West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 1 West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Edited by Jim Hanson Research Assistance by Kathryn Starkey Thanks for using our Policy, LD, Public Forum, and Extemp Materials. Please don’t share this material with anyone outside of your school including via print, email, dropbox, google drive, the web, etc. We’re a small non-profit; please help us continue to provide our products. Contact us at jim@wcdebate.com www.wcdebate.com We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 2 WEST COAST DEBATE Public Forum February 2018 Capital Gains Tax Main File Finding Arguments in this File Use the table of contents on the next pages to find the evidence you need or the navigation bar on the left. We have tried to make the table of contents as easy to use as possible. Using the arguments in this File We encourage you to be familiar with the evidence you use. Highlight (underline) the key lines you will use in the evidence. Cut evidence from our files, incorporate your and others’ research and make new files. File the evidence so that you can easily retrieve it when you need it in debate rounds. 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Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 3 Table of Contents WEST COAST DEBATE .......................................................................................................................... 2 Table of Contents ............................................................................................................................... 3 Resolved: The United States Should Abolish the Capital Gains Tax. .............................................5 Definitions .................................................................................................................................7 United States...................................................................................................................................... 8 Should ................................................................................................................................................ 9 Abolish ............................................................................................................................................. 10 Capital Gains Tax .............................................................................................................................. 11 PRO Case .................................................................................................................................. 12 Contention 1: Capital gains tax should be abolished because it taxes individuals and corporations twice for their assets. ................................................................................................................................ 13 Contention 2: The capital gains tax deters small business from investing, disallowing growth throughout the economy. ................................................................................................................. 15 Rebuttal to: Capital gains tax is needed to tax the rich. ...................................................................... 17 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax is good for the middle class. ........................................................... 18 Rebuttal to: History proves the capital gains tax is a good thing. ........................................................ 19 Rebuttal to: Small businesses benefit from the capital gains tax. ....................................................... 21 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax promotes income and economic equality. ...................................... 22 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax helps the economy. ....................................................................... 23 Rebuttal to: Abolishing the capital gains tax is a bad idea. ................................................................. 25 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax is good for spurring investment. ..................................................... 26 CON Case ................................................................................................................................. 28 Contention 1: Abolishing the capital gains tax would be detrimental to the U.S. deficit. ..................... 29 Contention 2: Economists are wrong – abolishing the capital gains tax hurts the economy, not helps it. ........................................................................................................................................................ 31 Rebuttal to: Capital gains tax is not needed to tax the rich ................................................................. 33 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax is bad for the middle class. ............................................................. 34 Rebuttal to: History proves the capital gains tax is a bad thing. .......................................................... 36 We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 4 Rebuttal to: Small businesses are hurt by the capital gains tax. .......................................................... 37 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax hurts income and economic equality. ............................................. 39 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax hurts the economy. ........................................................................ 40 Rebuttal to: Abolishing the capital gains tax is a good idea. ............................................................... 42 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax stifles investment. ......................................................................... 43 We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 5 Resolved: The United States Should Abolish the Capital Gains Tax. The debate about the capital gains tax has been around for decades. Economists, political figures, and many business owners have argued about what an appropriate, if any, capital gains tax in the United States should look like in order to be best for the economy, both in the short term and the long term. One of the long-term benefits of abolishing the capital gains tax concerns investment. When companies have to pay taxes when they sell their assets, companies lose out on profits from that sale, despite paying taxes when they purchased the asset in the first place. Because of this, companies have less capital to reinvest in other businesses or new ventures. It also deters more risky investments, which could produce further economic gain. This tends to hurt small business owners the worst, disallowing them to grow in the longterm. Investment is an important element of innovation and is key to a growing economy. When investments can happen in areas like the technology sector, it means we develop faster, more efficient, technological methods for every facet of our lives – healthcare, infrastructure, AI, military, and the list goes on and on. Investments in these sectors are less likely when companies pay a capital gains tax. Another problem with the capital gains tax is that it is essentially a double tax for those that control the assets. When you purchase an asset, you pay taxes during the transaction. With a capital gains tax, if you sold that asset and made a profit, you’re taxed on the difference. Because an asset gained value should not mean that the asset ought to be taxed by the government again. This is one of the more short-term issues with the tax. For decades, presidents have offered cuts to the capital gains tax or even had advisors that supported its abolishment, like with the topic for this month. Those economists weren’t wrong. Evidence below suggests that abolishing the rate would work akin to drastic cuts in the past, all of which have been effective in the past. Additionally, any debate about the economy discusses the inequality that exists in the United States. The pro can argue that abolishing the capital gains tax is better for the lower and middleclass than keeping it around. Those people and businesses in those brackets end up carrying a larger burden of the revenue from all capital gains than the wealthiest Americans. Abolishing the tax means that some equity is brought back to the economy. As the con, there is an interesting framing argument you can make to give you more ground than the pro. The resolution is very explicit with what the pro must defend – they must defend that the capital gains tax goes away completely – that it is abolished – that it no longer exists. As the con, you can defend anything that isn’t abolishment. Essentially, you can defend a multitude of things that proves that abolishment is a bad idea. If a bulk of your evidence suggests that the current corporate tax rate is a good thing as-is, you can defend that the current rate is better than abolishment. More narrowly and perhaps more interestingly, as the con you can also argue that a reduction or an increase in the corporate tax rate is better than its abolishment. As the con, you can essentially defend anything that isn’t abolishment, which gives you a lot of options in terms of picking your offense with this topic. With framing arguments and considerations aside, there is a lot of evidence in the rest of the file that can be used for either a reduced or a current capital gains tax, so you have plenty of arguments that hit at the core of the pro case – that abolishment is the best option. First, income inequality is a major issue in the United States. Especially when it comes to tax code, there are many barriers in place to disallow low or middle-income earners to succeed in today’s economic climate. Many economists argue that the capital gains tax is a way of leveling the economic playing field. Along those lines, capital gains taxes have another added benefit that ensures the wealthiest Americans still contribute to government revenue. Evidence below from economic gurus like Warren Buffet argue that the rich need to pay taxes, and even now, some of the tax rates are not high enough. Some of the richest people in the country only pay taxes in the form of capital gains. If the capital We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 6 gains tax was abolished, the tax burden then shifts to the lower and middle-income brackets, which is inherently unfair. This could even further the income inequality divide in the U.S., leading to further poverty and economic instability. One of the problems