CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
Sample
Conducted
Margin of Error
1091 Likely Voters⇤
August 30-September 2, 2016
±4.1%
1. In America today, do you feel the values and culture of people like you are:
Generally becoming more widespread and accepted . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
Generally becoming rarer and less accepted . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 56%
Holding steady . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19%
2. Which best describes the way the U.S. economic system works for people like you?
People like me have gotten a few more advantages than others, and we’re
fortunate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
People like me do not get special advantages and privileges, but some others
do . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%
Everyone, including people like me, gets an equal chance to succeed . . . 18%
3. How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Definitely will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .93%
Probably will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 5%
Maybe will vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Probably will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Definitely will not vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
Don’t know . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
4. Compared to other recent elections, do you feel more or less motivated to vote this year
than in recent years?
More motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 57%
Less motivated . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
About the same as before . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 23%
Haven’t been able to vote before . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
⇤
1100 registered voters total were interviewed. 1091 likely voters are included.
1
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
5. If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary
Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates
Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .45%
Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Gary Johnson . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Jill Stein . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Probably won’t vote . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
6. What is the main reason behind your vote for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in
November?
Asked of respondents voting for Trump
Mainly because I like Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Mainly because Donald Trump is the Republican nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 6%
Mainly to oppose Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
7. What is the main reason behind your vote for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in
November?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton
Mainly because I like Hillary Clinton . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
Mainly because Hillary Clinton is the Democratic nominee . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Mainly to oppose Donald Trump . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
8. Would you ever consider voting for Hillary Clinton in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton
Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 85%
2
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
9. Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump
Yes, I would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until November . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
No, I never would . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 83%
10. Voting for [Candidate Name] right now makes me feel...
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump
Enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
Satisfied, but not Enthusiastic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 36%
Like I am settling for the lesser of two bad choices . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 24%
11. Whether or not you personally support him, how much of Donald Trump’s campaign do
you feel is based on:
An appeal to some
racial groups over
others
His own desire to be
President
His sincere desire for
a better America
Doing what donors
and party leaders
want
A lot
Some
Not much
37%
27%
36%
56%
28%
15%
37%
18%
45%
9%
25%
66%
3
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
12. Whether or not you personally support her, how much of Hillary Clinton’s campaign do you
feel is based on:
An appeal to some
racial groups over
others
Her own desire to be
President
Her sincere desire for
a better America
Doing what donors
and party leaders
want
A lot
Some
Not much
36%
30%
34%
75%
17%
8%
30%
24%
46%
50%
36%
14%
13. Do you feel Donald Trump’s positions on immigration are:
The same as they’ve always been . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .48%
Changing, and getting tougher on illegal immigrants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Changing, and getting easier toward illegal immigrants . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
14. Do you feel Hillary Clinton’s explanations of her email server are:
The same as they’ve always been . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .49%
Changing, and getting more believable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Changing, and getting less believable . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 44%
4
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
15. So far, are the candidates talking too much, not enough, or the right amount about:
Their personalities
and personal issues
The economy and
jobs
Terrorism and
national security
Their past business
and financial
dealings
Too much
Not enough
The right
amount
50%
25%
25%
3%
73%
24%
12%
56%
32%
19%
53%
27%
16. When Donald Trump talks about issues that concern minority communities, do you feel
that he is:
Mainly trying to help people . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33%
Mainly looking for votes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 67%
17. When Hillary Clinton talks about issues that concern minority communities, do you feel
that she is:
Mainly trying to help people . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 38%
Mainly looking for votes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 62%
18. Whether or not you’re supporting him, which describe your feelings toward Donald Trump
on each of these items:
As a person
His economic
policies
His social policies
His immigration
policies
Like a lot
19%
Like a little
22%
Don’t like
59%
32%
23%
22%
24%
46%
53%
33%
17%
50%
5
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
19. Whether or not you’re supporting her, which describe your feelings toward Hillary Clinton
on each of these items:
As a person
Her economic
policies
Her social policies
Her immigration
policies
Like a lot
20%
Like a little
25%
Don’t like
55%
26%
31%
29%
25%
45%
44%
24%
30%
46%
20. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Will look out for
people like you
Tells the truth
I know where he
stands on issues
Describes
Does not describe
35%
65%
41%
40%
59%
60%
48%
52%
21. Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Is prepared to be
Commander in Chief
Will look out for
people like you
Tells the truth
I know where she
stands on issues
Describes
Does not describe
54%
46%
40%
28%
60%
72%
58%
42%
6
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
22. In the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in November, are you planning to vote for...
Pat Toomey, the Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Katie McGinty, the Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
Not sure yet . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20%
Someone else . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 2%
23. Whether or not you would vote for him, do you feel Pat Toomey is the same kind of
Republican as Donald Trump, or a different kind of Republican from Donald Trump?
Same . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Different . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 72%
24. Are you generally confident or not confident that Presidential votes will be counted fairly in
Pennsylvania this year?
Confident . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 61%
Not confident . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 39%
25. In general, how would you describe your own political viewpoint?
Very liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Somewhat liberal . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Moderate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 37%
Somewhat conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16%
Very conservative . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
7
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
26. Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as a...?
Strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Not very strong Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 17%
Lean Democrat . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Independent . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8%
Lean Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7%
Not very strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14%
Strong Republican . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 0%
27. How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?
Support . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22%
Oppose . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 43%
Neutral . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 35%
28. Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian?
