CAISO Public __________________________________________ Summary of October 2010 Stakeholder Comments and ISO Responses on Intermittent Dynamic Transfer Capability Study Provided in Support of 2009-2010 Stakeholder Process to Consider Expansion of Dynamic Transfer Services in ISO Tariff November 12, 2010 CAISO/MAD/JEP 1 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Summary of October 2010 Stakeholder Comments and ISO Responses on Intermittent Dynamic Transfer Capability Study Stakeholder Comment ISO Response IID IID strongly supports dynamic transfers. IID urges that the study will be conducted in a way that promotes accuracy and transparency, while maintaining a degree of urgency. It is IID’s view that the best way to achieve these objectives is to also lean on the additional expertise readily available from neighboring BAs that share the CAISO’s interest in facilitating and promoting dynamic transfer. Indeed, the Dynamic Scheduling System or “DSS” underscores the high priority of the issue WECC-wide. To ensure the involvement of neighboring balancing authorities, the ISO is contacting individual neighboring BAs, has presented briefings to WECC’s Seams Issues Subcommittee and Variable Generation Subcommittee, and is participating in a Dynamic Transfer Capability Task Force that is examining the Pacific Northwest region, in addition to conducting stakeholder conference calls in the ISO’s dynamic transfers stakeholder process. The stakeholder conference calls review the structure of the ISO’s base case and study assumptions as they are developed during the study process. The ISO is also examining how it can integrate DSS with its market systems. Provide additional opportunities for review and input from stakeholders in the adoption of its base case and study assumptions prior to proceeding with the dynamic transfers study; and make it a priority to contact and confer with neighboring BAs with direct interests’ in the initial paths being studied (i.e., COI and WOR). LS Power The CAISO should share the base cases and study assumptions with the stakeholders, particularly the RPS level modeled for study (20% or 33%), the generation mix (renewable vs. fossil fuel) within and outside California, load level, whether local capacity requirements are met with generation dispatched, and what new transmission projects will be assumed in service. Some sensitivity studies should be done prior to establishing any limits, to help answer questions such as any difference in limits if a dynamic transfer is from a variable generation resource vs. a fossil fuel resource (for instance, any difference when DV/DP test is done and generation CAISO/MAD/JEP 2 The base case for this study is the WECC 2018 heavy spring case, which is available on WECC’s web site to authorized users. The WECC base case establishes the basic transmission topology, generation mix, and load level. Attachment 2 to these responses to stakeholder comments describes the modifications that the ISO has made to the WECC base case. This study is not intended to be an evaluation of whether the base case meets local generation requirements within the ISO, which are the subject of 11/12/2010 CAISO Public PG&E is tripped outside California to monitor the impact of voltage drop, if the generation tripped outside California is a variable or fossil fuel resource), and sensitivity with load level. other ISO studies. The CAISO needs to clarify the role this study will play in determining the actual level of intertie capacity set aside for dynamic transfers. As proposed, it appears this study will only address the operating limits on transfers from a system reliability and stability perspective. The study should provide a maximum amount of each intertie that could be devoted to dynamic transfers without harming reliability. However, there are other considerations that should be taken into account in determining how much intertie capacity will be set aside for dynamic transfers. These include such considerations as market price impacts. This study addresses the dynamic transfer capability for intermittent resources, which is a system reliability and stability issue. Other areas of the ISO’s proposals for dynamic transfers address mechanisms for maintaining transmission utilization as high as possible, recognizing that dynamic transfers of intermittent resources will often not use their full amount of transmission that is reserved in a particular hour. In particular, the ISO’s proposals will allow dispatchable dynamic transfers to exceed their own transmission reservations through the use of recallable transmission, which the ISO will award for 5-minute intervals through real-time dispatch, when other dynamic transfers are not fully using their reserved capacity in real-time. An example following this table (Attachment 1) of comments and responses illustrates the results of scheduling and dispatching intermittent and dispatchable dynamic resources in greater detail, and suggests that in practice, the impact of dynamic transfers’ transmission The CAISO needs to take account of the market impacts of reducing the intertie capacity. PG&E suggests the CAISO include economic considerations in this study or address these issues in a separate study. Intermittent schedules will need to reserve transmission capacity for their maximum expected output in any given hour. Because it is unlikely an intermittent resource will produce consistently at the reserved maximum, some transmission capability will be left unused. Two aspects of the proposed reliability study to be unrealistic. The algorithm to select generators for redispatch when imports decrease should be adjusted. As CAISO/MAD/JEP 3 Once this study of intermittent dynamic transfer capability is complete, the ISO will schedule stakeholder meetings to explore how any limitations on transfer capability would translate to limitations on enrollment or scheduling of dynamic transfers of intermittent resources. The ISO plans on doing a sensitivity study with a WECC 2020 heavy summer base case. 