Whoever is editing don’t make changes on this doc - i am editing it in word right now In-depth Analysis of E.D. Smith & Sons Ltd. Commerce 3MC3: Applied Marketing Management Professor: Marvin Ryder Date: March 16, 2016 Core: 06 Group Number: 04 Member Names Student Number Contents Appendices Appendix A: Decision-Making Matrices ………………………………………………………………... Introduction E.D. Smith and Sons Limited (referred to as E.D. Smith) is primarily a spread and sauce manufacturer and distributor in Canada. Their longest and largest market presence is in the jam, and jelly market. Although this market has stayed relatively stable in the past, the potential of a free trade agreement with the United States (U.S.) and trade rumors about decreasing shelf space for all jams, jellies and marmalades has made E.D. Smith’s management worry about its market position. We have identified the need to implement a marketing plan that will ensure they maintain a 7.6 - 10% market share and sell 163,000 - 170,000 cases (per year) regardless of the outcome of the free trade agreement and trade rumors. E.D. Smith will need to decide between an offensive or defensive tactic. With an offensive tactic, the plan is to introduce alternative product lines that will draw new customers and generate revenue for the business. This source of revenue can be seen as an untapped market for E.D. Smith. With a defensive tactic, E.D. Smith should solidify what it does best, making it difficult for new competitors from the U.S. to take away E.D. Smith’s customers. In addition, the exit of Laura Secord from the jam, jelly and marmalade market provides potential new customers to the E.D. Smith brand, an opportunity that can be capitalized on with either the offensive or defensive approach. Marketing Audit The target market of E.D. Smith’s jams and jellies consists of Ontario residents who buy groceries for personal use, such as mothers, children, university students. These target consumers are interested in buying products with quality ingredients and minimal artificial additives. Marketing Mix Product: E.D. Smith sells pure jam, jelly and lemon spread primarily. Pure jam, their best seller, contains a minimum of 45% fruit and the remaining amount can contain only sugar and natural preservatives; it can not contain additives, artificial colours or chemicals. The jams are available in many flavours: Strawberry, Raspberry, Peach, Apricot, Cherry, Damson Plum, Blueberry and Black Currant. E.D. Smith also offers a sugar-free diet line of jams that uses sorbitol, a natural sweetener, instead of sugar. Diet jams are available in Apricot, Blueberry, Raspberry and Strawberry/Rhubarb flavours. The jelly flavours are grape, mint and apple. 75% of jam is sold under the E.D. Smith brand in rounded jars while 25% uses private labelling for brands such as Top Valu, Domino and President’s Choice. Collectively, the Strawberry and Raspberry jams and Lemon spread account for 80% of total sales. Lemon spread is especially popular in the Maritimes. Price: E.D. Smith is a price taker in the market of jams; they do not influence the market price of their product, but rather the prices are based in comparison to their competitors. As a result, the company keeps its price on par with Kraft jams. Currently, they sell for $2.19 per 250 mL container with an occasional on-sale price of $1.99. Distribution: All shipping distribution is done by E.D. Smith. The company uses rail to ship to Atlantic and Western Canada. They use a personal fleet of transport trailers for deliveries in both Ontario and Quebec. The product is sold primarily in domestic grocery stores with an emphasis of those in an 80 mile radius. Promotion: E.D. Smith relies entirely on the strength of its well-established brand name to sell jams and jelly. In 1974, there was a label design change to showcase the fruit in the jams and a couponing campaign. However, in recent years, no money has been spent on advertising jams and jellies. Internal Analysis Strengths: E.D. Smith was the first company in Canada to produce pure jam. This provides E.D. Smith with branding advantage as customers are aware of the brand and trust the product. E.D. Smith has now expanded enough to compete with multinational companies. E.D. Smith is an adaptive company. E.D. Smith adapts to new trends and changes in consumer needs by offering multiple product lines to meet their consumers’ needs, such as diet products, bulk pie fillings and vegetable juice. Multiple product lines diversify the company’s risks. E.D. Smith also produces H.P.’s sauces for Canadian consumers. All these product lines provide multiple sources of revenue for E.D. Smith, and decreases the risk of investment. Alongside, it has modern and efficient manufacturing capability; innovative technologies reduced operational costs and streamlined the production process, resulting in maximized efficiency