The Institute for Communication Technology Management (CTM) A Center of Excellence at the USC Marshall School of Business 2015 - 2016 Overview CTM: The Future of the Industry Happens Here James G. Ellis, Dean of the USC Marshall School of Business, addresses industry executives at CTM’s Executive Roundtable Wireless Broadband. Mobile Apps & Commerce. Digital Devices. Streaming Video & Music. Big Data & Analytics. Digital Health. Emerging Business Models. Internet of Things. Future of Media. Disruptive technologies, new consumer habits, and emerging business models have transformed the communications value chain from device makers and network service providers to content creators and beyond. The increasingly connected consumer and workplace presents incredible opportunities if key challenges can be addressed. The Institute for Communication Technology Management [CTM] is a center of excellence within USC’s Marshall School of Business. It provides research, educational programs, and forums focused on the rapidly evolving communications, technology, and entertainment sectors. Founded in 1985, CTM is known by business leaders as a forward-looking, impactful source of thought leadership. The Institute is also a powerful connector of decision makers in the industry. Our board members represent over 20 companies representing multiple industry sectors. Professionals participating in CTM programs provide valuable insight and help drive innovation across the larger digital communications ecosystem. 3 A Unique Consortium CTM’s is supported by over 20 global corporations that shape the digital landscape. CTM member companies receive a seat on our Board, joining a collection of thought leaders and decision makers from across the digital value chain. Our board members meet in person twice per year and attend CTM’s Executive Roundtable – an invitation-only, off-the-record, mini-conference where participants discuss and debate the key trends affecting the future of the industry. 4 Dealing With Disruption CTM was founded over 30 years ago with the goal of providing thought leadership in the communications sector – an industry that was rocked by deregulation and the breakup of AT&T. Since then, CTM’s focus has evolved with the times: the rise of mobility, the emergence digital networks and devices, and the evolution of business models, partnerships, and the user experience. Today, CTM’s forums and educational programs provide critical insights for business leaders wrestling with the massive disruption caused by the convergence of communications, technology and media. PCIA President & CEO Michael Fitch discusses the need for public-private partnerships at USC CTM’s LA Broadband Summit 5 Membership Has Its Privileges CTM member organizations engage with the Institute via a number of activities and initiatives: Board Meetings & Strategy Sessions: Each member company is represented on CTM’s board of directors, a consortium of senior executives and decision makers from corporations that are deeply invested in the growth of the digital communications sector and the industries related to it. Board meetings provide one of the most valuable opportunities for engagement, and include strategy sessions and other activities designed to both provide perspective on where the industry is headed and a powerful forum for driving change. “The CTM board meeting [and Roundtable] is one of the only thing I’ll block two days of my time to attend...and it’s totally worth every minute.” - CTM Board Member 6 Research Programs: Sponsored by a consortium of CTM’s member companies, CTM research programs cover mobile networks, applications and services, consumer behavior in digital environments, and the rapidly evolving entertainment sector. Sponsoring companies actively participate in survey design and in research workshops where they share their views on the results. For some studies, sponsoring companies are allowed to place proprietary questions in the survey questionnaire. Industry Forums: CTM hosts a number of public and private forums in which participants explore the landscape of the emerging business ecosystem created by the convergence of new digital technologies, products, services and content enabled by increasingly powerful and complex broadband and wireless networks. Leadership Education: Twice per year, CTM teaches a week-long course for high-potential rising leaders focused on the key technologies that are transforming the business landscape including mobile, cloud, and big data. Participants will also be introduced to techniques that drive innovation within their organizations, including executive storytelling. “It’s not just the quality and relevance of the research. It’s the process. I get to interact with other researchers and contribute to the design of the surveys themselves.” - Senior Director of Research, Technology Sector 7 Research The Disruptions That Drive Us Shifting customer desires, emerging technologies and new services are rapidly transforming the industry: • Monetizing high-speed wired and wireless networks • Digital displacement: OTT, streaming, and the age of unbundling • Big Data & Analytics • Emerging business models in digital communications, content, & commerce • The Internet of Everything: connected devices, machine-to-machine communications Sponsored by a consortium of CTM’s member companies, CTM research programs cover mobile networks, applications and services, consumer behavior in digital environments, and the rapidly evolving entertainment sector. CTM Research Initiatives: Sponsor Interaction Sponsoring companies actively participate in survey design and in research workshops where they share their views on the results. For some studies, sponsoring companies are allowed to place proprietary questions in the survey questionnaire. 