Yes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 30%
No . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 65%
Not sure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
29. Are you male or female?
Male . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 49%
Female . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 51%
30. In what year were you born? [Age recoded from birth year]
18-29 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18%
30-44 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
45-64 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 40%
65+ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 16%
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CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
31. What racial or ethnic group best describes you?
White . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 79%
Black . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 13%
Hispanic . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3%
Other . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 4%
32. What is the highest level of education you have completed?
HS or less . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 26%
Some college . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25%
College grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28%
Post grad . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 21%
9
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
1. Values and Culture
In America today, do you feel the values and culture of people like you are:
Gender
Generally becoming more widespread
and accepted
Generally becoming rarer and less
accepted
Holding steady
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
25%
27%
22%
43%
31%
17%
14%
21%
38%
⇤
⇤
56%
19%
55%
18%
58%
20%
42%
15%
55%
14%
62%
21%
62%
24%
60%
19%
45%
18%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,090)
(536)
(553)
(200)
(280)
(431)
(179)
(863)
(147)
Party ID
Generally becoming more widespread
and accepted
Generally becoming rarer and less
accepted
Holding steady
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Democrat
Independent
25%
35%
33%
56%
19%
37%
27%
100%
(1,090)
Ideology
Republican
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
⇤
⇤
(31)
No
(48)
Tea Party
Liberal
Moderate
Yes
No
7%
50%
23%
5%
6%
30%
4%
31%
55%
12%
81%
12%
25%
25%
56%
21%
84%
11%
87%
7%
47%
22%
90%
6%
47%
22%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(474)
(234)
(373)
(300)
(445)
(345)
(249)
(841)
(241)
(849)
1
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
2. U.S. Economic System
Which best describes the way the U.S. economic system works for people like you?
Gender
People like me have gotten a few
more advantages than others, and
we’re fortunate
People like me do not get special
advantages and privileges, but some
others do
Everyone, including people like me,
gets an equal chance to succeed
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
25%
25%
24%
34%
23%
22%
22%
25%
20%
⇤
⇤
57%
55%
58%
51%
59%
59%
54%
56%
67%
⇤
⇤
18%
20%
18%
15%
18%
19%
24%
19%
13%
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,089)
(537)
(552)
(200)
(279)
(432)
(179)
(862)
(147)
Party ID
People like me have gotten a few
more advantages than others, and
we’re fortunate
People like me do not get special
advantages and privileges, but some
others do
Everyone, including people like me,
gets an equal chance to succeed
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
25%
32%
27%
14%
40%
26%
10%
11%
29%
12%
28%
57%
56%
54%
59%
55%
58%
57%
65%
54%
50%
59%
18%
11%
19%
27%
6%
16%
33%
25%
17%
38%
13%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,089)
(473)
(234)
(373)
(299)
(445)
(345)
(250)
(839)
(241)
(848)
2
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
3. Likelihood of Voting
How likely is it that you will vote in the 2016 Presidential election in November?
Gender
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
93%
5%
2%
0%
0%
0%
95%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%
91%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%
92%
4%
4%
1%
0%
0%
90%
8%
2%
0%
0%
0%
95%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%
94%
4%
2%
0%
0%
0%
93%
5%
2%
0%
0%
0%
91%
7%
2%
0%
0%
0%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(537)
(554)
(200)
(281)
(432)
(179)
(864)
(147)
Party ID
Definitely will vote
Probably will vote
Maybe will vote
Probably will not vote
Definitely will not vote
Don’t know
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
93%
5%
2%
0%
0%
0%
95%
4%
1%
0%
0%
0%
89%
7%
3%
0%
0%
0%
93%
5%
2%
0%
0%
0%
96%
3%
1%
0%
0%
0%
91%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%
92%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%
90%
7%
3%
0%
0%
0%
93%
5%
2%
0%
0%
0%
94%
4%
2%
0%
0%
0%
92%
6%
2%
0%
0%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(474)
(234)
(375)
(300)
(445)
(346)
(250)
(841)
(242)
(849)
3
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
4. Motivated to Vote this Year
Compared to other recent elections, do you feel more or less motivated to vote this year than in recent years?
Gender
More motivated
Less motivated
About the same as before
Haven’t been able to vote before
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
57%
18%
23%
2%
56%
17%
25%
2%
58%
18%
22%
1%
52%
16%
25%
7%
55%
25%
20%
0%
59%
15%
27%
0%
64%
16%
19%
1%
56%
19%
24%
2%
65%
15%
18%
1%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(537)
(554)
(200)
(281)
(432)
(179)
(864)
(147)
Party ID
More motivated
Less motivated
About the same as before
Haven’t been able to vote before
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
57%
18%
23%
2%
59%
13%
27%
1%
57%
20%
21%
2%
55%
22%
21%
2%
55%
15%
27%
3%
59%
18%
22%
1%
57%
19%
22%
2%
52%
22%
26%
1%
59%
16%
23%
2%
63%
17%
19%
1%
56%
18%
25%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(474)
(234)
(375)
(300)
(445)
(346)
(250)
(841)
(242)
(849)
4
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
5. Presidential Vote 2016
If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, who would you
vote for?
Voters selecting someone else in the initial question were given a choice of a selection of third party candidates
Gender
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably won’t vote
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
45%
37%
6%
2%
3%
6%
0%
42%
39%
8%
2%
4%
4%
1%
49%
35%
3%
2%
2%
9%
0%
48%
25%
12%
3%
6%
6%
1%
46%
31%
9%
5%
4%
5%
1%
43%
45%
3%
0%
2%
8%
0%
48%
43%
1%
0%
0%
6%
1%
37%
44%
7%
2%
3%
6%
1%
86%
3%
3%
1%
0%
7%
0%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(537)
(554)
(200)
(281)
(432)
(179)
(864)
(147)
Party ID
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Gary Johnson
Jill Stein
Someone else
Not sure
Probably won’t vote
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
45%
37%
6%
2%
3%
6%
0%
83%
8%
2%
1%
1%
5%
0%
33%
35%
15%
7%
3%
7%
1%
6%
75%
5%
1%
7%
7%
0%
84%
6%
1%
5%
0%
3%
0%
49%
30%
8%
1%
1%
10%
0%
8%
73%
7%
0%
8%
4%
0%
16%
63%
3%
1%
5%
10%
1%
54%
29%
7%
2%
2%
5%
0%
3%
76%
7%
0%
7%
7%
0%
58%
26%
5%
3%
2%
6%
0%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(474)
(234)
(375)
(300)
(445)
(346)
(250)
(841)
(242)
(849)
5
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
6. Why Voting for Trump
What is the main reason behind your vote for Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton in November?
