Ecosystems (2014) 17: 890–905 DOI: 10.1007/s10021-014-9767-3 Ó 2014 Springer Science+Business Media New York Long-term Impacts of Contrasting Management of Large Ungulates in the Arctic Tundra-Forest Ecotone: Ecosystem Structure and Climate Feedback Martin Biuw,1 Jane U. Jepsen,1* Juval Cohen,2 Saija H. Ahonen,3 Mysore Tejesvi,3 Sami Aikio,3 Piippa R. Wäli,3,4 Ole Petter L. Vindstad,5 Annamari Markkola,3 Pekka Niemelä,6,7 and Rolf A. Ims5 1 Norwegian Institute for Nature Research – NINA, 9296, Tromsö, Norway; 2Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, 00101 Helsinki, Finland; 3Department of Biology, University of Oulu, P.O. Box 3000, 90014 Oulu, Finland; 4Kolari Unit, Finnish Forest Research Institute, 95900 Kolari, Finland; 5Department of Arctic and Marine Biology, University of Tromsø, 9294 Tromsö, Norway; 6 Department of Biology, University of Turku, 20014 Turku, Finland; 7Kevo Subarctic Research Intitute, University of Turku, 20014 Turku, Finland ABSTRACT in land cover can substantially affect FTE dynamics, alter ground albedo (index of the amount of solar energy reflected back into the atmosphere) and provide important feedbacks into the climate system. We took advantage of a naturally occurring contrast between reindeer grazing regimes in a border region between northern Finland and Norway which was recently defoliated by an outbreak of the geometrid moth. We examined ecosystem-wide contrasts between potentially year-round (but mainly summer) grazed (YRG) regions in Finland and mainly winter grazed (WG) regions in Norway. We also used a remotely sensed vegetation index and albedo to quantify effects on local energy balance and potential climate feedbacks. Although differences in soil characteristics and ground vegetation cover were small, we found dramatic differences in the tree layer component of the ecosystem. Regeneration of mountain birch stands appears to have been severely hampered in the YRG regime, by limiting regeneration from basal shoots and reestablishment of individual trees from saplings. The arctic forest-tundra ecotone (FTE) represents a major transition zone between contrasting ecosystems, which can be strongly affected by climatic and biotic factors. Expected northward expansion and encroachment on arctic tundra in response to climate warming may be counteracted by natural and anthropogenic processes such as defoliating insect outbreaks and grazing/browsing regimes. Such natural and anthropogenic changes Received 30 July 2013; accepted 20 December 2013; published online 8 April 2014 Electronic supplementary material: The online version of this article (doi:10.1007/s10021-014-9767-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. Author contributions: Martin Biuw: Performed research, Analyzed data and Wrote the paper. Jane U. Jepsen: Conceived of or designed study, Performed research, Analyzed data and Wrote the paper. Juval Cohen: Analyzed data, contributed new methods or models. Saija H Ahonen: Performed research, analyzed data. Mysore Tejesvi: Analyzed data. Sami Aikio: Analyzed data. Piippa R Wäli: Performed research, analyzed data. Ole Petter L. Vindstad: Performed research, analyzed data. Annamari Markkola: Conceived of or designed study, performed research, analyzed data. Pekka Niemelä: Conceived of or designed study. Rolf A. Ims: Conceived of or designed study *Corresponding author; e-mail: jane.jepsen@nina.no 890 Ecosystem Structure and Climate Feedback 891 This has led to a more open forest structure and a significant 5% increase in spring albedo in the summer grazed compared to the winter grazed regions. This supports recent suggestions that ecosystem processes in the Arctic can significantly influence the climate system, and that such processes must be taken into account when devel- oping climate change scenarios and adaptation strategies. INTRODUCTION bivory intensity can strongly influence the vegetation density in the shrub and tree layer, and recent studies have shown that grazing and browsing by small and large mammals has the potential of even preventing shrub encroachment into the tundra (Olofsson and others 2009, 2012; Ravolainen and others 2011; Speed and others 2010). In addition to browsing by reindeer, occasional large scale tree defoliation by insect outbreaks can strongly affect the structure of mountain birch forests and characterize their regeneration and transition to treeless tundra vegetation (Hämet-Ahti 1963; Neuvonen and others 2001). One of the most important ecological functions of the FTE is the feedbacks that the structures of woody vegetation in the shrub and tree layer can have on the climate system. It has been shown that snowmelt in high latitude tundra regions occurs earlier and/or more rapidly where vegetation is denser and protrudes above the snowpack (Grippa and others 2005; Loranty and others 2011; Lundberg and Beringer 2005; Marsh and others 2010; Pomeroy and others 2006). The reason is that the total surface albedo is decreased and the absorption of solar radiation increased by vegetation above the snow (Bewley and others 2010; Ménard and others 2012; Sturm and others 2005a). Shrub encroachment can thus cause atmospheric warming in spring and summer on a regional scale (Bonfils and others 2012; Sturm and others 2005a). Such effects on atmospheric temperature caused by encroachment represent an amplifying feedback mechanism from the ecosystem back into the climate system (Chapin and others 2005; Cohen and others 2013). The flip side of this feedback process is that prevention of encroachment and forest expansion onto arctic tundra may help reduce the rate of atmospheric temperature increase. What role can wild and semi-domesticated mammalian herbivores play in this context? Conservation grazing (Duffey and others 1974) is a well-documented effective land management tool that has been used in, for example, land restoration (Bohner and others 2012), improving river catchment function The arctic forest-tundra ecotone (FTE) is the largest transition zone between structurally contrasting ecosystems on the planet, covering a large latitudinal gradient and a range of environmental conditions around the Arctic (Callaghan and others 2002). Ecotones in general are characterized by their relatively high biodiversity (Harris 1988), and the FTE is no exception. The great majority of species targeted for monitoring by the ‘‘Arctic Species Trend Index’’ are from this transition zone (CAFF 2010). The FTE is characterized by very open, and sometimes discontinuous, stands of lowstatured trees, which are liable to influence by a host of edaphic, climatic, and biotic factors. It is a highly dynamic system, which