FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
July 28, 2011
INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312
IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAIL
information@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPH
OF THE PRESS RELEASE
Bachmann and Romney neck-and-neck in NC and NJ
Raleigh, N.C. – As is true nationally, Michele Bachmann has risen to become Mitt
Romney’s chief competitor for the presidential nomination in North Carolina. In June,
Romney led Herman Cain 25-21 with Palin out of the race. Cain has lost more than half
his support, but Bachmann has risen in his place, and Romney now holds only a 23-22
lead over Bachmann. Bachmann is followed by Rick Perry with 14%, Cain and Newt
Gingrich with 9%, Ron Paul with 6%, Tim Pawlenty with 5%, and Jon Huntsman with
just 2%. Bachmann has a modest 26-17 edge over Romney with very conservative voters,
though Romney makes up for this with a 30-18 lead among somewhat conservatives. If
Palin makes a run for the White House, it has little effect on the race in North Carolina.
Romney still leads with 18% to Bachmann’s 17%, Perry’s 14%, Palin’s 12%, Cain and
Gingrich’s 8%, Paul’s 7%, Pawlenty’s 4%, and Huntsman’s 1%.
The situation is similar in New Jersey, where Romney leads Bachmann 22-21. Bachmann
is followed by Paul at 11%, Perry at 10%, Cain at 8%, Gingrich at 7%, Pawlenty at 5%,
and Huntsman at 3%. Bachmann achieves strong support despite moderates making up
27% of the New Jersey GOP electorate, even more than the 23% who are very
conservative. While Romney holds a 34-16 lead among moderates, Bachmann holds a
slim lead with somewhat conservatives, 21-19, and leads Romney with very
conservatives, 26-18. On the other hand, if Chris Christie gets in, he cleans up, taking
38% of the vote to Romney’s 13%, Bachmann’s 12%, Paul’s 9%, Perry’s 8%, Cain’s 5%,
Gingrich’s 4%, Pawlenty’s 2%, and Huntsman’s 1%.
In the race for Senate in New Jersey, GOP voters are prepared to give Tom Kean, Jr.,
another shot. Kean leads with 36% of the vote to 10% for Kim Guadagno, 9% for Woody
Johnson, 7% for Mike Doherty, 4% for Anna Little, 3% for Joseph Kyrillos, and 2% for
Tim Smith. Kean’s lead is built in part on superior name recognition, as he is the only
candidate who is recognized by more than half the electorate.
PPP surveyed 400 usual North Carolina Republican primary voters from July 7th to July
10th, with a +/-4.9% margin of error, and 300 usual New Jersey Republican primary
voters from July 15th to July 18th, with a +/-5.7% margin of error. This poll was not paid
for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys are conducted
through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic polling company, but
polling expert Nate Silver of the New York Times found that its surveys in 2010 actually
exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.
Public Policy Polling
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
Phone: 888 621-6988
Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com
Email: information@publicpolicypolling.com
North Carolina Survey Results
Q1
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Michele Bachmann?
Q6
Favorable........................................................ 55%
Unfavorable .................................................... 27%
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 17%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%
Q2
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Herman Cain?
Herman Cain................................................... 8%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 8%
Favorable........................................................ 46%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 1%
Unfavorable .................................................... 19%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 12%
Not sure .......................................................... 35%
Q3
Q4
Ron Paul ......................................................... 7%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Sarah Palin?
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 4%
Favorable........................................................ 68%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 14%
Unfavorable .................................................... 23%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 18%
Not sure .......................................................... 9%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 9%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tim Pawlenty?
Favorable........................................................ 34%
Unfavorable .................................................... 24%
Not sure .......................................................... 42%
Q5
If the candidates for President next year were
Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt
Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron
Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and Mitt
Romney, who would you vote for?
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Mitt Romney?
Q7
If Sarah Palin didn’t end up running for
President, and the candidates were Michele
Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon
Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick
Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote
for?