Asked of respondents voting for Trump
Gender
Mainly because I like Donald Trump
Mainly because Donald Trump is the
Republican nominee
Mainly to oppose Hillary Clinton
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
43%
37%
48%
⇤
47%
41%
38%
44%
⇤
⇤
⇤
6%
51%
8%
54%
5%
47%
⇤
⇤
8%
45%
7%
52%
9%
52%
6%
50%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(209)
(195)
⇤
100%
(404)
(86)
(193)
(77)
(382)
(49)
Party ID
Mainly because I like Donald Trump
Mainly because Donald Trump is the
Republican nominee
Mainly to oppose Hillary Clinton
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(4)
⇤
(7)
White Evangelical
(11)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
43%
⇤
39%
46%
⇤
48%
41%
47%
40%
39%
46%
6%
51%
⇤
⇤
3%
58%
9%
45%
⇤
⇤
3%
49%
9%
50%
5%
49%
8%
52%
7%
54%
6%
48%
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(280)
⇤
100%
(81)
(133)
(253)
(159)
(246)
(184)
(220)
100%
(404)
(40)
(18)
6
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
7. Why Voting for Clinton
What is the main reason behind your vote for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in November?
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton
Gender
Mainly because I like Hillary Clinton
Mainly because Hillary Clinton is the
Democratic nominee
Mainly to oppose Donald Trump
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
35%
32%
37%
31%
35%
36%
37%
33%
40%
⇤
⇤
22%
43%
22%
46%
21%
41%
21%
47%
15%
50%
25%
39%
24%
38%
20%
48%
21%
39%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(495)
(227)
(268)
(95)
(129)
(185)
(87)
(319)
(127)
Party ID
Mainly because I like Hillary Clinton
Mainly because Hillary Clinton is the
Democratic nominee
Mainly to oppose Donald Trump
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(23)
(27)
White Evangelical
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
35%
39%
20%
⇤
38%
31%
⇤
⇤
36%
⇤
35%
22%
43%
24%
37%
13%
67%
⇤
⇤
28%
34%
14%
55%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
22%
42%
⇤
⇤
22%
43%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(250)
(219)
⇤
100%
(78)
⇤
100%
(392)
⇤
100%
(495)
(22)
⇤
(25)
(40)
(455)
(6)
(489)
7
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
8. Consider Clinton
Would you ever consider voting for Hillary Clinton in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Clinton
Gender
Yes, I would
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Male
4%
2%
11%
85%
Age group
Female
30-44
45-64
6%
2%
3%
7%
1%
10%
88%
12%
82%
12%
86%
11%
87%
11%
82%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(595)
(310)
(285)
(105)
(152)
Party ID
Total
Yes, I would
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
18-29
Democrat
Independent
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
2%
⇤
⇤
⇤
9%
89%
11%
87%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
(246)
(92)
(545)
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
⇤
⇤
(20)
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
⇤
(8)
No
(22)
Tea Party
Yes
No
4%
13%
6%
1%
⇤
8%
0%
1%
6%
4%
4%
11%
85%
22%
65%
7%
88%
10%
89%
⇤
⇤
20%
71%
3%
97%
9%
90%
12%
82%
2%
95%
17%
79%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(81)
(156)
(352)
⇤
100%
(595)
(226)
(320)
(209)
(387)
(236)
(360)
(49)
8
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
9. Consider Trump
Would you ever consider voting for Donald Trump in November?
Asked of respondents not voting for Trump
Gender
Yes, I would
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)
Total
Male
3%
1%
14%
83%
Age group
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
White
Black
5%
1%
1%
6%
1%
2%
15%
84%
13%
82%
17%
82%
16%
83%
11%
83%
14%
85%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(682)
(326)
(357)
(150)
100%
100%
(195)
(237)
Party ID
Total
Yes, I would
Maybe, there’s a long way to go until
November
No, I never would
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Democrat
Independent
65+
Hispanic
Other
7%
⇤
⇤
16%
82%
8%
85%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
(101)
(477)
(143)
Ideology
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
⇤
White Evangelical
Conservative
Yes
⇤
(24)
No
(37)
Tea Party
Yes
No
3%
3%
2%
4%
0%
5%
4%
0%
3%
19%
2%
14%
83%
7%
90%
17%
81%
40%
55%
5%
95%
16%
78%
35%
61%
34%
66%
11%
85%
45%
36%
11%
87%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(682)
(432)
(153)
(92)
(281)
(309)
(93)
(88)
(594)
(57)
(625)
9
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
10. Enthusiasm with Choice
Voting for [Candidate Name] right now makes me feel...