can respond relatively rapidly to changes in any of these factors, and also to changes in human land use. Ambient temperature is one important driver of change, but winter conditions such as snow and wind are also important in structuring the distribution of trees and shrubs (Dalen and Hofgaard 2005; Harper and others 2011; Holtmeier and Broll 2011). In addition, various natural and anthropogenic disturbance regimes can strongly influence the patterns of vegetation distribution and abundance (Aune and others 2011; Jepsen and others 2008; Tenow and Bylund 1989). In a warming climate the FTE is expected to expand northward, and the arctic tundra to come under threat from climate-driven shrub encroachment and forest expansion (Hofgaard and others 2013; Myers-Smith and others 2011; Olofsson and others 2009; Tape and others 2006; Tømmervik and others 2004). The most rapid response to warming is expected to occur in the transition zone between tall- and dwarf-shrub tundra (Epstein and others 2004; Lantz and others 2010), most strongly driven by increasing air temperatures and its effects either on shrub growth and reproductive potential directly, or mediated via melting permafrost and snowmelt timing (Myers-Smith and others 2011). In addition to such direct and indirect climatic effects, anthropogenic activities and changes in her- Key words: Arctic vegetation; climate change; insect defoliation; grazing; climate feedback; reindeer husbandry. 892 M. Biuw and others (Nienhuis and others 2002) and increasing biodiversity (Takala and others 2012) in land areas shaped by a long-standing combination of natural succession patterns and human land-use regimes. However, its potential use in mitigating the effects of climate change has not been studied in any detail. Reindeer/caribou (Rangifer tarandus) are the most abundant and wide-spread large herbivores in arctic and sub-arctic ecosystems. Throughout their circumpolar distribution reindeer pastures range from continental boreal forest to coastal tundra and often with seasonal migrations between these two ecosystems (Forbes and Kumpula 2009). Abundant reindeer have been predicted to be able to induce transitions between vegetation states (Van der Wal 2006), but this is likely to depend on ecosystem structure (Bråthen and others 2007; Ims and others 2007) and on management regimes (Hausner and others 2011), which may determine the intensity of herbivory in different seasons. In terms of seasondependence, reindeer browse woody vegetation mainly during the plant growing season (Klein 1990; Skjenneberg and Slagsvold 1968); thus, it is expected that their impact on the structure of forest-tundra will be most pronounced in regions, where they are present in the summer. Reindeer have been present in northern Fennoscandia since the region was deglaciated 10,000– 15,000 BP (Skogland 1994). Like most reindeer elsewhere in the Arctic, herds migrated seasonally between the summer pastures in northern coastal tundra and the inland winter pastures further south. The winter pastures range from the tundraforest ecotone, which is formed by open stands of mountain birch (Betula pubescens ssp. czerepanovii), to the closed coniferous boreal forest (Figure 1). Since the seventeenth century, reindeer herds have become semi-domesticated and managed by the indigenous Sami people (Muga 1986). In northeastern Norway the semi-domesticated herds have maintained their seasonal migration pattern, but beginning with the official closure of the Norwegian/Finnish border in 1852 by the Norwegian– Russian authorities, the southern migrations into the winter pastures in Finland became curtailed (Vorren 1946). At the same time the reindeer herds owned by Finnish herders effectively became cut off from their traditional coastal summer pastures, leading gradually to more sedentary herding practices. Thus for the last 100 years or so, Finnish reindeer herding has been characterized by yearround presence within a relatively restricted region in the forest-tundra ecotone, whereas Norwegian herds have maintained a migration cycle with reindeer presence in the forest-tundra primarily during the winter. In this paper, we make use of such long-standing differences in reindeer grazing regimes between Norway and Finland in the Polmak region in northern Fennoscandia, to examine (1) the effects of grazing on the structure and functioning of key components of the birch forest ecosystem and (2) to assess whether these differences are sufficient to cause significant differences in the energy absorption capacity of the ground and vegetation to the extent that it may provide a climate feedback signal from the ecosystem. We here define the ecosystem in the widest possible sense, and we have collected data on most of its components covering soil composition (nutrients, bacteria, and fungi), ground vegetation community structure, forest structure (tree structure and regeneration, tree density and crown cover), herbivore presence and satellite derived vegetation index [Normalized Difference vegetation Index (NDVI)]. To assess the potential climate feedback from the system, we also include a satellite derived index of energy reflectivity (albedo) in our analysis. We expect that grazing and browsing can affect the ecosystem along several non-exclusive pathways, summarized in Figure 2. Firstly, direct consumption by herbivores can affect the structure and regeneration of both trees and ground vegetation. The regeneration potential of the tree layer can be substantially altered through consumption by herbivores of shoots and saplings (Hofgaard and others 2010), thereby potentially changing the tree morphology (for example, the number of trunks) as well as forest structure (for example, distance between tree functional units or individuals). Grazing of ground vegetation can alter the general species composition but also change the height of growth forms, in particular the shrub layer. These direct effects on the tree layer and ground vegetation community represent the most easily observed ecosystem effects of herbivory, and may provide the most direct climate feedback, for example, by altering spring albedo (Cohen and others 2013). However, grazing and browsing may also affect soil composition, both through changes in the disturbance regime caused by trampling and burrowing, but also via nutrient input from faeces and urine (Stark and others 2007). Such changes in soil characteristics may in turn influence the tree and plant communities through alterations in nutrient cycling and uptake aided by, for example, nitrogen fixating bacteria and mycorrhiza. Ecosystem Structure and Climate Feedback 