and a reduction in costs. E.D. Smith is best known for its diet line of jams, which makes approximately 53% of E.D. Smith’s current market share. E.D Smith has made a market niche in the diet line of jams, which decreases the company’s competition in the market, and increases brand loyalty. E.D. Smith also handles it’s own shipping. This decreases shipping costs, and dependability on other companies. Last, E.D. Smith’s management engages employees by providing them with open door policy, and promoting employee advancement. This focus results in good labour relations and ensures employees are satisfied with the working conditions, which is beneficial in decreasing employee turnover. E.D. Smith uses Canadian local produce, when possible, to remain sustainable and decrease transportation costs. Weaknesses: Eighty per cent of E.D. Smith’s pure jams and jellies’ sales are concentrated in Ontario. Not being present in other markets affects its revenues; the brand could reach other markets and increase its revenues by settling itself in the US for example. E.D. Smith does not advertise its jam product lines. Potential customers may not be aware of the characteristics of the brand, or not even know it. Being engaged in private labelling for a quarter of its jam products distorts the brand image, deteriorating customer loyalty. It has stopped the sales of marmalade products, forcing some customers to switch their habitual purchases to E.D. Smith products to a competitor’s products. Overall, the strengths of E.D. Smith outweigh their weaknesses, suggesting that the company is in strong standing in the market. External Analysis Opportunities: The Laura Secord name was recently sold to Nestle, who does not seem to have any interest in continuing the jam line. If the Laura Secord brand leaves the jam, jelly and marmalade market space there is 9.5% market share available to acquire. As Laura Secord is the closest in quality to E.D. Smith there is the opportunity to gain Laura Secord’s customers. This also reduces the amount of big competitors in the less competitive marmalade sector. Also, private labels (counting for a quarter of E.D. Smith’s jam products) are requesting a change in the jam container which looks similar to the Kraft’s one; this provides an opportunity as Kraft consumers may decide to buy the private label jam because of similar resemblance. Threats: A major threat to the Canadian jam, jelly and marmalade market is the approval of the Free Trade agreement with the United States. With the Free Trade agreement in place it is expected that Smuckers, the number one producer of jam, jelly and marmalade in the U.S., will enter the Canadian market. Due to their success in the U.S. it can be expected that they will become among the top producers in Canada, making E.D. Smith’s 7.6% market share vulnerable. Although the Free Trade agreement would provide E.D. Smith the opportunity to easily enter the U.S. marketplace, it is seen as a greater threat than opportunity. E.D. Smith are currently price takers. This is a significant threat as the price of their products are effectively determined by their major competitors, namely Kraft. This threatens E.D. Smith’s revenues as they may be forced to charge a price that exceeds their customer’s perceived value of their product. Rumor, regardless of verifiability, can be detrimental to any business and in this case may hurt the entire market for jams and jellies. The rumor is that the shelf space for jam, jelly, and marmalade are about to decrease. If this is true, the biggest and often sole, distribution method for many producers is shrinking. This increases competition, which has a negative effect on price, as well as making the distribution of jam, jelly and marmalade expensive, driving price up. The magnitude of the decrease in shelf space will effectively determine price for the short term future. Coupled with this is the possibility that distributors may choose to offer the cheapest product rather than a variety in an effort to drive their sales. Even if the rumor is not true, should producers act on this information the market may become a self-fulfilling prophecy. If everyone cuts production then a shortage will occur. Furthermore, if E.D. Smith chooses to act on this then their market share will be seriously hurt. Finally, the threat posed to both E.D. Smith and their competitors is that of any restriction that natural phenomena may inflict upon the supply of fruits and other ingredients. Without a diverse product line and/or supply chain, E.D. Smith is exposed to significant risk should a weather event negatively affect a given fruit the cost of supplying that jam will react inversely. It is clear that there are more threats facing E.D. Smith in the jam, jelly and marmalade market than there are opportunities. Alternative Strategies Strategy #1: E.D. Smith could revitalizing