RMATS Regulatory and Operational Issues Work Group Options for Optimizing Use of Existing Transmission Assets Case Study of TOT 3, Montana to the Northwest and the West of Naughton Path Olsen Draft: April 27, 2004 Contractual, tariff and operational practices limit the utilization of existing transmission assets. Such institutional impediments also limit transmission access and raise the cost of operating and expanding the grid. Removing or reducing these impediments would support fuller, more optimal use of the existing system, and could defer some capital investment in grid expansion. RMATS has modeled the Rocky Mountain/WECC grid with all paths unconstrained. This demonstrates the value of removing institutional impediments to support more wholesale competition; the unconstrained system produces large savings in the delivered cost of power, compared to the way the system is operated today. These impediments greatly limit transmission access for new market entrants. All firm capacity (ATC) across most of the major paths of the WECC is already reserved under long-term contracts; none is available. But a large amount of the physical transfer capacity of the lines in these paths appears to go unused in most hours of the year, after accounting for capacity reserved to meet stability needs. One task of this study is to define and quantify such Unused Transfer Capacity (UTC) on target paths. As an intermittent resource having no fuel cost, wind projects have more flexibility than other generators to make use of transmission service that may be available in certain periods but not in others. Using wind power as an example, this case study will focus on tariff and operational practices that would enable new resources to take advantage of physically available transmission capacity. With TOT 3, West of Naughton and Montana to the Northwest paths as a case study, the RMATS Regulatory and Operational Issues Work Group will determine the amount and diurnal/seasonal timing of such unused capacity. If the amount of reserved but unused capacity is large enough to justify further consideration, the Work Group will then identify non-construction alternatives for making greater use of these existing transmission assets without affecting the reliable operation of the grid. WECC data shows TOT 3 to be constrained (so that incremental power will not flow across the path) 18% of annual hours, under current operational practice. The amount of power that could be shipped across the path in unconstrained hours is unknown. Making greater use of the existing physical transfer capacity on the lines in this path could allow more power to be delivered to the Denver load center without additional transmission construction. This has the potential to increase inter-regional power transfer in the short-term, years sooner than physical upgrades could be constructed. It could also provide additional revenue to the owners of the transmission lines. To win political support for its recommendations, RMATS must be able to show the Governors, regulators and the public that it has considered all feasible alternatives to transmission construction. The results of this case study will indicate the possible extent to which non-construction alternatives can increase power flow across both intra- and inter-regional paths. This case study thus complements the economic modeling to identify cost-effective upgrades/new construction that makes up the core of the RMATS process. Case Study Team The study will draw on the knowledge and perspective of key transmission owners, Load Serving Entities, regulatory agencies and wind and other power project development companies active in the region. The study team will include: PacifiCorp: WAPA: Basin Electric: Tri-State: Xcel: Ken Morris/Gil Coulam; Ken Dragoon; Jack Stamper Bob Easton; John Greenlaw Matt Stoltz Dil Ramsay Sandra L. Johnson; Mark McGree HTH-Arcadia Windpower: Peter Mandelstam; Dan Leach SeaWest Windpower: Rob Sims; Darin Huseby EnXco Paul White PPM Energy: Roby Roberts T&T Energy: Gary Tassainer; Lyle Vance Great Northern Power Development: Louis Szablya FERC: Jamie Simler; Chris Thomas Study Staff: NREL: Peak Power Engineering: PacifiCorp: AWEA: CEERT: Brian Parsons; Michael Milligan Damian Berger; Trevor Pfaff Kurt Granat; Mike DeWolf Ron Lehr Dave Olsen Page 2 West Wind Wires: Western Resource Advocates: Roger Hamilton John Nielsen Jim Byrne, the RMATS facilitator, will ensure communication with other RMATS participants and that the study goals and process mesh with RMATS work and purposes. Workplan Specific tasks and target completion dates are: 1) Determine the physical transmission available on the TOT 3, West of Naughton and MT to NW paths. Obtain WECC EHV data (TOT 3, MT to NW) for physical flows and OTC, and PacifiCorp data for physical flows and OTC on West of Naughton. Determine the physical capacity available on each path (MW by hour) before new wind or other resources are added, and the diurnal and seasonal timing of physical constraint hours, for 2001, 2002 and/or 2003. Show as hourly graphs (MW by hour) for representative days of the year. Lead responsibility: Peak Power. Target complete: April 30, 2004 2) Compare wind output to physical transmission capacity on target paths. Apply historical wind energy shapes to wind capacity additions. Using NREL wind production data for Wyoming, Colorado, Utah and Montana, match the hourly output of regional wind projects to the hourly physical capacity and OTC identified in Task 1. Superimpose generation shapes as additive to the existing usage in graphs in Task 1: Layer in blocks of wind (e.g., 100 MW increments) to see % of wind energy requiring redispatch. Examine physical flow impacts of wind layers. To extent that existing firm usage + wind generation