with abolishing the capital gains tax is that the pro won’t be able to answer the question – how is the government able to make up that revenue? Billions of dollars of the U.S. budget are a revenue source that comes directly from capital gains taxes. If the government were to abolish this 28% tax, the government would have to find a way to deal with that loss of revenue. Typically, such a problem would not have a solution, and the U.S. would have to deficit spend, which causes a whole host of problems for law makers. During the pro rebuttals, you’ll need to prepare for any of the framing arguments from the con. Make sure you stick them to one line of argumentation when it comes to whether the tax should be raised, slightly lowered, or stay the same. Perhaps forcing the con to stick to the status quo can be argued as the most fair division of ground – either abolish the tax or keep it the same. One of the things the con will do in this debate is say that the capital gains tax is necessary for income and general economic equality. The problem, though, is many economists do not think the capital gains tax is an integral part of the reasons income inequality exists in the first place. In the rebuttals for the con, you have to decide which pieces of evidence are your strongest and finalize your line of defense against abolishment of the tax. You can defend a decrease, an increase, or the status quo, but in the rebuttal, you must refine your scope and pick one strategy here. Depending on which you pick, be sure to compare both the short-term and long-term effects of abolishment versus your stance. The pro is going to focus on how reductions in the past can be indicative of the benefits of abolishing the tax. This evidence is invalid – it doesn’t directly demonstrate that abolishing the tax is good in and of itself. Additionally, you’ll have to answer this double taxation argument. The assets that are taxed for capital gains may have been taxed before, but their increased value had not yet been taxed. When the richest people in the U.S. keep selling assets and making money, it seems that they should have to pay tax on the added value of their assets, so they can contribute more capital to the economy. It seems only fair to help maintain any semblance of equity in the U.S. economy. At the end of the debate, one of the more important weighing arguments concerns timeframe. You have to think about which could be more necessary – the short or the long-term effects of abolishing the capital gains tax. It is a way for you to frame which ramifications are the most important to the judge at the end of the debate. For the pro, you’ll want to focus on some of the larger implications for abolishing the tax – the new, possible investment for all. For small businesses, this means that individuals can grow their companies, invest in efficiency mechanisms, hire more of the workforce, and the like. This works as both a short-term and long-term implication for abolishing the tax. Focusing on income and economic equality. For the con, there are a few things to focus on. First, you need to cast doubt on whether abolishing the tax will even be feasible. There is no evidence to suggest this works. Next, you build on that foundation, showing that billions will be added to the deficit, which can’t be recovered, hurting the economy both in the long and the short term. The argument crescendos to ensure that you demonstrate that no matter the alternative – raising, lowering, maintaining – abolishing the capital gains tax is a terrible idea. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 7 Definitions We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 8 United States The United States contains all 50 federated states and territories. Black’s Law Dictionary, 2018 United States, http://thelawdictionary.org/united-states/ (accessed 1/3/18) Made up of the 50 federated states, American Samoa, District of Columbia, Johnston Island, Guam, Wake and Midway Islands, Northern Marianas and US Virgin Islands. The United States is the 50 states in North America. Cambridge Dictionary, 2018 United States, http://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/united-states?q=united+states+ (accessed 1/3/18) the United States of America, a nation consisting of 50 states, all but one (Hawaii) in North America. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 9 Should To express a condition or to indicate a duty. Dictionary.com, 2018 Should, http://www.dictionary.com/browse/should?s=t (accessed 1/3/18) 2. (used to express condition): Were he to arrive, I should be pleased. 3. must; ought (used to indicate duty, propriety, or expediency): You should not do that. 4. would (used to make a statement less direct or blunt): I should think you would apologize. To express obligation and what is probable. Merriam-Webster, 2018 Should, http://www.merriamwebster.com/dictionary/should?utm_campaign=sd&utm_medium=serp&utm_source=jsonld (accessed 1/3/18) 1 —used in auxiliary function to express condition <if he should leave his father, his father would die — Genesis 44:22(Revised Standard Version)> 2 —used in auxiliary function to express obligation, propriety, or expediency <'tis commanded I should do so — Shakespeare> <this is as it should be — H. L. Savage> <you should brush your teeth after each meal> 3 —used in auxiliary function to express futurity from a point of view in the past <realized that she should have to do most of her farm work before sunrise — Ellen Glasgow> 4 —used in auxiliary function to express what is probable or expected <with an early start, they should be here by noon> 5 —used in auxiliary function to express a request in a polite manner or to soften direct statement <I should suggest that a guide…is the first essential — L. D. Reddick> To indicate what is necessary, desirable, or important. Cambridge Dictionary, 2018 Should, http://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/should (accessed 1/3/18) used to express that it is necessary, desirable, or important to perform the action of the following verb: He should have told me about the change in plans. People like that should go to jail. Where should we meet tonight? used to express that the action of the main verb is probable We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 10 Abolish To abolish is to end the effect of something, like a law. Merriam-Webster Dictionary, 2018 “Abolish,” Merriam-Webster Dictionary, https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/abolish (accessed 1/7/18) : to end the observance or effect of (something, such as a law) : to completely do away with (something) : annul, abolish a law, abolish slavery To abolish is to put an end to something. Cambridge Dictionary, 2018 “Abolish,” Cambridge Dictionary, https://dictionary.cambridge.org/us/dictionary/english/abolish (accessed 1/7/18) to put an end to something, such as an organization, rule, or custom. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 11 Capital Gains Tax A capital gain is income derived from the sale of an investment, which is taxable. Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, and Phil Kerpen, research assistant at the Club for Growth, October 11, 2001 “A Capital Gains Tax Cut: The Key to Economic Recovery,” The Institute for Policy Innovation, http://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/a-capital-gains-tax-cut-the-key-to-economic-recovery (accessed 1/4/18) A capital gain is income derived from the sale of an investment.2 A capital investment can be a home, a farm, a ranch, a family business, or a work of art, for instance.3 In most years slightly less than half of taxable capital gains are realized on the sale of corporate stock. The capital gain is the difference between the money received from selling the asset and the price paid for it. A capital gains tax is the tax on the profit from a fixed asset. Black’s Law Dictionary, 2018 “Capital Gains Tax,” Black’s Law Dictionary, https://thelawdictionary.org/capital-gains-tax/ (accessed 1/7/18) When a fixed asset is sold at a profit, the profit may be liable to a tax called Capital Gains Tax. Calculating the tax can be a complicated affair (capital gains allowances, adjustments for inflation and different computations depending on the age of the asset are all considerations you will need to take on board). We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 12 PRO Case It is because current tax law is unfair and unnecessary, we stand in affirmation of the topic Resolved: The United States should abolish the capital gains tax. We define Abolish as: To abolish is to end the effect of something, like a law. Merriam-Webster Dictionary, 2018 “Abolish,” Merriam-Webster Dictionary, https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/abolish (accessed 1/7/18) : to end the observance or effect of (something, such as a law) : to completely do away with (something) : annul, abolish a law, abolish slavery And Capital Gains Tax as: A capital gain is income derived from the sale of an investment, which is taxable. Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, and Phil Kerpen, research assistant at the Club for Growth, October 11, 2001 “A Capital Gains Tax Cut: The Key to Economic Recovery,” The Institute for Policy Innovation, http://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/a-capital-gains-tax-cut-the-key-to-economic-recovery (accessed 1/4/18) A capital gain is income derived from the sale of an investment.2 A capital investment can be a home, a farm, a ranch, a family business, or a work of art, for instance.3 In most years slightly less than half of taxable capital gains are realized on the sale of corporate stock. The capital gain is the difference between the money received from selling the asset and the price paid for it. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 13 Contention 1: Capital gains tax should be abolished because it taxes individuals and corporations twice for their assets. Capital gains taxes are basically double taxation. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) There is one other large inequity of the capital gains tax. It represents a form of double taxation on capital formation. This is how economists Victor Canto and Harvey Hirschorn explain the situation: A government can choose to tax either the value of an asset or its yield, but it should not tax both. Capital gains are literally the appreciation in the value of an existing asset. Any appreciation reflects merely an increase in the after-tax rateof return on the asset. The taxes implicit in the asset's after-tax earnings are already fully reflected in the asset's price or change in price. Any additional tax is strictly double taxation. Currently, those with capital gains are taxed twice, shifting the burden to capital. Thomas L. Hungerford, Specialist in Public Finance, December 29, 2011 “Changes in the Distribution of Income Among Tax Filers Between 1996 and 2006: The Role of Labor Income, Capital Income, and Tax Policy,” Congressional Research Service Report for Congress, https://fas.org/sgp/crs/misc/R42131.