Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 Introduction, Acquiring Knowledge, and the Scientific Method (Gravetter and Forzano – Chapter 1) 1 – INTRODUCTION TO RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 1.1 – Why take a research methods course? - Research methods is a required course, because professionals in the behavioral sciences rely on methods of science to gather and interpret information - Scientific research is based on gathering evidence from careful, systematic, and objective observations - Pseudoscience = a set of ideas, often presented as science, but actually based on nonscientific observations. Typically founded on faith, belief or untested metaphysical claims. Unsupported by empirical evidence (e.g. astrology) 1.2 – Other reasons for taking a research methods course - Conducting a study: to keep up to date in your profession, to read and understand the most recent research publications - Reading and Evaluating other people’s studies: research methodology will also help you critically evaluate the research presented in journal articles. Determine to what extent the evidence supports the conclusions. Therefore, a research methods course will help you evaluate the research of others - Understanding brief descriptions of studies: a research methods course will help you fill in the gaps in typical descriptions of studies - Research studies in your daily life: a research methods course will help you make educated decisions about the research claims you encounter in everyday life - Information-Based decision making: to help you make decisions in your own everyday life - Research Methods is all about: how to collect and interpret the information that you need to make the best possible decisions - Scientific method = procedure for acquiring knowledge and answering questions, it is a logical and objective method for obtaining information and making decisions based on information 2 – METHODS OF KNOWING AND ACQUIRING KNOWLEDGE - Methods of acquiring knowledge = ways in which a person can know thing or discover answers to questions Five nonscientific approaches: 2.1 – (1) - The method of tenacity - Method of tenacity = information is accepted as true because it has always been believed or because superstition supports it (e.g. breaking a mirror will result in 7 years’ bad luck) Problem: the information acquired might not be accurate A belief that is widely accepted only on the basis of tenacity is very difficult to change 1 Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 2.2 – (2) - The method of intuition - Method of intuition = information is accepted on the basis of a hunch or “gut feeling”, when it “feels right” Problem: it has no mechanism for separating accurate from inaccurate knowledge 2.3 – (3) - The method of authority - - - Method of authority = a person relies on information or answers from an expert in the subject area Problems: (1) expertise can be generalized to include the question we are asking. (2) authorities can be biased in favor a particular point of view or orientation (3) the answers obtained from an expert could represent subjective, personal opinion rather than true expert knowledge (4) people often accept an expert’s statement without question. As a result, false information is sometimes taken as the truth (5) not all “experts” are experts Method of faith = a variant of the method of authority in which people have unquestioning trust in the authority figure and, therefore, accept information from the authority without doubt or challenge (e.g. young children, religions) Problem: no mechanism to test the accuracy of the information, it accept another’s view of the truth without verification --> There are ways to increase confidence in the information you obtain the method of authority: (1) evaluate the source of the information. Is the authority really an expert, and is it within his area of expertise? Is the information an objective fact or is it simply a subjective opinion? (2) evaluate the information itself. Does the information seem reasonable? (3) if two independent authorities provide the same answer, it is more reasonable that the answer is correct 2.4 – (4) - The rational method - - The rational method (rationalism) = seeks answers by the use of logical reasoning In logical reasoning, premise statements = describe facts or assumptions that are presumed to be true Argument = a set of premise statements that are logically combined to yield a conclusion --> begin with a set of known facts or assumptions and use logic to reach a conclusion or get an answer to a question Problems: (1) if any basic assumption or premise is incorrect, then we cannot have any confidence in the truth of the logical conclusion (2) a logical conclusion is only valid for the specific situation described by the premise statements, when it is incomplete or do not totally represent the realworld situation, then the conclusion might not be accurate (3) people are not particularly good at logical reasoning 2 Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 2.5 – (5) - The empirical method - Empirical method (empiricism) = uses observation or direct sensory experience to obtain knowledge (personal experience) Problem: (1) tempting to place great confidence in our own observations, it is fairly common for people to misperceive or misinterpret the world around them (2) time consuming EXAMPLE: You want to know the weight of one of your classmates Empirical method --> let her step on a scale Method of authority --> ask how much she weighs Rational method --> compare her physical size to your own and calculate an estimated weight relative to how much you weigh 2.6 – Summary 3 Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 3 – THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD - The scientific method = an approach to acquiring knowledge that involves formulating specific questions and then systematically finding answers. It as a carefully developed system for asking and answering questions so that the answers we discover are as accurate as possible --> THE STEPS OF THE SCIENTIFIC METHOD <-3.1 – STEP 1: Observe behavior or other phenomena - Simply observe the world around you until some behavior or event catches your attention In this stage, people commonly tend to generalize beyond the actual observations Induction or inductive reasoning = using a relatively small set of specific observations as the basis for forming a general statement about a larger set of possible observations (the process of generalization) 3.2 – STEP 2: Form a tentative answer or explanation (a hypothesis) - - This step begins usually by identifying other factors or variables that are associated with your observation Variables = characteristics or conditions that change or have different values for different individuals Variables can be identified based on common sense or your background research in the library or on the internet (step 1) Next, choose the explanation that you consider the most plausible or simply pick the on that you find most interesting Now you have a hypothesis, a possible explanation for your observation Hypothesis = a statement that describes or explains a relationship between or among variables. It is not a final answer but rather a proposal to be tested and evaluated 3.3 – STEP 3: Use your hypothesis to generate a