Asked of respondents voting for Clinton or Trump
Gender
Enthusiastic
Satisfied, but not Enthusiastic
Like I am settling for the lesser of two
bad choices
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
36%
42%
35%
38%
38%
36%
48%
33%
35%
43%
35%
45%
33%
41%
35%
36%
37%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
24%
23%
24%
16%
32%
22%
23%
24%
27%
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(897)
(436)
(461)
(143)
(213)
(378)
(163)
(701)
(131)
Party ID
Enthusiastic
Satisfied, but not Enthusiastic
Like I am settling for the lesser of two
bad choices
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(38)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
40%
36%
36%
41%
34%
38%
47%
29%
38%
41%
34%
37%
49%
31%
43%
35%
39%
37%
49%
31%
37%
38%
24%
23%
28%
23%
21%
29%
20%
22%
24%
20%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(897)
(432)
(160)
(300)
(266)
(352)
(278)
(198)
(699)
(190)
(707)
10
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
11. Donald Trump’s Campaign – An appeal to some racial groups over others
Whether or not you personally support him, how much of Donald Trump’s campaign do you feel is based on:
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
37%
27%
36%
39%
26%
35%
35%
28%
37%
44%
23%
33%
41%
28%
31%
30%
27%
44%
40%
31%
29%
34%
29%
38%
47%
19%
34%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,067)
(528)
(539)
(192)
(277)
(423)
(175)
(847)
(145)
Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
37%
27%
36%
51%
21%
28%
37%
25%
38%
19%
35%
45%
61%
16%
23%
38%
29%
33%
14%
34%
52%
16%
37%
47%
43%
24%
33%
14%
36%
50%
43%
24%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,067)
(464)
(231)
(364)
(296)
(437)
(334)
(246)
(821)
(237)
(830)
11
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
12. Donald Trump’s Campaign – His own desire to be President
Whether or not you personally support him, how much of Donald Trump’s campaign do you feel is based on:
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
56%
28%
15%
55%
32%
13%
58%
24%
18%
55%
24%
21%
63%
25%
12%
53%
31%
16%
55%
31%
14%
57%
31%
12%
51%
13%
35%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,065)
(529)
(535)
(192)
(275)
(422)
(175)
(849)
(142)
Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(26)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
56%
28%
15%
62%
16%
22%
56%
30%
13%
49%
42%
9%
66%
19%
16%
58%
24%
18%
46%
43%
11%
50%
39%
12%
58%
25%
17%
42%
46%
12%
61%
23%
16%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,065)
(462)
(231)
(364)
(295)
(437)
(333)
(244)
(820)
(238)
(827)
12
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
13. Donald Trump’s Campaign – His sincere desire for a better America
Whether or not you personally support him, how much of Donald Trump’s campaign do you feel is based on:
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
37%
18%
45%
39%
19%
42%
34%
17%
49%
24%
17%
59%
28%
25%
47%
46%
14%
40%
41%
18%
41%
42%
19%
39%
10%
12%
77%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,062)
(526)
(536)
(192)
(273)
(422)
(176)
(848)
(139)
Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
37%
18%
45%
14%
13%
73%
36%
24%
40%
67%
20%
13%
10%
15%
75%
31%
20%
49%
67%
19%
15%
57%
22%
21%
30%
17%
53%
74%
19%
7%
26%
18%
56%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,062)
(461)
(229)
(364)
(295)
(432)
(335)
(246)
(816)
(238)
(824)
13
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
14. Donald Trump’s Campaign – Doing what donors and party leaders want
Whether or not you personally support him, how much of Donald Trump’s campaign do you feel is based on:
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
9%
25%
66%
8%
24%
68%
10%
26%
64%
16%
26%
59%
5%
30%
65%
9%
22%
68%
6%
24%
70%
10%
24%
66%
6%
19%
75%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,059)
(523)
(537)
(192)
(272)
(421)
(175)
(842)
(142)
Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
9%
25%
66%
12%
24%
64%
4%
26%
69%
7%
26%
67%
13%
27%
60%
10%
25%
65%
4%
23%
72%
6%
28%
66%
10%
24%
66%
8%
25%
68%
9%
25%
66%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,059)
(461)
(230)
(359)
(295)
(430)
(334)
(240)
(820)
(238)
(821)
14
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
15. Hillary Clinton’s Campaign – An appeal to some racial groups over others
Whether or not you personally support her, how much of Hillary Clinton’s campaign do you feel is based on:
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
36%
30%
34%
40%
28%
32%
32%
32%
36%
26%
37%
37%
32%
34%
35%
45%
26%
29%
34%
27%
39%
38%
30%
32%
26%
32%
42%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,063)
(524)
(538)
(192)
(279)
(423)
(169)
(843)
(144)
Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
36%
30%
34%
21%
34%
45%
35%
36%
29%
57%
21%
22%
13%
37%
51%
33%
32%
35%
60%
23%
17%
48%
26%
25%
33%
31%
36%
61%
22%
16%
29%
32%
39%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,063)
(458)
(232)
(364)
(291)
(438)
(334)
(243)
(820)
(241)
(822)
15
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
16. Hillary Clinton’s Campaign – Her own desire to be President
Whether or not you personally support her, how much of Hillary Clinton’s campaign do you feel is based on:
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
75%
17%
8%
78%
16%
6%
72%
18%
10%
69%
19%
12%
73%
17%
10%
74%
18%
8%
87%
12%
1%
78%
15%
7%
60%
20%
20%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,068)
(528)
(540)
(192)
(279)
(427)
(170)
(846)
(146)
Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
75%
17%
8%
63%
27%
10%
79%
15%
6%
88%
6%
7%
63%
31%
6%
73%
16%
11%
87%
7%
6%
81%
11%
8%
73%
19%
8%
83%
5%
12%
73%
20%
7%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,068)
(460)
(233)
(366)
(292)
(439)
(337)
(244)
(824)
(241)
(827)
16