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Powerex the study is currently structured, a decrease in renewable imports over the interties will result in the redispatching of internal resources on a pro rata basis, resulting in several hundred small incremental dispatches that will have little or no effect on the Delta V/Delta P ratio. In reality, a small number of resources will be significantly dispatched, with much greater impact on the local voltages where these resources are located, and could push the system farther down to the point of voltage collapse, as a large movement in one generator would cause a need for more local VAR support. Second, the CAISO should model intermittent resources on a time interval less than ten minutes to better reflect variability. Given this improper modeling of the system, it is unlikely that the results will conclude that intermittent dynamic transfers could cause problems. reservations that remain unused in real-time would be limited. Powerex would appreciate additional explanatory information so that the data presented on ramps can be better understood. For example, what caused the 600+ MW maximum up ramps and 400 MW down ramps in July 2010 or the wind 10-minute up and down ramps that appear to exceed 200 MW? The upward and downward ramps in the first interval for WOR and COI are part of the yaxis and not representative of actual ramps. Other large ramps were primarily due to hourly scheduled ramp changes on the ties. The 10-minute wind ramps in excess of 200 MW were due to bad data. The CAISO should expand Task 1, Voltage Performance, where one objective is to “Identify any resulting impact on equipment”, to identify if this also requires additional manual intervention or increase in workload for operators and/or arming/disarming or CAISO/MAD/JEP 4 For changes in renewable imports, only dispatchable resources in the base case are re-dispatched. As suggested, the ISO would also look at additional sensitivities whereby only a small subset (about 10) of resources post contingency would be dispatched. 10-minute variability was chosen for the following two reasons: (1) out-of-state solar and wind data were in 10-minute timesteps, and (2) the ISO market timeline from when the decision is made to move a resource to a new operating point until the resource reaches the new operating point is about 10minutes. For steady state power flow analysis, the CAISO does not believe that modeling of intermittent resources on a time interval less than 10 minutes provides benefit since 10-minute variability would be greater than the variability for any timeframe less than 10-minutes. The ISO is participating in the recently-formed Dynamic Transfer Capability Task Force that is examining the Pacific Northwest region. 11/12/2010 CAISO Public creation of Remedial Action Schemes. Powerex is especially interested in Task 2, Oscillatory Performance, since this may be the first study of this feature undertaken in the PNW. Dynamic transfer capability studies are being performed in the PNW. The CAISO should work with these other organizations through technical workshops or coordination of study assumptions SCE Current OTC limits are a reasonable starting point to consider the capability to accommodate dynamic schedules. Today the CAISO can manage dramatic variations in flow on the ties over the normal ramps (from maximum rated outflow to maximum rated inflow); therefore it would follow that the CAISO can accommodate this same level of change throughout the hour. The CAISO should clarify what additional information it expects to obtain regarding OTC limits. Studying COI and WOR separately is an over simplification that will mask potential impacts of dynamic transfers. A study of the entire CAISO grid is needed to determine the impact of N-1/N-2 resource losses. The limited proposed methodology may not be applicable to the rest of the interties. The ramping and regulation availability to compensate for dynamic transfers should be made unlimited, to prevent any preset resource limitations from imposing an artificial restriction on dynamic transfers. It appears that the study could result in a change to current OTC limits. Will this study consider the current method of calculating OTC limits at the ties by revisiting that calculation and its underlying logic? Will the study look at the relationship between the OTC limits and dynamic transfer limits? For example, will the study consider whether CAISO/MAD/JEP 5 The ISO manages large hourly ramps because these ramps are scheduled and are coordinated between the affected balancing authorities. The ISO is concerned with large intra hour swings due to the intermittency associated with variable generation. These studies are not intended to change the current OTC limits but establish a dynamic transfer limit within the current OTC limit. All studies are done with WECC base cases, however COI and WOR were not loaded to their maximum OTC limits in the same base case. Thus, the flows on all ties were impacted post contingency. The ISO’s study focuses on identifying any limitations on its capability to support dynamic transfers of intermittent resources, and the ISO does not intend this study to lead to an overall evaluation of the OTC across its interties. The ISO has examined whether an analysis of simultaneous high flows on COI and WOR would be meaningful, and concluded that the assumptions needed to produce this condition would not 11/12/2010 CAISO Public be realistic. The ISO’s study assumes that adequate ramping and regulation capacity is available from generation within SCE would like to clarify the basis of the ISO to balance the variation WOR capacity and how it will be used. of intermittent dynamic transfers, Since CAISO shares that capacity with and is then examining the others we would like to assure that it is appropriate for the work to be undertaken. impacts of variations in power flowing on the transmission What steps are being taken to include system. other entities in the study since their transmission standards will also impact If the ISO determines that grid operation? The WOR rating used in intermittent dynamic transfers this study should be consistent with OTC across WOR are subject to studies and appropriately reflect the limitations within the ISO grid, transmission rights of non-CAISO entities. the ISO will coordinate with its neighboring BAs to evaluate the SCE sees the need for additional impacts of such limitations. The iterations during the development of this ISO does not assume that it methodology. would be able to schedule transmission capacity that has not been placed under ISO control. Once the results of this study are available, the ISO will evaluate whether additional studies are needed. OTC limits at all BA ties may change under dynamic transfer if COI and WOR have simultaneous high flows? SMUD To ensure the involvement of neighboring BAs, the ISO is contacting individual neighboring BAs, has presented briefings to WECC’s Seams Issues Subcommittee and Variable Generation Subcommittee, and is participating in a Dynamic The study objectives/methodology has not Transfer Capability Task Force identified the study criteria to be met or that is examining the Pacific how to arrive at the dynamic transfer Northwest region, in addition to limits. This should include the proper conducting stakeholder assumptions regarding dynamic transfer conference calls in the ISO’s limits (de-rates) when the transmission dynamic transfer stakeholder paths are limited below their path ratings. process. The stakeholder It is essential to choose the correct base conference calls