the marmalade market by re-establishing the Orange and Three Fruit marmalades. That strategy should not be too difficult to implement as E.D. Smith could use its previous recipes from the product line that was discontinued twenty years ago. Those marmalades could be positioned as an oldfashioned line, and thus, perhaps be sold at a premium price. Buying a new plant is not conceivable for now; E.D Smith will have to find room in its existing manufacturing facilities for the production of the new product line. Laura Secord is leaving this market; this is an opportunity for E.D. Smith to take their marmalades’ market share and increase its revenues as these two brands are perceived rather similar to their customers in terms of taste and quality. E.D. Smith would only face two major competitors (Kraft and Shiriff) in this new market. However, the demand for marmalade product is declining of 8% per year, resulting in the shelf space for it to be reduced. Since E.D. Smith currently does not advertise neither of its products, it loses the opportunity to reach out to potential customer interested in purchasing marmalades. Strategy #2: Moving forward E.D. Smith could take a defensive stance. Through solidifying their market position they will be better equipped for the imminent influx of competitors due to the free trade agreement. To do so, E.D. Smith must drop Black Currant, Damson Plum, Cherry, and Peach jams. Additionally they should drop Apple and Grape jellys. Strawberry, Raspberry and Lemon jams need to become the focus of their operation as those flavours account for 80% of E.D. Smith’s sales. While Apricot, Blueberry and Seedless Raspberry are outside the aforementioned percentage of sales, there are few competitors for those flavours so continued production of these jams are justifiable by the product specific market share they occupy. After their market position has been solidified they can begin to see greater market share. Using capital relieved from the cancellation of less profitable product lines, E.D. Smith can launch a branding campaign to expand their market share. By establishing their product as multi faceted they will be able to counteract the projected shrinkage of the jam market. Relaunching their jam as a baking ingredient such as cake or pie filler can provide a boost to their sales. No alterations to the core product line are necessary. The jams would simply require an alternate packaging that specifies the product as a baking ingredient. By maintaining the composition of the product, E.D. Smith saves on and Development costs that may have been incurred in the launching of a brand new product. Furthermore, conditional on the success of the rebranding, supplementary products could be introduced. The addition of a measuring cup inside the cap of the cans that are branded as baking ingredients can make our product more appealing to consumers. The danger with this strategy is that by repackaging a portion of the cases, cannibalization of jam might be experienced. Secondly, the under diversification of the product line exposes the company to risk regarding any restrictions on the supply of raw materials. Strategy #3: E.D. Smith can develop a market niche for itself by focusing on unique flavours of speciality jams and jellies. Developing market niche is these unique flavours will repel Smuckers from entering into this niche. In addition, these markets would have very minimal to no competitors, increasing the probability of being successful in the market. This strategy has the potential of increasing E.D. Smith revenues permanently, if successful. Unfortunately, in order for E.D. Smith to be successful, they have to sell more than 4000 cases of each new flavour. It takes 4000 cases of a new flavour to break-even, meaning a new flavour costs $68,000 roughly ($17.00 per case). Assuming a higher selling price for specialty flavours, and the same cost as the regular flavours, the profit margin on each jar would be higher so profit could be great once the breakeven point is reached. To successfully develop market niche, market research needs to be conducted to gain insight on which new flavours consumers would prefer; E.D. Smith likely does not have the resources to conduct this research. Even if consumer flavour interest research was conducted, new recipes would need to developed for each new flavour. Once produced, promotion of E.D. Smith’s new jam and jelly flavours would be required to ensure that customers are aware of the availabilities. Overall, this strategy is riskier than the rest; however, the return on revenue to this strategy is significant if successful. Recommended Strategy Five criteria were used in the evaluation of the alternative strategies: the revenue potential, being a low-risk strategy, the cost of the implementation, the time it takes to implement the new strategy, and the increase in