ARE/ECN 115A Development Economics Discussion Section 2: Inequality Week 3 Outline 1. Why Study Inequality? 2. Section Reading & Discussion 3. Measuring Inequality 1. Axioms 2. Lorenz Curve 3. Gini Index 4. Example with Data The Concept of Inequality • Unequal distribution of income or assets in a given economy • Inequality is not poverty • Economies with few poor people can have high inequality • Different types of inequality • Income, wage, wealth, land, etc. • Different levels of inequality • Country, rural/urban, regional, by race, by gender Today, we will focus on income inequality Why Does Inequality Matter? • Positive reasons • Political effects • Concentration of political power • Social unrest • Effect on economic efficiency • Credit access: there may be minimum level of wealth to gain access to credit • Social unrest causes inefficient expenditures on private security • A normative reason • Social justice • Gan Li’s team uses representative surveys and census methods • Collect data on individuals’ income and assets • Another method is to use administrative data • Tax records, for example • For land distribution: agricultural census • Found a Gini Index of 0.61 in 2012 • Methodology differed from Chinese Bureau of Statistics • Bureau found a Gini index of 0.474 – big difference! • Li came under government scrutiny • Are two weeks of training sufficient for this large of an important survey? Would his survey receive less criticism if it wasn't done by students? • Are there alternative ways in which the data could be collected, such as regional research centers that can gather accurate data for each region? • What does it mean by a Gini coefficient above 0.4 to be "socially destabilizing"? MEASURING INEQUALITY Measuring inequality Four axioms that a good inequality index should satisfy: • Anonymity • Individuals’ identities don’t matter to the value of index • Independence of scale • Only relative value of income matters • Proportional increase in everybody’s income won’t affect the value of the index • Population Independence • Size of population doesn’t matter to the value of the index • Pigou-Dalton Transfer Principle • A regressive transfer increases the value of the index • Transfer from a poor to a less poor person Several inequality measures satisfy these axioms but the Gini index is the most intuitive among them Lorenz curve • The Lorenz curve is a graphical representation that relates cumulative population shares (horizontal axis) with cumulative income shares (vertical axis) in an economy • A point on the Lorenz curve tell us what percent of the total income in the economy is controlled by the poorest X% of the population • The 50% poorest control 20% of the total income in the economy Lorenz curve • Perfect equality • Depicts a situation in which all individuals have the same income • Relative equality • Relative Inequality • Perfect inequality • Depicts a situation in which only one individual controls the total income of the economy Lorenz Curve and Gini Index • How do the Gini index and Lorenz relate to each other? • Inequality increases as Lorenz curve bows out • Inequality increase as Gini increases • It turns out that there’s a direct relationship: π΄ πΊ= π΄+π΅ • We won’t use this to compute Gini! Gini index • • • • The most commonly used index of inequality Lies between 0 (perfect equality) and 1 (perfect inequality) Two ways to calculate the Gini index In excel: covariance of income (π¦π ) and cumulative population share (πΉ(π¦π )) • Not intuitive, but good for big datasets • Pg. 121 of Taylor-Lybbert (Ch. 5 “Inequality”): 2 × πΆππ£(π¦π , πΉ π¦π ) πΊ= π • Later: Pairwise Comparisons • More intuitive, can be computed by hand Some Clarifications! • Language differs between the slides and the book • Other names for “cumulative population share” • πΉ(π¦π ) • Cumulative % of population • Cumulative distribution of income – used in the book – why? • The cumulative distribution of income answers the question: what percentage of people have at most π¦π income? • Still about how much of the population has that income EXAMPLE WITH DATA Inequality Example – Three Ways 1. Lorenz Curve – on the board 2. Lorenz Curve and Gini Index – in Excel 3. Pairwise Comparison Gini Index – on handout Drawing a Lorenz Curve Person ID (i) Income (ππ ) Anubhab 1 240 Isaac 2 320 Daniel 3 360 Yaxi 4 480 Steve 5 650 1. Make sure your data is sorted! Sort individuals from smallest to largest income level 2. Calculate the cumulative share of population for each individual 3. Calculate the cumulative share of income for each individual 4. Draw the Lorenz curve and the perfect equity line Lorenz curve – on board A B C D 1 Person ID Income (π¦π ) % of Pop. 2 Anubhab 1 240 3 Isaac 2 320 4 Dan 3 360 5 Yaxi 4 480 6 Steve 5 650 Lets take a look on the board E F Cumu. % of Pop. % of Income G Cumu. % of income Lorenz Curve and Gini Coefficient – in Excel A B C 1 Person ID Income (π¦π ) 2 Anubhab 1 240 =1/B$7 3 Isaac 2 320 4 Dan 3 5 Yaxi 6 Steve 7 Total F G % of Income Cumu. % of income = D2 = C2 / C$7 = F2 0.2 = E2 + D3 0.16 = G2 + F3 360 0.2 0.6 0.18 0.45 4 480 0.2 0.8 0.23 0.68 5 650 0.2 1 0.32 1.00 =count(B2:B6) = sum(C2:C6) D E % of Pop. Cumu. % of Pop. 1.00 1.00 Let’s compute the Gini coefficient using the covariance method: 2 × πΆππ£(ππ , πΉ ππ ) πΊ= π Pairwise Comparisons – on handout πΊ= σππ=1 σππ=1 ππ ππ |π¦π − π¦π | 2π2 π • Intuition for numerator: making comparisons • We make “pairwise comparisons” by taking the difference in π and π’s incomes • When inequality is high, this sum of these pairwise comparisons gets big • ππ or ππ is the number of people in income class π or π. • If all individuals, ππ = ππ = 1 • Intuition for denominator: normalizing • What does the numerator mean? We need to normalize to find out. • For: double counting (2), number of comparisons (π2 ), mean income (π)