review the cases, such as recent WECC OTC study cases. The current choice of a 2018 case ISO’s study plan and should also be used, but as a sensitivity in assumptions as they are developed during the study the planning horizon. A benchmarking process. case of the current system conditions will The ISO is evaluating additional also be useful and therefore should be In order to make this study most productive, a clear and transparent study plan should be provided to stakeholders and additional input be allowed at the front end of the process. Additionally, the CAISO needs to engage neighboring balancing authorities as soon as possible. CAISO/MAD/JEP 6 11/12/2010 CAISO Public created. The CAISO should include the assessment of impacts on COI curtailment on both the CAISO transmission users and the non-CAISOcontrolled grid users (i.e., owners of COTP within the SMUD BA). The dynamic transfers program must assure that the non-CAISO owners of COI rights are not adversely impacted. If the CAISO and non-CAISO users are to be exposed to greater curtailment risk or economic mitigation obligations this should be identified and quantified in the study. outages in its power flow analyses, to consider the impact of critical outages on the COI and WOR interfaces in the steady state analysis in addition to the original approach of evaluating generation changes to emulate a change in wind or solar plant output. The 2018 power flow case is being used as the most recent WECC base case that reflects the high level of renewable energy that may present reliability issues. The ISO is also planning to run sensitivities with a WECC 2020 heavy summer base case. If the ISO determines that intermittent dynamic transfers across COI are subject to limitations within the ISO grid, the ISO will coordinate with its neighboring BAs to evaluate the impacts of such limitations. The ISO does not assume that it would be able to schedule transmission capacity that has not been placed under ISO control. 8minutenergy In general, we have no problems with the basic study methodology. Instead, our comments (and concerns) focus on the way in which the results will be used. The studies will be a reasonable tool to: (1) identify many of the potentially troublesome aspects of intermittent DT on the major transmission paths; and (2) indicate a general approach that could be used on other interties as well. However, the methodology and results for these interties should not be applied to other interties or other conditions, without further examination. CAISO/MAD/JEP 7 Once this study of intermittent dynamic transfer capability is complete, the ISO will schedule stakeholder meetings to explore how any limitations on transfer capability would translate to limitations on enrollment or scheduling of dynamic transfers of intermittent resources. At that time, the ISO may also identify needs for further studies such as applicability to other interties or other operating conditions. 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Attachment 1: Example for Analysis of Market Impacts of Transmission Reservations for Intermittent Dynamic Transfers A question that has arisen during stakeholder discussions is whether the ISO should impose limits on how much intertie capacity will be allowed to be scheduled by dynamically transferred resources, particularly by intermittent resources. The concern is that there may be market price impacts of transmission capacity being reserved in day-ahead or hour-ahead timeframes, but then not used in real-time. This illustrative analysis explores whether significant market impacts are likely to occur, and thus whether the ISO should conduct a more extensive study of these economic considerations. In considering the results of this illustration, it will be necessary to consider the full package of proposals resulting from this stakeholder process, which includes mechanisms for maintaining transmission utilization as high as possible, recognizing that dynamic transfers of intermittent resources will often not use their full amount of transmission that is reserved in a particular hour. Intermittent resources that schedule using dynamic transfers may choose to reserve transmission capacity beyond their pre-scheduled energy delivery, to gain assurance of delivering their maximum expected output in any given hour, but the ISO’s proposals do not require such additional transmission reservations. The actual extent of transmission reservations exceeding pre-scheduled energy will depend on market participants’ risk assessments between the cost of additional transmission reservations and the availability of transmission by 5-minute interval within the operating hours. Because of variations in intermittent resources’ delivery, some reserved transmission capability will be left unused in some intervals, but when other dispatchable dynamic resources are available at the intertie, the ISO will dispatch these resources in the affected intervals through the use of recallable transmission. This illustrative analysis performs production cost simulation runs using new intermittent resources scheduling at the Palo Verde, Four Corners, and Mead interties to examine the potential for market impacts of dynamic transfers of intermittent resources.1 The starting point for this analysis is the market model used by the ISO’s Department of Market Monitoring (DMM) for its Fall 2010 competitive path assessment, using PLEXOS software.2 To represent the most typical conditions, the simulation presented here uses DMM’s medium load and medium hydro scenarios, modified substantively only in the modeling of dynamic schedules. 3 The analysis adds new dynamic transfers using hourly profiles from the WECC 1 2 3 This analysis focuses on renewable imports from the southwestern states due to limitations that BPA has documented in its ability to support additional dynamic transfers across COI. The ISO believes that it will be able to adapt its dynamic scheduling functionality with the intra-hour scheduling functionality that some balancing authorities including BPA are developing, in order to support new resources, but details of such approaches are beyond the scope of this analysis. DMM’s Competitive Part Assessment for Fall 2010 is available at http://www.caiso.com/2829/2829dbd157e30.pdf. Additional detail of its methodology is available in the Competitive Path Assessment for MRTU Final Results for MRTU Go-Live, at http://www.caiso.com/2365/23659ca314f0.pdf. The cases described herein maintain DMM’s treatment of self-scheduled resources being bid at $0/MWh for existing resources in DMM’s model. New renewable generation that would be dynamically transferred is modeled using a bid price of $-30/MWh to determine the impact of such generation on the scheduling of other intertie resources, and for consistency with the value