893 Figure 1. The location of the Polmak study area (square) on the border between the reindeer herding districts Kaldoaivi in Finland and Rákkonjárga in Norway. Full lines show year-round district boundaries. Inset figure in top left corner shows the long term development in total herd size in the two districts. Source of background vegetation map: NORUT Northern Research Institute, Tromsø, Norway. MATERIALS AND METHODS Study System The study area is located in northern-boreal birch forest near Polmak (‘‘Boulbmát’’), on the Norwegian–Finnish border in northern Fennoscandia (28°E, 70°N, Figure 1). The area is characterized by relatively mild winters and cool summers with average temperatures around 12°C and -12°C in the warmest and coldest months respectively, and an annual precipitation of approximately 450 mm (met.no, Rustefjelbma meteorological station). The vegetation pattern in the study area is typical for the FTE, with discontinuous areas of short-statured, shrub-like polycormic growth forms of mountain birch and an understorey layer dominated by dwarf shrubs (Empetrum nigrum ssp. hermaphroditum, Vaccinium myrtillus, V. vitis-idaea). The entire study area was severely defoliated during the last outbreak of geometrid moth during 2002–2008 (Jepsen and others 2009), and many trees are dead or remain almost completely defoliated. We positioned the experimental plots based on the occur- rence of recent moth defoliation to include the regeneration process into the experimental setup. The study area lies within two distinct reindeer districts; Kaldoaivi on the Finnish side and Rákkonjárga on the Norwegian side. Although we do not have detailed historical information about the seasonal usage by reindeer of the study area on either side of the border, district-wide statistics on total reindeer densities suggest that the historical development in the two districts has been relatively similar (Figure 1, inset) with the exception of a period during the mid-90’s. In the 2006–2007 season, the Finnish Kaldoaivi district had an average density of 2.38 reindeer/km2 land area (Kumpula and others 2008; Vuojala-Magga and others 2011), while the corresponding number in the Norwegian Rákkonjárga district was 1.56 (Reindriftsforvaltningen 2008). Today (2012) the maximum allowable herd size is 5300 animals (2.3 reindeer/km2) in Kaldoaivi and 4000 (1.7 reindeer/km2) in Rákkonjárga. In addition to this fairly modest long-term difference in district-level reindeer densities, a contrast exists in the seasonal 894 M. Biuw and others Figure 2. Conceptual view of the top-down effects of grazing and browsing on key components of the birch forest ecosystem, including potential climate feedback via changes in albedo. use of the Polmak area in the two districts. In the Norwegian Rákkonjárga district, herders move their animals between coastal summer pastures on the Varanger peninsula and winter pastures in the interior. Grazing in the Norwegian section of the study area is hence effectively limited to late autumn/winter with considerable variation between years (Magne Andersen, Rakkonjárga district, pers. comm.), whereas, in the Finnish section, the animals in principle have year-round access. Although rotational grazing has often been enforced within many Finnish districts by erecting fences between designated summer and winter grazing areas (Kumpula and others 2011), no such fences are present within the Kaldoaivi district. However, the main grazing in the Finnish Polmak region appears to take place during the spring and summer months, whereas the herds tend to move south and east during the winter (Niko-Heikki Länsman, Kaldoaivi district, pers. comm.). Study Design In 2011 an experimental herbivore exclosure/control setup was established as a basis for what is intended as a long-term study of the influence of mammalian herbivores on the regeneration capacity and successional pathways of birch forest ecosystems following severe outbreaks of geometrid moth (Jepsen and others 2013, 2009). The experimental design was replicated on both sides of the fenced Norwegian–Finnish border to capture the contrasting grazing regimes in the two districts. Briefly, the setup consists of six fenced 30 9 30 m large herbivore exclosures on either side of the border, each matched by an open 30 9 30 m control plot in the immediate vicinity. Within each exclosure there are 10 caged 50 9 50 cm rodent exclosures, again matched by 10 open controls within the exclosure and 10 controls in the open 30 9 30 m plot. In the current study, we address the state of the birch forest ecosystem under the two contrasting grazing regimes at the time of establishment of the experimental exclosures. The field data were collected immediately after the exclosures were erected, and are assumed unaffected by the presence of the exclosures. All study plots lie within an area bounded by a rectangle extending about 600 and 1200 m in the E–W and N–S directions, respectively. They are therefore expected to be exposed to the same weather conditions, with no systematic differences between the two sides of the border. In particular, any systematic differences in the duration of snow cover could clearly affect our interpretations. However, we found no evidence for such a difference (see Appendix 1 in supplementary material). In the following we treat all 12 plots in each country as replicates and the measurements in all the 50 9 50 cm sampling squares were treated as observations nested within these replicates. In addition to shedding light on the long-term effects of grazing on the structure Ecosystem Structure and Climate Feedback and functioning of key components of the birch forest ecosystem, this study will serve as a reference for future ecosystem changes caused by the exclusion of herbivores. Sampling and Measurements in the Field Field registrations and sampling were carried out during August and September 2011, and covered the key components of the ecosystem presented in Figure 2; soil nutrients, bacteria and fungi, understory vegetation community structure, birch stand structure and regeneration. Table A2:1 in Appendix 2 (in supplementary material) includes a full list of all measurements that were derived from field registrations, including those taken on individual trees. Five soil cores (/ 3 cm) consisting of humus and mineral layers separately were sampled at randomly assigned locations within each of the 24 study plots in Aug 2011 and were stored in plastic bags at -20°C until used. Both humus and mineral layer samples were used for pH, conductivity, total N, dissolved P, Ca, Mg, and K analyzes conducted in three replicate samples per plot