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Assignment 1 BNE

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Assignment 1
Assignment 1
Darina Merkulova
8207380
ECO4170
Game Theory with Applications in Corporate Finance
Professor N. V. Quyen
February 12th, 2019
Assignment 1
1
Textbook Problems
3U2.
a. Albus has three pure strategies: SA = {S, E, N}
Minerva has eight pure strategies: SM = {(a, a, a), (a, a, b), (a, b, b), (b, b, b), (b, b, a), (b, a, a),
(a, b, a), (b, a, b)}
b. Albus has four pure strategies: SA = {(S, S), (S, N), (N, S), (N, N)}
Minerva has five pure strategies: SM = {(a, a), (a, b), (b, b), (c, a), (c, b)}
c. Albus has four pure strategies: SA = {(S, S), (S, N), (N, S), (N, N)}
Minerva has four pure strategies: SM = {(a, a), (a, b), (b, a), (b, b)}
Severus has two pure strategies: SS = {X, Y}
3U4
a. Please refer to Annex for tree A.
The President prefers a payoff of 4 over any other payoff, so he chooses B becomes law. When the
President chooses B, Congress receives the highest payoff for A becomes law, so it chooses A.
Thus, the rollback equilibrium is Congress choosing A and President choosing B, and the
President’s choice does not affect the rollback equilibrium, because Congress anticipates the
President to choose B, so it chooses its best response by choosing A.
b. Please refer to Annex for tree B.
The President still chooses B becomes law, but when the President chooses B, Congress chooses
A or B becomes law. Thus, the rollback equilibrium is Congress chooses A or B and President
chooses B.
4U1
a. There are no dominated strategies for Rowena.
But for Colin, playing Right strictly dominates playing Left, so he will play the former. If he plays
Right, Rowena plays Up.
As a result, the game ends in the pure-strategy Nash equilibrium (Up, Right) with payoff (4, 2).
b. There are no dominated strategies for either player.
For Colin, Left dominates Right, so Right can be eliminated. Consequently, for Rowena, Straight
strictly dominates both Up and Down. When Rowena plays straight, Colin will then play Middle.
As a result, through iterative elimination, the pure-strategy Nash equilibrium is (Straight, Middle)
with payoff (9, 2).
c. There are no dominated strategies for either player.
For Colin, Right dominates Middle, so Middle can be eliminated. Consequently, for Rowena,
Straight strictly dominates both Up and Down. When Rowena plays straight, Colin will then play
Middle.
As a result, through iterative elimination, the pure-strategy Nash equilibrium is (Straight, Middle)
with payoff (4, 4).
d. There are no dominated strategies for either player.
For Rowena, Up dominates Down, so Down can be eliminated. Consequently, for Colin, East
dominates North, so North can be eliminated. In turn, Up strictly dominates both High and Low for
Rowena. When she plays Up, Colin then plays East.
As a result, through iterative elimination, the pure-strategy Nash equilibrium is (Up, East) with
payoff (5, 5).
Assignment 1
2
4U2
a. This is a non-zero-sum game, as the gain or loss of utility by Rowena is not matched with a
corresponding or loss of utility by Colin (payoffs in all cells are not equal).
b. This is a non-zero-sum game, as the gain or loss of utility by Rowena is not matched with a
corresponding or loss of utility by Colin (payoffs in all cells are not equal).
c. This is a zero-sum game, as the payoffs in all cells sum to 8.
d. This is a zero-sum game, as the payoffs in all cells sum to 10.
4U5
For Colin, Middle dominates Right, so Right can be eliminated. Elimination of dominated strategies
reduces the strategic-form game to the following:
Colin
Rowena
Up
Down
Left
4, 3
5, 0
Middle
2, 7
5, -1
Consequently, for Rowena, Down strictly dominates Up. When Rowena plays Down, Colin plays
Left. As a result, through iterative elimination, the solution to this game is (Down, Left) with payoff (5, 0).
This solution is a Nash equilibrium because when Rowena plays Down, Colin prefers Left, and when he
plays Left, Rowena also prefers Down.
4U8
a. Game table: (assuming the Japanese have -1 when it they are found, and 1 when not)
Japan
United States
Northern route
Southern route
North
2, -1
1, 1
South
2, 1
3, -1
b. Neither player has a dominant strategy. The Nash equilibrium is (Northern Route, South) with payoff
(2, 1) because it yields the highest expected payoff out of all cells (3).