of the renewable resources’ renewable energy credits and tax credits. As an estimate of future market activity, this analysis uses the CAISO/MAD/JEP 8 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Transmission Expansion Planning Policy Committee (TEPPC), assuming that 50% of future additions of wind and solar generation in Arizona, southern Nevada, and New Mexico would be dynamically scheduled into the ISO’s market. To utilize existing ISO scheduling points, solar generation additions from Arizona and New Mexico are modeled at Palo Verde, wind additions from these states are modeled at Four Corners, and solar additions in southern Nevada are modeled at Mead. Specific details for five modeled cases are as follows: Case 1 – Reference case (internal intermittent resources): As a point of reference to isolate the impacts of dynamic transfers on intertie scheduling from impacts from simply having new generation in the ISO market, the added dynamically transferred wind and solar generation is placed within the ISO area rather than in other states, as an addition to the DMM competitive path assessment market case.4 Case 2 – Addition of dynamic transfers of renewable resources, without allowing transmission reservations: As noted above, using hourly profiles from TEPPC data, 50% of the future additions of wind and solar generation in Arizona, southern Nevada, and New Mexico are assumed to bid into the ISO market at Palo Verde, Four Corners, and Mead (50% of 2970 MW of new wind and 4300 MW of new solar, for a total of 3635 MW of added capacity in the ISO market), at a bid price of $-30/MWh, with no added transmission. This case establishes an additional benchmark for comparison with cases 3 to 5, by showing the impact of adding these low cost MWh without other market design features. Case 3 – Allowance for dynamically transferred resources to submit bids for transmission capacity reservations beyond their energy schedules: The ISO’s proposal to allow transmission reservations to accommodate variations in dynamic resources’ output allows economic bids for such capacity, but not self-schedules. Transmission reservations apply in pre-scheduling timeframes (DAM and HASP), but not to routine dispatch within operating hours. The assumed MW bid for transmission reservations is the median of one standard deviations of generation output within hourly periods (23.4% of the hourly average generation outputs), for 5-minute profiles of New Mexico wind generation, using Western Wind and Solar Integration Study (WWSIS) data. To distinguish these transmission capacity reservation bids from self-scheduled imports (priced at $0 in DMM’s data set), the assumed bid price is $1/MWh.5 This results in higher reservations of intertie transmission capacity, as discussed further in the discussion below. 4 5 average bid MW and prices for other dynamic transfers from combined days in DMM’s data set for medium load and hydro, when non-zero MW amounts were bid. Because this analysis does not add transmission capacity within the ISO that will be necessary to support internal additions of renewable generation, the in-state resource locations are placed at 500 kV buses, and the results were reviewed to verify that new congestion had not been created by the added generation. New wind generation is placed 90% in the SCE area (60% of this being at Vincent substation and 40% at Devers substation), and 10% in the PG&E area (60% of this being at Tesla substation and 40% at Vaca-Dixon substation). New solar generation is placed 80% in the SCE area (50% of this being at Lugo substation and 50% at Devers substation), and 20% in the PG&E area (50% of this being at Gates substation and 50% at Midway substation). Bid prices in this analysis reflect relative scheduling characteristics: renewable resources may be likely to continue self-scheduling despite negative LMPs due to renewable energy credits and tax credits, so renewable resources have a $-30/MWh bid price. This analysis maintains DMM’s modeling of energy self-schedules with a $0/MWh bid price. In the ISO’s proposals for refinement of dynamic transfer policies, transmission reservation bids are only for transmission capacity that is in addition to energy schedules and must be bids, not self-schedules. Pricing transmission reservation bids at $1/MWh while existing self-scheduled imports have a $0/MWh bid price ensures that the self-schedules for energy will take precedence over the economic bids for transmission reservations, while assuming that the transmission reservation bids place a higher value for transmission capacity than economic CAISO/MAD/JEP 9 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Case 4 – Real-time dispatch, with hourly intertie schedules fixed at prescheduled amounts from Case 3: This case represents a real-time dispatch scenario, in which hourly intertie schedules are limited to the pre-scheduled amounts determined in Case 3. Dynamic transfer schedules within operating hours are not limited by the transmission reservations that could limit hourly intertie schedules following Case 3, based on the ISO’s overall package of proposals for refinement of dynamic transfer policies. Case 5 – Added dynamic transfers of dispatchable resources: A significant part of the ISO’s proposals for dynamic transfers is allowing economic bids for dispatchable resources to be dispatched above the pre-scheduled transmission reservations, as “recallable” transmission that is firm for 5-minute intervals, but not scheduled beyond the timeframe of successive 5minute intervals. To illustrate the increase in transmission utilization that this mechanism allows, 500 MW of bids for dispatchable resources are added at Palo Verde, priced at 99% of the SCE LAP price from Case 2.6 The increased utilization of intertie capacity is shown in Figure 2. The 500 MW of added dynamic transfer is fully dispatched in 28 hours out of a total of modeled hours (four seasons each represented by a typical day of 24 hours), not dispatched at all in 20 hours due to congestion, and partly dispatched in 48 of the 96 modeled hours, in which the added dynamic transfer is a marginal bid. (Of these 48 hours when the added dynamic transfer is a marginal bid, the total schedule at Palo Verde reaches its limit in 16 hours, and the Palo Verde intertie remains uncongested in the other hours, with this bid being marginal for a larger part of the ISO market.) Figures 1 to 4 show results of these cases for four seasonal (calendar quarters) data sets that comprise the DMM market simulation data. The selection of dates that represent each season is described in DMM’s reports on its competitive path assessment. Figure 1 compares the hourly LMPs for the ISO’s three major load aggregation points (LAPs), for cases 1, 2, and 4. The data points for the three LAPs are indistinguishable in most hours due to limited congestion of enforced constraints within the ISO area.7 Similarly, the results for cases 2 and 4 are indistinguishable in most hours of this graph, which reflects the observations stated below that transmission reservations do not appear to have significant impacts on market outcomes. The distinction that is visible in Figure 1 is between case 1, in which renewable resource additions are within the ISO, versus cases 2 and 4, in which the additional renewable resources are dynamically transferred into the ISO. This difference in prices results from limits on the additional renewable resources’ ability to get into the ISO market within the existing intertie capacity, and additional impacts on prices due to allowing dynamic transfers to reserve intertie capacity do not appear significant. 