with standard methods (CHN analyzer for total N; ammonium acetate extraction and colorimetric assay for dissolved P (John 1970) and ammonium acetate extraction and atomic absorption spectrophotometry (AAS) for dissolved Ca, Mg, and K). DNA was extracted from freeze-dried soil humus layer samples (five samples per plot pooled) using a PowerSoil DNA Isolation Kit (MoBio Laboratories, USA). For bacteria, a portion of the 16S small-subunit ribosomal gene was amplified using primers F519 and R806 with Ion Torrent adaptors (Roche, USA). For fungi, the internal transcribed region was amplified using ITS1F and ITS4 primers using GS Junior (Roche, USA). PCR reactions for bacteria and fungi were performed in 20 lL reactions in three replicates by using a standard method. The bacterial and fungal data were analyzed following state-of-the-art procedures described elsewhere using CLOVR and QIIME pipeline, respectively (Caporaso and others 2011; White and others 2012). All the sequences were quality checked, aligned, and grouped into operational taxonomic units (OTUs) at a 97% sequence similarity cut-off. We used numbers of fungal and bacterial OTUs, the ratio of the number of bacterial to fungal OTUs, and Simpson’s diversity index, all calculated per plot, for further analyses of soil microbial communities. The structure and composition of the understorey plant community within each 30 9 30 m plot was estimated by recording the abundance of all 895 major plant species/species groups (Appendix 2, Table A2:1 in supplementary material) within each 50 9 50 cm square. We used the point-intercept method (Bråthen and Hagberg 2004), with 9 regularly spaced pins in a 40 9 40 cm (0.16 m2) aluminium frame. For each plant species the total number of intercepts between plant parts and the 9 pins was recorded as a measure of plant abundance. Mosses and lichens, which were not identified to species, were recorded with a maximum of one intercept per pin. A total of 27 different plant species or functional groups, representing 7 major growth forms, were recorded. Estimates of birch stand structure and regeneration within each 30 9 30 m plot were obtained by collecting a series of morphometric and regeneration measures from 20 individually marked trees. In a polycormic birch stand (that is, with multistemmed trees), the distinction between individual trees is often unclear. In such situations, we defined a tree as a ‘‘functional’’ individual, consisting of a cluster of trunks with no detectable root connections to neighboring groups of trunks. Trees were selected by splitting each plot diagonal into 3m intervals, starting from the center point of the plot, and then selecting the closest tree to each 3-m interval. Key registrations on each tree included the total number of basal shoots, the fraction of basal shoots that showed evidence of having been browsed by herbivores, and the severity of crown defoliation. The latter was assessed by visually estimating the proportion dead branches on each of the three largest trunks on every study tree, and assigned one of four classes; no defoliation, <50% defoliation, >50% defoliation and completely defoliated (that is, dead trunk). Although this study did not specifically address the effects of defoliation caused by the geometrid moth, we wanted to check whether the degree of insect defoliation depended on the level of browsing mammals, as has been shown for other species of shrubs and trees (Danell and Huss-Danell 1985; Olofsson and Strengbom 2000). We also assessed regeneration from saplings, that is, the establishment of new functional trees. The number of saplings were counted within 1 m on either side of the two diagonal transects within each plot. Saplings were allocated to one of three size classes; 0–20, 20–50, and 50–150 cm. To obtain estimates of total tree density within each 30 9 30 m plot, we used aerial photographs obtained by Kite Aerial Photography (KAP). Our setup consisted of a GoPro Hero 2 camera with a 170 degree field-of-view lens, suspended under a one-line kite. The camera was programmed to take 896 M. Biuw and others 11 MP (3840 9 2880 pixels) still images once every 2 s, while positioning the kite approximately vertically above the center point of a plot at an altitude of about 45 m. KAP images were georeferenced using ground control points (GCPs) obtained with a handheld GPS. Georeferencing was done in ARCGIS 9.3 using a spline transformation and 16–25 GCPs per 30 9 30 m plot. Georeferenced images were converted to TIFFS with 2.5 cm pixel size using cubic convolution resampling. Within each 30 9 30 m plot all trees were visually identified from the georeferenced images, and their center coordinates digitized manually. The distances (in meters) between all trees within a given plot were then calculated. Finally, because any differences in the structure and height of the shrub and tree layer are likely to influence the snow distribution patterns in an area, we measured the lower vertical limit of the epiphytic lichen Parmelia olivacea on birch stems (the ‘‘Olivacea-limit;’’ Sonesson and others 1994) as a proxy for long-term average snow depth. The Olivacea-limit was measured on each of the 20 individually marked trees within each 30 9 30 m plot. Remote Sensing Datasets Albedo and NDVI data products come from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) sensor on NASA’s Earth Observing System (EOS) Aqua and Terra satellites. Albedo is a coefficient of reflectivity, and provides a measure of the proportion of incoming solar radiation that is reflected back by the earth’s surface. We used the MCD43A3 albedo product, available at a nominal spatial resolution of 500 m and a temporal resolution of 8 days. We used black sky albedo following the guidelines of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO 2006). For NDVI, we used the MOD13Q1 product from the Terra satellite, available at a nominal spatial resolution of 250 m and a temporal resolution of 16 days. We extracted albedo and NDVI data from grid cells falling within either of two polygons, each covering a region of Finnish or Norwegian terrain around our study area. The polygons covered roughly 7.2 and 7.9 km2 on, respectively, the Finnish and Norwegian side of the border (Appendix 2, Figure A2:1 and A2:2B in supplementary material). These polygons, with areas several times greater than the minimum polygon enclosing all our study plots (0.4 km2), were designed to maximize the number of valid grid cells in the albedo and NDVI datasets, while still remaining within habitat that was roughly similar to that in which our study plots are situated. To further ensure that the summary