12-706 and 19-702 MICROECON REVIEW Scott Matthews 12-706/19-702 1 Discussion - “Willingness to Pay” 2 Survey of students of WTP for beer How much for 1 beer? 2 beers? Etc. Price $4 Quantity Price 1 $4 2 $3.75 3 $3 4 $2 $3.75 $2 0 1 2 12-706 and 19-702 3 4 Quantity WTP results 3 Economists also refer to this as demand Does similar form hold for all goods? What types of goods different? 12-706 and 19-702 (Individual) Demand Curves 4 Downward Sloping is a result of diminishing marginal utility of each additional unit (also consider as WTP) Presumes that at some point you have enough to make you happy and do not value additional units Price A Actually an inverse demand curve (where P = f(Q) instead). B P* 0 1 2 3 4 Q* 12-706 and 19-702 Quantity Market Demand 5 Price A A B B P* P* 0 1 2 3 4 Q 0 1 2 3 4 5 Q z If above graphs show two (groups of) consumer demands, what is social demand curve? 12-706 and 19-702 Market Demand 6 P* 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Q z Found by calculating the horizontal sum of individual demand curves z Market demand then measures ‘total 12-706 and 19-702 consumer surplus of entire market’ Social WTP (i.e. market demand) 7 Price A B P* 0 1 2 3 4 Q* Quantity z ‘Aggregate’ demand function: how all potential consumers in society value the good or service (i.e., someone willing to pay every price…) 12-706 and 19-702 z This is the kind of demand curves we care about Demand Curve Shifts 8 Difference between change in demand and change in quantity demanded Change in just the price, all else equal, will just move along same demand curve If other things change, eg preferences for eating meat, demand curve shifts. Could also happen from income changes, etc. 12-706 and 19-702 First: Elasticities of Demand 9 Measurement of how “responsive” demand is to some change in price or income. Slope of demand curve = p/ q. Elasticity of demand, e, is defined to be the percent change in quantity divided by the percent change in price. 12-706 and 19-702 Elasticities of Demand 10 Elastic demand: > 1. If P inc. by 1%, demand dec. by more than 1%. Unit elasticity: v = 1. If P inc. by 1%, demand dec. by 1%. Inelastic demand: < 1 If P inc. by 1%, demand dec. by less than 1%. P P Q Q 12-706 and 19-702 Elasticities of Demand 11 P Necessities, demand is Completely insensitive To price Perfectly Inelastic P Q Perfectly Elastic A change in price causes Demand to go to zero (no easy examples) Q 12-706 and 19-702 Elasticity - Some Formulas 12 Point elasticity = dq/dp * (p/q) For linear curve, q = (p-a)/b so dq/dp = 1/b Linear curve point elasticity =(1/b) *p/q = (1/b)*(a+bq)/q =(a/bq) + 1 12-706 and 19-702 Sorta Timely Analysis 13 How sensitive is gasoline demand to price changes (in the short term)? Historically, we have seen relatively little change in demand. New AAA report: higher gasoline prices have caused a 3 percent reduction in demand from a year ago. Basic analysis - What was ∆p? q? ? What does that tell us about gasoline? 12-706 and 19-702 Maglev System Example 14 Maglev - downtown, tech center, UPMC, CMU 20,000 riders per day forecast by developers. Let’s assume: price elasticity -0.3; linear demand; 20,000 riders @ average fare of $ 1.20. Estimate Total Willingness to Pay. 12-706 and 19-702 Example calculations 15 We have one point on demand curve: 1.2 = a + b*(20,000) We know an elasticity value: elasticity for linear curve = 1 + a/bq -0.3 = 1 + a/b*(20,000) Solve with two simultaneous equations: a = 5.2 b = -0.0002 or 2.0 x 10^-4 12-706 and 19-702 Types of Costs 16 Private - paid by consumers Social - paid by all of society Opportunity - cost of foregone options Fixed - do not vary with usage Variable - vary directly with usage External - imposed by users on non-users e.g. traffic, pollution, health risks Private decisions usually ignore external 12-706 and 19-702 Making Cost Functions 17 Fundamental to analysis and policies Three stages: Technical knowledge of alternatives Apply input (material) prices to options Relate price to cost Obvious need for engineering/economics Main point: consider cost of all parties Included: labor, materials, hazard costs 12-706 and 19-702 Functional Forms 18 TC(q) = F+ VC(q) Use TC eq’n to generate unit costs Average Total: ATC = TC/q Variable: AVC = VC/q Marginal: MC = [TC]/ q but F/ q = 0, so MC = [VC]/ q 12-706 and 19-702 Short Run vs. Long Run Cost 19 Short term / short run - some costs fixed In long run, “all costs variable” Difference is in ‘degree of control of plans’ Generally say we are ‘constrained in the short run but not the long run’ So TC(q) < = SRTC(q) 12-706 and 19-702 From Cost to Supply 20 Given knowledge of costs to produce, producers decide how much to produce As price to sell at increases, incentivizes producers to make more Also leads to more opportunities/methods to pay costs required to produce (e.g., we would mine a lot more coal if the price were $100 rather than $20 a ton) 12-706 and 19-702 BCA Part 2: Cost Welfare Economics Continued 21 The upper segment of a firm’s marginal cost curve corresponds to the firm’s SR supply curve. Again, diminishing returns occur. Price At any given price, determines how much output to produce to maximize profit Supply=MC AVC Quantity 12-706 and 19-702 Supply/Marginal Cost Notes 22 Demand: WTP for each additional unit Supply: cost incurred for each additional unit Price At any given price, determines how much output to produce to maximize profit Supply=MC P* Q1 Q* Q2 12-706 and 19-702 Quantity Supply/Marginal Cost Notes 23 Recall: We always want to be considering opportunity costs (total asset value to society) and not accounting costs Price Area under MC is TVC - why? Supply=MC P* Q1 Q* Q2 12-706 and 19-702 Quantity Firm Production Functions 24 MC What do marginal, Average cost curves Tell us? Variable cost shows Non-fixed components Of producing the good P AVC Marginal costs show us Cost of producing one Additional good Q Where would firm produce? 12-706 and 19-702 Unifying Cost and Supply 25 Economists learn “Supply and Demand” Equilibrium (meeting point): where S = D In our case, substitute ‘cost’ for supply Why cost? Need to trade-off Demand Using MC is a standard method Recall this is a perfectly competitive world! 12-706 and 19-702 Example 26 Demand Function: p = 4 - 3q Supply function: p = 1.5q Assume equilibrium, what is p,q? In eq: S=D; 4-3q=1.5q ; 4.5q=4 ; q=8/9 P=1.5q=(3/2)*(8/9)= 4/3 12-706 and 19-702