6 7 energy bids, whose potential displacement is the subject of this analysis. Treating the transmission reservation bids as low-priced energy bids reduces the meaning of energy prices in case 3, but is necessary since the PLEXOS software does not currently provide for transmission capacity reservations that are separate from energy schedules. The bid quantity of 500 MW is intended as a conservative estimate of new dispatchable dynamic transfers. Since the timeframe of the data is DMM’s data set, Gila River has become operational as a dynamic schedule at Palo Verde, and the ISO has had additional inquiries about dynamic transfers including conventional resources. In DMM’s competitive path assessment, market participant portfolios are removed from participation in the market, which results in more congestion than in this base case. In the daily running of ISO markets, outage conditions lead to congestion that is not reflected in this base case. CAISO/MAD/JEP 10 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Figure 2 presents the study results for utilization of the Palo Verde intertie, and indicates that the addition of low cost resources that would compete for the existing intertie capacity would produce congestion at the Palo Verde scheduling limit in a number of hours. This appears as the difference between the solid line representing case 1 and the dashed line representing case 2. The dotted line representing case 3 shows the combined intertie utilization with energy schedules summed with additional transmission reservations for intermittent resources, and the solid markers representing case 4 shows the final real-time transmission utilization after accounting for hourly schedules being limited from further scheduling in realtime after dynamic transfers bid to reserve extra transmission capacity prior to real-time. Notably, the final transmission utilization in case 4 is indistinguishable in most hours from the results of case 2, which did not allow for the extra transmission reservations. Given the historical bid data collected for DMM’s competitive path analysis, little capacity is affected in case 4 by case 3’s reservations of transmission capacity, because the energy bids of hourly intertie resources are either competitive in all cases, or not competitive in any of the cases. Reductions in real-time intertie schedules at Palo Verde occur in 10 of the 96 simulated hours, but the maximum reduction is 0.02 MW. Thus, any reduction in scheduled imports from non-intermittent sources is due to the introduction of low priced MWh from intermittent resources, not from allowing transmission reservations exceeding energy schedules.8 Reductions in real-time transmission utilization, due to transmission capacity reservations by dynamic transfers, would be limited to instances in which self-scheduled energy (including that of intermittent resources) does not fully utilize an intertie’s capacity, hourly energy bids are available at prices that would be economic in the market, but transmission reservation bids express a higher value for the transmission capacity. The higher value of such transmission reservation bids would represent market participants’ risk assessments of their needs to deliver energy in real-time at MW levels exceeding their expected average delivery, rather than requirements in the ISO market to reserve their maximum capacity, because the ISO will allow deliveries exceeding transmission reservations using recallable transmission for 5-minute intervals within operating hours.9 Figures 3 and 4 show the results of cases 1 to 4 for Four Corners and Mead, respectively. These results are similar to those for Palo Verde. At Four Corners, reductions in real-time transmission utilization occur in three hours, with reductions in case 4 relative to case 2 of 0.01, 78.9, and 125.1 MW. At Mead, a reduction in real-time transmission utilization occurs in one hour, with a reduction in case 4 relative to case 2 of 25 MW. The following table shows details for the simulated hour with the highest transmission reservation beyond energy schedules, at Palo Verde, to demonstrate the observations presented through Figures 2 to 4. Static import and export schedules are the same in all cases. Additional energy bids are available, but are priced above the LMP in each case. New dynamically transferred solar generation is scheduled in cases 2 to 5. In case 3, the 8 9 The result of case 5 is also shown in Figure 2, and is discussed in the description of case 5 (addition of dispatchable dynamic resources) in order to show the mitigation that can occur if case 4 had shown meaningful reductions in intertie utilization. Because significant reductions in intertie utilization are also not present in the results for Four Corners or Mead, Figures 3 and 4 do not include case 5. Dynamic transfers may face limitations by other balancing authorities to limit deliveries to their transmission reservations up to the ISO’s scheduling point. However, this limitation may vary between balancing authorities, and balancing authorities may have more transmission capacity for market participants to get to the ISO’s scheduling points than the ISO is able to schedule across the corresponding intertie. CAISO/MAD/JEP 11 11/12/2010 CAISO Public additional transmission reservation bid for the new solar generation can also be scheduled. The impact of limited intertie capacity is not seen until scheduling of additional dispatchable dynamic transfers is considered in case 5. Season 3, Hour Beginning 08:00: Uncongested in Case 3 Case Static import Static export New Solar Solar Transmission schedules schedules Reservation 1: Reference case 2093 811 2: Add intermittent DT 2093 811 1574.2 3: Add transmission reservations 2093 811 1574.2 368.4 (equal to bid) 4: RT dispatch after reservations 2093 811 1574.2 5: Add new dispatchable DT 2093 811 1574.2 New Dispatchable DT 471.8 Figure 5 provides additional insights indicating that allowing transmission reservations beyond expected energy delivery for