brand awareness that it would bring to the company. The decision matrices in Appendix A shows the weight, score and justification for each of the criteria used in evaluating the three alternatives. The second alternative, focusing on the most profitable and least competitive jams, was chosen as the best alternative for E.D. Smith. This alternative received the highest score in the decision matrix and is the one that would make the E.D. Smith brand the strongest in the long run. The company will become known for producing the core flavours of jam, won’t be using money to produce flavours that don’t bring in as much revenue to the company, and will be in a defensive position against Smuckers entering the market. The third strategy was rejected mainly due to the costs involved. This strategy would take a lot more money and time to implement: new recipes would need to be formulated and testing would need to be done to ensure that the target market would actually purchase the product. The break-even point on any new flavour introduced by E.D. Smith is 4000 cases, which can be very difficult to reach for an odd, new flavour that is not normal or familiar to consumers; this strategy is much riskier because consumers may not adopt the new flavours. This strategy would also need more promotion for the unique flavours which would end up increasing the break-even point. The first alternative, revitalizing the marmalade flavours, was rejected because the marmalade market has been declining steeply for the past years, and is assumed to continue in the same manner. Within a few years, the marmalade market may be virtually non-existent. Since E.D. Smith would be the new company in the marmalade market, they would not have any customer loyalty in this segment, no contracts with retailers for shelf-space so there would be many difficulties with this market. Implementation Plan To implement the plan of reducing our product line to the six flavours mentioned above, by halting production of all the other flavours immediately. The time to transition production facilities will be approximately three months. During this time, the facilities and equipment that is being used to produce the flavours that are being discontinued have to be prepared to start production of the five continuing flavours. Distribution will also have to change, the suppliers from the produce that will no longer be needed must be contacted and contracts terminated. E.D. Smith will need to find new suppliers of the produce that will still be needed, strawberries, raspberries, lemon, blueberry, and apricot, as the company will need to make more of those flavours and their current suppliers can’t be expected to be able to increase the amount of produce that they are selling to E.D. Smith right away. After the production has been switched, the new marketing needs to be addressed. It should take 9 months in total for the marketing mix to be converted to the new strategy. The packaging will need to be changed on the product to show people how to use the jam as a cake filling and in other things such as baked goods. The promotion to bring awareness to the multiple uses and possibilities for this product will need to start at this time. Television commercials or booths in grocery stores would be useful in this situation. This promotion should start a week before the new packaging is released to bring awareness to the uses of the jams before the rebranding of the product line. This will ensure it sticks in people’s minds. The idea will be implanted into their mind when they see a commercial or the booth in the grocery store. Then soon after, when they purchase the product again, they will see the new label with instructions for alternative uses and that will trigger the memory from before. They will be more tempted to try the product in a different use. If we can get our customers to start using the product as a pie filling or in their desserts, that increases the size of the market and causes them to consume more of the same product, one of the ways to increase revenue and profit. Appendix A Decision-making Matrices Used to Access the Three Alternative Strategies Weight #1 (discont. +pie) #2 (specialty) #5 (marmalade) Increase Revenues 2 1x2=2 Assuming new revenues from cake filling will be greater than lost revenues from discontinued products 3x2=6 Assuming we will generate new revenue from these flavours as they will be places at a premium price as well 1x2=2 L.S leaving so we can try to get their old customers. This may be a 2 because of the low competition? Risk-free 2 2x2=4 Defensive tactic by reducing the lines we carry, some risk in the new branding 1x2=2 Offensive tactic, unknown how customers will respond 2x2=4 L.S leaving, market share up for grabs. Marmalade declining market Cost of implementing this plan 1 2x1=2 1x1=1 Costs relieved Huge costs from reducing new