Cleaning machines Calibrating equipment Training staff Type of Costs in Inventory Models Customer Satisfaction Costs Measure the degree to which a customer is satisfied. Unsatisfied customers may: Switch to the competitors (lost sales). Wait until an order is supplied. When customers are willing to wait there are two types of costs incurred: Type of Costs in Inventory Models Procurement/Manufacturing Cost Represents the unit purchase cost (including transportation) in case of a purchase. Unit production cost in case of in-house manufacturing 2. Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) Model - Assumptions Demand occurs at a known and reasonably constant rate. The item has a sufficiently long shelf life. The item is monitored using a continuous review system. All the cost parameters remain constant forever (over an infinite time horizon). A complete order is received in one The EOQ Model – Inventory Profile The constant environment described by the EOQ assumptions leads to the following observation: The optimal EOQ policy consists of same-size orders. This observation results in the following inventory profile : 2.1. Cost Equation for the EOQ Model Let is the order quantity or lot size total annual inventory cost total annual holding cost total annual total annual ordering cost procurement cost Costs in the EOQ Model cost total cost at the optimal order size total holding costs and ordering costs are equal total ordering cost Order quantity Sensitivity Analysis in EOQ Models cost The curve is reasonably flat around Deviations from the optimal order size cause only small increase in the total cost. Order quantity Cycle Time The cycle time, T, represents the time that elapses between the placement of orders. Note, if the cycle time is greater than the shelf life, items will go bad, and the model must be modified. Number of Orders per Year To find the number of orders per years, take the reciprocal of the cycle time Example: The demand for a product is 1000 units per year. The order size is 250 units under an EOQ policy. How many orders are placed per year? N = 1000/250 = 4 orders. How often orders need to be placed (what is the cycle time)? T = 250/1000 = ¼ years. {Note: the four orders are equally spaced}. Lead Time and Reorder Point In reality, lead time L always exists, and must be accounted for when deciding when to place an order. The reorder point, R, is the inventory position when an order is placed. R is calculated by: L and D must be expressed in the same time unit. Lead Time and Reorder Point – Graphical demonstration: Short Lead Time R = Inventory at hand at the beginning of lead time reorder point place the order now Lead Time and Reorder Point – Graphical demonstration: Long Lead Time outstanding order place the order now 2.2. Safety Stock Safety stocks act as buffers to handle: Higher than average lead time demand. Longer than expected lead time. With the inclusion of safety stock (SS), R is calculated by The size of the safety stock is based on having a desired service level. Safety Stock reorder point place the order now Safety Stock reorder point place the order now The safety stock prevents excessive shortages. Inventory Costs Including Safety Stock total annual total annual inventory cost holding cost total annual total annual safety stock ordering cost procurement holding cost cost ALLEN APPLIANCE COMPANY (AAC) AAC wholesales small appliances. AAC currently orders 600 units of the Citron brand juicer each time inventory drops to 205 units. Management wishes to determine an optimal ordering policy for the Citron brand juicer ALLEN APPLIANCE COMPANY (AAC) Data Co = $12 ($8 for placing an order) + (20 min. to check)($12 per hr) C = $10. H = 14% (10% ann. interest rate) + (4% miscellaneous) Ch = $1.40 [HC = (14%)($10)] D = demand information of the last 10 weeks was collected: Sales of Juicers over the last 10 weeks Week 1 2 3 4 5 Sales 105 115 125 120 125 Week 6 7 8 9 10 Sales 120 135 115 110 130 ALLEN APPLIANCE COMPANY (AAC) Data The constant demand rate seems to be a good assumption. Annual demand = (120/week)(52weeks) = 6240 juicers. AAC – Solution: EOQ and Total Variable Cost Current ordering policy calls for Q = 600 juicers. TV( 600) = (600/2)($1.40) + (6240 / 600)($12) =$544.8 TV is total variable cost The EOQ policy calls for orders of size: TV(327) = (327 / 2)($1.40) + (6240 / 327) ( $12) = $457.89 Savings of 16% is achieved by applying the EOQ solution. AAC – Solution: Reorder Point and Total Cost Under the current ordering policy AAC holds 13 units safety stock (how come? Observe): AAC is open 5 day a week. The average daily demand = (120/week)/5 = 24 juicers. Lead time is 8 days. Lead time demand is (8)(24) = 192 juicers. Reorder point without Safety stock = LD = 192. Current policy: R = 205. Safety stock = 205 – 192 = 13. For safety stock of 13 juicers the total cost is TC(327) = 457.89 + 6240($10) + (13)($1.40) = $62,876.09 TV(327) + procurement cost + safety stock holding cost AAC – Solution: Sensitivity of the EOQ Results Changing the order size Suppose juicers must be ordered in increments of 100 (order 300 or 400) AAC will order Q = 300 juicers in each order. There will be a total variable cost increase of $1.71. This is less than 0.5% increase in variable costs. Changes in input parameters Suppose there is a 20% increase in demand. D=7500 juicers. The new optimal order quantity is Q* = 359. The new variable total cost = TV(359) = $502 If AAC still orders Q = 327, its total variable costs becomes TV(327) = (327/2)($1.40) + (7500/327)($12) = $504.13 → only increase 0.4% AAC – Solution: Cycle Time For an order size of 327 juicers we have: T = (327/ 6240) = 0.0524 year. = 0.0524(52)(5) = 14 days. working days per week This is useful information because: Shelf life may be a problem. Coordinating