testable prediction - - This step usually involves taking the hypothesis and applying it to a specific, observable, realworld situation A single hypothesis can lead to several different predictions, and that each prediction refers to a specific situation or an event that can be observed and measured Research hypothesis = a specific, testable prediction that is derived from a hypothesis. It always refers to a specific situation or an event that can be directly observed Deduction or deductive reasoning = uses a general statement as basis for reaching a conclusion about specific examples. We use our hypothesis as a universal premise statement and then determine the conclusions that must logically follow if the hypothesis is true --> Induction is the exact opposite of this process Predictions generated from a hypothesis must be testable. It must be possible to demonstrate that the predictions is either correct or incorrect by direct observation 4 Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 3.4 – STEP 4: Evaluate the prediction by making systematic, planned observations - This step is to evaluate the prediction using direct observation. It is the actual “research” or “data collection” phase of the scientific method Goal: to provide a fair and unbiased test of the research hypothesis by observing whether the prediction is correct The research study is an empirical test of the research hypothesis\ 3.5 – STEP 5: Use the observations to support, refute, or refine the original hypothesis - - The final step of the process, compare the actual observations with the predictions that were made from the hypothesis Lack of agreement indicates that the original hypothesis was wrong or that the hypothesis was used incorrectly, producing faulty predictions --> go back to step 2, forming a new hypothesis The scientific method continues the same series of steps over and over again. Observations --> hypothesis --> more observations --> another hypothesis --> and so on.. - This method is not a linear process, but rather is a circular process or spiral, that repeats over and over, moving higher with each cycle as new knowledge is gained 5 Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 3.6 – Other elements of the scientific method - Three important principles of the scientific method: (1) it is empirical, (2) it is public, and (3) it is objective - (1) Science is empirical We mean that answers are obtained by making observations An answer is not scientifically accepted until it has been empirically demonstrated - (2) Science is public We mean that the scientific method makes observations available for evaluation by others, especially other scientist Other should be able to replicate the observations for themselves Replication or repetition of observation = allows verification of the findings - (3) Science is objective The observations are structured so that the researcher’s biases and beliefs do not influence the outcome of the study Bias comes from belief in a particular theory 6 Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 4 – THE RESEARCH PROCESS 4.1 – STEP 1: Find a research idea: select a topic and find a hypothesis - Involves two parts: (1) selecting a general topic area and (2) reviewing the literature in that area to find a specific research question or hypothesis General topic area is only a starting point that can evolve into a specific research question. Your final question or research hypothesis will develop as your read through the research literature. After studying the literature you will be ready to identify your own research question - The hypothesis identifies the specific variables and their relationship, it forms the foundation for the future research study - Four elements that are considered to be important characteristics of a good research hypothesis: - (1) Logical A good hypothesis is usually found in established theories or developed from the results of previous research It should be the logical conclusion of a logical argument - (2) Testable It must be possible to observe and measure all the variables involved The hypothesis must involve real situations, real events, and real individuals (it cannot contain imaginary events or hypothetical situations - (3) Refutable It must be possible to obtain research results that are contrary to the prediction Refutable hypothesis = falsifiable hypothesis (critical component of the research process) Non-refutable hypothesis is inappropriate for the scientific method Testable hypothesis = one for which all of the variables, events, and individuals are real, and can be defined and observed Refutable hypothesis = a hypothesis that can be demonstrate to be false, the hypothesis allows the potential for the outcome to be different from the prediction - - (4) Positive It must make a positive statement about the existence of something, usually the existence of a relationship, the existence of a difference or the existence of a treatment effect The basic of nature of science is to assume that something does not exist until there is enough evidence to demonstrate that it actually does exist 4.2 – STEP 2: Determine how you will define and measure your variables - The variables identified in the research hypothesis must be defined in a manner that makes it possible to measure them by some form of empirical observation With identifying our variables so they can be observed and measured, we are transforming the hypothesis into a specific, well-defined prediction that can be tested by making empirical observations 7 Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 4.3 – STEP 3: Identify the participants or subjects for the study - A part of making a specific prediction is to decide exactly what individuals participate in the research study Participants = the individuals who take part in research studies that are human Subjects = the individuals who take part in research studies that are nonhuman Specific prediction = research hypothesis The variables can be defined and measured several different ways for different groups of individuals 4.4 – STEP 4: Select a research strategy - The choice of a research strategy is usually determined by one of two factors: (1) The type of question asked (2) Ethics and other constraints 4.5 – STEP 5: Select a research design - Involves making decisions about the specific methods and procedures you will use to conduct the research study 4.6 – STEP 6: Conduct the study - Decide how to, where to, etc. collect the data 4.7 – STEP 7: Evaluate the data - Examine and evaluate the data with the use of, for example, various statistical methods 4.8 – STEP 8: Report the results - Two reasons to report research results are: (1) The results become parts of the general knowledge base that other people can use to answer questions or to generate new research ideas (2) The research procedure can be replicated or refuted by other researchers 4.9 – STEP 9: Refine or reformulate your research idea - Scientific method always produces tentative answers or tentative explanations (there are no final answers) Results that support a hypothesis lead to new question by one of the following two routes: - (1) Test the boundaries of the result: The goal is to determine whether your result extends into other areas (2) Refine the original research question 8 Jur Hilkens Maastricht University 2016/2017 9