AFM 433 MIDTERM CHEAT SHEET #1 Situation Size Up Internal Analysis (SP1, SP2) business Situation (complex system vs. Volume Operations model) - Role - Requirement - Stakeholders - SQ Strategy Statement To: (objective) By offering: (value prop) To: (target customers) Through: (advantages) - Trigger-challenge vs opportunity (when the strategy doesn’t fit the environment) model analysis – customer value prop, profit formula (revenue model, cost structure, margin model) resource velocity), key processes, key resources Resource gap (customer value prop, required resources, available resources, actions to close gap, is it feasible?) Profitability gap (financial size up: revenue, profitability, financial position – debt and cash) o projected income statements for each SP (revenue, COGS, Gross profit, SG&A, EBIT/EBITDA, net income) o revenue – project growth o expenses – split variable and fixed costs accordingly SO WHAT? Value Prop: innovation, service, feature intended to make a company attractive to customers #2 Strategic Possibilities SQ SP1, SP2, SP3 #3 Analysis External Analysis (SQ) Porter’s 5 Forces (industry analysis) – used to understand whether the industry is profitable or not (key barriers to entry/mitigate bargaining power) - How would you scope? - Buyer power – high: few buyers, standardize products - Suppliers power – no substitutes, suppliers offer diff products/services - Threat of new entry - Threat of Substitutes - Competitive rivalry – industry growth is slow, exit barriers high, high fixed costs, identical offerings - SO WHAT? PEST (customer value & customer analysis) - TRENDS - Political (gov issues, policies, tax, env reg) - Economic (stability of economy – growing, stagnant, declining – disposable income, interest rates - Social (age groups, population, social media, health, education) - Technological (new technology) - SO WHAT? Break Even Analysis = total fixed costs/(unit selling price-total variable costs) Debt/Equity Ratio – too high=trouble getting financing, debt allows company to leverage small amount of money into much larger sum and repay over time – fund expansions quickly =Total liab/total SH equity Revenue Growth CAGR= (ending value/begin value)(1/# of years) – 1 Payback Period= cost of inv/annual net cash flows DCF/EV= CF/(1+r)1 + CF/(1+r)2.. Terminal Value= CF*(1+g)/(r-g) FV = EV-debt Profitability Ratios ROA = NOPAT/net assets = NOPAT/ revenue (operating margin) x revenue/net assets (resource velocity) Operating Profit = operating revenue – COGS – OP exp – depreciation ROE = ROA * assets/SH equity = net profit margin*asset turnover*equity multiplier (financial leverage) ROI = (gain from inv – cost of inv)/cost of inv * 100 Profit Margin= NI/total revenue (operating efficiency) EBITDA = Net Profit + Interest +Taxes + Depreciation + Amortization Asset Turnover= total rev/total assets (asset use efficiency) Liquidity & Solvency Ratios Current Ratio= cur asset/cur liab Quick Ratio= (cur assets-inv)/cur liab – liquid assets cover ST liab Inventory Turnover= COGS/inv Days Inv O/S= 365/inv turnover Times Interest Earned= EBIT/int exp – ability to meet debt oblig SWOT Analysis (SO WHAT? - SQ) Strength Weakness Opportunity Threat #4 Recommendation D-M Matrix o Choose by what you prioritize and explain Recommendation o Reason #1 o Reason #2 o Reason #3 #5 Implementation Considerations Implications Risks and how to mitigate AFM 433 MIDTERM CHEAT SHEET D-M Matrix (example) Criteria SQ SP1 - Expand SP2 - South SP3 Downtown Revenue $1943 $3001 $3888 $3888 Profit $103 $224 $268 $208 ROI N/A 161% 110% 70% Compensation Lowest Moderate HIgher HIghest HR risk N/A Low Higher Higher Risk of failure N/A Low Higher Higher Quickest Longer Longer Time frame RESOURCE ANALYSIS (example) SQ SP1 SP2/Sp3 Human resource Two Full time sales Five part time sales Two full time tailors all knowledgeable Will need incremental sales and tailors (50% increase) Will need training but can leverage existing staff and hands on owner management Need to find store locations $150k in leasehold improvements Physical Existing 2850 sq ft store front and side windows Dressing rooms Upscale sitting area website All strengths 1550 sq ft space available Needs leasehold improvements Need to find store location 150 in leasehold improvements Financial Limited information 2mm in revenue 300k in net income 75k in leasehold improvements More rent at $39 sq ft 100k in leasehold improvements $40 to 60 per sq ft depending on location Can leverage word of mouth advertising Will need increased advertising Intangibles High quality, high service image Word of mouth advertising