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
17. Hillary Clinton’s Campaign – Her sincere desire for a better America
Whether or not you personally support her, how much of Hillary Clinton’s campaign do you feel is based on:
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
30%
24%
46%
27%
22%
51%
34%
25%
41%
28%
26%
46%
20%
35%
45%
35%
18%
47%
37%
18%
44%
24%
22%
53%
60%
32%
8%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,067)
(524)
(543)
(192)
(277)
(428)
(171)
(848)
(144)
Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
30%
24%
46%
53%
32%
15%
23%
22%
55%
7%
14%
79%
50%
34%
16%
34%
28%
38%
8%
9%
82%
13%
17%
71%
35%
26%
39%
5%
8%
86%
37%
28%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,067)
(464)
(229)
(366)
(293)
(438)
(336)
(243)
(824)
(241)
(826)
17
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
18. Hillary Clinton’s Campaign – Doing what donors and party leaders want
Whether or not you personally support her, how much of Hillary Clinton’s campaign do you feel is based on:
Gender
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
36%
14%
57%
30%
12%
43%
42%
15%
46%
34%
19%
49%
36%
14%
52%
36%
11%
51%
37%
12%
56%
31%
13%
25%
59%
17%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,065)
(527)
(538)
(192)
(279)
(424)
(169)
(845)
(145)
Party ID
A lot
Some
Not much
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
50%
36%
14%
28%
57%
15%
64%
27%
9%
70%
17%
14%
30%
55%
16%
44%
41%
15%
77%
14%
10%
63%
25%
12%
46%
39%
14%
75%
14%
11%
43%
43%
14%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,065)
(459)
(231)
(365)
(292)
(438)
(335)
(243)
(822)
(241)
(823)
18
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
19. Donald Trump’s Position on Immigration
Do you feel Donald Trump’s positions on immigration are:
Gender
The same as they’ve always been
Changing, and getting tougher on
illegal immigrants
Changing, and getting easier toward
illegal immigrants
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
48%
44%
52%
48%
55%
44%
46%
47%
57%
⇤
⇤
17%
13%
20%
20%
17%
17%
11%
16%
20%
⇤
⇤
35%
43%
27%
32%
28%
38%
42%
37%
23%
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,089)
(537)
(552)
(200)
(279)
(431)
(179)
(862)
(147)
Party ID
The same as they’ve always been
Changing, and getting tougher on
illegal immigrants
Changing, and getting easier toward
illegal immigrants
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
48%
48%
48%
48%
45%
53%
44%
46%
49%
53%
47%
17%
22%
12%
13%
20%
16%
14%
16%
17%
8%
19%
35%
30%
40%
39%
35%
31%
41%
38%
34%
39%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,089)
(473)
(233)
(375)
(299)
(445)
(346)
(250)
(839)
(242)
(847)
19
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
20. Hillary Clinton’s Position on Emails
Do you feel Hillary Clinton’s explanations of her email server are:
Gender
The same as they’ve always been
Changing, and getting more
believable
Changing, and getting less believable
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
49%
45%
53%
47%
57%
45%
49%
45%
73%
⇤
⇤
7%
44%
6%
48%
8%
39%
12%
41%
4%
39%
8%
47%
5%
46%
5%
50%
16%
11%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,090)
(537)
(552)
(200)
(280)
(431)
(179)
(864)
(147)
Party ID
The same as they’ve always been
Changing, and getting more
believable
Changing, and getting less believable
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
49%
71%
44%
24%
75%
53%
22%
31%
54%
19%
58%
7%
44%
13%
16%
3%
53%
3%
73%
9%
16%
10%
38%
3%
76%
4%
65%
8%
38%
5%
76%
8%
34%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,090)
(474)
(234)
(374)
(300)
(445)
(345)
(250)
(840)
(242)
(848)
20
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
21. Campaign Focus – Their personalities and personal issues
So far, are the candidates talking too much, not enough, or the right amount about:
Gender
Too much
Not enough
The right amount
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
50%
25%
25%
54%
23%
23%
47%
27%
26%
53%
32%
15%
49%
23%
28%
49%
23%
28%
53%
24%
22%
51%
24%
25%
46%
35%
20%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,068)
(528)
(540)
(190)
(277)
(426)
(175)
(848)
(147)
Party ID
Too much
Not enough
The right amount
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(47)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
50%
25%
25%
53%
25%
22%
53%
29%
19%
46%
23%
31%
56%
23%
21%
48%
30%
22%
48%
21%
31%
36%
30%
34%
55%
24%
22%
43%
28%
28%
52%
24%
24%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,068)
(465)
(232)
(362)
(298)
(435)
(335)
(247)
(821)
(236)
(832)
21
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
22. Campaign Focus – The economy and jobs
So far, are the candidates talking too much, not enough, or the right amount about:
Gender
Too much
Not enough
The right amount
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
3%
73%
24%
3%
75%
23%
3%
72%
26%
5%
69%
26%
2%
68%
30%
2%
77%
21%
2%
77%
21%
3%
73%
24%
1%
77%
22%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(528)
(544)
(190)
(277)
(430)
(175)
(851)
(147)
Party ID
Too much
Not enough
The right amount
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(46)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
3%
73%
24%
3%
73%
23%
3%
76%
21%
2%
71%
27%
4%
71%
25%
2%
74%
24%
2%
75%
23%
4%
69%
27%
2%
75%
23%
2%
80%
19%
3%
71%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(466)
(232)
(365)
(298)
(438)
(336)
(247)
(825)
(237)
(835)
22
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
23. Campaign Focus – Terrorism and national security
So far, are the candidates talking too much, not enough, or the right amount about:
Gender
Too much
Not enough
The right amount
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
12%
56%
32%
13%
55%
32%
11%
57%
32%
19%
48%
33%
12%
49%
38%
10%
59%
31%
10%
67%