exceeds transmission path’s constraint, redispatch or additional transmission is required. Quantify the amount of wind power (MW by hour) that could be shipped across each constrained path before requiring redispatch, and with redispatch. Page 3 Describe operating requirements and dispatch flexibilities for wind resources. Lead responsibility: Peak Power. Target complete date: May 15 3) Identify institutional factors that may impede fuller, more optimal use of transmission assets while maintaining reliable operation of the grid. Identify the sources and reasons for prevailing limitations (contractual, tariff and operational) on physical and scheduled flows across each target path. Identify path ratings, the reasons for such ratings and any possibilities for changing ratings. Lead responsibility: Study Staff. Target complete date: May 31 4) Determine the Unused Transfer Capacity (UTC) of each path. Quantify the contractual, scheduling and reliability obligations (Task 3) of the lines in each path. Identify the total amount of capacity reserved on each line (data from TOs). Identify scheduled flows (MW by hour) on each line (data from path operators). Identify the capacity reserved for stability/dynamic operating obligations. Compare physical (rated) capacity to contractually reserved capacity to determine ATC. Compare OTC to contractually reserved capacity. Compare physical flows to OTC to quantify/check stability reserve. Determine UTC (MW by hour) by comparing OTC to scheduled flows. Lead responsibility: Peak Power. Target complete date: May 31 5) Quantify Incremental Transmission Revenue. Determine the additional revenue potentially available to transmission owners from selling the UTC quantified in Task 4 or otherwise increasing the capacity factor utilization of their lines. For all generation resources: Using data on OTC available on target paths (from Task 1), determine the amount and timing of unused capacity that could be resold as firm (for example by recalculating ATC), and estimate the revenue potential of such capacity. For wind projects: Compare the OTC available on target paths (from Task 1) and the amount of regional wind power that could take advantage of the OTC Page 4 throughout the year (Task 2) to calculate the revenue potential to TOs of making such capacity available for sale. Survey key transmission owners to determine under what circumstances such incremental revenue potential could justify contract re-negotiation. Lead responsibility: TBD Target complete date: May 31 6) Quantify the cost of institutional impediments. To the extent time allows in RMATS: quantify “cost” of the institutional impediments in Task 3 above. Using wind as an example, calculate the production cost value of resource additions operating below path constraints. calculate the production cost value of resource additions generating above path constraints, then compare to annualized cost of additional transmission. (This analysis will likely be performed as part of the Grid West (RTO West) formation and approval process). Lead responsibility: PacifiCorp. Target complete date: May 31 7) Explore mechanisms for making fuller, more optimal use of existing transmission assets. a) Network Service. With regional transmission owners, determine the MW of wind and other generating capacity that could be interconnected to the local grids in south/central Wyoming, Colorado, Utah and Montana (i.e., to lines owned by PacifiCorp, WAPA, Tri-State and Cheyenne Fuel Power and Light, Xcel, NorthWestern) as network resources. Identify the physical limiting factors that determine the amount of network service available on different systems. Identify regional transmission owners able to expand use of network service to connect new power projects. b) Wind Integration Services. Identify and define mechanisms that could enable wind power and other resources to be moved virtually across network constraints. These might include: displacement/energy swaps (substituting wind power added in one part of a system for system resources in another area of the system); storage and return (accepting wind power in one time period and delivering it in another); dynamic scheduling (regulation and control area responsibilities Page 5 moved from the interconnecting control area to another); and Remedial Action Schemes. On each target path, quantify the amount of wind power or other resources that could be moved by use of such mechanisms and the driving factors that limit their use. c) "Flexible-Firm" Transmission Service. Firm service is not available on any of the target paths, and power projects cannot be financed with short-term, non-firm service. Taking advantage of the unused physical OTC on RMATS paths may require development of a "FlexibleFirm" or "Curtailable Firm" transmission service product. Some power projects can accept curtailment risk, as long as it is limited contractually. With data from Tasks 1 and 2, determine the likely number of hours of curtailment wind projects would face on the subject paths. Determine whether or not such curtailment is economically feasible for wind project owners to accept. Determine whether such curtailment gives transmission owners sufficient flexibility to operate their systems. Determine how curtailment risk might change if upgrades or new lines are built. If appropriate, develop a pilot "Flexible-Firm" tariff amendment to be filed with WAPA and at FERC. d) Other Mechanisms to Optimize Use of Existing Assets. To the extent time permits in RMATS, quantify the effects of: Eliminating rate and loss pancaking. Control area consolidation. Lead responsibility: TBD Target complete date: June 15 8) Incorporate case study findings into RMATS final report. Lead responsibility: Study Staff Target complete date: June 30 Page 6