3 UNEMPLOYMENT 1 Objectives • The meaning of unemployment • Types of unemployment and their causes • Consequences of unemployment 2 Defining UNEMPLOYMENT • To be considered unemployed, a person must: be out of work and willing to accept a suitable job or start an enterprise if the opportunity arises, and actively looking for ways to obtain a job or start an enterprise. 3 How Is Unemployment Measured? • The Labor Force Survey is conducted by Department of Statistics (DOS), Malaysia to collect data related to employment and unemployment. • Based on the answers to the survey questions, the DOS places each adult into one of the following categories: • Labor Force • Employed • Unemployed • Not in the labor force 4 The Breakdown of Population Employed Labor Force Working Population Unemployed Not in labor force How Is Unemployment Measured? • Labor Force • The World Bank defines the labor force as the sum of the employed and the unemployed aged between 16 and 64. Labor force = Number of employed + Number of unemployed 6 How Is Unemployment Measured? Labor Force • Employed • The DOS considers a person an adult if he or she is over 16 years old. • A person is considered employed if he or she has spent some of the previous weeks working at a paid job. • Underemployed – employed person at work and who had worked less than 30 hours during the reference week because of the nature of their work or due to insufficient work and were able and willing to accept additional hours of work. • Unemployed • A person is unemployed if he or she is on temporary layoff, is looking for a job, or is waiting for the start date of a new job. • A person who fits neither of these categories, such as a full-time student, homemaker, or retiree, is not in the labor force. 7 How Is Unemployment Measured? • Not in the Labor Force • All persons not considered as employed or unemployed as stated above are classified as outside the labor force. • Included housewives, students (including those going for further studies), retired or disabled persons, and those not interested in looking for a job. 8 How Is Unemployment Measured? • The unemployment rate is calculated as the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. Number unemployed Unemployment rate = 100 Labor force 9 How Is Unemployment Measured? • The labor-force participation rate is the percentage of the adult population that is in the labor force. Labor force participation rate Labor force X = 100 Adult population 10 Does the Unemployment Rate Measure What We Want It To? • It is difficult to distinguish between a person who is unemployed and a person who is not in the labor force. • Discouraged workers, people who would like to work but have given up looking for jobs after an unsuccessful search, don’t show up in unemployment statistics. • Other people may claim to be unemployed in order to receive financial assistance, even though they aren’t looking for work. 11 Are they part of the labor force? • A part-time sales clerk who is also going to college • A full-time nurse • A stay-at-home mother • A factory worker whose plant closed and who is applying for jobs at other firms • A college graduate who volunteers in a community center 12 Are they part of the labor force? • A recent college graduate interviewing at different companies for her first job • An engineer who goes back to school to earn a teaching degree • A discouraged worker who has been looking for a job for 18 months but has given up the job search 13 Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) • Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR) is the ratio of the number of people in the labor force to the entire working-age population of a nation. • An important determinant of its potential for economic growth. • The greater the proportion of the working-age population that is in the labor force, the greater the nation’s production possibilities, since the main factor that can increase a nation’s production possibilities frontier is the quantity of resources. • How can government promote a growth in the LFPR? 14 Full-Employment • An economy in which national output is at its full-employment level has achieved equilibrium in the labor market. • This means at the equilibrium wage rate almost everyone who wants a job has a job. • Does not mean that there is no unemployment, rather that the unemployment which exists is natural unemployment, consisting only of those workers who are in between jobs, those whose skills no longer match up with the demand for workers in the economy and those who are voluntarily unemployed. 15 Why Are There Always Some People Unemployed? • In an ideal labor market, wages would adjust to balance the supply and demand for labor, ensuring that all workers would be fully employed. Labor Supply Wage WE Labor Demand QE Quantity of labor 16 Natural Rate of Unemployment • At the full-employment level of national output,, the unemployment prevails is known as the natural rate of unemployment. • The natural rate of unemployment is unemployment that does not go away on its own even in the long run. • It is the amount of unemployment that the economy normally experiences. 17 Unemployment can be classified into three types: 1. Frictional and seasonal unemployment 2. Structural unemployment 3. Cyclical unemployment 18 Why Are There Always Some People Unemployed? Unemployment and Full Employment Frictional and seasonal unemployment • Refers to workers who are in between jobs or just entering the labor force for the first time. In other words, it takes time for workers to search for the jobs that best suit their tastes and skills. • Usually short term (3 months or less) and it often voluntary in nature, meaning the unemployed person has chosen to seek employment in a different location or industry. Frictionally unemployed individuals possess skills that are demanded – employment prospects are generally positive. • Seasonal workers may be unemployed between seasons. It’s voluntary unemployment. 19 Why Are There Always Some People Unemployed? Unemployment and Full Employment Structural unemployment • When a worker loses his job due to changing structure of the nation’s economy, the individual becomes structurally unemployed. • Created by changes in technology and foreign competition that change the skills needed to perform jobs or the locations of jobs. • May seem undesirable but a natural form of joblessness as it is only natural that as a nation grows and becomes incorporated into the global economy, some workers are made “redundant”. • Structural unemployment lasts longer than frictional unemployment. • Strategies for reducing lie primarily in the realm of increased worker training and improved education. 20 Why Are There Always Some People Unemployed? Unemployment and Full Employment Cyclical unemployment • • • • Workers whose skills are in demand given the structure of the nation’s economy but who nonetheless lose their jobs due to a fall in total demand for the nation’s goods and services are cyclically unemployed. Arises due to fluctuations in the nation’s business cycle. Occurs when a contraction in private or public spending (components of GDP) reduces AD and leads to a fall in national output. As output of goods and services falls the demand for labor falls and there is downward pressure on wages and prices. A worker who is laid off because the economy is in a recession and is then rehired when the expansion begins experiences cyclical unemployment. 21 Effects of Unemployment • Unemployment is a common phenomenon. However, high unemployment rate will affect a country’s economy growth. • Unemployment due to reduced job opportunities caused by recession such as cyclical unemployment, will bring about negative effects on the country’s economic stability. The negative effects of unemployment can be divided into two – effects on the economy and effects on the individual and population. 22 Effects of Unemployment Negative effects of unemployment on the economy: Negative Effectss Description Unemployment High unemployment rate will ruin the economic growth and does not performance. There will also be excess capacity from the industrial encourage machines. This will indirectly cause a drop in investment level. economic growth Drop in government revenue When people are unemployed, the tax collection is also reduced. Government then has to reduce its expenditure to boost economic growth. Wastage of production resources High rate of unemployment forces the economy to operate at a level below maximum. The wastage of resources bring about output production far below than the potential output. 23 Effects of Unemployment Negative effects on the Individual and Population: Negative Effectss Description Loss of job Temporary unemployment will not ruin the lives of the people as daily activities can be carried out using savings or loans. However, continuous unemployment will create unhealthy side effects such as being forced to partake in illegal activities to obtain money. Loss of skills Some skills can only be maintained if they are used or practiced often. Long-term unemployment might cause an individual to lose his/her skills. Political instability Long-term or continuous unemployment can create chaos and the government will be under pressure and receive criticisms from many parties. This indirectly contributes towards social problems and causes an increase in crime rates. Increase in crime rates can cause foreign investors to shy away. 24