24%
12%
58%
30%
10%
47%
43%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,071)
(528)
(543)
(190)
(277)
(429)
(175)
(850)
(147)
Party ID
Too much
Not enough
The right amount
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(47)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
12%
56%
32%
17%
45%
39%
16%
52%
31%
2%
73%
25%
24%
34%
42%
11%
55%
34%
2%
76%
21%
4%
70%
27%
14%
52%
34%
3%
75%
21%
14%
50%
35%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,071)
(465)
(233)
(365)
(298)
(436)
(337)
(247)
(824)
(237)
(834)
23
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
24. Campaign Focus – Their past business and financial dealings
So far, are the candidates talking too much, not enough, or the right amount about:
Gender
Too much
Not enough
The right amount
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
19%
53%
27%
18%
57%
25%
20%
50%
30%
22%
53%
25%
23%
46%
31%
16%
55%
29%
20%
60%
20%
20%
53%
27%
19%
51%
30%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,070)
(527)
(543)
(190)
(277)
(429)
(175)
(848)
(147)
Party ID
Too much
Not enough
The right amount
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(47)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
19%
53%
27%
23%
54%
23%
20%
56%
25%
14%
52%
34%
21%
59%
19%
21%
52%
28%
16%
50%
34%
16%
56%
28%
20%
53%
27%
16%
52%
33%
20%
54%
26%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,070)
(465)
(232)
(365)
(298)
(436)
(336)
(247)
(823)
(237)
(833)
24
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
25. Donald Trump and Minority Issues
When Donald Trump talks about issues that concern minority communities, do you feel that he is:
Gender
Mainly trying to help people
Mainly looking for votes
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
67%
34%
66%
32%
68%
23%
77%
28%
72%
39%
61%
39%
61%
38%
62%
8%
92%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,088)
(535)
(553)
(200)
(281)
(432)
(176)
(861)
(147)
Party ID
Mainly trying to help people
Mainly looking for votes
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
33%
67%
10%
90%
32%
68%
63%
37%
7%
93%
27%
73%
65%
35%
57%
43%
26%
74%
70%
30%
23%
77%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,088)
(474)
(234)
(371)
(300)
(442)
(346)
(249)
(838)
(242)
(846)
25
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
26. Hillary Clinton and Minority Issues
When Hillary Clinton talks about issues that concern minority communities, do you feel that she is:
Gender
Mainly trying to help people
Mainly looking for votes
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
38%
62%
34%
66%
41%
59%
35%
65%
32%
68%
41%
59%
45%
55%
31%
69%
71%
29%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(537)
(554)
(200)
(281)
(432)
(179)
(864)
(147)
Party ID
Mainly trying to help people
Mainly looking for votes
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
38%
62%
68%
32%
27%
73%
8%
92%
67%
33%
40%
60%
9%
91%
17%
83%
44%
56%
7%
93%
47%
53%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(474)
(234)
(374)
(300)
(445)
(346)
(250)
(841)
(242)
(849)
26
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
27. Feelings Toward Trump – As a person
Whether or not you’re supporting him, which describe your feelings toward Donald Trump on each of these items:
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
19%
22%
59%
20%
23%
58%
18%
21%
61%
17%
7%
76%
14%
24%
62%
21%
26%
53%
24%
23%
53%
21%
25%
54%
10%
3%
86%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,075)
(528)
(547)
(192)
(280)
(425)
(178)
(852)
(147)
Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
19%
22%
59%
8%
9%
83%
16%
24%
61%
35%
36%
29%
5%
6%
89%
17%
20%
63%
34%
38%
29%
29%
32%
39%
16%
19%
65%
37%
41%
22%
14%
16%
70%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,075)
(468)
(232)
(368)
(298)
(436)
(340)
(245)
(830)
(241)
(834)
27
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
28. Feelings Toward Trump – His economic policies
Whether or not you’re supporting him, which describe your feelings toward Donald Trump on each of these items:
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
32%
22%
46%
34%
20%
46%
29%
24%
47%
19%
23%
58%
28%
24%
48%
38%
22%
40%
37%
17%
46%
36%
24%
40%
11%
10%
79%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,071)
(527)
(544)
(192)
(280)
(422)
(178)
(850)
(145)
Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
32%
22%
46%
12%
12%
75%
31%
27%
41%
57%
30%
13%
7%
12%
81%
25%
28%
47%
62%
23%
15%
47%
35%
18%
27%
18%
55%
68%
23%
9%
21%
22%
57%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,071)
(465)
(232)
(367)
(297)
(433)
(340)
(245)
(825)
(241)
(830)
28
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
29. Feelings Toward Trump – His social policies
Whether or not you’re supporting him, which describe your feelings toward Donald Trump on each of these items:
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
23%
24%
53%
24%
25%
51%
23%
22%
55%
18%
18%
64%
19%
22%
59%
27%
26%
47%
26%
25%
49%
26%
27%
47%
9%
7%
84%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,073)
(527)
(546)
(191)
(280)
(424)
(178)
(850)
(147)
Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
23%
24%
53%
10%
8%
82%
17%
29%
55%
45%
39%
16%
5%
7%
88%
21%
23%
56%
43%
38%
20%
36%
35%
29%
19%
20%
61%
46%
38%
16%
17%
19%
64%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,073)
(466)
(232)
(367)
(298)
(435)
(340)
(245)
(828)
(241)
(832)
29
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
30. Feelings Toward Trump – His immigration policies
Whether or not you’re supporting him, which describe your feelings toward Donald Trump on each of these items:
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
33%
17%
50%
33%
17%
50%
33%
16%
51%
20%
13%
67%
28%
17%
55%
38%
20%
42%
39%
13%
48%
37%
19%
44%
11%
