JACKSONVILLE MSA MSA (METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREA) An MSA is identified as an urbanized area of at least 50,000 inhabitants that has a total metropolitan population of at least 100,000. The Jacksonville MSA is composed of Baker County, Clay County, Duval County, Nassau County, and St. John’s County. The Jacksonville MSA ranks as the 4th largest in the State of Florida, preceded in order of population by Miami, Tampa/St. Petersburg, and Orlando. Nationally, it is considered the 55th largest MSA, with a population1 of more than 1,450,000 inhabitants. LOCATION Jacksonville, the anchor city within the Jacksonville MSA is a city geographically located on the banks of the St. Johns River in the northeast section of Florida situated 23 miles south of the Georgia state line. Jacksonville is 39 miles north of St. Augustine, 89 miles north of Daytona Beach, 134 miles north of Orlando, 163 miles east of Tallahassee, 190 miles northeast of Tampa, 315 miles southeast of Atlanta and 345 miles north of Miami. Duval Baker Clay St. Johns Jacksonville, FL Metropolitan Statistical Area FLORIDA Nassau PHYSICAL FEATURES At 874.3 square miles, Jacksonville is the largest city in land area in the contiguous United States. Of this, 757.7 square miles is land, and 116.7 square miles is water. Elevation varies from sea level to approximately 50 feet above sea level with the highest elevation occurring along a portion of the south bank of the St. Johns River in the Arlington Area (St. Johns Bluff). Significant physical features in the area include the St. Johns, Ortega, Nassau, Trout and Cedar Rivers, the Intracoastal Waterway, the Atlantic Ocean and numerous ecologically important wetland areas including the 30,000 acre Timucuan Ecological and Historical Preserve. 1 Source: Wikipedia.org ENTERTAINMENT The Jacksonville area offers many recreational and cultural activities along with numerous professional and collegiate sporting events. Northeast Florida is home to the World Golf Hall of Fame in St. Augustine, The Players Championship (TPC) held at TPC Sawgrass in Ponte Vedra Beach, The Bausch & Lomb Tennis Championship in Amelia Island and the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP). Jacksonville is the home of the NFL franchise Jacksonville Jaguars, whose stadium holds many annual events such as the Florida/Georgia Football Classic and the Progressive Gator Bowl. In 2000, Jacksonville voters approved The Better Jacksonville Plan and Preservation Project Jacksonville. These two measures were created in the attempt to preserve Jacksonville for the future while making the region a desirable place for individuals to reside and visit. Some major projects of The Better Jacksonville Plan included the sports complex, which contains Veteran’s Memorial Arena and the Baseball Grounds of Jacksonville. The arena seats up to 16,000 spectators for a variety of productions and sporting events including the Jacksonville Sharks arena football team. The Baseball Grounds of Jacksonville is home to the Jacksonville Suns, a minor league professional baseball team. Another part of The Better Jacksonville Plan is The Jacksonville Equestrian Center, located off Normandy Blvd. in the Westside area of Jacksonville, which opened in March 2004. This is a multipurpose equestrian complex providing facilities to accommodate premier equestrian events as well as a range of community events. DEMOGRAPHIC The City of Jacksonville is the 3rd most populous city on the East Coast, after New York City and Philadelphia, with an estimated population of 864,2632. The greater Jacksonville MSA population by County is detailed on the following page: 2 U.S. Census Bureau 2010 The greatest area of growth over the past 10 years has occurred within Flagler County, followed by St. Johns County. These areas experienced a large increase in Developments of Regional Impact (DRIs), in areas that were historically agricultural in nature. However, such growth began to slow in late 2006, early 2007. In 2008, with the historical crash of the U.S. residential market, earlier projections of population growth are likely over-estimated. The population in the greater Jacksonville area had been growing at a rate of more than two percent annually. This figure was more than two times the national average. The area’s wide variety of housing provides options to suit any living style. From historic homes and high-rise condos to coastal living, it’s no surprise that Jacksonville has had a stable ranking by Money Magazine as one of the “Top Ten Best Places to Live” and has topped the list of “America’s Top Cities” by Expansion Management Magazine a record three times. The chart following summarizes the age distribution of the Jacksonville MSA Population. As illustrated, the majority of residents are below the age of 50 and the median age is 37.7 years, which is similar to the Top 100 Cities average and U.S. overall. The population is also similarly educated as the rest of the U.S. with 18% percent of its population holding at least a bachelor’s