Alamance County Community Profile Alamance County Planning Department March 2014 Population In 2012, Alamance County’s total estimated population was 151,170. The majority of the population, 98,752 is within the county’s ten municipalities. Thirty-five percent, or 52,418 people, live in the county’s unincorporated areas. Alamance County 2012 Population: 151,170 Unincorporated Municipalities Areas Percent of Population by Race County Total White: 69.9% Black: 18.0% Other: 4.3% Population Age Trends Median Age: 38.5 21 years and over: 71.4% 62 years and over: 17.8% White and non Hispanic or Latino residents make up the largest percentage of the population, with the unincorporated areas being less diverse than municipalities. Percent of Population by Ethnicity County Unincorporated Municipalities Total Areas Hispanic or 11.0% 12.3% 8.7% Not Hispanic or Latino 89.0% 87.7% 91.3% Age % 2012 0-14 years 19.4% 15-24 years 14.5% 25-44 years 25.0% 45-59 years 21.1% 60-74 years 12.9% 75 years and over 7.1% Trend 2009-2012 Almost half (46.1%) of the population is between 25 and 59 years old. The young to middle-aged population has declined over the past four years, with the exception of the 15-24 year old age bracket, which likely represents the continued growth of Elon University. The Baby Boomer population (4866) has seen a steady increase over the past four years. All data from American Community Survey 5-year datasets. Date shown is from the end of the range, e.g.”2012” is from 2008-2012 dataset. 2014 Community Profile | 1 Land Area & Density Alamance County has a total land area of approximately 435 square miles, of which 10.8 square miles is water. Three lakes—Lake Cammack, Lake Mackintosh, and Graham-Mebane Lake—serve as water reservoirs for county residents. To protect these water resources, six watersheds encompassing approximately 108 square miles limit the scale and type of development in these areas. The Haw River is the largest river, but there are also numerous creeks, streams, and ponds throughout the county. The municipalities cover an area of 52 square miles and their extraterritorial jurisdictions, where the municipalities’ zoning authority extends to, cover another 48 square miles. Approximately 334 square miles are located within the county’s planning jurisdiction.1 Population Density Land Use The population density in Alamance County as a whole is 355 persons per square mile. Faucette Township is the least dense at 87 persons per square mile, and Burlington Township is the most dense at 1,587 persons per square mile. A large portion of land in unincorporated Alamance County is used for agricultural purposes. Over 2,100 parcels in the unincorporated areas of the county are classified as farms, equaling approximately 155 square miles. Another 61 square miles are classified as vacant.2 1 Land area calculations from GIS and the 2012 U.S. Gazetteer. 2 Land use classifications from the Alamance County Tax Department 2014 Community Profile | 2 Housing Alamance County has over 2012 Total Housing Units: 66,694 2.44 people 66,000 housing units, almost 44,917 units in Municipalities; 10.1% Vacant half of which (47.7%) are 21,777 units in Unincorporated Areas; 8.5% Vacant more than thirty years old. The proportion of new homes built in the unincorporated areas has grown steadily over the past several decades, reflecting increased development in rural areas. Over a third of the housing stock in unincorporated areas is mobile homes, and Average Household Size conversely 28.5% of housing in the municipalities is duplexes, apartments, and other attached units. While the majority (60%) of residents moved in the last twelve years, one-fifth of Alamance County residents have not moved in over twenty years. Housing costs are particularly high for renters; over half of renters spend more than 30% of their income on housing costs, as compared to more than a quarter of homeowners. Housing Tenure Housing Type Housing Costs1,2 Housing Units Year Built $51,700 Area Median Income $136,000 Median House Value $702 2-bedroom Fair Market Rent $13.50 Hourly wage necessary to afford 2-BR FMR 31% of total households are renters $10.58 Estimated mean renter hourly wage 51% of renters pay > 30% of their income for housing 26% of owners pay > 30% of their income for housing 1 ACS 2008-12. 2 National Low Income Housing Coalition Out of Reach 2013 2014 Community Profile | 3 Housing Trends Housing Costs & Income1,2 The Median House Value has dropped by 7% between 2007 and 2012, from roughly $148,000 to $138,000. With the exception of a spike to $59,000 in 2009, the Area Median Income has remained relatively steady at around $57,000. Median Gross Rent has fallen by 8% from $769 to $709 per month. A housing wage is the full-time hourly wage necessary to afford the rent and utilities of a 2bedroom apartment at Fair Market Rent, without spending more than 30% of income on housing. In Alamance County this wage is consistently $3-4 dollars higher than the Mean Renter Hourly Wage. The Mean Renter Hourly Wage has fallen 13% since 2005, from $12.12 to $10.58 per hour. Hourly Wage Comparison1 Housing is considered affordable when a household pays no more than 30% of their annual income towards housing costs.3 The proportion of cost-burdened homeowners has risen from a fifth to a quarter of all homeowners. Renting is increasingly unaffordable; in 2012 one in two renters were cost-burdened, a 7% increase since 2007. Affordability2 1 National Low Income Housing Coalition Out of Reach 2 ACS 3-Year datasets 3 U.S. HUD *All values adjusted for inflation to 2013 dollars 2014 Community Profile | 4 Employment 2012 Total Population 16 years and over: 119,754 9.4% unemployed Alamance County’s accessible location on the I-40 and I-85 corridor in between 77,700 (64.9%) in civilian labor force 42,004 (35.1%) not in labor force the Raleigh-Durham area to the east and the Greensboro/Winston-Salem area to Industry Breakdown of Top 25 Employers: the west results in a lot of employment 7 Education & Health Services across county lines. In 2011, of the residents 6 Manufacturing who live in Alamance County, 52.6% work 4 Trade, Transportation & Utilities outside of the county, and 47.4% both live 3 Professional & Business Services 2 Construction and work within the county. An additional 2 Public Administration 24,109 employees, 46.1% of the employees 1 Leisure & Hospitality in Alamance County, commute from areas outside of the county.1 The maps be2012 Average Annual Pay, low show the spatial distribution of jobs and residences. The mean commute All Industries4* time is 23 minutes. Eighty-two percent of workers drive a car, truck, or van to $35,137 Alamance County work alone; another 12% of workers carpool.2 Half of the top 25 employers are $36,108 Comparable Counties in Education & Health Services and Manufacturing industries, which employ ap- $36,832 Surrounding Counties proximately 18,936 people, or 37% of workers.4 The average annual pay in Alamance County is lower than both its surrounding counties and counties of a similar population size. A location quotient (or industry concentration) analysis reveals that textile mills and apparel manufacturing industries are 5 and 7 times more concentrated in Alamance Where Alamance County Residents Work County than in the state. Conversely, crop and animal production industries are one-fifth as concentrated in the county as compared to the state as a whole.4 Top 10 Employers, 2013 2nd Quarter3 Rank Company Where Alamance County Employees Live Employees 1 Labcorp 2 Alamance-Burlington School System 1000+ 3 Alamance Regional Medical Center 1000+ 4 Elon University 1000+ 5 Alamance County Government 500-999 6 City of Burlington 500-999 7 Wal-Mart Associates Inc. 500-999 8 Honda Power Equipment Mfg Inc. 500-999 9 Gate City of Burlington Inc. 500-999 10 Alamance Community College 500-999 1 1000+ U.S. Census Bureau, LEHD OnTheMap 2ACS 2008-12. 3U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, QCEW 2012 4NC Commerce Department, 2013 2nd Quarter *Comparable: Catawba, Davidson, Iredell, Randolph; Surrounding: Caswell, Chatham, Guilford, Orange, Randolph, Rockingham 2014 Community Profile | 5 Employment Trends In 2002, Manufacturing made up 28.09% of employment in Alamance County; by 2012 that share dropped to 17.51%. Two sectors, Health Care and Accomodation, saw more than 4% growth over the 10-year period. A pay comparison over the same time period reveals that pay has remained steady for most industry supersectors, but has decreased for Education & Health Services and Professional & Business Services. While real pay in comparable and surrounding counties has remained steady, it has fallen by almost $2,000 in Alamance County. A 10-year snapshot of employment trends show that the current unemployment rate is lower than in 2003. However, over the past year, the number of employed remains steady while the number of unemployed has significantly dropped; suggesting that many have stopped looking for work and have dropped out of the labor force. Top Industry SuperSectors Avg. Annual Avg. Annual Pay, 2002* Pay, 2012* Education & Health Services 42,477 35,327 Manufacturing 40,588 40,774 Trade, Transportation & Utilities 32,659 44,156 Professional & Business Services 42,936 28,556 Construction 37,144 40,036 Public Administration (Local Gov’t) 36,393 37,489 Leisure & Hospitality 14,874 14,193 All Industries, Alamance County 37,430 35,652 All, Comparable Counties 36,421 36,637 All, Surrounding Counties 37,586 37,372 Unemployment January-December 20131 Top 10 High-Employment Industry Sectors, 2002-2012 2002 % Rank % 2012 Manufacturing 28.09 1 17.51 Manufacturing Retail trade 13.37 2 16.68 Health care and social assistance Health care and social assistance 11.33 3 16.40 Retail trade Accommodation and food services 8.35 4 12.47 Accommodation and food services Administrative and 7.23 waste services 5 7.28 Administrative and waste services Construction 5.91 6 4.63 Construction Management of companies and enterprises 5.21 7 4.31 Wholesale trade Wholesale trade 4.02 8 4.26 Management of companies and enterprises Finance and insurance 3.46 9 3.25 Educational services Other services, except public administration 2.94 10 2.65 Finance and insurance Unemployment 2003-20131 1 U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 2014 Community Profile | 6 2 by NAICS 2-digit code *All values adjusted Education Alamance County’s Educational Attainment Over Time Alamance County has seen a marked increase over time in higher education attainment. However, while Alamance County’s educational attainment is higher than counties of comparable population size, it lags behind that of surrounding counties, the state, and the nation as a whole. Almost half of the population aged 25 years and older did not finish high school or has only a high school degree. Lower educational attainment corresponds with higher unemployment rates and lower earnings. 2010 Educational Attainment Comparison Unemployment Median Rate Earnings Educational Attainment Alamance County, 20124 Less than high school 10.3% $17,931 High school graduate only 7.8% $26,386 Some college or Associate’s degree 6.1% $31,884 Bachelor’s degree or higher 3.4% $44,819 No Data $57,346 Graduate or professional degree The Alamance-Burlington School System (ABSS) has 26 elementary schools, 7 secondary schools, and 1 combined school, with approximately 22,260 students in attendance. Almost 71% of students graduate high school, of which 45% intend to go on to a four year institution. ABSS Figures and Rankings1 Figure Statewide Ranking Students Enrolled 22,260 16 Per Pupil Spending $7,658 109 Per Pupil County Appropriations & $1,390 Supplemental Taxes 51 Three charter schools provide an alternative to the public school system and have a total enrollment of 1,039 students.1 There are two higher education institutions in the county as well. Alamance Community College, which offers a range of programs for degree-seeking students and continuing education, has 4,677 full-time equivalent students.2 Elon University, a private four-year university, has 5,225 undergraduates and 691 graduate students enrolled.3 1 2007-08, NC Public Schools 2ACC Factbook 2011-12 3 Elon.edu 2011-12 4 ACS 2008-12. 2014 Community Profile | 7 ABSS High School Graduate Intentions