7%
82%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,074)
(527)
(547)
(192)
(280)
(425)
(177)
(851)
(147)
Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
33%
17%
50%
12%
9%
79%
34%
16%
50%
59%
26%
15%
6%
6%
89%
29%
20%
52%
62%
22%
16%
52%
26%
22%
27%
14%
59%
71%
20%
9%
22%
16%
63%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,074)
(468)
(232)
(368)
(298)
(434)
(342)
(245)
(829)
(241)
(833)
30
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
31. Feelings Toward Clinton – As a person
Whether or not you’re supporting her, which describe your feelings toward Hillary Clinton on each of these items:
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
20%
25%
55%
15%
24%
61%
25%
27%
48%
15%
27%
58%
15%
31%
54%
24%
20%
56%
21%
28%
51%
14%
22%
63%
49%
41%
11%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,077)
(532)
(545)
(192)
(280)
(430)
(175)
(855)
(146)
Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
20%
25%
55%
39%
41%
20%
7%
24%
69%
3%
7%
90%
32%
43%
25%
22%
30%
48%
6%
5%
89%
9%
13%
78%
23%
29%
48%
4%
5%
92%
24%
31%
44%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,077)
(468)
(234)
(366)
(297)
(442)
(338)
(245)
(832)
(241)
(836)
31
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
32. Feelings Toward Clinton – Her economic policies
Whether or not you’re supporting her, which describe your feelings toward Hillary Clinton on each of these items:
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
26%
29%
45%
21%
27%
53%
30%
32%
38%
22%
35%
44%
21%
32%
47%
29%
26%
45%
29%
27%
44%
20%
28%
52%
54%
41%
5%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(531)
(541)
(192)
(280)
(428)
(173)
(850)
(146)
Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
26%
29%
45%
51%
36%
13%
11%
34%
54%
3%
17%
80%
48%
36%
15%
26%
41%
33%
5%
8%
88%
10%
20%
70%
30%
32%
38%
6%
6%
88%
31%
36%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,072)
(466)
(234)
(364)
(297)
(439)
(336)
(242)
(830)
(240)
(832)
32
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
33. Feelings Toward Clinton – Her social policies
Whether or not you’re supporting her, which describe your feelings toward Hillary Clinton on each of these items:
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
31%
25%
44%
29%
21%
50%
32%
30%
39%
32%
29%
38%
28%
31%
41%
30%
20%
49%
34%
23%
44%
26%
23%
51%
51%
44%
5%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,074)
(532)
(542)
(192)
(280)
(428)
(175)
(852)
(146)
Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
31%
25%
44%
57%
31%
12%
21%
32%
47%
3%
14%
84%
64%
26%
9%
28%
38%
34%
4%
7%
89%
11%
19%
71%
36%
27%
37%
6%
4%
90%
38%
31%
31%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,074)
(466)
(234)
(366)
(297)
(441)
(336)
(243)
(830)
(241)
(833)
33
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
34. Feelings Toward Clinton – Her immigration policies
Whether or not you’re supporting her, which describe your feelings toward Hillary Clinton on each of these items:
Gender
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
24%
30%
46%
23%
26%
51%
26%
33%
40%
22%
38%
40%
21%
35%
44%
26%
24%
50%
28%
27%
45%
19%
27%
54%
50%
45%
5%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,074)
(532)
(543)
(192)
(280)
(428)
(175)
(852)
(146)
Party ID
Like a lot
Like a little
Don’t like
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
24%
30%
46%
46%
41%
13%
14%
36%
50%
4%
11%
85%
47%
41%
12%
25%
39%
36%
4%
7%
89%
6%
17%
77%
30%
33%
37%
5%
2%
93%
30%
38%
32%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,074)
(466)
(234)
(366)
(297)
(440)
(337)
(243)
(831)
(241)
(833)
34
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
35. Trump Traits – Is prepared to be Commander in Chief
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
35%
65%
35%
65%
35%
65%
23%
77%
31%
69%
41%
59%
38%
62%
39%
61%
9%
91%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,064)
(529)
(535)
(192)
(272)
(424)
(177)
(851)
(139)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(47)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
35%
65%
12%
88%
36%
64%
62%
38%
8%
92%
29%
71%
66%
34%
59%
41%
28%
72%
72%
28%
24%
76%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,064)
(458)
(231)
(366)
(298)
(430)
(336)
(246)
(818)
(240)
(824)
35
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
36. Trump Traits – Will look out for people like you
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
41%
59%
41%
59%
40%
60%
28%
72%
38%
62%
47%
53%
44%
56%
45%
55%
17%
83%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,071)
(529)
(542)
(192)
(280)
(424)
(176)
(850)
(147)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
41%
59%
15%
85%
37%
63%
74%
26%
9%
91%
35%
65%
75%
25%
65%
35%
33%
67%
84%
16%
28%
72%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,071)
(466)
(231)
(366)
(297)
(440)
(334)
(244)
(827)
(239)
(833)
36
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
37. Trump Traits – Tells the truth
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
60%
40%
60%
40%
60%
30%
70%
33%
67%
48%
52%
42%
58%
45%
55%
14%
86%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,066)
(531)
(535)
(192)
(272)
(427)
(176)
(853)
(139)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
40%
60%
15%
85%
39%
61%
70%
30%
11%
89%
36%
64%
71%
29%
63%
37%
33%
67%
78%
22%
29%
71%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,066)
(460)
(232)
(366)
(298)
(432)
(337)
(246)
(820)
(240)
(826)
37
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
38. Trump Traits – I know where he stands on issues
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Donald Trump?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
48%
52%
47%
53%
50%
50%
40%
60%
52%
48%
50%
50%
48%
52%
52%
48%
31%
69%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,064)