recipe, products will be new packaging, spent on new etc branding 2x1=2 Costs with reinstating the product manufacturing costs, etc. Short implementation time 1 3x1=3 Discontinuing will be relatively fast, re-branding a bit longer 1x1=1 New product entirely 2x1=2 Old product coming back Increase in Brand Awareness 1 3x1=3 New market, some money on promo 1x1=1 1x1=1 14 11 11 TOTAL NOTES: Strengths: 1) First pure jam produced in Canada (if we want to position this as a strength maybe restate it as a branding strength. I.e. people know and trust ED Smith, been around a long time) - known for ‘pure’ jams and jelly - also known for its diet jam lines 2) new product lines - multiple product lines - diversified risks - diet products, bulk pie fillings, vegetable juice - in multiple industries (institutional products, olives, pickles, specialty products, chili sauce relish) 3)modern, efficient manufacturing capability, able to adjust to new trends and and changing markets - computers aid in controlling operations - streamlined production process 4) company handles its own shipping (why is this a strength?) 5) management: team spirit promoted, ensuring good labour relations -> innovation - providing an open space (“open door policy”) for employees to voice their opinions and concerns - employee advancement encouraged: subsidized courses offered - used local domestic [Canadian] produce as much as possible - retail selling price very similar to that of competitors (not sure this is a strength, more so a fact) External Analysis Opportunity: Switching the private labelling to square bottles ○ (as this is being put forth by private carriers it can be regarded as a threat or an opportunity - what do y’all think. also it can be seen as an alternative strategy maybe. kinda confused about this one) ■ I think it’s more of an alternative strategy than an opportunity Strategies #1 #1 - open an operation in BC or Alberta #2 - Promotion -flag down a chain to increase awareness 1. defensive posture- eliminate some of the varieties a. keep strawberry, raspberry, lemon which account for almost 80% of sales b. possible risk of under-diversification, possible risk of environmental conditions devastating crops c. keep flavours that have fewer competitors (apricot, blueberry) d. Use relieved capital on promotion strategies e. Rebranding in the past (label design - 1974) which halted their decline in sales Side note For Implementation i guess Include supplementary product with the bottle (measuring cup in the cap) 2. focus on unique flavours of speciality jams and jellies a. new flavour had to sell at least 4000 cases to break even b. profit margin on each jar would be greater c. $68000 for new case (what does this mean??) d. cons- most likely need promotion to get market to embrace new product line e. Would need to develop new recipes f. Would need to do more market research to see what flavours would be a success (we do not have capital for this) g. risky 3. Relaunch or reformulate the product a. change packaging and branding or change the entire product (ex. formula for making the jams) 4. launch jams/jellies into United States a. within 80 mile radius of Winona to keep shipping costs low b. pros- shipping costs low, niche, already well established so good distribution channels c. cons- heavier competition in US, unknown market, Buffalo sucks. 5. revitalize Orange and Three Fruit Marmalade a. marmalade is a declining market b. ends may not justify the means c. opportunity Laura Secord is leaving d. e. To make the product would we need more capacity at our manufacturing plants or do we have space? Would we need to cut other lines to make room? Would we use the same types of jars? f. marmalade is a declining market 8% PER YEAR DEMAND → ends may not justify the means g. Could be positioned as an old-fashioned line (premium) h. opportunity Laura Secord is leaving - can take their market share of marmalade (tastes tests ubducated that their flavour was equal to ed smith) (same target market: consumers looking for better prodcuts with better tasts), will only have 2 big competitors (Kraft and Shiriff) i. Rumors shelf space is going to decrease for marmalade & jam/jellies so this may cannibalize some of our shelf space j. Introduced a new line in the past (diet - 1978) which halted their decline in sales 6. offensive move- launch second line of E.D. Smith jam and jelly line a. regular and premium/old-fashioned lines i. different price points, packages, labels, recipes, separate promotion support 7. Buy Laura Secord’s Jam product line? a. acquire market share Implementation Plan ● Length of implementation - halt production immediately, lag time up to 3 months to switch production, implementing newly branded cake fillings 9 months? ● Stop production of (obscure flavours black currant, damson plum, cherry) ● Use lines for production of focussed flavours ● ………..