degree, but only 7.9% of households having an annual income greater than $100,000. The growth of the Jacksonville MSA is growing at a pace that exceeds the national average as well as the Top 100 average. The growth is attributed in part to the perception of Northeast Florida being a favorable place to live, work, and raise families, coupled by its relatively low cost of living standard, as summarized further in this section of the report. EMPLOYMENT, INCOME, COST OF LIVING The median household income levels are slightly higher than the average for the state of Florida. The economy is well diversified, and has remained on par with national averages in terms of economic growth. Since 1990, Jacksonville has experienced an annual growth average of 1.82% in Median Household Income. However, looking forward, this trend is expected to end, in a manner mirroring the recession in the U.S. economy, and similarly influence the current retraction of the world-wide economy. The following tables summarize the most current per capita income statistics for the Jacksonville MSA. Given Jacksonville’s location and geography, the economy in N.E. Florida is heavily weighted upon Health Services and Education, Professional Business Services, Government, Leisure & Hospitality, Finance, and Transportation, Trade & Utilities. Its economy is less reliant on Manufacturing, Information, and Construction Sectors, when compared to the Top 100. The following table summarizes the most current employment by industry for Northeast Florida. As opposed to other Florida cities, which are dependent on tourism, Jacksonville's economic base is well diversified. While there is a small tourist component to the local economy, most of the employment opportunities are in the areas of insurance, banking, food production, biotechnology, chemicals, shipbuilding and repairs, agricultural products and lumber, machinery and finished goods, paper, cigars, distribution, government and the military. Although the unemployment rate is anticipated to increase within the short-term foreseeable future, due to national and world-wide current events, below is the latest statistics for the Jacksonville MSA. According to the Agency for Workforce Innovation, the unemployment rate for the Jacksonville MSA was reported at 9.1% as of January 2012. Jacksonville has experienced favorable unemployment rates over the past decade as reflected on the following chart. LABOR FORCE - January 2012 Location Labor Force Unemployment JAX MSA 684,390 9.10% Florida 9,297,000 9.60% U.S. 154,395,000 8.30% Annual Labor Force - JAX MSA 2011 696,327 9.20% 2010 687,829 11.20% 2009 686,069 10.00% 2008 684,325 5.80% 2007 667,506 3.90% 2006 649,056 3.30% 2005 609,942 3.90% 2004 608,406 4.30% 2003 588,805 5.30% Jacksonville has one of the lowest overall costs of living in Florida and in the United States with a cost of living index of 94.9 compared to a national average of 100. This is largely due to the relatively low housing costs in the area. The following chart represents the overall cost of living for the Jacksonville MSA. As the single largest employer of Northeast Florida, the military presence in the Jacksonville MSA has a vital economic role in the local economy, employing over 56,000 personnel (roughly 6% of the area’s workforce) with an annual payroll in excess of $1.5 billion. The area military installations include NAS Jacksonville, Naval Station Mayport, Camp Blanding Joint Training Center, Naval Aviation Depot Jacksonville, and Marine Corps Blount Island Command in addition to the Kings Bay Naval Base in St. Marys, GA. Combined, these installations have a total economic impact of $6.1 billion annually for the local economy. The economic impact of the Navy, in particular, is tremendous in terms of total employment and revenue providing approximately 22,000 jobs. The two major naval bases in the area include NAS Jacksonville (one of the largest overhaul and repair facilities in the United States), and NAS Mayport (the only deep water berthing area for major naval ships in the United States south of Norfolk, Virginia Many other large employers, both manufacturing and non-manufacturing have established a strong presence in Jacksonville. In the past ten years companies such as Fidelity Investments, Bridgestone Firestone, Fidelity National Financial and others relocated to Jacksonville creating an open market of competition that recruits more business opportunities to the Jacksonville MSA. Now Mitsui and Hanjin will each have a major presence in Jacksonville. A major development for the industrial sector of Northeast Florida is the August 2005 agreement between Jacksonville and Mitsui O. S. K. Lines Ltd. JaxPort constructed a 158-acre cargo terminal for Mitsui. The new cargo port is expected to create well over 5,600 related jobs. Mitsui is one of the largest shipping giants in the world. This new commitment from Mitsui, via a 30-year lease, is resulting in a major change in industrial land values, although current economic conditions dampened this. Additionally, Hanjin Shipping