FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung FINA2010 Financial Management Revision handbook Contents: Pages Chapter 1 Introduction to Corporate Finance 2-4 Chapter 5 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money 5-7 Chapter 6 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation 8-13 Chapter 7 Interest rate and Bond Valuation 14-21 Chapter 8 Stock Valuation 22-25 Chapter 9 Net Present Value and Other Investments Criteria 26-32 Chapter 10 Making Capital Investment Decisions 33-38 Chapter 14 Cost of Capital 39-43 Chapter 16 Financial Leverage and Capital Structure Policy 44-48 1 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Chapter 1 Introduction to Corporate Finance 1.1 Corporate Finance and the Financial Manager Financial Managers need to Definition make decision of … Capital budgeting Process of planning and managing a firm’s long-term investments in fixed assets. Capital structure Mix of debt (borrowing) and equity (ownership interest) to finance operations Working capital Manage short-term assets and management liabilities Chief Financial Officer (CFO) or Vice-President of Finance Subordinate 1: Controller Subordinate 2: Treasurer Concerns The size, the type of fixed assets, timing and riskiness of future cash flows Financing cost (interest), the size, timing, source and optimal mix The size of inventory, credit policy and source Coordinates the activities of the treasurer and the controller Oversees cost and financial accounting, taxes, and information systems. Oversees cash management, credit management, financial planning, and capital expenditures. 1.2 Forms of Business Organization Characteristics Sole Proprietorship Owned by one person Partnership Multiple owners, but not incorporated. General partnership Limited partnership Share in gains or losses; Unlimited liability General partners: Run business; unlimited liability. Corporation Limited partner: Not run business; Limited liability according to contribution to the partnership Composed of one or more owners; Distinct legal person, which has many rights, duties and privileges, Setup doc.: articles and a set of bylaws (Articles: include company’s name, intended life, business purpose, maximum shares issued) (By-laws: rules to regulate company itself, such as election methods of directors.) Advantages Disadvantages Ease of start-up, Lower regulation, Owner keeps all profits, Taxed once as personal income More equity capital available than a sole proprietorship, Relatively easy to start, Income taxed once at personal tax rate. Limited life, Limited equity capital, Unlimited liability (personally responsible), Low liquidity Unlimited liability for general partners, Dissolution when partner dies or wishes to sell, Difficult to transfer ownership, Low liquidity. Limited liability, Unlimited life, Separation of ownership and management, High liquidity, Ease of raising capital. Agency costs (from separation of ownership and management), Double taxation (although a reduction by new tax law). 2 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 1.3 The Goal of Financial Management Corporation: maximization of (market) value for owners (equity-holders) Methods: Maximizing current stock price (incorporate expectations about the future of the company and trade-off between short-run profits and long-run profits), Realizing profits from management’s vision and strategies, etc. Sarbanes-Oxley Act Aim Intended results Unintended results Require a) the assessment of internal control structure and financial reporting in annual report; b) the signature of corporate officers (declare no false and omit presentation; being responsible to internal control and accurate presentation, e.g. disclose deficiencies; c) the approval from auditor’s evaluation Protect investors from corporate abuses (e.g. personal loans from a company to its officers) More detailed and accurate financial reporting; Increased management awareness of internal controls; Increased responsibility for corporate officers; Identification of internal control weaknesses Delisting from the exchanges (Going dark) 1.4 The Agency Problem and Control of the Corporation Agency relationships Agency problem Direct costs Indirect costs Corporate Control Proxy fight Takeover Stakeholders The relationship between stockholders and management. This occurs when one party (principal) hires another (agent) to represent their interests. Possible conflicts of interest between the principals and agents. In other words, management goals (such as focusing on profits instead of equity, the independence of decision-making power and perks) may be different from shareholders’ goals. Corporate expenditures to benefit (e.g. incentive-based compensation) and monitor (e.g. extra auditor fees) management. Bonus and stock options (for management to have ownership) and job promotion are structured incentives. Sub-optimal decisions (reject too risky projects that may fails to protect job security) E.g. Proxy fight and Takeover This is to trigger replacing existing management by unhappy stockholders. Proxy is the authority to vote someone else’s stock. It may result in better management since existing management fears they will be replaced. Any person or entity, other than a stockholder or creditor, who potentially has a claim on the cash flows of a firm. 1.5 Financial markets and the Corporation Primary market Secondary market The market in which securities are sold by the company. E.g. Public and private placements of securities (such as IPO), SEC registration, and underwriters. The market where securities that have already been issued are traded between investors. E.g. Stock exchanges (NYSE, HKEx) and Over-the-counter (OTC) market (NASDAQ) 3 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Concept check: 1. What are the area(s) of capital budgeting? I. the identification of investment opportunities that have a positive net value II. the mix of long-term debt and equity used to finance a firm's operations. III. planning and manage a firm’s long-term investments in fixed assets IV. the daily control of a firm's short-term assets and short-term liabilities V. the assessment of prospective project that have a positive net value A. I, III, IV B. I, III, V C. II, III, IV D. I, III, IV, V 2. Which one of the following grants someone the right to vote on behalf of a shareholder? A. employment contract B. articles of corporation C. proxy D. stock agreement E. personal authorization letter 3. Which one of the following parties has ultimate control of a corporation? A. liquidators B. shareholders C. board of directors D. chief executive officer E. debtholders Solution: 1. B 2. C 3. B 4 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Chapter 5 Introduction to Valuation: The Time Value of Money Future value (FV) Interest rate (r) Compounding Interest on interest Compound interest Simple interest Present value (PV) Discounting Discount rate Discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation The amount of money an investment will grow to over some period of time at some given interest rate. The “exchange rate” between earlier money and later money, which also called Implicit rate of return, Discount rate, Cost of capital, Opportunity cost of capital, Required return. This process of leaving your money and any accumulated interest in an investment for more than one period, thereby reinvesting the interest. Interest earned on the reinvestment of previous interest payments. E.g. invested $200 two years ago, r=10%. =>$20 interest from $220 in 1st year. He reinvested the $20. =>$22 interest on his $220 in 2nd year. The extra $2 he earned in 2nd year is “interest on interest”. Interest earned on both the initial principal and the interest reinvested from prior periods. Interest earned only on the original principal amount invested, without investing interest. The current value of future cash flows discounted at the appropriate discount rate. Calculate the present value of future cash flows. The rate used to calculate the present value of future cash flows. Calculating the present value of a future cash flow to determine its value today. Calculation: FV = PV(1 + r)t & PV = FV / (1 + r)t Rearrange (r and t): FV = PV(1 + r)t where FV = future value PV = present value r = period interest rate t = number of periods Future value interest factor (FVIT) = (1 + r)t E.g. FVIF(10%,4) = 1.14 = 1.464 Present value interest factor (PVIT) = 1 (1+𝑟)𝑡 𝐹𝑉 1 r = ( )𝑡 − 1 𝑃𝑉 E.g. PV=$100, FV=$150, 6 periods (r=7%) 𝑙𝑛( 𝐹𝑉 ) 𝑃𝑉 t = 𝑙𝑛(1+𝑟) E.g. PV=$100, FV=$150, 7% (t=6) E.g. PVIF(10%,4) = 1 / 1.14 = .683 Rule of 72 can estimate how long it takes to double a sum of money Time to double money = 72 / (interest rate per year) E.g. If r = 9% p.a., 8 years to double the money Time to double money = 72 / 9% = 8 years If 8 years to double the money, r= 9% p.a. Interest rate per year = 72 / 8 years = 9% 5 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Self-test: (a) Your parents set up a trust fund for you 10 years ago that is now worth $19,671.51. If the fund earned 7% per year, how much did your parents invest? (b) Suppose you had a relative who deposited $100 at 5.5% interest 200 years ago. How much would the investment be worth today? (i) using simple interest (ii) using compounded interest. (c) How long will it take your $10,000 to double in value if it earns 5% annually? (d) What is the annual implied rate of interest if $1,000 grows into $4,000 in 20 years? Concept Check: 1. Today, you deposit $4,000 into a retirement savings account. The account will compound interest at 3% annually. You decide not to withdraw any principal or interest until you retire in fifty years. Which one of the following statements is correct? A. The total amount of interest you will earn will equal $4,000 0.03 50. B. The interest amount you earn will triple in value every year. C. The interest you earn ten years from now will equal the interest you earn twenty years from now. D. The future value of this amount is equal to $4,000 (1 + 50)0.03. E. The present value of this investment is equal to $4,000. 2. Your best friend will give you $5,000 when you graduate. He expects you to graduate three years from now. What is the change of the present value of this gift if you join a 2-year exchange program and delay your graduation by two years? A. becomes negative B. increases C. cannot be determined from the information provided D. decreases 3. You invested $1,000 in an account that pays 2% simple interest. How much more could you have earned over a 40-year period if the interest had compounded annually? A. $406.04 B. $407.04 C. $408.04 D. $704.40 E. $804.40 6 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 4. A year ago, you deposited $10,000 into a retirement savings account at a fixed rate of 1.5%. Today, you could earn a fixed rate of 2% on a similar type account. However, your rate is fixed and cannot be adjusted. How much less could you have deposited last year if you could have earned a fixed rate of 2% and still have the same amount as you currently will when you retire 49 years from today? A. $2,022.01 less B. $2,139.91 less C. $2,178.44 less D. $2,231.73 less E. $2,294.03 less 5. You decide to buy a new apartment in the future. One choice is $5 million standard flat in a new town. Another choice is $10 million luxury house in Central Business District. You have $200,000 today that can be invested at your bank. The bank pays 5% annual interest on its accounts. How many years less would you take to save enough money to afford buying the cheaper flat, rather than the luxury house? Assume the price of both apartments remains constant. A. 14.21 years less B. 14.41 years less C. 14.61 years less D. 14.81 years less E. 15.01 years less Solution: Self-test (a) PV = 19,671.51 / (1.07)10 = 9,999.998 = 10,000 (b) (i) 100 + 200(100)(0.055) = 1200 (ii) 100(1.055)200 = 4,471,898 (c) 14.2 years (d) 7.18% Concept Check 1. E 2. D 3. C [($1000*1.02^40)-($1000+$1000*0.02*40) = $408.0397] 4. C [$10000-(($10000*1.015^50)*(1/(1.02^50))) = $2178.4374] 5. A [$5,000,000 = $200,000*(1 + 0.05)t; t = 65.9739 years $10,000,000 = $200,000*(1 + 0.05)t; t = 80.1806 years Answer = 14.2067] 7 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Chapter 6 Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Annuity Ordinary annuity Annuity due