dynamic transfers may not significantly impact other transmission usage, by providing duration curves for available transmission capability (ATC), scheduled capacity, and remaining unscheduled capacity at Palo Verde, for the April to October 2010 period for which these data are readily accessible. In most hours, a notable amount of available capacity remains unscheduled, and would be available if desired by market participants that use dynamic transfers to ensure delivery of their energy. From the above discussion of these results, there does not appear to be a strong reason for further analysis of the impact of dynamic transfers of intermittent resources on intertie utilization. Certainly, it is possible that some decreases in intertie utilization may occur. However, the ISO has addressed this possibility through its proposals, including the use of recallable transmission to dispatch dynamic resources beyond their transmission reservations when other dynamic resources are not fully utilizing their reserved capacity. CAISO/MAD/JEP 12 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Figure 1: LAP Prices with Intermittent Resources within ISO vs. Imported as Dynamic Transfer 80 70 $/MWh 60 50 40 30 20 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 Time PG&E LAP, Internal Resources SDG&E LAP, Internal Resources SCE LAP, Dynamic Transfers PG&E LAP, Dynamic Transfers + reservations SDGE LAP, Dynamic Transfers + reservations 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 SCE LAP, Internal Resources PG&E LAP, Dynamic Transfers SDGE LAP, Dynamic Transfers SCE LAP, Dynamic Transfers + reservations Figure 2: Palo Verde Intertie Utilization with Dynamic Transfers of Intermittent resources 3500 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 1: Internal Intermittents 2: DT without Transmission Reservations 3: HASP Schedules + Reservations 4: RT Dispatch after HASP Reservations 5: RT Dispatch with New Dispatchable DT CAISO/MAD/JEP 13 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Figure 3: Four Corners Intertie Utilization with Dynamic Transfers of Intermittent resources 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 1: Internal Intermittents 2: DT without Transmission Reservations 3: HASP Schedules + Reservations 4: RT Dispatch after HASP Reservations Figure 4: Mead Intertie Utilization with Dynamic Transfers of Intermittent resources 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 12:00 0:00 1: Internal Intermittents 2: DT without Transmission Reservations 3: HASP Schedules + Reservations 4: RT Dispatch after HASP Reservations CAISO/MAD/JEP 14 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Figure 5: Duration Curves for Available Transmission Capability (ATC), Scheduled Capacity, and Remaining Unscheduled Capacity at Palo Verde 3500 3000 MW 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 Rank Order HASP Limit CAISO/MAD/JEP HASP MW 15 Remaining Capacity 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Attachment 2: Modifications to WECC Base Case for Intermittent Dynamic Transfer Capability Study The CAISO has used the WECC 2018 Heavy Spring from the WECC website as the starting point for the technical studies. New wind generation was added in the Solano and Tehachapi areas. Since the base case didn’t have any new generation or transmission projects in the SCE area and none of the Tehachapi upgrades, or Palo Verde-Devers upgrades were modeled, the SCE area of the 2018 Heavy Spring case was replaced with the SCE area from the 2020 Heavy Summer case of the 2011 CAISO Transmission Expansion Plan. Two base cases were created from the 2018 Heavy Spring base case: (1) COI was loaded to its maximum capacity of 4,800 MW and (2) WOR was loaded to 9222 MW. All changes to the original WECC 2018 Heavy Spring base case are reflected in the following description. CREATING A CASE FOR DYNAMIC SCHEDULE ANALYSIS Starting Case – WECC 2018 Heavy Spring from the WECC website. CHANGES IN THE SOLANO AREA 1) Added wind generation at Solano. Turned on generation (existing) that was modeled off, and dispatched it at maximum: Bus 32169 Bus 32172 Bus 32171 Bus 32177 Bus 33170 SOLANOWP HIGHWNDS HIGHWND3 SHILO WINDMSTR 100 MW 162 MW 38 MW 300 MW 37.6 MW Subtotal – 637.6 MW 2) Added new wind generation projects at Solano A) Project Queue # 222 and associated transmission Bus 32179 T222 78.2 MW B) Project Queue # 039 and associated transmission Bus 32190 Q039 200 MW C) Project Queue # 113 and associated transmission Bus 32188 P0611G 30 MW D) Project Queue # 108 and associated transmission Bus 32186 P0609 128 MW Subtotal – 436.2 MW CAISO/MAD/JEP 16 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Total added at Solano 1073.8 MW Added upgrades because of overload: second Bird Landing-Shilo 230 kV line Reduced existing generation to compensate for generation additions: turned off Delta Energy Center (DEC) 880 MW. The rest of the additions went to swing bus (Pittsburg 7) There is also existing wind generation in Las Positas and Tesla areas, but it wasn’t changed it because it is not in Solano. It is modeled at 49 MW out of 369 MW maximum. CAISO/MAD/JEP 17 11/12/2010 CAISO Public CHANGES IN THE TEHACHAPI AREA Since the WECC Heavy Spring case didn’t have any new generation or transmission projects in the SCE area and none of the Tehachapi upgrades, or Paloverde-Devers upgrades were modeled, the SCE area of the 2018 Heavy Spring case was replaced with the SCE area from the 2020 Heavy Summer case of the 2011 CAISO Transmission Expansion Plan. The SCE load was scaled down to the level of the 2018 Spring case - 15813 MW, from 28422 MW in the Transmission Expansion Plan case. The following new generation projects at Tehachapi were added, together with the associated transmission upgrades. All these projects were modeled as dispatched at the maximum output. BUS-NO 24249 24250 24257 24258 24259 24279 24280 24281 24282 24262 24269 24270 24271 24272 28313 28555 28556 28089 28090 94658 28034 28044 28270 28271 28272 28273 24270 28014 28294 28295 NAME eastwnd1 eastwnd2 westwnd1 westwnd2 westwnd3 skyrivr1 skyrivr2 skyrivr3 skyrivr4 TEHACHAP tehachmm tehachmm tehachr1 tehachr2 TOT185GN wndt179a wndt179b wndt108a wndt108b TOT342_1 WNDT146 wndt153 wndt151a wndt151b wndt151c wndt151d tehachmm TOT155 wndt161a wndt161b CAISO/MAD/JEP KV 0.6 0.6 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 66 0.48 0.57 0.48 0.48 1 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.69 1 1 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 0.57 1 1 1 ID 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ PGEN 30 30 7 7 7 18.2 18 19.8 20.9 35 41.8 1.5 14.9 21.2 72.7 214.5 82.5 150 150 150 51 51 85 85 85 85 35 24 41.5 44.5 18 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 28296 28297 28298 28469 28470 28471 28472 28390 28391 28392 28393 28394 28395 28396 28397 28398 