Company which is South Korea’s largest carrier reached an agreement to build a $360 million terminal in Jacksonville, Fl. The actions by Mitsui O.S.K. Lines Ltd. and Hanjin Shipping Co. for seeking out Jacksonville and the East Coast in general have a large part to do with the $5.25 billion Panama Canal expansion. The following chart is a list of the largest employers in the Jacksonville MSA. These are the top employers in the Jacksonville metropolitan area (with industry sector) and number of employees as of 2009, which is the most recent data available. Employer Naval Air Station Naval Station Mayport Duval County Public Schools City of Jacksonville Winn-Dixie Stores Blue Cross Blue Shield of Florida, Inc. Publix Distribution Center Baptist Health System CSX Corp. CitiBank Number of Employees 19,537 15,293 15,000 8,019 7,238 7,000 6,615 5,600 4,400 4,000 HOUSING It is the general opinion of the real estate professionals we interviewed that all segments of the real estate market are in decline and that property values are still facing downward pressure. In some cases that downward pressure is significant. There is support for decline in property values ranging from 30% to over 50% in the northeast Florida market. The real estate market in general, and specifically the vacant land sector, experienced a drastic decrease in 2008, which has steadily deteriorated through today. This decline in activity and conditions overall was significantly magnified by the world credit crisis (stemming from the prolonged residential real estate crash). The near term outlook for the real estate market in general remains unfavorable as the market perception is that both the world and national economies are contracting substantially. The following chart reflects the decline in the median home sales prices from 1-2003 to 1-2011 for the Jacksonville MSA. 3 The long-term outlook for the Jacksonville housing market looks positive. However, in light of current events, the near-term outlook is likely to continue to dim, mirroring the national housing decline/crash which has proven historical in nature. The vast cut and continued inactivity in new housing construction by area builders is perceived as evidence of near term events to come. 3 Nefar.org HEALTHCARE Northeast Florida offers a wide range of advanced medical services provided by some of the top hospitals in the nation. The area’s leading hospitals include: St. Vincent’s Healthcare, Baptist Health, Shands Jacksonville and the Mayo Clinic. St. Vincent’s Healthcare serves more than 100,000 patients a year and is the largest heart center between Orlando and Atlanta. Baptist Health is the area’s most comprehensive healthcare provider composed of five separate regional hospitals throughout Jacksonville. Shands Jacksonville is an academic medical center affiliated with the University of Florida and offers treatment to patients throughout Northeast Florida and South Georgia. The Mayo Clinic is the first and largest integrated group practice in the world. According to the Jacksonville Chamber of Commerce, “Its Cancer Center is the only multicenter clinic in the nation to receive the National Cancer Institute’s highest designation as a comprehensive cancer center.” TRANSPORTATION Jacksonville is the main intersection of two major southeastern transportation routes: I-95 and I-10. Along with these two major transportation routes, I-75 is easily accessed via I-10 approximately one hour west of Jacksonville. More than one hundred different trucking companies and three separate rail companies service the area: CSX Corporation, Norfolk Southern and Florida East Coast Rail Company. Jacksonville is connected to major trade lanes throughout the world via its two natural deepwater ports: JAXPORT and the Port of Fernandina. These ports provide trade opportunities with Latin America, the Caribbean, Asia and the rest of the world. Increased trade with the Asia Pacific Region has brought on the recent port deals with Mitsui O.S.K. Lines and Hanjin Shipping Company, two of Asia’s largest carriers. Jacksonville International Airport (JIA) and the area’s six other regional airports connect the city to the rest of the nation with more than 90 direct non-stop flights to more than 27 U.S. cities along with many international flights to suit the needs of both business and leisure travelers. In addition to passenger flights, Jacksonville International Airport moves millions of pounds of air cargo annually through a network of the nation’s major air freight providers. Project Name City of Jacksonville Road Projects Project Limits Project Description Collins Road Extension Shindler to Old Middleburg Fort Caroline Road Caroline Vale to Merrill Cahoon Road Phase 2 Lenox to W. Beaver Collins Road Blanding to Pine Verde Collns Road Shindler to Westport Collins Road Westport to Rampart Crystal Springs Phase 2 Hammond to Cahoon Girvin Road Atlantic to McCormick Hartley Road Old St. Augustine to San Jose Kernan Blvd Phase 5B Matthew Ungar Kernan Blvd Phase 6 JTB to Glen Kernan McDuff & 5th Phase 3 Old