Perpetuity Growing annuity Effective Annual Rate (EAR) Annual Percentage Rate (APR) EAR vs APR Pure discount loan Interest-Only Loan Amortized loan Equal payments occurred at regular intervals over a stated time period The annuity which the first payment occurs at the end of the period The annuity which the first payment occurs at the beginning of the period Infinite series of equal payments paid at equal time intervals Also called “consols” in Britain E.g. Preferred stock (preference stock) A growing stream of cash flows with a fixed maturity The actual rate paid (or received) after accounting for compounding that occurs during the year. // The interest rate expressed as if it were compounded once per year. Annual rate that is quoted by law or a lender. // The interest rate charged per period multiplied by the number of periods per year. // The interest rate expressed in terms of the interest payment made each period. It is also called “stated interest rate” or “quoted interest rate”. APR is a stated rate and is computed as (r x n), where r is the rate per period and n is the number of periods per year. EAR considers compounding and is computed as (1 + r)n - 1. EAR is higher than APR as long as the account is compounded more than once a year and the interest rate is greater than zero. The EAR is the equivalent rate based on annual compounding. EAR has greater importance because it is the actual cost of a loan. The borrower receives money today and repays a single lump sum at a point of time in the future. (Receive principal at once + Repay principal at once) E.g. 1-year, 10% T-bill T0: +$1000 (Inflow); T1: -$1100 (Outflow) The borrower to pay interest each period and to repay the entire principal (the original loan amount) at some point in the future. If there is only one period, a pure discount loan and an interest-only loan is the same. (Receive principal at once + Repay principal at once + Repay interest in many times) E.g. 3-year, 7% corporate bonds T0: +$1000 (Inflow); T1: -$70 (Outflow); T2: -$70 (Outflow); T3: -$1070 (Outflow) The process of providing for a loan to be paid off by making regular payments, including both interest and principal amounts. The amounts of principal and interest need not be fixed in each increments. (Receive principal at once + Repay principal and interest in many times) E.g. 4-year (Medium-term), 30% business loans (fixed principal + varied interest) T0: +1000 (inflow); T1: -$550 (250+300) (Outflow); T2: -$475 (250+225) (Outflow); T3: -$400 (250+150) (Outflow); T4: -$325 (250+75) (Outflow) [Total interest: $750] Note: Cash flows occur at the end of each period are implicitly assumed, i.e. ordinary annuity. If you are looking at monthly periods, you need a monthly rate. If you have an APR based on monthly compounding, you have to use monthly periods, or adjust the interest rate appropriately if you have payments other than monthly. 8 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Formula: Ordinary annuity 1 1 (1 r ) t PV C r Eg. $4,000 annual saving for 50 years; 4% p.a.; what is the value today? (Answer: $85,928.74) Eg. $4,000 saving a year; 4% p.a.; what is the value at the end of 50 years? (Answer: $610,668.3) (1 r ) t 1 FV C r Annuity due 1 1 (1 r ) t PV C r (1 r ) E.g. $1m is saved five years from now. An annuity is to set aside on the first day of each month starting today. Saving rate is 3% p.a. What is the amount to save each month? (Answer: $15,430.12) (1 r ) t 1 FV C (1 r ) r Perpetuity Growing annuity 𝑃𝑉 = 𝐶 𝑟 C C (1 g ) C (1 g )t 1 PV (1 r ) (1 r ) 2 (1 r )t t C (1 g ) PV 1 r g (1 r ) EAR E.g. The first payment is $1,000, receive payments for 10 years, expected growth rate is 3%, discount rate is 5%. What is the present value? (Answer: $8747.6) m APR EAR 1 1 m where m is the number of compounding periods per year APR APR m (1 EAR) 1 m - 1 E.g. EAR=30%, compounded quarterly, what is APR? (Answer: 27.12%) 9 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Self-test: 1. A mortgage requires you to pay $70,000 at the end of each of the next 8 years. The interest rate is 8%. (a) What is the present value of these payments? (b) Calculate for each year the loan balance that remains outstanding, the interest payment on the loan, and the reduction in the loan balance. 2. You estimate that by the time you retire in 35 years, you will have accumulated savings of $2 million. If the interest rate is 8% and you live 15 years after retirement, what annual level of expenditure will those savings support? Unfortunately, inflation will eat into the value of your retirement income. Assume a 4% inflation rate and work out a spending program for your retirement that will allow you to increase your expenditure in line with inflation. 3. Your friend is celebrating her 35th birthday today and wants to start saving for her anticipated retirement at age 65. She wants to be able to withdraw $105,000 from her savings account on each birthday for 20 years following her retirement; the first withdrawal will be on her 66th birthday. Your friend intends to invest her money in the local credit union, which offers 7% interest per year. She wants to make equal annual payments on each birthday into the account established at the credit union for her retirement fund. (a) If she starts making these deposits on her 36th birthday and continues to make deposits until she is 65 (the last deposit will be on her 65th birthday), what amount must she deposit annually to be able to make the desired withdrawals at retirement? (b) Suppose your friend has just inherited a large sum of money. Rather than making equal annual payments, she has decided to make one lump sum payment on her 35th birthday to cover her retirement needs. What amount does she have to deposit? (c) Suppose your friend’s employer will contribute $1,500 to the account every year as part of the company’s profit-sharing plan. In addition, your friend expects a $150,000 distribution from a family trust fund on her 55th birthday, which she will also put into the retirement account. What amount must she deposit annually now to be able to make the desired withdrawals at retirement? Concept Check: 1. Here are two annuities which provide monthly payments of $800 for seven years and pay 3% interest per quarter. Annuity A and annuity B will pay you on the first day and the last day of each month respectively. Which one of the following statements is correct? A. These two annuities have equal present values as of today and equal future values at the end of year seven. B. Annuity B has a greater future value than annuity A. C. Annuity A has a greater present value than annuity B. D. Annuity A is an ordinary annuity. E. Annuity B is an annuity due. 10 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 2. Mary and Peter receive $480 on the first day and the last day of each month respectively. Both two annuities will last for next three years. If discount rate is equal to 9.5%, what is the difference of the present values between them? A. $110.54 B. $112.06 C. $114.32 D. $116.08 E. $118.63 3. A project considered by the Chinese Press has an initial cash outflow of $500,000. The project will offer cash inflows of $5,000 monthly for 120 months. What is the return rate? A. 3.62% B. 3.74% C. 3.86% D. 3.89% E. 3.94% 4. The cash flows of Wi-Fi project are to pay $70,000 today, to receive $30,000 one year from today, a payment of $60,000 three years from today and the final receipt of $160,000 four years from today. What is the present value if the discount rate is 10%? A. $20,169 B. $20,440 C. $20,752 D. $21,476 E. $21,861 5. What is APR on a bank loan if a stated rate is 5% per quarter? A. 5% B. 20% C. 40% D. 60% E. 80% 11 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Solution: Self-test 1. (a) 1 1 PV $70,000 $402,264.7 3 8 0.08 0.08 (1.08) (b) Beginning-ofYear Balance ($) 402,264.73 364,445.91 323,601.58 279,489.71 231,848.88 180,396.79 124,828.54 64,814.82 Year 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2. Year-End Interest on Balance ($) 32,181.18 29,155.67 25,888.13 22,359.18 18,547.91 14,431.74 9,986.28 5,185.19 Total Year-End Payment ($) 70,000.00 70,000.00 70,000.00 70,000.00 70,000.00 70,000.00 70,000.00 70,000.00 Amortization of Loan ($) 37,818.82 40,844.33 44,111.87 47,640.82 51,452.09 55,568.26 60,013.72 64,814.81 End-of-Year Balance ($) 364,445.91 323,601.58 279,489.71 231,848.88 180,396.79 124,828.54 64,814.82 0.01 This is an annuity problem with the present value of the annuity equal to $2 million (as of your retirement date), and the interest rate equal to 8% with 15 time periods. Thus, your annual level of expenditure (C) is determined as follows: 1 1 PV C t r r (1 r) 1 1 $2,000,000 C 15 0.08 0.08 (1.08) C $233,659 With an inflation rate of 4% per year, we will still accumulate $2 million as of our retirement date. However, because we want to spend a constant amount per year in real terms (R, constant for all t), the nominal amount (Ct) must increase each year. For each year t: R = Ct /(1 + inflation rate)t Therefore: PV [all Ct ] = PV [all R (1 + inflation rate)t] = $2,000,000 (1 0.04)1 (1 0.04) 2 (1 0.04)15 R . . . $2,000,000 1 2 (1 0.08)15 (1 0.08) (1 0.08) R [0.9630 + 0.9273 + . . . + 0.5677] = $2,000,000 R 11.2390 = $2,000,000 R = $177,952 Alternatively, consider that the real rate is (1 0 .08) 1 .03846. Then, redoing the steps (1 0.04) above using the real rate gives a real cash flow equal to: 12 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung C $2,000,000 1 1 $177,952 0.03846 0.03846 (1.03846) 15 Thus C1 = ($177,952 1.04) = $185,070, C2 = $192,473, etc. 3. PVA = $105,000{[1 – (1/1.07)20] / 0.07} = $1,112,371.50 This amount is the same for all three parts of this question. (a) If your friend makes equal annual deposits into the account, this is an annuity with the FVA equal to the amount needed in retirement. The required savings each year will be: FVA = $1,112,371.50 = C[(1.0730 – 1) / 0.07] C = $11,776.01 (b) Here we need to find a lump sum savings amount. Using the FV for a lump sum equation, we get: FV = $1,112,371.50 = PV(1.07)30 PV = $146,129.04 (c) In this problem, we have a lump sum savings in addition to an annual deposit. Since we already know the value needed at retirement, we can subtract the value of the lump sum savings at retirement to find out how much your friend is short. FV of trust fund deposit = $150,000(1.07)10 = $295,072.70 So, the amount your friend still needs at retirement is: FV = $1,112,371.50 – 295,072.70 = $817,298.80 Using the FVA equation, and solving for the payment, we get: $817,298.80 = C[(1.07 30 – 1) / 0.07] C = $8,652.25 This is the total annual contribution, but your friend’s employer will contribute $1,500 per year you’re your friend must contribute: Friend's contribution = $8,652.25 – 1,500 = $7,152.25 Concept Check 1. C 2. E [PV of Mary’s annuity = $480*(1-(1/(1+(0.095/12))^36))/(0.095/12)*(1+0.095/12) = $15,103.199 PV of Peter’s annuity = $480*(1-(1/(1+(0.095/12))^36))/(0.095/12) = $14,984.571 Difference = $15,103.199 - $14,984.571 = $118.628] 3. B [$500,000 = $5,000*(1-(1/(1+(r/12))^120))/(r/12); r = 3.7368%] 4. D [-$70,000 + $30,000/1.1 - $60,000/1.1^3 + $160,000/1.1^4 = $21,475.992] 5. B [5%*4 = 20%] 13 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Chapter 7 Interest rate and Bond Valuation Bond Coupon Face value Coupon rate Maturity Level coupon bond Yield to maturity (YTM) Current yield Current yield vs YTM Par value bond Discount bond Premium bond Interest rate risk Price risk Reinvestment rate risk Long-term IOUs, usually interest-only loans. The stated, regular interest payment made on a bond. The principal amount of a bond that is repaid at the end of the term. Also called par value. The annual coupon divided by the face value of a bond, quoted as a % of face value. The specified date on which the face value of a bond is paid, usually in years. The bond which coupon is constant and paid every year The rate required in the market on a bond, called bond “yield” for short. Also, it is the rate implied by the current bond price as it makes the discounted cash flows from a bond equal to the bond’s market price. A bond’s annual coupon divided by its market price Yield to maturity = current yield + capital gains yield E.g.: 10% coupon bond, with semiannual coupons, face value of $1,000, 20 years to maturity, bond price of $1,197.93 