28399 28400 28401 28443 28444 28445 28446 28447 28448 28449 28450 28451 28452 28453 28454 28455 28456 28480 28481 28482 28096 94989 94990 94991 94689 94690 wndt161c wndt161d wndt161e wndt164a wndt164b wndt164c wndt164d wndt162a wndt162b wndt162c wndt162d wndt162e wndt162f wndt162g wndt162h wndt162i wndt162j wndt162k wndt162l wndt163a wndt163b wndt163c wndt163d wndt163e wndt163f wndt163g wndt163h wndt163i wndt163j wndt163k wndt163l wndt163m wndt163n wndt165a wndt165b wndt165c wndt167 WDT270_a WDT270_b WDT270_c wdt300_a wdt300_b CAISO/MAD/JEP 1 1 1 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.69 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.48 0.48 EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ 47.5 50.5 36 52.5 52.5 52.5 22.5 47 47 47 36 50 50 50 47 50 36 45 45 40 40 40 36 50 50 50 48 50 36 40 40 40 40 55 52.5 52.5 120 11 11 11 25 25 19 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 94691 94692 wdt300_c wdt300_d EQ EQ 0.48 0.48 TOTAL 25 25 3556 Existing wind generation at Tehachapi was turned on and dispatched at maximum output. BUS-NO NAME 24465 MORWIND 24481 MIDWIND 24482 SOUTHWND 24483 NORTHWND 24484 ZONDWND1 24485 ZONDWND2 24486 BREEZE1 24487 BREEZE2 24437 KERNRVR 24456 BOREL 24457 ARBWIND 24458 ENCANWND 24459 FLOWIND 24460 DUTCHWND 24436 GOLDTOWN 24118 PITCHGEN TOTAL ID KV 1 66 1 12 1 12 1 12 1 12 1 12 1 12 1 12 1 66 66 1 66 1 66 1 66 1 66 1 66 1 13.8 D1 PGEN 56 18 6.6 19.4 13.2 12.8 4.5 8 24 10 21.8 112.9 40.8 14 13 30 405 Thus, total wind generation at Tehachapi was modeled at 3961 MW. To compensate for this additional generation, the following units were turned off or their output was reduced compared to the generation dispatched in the 2020 Summer peak case (including proposed solar and thermal generation): For majority of these units, the output and status was modeled to match the spring case of 2018 In the SCE area: bus # Name 24003 ALAMT3 G 24004 ALAMT4 G CAISO/MAD/JEP kV ID 18 18 Output, MW 3 4 reduced 20 315 149 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 24005 ALAMT5 G 20 5 24020 CARBGEN1 13.8 1 24062 HARBOR G 13.8 1 24089 MANDLY1G 13.8 1 24090 MANDLY2G 13.8 2 24108 ORMOND2G 26 2 24123 REDON7 G 20 7 24124 REDON8 G 20 8 24127 S.CLARA 66 1 24161 ALAMT6 G 20 6 24163 ARCO 5G 13.8 5 24164 ARCO 6G 13.8 6 24239 MALBRG1G 13.8 C1 24240 MALBRG2G 13.8 C2 24241 MALBRG3G 13.8 S3 24242 RERC1G 13.8 1 24243 RERC2G 13.8 1 24244 SPRINGEN 13.8 1 24299 RERC2G3 13.8 1 Big Creek-Mammoth hydro reduced to match spring case 24324 SANIGEN 13.8 D1 24328 CARBGEN2 13.8 1 24329 MOBGEN2 13.8 1 24332 PALOGEN 13.8 D1 24340 CHARMIN 13.8 1 24714 ALTA 1G 13.8 1 24718 ALTA31GT 13.8 31 24720 ALTA41GT 13.8 41 24734 ALTA32GT 13.8 32 24735 ALTA42GT 13.8 42 24737 LUZ8 G 13.8 8 24738 LUZ9 G 13.8 9 24815 GARNET 115 QF 24856 WDT213G1 0.6 1 24857 WDT213G2 0.6 1 24921 MNTV-CT1 18 1 24922 MNTV-CT2 18 1 reduced 24923 MNTV-ST1 18 1 reduced 24924 MNTV-CT3 18 1 24925 MNTV-CT4 18 1 reduced 24926 MNTV-ST2 18 1 reduced CAISO/MAD/JEP 21 470 15 90 215 215 700 200 470 40 470 40 40 43 43 50 13 13 14 50 225.3 6.7 15 20 3.6 15 55 65 65 65 65 80 80 144.8 12.1 11.6 150 50 100 150 50 100 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 25301 25302 28116 28121 28126 28132 28137 28142 28729 29002 29030 29041 29042 29060 29061 29101 29102 29103 29104 29105 29108 29180 29191 29201 29202 29203 29260 29290 29903 29951 29952 29953 94032 94068 94108 94111 94112 94114 94130 94135 94137 94184 CLTNDREW CLTNCTRY TOT131G4 TOT131G5 TOT131G6 TOT131G1 TOT131G2 TOT131G3 TOT180 HIDEDCT2 WDT164 IEEC-G1 IEEC-G2 SEAWEST WHITEWTR TOT032G1 TOT032G2 TOT032G3 TOT032G4 TOT032G5 TOT032G8 WINTEC8 WINTECX1 TOT135G1 TOT135G2 TOT135G3 ALTAMSA4 CABAZON TOT041G6 REFUSE CAMGEN SIGGEN TOT210 TOT242 TOT198_1 TOT199 TOT199 TOT199 TOT358L1 TOT278_A TOT278_B tot284_a CAISO/MAD/JEP 13.8 13.8 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 13.8 15 0.57 19.5 19.5 115 33 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 115 33 18 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 18 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 16 13.8 0.48 0.48 1 1 EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ 1 1 EQ 1 2 S1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 D1 D1 D1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 EQ EQ 22 47.2 47.2 103.3 103.3 103.3 91.6 91.6 92.3 63.6 150 19 405 405 44.4 30 105 105 105 105 105 105 45.3 45.3 100 100 100 40 42.6 150 9.8 26.2 23.9 72.5 127.3 90.3 80.7 80.1 80.1 90.3 21.6 21.6 16.3 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 94185 94186 94187 94209 94210 94214 94215 94216 94217 94228 94229 94233 94234 94246 94247 94266 94267 94271 94272 94275 94276 94277 94278 94423 94424 94426 94427 94428 94429 94455 94465 94466 94486 94487 94488 94508 94521 94522 94523 94524 94526 94633 tot284_b tot284_c tot284_d TOT345_1 TOT345_2 tot292_a tot292_b tot292_c tot292_d WDT315A WDT315B tot307_a tot307_b TOT333G1 TOT333G2 TOT211L1 TOT211L2 tot313_a tot313_b tot314_a tot314_b tot314_c tot314_d TOT335G1 TOT335G2 TOT337G1 TOT337G2 TOT338G1 TOT338G2 TOT254G1 TOT321L1 TOT321L2 TOT226L3 TOT226L4 TOT226L5 TOT349L1 TOT276L1 TOT276L2 TOT276L3 TOT276L4 T154 TOT223L1 CAISO/MAD/JEP 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.4 0.4 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 12.47 12.47 0.48 0.48 13.8 13.8 0.21 0.21 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.8 18 18 18 0.48 0.48 0.48 13.8 18 18 18 18 18 18 EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ 1 2 1 1 EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 23 16.3 16.3 16.3 81.7 81.7 16.3 16.3 16.3 16.3 13.6 13.6 16.3 16.3 25.1 25.1 95.4 95.4 13.1 13.1 16.3 16.3 16.3 16.3 25.1 25.1 25.1 25.1 25.1 25.1 164.3 150.5 150.5 66.6 66.6 66.6 29.8 150.5 150.5 150.5 150.5 0 150.5 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 94634 94639 94640 94643 94645 94650 94654 94703 94704 94705 94706 94707 94708 94737 94738 94739 94740 94984 TOT223L2 TOT340_1 TOT340_2 TOT341_1 TOT341_2 TOT381_1 TOT381_2 WDT286A WDT286B WDT286C WDT286D WDT286E WDT286F WDT285A WDT285B WDT285C WDT285D TOT340B 18 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.48 0.4 0.4 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.31 0.4 1 EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ EQ 150.5 90.2 89.5 106.5 105.8 76.6 76.6 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 15.9 32.7 Total generation in the SCE area in the 2020 Summer peak case was modeled at 19880 MW, load at 28442 MW, for the 2018 Spring case for the dynamic schedule study SCE generation is modeled at 9805 MW, load at 15813 MW. For comparison, the 2018 Spring case that was a starting case from which the case for the dynamic schedule study was created, had generation in SCE modeled at 7763 MW, load at 15813 MW. The data for generation for all the cases includes irrigational pumps that are modeled as negative