statistics of albedo and NDVI calculated within the respective polygons were as representative as possible to the conditions in our study plots, we used weighted summary statistics (mean and standard deviation). The weighting was based on a combination of (1) distance from the centroids of plots on the Finnish and Norwegian side separately, and (2) the absolute difference in elevation between a particular grid cell and a reference elevation. The reference elevation here was the average of the elevations at the two centroids. Please see the Appendix 2 in supplementary material for further details. Based on satellite derived annual defoliation maps (Jepsen and others 2009) for the years 2004– 2010, we calculated a weighted mean defoliation score for each country polygon using the same approach to data analysis and summary as presented above for NDVI and albedo data. The defoliation score express the % decrease in summer NDVI in a given year relative to a reference year without defoliation (see Jepsen and others 2009 for details) and has been shown to correspond well both with the relative abundance of geometrid larvae in the canopy (Jepsen and others 2009) and the proportion of dead and damaged tree trunks in defoliated birch forest (Jepsen and others 2013). Statistical Approaches Our set of variables was collected at several different scales, which we refer to as explained in Table 1. Unless otherwise stated, statistical analyses were performed using the R language (R Development Core Team 2011). For univariate analyses of field measurements collected at the 30 9 30 m plot level (n = 24), we used Wilcoxon Rank Sum or a hurdle model to assess the cross-border differences. Hurdle models were developed for count data to simultaneously test for differences in counts and the probability of obtaining non-zero counts (Cameron and Trivedi 1998), and we used the implementation in the hurdle function (Zeileis and others 2008) in the pscl library. For univariate analyses of field measurements collected at finer scales, we used generalized linear mixed models (glmm) as a general approach to assess the cross-border differences, while controlling for the variation caused by below-plot grouping structures. We chose the error distribution family and link function according to the distribution of the response variable. For standard exponential family models, we used the lme4 Ecosystem Structure and Climate Feedback Table 1. 897 Scales of Data Collection Name Meaning Sample size (Finland + Norway) Site Plot Diagonal Tree Trunk Quadrat Finland vs. Norway 30 9 30 m exclosure or control plots Diagonals joining opposite corners in the 30 9 30 m plots Individually marked trees Up to 3 largest trunks on each individually marked tree 40 9 40 cm vegetation quadrats 1+1 12 + 12 24 + 24 238 + 2391 714 + 717 360 + 360 1 In one plot on the Finnish side only 18 trees were available whereas one tree on the Norwegian side had incomplete data records, resulting in sample sizes of 238 and 239 trees in Finland and Norway, respectively. Figure 3. The number and ratio of operational taxonomic units (OTUs) of bacteria and fungi in soil samples obtained in the Polmak study plots, and the ratio of fungal/bacterial OTUs. Symbols along the staples indicate level of significance from Wilcoxon tests of difference between Finnish (YRG) and Norwegian (WG) plots (n.s. not significant, *significant at a = 0.05 level). package (Bates and others 2012). For positive continuous response variables (for example, distance measurements) we used a gamma family available for glmm’s in AD Model Builder (Fournier and others 2012) via the R package glmmADMB (Skaug and others 2012). For ordinal response variables (for example, tree trunk damage class) we used a cumulative link mixed model (clmm) available in the ordinal package (Christensen 2012). The fixed effect in all models was ‘‘Site’’ (that is, Finland vs. Norway), whereas the random effects depended on the level at which our data were collected. For instance if data were collected at the vegetation quadrat or tree level, we included plot as a grouping random variable. Figure 4. A Overall abundance of each plant species/ species group in Finland (YRG) and Norway (WG). B Biplot of nonparametric multidimensional scaling of vegetation community at plot level (sum of all individual quadrat abundances within plots). Each square or triangle represents one 30 9 30 m plot in Finland (YRG) and Norway (WG), respectively. The number indicates the plot replicate, whereas the A and B indicates the two plots in each pair. 898 M. Biuw and others We examined the multivariate pattern of variation in soil nutrient content and vegetation community composition using non-parametric multidimensional scaling (NMDS) using the metaMDS function in the vegan package (Oksanen and others 2011). To formally test if quadrats on the Finnish and Norwegian sides showed overall differences we used the multi-response permutation procedure (mrpp) as implemented in the mrpp function in vegan. RESULTS Soil Characteristics There were no systematic differences in terms of the nutrient content of the soil between plots in the two regions of different grazing regimes; potentially year-round but mainly summer grazing on the Finnish side (hereafter termed ‘‘YRG regime’’) and mainly winter grazing on the Norwegian side (hereafter termed ‘‘WG regime’’) of the border (mrpp) with 999 iterations: A = -0.03, p = 0.087), confirming that all experimental plots were located on similar bedrock thus avoiding any biases caused by, for example, the presence of limestone. The number of operational taxonomic units (OTUs) of bacteria ranged from 1122 to 2816, with higher average numbers in the YRG regime than in the WG regime (2369.1 ± 283.8 and 2041.8 ± 375.1 respectively, Wilcoxon Wa=0.05, df=11 = 108, p = 0.039, Figure 3). However, this did not translate into a statistically significant difference in diversity, as measured by the Simpson diversity index (Wilcoxon Wa=0.05, df=11 = 88, p = 0.378). The numbers of OTUs identified for fungi were an order of magnitude less than what was identified for bacteria, ranging from 128 to 209. No differences were found either in average numbers of fungal OTUs between YRG and WG plots (152.2 ± 16.5 and 160.6 ± 21.3, respectively, Wilcoxon Wa=0.05, df=11 = 56, p = 0. 