Risk Management and Insurance: Perspectives in a Global Economy 1. Introduction to Risk Management and Insurance Study Points 2 Study Points ▪ The importance of an international perspective 3 Study Points ▪ The importance of an international perspective ▪ Risk management and economic growth 4 Study Points ▪ The importance of an international perspective ▪ Risk management and economic growth ▪ The language of risk and insurance internationally 5 Study Points ▪ The importance of an international perspective ▪ Risk management and economic growth ▪ The language of risk and insurance internationally ▪ The environment for risk and insurance internationally 6 Risk Risk and Economic Development (Figure 1.1) Level of economic development 7 The Importance of an International Perspective 8 The Importance of an International Perspective 9 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Decisions about how to deal with some risky activities and processes have become complex. 10 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Decisions about how to deal with some risky activities and processes have become complex. ▪ The world is getting smaller… 11 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Decisions about how to deal with some risky activities and processes have become complex. ▪ The world is getting smaller… 12 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Decisions about how to deal with some risky activities and processes have become complex. ▪ The world is getting smaller… ▪ In most markets, a significant proportion of goods and services competes directly or indirectly with those of other countries. 13 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Decisions about how to deal with some risky activities and processes have become complex. ▪ The world is getting smaller… ▪ In most markets, a significant proportion of goods and services competes directly or indirectly with those of other countries. ▪ The proportion of cross-border trade continues to grow worldwide. 14 World Trade Volume Growth and GDP Growth Source: WTO 15 The Importance of an International Perspective 16 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Foreign direct investment (FDI) becomes more and more important. 17 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Foreign direct investment (FDI) becomes more and more important. ▪ FDI inflows tend to grow at rates greater than those for merchandise trade. 18 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Competitiveness is heightened as price differentiation becomes a less feasible alternative to improved operating efficiency. 19 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ Competitiveness is heightened as price differentiation becomes a less feasible alternative to improved operating efficiency. ▪ Even firms which are not directly involved in international activities are affected. 20 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ In a global economy, the way risk is dealt with naturally differs to suit each country’s 21 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ In a global economy, the way risk is dealt with naturally differs to suit each country’s • socio-cultural, 22 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ In a global economy, the way risk is dealt with naturally differs to suit each country’s • socio-cultural, • demographic, 23 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ In a global economy, the way risk is dealt with naturally differs to suit each country’s • socio-cultural, • demographic, • political and 24 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ In a global economy, the way risk is dealt with naturally differs to suit each country’s • socio-cultural, • demographic, • political and • economic 25 The Importance of an International Perspective ▪ In a global economy, the way risk is dealt with naturally differs to suit each country’s • socio-cultural, • demographic, • political and • economic circumstances. 26 Risk Management and Economic Growth Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ We observe a rise in the number of high-value (highly protected) risks. 28 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ We observe a rise in the number of high-value (highly protected) risks. 29 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ We observe a rise in the number of high-value (highly protected) risks. 30 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ We observe a rise in the number of high-value (highly protected) risks. 31 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ There is a tendency towards resource concentration. 32 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ There is a tendency towards resource concentration. 33 Growing Importance of Risk Management 34 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ Pollution as another externality has become a topical issue. 35 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ Pollution as another externality has become a topical issue. 36 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ Risk management has assumed greater importance as its scope continues to expand. 37 Growing Importance of Risk Management ▪ Risk management has assumed greater importance as its scope continues to expand. ▪ Today, it finds application in limiting and spreading (financial and other) risks in business and in helping governments resolve public policy issues. 38 Growing Importance of Risk Management 39 Role of Risk Management in Economic Growth ▪ Risk management may reduce long-term financial variability and render firms more competitive. 40 Role of Risk Management in Economic Growth ▪ From a macroeconomic standpoint, risk management may reduce the number of commercial and industrial enterprises that would otherwise become insolvent. 41 Role of Risk Management in Economic Growth ▪ Via effective loss control measures, risk management may reduce the frequency and severity of causes of economic losses, such as work-related injuries and work interruption. 42 Role of Risk Management in Economic Growth ▪ Risk management may reduce production costs, thus making goods and services cheaper. 43 Defining Risk and Insurance ▪ International risk and international insurance commonly refer to 44 Defining Risk and Insurance ▪ International risk and international insurance commonly refer to • unintended outcomes and 45 Defining Risk and Insurance ▪ International risk and international insurance commonly refer to • unintended outcomes and • insurance transactions that 46 Defining Risk and Insurance ▪ International risk and international insurance commonly refer to • unintended outcomes and • insurance transactions that transcend or cross national boundaries. 47 Defining Risk and Insurance ▪ International risk and international insurance commonly refer to • unintended outcomes and • insurance transactions that transcend or cross national boundaries. • International risk can stem from the consequences of international business activities. 