Explanation: Current yield = 100 / 1,197.93 = 0.0835 = 8.35% Price in one year, assuming no change in YTM = 1,193.68 Capital gain yield = (1,193.68 – 1,197.93) / 1,197.93 = -0.0035 = -0.35% YTM = 8.35 - 0.35 = 8% In other words, buying a premium bond and holding it to maturity ensures capital losses over the life of the bond; however, the higher-than-market coupon will exactly offset the losses. The opposite is true for discount bonds. A bond sells for its par value. A bond sells for the price below par value. If YTM > coupon rate, then par value > bond price Why? The discount provides yield above coupon rate. A bond that sells for the price above par value. If YTM < coupon rate, then par value < bond price Why? Higher coupon rate causes value above par. The risk that arises for bond owners from fluctuating interest rates. How much interest rate risk a bond has depends on how sensitive its price to interest rate changes is. Price risk and reinvestment risk are two kinds of interest rate risk. Change in price due to changes in interest rates. Longer term bonds & lower coupon rate bonds have more price risk. Uncertainty concerning rates at which cash flows can be reinvested. Shorter term bonds & higher coupon rate bonds have more reinvestment risk. Bond pricing Bonds of similar risk (and maturity) will be priced to yield about the same return, theorems regardless of the coupon rate. Debt vs Equity Debt Equity (Characteristics) Not an ownership interest Ownership interest Creditors do not have voting rights Common stockholders vote for the board of directors and other issues Interest is considered a cost of Dividends are not considered a cost doing business and is tax deductible of doing business and are not tax deductible Creditors have legal recourse if 14 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung interest or principal payments are missed Excess debt can lead to financial distress and bankruptcy Bond indenture Terms of a bond Dividends are not a liability of the firm, and stockholders have no legal recourse if dividends are not paid An all equity firm cannot go bankrupt merely due to debt since it has no debt Written legal agreement between issuer and creditors (bondholders) detailing terms of borrowing. (Also, deed of trust.) The indenture includes the following provisions: (1) The basic terms of the bonds (2) The total face amount of bonds issued (3) A description of property used as security (if applicable) (4) Sinking fund provisions (5) Call provisions (6) Details of protective covenants Include face value, par value, and form Registered Forms Bearer Forms The registrar of the company records Bond is issued without record of the ownership of each bond; payment is owner’s name; payment is made to made directly to the owner of record. whomever holds the bond (physical possession). Sinking fund provisions Call provisions Protective covenants Issuer makes periodic payments to retire part of the outstanding bond (Early redemption). For a sinking fund, it is an account managed by a trustee. It allows bond issuer to retire (repurchase) part or all of the bond at call price. It limits on carrying out certain activities of the bond issuers (borrower) during the term of the loan, usually to protect the interests of bondholders (lender), e.g. limit on the amount of debt, amount of dividend, etc. Security There are four kinds of securities. (1) Collateral – secured by financial securities (2) Mortgage – secured by real property, normally land or buildings (3) Debentures – Unsecured debt with 10 or more years to maturity (in US); Secured debt (in UK) E.g. 20-year, 10% unsecured bonds at par debenture (4) Notes – unsecured debt with original maturity less than 10 years E.g. 7.5%, $1 million in unsecured, non-callable debt, matures 8 years from now. Order of precedence of claims (payments). Subordinated debenture – of lower priority than senior debt Seniority High Grade Medium Grade Investment Grade Low Grade Moody’s Aaa, S&P and Fitch AAA – capacity to pay is extremely strong Moody’s Aa and S&P AA – capacity to pay is very strong. Moody’s A, S&P and Fitch A – capacity to pay is strong, but more susceptible to changes in circumstances Moody’s Baa, S&P and Fitch BBB – capacity to pay is adequate, adverse conditions will have more impact on the firm’s ability to pay. Rating of Baa or BBB and above Moody’s Ba and B, S&P and Fitch BB and B - considered possible that the capacity to pay will degenerate. 15 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Very Low Grade Moody’s C (and below) and S&P and Fitch C (and below) – income bonds with no interest being paid, or in default with principal and interest in arrears. Government Bonds Long-term debt instruments issued by a governmental entity. Treasury Securities Municipal Securities Federal government debt which are Debt of state and local exempt from state taxation governments T-bills – pure discount bonds with Varying degrees of default risk, original maturity of one year or less rated similar to corporate debt T-notes – coupon debt with original Interest received is tax-exempt maturity between one and ten years at the federal level T-bonds – coupon debt with original maturity greater than ten years Zeroes are pure discount loans (only one repayment at maturity), deep discount bonds. Bonds are offered at deep discounts because there are no periodic coupon payments. The entire yield-to-maturity comes from the difference between the purchase price and the par value, so it has a higher price risk than a comparable coupon bond. Coupon payments of floaters adjust periodically according to an index. Floaters have less price risk and maintain a fixed real return. Coupons may have a “collar” – the rate cannot go above a specified “ceiling” or below a specified “floor”. Examples – adjustable rate mortgages and inflation-linked Treasuries (ibond in H.K.). In US, I-bonds are an inflation-indexed savings bond designed for the individual investor, e.g. “TIPS” (Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities). They pay an interest rate equal to a fixed rate plus the inflation rate. The fixed rate is fixed for the 30-year possible life of the bond, and the inflation rate is adjusted every six months. Interest is added to the bond value each month but compounded semiannually. It is issued by property and casualty companies to help fund excessive claims. Pay interest and principal as usual unless claims reach a certain threshold for a single disaster. At that point, bondholders may lose all remaining payments. Also, it demands a higher required return. Coupon is paid if corporate income is sufficient. If earnings are not enough to cover the interest payment, it is not owed. Also, it demands a higher required return. Bonds can be converted into a fixed number of shares of common stock at the bondholders discretion. Shareholders can redeem for par at their discretion. Most transactions are OTC (over-the-counter) transactions with dealers connected electronically. OTC market is not transparent. Daily bond trading volume (in dollars) exceeds stock trading volume, but trading in individual issues tends to be very thin. Zero-coupon bonds Floating-rate bonds Disaster bonds (e.g. CAT Bonds) Income bonds Convertible bonds Put bonds Bond market Treasury quotation Bid price - The price a dealer is willing to pay for a security. (You sell.) Ask price - The price a dealer is willing to take for a security. (You buy.) Bid–ask spread- Difference between the bid and the ask prices. (Dealer’s profits) 16 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Maturity 2021 Nov 15 Clean price Dirty price Coupon 8.000 Bid 136:29 Asked 136:32 Chg +5 Asked yield 4.36 Treasury bonds all make semiannual payments and have a face value of $1,000, so this bond will pay $40 per six months. For historical reasons, Treasury prices are quoted in 32nds. Because prices are quoted in 32nds, the smallest possible price change is 1/32. This change is called the “tick” size. Thus, the bid price (136:29), actually means 136 29/32, or 136.906% of face value. With a $1,000 face value, this price represents $1,369.06. The bid-ask spread is 3/32, or $93.75. The next number quoted is the change in the asked price from the previous day, measured in ticks (in 32nds), so this issue’s asked price rose by 5/32 of 1%, or 0.15625%, of face value from the previous day. Asked yield is the yield to maturity, based on the asked price. Notice that this is a premium bond, and its yield to maturity (4.36%) is less than its coupon rate (8%). Also called Quoted price. Bonds are quoted without accrued interest. Price actually paid (total purchase cost) = Quoted price + Accrued interest Accrued interest is computed by taking a pro rata share of the coupon payment. E.g. a T-bond with a 4% semiannual yield and a clean price of $1,282.50: Number of days since last coupon = 61 Number of days in the coupon period = 184 Accrued interest = (61/184)(0.04*1000) = $13.26 Dirty price = $1,282.50 + $13.26 = $1,295.76 Fisher Effect It is a theoretical relationship between real rates, nominal rates, and inflation. Exact relationship: (1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h) I.e. r = [(1 + R) / (1 + h)] – 1 Approximate relationship: R = r + h where R = nominal rate (rates that have not been adjusted for inflation) r = real rate (rates that have been adjusted for inflation) h = expected inflation rate Term Structure The relationship between time to maturity and yields, all else equal. of Interest Rates I.e. Relationship between nominal interest rates on default-free, pure discount bonds and maturity (Pure time value of money). Treasury yield A plot of the yields on treasury notes and bonds relative to maturity, based on curve coupon bond yields. Normal – upward-sloping; long-term yields are higher than short-term yields Inverted – downward-sloping; long-term yields are lower than short-term yields The slope primarily depends on the combined effects of inflation premium and the interest rate risk premium. Factors (1) Real rate of interest – the compensation investors demand for forgoing Affecting Bond the use of their money after adjusting for the effects of inflation Yields (2) Expected future inflation (premium) – portion of the nominal rate that is compensation for expected inflation (3) Interest rate risk (premium) – reward for bearing interest rate risk [Remember: Anything else that affects the risk of the cash flows to the bondholders will affect the required returns.] 17 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung (4) Default risk (premium) – portion of a nominal rate that represents compensation for the possibility of default [Remember: bond ratings!] (5) Taxability (premium) – portion of a nominal rate that represents compensation for unfavorable tax status [Remember: municipal versus taxable!] (6) Liquidity (premium) – portion of a nominal rate that represents compensation for lack of an active market wherein a bond can be sold for its actual value. [Remember: bonds that have more frequent trading will generally have lower required returns] Value of a bond (market price): The present value of the expected cash flows (the coupons and the face value) discounted at the market rate of interest. 0 1 cF cF In formula, we know bond value = 2 … t-1 t cF cF + F … 𝐶𝑥 1 1− (1+𝑟)𝑡 + 𝐹 𝑟 (1+𝑟)𝑡 = Present value of the coupons + Present value of the face amount where (1) face value (F) paid at maturity, (2) coupon (C) [coupon rate (c) multiplied by face value (F)] paid per period, (3) t periods to maturity, and (4) a yield of r per period Suppose Sammy, Co. issues $1,000 par bonds with 20 years to maturity. The annual coupon is $110. Similar bonds have a yield to maturity of 11%. Bond value = 110[1 – 1/(1.11)20] / 0.11 + 1,000 / (1.11)20 = 875.97 + 124.03 = $1,000 or N = 20; I/Y = 11; PMT = 110; FV = 1,000; CPT PV = -1,000 Since the coupon rate and the yield are the same, the price should equal face value. ( Par value bond) Suppose the YTM on bonds is 13% instead of 11%. Suppose the YTM on bonds is 9% instead of 11%. Bond price = 110[1 – 1/(1.13)20] / 0.13 + 1,000/(1.13)20 = $859.50 ( Discount bond) Bond value = 110[1 – 1/(1.09)20] / 0.09 + 1,000/(1.09)20 = $1,182.57 ( Premium bond) The difference is $140.50, which is equal to the present value of the difference between bonds with coupon rates of 13% ($130) Note: If not stated specifically, face value of bond is $1,000 and coupon payments will be paid twice a year. The expected cash flows don’t change during the life of the bond. However, the bond price will change as interest rates change and as the bond approaches maturity. 