370), nor in diversity measured by the Simpson diversity index (Wilcoxon Wa=0.05, df=11 = 89, p = 0.347). However, the ratio of fungal/bacterial OTUs was significantly lower in the YRG regime than in the WG regime (0.065 ± 0.009 and 0.081 ± 0.018, respectively; Wilcoxon Wa=0.05, df=11 = 29, p = 0.012, Figure 3). Understorey Vegetation Structure There were large variations in vegetation community structure between quadrats, both within and between study plots. Overall, the most abundant species groups on both sides of the border were Avenella flexuosa (Af), Empetrum nigrum (En) and various moss species (Figure 4A). Non-parametric multidimensional scaling did not indicate any systematic differences between YRG and WG plots (mrpp) with 999 iterations: A = -0.0006, p = 0.686), resulting in almost complete overlap between the two groups of plots in a standard biplot (Figure 4B). Birch Stand Structure Defoliation The great majority of trunks on both sides of the border were either dead or severely defoliated by geometrid moths, with more than 99% of trunks falling within the top two defoliation classes (Table 2). Although the number of dead trunks was significantly higher in the YRG regime, severely defoliated but live trunks were significantly more common in the WG regime. Despite this difference, there was no overall difference in trunk damage attributed to the moth outbreak between YRG and WG plots (clmm likelihood ratio test v2df ¼1 = 2.64, p = 0.104). The satellite derived defoliation scores agreed well with these results. Although the degree of defoliation varied between years as the moth outbreak progressed (Appendix 2, Figure A2:2A in supplementary material) and across space within the study area (Appendix 2, Figure A2:2B in supplementary material), there was no systematic difference in defoliation values between the YRG and WG regimes (Appendix, Figure 2:2A in supplementary material). Basal Shoots and Stems We found clear evidence of a difference in tree regeneration between the WG regime in Norway and the YRG regime in Finland. Although the number of basal shoots present on individual trees ranged widely on both sides of the border (0 to 68), only 8 of 238 trees in the YRG regime (3.4%) had any basal shoots at all, whereas the corresponding number in the WG regime was 153 of 239 (64%). This large difference was highly statistically significant (Contingency table: v2df ¼1 = 193.5, p > 0.001). On 5 out of the 8 trees in the YRG regime that had any basal shoots, all shoots showed signs of browsing by herbivores. Also on the remaining three trees, the majority of shoots had been browsed. A high degree of browsing was observed also in the WG regime, where 80% of trees had more browsed than unbrowsed shoots and the proportion of browsed shoots was generally skewed towards one. Despite the high degree of browsing in both regions, we did find evidence for a difference in tree morphology between the YRG and WG regimes that is likely to result from long-term differences in regeneration Ecosystem Structure and Climate Feedback Table 2. 899 Extent of Tree Defoliation Finland (YRG) Norway (WG) pBoot Non-defoliated <50% defoliated >50% defoliated Dead 1 (0.16) 0 (0) n.s. 1 (0.16) 2 (0.29) n.s. 15 (2.35) 67 (9.84) <0.001 620 (97.33) 612 (89.87) <0.001 Significance tests of differences between Finnish and Norwegian plots are based on a permutation test on the percentages (see text). Figure 5. Variations in the density of saplings within each size class observed along diagonal transects within study plots. Bars represent mean densities while error bars indicate standard errors. See text for statistical test results. capabilities from basal shoots. The number of stems on individual trees varied substantially between individual plots, but were in general significantly lower in the YRG compared to the WG regime (6.7 ± 5.0 and 9.3 ± 6.9 stems, respectively, glmmpoisson likelihood ratio test v2df ¼1 = 15.72, p < 0.001, Figure 6A). Saplings The evidence for a difference in recruitment from seed was not as clear as for basal shoots. In the YRG regime, birch saplings were encountered along transects in 5 of 12 plots, whereas in the WG regime saplings were encountered along transects in 11 of 12 plots. The number of saplings decreased dramatically with size class in both regimes (Figure 5). In the YRG regime no saplings taller than 0.2 m were found in any of the plots. The mean sapling density (individuals per m2) from the smallest class was substantially higher in the WG regime (mean 0.082, median 0.011, Q5–95% 0– 0.449) compared to the YRG regime (mean 0.022, median 0.000, Q5–95% 0–0.069). Results from the poisson count component of the hurdle model fit- Figure 6. A Summary of the number of stems on each tree, B the number of trees counted on aerial images of plots on the Finnish (YRG) and Norwegian (WG) sides, and C histograms of nearest-neighbor distances between trees. Although the number of trees did not differ significantly, the number of stems per tree, and the nearestneighbor distances were significantly greater on the Finnish side (see text). ted to these data showed a significant negative trend in sapling numbers over the size classes (contrast parameterclass 1:2 = -0.93 ± 0.19, p < 0.001; contrast parameterclass 1:3 = -2.59 ± 0.95, p < 0.01), and also significantly higher counts in WG compared to YRG plots (contrast parameterF:N = 0.99 ± 0.24, p < 0.001). Similarly, results from the binomial zero hurdle component (that is, the model component in which the response is the binomial indicator of presence/absence of saplings) of this model showed a strong negative trend across the sapling size classes in 900 M. Biuw and others YRG regime (72.0 (± 22.1) and 61.6 (± 18.1) cm, respectively (glmm, likelihood ratio test: v2df ¼1 = 3.98, p = 0.046). Figure 7 shows the general difference in NDVI and albedo between YRG and WG regimes from early spring to late summer. In early spring, NDVI was low and similar on both sides of the border, but as snowmelt progressed and NDVI increased in mid-April, values became significantly higher in the WG regime. During the summer months, NDVI remained slightly (1.5%) but significantly higher in the WG side. In contrast, spring albedo before snowmelt was significantly and consistently about 5% lower in the WG regime compared to the YRG regime. This difference disappeared as snowmelt progressed, and by early June values were similar on both sides of the border (Figure 7). Figure 7. Seasonal development of the difference in NDVI and albedo between Finland (YRG) and Norway (WG). Dots represent means whereas black bars represent standard errors. terms of the probability of obtaining non-zero counts (contrast parameterclass 1:2 = -0.67 ± 0.67, p < 0.323; contrast parameterclass 1:3 = -2.85 ± 0.93, p < 0.01), and also showed that this probability was significantly higher for WG plots compared to YRG plots (contrast parameterF:N = 2.18 ± 0.66, p < 0.0001). Reasonably high numbers of saplings of the