7U1
a. If Offense Runs, then the Defense Anticipates a Run. If Offense Passes, then the Defense
Anticipates a Pass. In turn, if the Defense Anticipates a Run, the Offense Passes. If the Defense
Anticipates a Pass, the Offense Runs. Therefore, there is no pure strategy that is a best response to
a best response. The game has no pure-strategy Nash equilibrium.
b. Suppose Offense plays Run with probability p and Pass with probability (1-p). Similarly, let
Defense Anticipate a Run with probability q, and Anticipate a Pass with probability (1-q).
Then, (−1)๐‘ − 9(1 − ๐‘) = (−5)๐‘ + 3(1 − ๐‘) ๐‘ ๐‘œ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก 16๐‘ = 12 ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐’‘ = ๐Ÿ‘/๐Ÿ’.
And (1)๐‘ž + 5(1 − ๐‘ž) = 9๐‘ž − 3(1 − ๐‘ž) ๐‘ ๐‘œ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก 10๐‘ž = 2 ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐’’ = ๐Ÿ/๐Ÿ“.
Assignment 1
3
The mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium is:
- Offense plays (3/4)*(Run) + (1/4)*(Pass)
- Defense plays (1/5)*(Anticipate Run) + (4/5)*(Anticipate Pass)
c. In this game, each player wants to be unpredictable and thus uses a mixed strategy that specifies a
probability distribution over her set of pure strategies, which is why the mixture is different between
the Offense and the Defense.
d. The expected payoff of the Offense is: (1)*(1/5) + (1-1/5)*(5) = 5.25 yards.
7U6
a. Suppose James swerves with probability p and goes straight with probability (1-p). Similarly, let
Dean swerve with probability q, and go straight with probability (1-q).
Then, 0๐‘ − 1(1 − ๐‘) = (1)๐‘ − 2(1 − ๐‘) ๐‘ ๐‘œ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก 2๐‘ = 1 ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐’‘ = ๐Ÿ/๐Ÿ.
And (0)๐‘ž − 1(1 − ๐‘ž) = 2๐‘ž − 2(1 − ๐‘ž) ๐‘ ๐‘œ ๐‘กโ„Ž๐‘Ž๐‘ก 3๐‘ž = 1 ๐‘Ž๐‘›๐‘‘ ๐’’ = ๐Ÿ/๐Ÿ‘.
The mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium is:
- James plays (1/2)*(Swerve) + (1/2)*(Straight)
- Dean plays (1/3)*(Swerve) + (2/3)*(Straight)
The expected payoffs for the players are:
- James’s expected payoff = (0)*(1/3) + (-1)*(1-1/3) = -0.667
- Dean’s expected payoff = (0)*(1/2) + (-1)*(1-1/2) = -0.5
b. James’s probability of playing Straight is the same as before, but Dean’s probability of playing
Straight is slightly lower (1/3 < 1/2).
c. The expected payoffs in 4.B are -0.5, so the expected payoffs for the players are now the same for
Dean and worse for James. These are not paradoxical given that Dean changed his strategy whereas
James did not, so James should have a lower payoff given that he is still indifferent between
choosing Swerve and Straight.
7U11
a. Yes, (Sea, Air) and (Land, Sea) are pure-strategy Nash equilibria with payoffs (2, 4).
b. Suppose Patton chooses Air with probability p1, Sea with probability p2, and Land with probability
(1-p1-p2).
Similarly, let Dean play Air with probability q1, Sea with probability q2, and Land with probability
(1-q1-q2).
Macarthur’s payoff from Air is 3๐‘1 + 4๐‘2 + 3(1 − ๐‘1 − ๐‘2 )
His payoff from Sea is 6๐‘2 + 4(1 − ๐‘1 − ๐‘2 )
His payoff from Land is 7๐‘1 + 3(1 − ๐‘1 − ๐‘2 )
From the 2nd payoff, we have that ๐‘1 = ๐‘2 , and substituting into the 2nd and 3rd payoffs:
7๐‘1 + 3(1 − 2๐‘1 ) = 6๐‘1 + 4(1 − 2๐‘1 )
Assignment 1
4
๐‘1 + 3 = 4 − 2๐‘1
3๐‘1 = 1 → ๐’‘๐Ÿ = ๐Ÿ/๐Ÿ‘
Substituting into (1-p1-p2), we obtain that ๐’‘๐Ÿ = ๐Ÿ/๐Ÿ‘.