orders with other items might be desirable. AAC – Excel Spreadsheet 2.3. EOQ Models with Quantity Discounts Quantity Discounts are Common Practice in Business By offering discounts buyers are encouraged to increase their order sizes, thus reducing the seller’s holding costs. Quantity discounts reflect the savings inherent in large orders. With quantity discounts sellers can reward their biggest customers. EOQ Models with Quantity Discounts Quantity Discount Schedule This is a list of per unit discounts and their corresponding purchase volumes. Normally, the price per unit declines as the order quantity increases. The order quantity at which the unit price changes is called a break point. There are two main discount plans: All unit schedules - the price paid for all the units purchased is based on the total purchase. Incremental schedules - The price discount is based only on the additional units ordered beyond each break point. All Units Discount Schedule To determine the optimal order quantity, the total purchase cost must be included Ci represents the unit cost at the ith pricing level. AAC - All Units Quantity Discounts AAC is offering all units quantity discounts to its customers. Data Quantity Discount Schedule 1-299 $10.00 300-599 $9.75 600-999 $9.40 1000-4999 $9.50 5000 $9.00 Should AAC increase its regular order of 327 juicers, to take advantage of the discount? AAC – All units discount procedure Step 1: Find the optimal order Qi* for each discount level “i” by using the formula Step 2: For each discount level “i” modify Qi* as follows If Q* < qi, then Qi* = qi. If qi Q* < qi+1, then Qi* = Q* If qi+1 Q*, eliminate this level from further consideration. Step 3: Substitute the modified Qi* value in the total cost formula TC(Qi*). Step 4: Select the Qi* that minimizes TC(Qi*) AAC – All units discount procedure Step 1: Find the optimal order Qi* for each discount level “i” by using the formula Lowest cost order size per discount level Discount Qualifying Price level order per unit Q* 0 1-299 10.00 327 1 300-599 9.75 331 2 600-999 9.50 337 3 1000-4999 9.40 336 4 5000 9.00 345 AAC – All units discount procedure Step 2: Lowest cost order size per discount level Discount Qualifying Price level order per unit Q* Qi* 0 1-299 10.00 327 **** 1 300-599 9.75 331 331 2 600-999 10004999 5000 9.50 337 600 9.40 336 1000 9.00 345 5000 3 4 AAC – All units discount procedure Step 3: Substitute the modified Qi* value in the total cost formula TC(Qi*). Modified Q* and total Cost Qualified Urder Price per Unit Q* Modified Qi* Total Cost 1-299 10.00 300 **** *** 300-599 9.75 331 331 $61,309.88 600-999 9.50 336 600 $59,192.71 1000-4999 9.40 337 1000 $60,037.17 5000 9.00 345 5000 $59,341.36 AAC – All units discount procedure Step 4: AAC should order 600 juicers as it results in the minimum total annual cost Modified Q* and total Cost Qualified Urder Price per Unit Q* Modified Q* Total Cost 1-299 10.00 300 **** **** 300-599 9.75 331 331 $61,309.88 600-999 9.50 336 600 $59,192.71 1000-4999 9.40 337 1000 $60,037.17 5000 9.00 345 5000 $59,341.36 AAC – All Units Discount Excel Worksheet 3. Planned Shortage Model When an item is out of stock, customers may: Go somewhere else (lost sales). Place their order and wait (backordering). In this model we consider the backordering case. All the other EOQ assumptions are in place. Planned Shortage Model – the Total Variable Cost Equation The parameters of the total variable costs function are similar to those used in the EOQ model. In addition, we need to incorporate the shortage costs in the model. Backorder cost per unit per year (loss of good will cost) - Cs. Reflects future reduction in profitability. Can be estimated from market surveys and focus groups. Backorder administrative cost per unit - Cb. Reflects additional work needed to take care of the backorder. Planned Shortage Model – the Total Variable Cost Equation The Annual holding cost = Ch[T1/T](Average inventory) = Ch[T1/T] (Q-S)/2 The Annual shortage cost = Cb(number of backorders per year) + CS(T2/T)(Average number of backorders). To calculate the annual holding cost and shortage cost we need to find The proportion of time inventory is carried, (T1/T) The proportion of time demand is backordered, (T2/T). Finding T1/ T and T2/ T average inventory (Q-S)/2 Proportion of time inventory exists = T1/T = (Q - S) / Q Proportion of time shortage exists = T2/T =S/Q Average shortage = S / 2 Planned Shortage Model – The Total Variable Cost Equation Annual holding cost: Ch[T1/T](Q-S)/2 = Ch[(Q-S) /Q](Q-S)/2 = Ch(Q-S)2/2Q Annual shortage cost: Cb(Units in short per year) + Cs[T2/T](Average number of backorders) = Cb(S)(D/Q) + CsS2/(2Q) Planned Shortage Model – The Total Variable Cost Equation The total annual variable cost equation Time independent backorder costs Time independent backorder costs The optimal solution to this problem is obtained under the following conditions Cs > 0 ; Cb < (2CoCh / D)1/2 Planned Shortage Model – The Optimal Inventory Policy The Optimal Order Size The Optimal Backorder level Reorder Point SCANLON PLUMBING CORPORATION Scanlon distributes a portable sauna from Sweden. Data A sauna costs Scanlon $2400. Annual holding cost per unit $525. Fixed ordering cost $1250 (fairly high, due to costly transportation). Lead time is 4 weeks. Demand is 15 saunas per week on the average. SCANLON PLUMBING CORPORATION Backorder costs Scanlon estimates a $20 goodwill cost for each week a customer who orders a sauna has to wait for delivery. Administrative backordrer cost is $10. Management wishes to know: The optimal order quantity. The optimal number of backorders. SCANLON PLUMBING – Solution Input for the total variable cost function D = 780 saunas [(15)(52)] Co = $1,250 Ch = $525 Cs = $1,040 Cb = $10 SCANLON PLUMBING – Spreadsheet Solution