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) Individual taxpayers are not directly subject to the U.S. corporate income tax, but may indirectly bear the burden of the corporate income tax. One justification offered for lower tax rates on capital gains and dividends is this income can be taxed twice—once under the corporate income tax and again under the individual income tax. It is likely that most or all of the burden of the corporate income tax falls on capital. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 14 The capital gains tax is not indexed for inflation, causing investors to sometimes pay far too much in taxes. Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, and Phil Kerpen, research assistant at the Club for Growth, October 11, 2001 “A Capital Gains Tax Cut: The Key to Economic Recovery,” The Institute for Policy Innovation, http://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/a-capital-gains-tax-cut-the-key-to-economic-recovery (accessed 1/4/18) One of the least fair features of the capital gains tax is that it taxes gains that may be attributable only to price changes, not real gains. That is because the capital gains tax, unlike most other elements of the U.S. tax code, is not indexed for inflation. The nonpartisan Tax Foundation reports that that can have major distortion effects on what an individual pays in capital gains taxes and can—indeed, often does—lead to circumstances in which investors “pay effective tax rates that substantially exceed 100 percent of their gain.” A capital gains tax is basically taxing someone’s income twice, at the corporate and individual levels. Mike Whalen, Contributor to U.S. News, September 28, 2012, “Eliminate the Capital Gains Tax,” U.S. News and World Report, https://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/economic-intelligence/2012/09/28/eliminate-taxes-on-capitalgains (accessed 1/4/18) The reality is that Romney, and others like him who derive significant capital gains or dividends, has already been taxed by the time they receive this income, which is taxed around 15 percent. But this income gets taxed twice, once at the corporate level and then again at the individual level. Added together, the total tax rate may, in some cases, reach 44.75 percent. The bulk of the tax payments were lopped off before the investor received a penny. The seemingly lower tax rate is simply an artifact of how taxes are calculated rather than a reflection of the actual taxes paid. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 15 Contention 2: The capital gains tax deters small business from investing, disallowing growth throughout the economy. The capital gains tax is a burden for businesses, especially since the recession. Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House, and Emily Renwick, writer for The American, August 13, 2009 “Capital Gains Tax: An Argument for Repeal,” The American http://www.aei.org/publication/capital-gainstax-an-argument-for-repeal/ (accessed 1/4/18) The capital gains tax is an unequivocal burden on the capital we need to grow, prosper, and compete in a 21st century global economy. Any American or business that sees an appreciation of the value of their income (capital) must pay up to 39.6 percent in additional taxes on this appreciation (depending on the length of the investment and the marginal tax rate of the individual or business). Considering inflation, the effective rate paid on investments is even higher. As we are coming out of the recession, the United States should do everything within its power to create a financial environment that allows businesses to rapidly grow and prosper. There are more IPOs and start ups without high capital gains taxes. Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, and Phil Kerpen, research assistant at the Club for Growth, October 11, 2001 “A Capital Gains Tax Cut: The Key to Economic Recovery,” The Institute for Policy Innovation, http://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/a-capital-gains-tax-cut-the-key-to-economic-recovery (accessed 1/4/18) Not only are there more small business start-ups and IPOs during periods of low capital gains taxes, but also the stock of smaller firms appears to outperform that of large corporations during periods of low capital gains taxes. New research by Merrill Lynch (1995) demonstrates that over the past 25 years small and medium-sized firms have benefitted more from reductions in capital gains taxes than have large, established corporations. In its innovative study, Merrill Lynch constructed an index of the performance of small-capitalization stocks relative to that of large corporate stocks (measured using the Standard & Poor’s 500 index). That ratio was then compared to the capital gains tax rate. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 16 The capital gains tax is a wealth destroyer, deterring investment. Rod D. Martin is Founder and Chairman of TheVanguard.Org. A former policy director to Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, April 17, 2006 Everybody's Doing It: Abolish The Capital Gains Tax, The Free Republic, http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1616598/posts?page=9 (accessed 1/4/18) The capital gains tax is a wealth destroyer, but in a much more insidious way than just this. The logic is straightforward. Anytime government taxes something, you get less of it. So when government taxes capital formation -- people investing their money so businesses can expand, research and hire -- it creates a colossal roadblock to entrepreneurship and a huge disincentive for investment, the essential building blocks of prosperity for any family or nation. Without taxing capital gains, investment funds can go to new business startups instead, which is key to the economy. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) One of the potential benefits from reducing the capital gains tax is to divert investment funds to new business startups, particularly in the high-tech industries--where investments tend to involve high risk but have potentially large payoffs. That is particularly vital to the economy because studies indicate that small businesses (20 employees or fewer) create anywhere from 50 percent to 80 percent of all new jobs in the United States. Why do investors put seed capital into high-risk small start-up companies rather than more established firms or mutual funds with more stable rates of return? The answer is that start-up firms, despite their higher risk, offer much higher potential payoffs. Here is an example of a small business that turned into a highly profitable gazelle in the 1980s, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. Back in 1985 a little company called Novell Inc.--which makes hardware and software used to link personal computers-raised $5.8 million in an initial public offering of its shares. A year later it raised an additional $18 million. Since 1985, Novell shares have shot up by more than 10,000 percent. If the original investors had held on to all of those shares, that $24 million investment would now be worth $1.5 billion. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 17 Rebuttal to: Capital gains tax is needed to tax the rich. Despite popular belief, the capital gains tax does not affect the 1%. Primarily, it impacts lower and middleclass investors and families. Research shows that if the rate is lowered or eliminated, then the rich will actually pay more in taxes. If the rate is lowered, the rich will pay more in taxes. Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, and Phil Kerpen, research assistant at the Club for Growth, October 11, 2001 “A Capital Gains Tax Cut: The Key to Economic Recovery,” The Institute for Policy Innovation, http://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/a-capital-gains-tax-cut-the-key-to-economic-recovery (accessed 1/4/18) Paradoxically, if the capital gains tax rate is lowered, the rich may pay more taxes than they do now. The reason is that wealthy Americans have hundreds of billions of dollars outside the reach of the tax collector as a result of the lock-in effect. They are avoiding the tax by holding their assets. The CBO found in 1988 that the share of total capital gains tax collections from the wealthy rises when the tax rate is low, and falls when the rate is high. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 18 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax is good for the middle class. The capital gains tax is a hindrance for many middle class earners. They end up taking most of the tax burden and have less of a chance to reinvest their money, which disallows them upward mobility. The capital gains tax is bad for the American dream. The capital gains tax only hurts the middle class more than redistributing wealth. David Goldman, Managing Director of Bear Stearns and Co. Inc., and Evan Kalimtgis, Vice President in the Financial Analytics Structured Transactions Group at Bear Stearns and Co. Inc., June 1, 1995 “Capital Gains: A Tax on the Middle Class,” The Manhattan Institute, https://www.manhattaninstitute.org/html/capital-gains-tax-middle-class-5605.html (accessed 1/4/18) The capital gains tax falls overwhelmingly on the middle class, specifically, on savers and entrepreneurs, the most thrifty and industrious members of the middle class. It is not a means of redistributing wealth from the rich to the poor: the wealthy may for the most part avoid the tax through well-known and commonly used techniques. Because the upward-striving middle class is the key to economic growth, the capital gains tax harms the economy by creating a disincentive to thrift and investment. The capital gains tax should be cut substantially or, better, abolished altogether. Capital gains taxes hurt the poorest the worst, which accounts to being a tax on the American dream. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) Economics consultant Jude Wanniski recently told the Senate Finance Committee, When the government puts a high tax on capital gains, the people who lose the most from a high rate are the poorest, the youngest, those at the beginning of their careers, those who are furthest from the sources of capital. . . . The people who ultimately benefit from a capital gains tax cut are those who have no wealth, but aspire to it. The capital gains tax has been described as a tax on the American dream. For many low- and moderate-income workers, one of the few ways of accumulating wealth is through investment in stocks and businesses. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 19 Rebuttal to: History proves the capital gains tax is a good thing. Throughout the history of the United States, the government has tinkered with the capital gains tax rate and looked at it compared to its allies and enemies abroad. Not only do many of the most important economists agree that the rate should be abolished, the U.S. is one of the only industrialized nations to still have this tax. Without a stable plan for economic growth, things like the capital gains tax could be bad for U.S. leadership. Economist Alan Greenspan says the appropriate capital gains tax rate is zero, history proves. Steven Mufson, Reporter for the Washington Post, and Jia Lynn Yang is the deputy national security editor at The Washington Post, September 11, 2011 "Capital gains tax rates benefiting wealthy are protected by both parties," The Washington Post, https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/jia-lynn-yang/?utm_term=.b5bb96151f0b (accessed 1/5/18) In 1997 congressional testimony, Greenspan said the “major impact” of the capital gains tax, “as best I can judge, is to impede entrepreneurial activity and capital formation.” “The appropriate capital gains tax rate was zero,” he added. Greenspan’s thinking had been around for decades. The same approach was adopted in 1921, just before a stock market boom, when the U.S. government lowered the capital gains rate for the first time. Over the decades, the rate fluctuated but remained lower than the rate on wage income. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 20 High capital costs are a barrier to growth and are bad for U.S. leadership, especially as the U.S.'s costs are higher than any of our competitors. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) Economists Robert N. McCauley and Steven A. Zimmer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston find that capital costs for various standard investments in plant, equipment, research and development, and land in the United States are higher in almost all cases than in the United Kingdom, Germany, and Japan. For a factory with a 40-year life, for example, the cost of capital in the United States is 104 percent higher than in Japan. Abnormally high capital costs in the United States are increasingly a barrier to growth and global U.S. leadership. A 1991 report by the Manufacturers' Alliance for Productivity and Innovation compared capital costs for large industries in the United States with similar costs in Japan. The report comes to this sobering assessment: Japanese tax and economic policies aim to keep the cost of capital low, and as a consequence, the cost of capital in Japan is one-half that for U.S. firms. This lower cost of capital has encouraged Japanese firms to invest, which in turn has meant a higher rate of productivity and increased competitiveness in comparison to U.S. firms. If U.S. policy fails to stimulate investment and renders U.S. industry unable to match the productivity performance of Japan and a number of other industrial nations, there is no question that U.S. industry will become less competitive in world markets. In sum, the United States cannot compete and win in the global economy of the 21st century with a tax code that repels capital. Historically, reducing capital gains taxes is a good thing for economic growth and producing good, stable economic policy. Rea Hederman, Former Director for the Center for Data Analysis and Lazof Family Fellow, and William Beach, Senior Associate Fellow, February 16, 2006 “Make the Dividend and Capital Gains Tax Rates Permanent to Keep the Economy Growing,” The Heritage Foundation, http://www.heritage.org/taxes/report/make-the-dividend-and-capital-gains-taxrates-permanent-keep-the-economy-growing (accessed 1/7/18) Reducing dividend and capital gains taxes succeeded in supporting stronger economic growth and making dividend payments more popular to businesses. After the tax cut, many companies such as Microsoft began offering dividend payments or increased their dividend payouts. In addition, extending these tax rates or making them permanent would reinforce a central element of good economic policy: predictable and stable tax law. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 21 Rebuttal to: Small businesses benefit from the capital gains tax. When small businesses are not paying taxes on their capital gains, they are more willing and likely to invest that money back in their businesses. Without that revenue stream, most small businesses lack the capital to do substantial investment in their businesses like increasing its labor force or modernizing their production processes. Capital gains tax cuts are critical for American entrepreneurship and small businesses, especially in the technology sector. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) To summarize, a capital gains tax cut is critical to American entrepreneurs and small business owners because 1. most high-risk small business start-ups receive the bulk of their seed money from informal investors who are subject to the capital gains tax; 2. over the past 25 years higher capital gains taxes have been associated with a drying up of investment capital for small and growing businesses, and lower capital gains taxes have produced substantial increases in business start-ups and financings; and 3. a capital gains tax cut will particularly benefit America's new high-technology companies, which have a voracious appetite for investment capital in their start-up stages; those firms tend to be financed by a combination of informal investors and venture capital--both of which are highly influenced by the capital gains tax rate. Without capital gains, businesses would have more of an incentive to invest capital, creating growth. Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House, and Emily Renwick, writer for The American, August 13, 2009 “Capital Gains Tax: An Argument for Repeal,” The American http://www.aei.org/publication/capital-gainstax-an-argument-for-repeal/ (accessed 1/4/18) First and foremost, businesses would have more of an incentive to invest capital in all areas of their business, including labor, capital, and research and development. Moreover, businesses would be able to finance their debt at a lower cost if capital gains were not taxed. In today’s market, businesses seek out new stocks or bonds to finance their investments. Those assets will be more desirable if investors do not have to pay the capital gains tax on the revenue gained from the investment. As these corporate assets become more appealing, this will drive down the cost of capital for companies, facilitating investment by companies so that they can grow and hire more employees. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 22 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax promotes income and economic equality. There is a multitude of factors throughout our economy that are the reason income inequality and other inequities exist. It is not the fault of the capital gains tax. Cutting the capital gains tax would actually be better for economic equality for the lower and middle-income brackets overall. Capital gains tax cuts improve the entire economy, allowing for investments and stopping hurting low and middle-income investors. The Heritage Foundation, October 11, 2001 “Capital Gains Tax Cuts: Myths and Facts,” The Heritage Foundation, http://www.heritage.org/taxes/report/capital-gains-tax-cuts-myths-and-facts (accessed 1/7/18) Capital gains tax reductions stimulate economic growth, which benefits the entire country. As President Kennedy noted, "A rising tide lifts all boats." Capital gains taxes disproportionately hurt the elderly, low and middle-income investors who have less discretion over the timing of their capital gains. Most people who report capital gains do not have high annual incomes. People with high incomes are most sensitive to capital gains tax rates, because they possess the most flexibility and means to avoid high tax rates. When capital gains tax rates are high, people with high incomes do not sell their assets and realize their gains. High-income people pay a greater percentage of capital gains taxes when capital gains tax rates are low than when capital gains tax rates are high. High capital gains tax rates make capital scarce. When capital is scarce it goes to safe investments. Low capital gains tax rates make capital abundant. When capital is plentiful it goes to "riskier" investments - such as inner cities and disadvantaged areas. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 23 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax helps the economy. The capital gains tax is not the only thing that could affect the economy. Despite arguments to the contrary, the capital gains tax is bad for international competition, as growth is hindered. The capital gains tax does not help our economy overall. The U.S. has a higher capital gains tax than any of its global competitors, which disallows it from competing for economic growth against its rival, China. Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House, and Emily Renwick, writer for The American, August 13, 2009 “Capital Gains Tax: An Argument for Repeal,” The American http://www.aei.org/publication/capital-gainstax-an-argument-for-repeal/ (accessed 1/4/18) Part of our economic problem is that the United States has one of the highest tax rates on capital gains in the world. Many industrial countries have no taxes on capital gains including Austria, Belgium, Germany, Greece, Luxembourg, Mexico, New Zealand, Portugal, and Turkey. Countries that do not impose capital gains taxes on stocks include Argentina, China, Greece, Hong Kong, Israel, Malaysia, Mexico, the Netherlands, Pakistan, the Philippines, Poland, Singapore, Spain, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, and Thailand. In order to compete with economic growth in Shanghai, America must match China’s 0 percent capital gains rate. Reducing capital gains would be good for economic growth, as more investment would occur. Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House, and Emily Renwick, writer for The American, August 13, 2009 “Capital Gains Tax: An Argument for Repeal,” The American http://www.aei.org/publication/capital-gainstax-an-argument-for-repeal/ (accessed 1/4/18) Past efforts to decrease the capital gains tax rate have been influenced by convincing evidence that a cut would increase economic growth. The investor class is integral to a functioning economy and investors’ decisions are influenced by the tax system in which they operate. Likewise, assets are in part priced with the calculation that if the stock is sold, the investor will have to pay tax on realized capital gains. As a result, buyers, knowing that they have to pay taxes, reduce the price that they are willing to pay for assets, thus driving down stock prices. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 24 The output of tax cuts has positive effects, top economists prove. James Pethokoukis, columnist and blogger at the American Enterprise Institute, September 17, 2012 "Sorry, New York Times, tax cuts sure do lead to economic growth, http://www.aei.org/publication/sorrynew-york-times-tax-cuts-sure-do-lead-to-economic-growth/ (accessed 1/5/18) And one thing policymakers and journalists — and voters — should be sure of is that cutting tax rates can be a pretty effective way to boost economic growth. And raising tax rates hurts economic growth. I could point to numerous studies and historical examples. But here’s just one, a study from Christina Romer, President Obama’s former top economist: “Tax increases appear to have a very large, sustained, and highly significant negative impact on output … [and] tax cuts have very large and persistent positive output effects.” Getting rid of capital gains taxes would not be as expensive as proponents of the tax say, and it would be phased out over time, ensuring to implications for tax liability. . Karen A. Campbell, Ph.D., Policy Analyst for The Heritage Foundation, and Guinevere Nell is Research Programmer in the Center for Data Analysis at The Heritage Foundation, February 3, 2009 “Sustainable Economic Stimulus: Repeal Capital Gains and Dividend Taxes,” The Heritage Foundation http://www.heritage.org/trade/report/sustainable-economic-stimulus-repeal-capital-gains-and-dividendtaxes (accessed 1/7/18) The cost of a longer-term repeal of the capital gains and dividend taxes is not as expensive as some policymakers might imagine. Analysts at The Heritage Foundation simulated the effect of the repeal in terms of static revenue losses and macroeconomic growth. The Individual Income Tax Model shows that lost revenue in 2008 would be $74 billion if losses can still be deducted up to $3,000 for the current year. This lost revenue would cost about $370 billion over five years--much less than the $850 billion over three years currently being debated in Congress. The repeal of the capital loss deduction could also be phased in over this time, reducing the total cost in subsequent years. Tax filers incurring losses in 2008 based on past decisions could deduct losses, but future losses and gains would not affect tax liability. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 25 Rebuttal to: Abolishing the capital gains tax is a bad idea. Many economists agree; abolishing the capital gains tax would be a good thing overall. It could promote growth in the economy, which helps every sector. Economic growth benefits all income groups, and a capital gains tax disallows this. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) The equity issue has been used by opponents of the capital gains tax cut as a smoke screen to avoid the real issue, economic growth. If a capital gains tax cut generates new investment and new jobs, as most of the evidence suggests, all Americans will reap the benefit. For example, when the capital gains tax rate was lowered in 1981, the incomes of all income groups rose and the unemployment rate fell by nearly 3 percentage points by 1986. The rich and the poor alike benefited from the tax law change. The capital gains tax system makes it difficult for businesses and individuals to invest. Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the House, and Emily Renwick, writer for The American, August 13, 2009 “Capital Gains Tax: An Argument for Repeal,” The American http://www.aei.org/publication/capital-gainstax-an-argument-for-repeal/ (accessed 1/4/18) Additionally, because investors have to pay a tax on their gains, they often are penalized for diversifying their investment portfolio with a wide range of investment products. The capital gains tax distorts what the investors’ pre-tax optimal allocation of assets would be, potentially creating more challenges in investment for Americans. Taxing investment gains clearly raises the opportunity cost of asset transactions, leading to various inefficient outcomes. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 26 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax is good for spurring investment. When companies are having to pay capital gains tax, they are less likely to spend capital on investments because the simply lack the capital. Without paying the tax, entrepreneurs are more willing to not only take on more risky investments, but those investments lead to growth, which promotes jobs, wage increases, and better economic output. The capital gains tax deters risky investments. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) Another unfairness of the tax is that individuals are permitted to deduct only a portion of the capital losses that they incur, whereas they must pay taxes on all of the gains. That introduces an unfriendly bias in the tax code against risk taking. When taxpayers undertake risky investments, the government taxes fully any gain that they realize if the investment has a positive return. But the government allows only partial tax deduction (of up to $3,000 per year) if the venture goes sour and results in a lost. A cut would increase investment, output, and real wages. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) If the tax on the return from capital investments--such as stock purchases, new business start-ups, and new plant and equipment for existing firms--is reduced, more of those types of investments will be made. Those risk-taking activities and investments are the key to generating productivity improvements, real capital formation, increased national output, and higher living standards. Cutting capital gains tax rates will, as it has in the past, cause asset values, including stock markets, to rise. The Heritage Foundation, October 11, 2001 “Capital Gains Tax Cuts: Myths and Facts,” The Heritage Foundation, http://www.heritage.org/taxes/report/capital-gains-tax-cuts-myths-and-facts (accessed 1/7/18) Some people claim that lowering capital gains tax rates will cause the stock market to fall, because people would sell their investments. By this silly logic, if people want to increase stock market values, then there should be an increase in capital gains tax rates, because, then investors would be less willing to sell investments. In fact, lowering capital gains tax rates increases the prices of stocks and other assets. Stock markets reflect the collective actions of people looking forward. Lowering the cost of capital by decreasing tax rates on investment returns will increase asset values. For example, the 1997 cut in the top capital gains tax rate from 28 percent to 20 percent increased stock prices by approximately 8 percent. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 27 A decrease in capital gains taxation leads to the lock-in effect, which harms a vendor’s ability to get profit and invest successfully in the future. Lars P. Feld, University of Freiburg and ZEW, Martin Ruf, University of Tübingen and NoTeC, Ulrich Schreiber, University of Mannheim and ZEW, Maximilian Todtenhaupt, University of Mannheim and ZEW, and Johannes Voget, University of Mannheim and ZEW, January 26, 2016 “Taxing Away M&A: The Effect of Corporate Capital Gains Taxes on Acquisition Activity,” CESifo Working Paper Series no. 57.8, p. 1 Capital gains taxation has long been identified as a potential obstacle for the efficient allocation of capital (e.g. Feldstein & Yitzhaki, 1978). Being generally paid upon realization, capital gains taxes impose payments on vendors of stock which these could have deferred otherwise. The resulting lock-in effect raises the vendor’s reservation price and makes a sale less attractive (e.g. Holt & Shelton, 1962; Landsman & Shackelford, 1995). These considerations have direct implications for corporate acquisition activity. Capital gains taxation reduces the net gain of an acquisition deal from the perspective of the vendor firm by triggering a high tax liability on accrued capital gains that have been retained in the target firm. To compensate for this, the vendor demands a higher price and, as a consequence, the deal becomes less attractive and may even fail. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 28 CON Case It is because current tax law is both fair and necessary to ensure equality in our economy, we stand in negation of the Resolved: The United States should abolish the capital gains tax. We define Abolish as: To abolish is to end the effect of something, like a law. Merriam-Webster Dictionary, 2018 “Abolish,” Merriam-Webster Dictionary, https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/abolish (accessed 1/7/18) : to end the observance or effect of (something, such as a law) : to completely do away with (something) : annul, abolish a law, abolish slavery And Capital Gains Tax as: A capital gain is income derived from the sale of an investment, which is taxable. Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, and Phil Kerpen, research assistant at the Club for Growth, October 11, 2001 “A Capital Gains Tax Cut: The Key to Economic Recovery,” The Institute for Policy Innovation, http://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/a-capital-gains-tax-cut-the-key-to-economic-recovery (accessed 1/4/18) A capital gain is income derived from the sale of an investment.2 A capital investment can be a home, a farm, a ranch, a family business, or a work of art, for instance.3 In most years slightly less than half of taxable capital gains are realized on the sale of corporate stock. The capital gain is the difference between the money received from selling the asset and the price paid for it. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 29 Contention 1: Abolishing the capital gains tax would be detrimental to the U.S. deficit. Eliminating the capital gains tax would add $11 billion to the federal deficit. Amy Bingham, writer for ABC News, August 15, 2011, “Warren Buffett Tells Congress To Raise Taxes On Wealthy,” ABC News, http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/warren-buffett-raise-taxes-wealthy-friends/story?id=14307993 (accessed 1/4/18) Republican presidential candidate Michele Bachmann told the Wall Street Journal's Stephen Moore in June that if elected she would abolish the capital gains tax, which Buffett said should be increased, and amend the tax code so every American pays income tax. By eliminating the capital gains tax, which is currently 15 percent, the Tax Policy Center estimates that about 23,000 millionaires would no longer have to pay income tax because their only income comes from capital gains. This move would add $11 billion to the federal deficit, according to Forbes. A capital gains tax cut would increase the budget deficit. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) If a capital gains tax cut reduces revenues and increases the federal budget deficit, then savings and investment in the United States might actually fall after the tax cut. That would only worsen America's reported capital shortage. Sen. Bill Bradley (D-N.J.), for instance, has been highly skeptical of the economic dividend from a capital gains tax cut and has argued that eliminating the federal budget deficit should be a higher policy priority We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 30 Higher tax rates are important for economic growth, job creation, and helping to ameliorate the budget deficit. Chye-Ching Huang, Deputy Director, Federal Tax Policy at The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, April 24, 2012 "Recent Studies Find Raising Taxes on High-Income Households Would Not Harm the Economy," The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, https://www.cbpp.org/research/recent-studies-find-raising-taxes-onhigh-income-households-would-not-harm-the-economy?fa=view&id=3756 (accessed 1/7/18) History shows that higher taxes are compatible with economic growth and job creation: job creation and GDP growth were significantly stronger following the Clinton tax increases than following the Bush tax cuts. Further, the Congressional Budget office (CBO) concludes that letting the Bush-era tax cuts expire on schedule would strengthen long-term economic growth, on balance, if policymakers used the revenue saved to reduce deficits. In other words, any negative impact on economic growth from increasing taxes on high-income people would be more than offset by the positive effects of using the resulting revenue gain to reduce the budget deficit. Tax increases can also be used to fund, or to forestall cuts in, productive public investments in areas that support growth such as public education, basic research, and infrastructure. Taxes are key to deficit reduction; the highest incomes should not be exempt from paying taxes. Chye-Ching Huang, Deputy Director, Federal Tax Policy at The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, April 24, 2012 "Recent Studies Find Raising Taxes on High-Income Households Would Not Harm the Economy," The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, https://www.cbpp.org/research/recent-studies-find-raising-taxes-onhigh-income-households-would-not-harm-the-economy?fa=view&id=3756 (accessed 1/7/18) Finally, failure to include, as part of deficit reduction, measures that ask high-income individuals to contribute more in taxes would require low- and middle-income households to bear an overly large share of the deficit reduction burden through steep spending cuts. If shared sacrifice in reaching fiscal sustainability is to be achieved, the only way to include high income households in a significant way is through tax increases. Given the need to reduce deficits, and the need for revenues to make a contribution, it would be odd to suggest that those with the highest incomes should be exempt. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 31 Contention 2: Economists are wrong – abolishing the capital gains tax hurts the economy, not helps it. Cutting capital gains will not produce fiscal stimulus and investment won’t increase, according to the CBO. Joel Friedman, Vice President for Federal Fiscal Policy Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, and Aviva Aron-Dine, Senior Fellow and Senior Counselor, March 27, 2006 “The Capital Gains and Dividend Tax Cuts and The Economy,” The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, https://www.cbpp.org/research/the-capital-gains-and-dividend-tax-cuts-and-the-economy (accessed 1/4/18) A Congressional Budget Office study found that the same was true of capital gains tax cuts: “in general, little fiscal stimulus would be provided by cutting capital gains tax rates.” This is the case in part because the initial benefits of capital gains tax cuts (and of dividend tax cuts as well) are directed in large part toward investments that have already taken place. That is, rather than spurring new investment, the bulk of the initial benefits of the tax cuts go toward rewarding investment decisions that have already been made. Research on capital gains cuts show they are ineffective as an economic stimulus. Joel Friedman, Vice President for Federal Fiscal Policy Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, and Aviva Aron-Dine, Senior Fellow and Senior Counselor, March 27, 2006 “The Capital Gains and Dividend Tax Cuts and The Economy,” The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, https://www.cbpp.org/research/the-capital-gains-and-dividend-tax-cuts-and-the-economy (accessed 1/4/18) Simulations of the effects of dividend and capital gains tax cuts have found they are highly ineffective as economic stimulus. An Economy.com study found that reducing the taxation of dividends and capital gains would generate less than a dime of stimulus for each dollar of lost revenue; a Goldman Sachs analysis estimated the dividend tax cut would provide eight cents of stimulus for each dollar of cost. (By comparison, Economy.com estimated that more efficient stimulus proposals such as extending federal unemployment benefits would yield more than a dollar of stimulus per dollar of revenue loss.) We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 32 Cutting capital gains will lead to a revenue loss, a reduction in trading, and changes to wages. Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, and Phil Kerpen, research assistant at the Club for Growth, October 11, 2001 “A Capital Gains Tax Cut: The Key to Economic Recovery,” The Institute for Policy Innovation, http://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/a-capital-gains-tax-cut-the-key-to-economic-recovery (accessed 1/4/18) The impact of a capital gains tax cut on federal revenue collections has long been an issue of contentious debate—both in the academic literature and in public policy circles. In the current era of emphasis—at least rhetorical emphasis—in Washington on maintaining the surplus and paying down debt, it is predictable that the budgetary effect of capital gains tax changes would dominate public discussion. In theory, a capital gains tax cut would create several countervailing positive and negative revenue effects. The revenue-losing effects are 1. A static revenue loss from asset sales that would have occurred without the tax cut but benefit from the lower rate; 2. A reduction in trading in anticipation of changes in the tax rate, as was witnessed in 1986; and 3. A paper shifting of reported income from ordinary sources—such as wages taxed at the “normal” rate—to capital gains income with lower rates. When raising taxes and creating equal income distribution in the economy, capital gains taxes play a role. Henry J. Aaron, Bruce and Virginia MacLaury Senior Fellow at The Brookings Institution, October, 2015 “Can taxing the rich reduce inequality? You bet it can!” The Brookings Institution, https://www.brookings.edu/research/can-taxing-the-rich-reduce-inequality-you-bet-it-can/ (accessed 1/4/18) An increase in the top rate on ordinary income should be linked to an increase in the rate on capital gains and dividends to avoid making a bad problem worse. Exactly how much the rate on capital gains and dividends would have to go up to achieve that result is hard to pin down. For illustration, however, I assume that if the top rate on ordinary income were increased to 50 percent, the tax rate applied to capital gains and dividends would go up by the same amount, from 20 percent to 30.4 percent. These two changes would boost revenue by $144 billion a year or $2.0 trillion over ten years. If that revenue were distributed to the bottom 20 percent of the income distribution, the rate increases combined with the transfers would lower the 99/10 income ratio by 110 percent as much as it is by the entire current tax system. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 33 Rebuttal to: Capital gains tax is not needed to tax the rich Some of the richest people in the United States have capital gains. For many of the wealthy, capital gains tax is the only tax they pay each year due to the multiple loopholes in the system. In order to keep making sure the wealthy pay taxes, the capital gains tax is necessary. Without capital gains taxes, the some of the richest people in the U.S. wouldn’t pay any taxes as in 2008, 88 of the richest 400 only had capital gains to report as income. Warren E. Buffett, chairman and chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway, August 14, 2011 “Stop Coddling the Super-Rich,” The New York Times, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/15/opinion/stopcoddling-the-super-rich.html?_r=1&scp=2&sq=warren%20bufett&st=cse (accessed 1/4/18) Since 1992, the I.R.S. has compiled data from the returns of the 400 Americans reporting the largest income. In 1992, the top 400 had aggregate taxable income of $16.9 billion and paid federal taxes of 29.2 percent on that sum. In 2008, the aggregate income of the highest 400 had soared to $90.9 billion — a staggering $227.4 million on average — but the rate paid had fallen to 21.5 percent. The taxes I refer to here include only federal income tax, but you can be sure that any payroll tax for the 400 was inconsequential compared to income. In fact, 88 of the 400 in 2008 reported no wages at all, though every one of them reported capital gains. Some of my brethren may shun work but they all like to invest. (I can relate to that.) A capital gains cut would only help the rich and would not benefit the U.S. economy. Stephen Moore, director of fiscal policy studies at the Cato Institute, and John Silvia is chief economist at Kemper Financial Services, October 4, 1995 "CATO Institute Policy Analysis No. 242: The ABCs of the Capital Gains Tax," CATO Institute Policy analysis https://object.