18 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Self-test: Which bonds will have the higher yield, all else equal? (a) Secured debt versus a debenture (b) Subordinated debenture versus senior debt (c) A bond with a sinking fund versus one without (d) A callable bond versus a non-callable bond Concept Check: 1. CU Entertainment has 20-year bonds outstanding. These coupons are sent directly to each of the individual bondholders. These direct payments of the bond indicate that they are defined as being issued: A. at par. B. in street form. C. as debentures. D. in registered form. E. in bearer form. 2. Which of the following are characteristics of a discount bond? I. coupon rate < yield-to-maturity II. coupon rate > yield-to-maturity III. coupon rate < current yield IV. coupon rate > current yield V. market price < face price VI. market price > face value A. I, III and V only B. I, IV and V only C. I, IV and VI only D. II, III and V only E. II, IV and VI only 3. A 4-year bond pays interest semiannually on April 1 and October 1. Assume today is February 1. What will the difference be between the clean and dirty prices today? A. no difference B. one month's interest C. two month's interest D. three month's interest E. four month's interest 19 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 4. Which of the following statements is incorrect? I. The term structure of time to maturity and yields are always inversely related. II. The real rate of return has significant impact on the slope of the term structure of interest rates. III. Higher expected future inflation rates tend to increase the slope of the term structure of interest rates. IV. The term structure of interest rates includes interest rate risk premium only. A. I only B. I, II only C. I, IV only D. II, III, and IV only E. I, II, and IV only 5. High-Fiber Foods has a 8% semiannual coupon bond outstanding issued at par. The current price and yield to maturity are $1,077.8 and 7.25% respectively. How long does this bond take to mature? A. 15.87 years B. 19.58 years C. 24.62 years D. 37.41 years E. 39.17 years 6. The bonds of Mcpeters cabinets provides a 7.2% coupon and is issued at par. The bonds are currently quoted at 103.44. What is the current yield on these bonds? A. 2.69% B. 3.33% C. 6.66% D. 6.96% E. 7.20% 7. Virginia wants to raise $20 million to establish a start-up company. She plans to sell 30-year, zerocoupon par value bonds. Yield to maturity of this bond is 12%. What is the minimum number of bonds she has to sell to raise $20 million? A. 114,870 B. 127,395 C. 612,211 D. 655,723 E. 659,754 20 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Solution: Self-test (a) Debenture has higher yield. Secured debt is less risky because the income from the security is used to pay it off first. In other words, a secured debt offers additional protection in bankruptcy, it should have a lower required return (lower yield) than a debenture. (b) Subordinated debenture has higher yield because it will be paid after the senior debt. (c) Bond without sinking fund has higher yield. Company has to come up with substantial cash at maturity to retire debt and this is riskier than systematic retirement of debt through time. (d) Callable bond has higher yield. bondholders bear the risk of the bond being called early, usually when rates are lower. They don’t receive all of the expected coupons and they have to reinvest at lower rates. Concept Check 1. D 2. A [Discount bond: Yield to maturity > Current yield > Coupon rate Premium bond: Yield to maturity < Current yield < Coupon rate] 3. E [4 months are counted from Oct 1 to Feb 1.] 4. E 5. B [$1077.8 = $40*(1-(1/(1+(7.25%/2))^(t*2)))/(7.25%/2)+1000/((1+7.25%/2)^(t*2)); t =19.58 years] 6. D [Current yield = (0.072*$1,000) / (1.0344*$1,000) = 6.9606%] 7. E [$20,000,000/(1,000/(1+0.06)^60) = 659,753.817] 21 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Chapter 8 Stock Valuation Dividend growth model Dividend yield A model that determines the current price of a stock as its dividend next period divided by the sum of the discount rate less the dividend growth rate. A stock’s expected cash dividend divided by its current price. Capital gains yield The dividend growth rate, or the rate at which the value of an investment grows. Common stock Cumulative voting Equity without priority for dividends or in bankruptcy. A procedure in which a shareholder may cast all votes for one member of the board of directors. The directors are all elected at once. Total votes that each shareholder may cast equal the number of shares times the number of directors to be elected. In general, if N directors are to be elected, it takes [1 / (N+1)]% of the stock + 1 share to assure a deciding vote for one directorship. A procedure in which a shareholder may cast all votes for each member of the board of directors. The directors are elected one at a time, and every share gets one vote. A grant of authority by a shareholder allowing another individual to vote his or her shares. A proxy fight is a struggle between management and outsiders for control of the board, waged by soliciting shareholders’ proxies. Payments by a corporation to shareholders, made in either cash or stock. Payment of dividends is at the discretion of the board. A firm cannot default on an undeclared dividend, nor can it be forced to file for bankruptcy because of nonpayment of dividends. Dividends are not tax deductible for the paying firm. Stock with dividend priority over common stock, normally with a fixed dividend rate, generally without voting rights. Preferred dividends can be deferred indefinitely and are mostly cumulative (any missed preferred dividends have to be paid before common dividends can be paid.) Preferred stock represents equity in the firm, but has many features of debt, including a stated yield, preference in terms of cash flows and liquidation, and some issues are callable and/or convertible into common shares. Straight (majority) voting Proxy Dividends Preferred stock Primary market Secondary market Dealer Broker Specialist NYSE NASDAQ The market in which new securities are originally sold to investors. The market in which previously issued securities are traded among investors. An agent who buys and sells securities from inventory. An agent who arranges security transactions among investors. A NYSE member acting as a dealer in a small number of securities on the exchange floor; often called a market maker. Specialists manage the order flow by keeping the limit order book. The limit order book lists the trades that investors have given to their brokers that include desired trading prices. The specialist is also a dealer that holds an inventory in their assigned stock. It is a computer network and has no physical location where trading takes place and has a multiple market maker system rather than a specialist system. Note: Why is common share more difficult to value in practice than a bond? First, the promised cash flows are known in advance. Second, the life of the investment is essentially forever because common stock has no maturity. Third, there is no way to easily observe the rate of return that the market requires. 22 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Formula: General case P0 D3 D1 D2 ...... 1 2 (1 R) (1 R) (1 R) 3 where Dt is dividends paid at time t and R is required return. Zero growth case (Perpetuity) P0 D R (Constant) Dividend 1rowth Model P0 D3 D t 1 D1 D2 ...... 1 2 3 (1 R) (1 R) (1 R) (1 R) t D 0 (1 g )1 D1 (1 g ) 2 D 2 (1 g ) 3 D 0 (1 g ) t P0 ..... (1 R) 1 (1 R) 2 (1 R) 3 (1 R) t Now multiply both sides by (1 R)/(1 g) : (1 R) (1 g )1 (1 g ) 2 (1 g ) t 1 P0 D0 [1 ...... ] (1 g) (1 R) 1 (1 R) 2 (1 R) t -1 Subtract t he second equation from the third and you get : [ (1 R) - (1 g) (1 g ) t ]P0 D0 [1 ] (1 g) (1 R) t (1 g ) t ] goes to one as t approaches infinity. (1 R) t D (1 g) D1 Assume R g, P0 0 (R - g) (R - g) D t 1 so Pt (R - g) D (1 g) D and Required return R 0 g 1 g P0 P0 D where 1 is dividend yield, g is capital gains yield P0 The term [1 Non-constant growth case D3 Dt Pt D1 D2 ... 1 2 3 t (1 R) (1 R) (1 R) (1 R) (1 R) t D (1 g ) where Pt t (R - g) P0 Market multiple (Peer Using (a) P/E P= benchmark P/E x EPS (earning per share comparison) (b) Price-sales P = benchmark Price-sales x Sales per share () Note: “Why do we assume that R > g?” First, R may be less than g in the short-run, eg. non-constant growth problem. Second, in equilibrium, high returns on investment will attract capital, which, in the absence of technological change, will ensure that in succeeding periods, higher returns cannot be earned without taking greater risk. But, taking greater risk will increase R, so g cannot be increased without raising R. 23 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Concept Check: 1. Robertson Co. has a dividend-paying stock with a -9.3% total return this year. Which one of the following must be true? A. The required rate of return for this stock increased over the year. B. The dividend must be constant. C. The firm is experiencing non-constant growth. D. The dividend yield must be zero. E. The stock has a negative capital gains yield. 2. Which one of the following occurs in the primary market? A. a purchase of 200 shares of M&M stock from a current shareholder B. a purchase of newly issued stock from HSBC C. Tencent's purchase of Google stock D. gift of 300 shares of common stock to Red Cross E. gift of 600 shares of common stock by a grandfather to his grandson 3. Dragon Boat Theatres has paid annual dividends of $0.26, $0.43, and $0.59 a share over the past three years, respectively. Now, the firm decides to maintain a constant dividend since its business development has leveled off. Provide that the lack of expected future growth, this stock will be purchased if you can only earn at least a 19% rate of return. What is the maximum amount you should pay for one share of this stock today? A. $2.26 B. $2.28 C. $3.09 D. $3.11 E. $3.15 4. The stock of HK & CHINA Logistics sells for $13.86 a share. When the annual dividend is distributed, it is expected to pay $1.66 per share next year. The company has a policy of raising its dividends by 5% annually and expects to continue. What is this stock’s market rate of return? A. 11.59% B. 11.98% C. 16.98% D. 18.98% E. 20.86% 24 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 5. Hang Lung, Inc. common stock yielded a 28.08% rate of return last year. Annual dividend was $0.13 a share, or a dividend yield of 0.91%. What was the rate of price increase this year? A. 27.17% B. 27.33% C. 27.56% D. 27.71% E. 28.11% 6. Annual dividend of HK Airlines was paid at $1.29 a share last month. The company expects to pay $1.33, $1.45, and $1.62 a share over the next 3 years, respectively. After that, the dividend will be constant at $1.91 per share per year. What is the market price of this stock if the market rate of return is 12.5%? A. $12.78 B. $13.61 C. $14.20 D. $19.33 E. $20.59 7. Madonna holds Microsoft Corporation preferred stock with a constant 4.3% return. The stock is priced at $62.30 a share currently. What is dividend per share (DPS)? A. $2.00 B. $2.25 C. $2.53 D. $2.68 E. $2.91 Solution: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. E B D [$0.59 / 0.19 = $3.105] C [$1.66 / $13.86 + 0.05 = 16.9769%] A [28.08% - 0.91% = 27.17%] C [$1.33/1.125 + $1.45/(1.125^2) + ($1.62+$1.91/0.125)/1.125^3 = $14.1973] D [$62.3*4.3% = $2.6789] 25 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Chapter 9 Net Present Value and Other Investments Criteria Good investment criterias: 1. Concern Time Value of Money [discounting] 2. Concern Risk of future cashflow [self determined discount rate!] 3. Provide information on values created for the company [returns calculations involved] Payback period Discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation Discounted payback period Average accounting return (AAR) Net present value (NPV) Internal rate of return (IRR) The length of time must wait to recoup the money it has invested in a project. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Easy to understand. 1. Ignores the time value of money. 2. Adjusts for uncertainty of later 2. Requires an arbitrary cutoff point. cash flows. 3. Ignores cash flows beyond cutoff date. 3. Biased toward liquidity. 4. Biased against long-term projects, such as R&D, and new projects. 5. Ignores the risk of cash flows. Rule: an investment is accepted if its calculated payback period is no more than some pre-specified number of years. The process of estimating the today’s value of an investment by discounting its future cash flows. The length of time required for an investment’s discounted cash flows to equal its initial cost. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Includes time value of money. 1. May reject positive NPV investments. 2. Easy to understand. 2. Requires an arbitrary cutoff point. 3. Does not accept negative 3. Ignores cash flows beyond cutoff date. estimated NPV investments. 4. Biased against long-term projects, such 4. Biased toward liquidity. as research and development, and new 5. Includes the risk of cash flows. projects. Rule: an investment is accepted if its discounted payback is no more than some pre-specified number of years. An investment’s accounting profit divided by its average accounting value. Textbook’s Definition: AAR = average net income / average book value. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Easy to calculate. 1. Not a true rate of return; time value of money is 2. Needed information will ignored. (Same value of money in all periods) usually be available. 2. Uses an arbitrary benchmark cutoff rate. 3. Based on accounting (book) values, not cash flows and market values. Thus, it cannot compare with the returns in capital markets. 4. Ignores the risk of cash flow. Rule: an investment is accepted if its AAR exceeds a target return. The difference between an investment’s market value and its cost. NPV rule accounts for the time value of money, risk of cash flows (through choosing discount rate) and provides a clear indication of increase in value for the firm (A positive NPV increase the owners’ wealth.), so it should be the primary decision rule for capital budgeting. Rule: an investment is accepted if NPV is positive and rejected if it is negative. The rate makes the present value of the future cash flows equal to the initial cost or investment. In other words, the discount rate makes the NPV = zero. The IRR rule accounts for time value (through finding the rate of return that equates all of the cash flows on a time value basis), the risk of the cash flows (through comparing it with required return, which is determined by the risk of the project), provides an indication 26 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Net present value profile NPV vs IRR Non-conventional cash flows and multiple rates of return Mutually exclusive investment decisions Modified internal rate of return (MIRR) Profitability index (PI) (benefit–cost ratio) of value (value is increased if return actually earned exceeds required return.), so IRR rule is considered as our primary decision criteria. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Closely related to NPV, often 1. May result in multiple answers or not leading to identical decisions. deal with nonconventional cash flows. 2. Easy to understand and 2. May lead to incorrect decisions in communicate. comparisons of mutually exclusive projects. Rule: an investment is accepted if the IRR exceeds the required return. It should be rejected otherwise. A graphical representation of the relationship between an investment’s NPVs and various discount rates. Note that the NPV profile is also a form of sensitivity analysis. If a project’s cash flows are conventional (costs are paid early and benefits are received over the life), and if the project is independent, NPV and IRR will give the same decision. Since IRR has some problems (non-conventional cash flows and mutually exclusive projects) that the NPV does not have, we finally choose NPV as our ultimate decision rule. When the decision result of NPV rule and IRR rule are different, it may check with any non-conventional cash flows and NPV profile. If cash flows change sign more than once, then you will have multiple IRRs. If there are 5 sign changes, there are 5 IRRs, 3 IRRs, or 1 IRR. If there are 2 sign changes, there are either 2 IRRs or no IRRs. Possible reasons: 1. Net cost to shutting down a project: Collecting natural resources (After the resource has been harvested, there is generally a cost associated with restoring the environment.) 2. “Financing” project: there is a positive cash flow followed by a series of negative cash flows. A situation in which taking one investment prevents the taking of another. Initial investments are substantially different (issue of scale) The MIRR is a modification to the IRR. A project’s cash flows are modified by (1) discounting the negative cash flows back to the present (Discounting approach); (2) compounding cash flows to the end of the project’s life (Reinvestment approach); or (3) combining (1) and (2) (Combination approach). An IRR is then computed on the modified cash flows. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Single answer (don’t suffer 1. Not clear how to interpret MIRR. (A rate from multiple rate of return.) of return on a modified set of cash flows, 2. Specific rates for borrowing and not the project’s actual cash flows.) reinvestment. 2. No clear reason to say which method is better than any other. 3. Not truly “internal” because they depend on externally supplied discounting or compounding rates. The present value of an investment’s future cash flows divided by its initial cost (Only if the initial investment is the only cash outflow) OR PV inflow / PV outflow. It measures the benefit per unit cost, based on the time value of money. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Closely related to NPV, generally leading 1. May lead to incorrect decisions to identical decisions. in comparisons of mutually 2. Easy to understand and communicate. exclusive investments. 3. May be useful when available investment 27 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung funds are limited. (Case of limited capital) Rule: an investment is accepted if the PI exceeds 1 (ie. positive NPV). It should be rejected otherwise. Note: NPV and IRR are the most commonly used primary investment criteria. Payback is a commonly used secondary investment criteria because short paybacks allow firms to have funds sooner to invest in other projects without going to the capital markets. Even though payback and AAR should not be used to make the final decision, we should consider the project very carefully if they suggest rejection. There may be more risk than we have considered or we may want to pay additional attention to our cash flow estimations. Sensitivity and scenario analysis can be used to help us evaluate our cash flows. Why are smaller firms more likely to use payback as a primary decision criterion? 1) small firms don’t have direct access to the capital markets and therefore find it more difficult to estimate discount rates based on funds cost; 2) the AAR is the project-level equivalent to the ROA measure used for analyzing firm profitability; and 3) some small firm decision-makers may be less aware of DCF approaches than their large firm counterparts. When managers are judged and rewarded primarily on the basis of periodic accounting figures, there is an incentive to evaluate projects with methods such as payback or average accounting return. On the other hand, when compensation is tied to firm value, it makes more sense to use NPV as the primary decision tool. Self-test: 1. Given cash revenues of Huge textile is $20,000 per year, assuming everything goes as expected. Cash costs (including taxes) will be $14,000 per year. We will wind down Huge textile in 8 years. The plant, property, and equipment will be worth $2,000 as salvage at that time. The project costs $30,000 to launch. 15% discount rate on new projects is adopted. Is this a good investment? If there are 1,000 shares of stock outstanding, what will be the effect on the price per share of taking this investment. Given that the goal of financial management is to increase share value, what decision should a financial manager make and why? 2. How can we determine just what this crossover point is? The crossover rate, by definition, is the discount rate that makes the NPVs of two projects equal. Suppose we have 2 mutually exclusive projects: Year Project A Project B 0 -$400 -$500 1 250 320 2 280 340 What is the crossover rate? 3. The details of two mutually exclusive projects, project A and B, are as follow. Project A Project B CF at T0 - $500 - $400 CF at T1 $325 $325 CF at T2 $325 $200 IRR 19.43% 22.17% 28 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung NPV $64.05 $60.74 (a) The required return for both projects is 10%. Which project should you accept and why? (b) If you have only $450 cash in hand now, which project should you accept and why? 4. Yoyo Inc. considers two mutually exclusive projects with launching new product and the relevant discount rate is 15%. Project A (CU-100) Project B (CU-200) Initial investment: $550,000 at time 0. Initial investment: $350,000 at time 0. Next five years (Year 1-5) of sales will Cash flow ay Year 1 is $100,000. In each subsequent generate cash flow of $185,000 per year. year (Year 2-5) cash flow will grow at 10% per year. Introduction of new product at Year 6 will Introduction of new product at Year 6 will terminate terminate further cash flows from this project. further cash flows from this project. Calculate the following investment criteria. And what implications from each of investment criteria are? (a) Payback period (b) IRR (c) PI (d) NPV Concept Check: 1. Which one of the following will increase the net present value of a project? A. increasing the required rate of return B. making all cash inflows occurs at an earlier time period C. decreasing all the values of the project's discounted cash inflows D. decreasing the amount of the final cash inflow E. decreasing the project's initial cost at time 0 2. If the NPV of a project is 0, then: A. an increase in the project's initial cost will result in a positive NPV of the project. B. the total of the cash inflows must equal to cash outflows of the project. C. any delay of projected cash inflows will result in a negative NPV of the project. D. the return of the project is exactly the same as the discount rate. E. the project's PI must also be 0. 3. The consequences of applying the discounted payback decision rule to all projects are: I. some positive NPV projects are rejected. II. some projects are accepted, otherwise which would be rejected under the payback rule. III. a firm becomes more short-term focused. IV. the less liquid projects are rejected in favor of the most liquid projects. V. projects are incorrectly accepted due to ignoring the time value of money. A. I only B. I, II and III 29 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung C. I, III and IV D. I, IV and V E. I, II, IV and V. 4. Which of the following statements incorrectly applies to AAR? I. It needs a cutoff rate as a benchmark. II. It considers the time value of money. III. It is the primary decision rule to analyze independent projects. IV. It considers the risk of cash flow. V. It is easily obtainable information for computation. A. I, II and III B. I, III and IV C. II, III and IV D. II, III and V 5. Which one of the following statements related to the internal rate of return (IRR) is incorrect? I. A project with an IRR equal to the required return would reduce the value of a firm if accepted. II. Both the timing and the amount of a project's cash flows affect the value of the project's IRR. III. It is best used when comparing mutually exclusive projects. IV. It is tedious to compute without the use of either a financial calculator or a computer. A. I and II B. I and III C. II and III D. II and IV 6. Hugo Communications has a project with the following cash flows. Should this project be accepted using discounting approach to the MIRR calculation if the discount rate is 17%? Why or why not? Year Cash flow 0 -$300,650 1 153,720 2 290,470 3 -35,130 A. Yes; The MIRR is 15.88%. B. Yes; The MIRR is 18.32%. C. Yes; The MIRR is 21.66%. D. No; The MIRR is 16.27%. E. No; The MIRR is 21.66%. 