8 CTM Research Projects: 2015 - 2016 Beginning in 2015 and continuing into 2016, USC Marshall’s Institute for Communication Technology Management (CTM) will continue to investigate changing market trends in its core programs and will embark on some exciting new research projects. These projects continue to reinforce Marshall’s commitment to the CTM members as together we seek to 1) appreciate emerging market trends, 2) anticipate new trends, and 3) act to improve member company’s business. CTM 2015 Interest Matrix 9 Digital Home Currently in its 8th year, the Digital Home Research Program focuses on all digital activities that take place in the home environment. Using an extensive high quality sample, the study measures the demand for new technology and tracks changes in consumer behavior. It does so by analyzing the new emerging ways of media consumption and giving a comprehensive view of how new technology changes video viewing in a multiscreen home. During a typical day, Americans spend 4.5 hours using their television, over 3 hours on their computers and 2.8 hours on their smartphones; this represents a significant increase in technologytime with almost all of the growth coming from one use of new technology. The Millennial generation shows different use patterns: they watch less TV but spend more time on their mobile devices. This foreshadows a continued market shift toward more personalized devices. This finding is echoed by the fact that the TV screen is still the primary choice for all modes of video viewing in the US; however, the majority of Millennials spend most of their time viewing videos on a non-TV device. “Digital Home delivers survey findings on such topics as device penetration and use, modes of media consumption, cord cutting, etc..” 10 Source: USC CTM Digital Home Study, 2015 Laptops are currently the top choice for Americans to engage in various activities while watching television; looking forward the expectation should be that tablets and smartphones will continue to grow as companion devices. Rarely does a single device have consumers’ full attention anymore, and when they use a second screen device most of what they do is unrelated to the TV program. Millennial behavior can be considered as an indicator of future behavior, their primary device choice in this situation is the smartphone with tablets making rapid gains, and they are somewhat more likely to tweet, discuss storylines or look up information related to the program. This reflects a potential shift from an independent multitasking behavioral model to one where technology is much more tightly integrated with other behaviors. Source: USC CTM Digital Home Study, 2015 11 Internet of Things: Case Studies in Industry Disruption The “Internet of Things” is a misnomer for how connected smart products and services will transform industry value chains by re-architecting existing product and technology “stacks” with their corresponding business models. The IoT vision of distributed embedded sensors, processors, storage, software and connected devices communicating through analytics in an intelligent product cloud has the potential to transform product competition from the functionality of a discrete product to the performance of a product system, in which the firm may be just one stakeholder. This research investigates how converting the IoT vision into competitive advantage involves difficult business and technology trade-offs, each reflecting a company’s unique circumstances. The project focuses on second generation IoT applications that extend beyond asset and customer tracking, to focus on revenue generation from software and services on top of the hardware. We will analyze whether IoT represents an exciting new business opportunity or a risky expansion of business scope. 12 Consumer Broadband Opportunities The CTM consumer broadband study targeted four North American markets to examine key attributes that drive demand for broadband service and established predictive models of consumer preference. This preference quantitative study uncovered a high level of consumer perceived commoditization for broadband internet service in all four markets. Price is by far the single largest driver of demand and by comparison, brand has relatively little impact given the commoditization of internet services. Source: USC CTM Consumer Broadband Study, 2015 Speed can differentiate a customer’s Internet experience. Increasing (download) speed increases demand up to a point. In each market studied, there is a unique “threshold” at which increasing speed had marginal impact on demand, and this “threshold” varied greatly between markets. 