(529)
(534)
(192)
(272)
(425)
(176)
(850)
(139)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(27)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
48%
52%
30%
70%
49%
51%
71%
29%
31%
69%
42%
58%
72%
28%
70%
30%
42%
58%
81%
19%
39%
61%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,064)
(458)
(231)
(366)
(298)
(431)
(335)
(245)
(819)
(240)
(823)
38
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
39. Clinton Traits – Is prepared to be Commander in Chief
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
54%
46%
51%
49%
57%
43%
57%
43%
54%
46%
52%
48%
55%
45%
47%
53%
92%
8%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,065)
(529)
(537)
(183)
(279)
(427)
(177)
(852)
(137)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
54%
46%
87%
13%
45%
55%
18%
82%
88%
12%
60%
40%
16%
84%
30%
70%
61%
39%
11%
89%
67%
33%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,065)
(457)
(233)
(367)
(297)
(430)
(338)
(244)
(821)
(238)
(827)
39
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
40. Clinton Traits – Will look out for people like you
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
40%
60%
38%
62%
42%
58%
39%
61%
36%
64%
41%
59%
44%
56%
32%
68%
78%
22%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,058)
(530)
(528)
(183)
(271)
(428)
(176)
(854)
(130)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(46)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
40%
60%
73%
27%
28%
72%
7%
93%
70%
30%
45%
55%
8%
92%
16%
84%
47%
53%
5%
95%
50%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,058)
(450)
(234)
(368)
(297)
(421)
(339)
(245)
(813)
(239)
(819)
40
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
41. Clinton Traits – Tells the truth
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
28%
72%
26%
74%
31%
69%
20%
80%
26%
74%
32%
68%
30%
70%
22%
78%
64%
36%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,065)
(529)
(537)
(183)
(280)
(427)
(176)
(851)
(139)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
28%
72%
52%
48%
21%
79%
4%
96%
52%
48%
29%
71%
6%
94%
8%
92%
34%
66%
4%
96%
35%
65%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,065)
(455)
(233)
(369)
(295)
(429)
(341)
(246)
(820)
(240)
(825)
41
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
42. Clinton Traits – I know where she stands on issues
Which of these do you feel describe or do not describe Hillary Clinton?
Gender
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
58%
42%
53%
47%
62%
38%
59%
41%
55%
45%
58%
42%
57%
43%
52%
48%
88%
12%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,063)
(528)
(535)
(182)
(275)
(428)
(178)
(851)
(136)
Party ID
Describes
Does not describe
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(28)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
58%
42%
81%
19%
44%
56%
37%
63%
78%
22%
61%
39%
36%
64%
44%
56%
62%
38%
36%
64%
64%
36%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,063)
(453)
(232)
(369)
(295)
(428)
(340)
(246)
(817)
(240)
(823)
42
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
43. Senate Vote 2016
In the U.S. Senate election in Pennsylvania in November, are you planning to vote for...
Gender
Pat Toomey, the Republican
Katie McGinty, the Democrat
Not sure yet
Someone else
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
39%
39%
20%
2%
43%
41%
14%
3%
35%
39%
26%
1%
36%
43%
19%
2%
33%
39%
25%
3%
44%
37%
18%
2%
38%
43%
18%
1%
45%
34%
18%
2%
1%
69%
30%
1%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(537)
(554)
(200)
(281)
(432)
(179)
(864)
(147)
Party ID
Pat Toomey, the Republican
Katie McGinty, the Democrat
Not sure yet
Someone else
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
39%
39%
20%
2%
8%
71%
19%
2%
37%
31%
28%
3%
79%
5%
15%
2%
6%
80%
13%
1%
27%
40%
29%
4%
81%
4%
14%
1%
64%
12%
21%
3%
31%
48%
20%
2%
82%
4%
13%
1%
26%
49%
22%
2%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,091)
(474)
(234)
(375)
(300)
(445)
(346)
(250)
(841)
(242)
(849)
43
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
44. Toomey Same Kind of Republican as Trump
Whether or not you would vote for him, do you feel Pat Toomey is the same kind of Republican as Donald Trump, or a different kind of Republican from Donald
Trump?
Gender
Same
Different
Totals
(Weighted N)
Age group
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
28%
72%
25%
75%
31%
69%
31%
69%
30%
70%
28%
72%
21%
79%
24%
76%
53%
47%
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,083)
(534)
(549)
(198)
(276)
(431)
(179)
(857)
(147)
Party ID
Same
Different
Totals
(Weighted N)
Race/Ethnicity
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
28%
72%
38%
62%
26%
74%
16%
84%
37%
63%
30%
70%
17%
83%
16%
84%
31%
69%
16%
84%
31%
69%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,083)
(469)
(234)
(372)
(296)
(444)
(344)
(249)
(834)
(237)
(846)
44
CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker
Pennsylvania
45. Confidence in Vote Counting
Are you generally confident or not confident that Presidential votes will be counted fairly in Pennsylvania this year?
Gender
Age group
Race/Ethnicity
Total
Male
Female
18-29
30-44
45-64
65+
White
Black
Hispanic
Other
Confident
Not confident
61%
39%
63%
37%
59%
41%
72%
28%
60%
40%
57%
43%
61%
39%
59%
41%
68%
32%
Totals
(Weighted N)
⇤
⇤
⇤
⇤
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,087)
(534)
(554)
(200)
(279)
(430)
(179)
(861)
(147)
Party ID
Ideology
⇤
⇤
(31)
White Evangelical
(48)
Tea Party
Total
Democrat
Independent
Republican
Liberal
Moderate
Conservative
Yes
No
Yes
No
Confident
Not confident
61%
39%
77%
23%
52%
48%
47%
53%
83%
17%
63%
37%
39%
61%
48%
52%
65%
35%
39%
61%
67%
33%
Totals
(Weighted N)
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
(1,087)
(474)
(234)
(371)
(300)
(445)
(342)
(248)
(840)
(238)
(849)
45