Too Many To Count! (Teacher’s version) This activity allows students to simulate field surveying techniques used to study plant populations. It also shows them how rapidly invasive plants can take over natural areas and displace native plants. The activity can be simplified for younger students; more math applications can be added for older students. You will need (for each student or pair of students): One copy of Figures 1, 2 & 3 (whichever one/s apply) Ruler Pencil 1” x 1” square of card stock Calculator (optional) 1. Estimating population density using quadrats (Figure 1 only) Scientists often wish to know the population of plants or animals in an area. Counting individuals is extremely tedious and is usually not practical. Instead, scientists take subsamples and use these sub-samples to estimate the total population. This activity will simulate the use of quadrats to estimate the population of plants in a given area. Procedure: Explain to the students that each leaf on Figure 1 represents an individual plant. The students are scientists who wish to know how many plants are in the plot (rectangle). They will use quadrats (represented by the card stock squares) to estimate the number of plants on the page. a. Place Figure 1 flat on the desk/table. b. Hold the “quadrat” about 8-10” above the paper (randomly) and drop it onto the paper. If the entire square does not land within the rectangle printed on the page, repeat this step. c. Without moving the square, draw around the outline of the square using a pencil. d. Remove the square and count the number of leaves within your penciled outline. Record this number in a data table. e. Repeat steps b – d until you have a total of ten numbers in your data table. Hints: If there are no leaves where the quadrat lands, record a zero in the data table (as long as the entire quadrat was within the rectangle printed on the page). If half or more of a leaf is in the quadrat outline, count the leaf; if less than half a leaf is in the quadrat, do not count it. f. Calculate the average of your ten numbers (add all ten together and divide the total by ten). This is the number of plants per square inch. g. Measure the area of the rectangle (area = length x width) h. Multiply your average number (step f) by your total area (step g). This is your total plant population estimate. Round this off to the nearest whole number. Record this on your data sheet. Note to teachers: Once all students have calculated their estimated population, you can collect these numbers and use them to calculate the mean, median & mode. The data can also be graphed as shown below. Sample class data Student # 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 Estimate 188 331 221 193 166 276 304 276 249 221 188 188 207 166 193 Class average (mean) = 224 Median = 207 Mode = 188 Tally the # of students whose estimate falls into each range of data (151-200; 201-250; 251-300; 301-350): Data range 151-200 201-250 251-300 301-350 # of students 7 4 2 2 Graph of plant population estimates by students in my class # of students Plot these data on a bar graph: 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 151-200 201-250 251-300 Estimate 301-350 2. Studying population change over time (Figures 2 & 3) Figures 2 and 3 represent the same area as Figure 1, as an invasive plant species moves into the area and starts to displace the native plants. Invasive plants are represented by the red leaves ; native plants by green leaves . Your students will use the quadrat procedure described above to estimate the populations of both native and invasive plants in Figures 2 and 3. This time they will need to count and record (separately) the number of red leaves and the number of green leaves in their quadrats. Math extensions (Figures 1, 2 & 3): Have students graph their population estimates over time (Figure 1, Figure 2, Figure 3) for native plants and invasive plants. Assume that the Figures are at 5 year intervals. (Figure 1 is time 0, Figure 2 is 5 years later; Figure 3 is 10 years later than figure 1). Use your estimated population of invasive plants to calculate the growth rate (# plants/in²/yr) between 0 and 5 years, 5 and 10 years, and 0 and 10 years. Compare data from Figures 2 and 3. What is the percent change of invasive plants? Native plants? E.g. if there were an estimated 36 invasives in Figure 2 and 148 in Figure 3, this represents an increase of 116 plants, or 322% ((116/36)x 100). Convert data from inches to cm (remember that 1 in² = 6.45 cm²). Other applications: Have students use their data from ONLY their first quadrat to make their estimates. Write all of these values on the board and compare the range of data with the range collected using students’ average values. There should be a much broader range of data when the single data points are used—this should help show the importance of collecting replicate data. Other sampling methods—The figures can also be used to demonstrate belt transect or transect & quadrat techniques. For a belt transect, draw two parallel lines on the page, so the lines are 1” apart. For easiest math, the lines should be either horizontal or vertical. Count the number of plants between the two lines (using the 50% rule as described for quadrats). This gives the number of plants in the “belt” area. Measure the belt area. Divide the number of plants counted by the belt area to get plants/in². Measure the total area of the “study site” (rectangle). Multiply the plants/in² by the total area to get total estimated population. Discuss with students—what are the advantages and disadvantages of this technique? (If plants are trees, quadrat won’t work; may not represent actual population distribution; may not be random; may be too large an area to really count in “real life,” etc.) For transect & quadrat, draw two lines anywhere (any angle) on the page (using a ruler). Have students use a ruler to mark every inch along the lines. Have students place the quadrat so the top left corner of the quadrat is at the first inch mark on one line and the side of the quadrat is along the line. Students should trace the outline of the quadrat, then move