7. Should this project be accepted using profitability index rule if discount rate is 11%? Why or why not? Year Cash flow 0 -$300,650 1 153,720 2 0 3 230,470 A. Yes; The PI is 0.94. 30 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung B. Yes; The PI is 1.01. C. Yes; The PI is 1.02. D. No; The PI is 0.94. E. No; The PI is 1.01. 8. The initial cost of the project is $529,000. And, expected annual net incomes are shown as follow. Three-year straight-line depreciation method is used. What is AAR if the required discount rate is 20.5%? Year Annual net income 1 $34,600 2 64,800 3 83,900 A. 19.88% B. 20.31% C. 21.67% D. 22.92% E. 23.10% Solution: Self-test 1. Year Initial cost Inflows Outflows Salvage Net CF 0 -30 -30 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 +20 -14 +20 -14 +20 -14 +20 -14 +20 -14 +20 -14 +20 -14 +6 +6 +6 +6 +6 +6 +6 +20 -14 +2 +6 1 ) 8 $2000 NPV $30000 {$ 6000[ 1.15 ] } 0.15 1.15 8 NPV $30000 $(26,924 654) 1- ( NPV $2,422 Therefore, this is not a good investment. Taking it would decrease the total stock value by $2,422. With 1,000 shares outstanding, there is a loss of value of $2,422/1,000 = $2.42 per share. Thus, a financial manager should reject this project since it decreases the share value. Note: Salvage value ($2,000) in calculating NPV is the cash inflow in the final year of the project. 2. To find the crossover rate, first consider moving out of investment A and into investment B.The method is to invest an extra $100 (=$500- 400). For this $100 investment, you’ll get an extra $70 (=$320250) in 1st year and an extra $60 (=$340- 280) in 2nd year. Based on our discussion, the NPV of the switch, NPV(B-A), is equal to -$100 + [70/(1+R)] + [60/(1+R)2] Then, we find IRR by setting the NPV equal to zero: NPV(B-A) = 0 = -$100 + [70/(1+R)] + [60/(1+R)2] And, IRR is exactly 20%. It means we are indifferent between the two investments at a 20% discount rate because the NPV of the difference in their cash flows is zero. Since two investments have the same value, 31 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung so this 20% is the crossover rate. Let’s check to see that the NPV at 20% is $2.78 for both investments. In general, you can find the crossover rate by taking the difference in the cash flows and calculating the IRR using the difference. It doesn’t make any difference which one you subtract from which. To see this, find the IRR for (A-B); you’ll see it’s the same number. 3. (a) Project A. It is because NPV ($64.05) is higher. As long as we do not have limited capital, we should choose project A. Students will often argue that you should choose B because then you can invest the additional $100 in another good project, say C. The point is that if we do not have limited capital, we can invest in A and C and still be better off. (b) Project B. In simply, there is not enough money for initial cost of Project A. 4. (a) Payback period for CU-100 = 2 + ($180,000/$185,000) = 2.97 years Payback period for CU-200 = 3 + ($19,000/$133,100) = 3.14 years Since the CU-100 has a shorter payback period than the CU-200, the company should choose the CU-100. Remember the payback period does not necessarily rank projects correctly. (b) Using a spreadsheet, financial calculator, or trial and error to find the root of the equation, we find that: CU-100: 0 = –$550,000 + $185,000({1 – [1/(1 + IRR)5 ]} / IRR) IRRCU-100 = 20.27% CU-200: 0 = –$350,000 + $100,000 / (1 + IRR) + $110,000 / (1 + IRR)2 + $121,000 / (1 + IRR)3 + $133,100 / (1 + IRR)4 + $146,410 / (1 + IRR)5 IRRCU-200 = 20.34% IRR criterion implies accepting the CU-200. (c) PICU-100 = ($185,000{[1 – (1/1.15)5 ] / .15 }) / $550,000 = 1.128 PICU-200 = [$100,000 / 1.15 + $110,000 / 1.152 + $121,000 / 1.153 + $133,100 / 1.154 + $146,410 / 1.155] / $350,000 = 1.139 PI criterion implies accepting the CU-200. (d) NPVCU-100 = –$550,000 + $185,000{[1 – (1/1.15)5 ] / .15 } NPVCU-200 = –$350,000 + $100,000 / 1.15 + $110,000 / 1.152 + $121,000 / 1.153 + $133,100 / 1.154 + $146,410 / 1.155 NPV criterion implies accepting the CU-100. Concept Check 1. E 2. D 3. C 4. C 5. B 32 = $70,148.69 = $48,583.79 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 6. C [IRR=0=-$300,650+(-$35,130/1.17)+$153,720/(1+IRR)+$290,470/(1+IRR)^2; IRR = 21.6638%] 7. C [PI = ($153,720/1.11 + $230,470/1.11^3) / $300,650 = 1.0211] 8. E [AAR = (($34,600+$64,800+$83,900)/3) / (0.5*($529,000+$0)) = 23.1002%] Chapter 10 Making Capital Investment Decisions Relevant cash flows Incremental cash flows Stand-Alone Principle Sunk Costs Opportunity Costs Erosion (or Cannibalism) Net Working Capital Financing Costs Pro forma financial statements Accelerated cost recovery system (ACRS) Book value vs market value Depreciation tax shield Equivalent annual cost (EAC) or Equivalent annual annuity (EAA) Cash flows that occur (or don’t occur) because a project is undertaken. Cash flows that will occur whether or not we accept a project aren’t relevant. Any and all changes in the firm’s future cash flows that are a direct consequence of taking the project. The assumption for project to be analyzed based on the project's incremental cash flows. In other words, viewing projects as “mini-firms” with their own assets, revenues and costs to evaluate separately from other activities of the firm. A cash flow already paid or accrued. These costs should not be included in the incremental cash flows of a project. From an emotional standpoint, it does not matter what investment has already been made. We need to make our decision based on future cash flows, even if it means abandoning a project that has already had a substantial investment. Any cash flows lost or forgone by taking one course of action rather than another. Applies to any asset or resource that has value if sold, or leased, rather than used. New project revenues gained at the expense of existing products/services. Incremental investments in cash, inventories and receivables that need to be included in cash flows of new projects if they are not offset by changes in payables. Later, as projects end, this investment is often recovered. We generally don’t include the cash flows associated with interest payments or principal on debt, dividends, or other financing costs in computing cash flows. Financing costs are part of the division of cash flows of a project and reflected in the discount rate used to discount the project cash flows. Financial statements projecting future years’ operations. A depreciation method under U.S. tax law allowing for the accelerated write-off of property under various lifetime classifications. Net fixed assets is different from the market value of the assets since the arbitrary methods used to compute depreciation rarely match changes in economic value. The tax saving that results from the depreciation deduction, calculated as depreciation expense multiplied by the relevant tax rate. The present value of a project’s costs/regular cash flow calculated on an annual basis. The primary purpose is to compute the annual cost of each machine on a comparable basis so that the least expensive machine can be identified given that the machines generally have differing lives and costs. The assumption is that whichever machine is acquired, it will be replaced at the end of its useful life. EAC considers required rate of return, operating costs, need for replacement and aftertax salvage value. Rule: A project is accepted when its EAC is smaller than that of an alternate project. 33 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Calculation: Project cash flow (Cash flow from assets) = Project operating cash flow (OCF) - Project change in net working capital (NWC) - Project capital spending Operating cash flow (OCF) = Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) [Bottom-up approach] + Depreciation - Taxes = Net income + Depreciation Note: Assume there is no interest expense. In simple case, where EBIT = Sales – Costs – Depreciation = Unit price*unit sales – Variable costs – Fixed costs – Depreciation In simple case, where Taxes = EBIT*tax rate = Sales – Costs – Taxes Depreciation (example) [Top-down approach] = (Sales-Costs)*(1-tax rate) + Depreciation*tax rate [Tax shield approach] Consider the purchase of a 5-year, $50,000 machine with a 34% marginal tax rate. Assume a 0 salvage value at the end of year 5 and an appropriate discount rate of 10%. Straight-line method: Tax deductible depreciation (each year) = $50,000 / 5 = $10,000. Tax shield (each year) = $10,000(0.34) = $3,400. Present value of tax shield is $12,888.68. Given MACRS depreciation rates, they have the following tax shields: Year 1: 50,000(0.2)(0.34) = $3,400 Year 2: 50,000(0.32)(0.34) = $5,440 Year 3: 50,000(0.192)(0.34) = $3,264 Year 4: 50,000(0.1152)(0.34) = $1,958.40 Year 5: 50,000(0.1152)(0.34) + (0 - 0.34(0 – 2,880)) = $2,937.60 (Because the salvage is expected to be 0 in year 5, you need to compute the tax benefit received when the asset is disposed of at the end of year 5 to be consistent with the assumptions used in the straight-line calculation.) Present value of the tax shield is $13,200.70. where after-tax salvage = salvage value – tax rate*(salvage value – book value) = (0 - 0.34(0 – 2,880)) = $979.2 If the asset is fully depreciated, after-tax salvage = salvage value*(1-tax rate). 34 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Net capital spending = purchase price of new asset - selling price of existing asset + costs of site preparation, setup, and startup +/- increase (decrease) in tax liability due to sale of old asset at other than book value Example: Replacement problem (in ppt) Original Machine Initial cost = 100,000 Annual depreciation = 9000 Purchased 5 years ago Book Value = 55,000 Salvage today = 65,000 Salvage in 5 years = 10,000 New Machine Initial cost = 150,000 5-year life Straight-line dep = 30,000 Salvage in 5 years = 17,000 Cost savings = 50,000/year If required return and tax rate are 10% and 40% respectively. The old machine will be sold when the new machine is purchased. The incremental CF is the change from the old to the new situation. What are the cash flow consequences of selling the old machine today instead of in 5 years? Buy new machine Sell old machine = $65,000 – 0.4($65,000 – $55,000) Net capital spending =$(150,000 – 61,000) = $150,000 (outflow) = $61,000 (inflow) = $89,000(outflow) EBIT = Cost saving – incremental depreciation (new-old) = $50,000 – $(30,000 – 9,000) = $50,000 – $21,000 = $29,000 OCF = EBIT – Taxes + Depreciation OR Cost Saving*(1-tax rate) + Depreciation*tax rate = $(29,000 – 11,600 + 21,000) OR $50,000(1-0.4) + $21,000(0.4) = $38,400 Net Salvage Value on new machine = $17,000 - 0.4($17,000 -$0) = $10,200 Net Salvage Value on old machine = $10,000 - 0.4($10,000 – $10,000) = $10,000 This is an opportunity cost because we no longer receive this at Year 5 (we lose the $10,000 cash because we sell the machine today) Incremental terminal CF = $200 Year Net capital spending OCF Salvage (new) Salvage (old) NWC Net CF 0 -89,000 0 -89,000 1 2 3 4 5 +38,400 +38,400 +38,400 +38,400 +38,400 +38,400 +38,400 +38,400 +38,400 +10,200 -10,000 0 +38,600 Self-test: 35 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung A dishwasher, which helps cost-saving, costs $640,000. This machine will be utilized in 5-year project but is classified as 3-year MACRS taxable asset. Initial net working capital investment is $55,000, relevant discount rate is 12% and relevant tax rate is 35%. Estimates salvage value is $60,000 in Year 5. What level of pre-tax cost savings does CU Canteen require for this project to be profitable? Concept Check: 1. Which of the following should be included in the analysis of a new product? I. II. III. IV. reduction in sales for a current product once the new product is introduced market value of a machine owned by the firm which will be used to produce the new product money already spent for research and development of the new product increase in accounts receivable needed to finance sales of the new product A. I and III only B. I, II and III C. I, II, and IV D. II, III, and IV E. All of the above 2. When Michael considers the purchase of a new machine, he evaluates two machines which have different initial and ongoing costs and different lives. Whichever machine is purchased will be replaced at the end of its