generation. Generation reduction in other areas compared to the 2018 Spring case: SDG&E: Encina 4 Encina 5 295 MW 320 MW PG&E: Humboldt 66.4 MW Pittsburg 7 (swing bus) generation reduced by 142.5 MW Delta Energy Center (to accommodate Solano Wind) 880 MW Gateway 195 MW ESEC 92.4 MW UCDMC 25 MW Northwest: Coulee CAISO/MAD/JEP 696 MW 24 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Chief Joe 306 MW BC Hydro: GMS 260 MW Total reduction in generation in areas other than SCE - 3279 MW. Reduction in SCE area generation compared with the Spring case to accommodate additional Tehachapi wind 1919 MW. Total reduction in generation to accommodate additional wind generation 5198 MW. Addition of wind generation in Solano and Tehachapi: 5035 MW Reduction in losses in the case with wind generation compared to the 2018 Spring case 163 MW To mitigate the overload caused by such a significant wind generation modeled in the case, the following system upgrades were modeled in addition to the upgrades already included in the 2020 Summer Peak case from the CAISO Transmission Expansion Plan: 1) Four additional 34.5 kV transmission lines to accommodate the TOT108 project 2) Two additional 34.5/0.69 kV transformers to accommodate the TOT163 project 3) Second 230 kV transmission line between Tehachapi and Skyriver 4) Second and third 230 kV transmission lines between Tehachapi P and E-W-WILD 5) Second 230 kV transmission line between East-West-WILD and VI-WI 6) Second 230 kV transmission line between VI-WI and Vincent 7) Second Tehachapi 230/66/12 kV transformer 8) Second 66 kV line between Tehachapi P Tehachapi M 9) Fourth Tehachapi M 66/12.5 kV transformer 10) Second Midwind 66/12.5 kV transformer 11) Two additional Tehachapi P 230/66 kV transformers 12) Two additional Tehachapi M 230/66 kV transformers 13) Additional Northwind 66/12 kV transformer Major Path Flows in the WECC 2018 Spring Case and with the wind generation added: # Path case with wind 1 ALBERTA - BRITISH COLUMBIA spring case -400 -400 0 0 -2270 -2500 4 WEST OF CASCADES - NORTH 4297 4344 5 WEST OF CASCADES - SOUTH 4554 4557 2 ALBERTA - SASKATCHEWAN 3 NW-CANADA CAISO/MAD/JEP 25 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 6 WEST OF HATWAI 1199 1078 8 MONTANA - NORTHWEST 526 436 9 WEST OF BROADVIEW 844 788 10 WEST OF COLSTRIP 843 843 11 WEST OF CROSSOVER 877 860 -179 -235 598 -569 -148 -137 579 542 -171 -201 0 0 18 7 21 ARIZONA - CALIFORNIA 4655 3144 22 SOUTHWEST OF FOUR CORNERS 1256 1334 151 220 24 PG&E - SPP -2 -4 25 PACIFICORP/PG&E 115 KV INTERCON. 58 56 26 NORTHERN - SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA 1813 2251 27 IPP DC 1006 1006 28 INTERMOUNTAIN - MONA 345 KV 23 26 29 INTERMOUNTAIN - GONDER 230 KV 23 20 30 TOT 1A -19 -50 31 TOT 2A 236 305 31 23 33 BONANZA WEST 246 224 34 TOT 2B 414 530 14 IDAHO-NW 15 MIDWAY - LOS BANOS 16 IDAHO - SIERRA 17 BORAH W 18 IDAHO - MONTANA 19 BRIDGER W 20 PATH C 23 FOUR CORNERS 345/500 32 PAVANT, INTRMTN - GONDER 230 KV CAISO/MAD/JEP 26 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 35 TOT 2C 0 0 36 TOT 3 439 467 37 TOT 4A 16 24 38 TOT 4B 236 208 39 TOT 5 567 539 40 TOT 7 100 114 73 38 222 84 43 NORTH OF SAN ONOFRE 1288 1561 44 SOUTH OF SAN ONOFRE 862 589 -1 0 5695 6744 47 SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO (NM1) 116 116 48 NORTHERN NEW MEXICO (NM2) 1711 1714 49 EAST OF COLORADO RIVER (EOR) 3769 3231 50 CHOLLA - PINNACLE PEAK 716 737 51 SOUTHERN NAVAJO 544 564 0 0 54 CORONADO - SILVER KING - KYRENE 881 903 55 BROWNLEE EAST 852 908 -169 -164 59 EAGLE MTN 230/161 KV - BLYTHE 16 -23 67 60 INYO - CONTROL 115 KV TIE -52 -50 61 LUGO - VICTORVILLE 500 KV LINE 939 820 62 ELDORADO - MCCULLOUGH 500 KV -87 88 18 4 41 SYLMAR - SCE 42 IID - SCE 45 CA INDEPENDENT - MEXICO (CFE) 46 WEST OF COLORADO RIVER (WOR) 52 SILVER PEAK - CONTROL 55 KV 58 ELDORADO - MEAD 230 KV LINES 63 PERKINS - MEAD - MARKETPLACE 500 CAISO/MAD/JEP 27 11/12/2010 CAISO Public 65 PDCI 3088 3098 66 COI 2819 3710 73 N JOHNDAY 6849 7733 75 MIDPOINT - SUMMER LAKE 706 762 76 ALTURAS PROJECT 101 101 77 CRYSTAL - ALLEN 250 251 78 TOT 2B1 311 392 79 TOT 2B2 104 139 24 79 1260 1241 13030 11837 80 MONTANA SOUTHEAST 81 CENTENNIAL 500 Southern CA Imports Case with COI 4800 MW Turned back on: Northwest: Coulee Coulee Chief Joe Add John Day 696 MW 219 MW 306 MW 278 MW BC Hydro: GMS Total 260 MW 1499 MW Turned off : LADWP: Haynes 8 CAISO/MAD/JEP 200 MW 28 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Valley8 Harper Lake 180 MW 100 MW Arizona: Gila River Aguafria 439 MW 210 MW SMUD Cosumnes GT 165 MW Total 1294 MW Reduce flow on PDCI from 3000 MW to 2000 MW, reduced shunts on Sylmar COI Flow 4769 MW CAISO/MAD/JEP 29 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Case with high West of River (WOR) Flow WOR Limit is 10623 MW Starting case – Spring 2018 with wind generation at Solano and Tehachapi added WOR Flow 5695 MW Changes to the case: Reduce generation in Northwest and increase generation in Arizona and Nevada Turned on Arlington 3 units 500 MW Turned off Coulee 11, 12 ,13, 15 439 MW Reduced Coulee 19 from 597 to 537 MW WOR flow increased to 6092 MW Turned on Paloverde 2 1382 MW Turned off Chief Joe 5-15 = 76.6 x 11 = 842.6 MW Turned off John Day 1-4 = 138.3 x 4 = 553.2 MW Total reduced 1396 MW Turned off another John Day to keep swing up 138.3 MW WOR Flow is 7157 MW COI 1488 MW, PDCI 3100, need to make COI more Reduced PDCI to 2000 MW, COI 2270 MW. Reduced shunt at Sylmar WOR Flow became 7340 MW Add generation in Arizona Added DRPP unit 2 (was off) 500 MW Took off gen in Canada (BC) reduced REV from 424 to 200 MW KMO 1,2 , 3 300 MW PCN 13 G1 160 MW WOR 7654 MW, COI 1857 MW Add generation in Nevada HACC 1 100 MW was off HACC 3 increased from 50 MW to 150 MW Took off gen in LADWP HLSP 2 (Harper Lake) 100 MW BCON 18 G 100 MW WOR 7846 MW, COI 1863 MW Took off more in LADWP CAISO/MAD/JEP 30 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Haynes 8 200 MW Increased in AZ Harquahala 215+120+215 = 560 MW Take off in PG&E Gilroy Cog 41.5 MW Cosumnes 1 165 MW WOR Flow 8344 MW Turn on Four Corners 3 200 MW Turn off LADWP Valley 6 70 MW Haynes 9 156 MW WOR Flow 8504 MW Added TOT 226 66.6 x 3 = 199.8 MW (at Eldorado, SCE) Took off in LADWP MAG ST 80 Mw Grays 3,4 ,5 5+12.6x2 = 30.2 MW Haynes 10 156 MW WOR Flow 8714.7 MW Added TOT 321 264.4 MW (w/ aux load) at Red Bluff WOR flow 8930 MW Turn off in PG&E La Paloma G1 230 MW WOR Flow 8948 MW Turned on TOT 198 at Red Bluff 90.3 MW TOT 199 80.7 + 80.1 + 80.1 = 241 MW WOR Flow 9220 MW Took off PG&E WEC1 ct 59.8 DVRA GT 1 45 MW DUK Moss 5 166 MW WOR Flow 9225 MW Dynamic renew2.dyd Above limits CAISO/MAD/JEP 31 11/12/2010 CAISO Public Yucca exciter bus 14963, Navajo 2 governor, reduced from 805 to 800 MW WOR Flow 9222 MW Error in dyd file, Yucca 1 and 2 are 13.2 kV, not 13.8 Reduced Yucca 3 Vsched to 0.98 CAISO/MAD/JEP 32 11/12/2010