middle size class (saplings between 0.2 and 0.5 m) were observed in the WG regime (mean 0.041, median 0.00, Q5–95% 0–0.139), whereas no saplings of this size class were observed in the YRG regime. For the largest size class, no saplings were again observed in the YRG, and the total number of saplings observed in the WG regime had dropped to 3. The long-term effect of regeneration from saplings was marginally different between the two regimes. The number of trees observed per plot in the YRG regime was not significantly lower than in the WG regime (28.4 ± 6.7 and 33.1 ± 9.0, respectively, Wilcoxon Wa=0.05, df=11 = 48.5, p = 0.183, Figure 6B). However, there was a small but statistically significant difference in the nearestneighbour distance between trees within YRG plots compared to within WG plots (4.9 ± 2.4 m and 4.3 ± 2.1 m respectively; glmmgamma likelihood ratio test v2df ¼1 = 86.14, p < < 0.001, Figure 6C). Snow Depth, NDVI, and Albedo The long-term average maximum snow depth, as estimated from the height of occurrence of P. olivacea on the trunks of birch trees, was slightly but significantly higher in the WG regime compared to the DISCUSSION We have demonstrated how a wide approach to ecosystem sampling in combination with remote sensing dataset analyses can be used to describe the multiple possible linkages between grazing/browsing and climate feedback in the arctic FTE system. Although focused process studies and experimentation will be required to fully describe the complex mechanisms and dynamics along as well as between distinct main pathways, this broad approach nevertheless provides an informative snapshot of the situation after a long period of contrasting grazing/browsing regimes, and identifies the likely main processes responsible for the observed differences. Indeed, our results can also be used to bring attention to pathways and processes, where increased research effort may be particularly important and rewarding. By far the clearest ecosystem contrasts between Finnish year-round grazing and Norwegian winter grazing plots were in the birch tree layer, most dramatically through significantly fewer basal shoots and fewer trunks on trees in YRG compared to WG plots. We also found some evidence for a reduction in tree recruitment from saplings in the YRG regime which may explain the slightly reduced forest stand density compared to the WG regime. Previous studies have demonstrated that increased vegetation density and vegetation protruding from the snowpack can have a large effect on, for instance, the timing and rate of snowmelt (Grippa and others 2005; Loranty and others 2011; Lundberg and Beringer 2005; Marsh and others 2010; Pomeroy and others 2006), via the reduction in total surface albedo (Ménard and others 2012). The significantly higher spring surface albedo on the mainly summer-grazed Finnish side compared Ecosystem Structure and Climate Feedback to the winter-grazed Norwegian side demonstrated in this study has the potential to substantially contribute to higher energy absorption, as has been shown by Cohen and others (2013) for a nearby region, with resulting changes in soil temperature, duration of the snow-free season, deepening of the soil active layer, and so on. We found no consistent differences in ground vegetation cover between WG and YRG plots. This lack of difference between grazing regimes is at odds with expectations given that substantial impacts of reindeer grazing regime and intensity have been documented on both cover and composition of tundra and birch forest understorey vegetation (Kumpula and others 2011; Pajunen and others 2008; Bråthen and others 2007). However, the understorey vegetation in both the YRG and WG study plots is likely to have been dramatically altered due to the preceding moth outbreak. Two recent studies from the Fennoscandian birch forest region (Jepsen and others 2013; Karlsen and others 2013) have shown that moth outbreaks of a similar severity as experienced in our study region can cause dramatic vegetation state transitions, in particular in the oligotrophic dwarf shrub birch forest types that dominate our study site. It is likely that any changes in understory vegetation structure caused by long-term differences in grazing pressure have been disguised by this dramatic disturbance event, explaining why we did not find differences between the grazing regimes in this study. Quantitative estimates of the historical grazing pressure by reindeer on either side of the border in the Polmak study area are not available. The only information we can rely on is district level overall herd size statistics (Figure 1, inset), and some very general information about herding practices. The seasonal grazing practice in the Norwegian Rakkonjárga district results in reindeer only being present in the Norwegian Polmak region from late autumn/early winter to late winter/early spring, with considerable variations between years. In contrast, the apparently spontaneous south-eastern movements by the Kaldoaivi herds in winter suggests that herds are present in the Finnish Polmak region mainly during the summer. Indeed, wildlife cameras deployed on our plots in 2012 confirm these patterns. On the Finnish side, reindeer were regularly observed in images from the autumn period, disappeared around the time of the first snow, and then reappeared again around snowmelt (Appendix 1, Figure A1:1 in supplementary material). By comparison, on the Norwegian side reindeer were observed much more infrequently during autumn, and were present in small numbers 901 throughout the winter. Importantly, no reindeer were observed in images taken during the period from snowmelt in mid-May until the camera records ended in early August (Appendix 1, Figure A1:1 in supplementary material). Taken together, the historical records and our 2012/2013 data support our notion that whereas grazing can potentially occur year-round on the Finnish side, the Polmak region is grazed throughout the snowfree period, whereas the much more limited grazing on the Norwegian side occurs almost exclusively during autumn and winter. This may help explain the fact that although we found clear differences in some components of the ecosystem (that is, soil biota and in particular forest structure) we found no differences in other components (that is, vegetation community). Although reindeer can browse intensively on mountain birch during summer, they mainly feed on ground lichens during winter (Stark and others 2007). This can also significantly affect the concentration of secondary substances, litter decomposition rates and soil nutrient pools. We found evidence for higher diversity