PROGNOSTIC MARKERS - I Tumors of Breast, Colon & Liver Features of Tumors which Influence Prognosis 1. Histologic types (Diagnostic classification). This is based on histology, immunohistochemistry, electron microscopy, cytogenetics, and molecular genetics. 2. Grading, usually on a scale of I to III, is based on the degree of differentiation, the average number of mitoses per high-power field, cellularity, pleomorphism, and an estimate of the extent of necrosis (presumably a reflection of rate of growth). 3. Staging. TNM stage of tumor represents the single most important determinator of prognosis 4. Specific markers of tumors Potential uses of tumor markers 1. Screening in general population 2. Differential diagnosis of symptomatic patients 3. Clinical staging of cancer 4. Estimating tumor volume 5. As a prognostic indicator for disease progression 6. Evaluating the success of treatment Prognostic Markers Of Breast Cancer Estrogen and progesterone receptors • Positive cases have slightly better prognosis and good response to therapy • ER + PR + 80% Response to treatment • ER + PR 25 – 45 % response • ER - PR 10 % response Prognostic Markers Of Breast Cancer HER2/neu. • overexpression of this oncogene as determined either by immunohistochemistry or FISH is an excellent predictor of response to trastuzumab • Although it identifies a subset of patients with poor prognosis, particularly when lymph node metastases are present Prognostic Markers Of Breast Cancer BRCA1 protein expression. • Absent or reduced nuclear BRCA1 expression as measured immunohistochemically is associated with several microscopic unfavorable features and a shorter disease-free interval, • The cytoplasmic expression of this marker seems associated with the development of tumor recurrence Prognostic Markers Of Breast Cancer P53 and nm23. • Accumulation of P53 protein (presumably as a result of gene mutation) and low expression of the nm23 protein have been said to correlate with reduced patient survival. COX2 • Expression of cyclooxygenase 2 (COX2), a molecule linked to neovascularization and tumor growth, has been found to be associated with poor prognostic markers in one study Breast Carcinoma - Prognosis Better prognosis Bad prognosis • • • • • • • • • • • • Tumor insitu Size less Lymph node metastasis less No Distant metastasis Histologic grade well diff. Histologic type Tubular, mucinous, medullary • ER PR positive • HER 2 / NEU Expression less Infiltrating tumor More More number of nodes Present Poorly differentiated • Ductal • Negative • Over expression PROGNOSTIC MARKERS FOR COLON CANCER 1. Tumor size 2. Microscopic tumor type: (Mucinous carcinoma, signet ring carcinoma, and anaplastic carcinoma have a worse prognosis than the ordinary type of adenocarcinoma) 3. 4. 5. 6. Microscopic grade Local extent Lymph node involvement. Staging. The staging systems, which represent a combination of the criteria of local extent (and lymph node involvement) have proved to be a powerful way of predicting the prognosis of patients with colorectal carcinoma PROGNOSTIC MARKERS FOR COLON CANCER 7. Age. Tumors occurring in very young and very old patients are associated with a poor prognosis 8. Sex. The prognosis is significantly better for females than for males 9. CEA serum levels. Elevated serum CEA levels >5.0 ng/mL have been shown to have an adverse impact on prognosis 10. Tumor location. In one large study, lesions located in the left colon had the most favorable prognosis, whereas those situated in the sigmoid colon and rectum had the worst outcome PROGNOSTIC MARKERS FOR COLON CANCER 11. Obstruction. This feature has been found to be an indicator of a worsened prognosis 12. Perforation. Perforation resulting from extensive tumor invasion of the bowel wall is linked to a poor prognosis 13. Tumor margins and inflammatory reaction. Carcinomas having pushing margins and an inflammatory infiltrate at the interphase between the tumor and the neighboring tissue have a better prognosis than those lacking these features PROGNOSTIC MARKERS FOR COLON CANCER 14. Tumor budding. This feature, which is defined as the presence of isolated tumor cells or clusters of >5 cells at the invasive tumor front, has emerged as a strong and independent prognostic marker of poor outcome 15. Vascular invasion : When vein invasion is present,there is a significant increase in the incidence of distant metastases 16. Perineurial invasion: unfavorable pathologic findings PROGNOSTIC MARKERS FOR COLON CANCER 17. Mucin-related antigens. Colorectal carcinomas that express the mucin-associated antigens sialyl-Tn and sialyl-Lewis(x) antigen have been said to run a more aggressive clinical course 18. Fascin. High fascin expression as detected immunohistochemically has been related to diminished survival PROGNOSTIC MARKERS FOR COLON CANCER 19. Claudin-1. Loss of this tight junction-associated protein is said to be a strong predictor of disease recurrence and poor patient survival in stage II colonic cancer 20. BCL2 protein expression. It has been stated that immunohistochemical expression of BCL2 is associated with an improved prognosis PROGNOSTIC MARKERS OF LIVER CANCER 1. Stage. This constitutes the most important prognostic determinator 2. Size. In most series, patients with ‘small’ tumors (from 2 to 5 cm in diameter) had a significantly better prognosis 3. Encapsulation. The liver cell carcinomas that are totally surrounded by a capsule behave in a less aggressive fashion than those lacking this feature 4. Number of tumors. Single lesions are associated with a better survival rate than multiple tumors PROGNOSTIC MARKERS OF LIVER CANCER 5. Portal vein involvement. This finding constitutes an important adverse prognostic sign 6. Microscopic type. The fibrolamellar variant is associated with a definitely better prognosis 7. Microscopic features. The microscopic features that proved to be independent predictors of survival were vascular invasion, high nuclear grade, and mitotic activity 8. Presence of cirrhosis. Carcinomas associated with cirrhosis have a worsened prognosis PROGNOSTIC MARKERS OF LIVER CANCER 9. Serum AFP levels. High AFP levels at presentation are said to have not only a diagnostic but also an adverse prognostic significance 10. CMYC amplification. It has been stated that the presence of this feature in hepatocellular carcinoma predicts an unfavorable prognosis 11. P-glycoprotein. In one study, the chemotherapy response of hepatocellular carcinoma was inversely related to Pgp expression, the difference being statistically significant