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/pa242.pdf (accessed 1/4/18) Opponents of a capital gains tax cut question those advantages. They argue that a capital gains cut will do the following: 1. Provide a large tax cut for the wealthiest Americans. Most capital gains taxes are paid by Americans with incomes above $200,000. 2. Have very little positive impact on the U.S. economy. Many argue that taxes do not influence investment decisions and that even if there were an unlocking effect, investors might simply consume the proceeds or shift investment from U.S. assets to foreign assets that may hold greater earnings potential. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 34 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax is bad for the middle class. The economy is complicated. The ways in which the upper class is taxed is important to ensure they are contributing to the economy. The capital gains tax is integral in the economic equation to encourage equality. Economists also have found that without a capital gains tax, investors will snatch up all of the houses they can and hold their assets, which makes it difficult for some lower-income folks to buy houses and take part in the market. The capital gains tax is an important part in the equation to reduce income equality for the low and middle income families in the U.S. Derek Thompson, senior editor at The Atlantic, September 18, 2013, “The Simplest Income Inequality Policy: Raising Taxes on Investment Income,” The Atlantic, https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/09/the-simplest-income-inequality-policy-raisingtaxes-on-investment-income/279794/ (accessed 1/4/18) But it's awfully simple and direct. The most important source of income gains for the investor class is, after all, investments. If we want to mitigate, if not quite solve, income inequality, let's start there. It would accomplish something small, but significant: Help Washington keep more low- and middle-income families free of federal income taxes while raising rates on capital gains from global finance and business, which today go almost entirely to the richest sliver of the country. Eliminating the tax would encourage investors to buy assets and be discouraged from selling their assets. Karen A. Campbell, Ph.D., Policy Analyst for The Heritage Foundation, and Guinevere Nell is Research Programmer in the Center for Data Analysis at The Heritage Foundation, February 3, 2009 “Sustainable Economic Stimulus: Repeal Capital Gains and Dividend Taxes,” The Heritage Foundation http://www.heritage.org/trade/report/sustainable-economic-stimulus-repeal-capital-gains-and-dividendtaxes (accessed 1/7/18) Because investors are burdened with paying capital gains taxes when the gain is realized through a sale of an asset, capital gains taxes are known to discourage sale of appreciated assets. The higher such taxes, the more the investor is discouraged--a consequence known as the "lock-in effect." Similarly, because losses can be deducted, the sale of underperforming assets is encouraged. During an economic crisis, the lock-in effect will not prevent investors from selling. However, the elimination of the tax would still create an immediate unlocking of another sort: the decision to buy assets. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 35 Without a high capital gains tax could lead to a reduction on the supply of homes for sale. Jacob Gaffney, Editor in chief of housing wire, December 4, 2017 “Black Knight: Capital gains tax reform may further reduce housing supply,” Housing Wire, https://www.housingwire.com/articles/41999-black-knight-capital-gains-tax-reform-may-further-reducehousing-supply (accessed 1/4/18) Leveraging the company’s SiteX property records database, Black Knight found that on average, over the past 24 months, more than 14 percent of property sales were by homeowners falling into that two-tofive-year window and who would no longer be exempt from capital gains taxation. On average, $60 billion in capital gains each year could be impacted, with a worst-case scenario (taxing the full amount under the highest tax bracket) putting the cost to home sellers at approximately $23 billion. If such homeowners choose to forego or delay selling to avoid a tax liability, this may also further reduce the supply of homes for sale. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 36 Rebuttal to: History proves the capital gains tax is a bad thing. All of the historical examples of a capital gains tax reduction are just that – a reduction. No evidence exists to suggest that abolishment is good for the U.S. economy. Arguments for a reduction are neg ground. The tax cut of 1997 proves that a capital gains cut would not lead to more revenue. Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth and senior fellow at the Cato Institute, and Phil Kerpen, research assistant at the Club for Growth, October 11, 2001 “A Capital Gains Tax Cut: The Key to Economic Recovery,” The Institute for Policy Innovation, http://www.ipi.org/ipi_issues/detail/a-capital-gains-tax-cut-the-key-to-economic-recovery (accessed 1/4/18) Perhaps the most persuasive case for cutting the capital gains tax comes from the most recent rate cut of 1997. That rate cut did not lead to any of the revenue losses that had been expected. According to Treasury Department tax collection data, in 1996, the year before the capital gains tax rate cut from 28 to 20 percent, the total amount of net capital gains on assets sold was $260 billion. A year later capital gains had mysteriously jumped to $400 billion. (The capital gains tax cut was retroactive to May of 1997.)In 1998 they climbed to $450 billion. In 1999 total capital gains exceeded $500 billion. The Treasury Department data also indicates that capital gains revenues have exploded. In 1996 the last year with the 28 percent rate, the government collected $62 billion in capital gains receipts. Even Obama felt that raising capital gains would be beneficial for the economy, the deficit, and the economy. Sanjay Sanghoee, investment banker and author, September 3, 2012 “Inequality: Why the Capital Gains Tax Rate should be Raised,” The Huffington Post, https://www.huffingtonpost.com/sanjay-sanghoee/inequality-why-the-capita_b_1851729.html (accessed 1/4/18) President Obama wants to raise the capital gains tax rate to 20%, which I think is a good way to restore some equality while preserving the impetus for investment. His challenger, on the other hand, does not want to raise the rate at all, which is not surprising given that Romney himself made a lot of money on the back of a preferential capital gains tax rate - first through his involvement with Bain and then via his private investments; and that renders his view disturbingly self-serving. In any case, for the sake of sheer pragmatism, it is high time that the capital gains tax rate was raised. It will be good for our deficit, good for equality, and good for our economy. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 37 Rebuttal to: Small businesses are hurt by the capital gains tax. The capital gains tax is not a burden for small businesses. All businesses should be subject to taxation to help the economy along. In addition, current tax breaks for small businesses ensure they don’t pay taxes beyond their means. Small businesses currently have a partial gain tax exclusion. Tina M. DeSanty, CPA, Fort Lauderdale, Fla., April 30, 2013 "Sec. 1202: Small Business Stock Capital Gains Exclusion," The Tax Advisor, https://www.thetaxadviser.com/issues/2013/may/clinic-may2013-story-07.html (accessed 1/7/18) For most taxpayers, QSBS is a capital asset subject to capital gain tax rates. Most taxpayers to whom Sec. 1202 applies are subject to a lower effective tax rate than would have been the case had Congress not provided for partial gain exclusion for QSBS. However, a taxpayer is not entitled both to partial gain exclusion under Sec. 1202 and to the reduced capital gain rates that otherwise would be available. The taxable portion of the gain is taxed under the normal rules and subject to a maximum rate of 28% on capital gains. This makes the maximum effective rate on the gain from the sale of QSBS 14%. The potential application of the alternative minimum tax (AMT) further erodes the benefits of investing in QSBS. Small businesses are not as adversely affected by capital gains taxes as other businesses; claims to the contrary are misleading. Chye-Ching Huang, Deputy Director, Federal Tax Policy at The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, April 24, 2012 "Recent Studies Find Raising Taxes on High-Income Households Would Not Harm the Economy," The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, https://www.cbpp.org/research/recent-studies-find-raising-taxes-onhigh-income-households-would-not-harm-the-economy?fa=view&id=3756 (accessed 1/7/18) The claim that raising marginal tax rates at the top of the income distribution would severely harm small businesses has little empirical basis. Few small business owners pay taxes at the top rates. According to a recent Treasury analysis, only 2.5 percent of small business owners who are taxed at the individual rather than corporate rates are in the top two income-tax brackets. Further, claims that about half of “pass-through” business income (i.e., income that firms pass through to their owners, who pay income taxes on these profits) is taxed at the top two tax rates are also misleading. These claims rely on an extremely broad definition of “business” that treats any filer with any business income as a business owner. Under that definition, professors who occasionally get paid for giving a speech or doing some consulting on the side, lawyers and accountants whose firms are organized as partnerships, and corporate executives who get paid to sit on other firms’ boards of directors are treated as small business owners. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 38 Capital gains taxes can encourage, not discourage small business growth. Chye-Ching Huang, Deputy Director, Federal Tax Policy at The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, April 24, 2012 "Recent Studies Find Raising Taxes on High-Income Households Would Not Harm the Economy," The Center for Budget and Policy Priorities, https://www.cbpp.org/research/recent-studies-find-raising-taxes-onhigh-income-households-would-not-harm-the-economy?fa=view&id=3756 (accessed 1/7/18) Opponents of raising the top marginal income tax rates on capital gains and dividends argue that doing so would discourage entrepreneurship and new small business ventures. Yet CRS reported that “the empirical evidence suggests that tax rates have small, uncertain, and possibly unexpected effects on the formation of small business.” Summarizing the economic literature, CRS concludes that “higher tax rates are more likely to encourage, rather than discourage, self-employment.” We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 39 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax hurts income and economic equality. Billionaires are not paying enough in taxes. The ways in which the tax system is set up are demonstrative of a need for the wealthy to contribute more to the economy. The capital gains tax is a way for them to do so. It should not be abolished. Billionaire Warren Buffet believes that the rich should pay more in capital gains taxes to help the burden on others. Amy Bingham, writer for ABC News, August 15, 2011, “Warren Buffett Tells Congress To Raise Taxes On Wealthy,” ABC News, http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/warren-buffett-raise-taxes-wealthy-friends/story?id=14307993 (accessed 1/4/18) \ Buffett, who has spoken out in favor of raising taxes on the rich multiple times, urged the supercommittee to increase income taxes for the 236,000 people who earned more than $1 million in 2009, including taxes on investment profits such as capital gains and dividends. For the 8,000 people who made more than $10 million in 2009, Buffett suggested an even higher tax increase. The billionaire said he paid about $7 million in payroll and income taxes last year. That is about 17.4 percent of his taxable income, a lower proportion than any of the other 20 people in his office whose tax burdens range from 33 percent to 41 percent, he said. Capital gains taxes are good for curbing tax evasion, addressing equality, and efficiency. Rainer Niemann, Karl-Franzens University, and Caren Sureth-Sloane, University of Paderborn, August 2016 “Does Capital Tax Uncertainty Delay Irreversible Risky Investment?” CESIFO Working Paper No. 6046, p. 2-3 Despite the claim that capital taxes are harmful, we observe repeated calls for increases in capital taxes such as the (re-) introduction of a general wealth tax (for example, IMF 2013, IMF 2014, Piketty 2014) or an increase in taxes on specific assets, such as real estate. This is because capital taxes are often considered superior to profit taxation in curbing tax evasion and serve both efficiency and equality aims. Although several countries abolished capital taxation during the 1990s and 2000s, there are animated political debates on capital taxation for distributional and fiscal purposes, especially in industrialized countries. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 40 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax hurts the economy. Cutting the capital gains tax has both long-term and short-term effects. The stimulus from proposed cuts would not be substantial enough to account for the loss of long-term revenue. Cutting capital gains would have long term effects, not yielding any short term economic stimulus benefits. Joel Friedman, Vice President for Federal Fiscal Policy Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, and Aviva Aron-Dine, Senior Fellow and Senior Counselor, March 27, 2006 “The Capital Gains and Dividend Tax Cuts and The Economy,” The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, https://www.cbpp.org/research/the-capital-gains-and-dividend-tax-cuts-and-the-economy (accessed 1/4/18) Economic theory and evidence surrounding capital gains and dividend tax cuts. Capital gains and dividend tax cuts are generally understood to be “supply-side” tax cuts — that is, even if they “work,” their effects are felt in the long run, not as short-run economic stimulus. The Congressional Budget Office, for instance, found that “little fiscal stimulus would be provided by cutting capital gains tax rates.” Conservative economist Gary Becker, a supporter of the dividend tax cut, wrote that it “will not yield immediate benefits…. Any short-run stimulus from eliminating the dividend tax would be too weak to have a significant benefit to the economy.” Kevin Hassett, another conservative economist who supports the dividend tax cut, has called it “preposterous” to claim that reducing taxes on dividends created millions of new jobs. The Federal Reserve answers claims that capital gains tax cuts do not boost the economy, 2003 proves. Joel Friedman, Vice President for Federal Fiscal Policy Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, and Aviva Aron-Dine, Senior Fellow and Senior Counselor, March 27, 2006 “The Capital Gains and Dividend Tax Cuts and The Economy,” The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, https://www.cbpp.org/research/the-capital-gains-and-dividend-tax-cuts-and-the-economy (accessed 1/4/18) Some supporters of the capital gains and dividend tax cuts argue that they boosted the economy in the short run by boosting the stock market. A Federal Reserve study, however, found that the dividend and capital gains tax cuts were not the reason the market rose in 2003. (Not surprisingly, the Treasury report did not cite this Federal Reserve study.) We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 41 There is no evidence that suggests there is a reason capital gains cuts benefit the economy; correlation doesn't lead to causation. Paul Solman, economics correspondent for PBS News Hour, December 5, 2012 "Argument For and Against Capital Gains Tax Cuts," PBS News Hour, https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/capital-gains-tax-cuts-for-and (accessed 1/5/18) This story seems true. How could it not be? But this no more proves that a capital gains cut is a net positive for the economy than giving money to rich people is a way to increase overall investment. Come to think of it, that’s what a capital gains tax cut boils down to: handing back to rich folks the money that would otherwise have come to the government in the form of taxes because of a tax rate previously considered legitimate. The lack of correlation you refer to is failure to find, in the data, a growth spurt in the wake of a capital gains tax cut. In fairness, economic growth depends upon many factors. Any correlation analysis has to hold the main variables constant before pronouncing on a statistically significant relationship between two variables like a tax cut and growth. And even a statistically significant correlation does not prove a causal connection. The sun rises every morning and so does yeast; 100 percent correlation, but so what? We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 42 Rebuttal to: Abolishing the capital gains tax is a good idea. Getting rid of the capital gains tax would be a terrible idea. All types of income should be taxed. The gain was not taxed when the asset was first taxed, so it’s not a double taxation, it’s just income that should be taxed like anything else. Capital gains as income should not be treated differently than any other income. Sanjay Sanghoee, investment banker and author, September 3, 2012 “Inequality: Why the Capital Gains Tax Rate should be Raised,” The Huffington Post, https://www.huffingtonpost.com/sanjay-sanghoee/inequality-why-the-capita_b_1851729.html (accessed 1/4/18) Capital gains are a form of passive income that arise not from working but from realizing profits from investments. While there is nothing wrong with making money passively, there is no defensible reason to tax that type of income any differently than the wages of say, a policeman or a cashier at a fast food restaurant. After all, those people contribute to our economy as well, so why should they be treated differently? When capital gains taxes have been reduced, there is no evidence to prove that the reduction has led to economic growth. James Pethokoukis, columnist and blogger at the American Enterprise Institute, September 17, 2012 "Sorry, New York Times, tax cuts sure do lead to economic growth, http://www.aei.org/publication/sorrynew-york-times-tax-cuts-sure-do-lead-to-economic-growth/ (accessed 1/5/18) The top income tax rates have changed considerably since the end of World War II. Throughout the late1940s and 1950s, the top marginal tax rate was typically above 90%; today it is 35%. Additionally, the top capital gains tax rate was 25% in the 1950s and 1960s, 35% in the 1970s; today it is 15%. The average tax rate faced by the top 0.01% of taxpayers was above 40% until the mid-1980s; today it is below 25%. Tax rates affecting taxpayers at the top of the income distribution are currently at their lowest levels since the end of the second World War. The results of the analysis suggest that changes over the past 65 years in the top marginal tax rate and the top capital gains tax rate do not appear correlated with economic growth. The reduction in the top tax rates appears to be uncorrelated with saving, investment, and productivity growth. The top tax rates appear to have little or no relation to the size of the economic pie. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com West Coast Publishing Capital Gains Tax Main File Public Forum February 2018 Page 43 Rebuttal to: The capital gains tax stifles investment. The capital gains tax is not the ultimate arbiter of whether or not a company can bolster its investment in its own company or in others. Investment and revenue hikes would only be short term if the capital gains tax was cut. Steven Mufson, Reporter for the Washington Post, and Jia Lynn Yang is the deputy national security editor at The Washington Post, September 11, 2011 "Capital gains tax rates benefiting wealthy are protected by both parties," The Washington Post, https://www.washingtonpost.com/people/jia-lynn-yang/?utm_term=.b5bb96151f0b (accessed 1/5/18) Many tax experts contest the benefits of a low capital gains rate. Jane Gravelle, a tax expert at the Congressional Research Service, says a rate cut could generate more government revenue for a year or two as investors take advantage of lower rates or a rising stock market, but she says that initial bump in tax revenue would fade. And the government, over time, would collect more overall if it kept the rate higher. We’re a small non-profit. Please don’t share this file with those who have not paid including via dropbox, google drive, the web, printed copies, email, etc. Visit us at www.wcdebate.com