useful life. You should select the machine which has the: A. lowest annual operating cost. B. highest annual operating cost. C. highest equivalent annual cost. D. lowest equivalent annual cost. E. longest life. 3. Which of the following are correct? I. II. III. IV. V. Net working capital is the only expenditure where at least a partial recovery can be made at the end of a project. Ignore any tax effects, increase in inventory is a project cash inflow. Net working capital requirements can create a cash inflow at the beginning of a project. The operating cash flow of a cost cutting project can be positive even though there are no sales. Pro forma statements should include all the relevant incremental cash flows and all project-related fixed asset acquisitions and disposals, be compiled on a stand-alone basis and exclude interest expense in general. A. I and III. B. III and IV. C. I, III and IV. D. IV and V. E. III, IV and V. 36 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 4. HK Financial Inc. bought an apartment for $800,000 ten years ago. 8 years ago, repairs expenses of the building cost $399,000. Annual taxes are $29,000. Its current book value and current market value are $301,000 and $1,334,000 respectively. If the company decides to use this apartment for a new project, what value, if any, should be included in the initial cash flow of the project? A. $301,000 B. $800,000 C. $1,199,000 D. $1,228,000 E. $1,334,000 5. Morgan Jewelry owned a MACRS 6-year machine at a cost of $400,000. Which one of the following will be correct calculation of book value at the end of year 3? A. $400,000 (0.20 + 0.32 + 0.192) B. $400,000 / (1 + 0.20 + 0.32 + 0.192) C. [$400,000 (1 - 0.20)] (1 - 0.32) (1 - 0.192) D. $400,000 / [(1 + 0.20) (1 + 0.32) (1 + 0.192)] E. $400,000 (1 - 0.20 - 0.32 - 0.192) 6. Eagle Co. considers a project which will decrease accounts payable by $16,000 and require additional inventory of $477,000. Accounts receivable are currently $711,000. The increase of account receivables is expected to rise about 7% if this project is accepted. What is the project's initial cash flow for net working capital? A. -$542,770 B. -$542,700 C. -$477,000 D. -$443,200 7. Jockey Club bought machines to expand its business. One machine costs $981,000 and lasts about 6 years before it disposes. The annual operating cost is $63,000 per machine. What is the equivalent annual cost of a machine if the required rate of return is 15%? 37 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung A. -$373,651 B. -$333,256 C. -$322,216 D. -$301,563 E. $195,249 8. Your boss decided to purchase of a new $162,800 computer system. 5-year straight-line depreciation method is applied to the system. It will be worth $30,900 at the end of that time. $50,700 before taxes is saved per year and working capital is reduced by $15,893 at time 0. Net working capital will return to its original level when the project ends. The tax rate is 31%. What is IRR for this project? A. 13.21% B. 14.33% C. 15.19% D. 16.94% E. 19.46% Solution: Self-test We find the initial pretax cost savings necessary to buy the new machine using the tax shield approach to find OCF. The depreciation each year is: D1 = $640,000(0.3333) = $213,312 D2 = $640,000(0.4445) = $284,480 D3 = $640,000(0.1481) = $94,784 D4 = $640,000(0.0741) = $47,424 Using the tax shield approach, the OCF each year is: OCF1 = (S – C)(1 – 0.35) + 0.35($213,312) OCF2 = (S – C)(1 – 0.35) + 0.35($284,480) OCF3 = (S – C)(1 – 0.35) + 0.35($94,784) OCF4 = (S – C)(1 – 0.35) + 0.35($47,424) OCF5 = (S – C)(1 – 0.35) After-tax salvage value = $60,000(1 – 0.35) = $39,000 To calculate the necessary cost reduction, we would require a zero NPV. NPV = 0 = – $640,000 – 55,000 + (S – C)(0.65)(PVIFA12%,5) + 0.35($213,312/1.12 + $284,480/1.122 + $94,784/1.123 + $47,424/1.124) + ($55,000 + 39,000)/1.125 Solving this equation for the sales minus costs, we get: (S – C)(0.65)(PVIFA12%,5) = $461,465.41 (S – C) = $196,946.15 Concept Check 1. B 2. D 3. D 4. E 5. E 6. A [-$16,000 – $477,000 – $711,000*0.07 = -$542,770] 38 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 7. C [-$981,000-$63,000*(1-1/(1+0.15)^6)/0.15 = EAC*(1-1/(1+0.15)^6)/0.15; EAC = -$322,216.405] 8. D [OCF = $50,700*(1-0.31) + $162,800/5*0.31 = $45,076.6 NPV=$0= -$162,800 + $15,893 + $45,076.6*(1-1/(1+IRR)^5))/IRR + (($30,900-$0)*(1-0.31)-$15,893)/((1+IRR)^5); IRR = 16.9371%] Chapter 14 Cost of Capital Cost of capital, required return and appropriate discount rate Cost of capital (RD) Calculating cost of capital using DGM approach Calculating cost of capital using SML approach Cost of debt (RE) Capital structure Weighted average cost of capital (WACC) Problems with WACC Pure play approach Cost of capital, required return, and appropriate discount rate are different phrases that all refer to the opportunity cost of using capital in one way as opposed to alternative financial market investments of the same systematic risk. - required return is from an investor’s point of view - cost of capital is the same return from the firm’s point of view - appropriate discount rate to correctly evaluating the project is the same return as used in a PV calculation The return that equity-holders require on their investment in the firm. It reflects the average riskiness of all of the securities it has issued, which may be less risky (bonds) or more risky (common stock). Also, it depends primarily on the use of the funds, not the source. Assumptions: A variant of growing perpetuity; dividends are expected to grow at a constant rate forever; discount rate is greater than growth rate. Advantages Disadvantages 1. easy to understand 1. Only applicable to companies currently paying 2. easy to use dividends 2. Not applicable if dividends aren’t growing at a reasonably constant rate 3. Extremely sensitive to the estimated growth rate. 4. Does not explicitly consider risk Assumptions: Normality of returns and/or quadratic utility functions; no transaction costs, and other market imperfections; a firm's future risks are similar to its past risks; constant reward-to-risk ratio. Advantages Disadvantages 1. Adjusts for systematic risk 1. both beta and market risk premium vary 2. Applicable to all companies, as through time long as we can estimate beta 2. Not always reliable, since our estimate is based on historical data The return that lenders/creditors require on the firm’s debt. (ie. Interest rate of a loan) // Interest rate on debt can be current YTM on outstanding debt or by knowing the bond rating and looking up rates on new issues with the same rating. The firm’s combination of debt and equity. The return investors require on the total assets of the firm, ie. weighted average of the cost of equity and the after-tax cost of debt. // Overall return the firm must earn on its assets to maintain the value of its stock. It is a market rate based on market’s perception of the risk of the firm’s assets. Decisions may be wrongly made through single WACC when 1. The riskiness of project distinctively different from the overall firm 2. The riskiness of one division distinctively different from the overall firm (If only a single WACC is used, a division will tend to prefer the projects with higher risk.) Divisional cost of capital The use of a WACC that is unique to a particular project, based on companies in similar lines of business. I.e. examine other investments outside the firm that are in the same risk class as the 39 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung one we are considering, and use the market required return on these investments as the discount rate. Assigns investment to “risk” categories that have higher or lower risk premiums than the firm as a whole. The required amount of new bond and stocks if launching new project. Subjective Approach Flotation costs Note: [Coupon rate vs current yield vs YTM] Cost of debt is equal to YTM because it is market rate of interest that would be required on new debt issues. Coupon rate is the firm’s promised interest payments on existing debt and current yield is the income portion of total return. For divisional cost of capital, overall firm beta is weighted average of the betas of the firm’s divisions. For subjective approach in a multinational setting, adjustments to foreign project hurdle rates should reflect the effects of foreign exchange risk, political risk, capital market segmentation and international diversification effects. Calculations Cost of equity (RE) DGM Approach: RE = (D1 / P0) + g where (D1 / P0) = dividend yield g = growth rate; capital gains yield g = historical average / average of analysts’ forecast (Method 1) g = ROE * b (Method 2) where ROE = Net income / Equity b = Retention rate, also called plowback ratio b = (EPS-DPS) / EPS (Assume b is not 0% or 100%) SML Approach: RE = Rf + βE[E(RM) – Rf] [i.e. CAPM] where Rf = Risk-free rate, E(RM) – Rf = Market risk premium, = Systematic risk of asset Cost of Preferred Stock (RP) WACC Note: When we have all the information of both DGM and SML approach, we calculate both of two figures and take an average to have a final estimate. RP = D / P0, which is equal to its dividend yield. = wERE + wDRD(1-TC) where E = market value of the firm’s equity = # of outstanding shares * price per share D = market value of the firm’s debt = # of bonds times price per bond or take bond quote as percent of par value and multiply by total par value V = combined market value of the firm’s equity and debt =E+D (Assuming that there is no preferred stock and current liabilities are negligible. If this is not the case, then you need to include these components as well. This is really just the market value version of the balance sheet identity. The market value of the firm’s assets = market value of liabilities + market value of equity.) 40 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Weighted average flotation cost (fA) wE = E/V = weight of firm’s equity to firm’s assets wD = D/V = weight of firm’s debt to firm’s assets RE = Cost of equity RD = Cost of debt RD(1-TC) = after-tax cost of debt Note: Adding other terms into WACC formulae, eg, current liabilities. WACC = (E/V)RE + (D/V)RD (1-TC) + (P/V)RP + (CL/V)RCL (1-TC) where CL/V = market value of current liabilities in the firm’s capital structure V = E + D + P + CL. For cost of short-term debt: Some types of current liabilities are interest-free, such as accruals. However, accounts payable has a cost associated with it if the company forgoes discounts. Cost of notes payable and other current liabilities depends on market interest rates for short-term loans. Since these loans are negotiated with banks, cost of short-term loan are the estimates of short-term cost of capital from the company’s bank. The market value and book value of current liabilities are usually very similar, so you can use the book value as an estimate of market value. = wEfE + wDfD where fE = flotation costs for equity issues fD = flotation costs for debt issues Implication: If fA is 17.2% and project cost is $65 million (no flotation costs), true cost will be $65 million / (1- fA) = $65 million / 0.828 = $78.5 million, which shows that flotation costs can be a considerable expense. Self-test: 1. Assume tax rate is 35%. Market risk premium and risk-free rate are 8% and 4.5% respectively. Find the WACC based on the below information. Debt Common stock Preferred stock 20-year 8,000 6.5% semiannual coupon bonds outstanding with a market quote of 92.0. 250,000 shares outstanding, selling for $57 per share; the beta is 1.05. 15,000 5% preferred stock outstanding, currently selling for $93 per share. 2. Suppose Monkey Company has debt-equity ratio of 100%. New $500,000 cleansing plant is planned to establish. It is expected to generate after-tax cash flows of $73,150 per year forever. The tax rate is 34%. Using the below information of two financing options, what is NPV of new cleansing plant? Option A Option B A $500,000 new issue of common stock: The A $500,000 issue of 30-year bonds: The issuance issuance costs would be 10% of the amount raised. costs would be 2% of the proceeds. The company Required return on the company’s new equity is 20%. can raise new debt at 10%. Concept Check: 1. Other things being equal, which one of the following will decrease a firm's cost of equity if using security market line approach? Assume current annual dividend and beta are $1 per share and 1.2 respectively. 