Patton’s payoff from Air is 2๐‘ž2 + 1(1 − ๐‘ž1 − ๐‘ž2 )
His payoff from Sea is 2๐‘ž1 + 2(1 − ๐‘ž1 − ๐‘ž2 )
His payoff from Land is ๐‘ž1 + 2๐‘ž2
Therefore, we can set:
2๐‘ž2 + 1(1 − ๐‘ž1 − ๐‘ž2 ) = 2๐‘ž1 + 2(1 − ๐‘ž1 − ๐‘ž2 )
2๐‘ž2 + 1(1 − ๐‘ž1 − ๐‘ž2 ) = ๐‘ž1 + 2๐‘ž2
From the first payoff, we obtain ๐‘ž1 = 3๐‘ž2 − 1, and substituting into the 2nd condition yields:
2๐‘ž2 + (1 − (3๐‘ž2 − 1) − ๐‘ž2 ) = (3๐‘ž2 − 1) + 2๐‘ž2
−2๐‘ž2 = 5๐‘ž2 − 1
7๐‘ž2 = 1 → ๐’’๐Ÿ = ๐Ÿ/๐Ÿ•
Substituting into (1-q1-q2), we obtain that ๐’’ = ๐Ÿ/๐Ÿ•.
Non-Textbook Problems
2.a
Each firm seeks to maximize its expected profit in a Cournot duopoly. Since only Firm 1 knows
whether demand is high or low, Firm 1 has two types (H, L) and Firm 2 only has one type. The unique
Bayesian Nash equilibrium in this case is the equilibrium set (q*1H, q*1L, q*2).
๏‚ท
If demand Firm 1 knows the demand is high (a = aH), it will then choose q*1H such that:
∗
max(๐‘Ž๐ป − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž1๐ป − ๐‘ž2∗ )๐‘ž1๐ป
The FOC gives that:
∗
๐‘ž1๐ป
๏‚ท
๐‘Ž๐ป − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž2∗
=
2
If demand Firm 1 knows the demand is low (a = aL), it will then choose q*1L such that:
∗
∗
max ๐‘ž1๐ฟ
(๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž1๐ฟ − ๐‘ž2∗ )๐‘ž1๐ฟ
The FOC gives that:
∗
๐‘ž1๐ฟ
๏‚ท
๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž2∗
=
2
Firm 2 has incomplete information regarding the demand. All it knows is that it is high with
probability θ and low with probability (1-θ). It will therefore choose q*2 such that:
∗
∗
max ๐œƒ๐‘ž2 (๐‘Ž๐ป − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž1๐ป
− ๐‘ž2 ) + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘ž2 (๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž1๐ฟ
− ๐‘ž2 )
Assignment 1
5
The FOC gives that:
๐‘ž2∗ =
๏‚ท
∗ )
∗ )
๐œƒ(๐‘Ž๐ป − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž1๐ป
+ (1 − ๐œƒ)(๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž1๐ฟ
−๐›พ
2
Plugging q*1H and q*1L into q*2, we obtain:
๐‘ž2∗ =
2๐‘ž2∗ =
๐œƒ (๐‘Ž๐ป −
๐‘Ž๐ป − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž2∗
๐‘Ž − ๐›พ − ๐‘ž2∗
(1 − ๐œƒ) (๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐ฟ
)
+
)−๐›พ
2
2
2
2๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐ป − ๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐ป + ๐œƒ๐›พ + ๐œƒ๐‘ž2∗ (1 − ๐œƒ)(2๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐‘Ž๐ฟ + ๐›พ + ๐‘ž2∗ )
+
−๐›พ
2
2
2๐‘ž2∗ =
๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐ป + ๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ + ๐‘ž2∗ − ๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐ฟ
2
3๐‘ž2∗ = ๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ
๐’’∗๐Ÿ =
๏‚ท
๏‚ท
๐œฝ๐’‚๐‘ฏ + (๐Ÿ − ๐œฝ)๐’‚๐‘ณ − ๐œธ
๐Ÿ‘
Then, replacing q*2 in q*1H and q*1L, we obtain:
๐’’∗๐Ÿ๐‘ฏ =
๐’‚๐‘ฏ − ๐œธ ๐œฝ๐’‚๐‘ฏ + (๐Ÿ − ๐œฝ)๐’‚๐‘ณ − ๐œธ
−
๐Ÿ
๐Ÿ”
๐’’∗๐Ÿ๐‘ณ =
๐’‚๐‘ณ − ๐œธ ๐œฝ๐’‚๐‘ฏ + (๐Ÿ − ๐œฝ)๐’‚๐‘ณ − ๐œธ
−
๐Ÿ
๐Ÿ”
Therefore, the unique Bayesian Nash equilibrium triplet (q*1H, q*1L, q*2) is:
๐‘Ž๐ป − ๐›พ ๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ
−
2
6
๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ ๐œƒ๐‘Ž๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘Ž๐ฟ − ๐›พ
=
−
2
6
(1
๐œƒ๐‘Ž
+
−
๐œƒ)๐‘Ž
๐ป
๐ฟ−๐›พ
๐‘ž2∗ =
3
∗
๐‘ž1๐ป
=
∗
๐‘ž1๐ฟ
{
2.b
In a symmetric pure-strategy Bayesian Nash equilibrium of this game, the sensitivity of firm i’s
demand to firm j’s price, and the sensitivity of firm j’s demand to firm i’s price, are equal, so bi = bH = bL.
Firm i has two types (H, L) while firm j only has one type.
๏‚ท
For its two types, Firm i sets its price so as to maximize the following profit functions:
max(๐‘Ž − ๐‘๐‘–๐ป + ๐‘๐ป (๐œƒ๐‘๐‘—๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐‘—๐ฟ )๐‘๐‘–๐ป
max(๐‘Ž − ๐‘๐‘–๐ฟ + ๐‘๐ฟ (๐œƒ๐‘๐‘—๐ฟ + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐‘—๐ป )๐‘๐‘–๐ฟ
Assignment 1
6
The FOCs give that:
๐‘Ž − 2๐‘๐‘–๐ป + ๐‘๐ป (๐œƒ๐‘๐‘—๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐‘—๐ฟ ) = 0
๐‘Ž − 2๐‘๐‘–๐ฟ + ๐‘๐ฟ (๐œƒ๐‘๐‘—๐ฟ + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐‘—๐ป ) = 0
๏‚ท
๏‚ท
๏‚ท
Solving for p*iH and p*iL, we obtain:
∗
๐‘๐‘–๐ป
=
๐‘Ž + ๐‘๐ป (๐œƒ๐‘๐‘—๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐‘—๐ฟ )
2
∗
๐‘๐‘–๐ฟ
=
๐‘Ž + ๐‘๐ฟ (๐œƒ๐‘๐‘—๐ฟ + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐‘—๐ป )
2
Then, letting ๐‘ = ๐œƒ๐‘๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐ฟ , we obtain:
∗
๐‘๐‘–๐ป
=
๐‘Ž ๐‘Ž๐‘๐ป + ๐‘๐‘๐ป (๐œƒ๐‘๐‘–๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐‘–๐ป )
+
2
4
∗
๐‘๐‘–๐ฟ
=
๐‘Ž ๐‘Ž๐‘๐ฟ + ๐‘๐‘๐ฟ (๐œƒ๐‘๐‘–๐ป + (1 − ๐œƒ)๐‘๐‘–๐ป )
+
2
4
Replacing, we obtain the following Bayesian Nash equilibrium solution values of p*iH and p*iL:
(1 − ๐œƒ)
1
๐‘Ž
๐‘๐ป
[ (1 + ) +
๐‘Ž๐‘(๐‘๐ป − ๐‘๐ฟ )]
2
1 − 0.25๐‘ 2
2
8
1
๐‘Ž
๐‘๐ฟ
๐œƒ
∗
๐‘๐‘–๐ฟ
=
[ (1 + ) + ๐‘Ž๐‘(๐‘๐ป − ๐‘๐ฟ )]
2
1 − 0.25๐‘ 2
2
8
∗
๐‘๐‘–๐ป
=
{
Assignment 1
7
Annex
Tree A
Tree B
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