of soil bacteria in the summer grazed area than in the winter grazed area. This is in concordance with previous results showing that intensive herbivory can increase the importance of bacterial decomposition processes in the soil (Fierer and others 2009; Kaukonen and others 2013). In summer, reindeer feces and urine act as fertilizers in soil, and active soil biota will benefit from an increase in available nutrients during the growing season. Moreover, soil mechanical disturbance by grazers, that is, trampling and local erosion, which is more pronounced during summer grazing, could also increase the ecological niches available, leading to higher bacterial or fungal OTU richness in soil. In intensively grazed systems, soil nutrient levels, and soil pH are usually also higher than in ungrazed systems, and in tundra vegetation grazing changes the vegetation community towards being dominated by herbs rather than dwarf shrubs which generally dominate in ungrazed but otherwise similar areas (van der Wal 2006). However, we did not detect any differences in nutrient levels between the grazing regimes. A possible explanation for this is that the samples were taken at the end of the growing season (Aug–Sept). If grazing caused an increase in available nutrients due to reindeer feces dropped during the summer, it may have been taken up by the plants and the additional bacterial fraction detected in the grazed area. Precipitation levels during May–July 2011 were much higher than the long-term (1962–2010) average (249 mm as opposed to an average of 902 M. Biuw and others 141 mm) (Finnish Meteorological Institute, Kevo station, Utsjoki, Finland) and the reindeer feces may have mostly dissolved and nutrients released and taken up and immobilized by soil microbes by the end of summer when the samples were taken. Some attempts have been made to identify the mechanisms and estimate quantitatively the effects that changes in land-surface can have on the Earth’s energy budget. Recent trends in absorbed radiation and atmospheric heating in arctic Alaska have been mostly attributed to a lengthening of the snow-free season, with only about 3% attributed to land-surface changes such as increasing abundance of shrubs and trees due to the small areal cover of regions, where such changes have occurred (Chapin and others 2005). However, the conversion from tundra to forest has the potential to increase absorbed radiation and atmospheric heating almost fivefold in spring and about 25% in summer, and predicted large-scale changes from tundra to shrubs (Myers-Smith and others 2011; Sturm and others 2005b) and forests (Grace and others 2002; Moen and others 2004, but see Hofgaard and others 2010; Lloyd and Fastie 2002) are expected to contribute disproportionately to future warming (Chapin and others 2005). Based on our results in this study, and further supported by those of Cohen and others (2013), reindeer grazing appears to have the potential to prevent the regeneration of forest after naturally occurring defoliation events such as those caused by geometrid moth. This suggests that moth outbreaks and grazing together can play an important role in halting the conversion from tundra to forest, thereby reducing the strengthening feedback between encroachment and atmospheric warming. The largest impact of snow cover on surface energy balance and its feedback on air temperature is observed during the spring, when days are getting longer and brighter and snow is still present but its cover is becoming variable (Groisman and others 1994). However, the processes that affect the ground cover sufficiently to cause changes during the snowmelt season may occur at other times of year. For instance, it appears that the main difference in the effects of reindeer is linked to whether regions are browsed during summer or not. Cohen and others (2013) found substantial differences in timing of snowmelt and a roughly 5% difference in spring albedo between regions of summer grazing in Finland and non-summer grazing areas in Norway. This is very similar to the estimated differences we observed in Polmak, and according to Cohen and others (2013) this represents an estimated difference in energy absorption of up to 6 W/m2 during the snowmelt season, contributing about 0.5 W/m2 to the yearly energy budget on the non-summer grazed areas in Norway. Their analyses were based on remote sensing products also for vegetation cover. Because they did not examine vegetation composition, soil characteristics or tree layer structure on the ground, they could not address how grazing/browsing acts upon various ecosystem components to result in these climate feedback differences. Furthermore, whereas Cohen and others (2013) studied tundra vegetation (excluding forested areas entirely) and hence the effects of low shrub vegetation, we have here described how similar differences in climate feedback caused by browsing/grazing by reindeer can also be observed in a mountain birch forest system representative of the arctic FTE. The main pathway is via the effect of browsing on the tree layer. The key mechanisms appear to involve (1) the browsing of basal shoots, which can substantially alter individual tree morphology and therefore the size of the crown layer and (2) the browsing of newly established saplings, thereby altering the structure and density of entire stands and changing the crown cover. Indeed, it appears that intense summer browsing can even prevent the recovery of birch stands following intense moth outbreaks, by completely preventing the establishment of new tree functional units. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS This study is a contribution from Work Package 4 (WP4) of the Nordic Centre of Excellence—How to preserve the tundra in a warming climate (NCoETundra) funded by the Norden Top-Level Initiative ‘‘Effect studies and adaptation to climate change.’’ Additional funding was obtained from FRAM—High North Research Centre for Climate and the Environment, the Norwegian Research Council, the Norwegian Institute for Nature Research, the University of Tromsø, and the Academy of Finland (Project #138309). We thank Maja S. Kvalvik, Lauri Kapari, Sabrina Schultze, Jakob Iglhaut, Moritz Klinghardt, Elina Vainio, Ilkka Syvänperä and Marianne Iversen for assistance during field work, and Tuulikki Pakonen and Tarja Törmänen for assistance with nutrient analyses. REFERENCES Aune S, Hofgaard A, Söderström L. 2011. Contrasting climateand land-use-driven tree encroachment patterns of subarctic tundra in northern Norway and the Kola Peninsula. Can J For Res 41(3):437–49. 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