it to the third inch mark, and so on. Repeat for the other line. Students should count the number of plants in each quadrat as in the exercises above. Discuss with students—what are the advantages and disadvantages of this technique? (If transect is randomly placed, can remove bias inherent with use of quadrats; will not work for trees; may not give large enough sample size, etc.) To discuss with the students: • • • Why should the quadrat be dropped randomly? What is experimental bias? Why might results from Figure 2 not accurately represent the actual populations? (Populations are not evenly distributed on the page) How could this be fixed? (Take more data samples). What is “wrong” with the design of this experiment (from a scientific standpoint)? (Measurements should be using the metric system). For the teacher only! Actual data: Figure 1 = 210 plants Figure 2: 168 native plants, 42 invasives Figure 3: 53 native plants; 153 invasives Too Many To Count! (Student handout) 1. Estimating population density using quadrats In this activity, you are scientists who want to know how many plants are in a particular area. The model for the area is Figure 1; plants are represented by leaf symbols on the page (each leaf represents one plant). The study area is represented by the rectangle. It is not practical to try and count every plant on the page, so you will be using a sampling system to estimate the total number of plants. You will be using “quadrats” (represented by squares of card stock) to take sub-samples of the total population of plants. You will use these sub-samples to estimate the total population on the page. You will need (each student or pair of students): One copy of Figure 1 Ruler Pencil 1” x 1” square of card stock Calculator (optional) Procedure: a. Place Figure 1 flat on the desk/table. b. Hold the “quadrat” about 8-10” above the paper (randomly) and drop it onto the paper. If the entire square does not land within the rectangle printed on the page, repeat this step. c. Without moving the square, draw around the outline of the square using a pencil. d. Remove the square and count the number of leaves within your penciled outline. Record this number in a data table. e. Repeat steps b – d until you have a total of ten numbers in your data table. Hints: If there are no leaves where the quadrat lands, record a zero in the data table (as long as the entire quadrat was within the rectangle printed on the page). If half or more of a leaf is in the quadrat outline, count the leaf; if less than half a leaf is in the quadrat, do not count it. f. Calculate the average of your ten numbers (add all ten together and divide the total by ten). This is the number of plants per square inch. g. Measure the area of the rectangle (area = length x width) h. Multiply your average number (step f) by your total area (step g). This is your total plant population estimate. Round this off to the nearest whole number. Record this on your data sheet. Too Many To Count! (Student handout) 2. Studying population change over time (Figures 2 & 3) Once you have learned how to estimate population densities using quadrats, you will apply this procedure to study how the plant population might change over time as a second species of plants moves into the area. Figures 2 and 3 represent the same area as Figure 1, as an invasive plant species moves into the area and starts to displace the native plants. Invasive plants are represented by the red leaves ; native plants by green leaves . Figure 2 represents an early stage of the invasion, while in Figure 3 the invasion is well under way. Use the quadrat procedure described above to estimate the populations of both native and invasive plants in Figures 2 and 3. This time you will need to count and record (separately) the number of red leaves and the number of green leaves in each of your quadrats. You will record these data on the appropriate data sheets. Name(s) ____________________________________________ Date: ____________________ DATA SHEET FOR FIGURE 1 Data Table Quadrat # # of plants 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 A. Total # of plants in 10 quadrats = ______________ plants. B. Average # of plants = ____________ (plants per inch²). [A/10] C. Area sampled = ____________ in². D. Estimated plant population = _____________ plants. [B x C] Name(s) ____________________________________________ Date: ____________________ DATA SHEET FOR FIGURE 2 Data Table Quadrat # # of native plants # of invasive plants 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 A. Total # of native plants in 10 quadrats = ______________ natives. B. Total # of invasive plants in 10 quadrats = ______________ invasives. C. Average # of native plants = ____________ (natives per inch²). [A/10] D. Average # of invasive plants = ____________ (invasives per in²). [B/10] E. Area sampled = ____________ in². F. Estimated native plant population = _____________ plants. [C x E] G. Estimated invasive plant population = ____________ plants. (D x E) H. Of the total number of plants counted (A + B), what fraction were native? (A/(A+B)) ________ I. Of the total number of plants counted (A + B), what fraction were invasives? (B/(A+B)) ______ Name(s) ____________________________________________ Date: ____________________ DATA SHEET FOR FIGURE 3 Data Table Quadrat # # of native plants # of invasive plants 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 A. Total # of native plants in 10 quadrats = ______________ natives. B. Total # of invasive plants in 10 quadrats = ______________ invasives. C. Average # of native plants = ____________ (natives per inch²). [A/10] D. Average # of invasive plants = ____________ (invasives per in²). [B/10] E. Area sampled = ____________ in². F. Estimated native plant population = _____________ plants. [C x E] G. Estimated invasive plant population = ____________ plants. (D x E) H. Of the total number of plants counted (A + B), what fraction were native? (A/(A+B)) ________ I. Of the total number of plants counted (A + B), what fraction were invasives? (B/(A+B)) ______ Figure 1—Pre-invasion Figure 2—Early invasion Figure 3—Late invasion