48 Defining Risk and Insurance ▪ International risk and international insurance commonly refer to • unintended outcomes and • insurance transactions that transcend or cross national boundaries. • International risk can stem from the consequences of international business activities. 49 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies 50 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies ▪ Developing economies 51 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies ▪ Developing economies ▪ Centrally planned economies 52 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. 53 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies 54 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies ▪ Developing economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies 55 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies ▪ Developing economies • Also known as underdeveloped countries, undeveloped countries, low- (or middle-) income countries, the south and the third world. 56 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies ▪ Developing economies • Also known as underdeveloped countries, undeveloped countries, low- (or middle-) income countries, the south and the third world. • Emerging markets 57 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies ▪ Developing economies • Also known as underdeveloped countries, undeveloped countries, low- (or middle-) income countries, the south and the third world. • Emerging markets • Economies in transition 58 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies ▪ Developing economies • Also known as underdeveloped countries, undeveloped countries, low- (or middle-) income countries, the south and the third world. • Emerging markets • Economies in transition • Least developed countries 59 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies ▪ Developing economies • Also known as underdeveloped countries, undeveloped countries, low- (or middle-) income countries, the south and the third world. • Emerging markets • Economies in transition • Least developed countries ▪ Centrally planned economies 60 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies ▪ Developing economies • Also known as underdeveloped countries, undeveloped countries, low- (or middle-) income countries, the south and the third world. • Emerging markets • Economies in transition • Least developed countries ▪ Centrally planned economies • Also known as planned economies, communist countries, and the second world. 61 Country Classifications – by State of Economic Development ▪ Developed market economies • Also known as high-income countries, advanced countries, economically advanced countries, industrialized countries, the north, and the first world. • Newly industrialized economies ▪ Developing economies • Also known as underdeveloped countries, undeveloped countries, low- (or middle-) income countries, the south and the third world. • Emerging markets • Economies in transition • Least developed countries ▪ Centrally planned economies • Also known as planned economies, communist countries, and the second world. 62 Distribution of GDP (PPP), Exports & Population (2018) Exports of Goods and Services GDP Advanced Economies United States Euro Area Germany France Italy Spain Japan United Kingdom Canada Other Advanced Economies Memorandum Major Advanced Economies Number of Advanced Economies Economies 39 100.0 37.2 19 27.9 7.9 5.4 4.3 3.4 10.1 5.5 3.3 40.8 15.2 11.4 3.2 2.2 1.8 1.4 4.1 2.2 1.4 Advanced Economies 100.0 16.0 42.0 11.9 5.8 4.2 3.1 5.9 5.4 3.5 World Population 63.0 10.1 26.5 7.5 3.6 2.7 2.0 3.7 3.4 2.2 Advanced Economies 100.0 30.6 31.7 7.8 6.1 5.7 4.3 11.8 6.2 3.5 World World 14.3 4.4 4.5 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.6 1.7 0.9 0.5 16 15.9 6.5 27.2 17.1 16.1 2.3 7 73.7 30.1 52.7 33.2 71.6 10.2 Source: IMF 63 Country Classifications by Membership 64 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations 65 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations ▪ United Nations 66 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund 67 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank 68 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) 69 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) 70 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Regional Organizations United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) 71 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations Regional Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development 72 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations Regional Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) ▪ Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development European Union 73 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations Regional Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) ▪ ▪ Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development European Union United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement 74 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations Regional Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) ▪ ▪ ▪ Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development European Union United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement Association of Southeast Asian Nations 75 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations Regional Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development European Union United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement Association of Southeast Asian Nations Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation 76 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations Regional Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development European Union United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement Association of Southeast Asian Nations Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Southern Common Market 77 Country Classifications by Membership International Organizations Regional Organizations ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ United Nations International Monetary Fund World Bank World Trade Organization (WTO) World Health Organization (WHO) ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ ▪ Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development European Union United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement Association of Southeast Asian Nations Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation Southern Common Market Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa 78 OECD Member Countries 79 European Union Member Countries Risk Classifications Risk Classifications Risk Classifications ▪ Risk Risk Classifications ▪ Risk ▪ Loss exposure Risk Classifications ▪ Risk ▪ Loss exposure ▪ Peril Risk Classifications ▪ Risk ▪ Loss exposure ▪ Peril ▪ Hazard Risk Classifications ▪ Risk ▪ Loss exposure ▪ Peril ▪ Hazard • Physical hazard Risk Classifications ▪ Risk ▪ Loss exposure ▪ Peril ▪ Hazard • Physical hazard • Moral hazard Risk Classifications ▪ Risk ▪ Loss exposure ▪ Peril ▪ Hazard • Physical hazard • Moral hazard Risk Classifications – Risks Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk ▪ Operational (internal) risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Operational (internal) risk • Personal risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk ▪ Operational (internal) risk • Personal risk • Personnel risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk ▪ Operational (internal) risk • Personal risk • Personnel risk • Property risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk ▪ Operational (internal) risk • • • • Personal risk Personnel risk Property risk Liability risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk ▪ Operational (internal) risk • • • • • Personal risk Personnel risk Property risk Liability risk Concentration risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk ▪ Operational (internal) risk • • • • • • Personal risk Personnel risk Property risk Liability risk Concentration risk Reputational risk Risk Classifications – Risks ▪ Pure risk ▪ Financial risk • Market risk • Interest rate risk • Exchange rate risk • Other systematic risk • Credit (counterparty) risk • Price risk ▪ Operational (internal) risk • • • • • • Personal risk Personnel risk Property risk Liability risk Concentration risk Reputational risk ▪ Strategic risk Risk Management Process Risk Management Process Risk Management Process ▪ The process Risk Management Process ▪ The process • Risk analysis Risk Management Process ▪ The process • Risk analysis • Identification and evaluation of the possible outcomes associated with events or activities Risk Management Process ▪ The process • Risk analysis • Identification and evaluation of the possible outcomes associated with events or activities • Risk control Risk Management Process ▪ The process • Risk analysis • Identification and evaluation of the possible outcomes associated with events or activities • Risk control • Exploration of techniques to control adverse outcomes Risk Management Process ▪ The process • Risk analysis • Identification and evaluation of the possible outcomes associated with events or activities • Risk control • Exploration of techniques to control adverse outcomes • Risk financing Risk Management Process ▪ The process • Risk analysis • Identification and evaluation of the possible outcomes associated with events or activities • Risk control • Exploration of techniques to control adverse outcomes • Risk financing • How to finance the costs of adverse outcomes that occur Risk Management Process ▪ The process • Risk analysis • Identification and evaluation of the possible outcomes associated with events or activities • Risk control • Exploration of techniques to control adverse outcomes • Risk financing • How to finance the costs of adverse outcomes that occur ▪ The view of risk management is changing Risk Management Process ▪ The process • Risk analysis • Identification and evaluation of the possible outcomes associated with events or activities • Risk control • Exploration of techniques to control adverse outcomes • Risk financing • How to finance the costs of adverse outcomes that occur ▪ The view of risk management is changing • A fragmented approach to the management of risk is less effective and efficient than an integrated approach that involves all the risks to which an entity is exposed. Insurance Classifications Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance ▪ Life vs. nonlife insurance Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance ▪ Life vs. nonlife insurance • Nonlife insurance also known as general insurance, propertycasualty and property-liability insurance Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance ▪ Life vs. nonlife insurance • Nonlife insurance also known as general insurance, propertycasualty and property-liability insurance • Life insurance dealing with Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance ▪ Life vs. nonlife insurance • Nonlife insurance also known as general insurance, propertycasualty and property-liability insurance • Life insurance dealing with • death Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance ▪ Life vs. nonlife insurance • Nonlife insurance also known as general insurance, propertycasualty and property-liability insurance • Life insurance dealing with • death, • living a certain period Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance ▪ Life vs. nonlife insurance • Nonlife insurance also known as general insurance, propertycasualty and property-liability insurance • Life insurance dealing with • death, • living a certain period, • incapacity (disability and long-term care need) Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance ▪ Life vs. nonlife insurance • Nonlife insurance also known as general insurance, propertycasualty and property-liability insurance • Life insurance dealing with • death, • living a certain period, • incapacity (disability and long-term care need), • injury or incurring a disease Insurance Classifications ▪ Social vs. private insurance ▪ Life vs. nonlife insurance • Nonlife insurance also known as general insurance, propertycasualty and property-liability insurance • Life insurance dealing with • death, • living a certain period, • incapacity (disability and long-term care need), • injury or incurring a disease Chapter 9 (Social Insurance) Chapter 20 (Insurance Globally) Insurance Classifications Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance • Large risks and mass risks in the EU Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance • Large risks and mass risks in the EU ▪ Direct insurance vs. reinsurance Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance • Large risks and mass risks in the EU ▪ Direct insurance vs. reinsurance • Direct (writing) insurer, primary insurer Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance • Large risks and mass risks in the EU ▪ Direct insurance vs. reinsurance • Direct (writing) insurer, primary insurer • Direct premium Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance • Large risks and mass risks in the EU ▪ Direct insurance vs. reinsurance • Direct (writing) insurer, primary insurer • Direct premium • Reinsurer, assuming company Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance • Large risks and mass risks in the EU ▪ Direct insurance vs. reinsurance • Direct (writing) insurer, primary insurer • Direct premium • Reinsurer, assuming company • Reinsurance premium Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance • Large risks and mass risks in the EU ▪ Direct insurance vs. reinsurance • Direct (writing) insurer, primary insurer • Direct premium • Reinsurer, assuming company • Reinsurance premium • Retrocession and retrocessionaire Insurance Classifications ▪ Personal vs. commercial insurance • Industrial insurance • Large risks and mass risks in the EU ▪ Direct insurance vs. reinsurance • Direct (writing) insurer, primary insurer • Direct premium • Reinsurer, assuming company • Reinsurance premium • Retrocession and retrocessionaire Chap 21 (Life Insurance) Chap 22 (Nonlife Insurance) Chap 23 (Reinsurance) The Changing Environment and Risk Management Rapidly Changing Environment Greater Uncertainty Increased Need for Effective Risk Management 139