41 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung A. a reduction in the dividend amount B. an increase in the dividend amount C. a reduction in the risk-free rate D. an increase in the risk-free rate E. an increase in the market rate of return 2. Which of the following statements are correct? I. The DGM model considers the risk that future dividends may vary from their estimated values. II. The SML approach generally produces the same cost of equity as the dividend growth model, assuming the firm uses debt in capital structure. III. Pre-tax cost of debt is based on the original yield to maturity on the latest bonds issued by a firm. IV. Pre-tax cost of debt is based on the coupon rate on the latest bonds issued by a firm. A. III only B. IV only C. I and III only D. I and IV only E. None of the above. 3. The current price of Monopoly Inc. common stock is $55.55 per share. Annual dividend is $3.1 per share. The dividends will expect to be increased by 1.9% annually and are expected to continue doing the same. What is this firm's cost of equity? A. 6.01% B. 6.44% C. 7.26% D. 7.59% E. 7.93% 4. Happy World has a 2% coupon bond issue outstanding that matures in 11 years. The bonds pay interest semi-annually. The bonds are selling at 37% discount. What is aftertax cost of debt if the tax rate is 29%? A. 1.42% B. 2.43% C. 3.42% D. 4.86% E. 6.84% 5. Casio Inc. uses 1:9 debt-to-equity ratio to finance its operations. The cost of equity is 11.3% and aftertax cost of debt is 7.2%. A project to be considered has a cash inflow of $42,000 in year 1. The cash inflows will then grow at 2% per year forever. What is the maximum amount the company can initially invest to avoid negative NPV? A. $311,032 B. $363,519 C. $399,407 D. $445,026 E. $472,441 42 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Solution: Self-test 1. MVD = 8,000($1,000)(0.92) = $7,360,000 MVE = 250,000($57) = $14,250,000 MVP = 15,000($93) = $1,395,000 V = $7,360,000 + 14,250,000 + 1,395,000 = $23,005,000 RE = .045 + 1.05(0.08) = .1290 or 12.90% P0 = $920 = $32.50(PVIFAR%,40) + $1,000(PVIFR%,40) R = 3.632% YTM = 3.632% × 2 = 7.26% And the aftertax cost of debt is: RD = (1 – 0.35)(0.0726) = 0.0472 or 4.72% RP = $5/$93 = 0.0538 or 5.38% WACC = 0.0472(7.36/23.005) + 0.1290(14.25/23.005) + 0.0538(1.395/23.005) = 0.0983 or 9.83% Notice that we didn’t include the (1 – tC) term in the WACC equation. We used the aftertax cost of debt in the equation, so the term is not needed here. 2. WACC = 0.5(0.2) + 0.5(0.1)(1-0.34) = 13.3% Because the cash flows are $73,150 per year forever, the PV of the cash flows at 13.3% per year is: PV = $73,150 = $550,000 0.133 If we ignore flotation costs, the NPV is $550,000 – 500,000 = $50,000. With no flotation costs, the project generates an NPV that is greater than 0, so it should be accepted. What about financing arrangements and issue costs? Because new financing must be raised, the flotation costs are relevant. Thus, the weighted average flotation cost fA, is: fA = (E/V) fE + (D/V) fD = 0.5(0.1) + 0.5(0.02) = 6% Remember, the fact that Monkey can finance the project with all debt or all equity is irrelevant. Because Monkey needs $500,000 to fund the new plant, the true cost, once we include flotation costs, is $500,000 / (1- fA) = $500,000 / 0.94 = $531,915. Because the PV of the cash flows is $550,000, the plant has an NPV of $550,000 - 531,915 = $18,085, so it is still a good investment. However, its value is slightly lower than without floatation cost. Concept Check 1. D 43 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung 2. E 3. D [($3.1*(1+0.019))/$55.55 + 0.019 = 7.5866%] 4. D [FV $1,000; PMT $10; PV -$630; N 11*2; so I/Y is 6.84 and After-tax Rd is 0.0684*(1-0.29) = 4.8573%] 5. E [$42,000/((0.9*0.113+0.1*0.072) - 0.02) = $472,440.945] Chapter 16 Financial Leverage and Capital Structure Policy Homemade leverage M&M Proposition I M&M Proposition II Business risk Financial risk Interest tax shield Unlevered cost of capital Direct bankruptcy costs Indirect bankruptcy costs Financial distress costs Static theory of capital structure The use of personal borrowing to adjusting the level of financial leverage to which the individual is exposed. The proposition that the value of the firm (V) is independent of the firm’s capital structure (D/E). The proposition that a firm’s cost of equity (RE) is a positive linear function of the firm’s capital structure (D/E). The equity risk that comes from the nature of the firm’s operating activities. The equity risk that comes from the financial policy (the capital structure) of the firm. The tax saving attained by a firm from interest expense. The cost of capital for a firm that has no debt. The costs that are directly associated with bankruptcy, such as legal and administrative expenses. The costs of avoiding a bankruptcy filing incurred by a financially distressed firm. Examples: costs of avoiding bankruptcy, maintaining cash reserve, loss in sales and valuable employees, increasing difficulty to borrow money, loss in value of assets, etc. Also, shareholders and bondholders will calculate their own benefits and costs due to bankruptcy. The direct and indirect costs associated with going bankrupt or experiencing financial distress. The theory that a firm borrows up to the point where the tax benefit from an extra dollar in debt is exactly equal to the cost that comes from the increased probability of financial distress, assumes that the firm is fixed in terms of its assets and operations and it considers only possible changes in the debt–equity ratio. Thus, optimal capital structure balances the incremental benefits and costs of borrowing. 44 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Summary of propositions and formula Case I VL = VU No corporate or personal taxes where VL = Value of levered firm No bankruptcy costs VU = Value of unlevered firm [From M&M I] Implications: 1. Value of levered firm is same as the value of the unlevered one, so capital structure is irrelevant. (No optimal capital structure) 2. WACC is independent of capital structure. WACC = RA = (E/V)RE + (D/V)RD RE = RA + (RA – RD)(D/E) [From M&M II] where RA is the “cost” of the firm’s business risk, i.e., the risk of the firm’s assets/operation (RA – RD)(D/E) is the “cost” of the firm’s financial risk, i.e., the additional return required by stockholders to compensate for the risk of leverage (if no debt, RE=RA) Case II (Focus: Taxes) Corporate taxes, but no personal taxes No bankruptcy costs Implications: 1. RE increases when D/E increases. 2. RE depends on business risk and financial risk. Assume perpetual cash flows. VU = EBIT(1-T) / RU (i.e. PV of expected CFFA for unlevered firm) where RU = Unlevered cost of capital [From M&M I] VL = VU + D(TC) where TC = Corporate tax rate D = Debt amount D(TC) = PV of interest tax shield [From M&M I] WACC = RA = (E/V)RE + (D/V)(RD)(1- TC) [From M&M I] Implications: 1. Value of levered firm is equal to the value of the unlevered one plus PV of interest tax shield. The more the firm borrows, the more it is worth. 2. WACC decreases when D/E increases. 3. Optimal capital structure is almost 100% debt. RE = RU + (RU – RD)(D/E)(1 – TC) Case III (Focus: Bankruptcy) Implications: In general, it is same with case I. Implications: 45 [From M&M II] FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung Corporate taxes, but no personal taxes Bankruptcy costs Debt provides interest tax shield, but also bankruptcy cost. Optimal capital structure is debt-equity mix that minimizes WACC. At some point, the bankruptcy costs will offset tax-related gains from leverage gradually. Also, the value of the firm will start to decrease, and cost of capital and WACC will start to increase as more debt is added. Self-test: 1. Given the below information, what is the value of equity, cost of equity and WACC? EBIT = $151.52 TC = 34% D = $500 RU = 0.2 RD = 0.1 2. Michael, Inc., has a debt–equity ratio of 2.5. The firm’s WACC is 10 percent, and its pretax cost of debt is 6%. The corporate tax rate is 35%. (a) What is cost of equity capital? (b) What is unlevered cost of equity capital? (c) What would WACC be if the firm’s debt–equity ratio was 0.75? What if it were 1.5? Concepts check: 1. Which of the following statements are correct? I. Based on M&M Proposition II with no taxes, cost of equity declines when more leverage is used. II. Based on M&M Proposition II with no taxes, business risk determines return on assets. III. Based on M&M Proposition II, capital structure of a firm can affect the firm's value. IV. Based on M&M Proposition I with tax, a firm's cost of capital is independent of debt-equity mix used by the firm. A. I only. B. II only. C. II and III only. D. I, II and III only. E. All of the above. 2. Which of the following statements are correct? I. Business risk is the risk that is inherent in the use of leverage. II. Business risk is wholly dependent upon the financial policy of a firm. III. As business risk rises so too does the cost of equity. IV. Business risk is the risk that is inherent in a firm's operations. A. I and II only. 46 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung B. III and IV only. C. I, III and IV only. D. All of the above. E. None of the above. 3. Edward & John is an all equity firm with 78,000 shares outstanding. 11%, $900,000 bank loan is borrowed for the repurchase of 18,000 shares outstanding. What is the value of this firm if ignoring taxes? A. $2.7 million B. $3.6 million C. $3.9 million D. $4.6 million E. $5.0 million 4. Global Pharmaceutical Inc. has a tax rate of 38%, an unlevered cost of capital of 12%, and expected EBIT of $15,700. It has $11,000 of 6% par value bonds outstanding that pay interest annually. What is the cost of equity? A. 7.88% B. 7.92% C. 10.21% D. 10.63% E. 12.55% 5. Claire's Toys has a cost of equity of 15%, a pre-tax cost of debt of 6.8%, tax rate of 21% and unlevered cost of capital of 12.3%. What is the firm's debt-equity ratio? A. 0.62 B. 0.66 C. 0.69 D. 0.72 E. 0.77 6. Grand Casino has a debt-equity ratio of 0.6. Cost of equity is 13.3% and after-tax cost of debt is 3.8%. What will the firm's cost of equity be if debt-equity ratio becomes 0.7? A. 10.66% B. 11.23% C. 11.51% D. 13.89% E. 15.72% 7. Expected EBIT of Teresa Co. is $200,000 each year forever. It can borrow at 13%. It currently has no debt, and its cost of equity is 25%. The tax rate is 27%. Teresa will borrow $177,000 and use the proceeds to repurchase shares. What will the WACC be after recapitalization? A. 18.31% 47 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung B. 18.97% C. 21.16% D. 23.11% E. 23.89% Solution: Self-test 1. VU = $500 VL = $670 E = VL – D = $170 RE = RU + (RU – RD)(D/E)(1 – TC) = 39.4% WACC = 14.92% Note: This WACC is substantially lower than the cost of capital of unlevered firm (RU), so debt financing is highly advantageous. 2. (a) In a world with corporate taxes, D / V = 2.5 / (2.5 + 1) = 0.7143 E / V = 1 / (2.5 + 1) = 0.2857 WACC = 0.10 = (0.7143)(1 – 0.35)(0.06) + (0.2857)(RE) RE = 0.2525, or 25.25% (b) We can use M&M Proposition II with corporate taxes to find the unlevered cost of equity. 0.2525 = R0 + (2.5)(R0 – 0.06)(1 – 0.35) R0 = 0.1333, or 13.33% (c) If debt-equity =0.75 D / V = 0.75 / (0.75 + 1) = 0.4286 E / V = 1 / (0.75 + 1) = 0.5714 RE = 0.1333 + (0.75)(0.1333 – 0.06)(1 – .35) = 0.1691, or 16.91% WACC = (0.4286)(1 – 0.35)(0.06) + (0.5714)(0.1691) = 0.1133, or 11.33% If debt-equity =1.50 RE = 0.1333 + (1.5)(0.1333 – 0.06)(1 – 0.35) = 0.2048, or 20.48% WACC = (0.6)(1 – 0.35)(0.06) + (0.4)(0.2048) = 0.1053, or 10.53% Concept check 1. C 2. B 3. C [78,000*($900,000/18,000) = $3,900,000] 4. E [VE = $15,700*(1-0.38)/0.12 + $11,000*0.38 - $11,000 = $74,296.667 RE = 0.12 + (0.12 - 0.06)*(11,000/74,296.667)*(1-0.38) = 12.5508%] 5. A [RE = 0.15 = 0.123 + (0.123 - 0.068)*D/E*(1 - 0.21); D/E = 0.6214] 6. D [WACC = (1/1.6*0.133) + (0.6/1.6*0.038) = 0.097375 WACC = 0.097375 = (1/1.7* RE) + (0.7/1.7*0.038); RE = 13.8938%] 7. D [VU = $200,000*(1 - 0.27)/0.25 = $584,000 VL = $584,000 + 0.27*($177,000) = $631,790 RE = 0.25 + (0.25 - 0.13)*($177,000/($631,790 - $177,000))*(1 - 0.27) 48 = 0.28409 FINA2010 Financial Management (2018-2019) Dr Haynes Yung WACC = 0.28409/($631,790-$177,000)/$631,790+ 0.13*($177,000/$631,790)*(1-0.27) = 23.109%] 49