Middleburg Road Old St. Augustine/Greenland Intersection 103rd to Argyle Forest Parramore Road Extension Youngerman Circle Ricker Road Old Middleburg to Morse San Pablo Road Beach to Atlantic Shindler Drive Phase 2 Collins to 103rd Construct a new, two-lane section with curbs, gutters, sidewalks and bike lanes on both sides. This section will eventually be widened to a four-lane divided roadway with landscaped median(s). Reconstruct to two lanes east of 9A and three lanes west of 9A, with bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Roundabout at Hartsfield Road to replace existing signal. Reconstruct two-lane section with bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Reconstruct to a four-lane section with medians, bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Reconstruct to a four-lane section with landscaped median(s), bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Reconstruct to a four-lane section with landscaped median(s), bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Reconstruct to five-lane/three-lane section with bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Reconstruct to five lanes south of Ashley Melisse and three lanes north of Ashley Melisse, with bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Reconstruct to three lanes at major intersections, with drainage improvements. Reconstruct to six lanes divided south of Matthew Ungar and four lanes divided north of Matthew Ungar, with landscaped median(s), bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Reconstruct/realign to a six-lane divided roadway with landscaped median(s), bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Three-lane urban roadway with bike anes, sidewalks and curb and gutter. Reconstruct to a four-lane divided section with landscaped median(s), bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Improve traffic flow in the area with modifications to the existing layout. Construct a new, two-lane section with curbs, gutters, sidewalks and bike lanes on both sides. Reconstruct to a three-lane section with bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Reconstruct to a three-lane section with bike lanes, sidewalks and curb & gutter on both sides. Widen and resurface two-lane roadway to include paved shoulders, drainage improvements and sidewalks. Budget $4,200,000 $11,300,000 $13,000,000 $15,200,000 $8,200,000 $7,300,000 $12,600,000 $17,100,000 $11,500,000 $27,500,000 $5,800,000 $2,200,000 $2,800,000 $1,200,000 $2,600,000 $12,000,000 $13,700,000 $12,200,000 Data obtained from the City of Jacksonville The Better Jacksonville Plan Road Projects website. 3/2012. CONCLUSION The Jacksonville MSA has a diverse geography and demographic with many positive attributes. Yet Jacksonville has been affected by the current market conditions and economy as expected. The area has not seen as sharp of deterioration in conditions as other Florida cities, specifically those located in South Florida and Southwest Florida. It is however plagued by a substantial short term oversupply of condominiums, homes, lots, and entitled residential land, exacerbated by the September/October 2008 financial markets collapse. The residential market continued to slowly recover in 2011 and likely through 2012 as well. The Jacksonville Retail and Office sectors began showing signs of weakening in mid 2008. It is the local market perception that this market is still in decline resulting from the prolonged world credit crisis, housing bust, etc. With a continued decrease in occupancy rates, an increase in foreclosures, decrease in the population’s disposable income, etc., and lowered expectations on near term appreciation of property values, the Commercial and Office Markets declined through 2011, but have shown some signs of a slow recovery into 2012. It remains uncertain how these markets will react going forward. Currently, market activity is occurring for tenant relocations into existing buildings but only a minor amount of that is new development/construction. The Industrial Market has also experienced declining market conditions through 2011. In anticipation of higher demand levels resulting from the new port clients Mitsui and Hanjin, in addition to the booming economy (2001 – 2006), a large amount of Industrial Warehouse development took place within the last few years. The retracting economy, along with the resulting reduction in port activity has resulted in a substantial over-supply in industrial warehouses, and a decrease in demand for vacant industrial land. The Industrial Market is therefore also expected to show no significant signs of growth (new development) at least through 2011 and into 2012. In summary, Jacksonville will likely to continue experiencing setbacks through 2011 and early 2012. But its broad, dynamic array of businesses and professional services, and its diverse economy, should provide some resiliency against sustained setbacks that would negatively impact longer-term growth potential and recovery is expected to continue into late 2012 and beyond, albeit slowly.