13 Future of Media Research Program Year Three The Future of Media Research Program analyzes the evolving media consumption and the transformation of business models, as consumers view more video over alternative devices and subscribe to OTT video services. In so doing, it allows its sponsors to anticipate important industry changes and to develop actionable strategies to take advantage of these trends. The first year included a Viewer Displacement Analysis based on a survey panel of 5,500 NorthAmerican consumers and extensive interviews of C-level executives from the media, telecom and technology sectors . Deliverables for year two included a thorough analysis of the unfolding of business scenarios for the future of media, such as Google expanding its fiber network and cable/satellite/MPVD operators unbundling their channel lineup. Economic analyses were produced to evaluate the financial repercussions of these wild card events on the way filmed entertainment is financed and produced. 14 Year Three Program Objectives In this third iteration, we will pick up where we left off in FOM2 and analyze the drivers of growth for mobile video, starting with the maturation of business models and monetization strategies, consumer pressures for ubiquitous availability and the spectrum upgrades that will be required to enable this growth. An increasingly mobile lifestyle considers network connectivity an integrated part of the way people live their lives. This shift is increasing the demand for mobile entertainment options and people expect these services to adapt to their active lives. This project will examine the drivers and the impact these services have on existing ecosystems. The project will also look at how existing mobile video business models might evolve and how terrestrial video services might change in response to this accelerated adoption. Source: USC CTM Future of Media 3 Report, 2015 15 Mobile Life The Mobile Life Research Program is an annual study of mobile phone users that has tracked usage behavior for the past 8 years. The study is designed to measure the use of mobile devices and services outside of the home. This survey looks at adoption patterns and how mobile behavior is shifting over time. Source: USC CTM Mobile Life 2015; Q: Think about the basic “feature” cell phone/ smartphone/tablet that you use: to what extent were the following factors important to you when deciding among device types? While 8 in 10 US households are expected to have at least one smartphone device in use by the end of this year, the growth in adoption will most likely come from older demographics given that the younger demographic is nearing saturation. Future smartphone service consumption will be driven by the increased variety of activities people can do on these devices. Emailing, navigation and 16 Internet access have become the most appealing service activities but users continue to seek new applications for future use. When buying a mobile device, ease of use for key applications and price are the key factors to consider. Source: USC CTM Mobile Life 2015; Q: How much do you agree with the following statements about the use of mobile apps and your privacy when you’re outside of home? Interestingly, while there is public concern about privacy and security, Americans commonly share personal or sensitive information on their mobile devices. A third of the US population claim they are willing to pay extra to protect their privacy. However there is a discrepancy between claimed privacy concerns and actual behavior in exchange for a discount, better customer experience consumers are willing to trade granular personal information. The data suggests that privacy is not an absolute but a continuum that is associated with trust. More data will likely be afforded to trusted players, and each player has to decide how to protect and grow the trust quotient of their brand. 17 Additional Research Projects Slated for 2016 INTERNATIONAL MOBILE The International Mobile Program provides a deeper dive examination of the way mobile technology is being adopted by targeted countries on a worldwide basis. Targeted markets will be selected to meet sponsor specified requirements. Topics included in this survey go well beyond penetration to include motivational data, discovery paradigms, application interest, willingness to churn, privacy and quality perceptions, WiFi vs Cellular tradeoffs, business model concerns and service inhibitors. WIRELESS OPPORTUNITY Cellular services are often studied as a nationwide service evolution despite the fact that regional demands vary significantly. This project will develop a cellular market simulator that is based on regional survey data to better understand how competitive pressures are shaping local demand. Examination of specific markets will be targeted to meet sponsor driven requirements with an ultimate goal of producing a market simulator that can be used to perform what-if scenario analysis by the sponsoring companies. PRIVACY, SECURITY, and TRUST Privacy tests as a key concern in the digital age, yet consumer behavior reflects a casual attitude toward security. This project will study how the need for privacy is impacted by trust; while there can never be perfect security, action can be taken to grow or lose trust thereby modulating security needs. The complexity of this topic demands a multiday 360-degree investigative process that incorporates questionnaires, diaries, blogs, multimedia, and qualitative inputs to get at the underlying issues that shape behaviors. BUSINESS and TECHNOLOGY Technology is used to meet competitive pressures or to reduce operational costs. It is seldom deployed as a strategic tool because it is difficult to predict and validate return on investment metrics. This difficulty is often related to a mismatch between the corporate culture and the technology potential. Our goal is to pierce this veil and provide business guidance that is linked to technology trends. Year one of the program will examine how technology allows new business structures to emerge and cultural business shifts are needed to maximize the potential from these new structures. 18 Leadership Forums CTM provides exceptional thought leadership and impactful networking opportunities for our sponsors and participants through a series of public and private events. These leadership forums play a critical role in CTM’s efforts to unite business leaders across industry sectors to embrace innovation and enhance the digital communications ecosystem. Allison Cerra, head of Marketing for the Americas region at Alcatel-Lucent, shares insights from her book, Identity Shift. 19 Executive Roundtable (ERT) Our premier event for networking is our Executive Round Table (ERT). Launched in 1985, ERT provides attendees an opportunity to discuss, candidly and offthe-record, the emerging opportunities to generate additional growth from the rapid proliferation of digital devices, services and content. Presenters share their perspectives on what types of consumer experiences, partnering strategies, service platforms and value propositions will be necessary to attract customers in this new world. This event is invitation-only, with no press or bloggers allowed, and is regularly attended by CTM board members, research colleagues, industry partners and USC academics. Digital Summit Series CTM hosts additional, topic-specific forums throughout the year. These events are open to the public, and focus on emerging trends, technologies and business models. Recent Digital Summits include: BIG DATA SUMMIT (in partnership with Variety and PwC): (featuring Philippe Dauman, President and CEO of Viacom, Joe Marchese, President of Advanced Advertising at Fox, and Chris Moody, Vice President of Data Strategy at Twitter) INTERNET OF THINGS LEARNING LOUNGE (featuring Doug Webster, Vice President of Global Marketing and Corporate Communications for Cisco Systems) UP NEXT: BUSINESS INNOVATION IN THE AGE OF 5G - MAY 18, 2016 - USC CAMPUS 20 Silicon Beach @ USC Now in its fifth year, Silicon Beach at USC is an annual celebration of innovation, new venture creation, and investment in the communications, technology and entertainment sectors hosted by USC’s Marshall School of Business. It has two main components: • VENTURE COMPETITION: A $50K venture competition culminating in a highly publicized final round. A $25K top prize along with sizable awards for second and third place. Applicants must have one member of the team who is either a current USC student or recent alum. • SB@USC CONFERENCE: A day-long conference featuring game-changers and thought leaders from Hollywood studios, startups and other innovative companies in the communications and technology sectors, and academic leaders from a number of USC’s elite schools. By the Numbers: 2,000: Over the past four years, the event has been attended by over 2,000 business professionals, entrepreneurs, investors, public officials and USC students and faculty. 200: Over 200 teams applied to compete in the four annual venture competitions. UP NEXT: SILICON BEACH @USC 2016 - OCT 14, USC CAMPUS 21 Advanced Management Program disruption. innovation. convergence. Technology is evolving at an unprecedented rate, transforming the communications, technology, entertainment, and service sectors. Prospering in this environment requires thinking, leading, and managing in ways dictated by an informed vision of the future and a clear understanding of the technologies and media involved. The Advanced Management Program (AMP) provides high-potential business leaders with the tools and perspective needed to manage and lead in an environment transformed by the convergence of the communications, technology, and media sectors. Participants will discover powerful management frameworks, explore emerging technologies, and complete a case study incorporating all aspects of the AMP program curriculum. COURSE TOPICS [5-day session] • • • • • • The connected, digital consumer and the emerging competitive landscape Business strategy in the age of mobile, digital, social, big data, and The Cloud Driving and managing innovation within organizations Generational impacts on the nature of customers & employees Driving positive change through executive storytelling A case study incorporating all aspects of the AMP program curriculum “This course and these sessions reflect the complexity, challenges, and opportunities facing industry today. It is not theory. It is the rugged and rewarding reality that we’re learning about.” AMP Participant 2016 COURSE DATES: SPRING: May 2 - 6 | FALL: November 7 - 11 22 Interested? To learn more about CTM activities, please feel free to explore our website at http://www.marshall.usc.edu/faculty/centers/ctm/. You may also contact us directly by email at: ctm@marshall.usc.edu or by phone at 213-740-0980. Thought leadership at the intersection of technology and content. Join us! 23 CTM: Institute for Communication Technology Management Marshall School of Business University of Southern California AT&T Building 1149 S.Hill St., 9th Floor Los Angeles, CA 90089 Tel: 213.740.0980 | e-mail: ctm@marshall.usc.edu