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 22%
Herman Cain................................................... 9%
Favorable........................................................ 56%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 9%
Unfavorable .................................................... 28%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 2%
Not sure .......................................................... 16%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 6%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 5%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 14%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 23%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 10%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
July 7-10, 2011
Q8
Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ...................................................... 1%
18 to 29........................................................... 10%
Somewhat liberal ............................................ 2%
30 to 45........................................................... 24%
Moderate......................................................... 15%
46 to 65........................................................... 38%
Somewhat conservative.................................. 39%
Older than 65 .................................................. 28%
Very conservative ........................................... 43%
Q9
Q10 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Q11
252.................................................................. 11%
Woman ........................................................... 46%
336.................................................................. 20%
Man................................................................. 54%
704.................................................................. 21%
828.................................................................. 14%
910.................................................................. 14%
919.................................................................. 21%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
July 7-10, 2011
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
Base liberal
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Bachm ann
Favorability
Cain Favorability
-
16%
19%
49%
56%
Unfavorable 19%
28%
49%
29%
14%
18%
Not sure 35%
72%
35%
52%
37%
26%
Favorable 46%
-
16%
34%
60%
62%
Unfavorable 27%
81%
60%
40%
23%
23%
Not sure 18%
19%
25%
25%
18%
16%
Favorable 55%
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Palin Favorability
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Paw lenty Favorability
Favorable 68%
72%
42%
37%
67%
81%
Favorable 34%
53%
16%
19%
39%
35%
Unfavorable 23%
28%
58%
50%
22%
12%
Unfavorable 24%
28%
60%
29%
17%
26%
-
-
13%
11%
6%
Not sure 42%
19%
25%
52%
44%
39%
Not sure
9%
July 7-10, 2011
survey of 400 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Rom ney Favorability
Favorable 56%
53%
82%
44%
62%
53%
Unfavorable 28%
28%
18%
25%
21%
35%
Not sure 16%
19%
-
31%
17%
12%
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Palin
Michele Bachm ann 17%
-
16%
19%
15%
19%
Herm an Cain
8%
-
7%
7%
9%
9%
New t Gingrich
8%
19%
14%
13%
6%
8%
Jon Huntsm an
1%
-
-
3%
1%
0%
Sarah Palin 12%
-
28%
13%
12%
12%
5%
Ron Paul
7%
-
-
7%
9%
Tim Paw lenty
4%
53%
-
2%
4%
4%
-
10%
2%
14%
19%
-
7%
20%
20%
17%
28%
18%
14%
10%
6%
Rick Perry 14%
Mitt Rom ney 18%
Som eone
else/Undecided
9%
Ideology
Gender
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w /o Palin
Michele Bachm ann 22%
-
10%
23%
18%
26%
Herm an Cain
9%
-
10%
4%
9%
10%
New t Gingrich
9%
19%
29%
12%
5%
10%
Jon Huntsm an
2%
-
16%
6%
1%
0%
Ron Paul
6%
-
-
7%
8%
5%
Tim Paw lenty
5%
53%
-
5%
4%
4%
Rick Perry 14%
-
10%
3%
11%
22%
Mitt Rom ney 23%
-
14%
21%
30%
17%
28%
10%
19%
11%
6%
Som eone 10%
else/Undecided
July 7-10, 2011
survey of 400 Republican primary voters
Base Wom an
Man
Bachm ann
Favorability
Favorable 55%
48%
61%
Unfavorable 27%
29%
25%
Not sure 18%
23%
14%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Cain Favorability
Base Wom an
Man
Palin Favorability
Favorable 46%
38%
53%
Favorable 68%
66%
69%
Unfavorable 19%
16%
21%
Unfavorable 23%
23%
23%
Not sure 35%
46%
26%
11%
8%
Not sure
9%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Paw lenty Favorability
Base Wom an
Man
Rom ney Favorability
Favorable 34%
29%
38%
Favorable 56%
53%
58%
Unfavorable 24%
18%
29%
Unfavorable 28%
25%
30%
Not sure 42%
53%
34%
Not sure 16%
22%
12%
July 7-10, 2011
survey of 400 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Base Wom an
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Palin
Man
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w /o Palin
Michele Bachm ann 17%
17%
17%
Michele Bachm ann 22%
22%
22%
Herm an Cain
8%
9%
8%
Herm an Cain
9%
6%
11%
New t Gingrich
8%
8%
8%
New t Gingrich
9%
8%
10%
Jon Huntsm an
1%
2%
0%
Jon Huntsm an
2%
2%
2%
Sarah Palin 12%
13%
12%
Ron Paul
6%
8%
5%
Tim Paw lenty
5%
6%
3%
Ron Paul
7%
7%
7%
Tim Paw lenty
4%
6%
2%
Rick Perry 14%
11%
17%
Rick Perry 14%
11%
17%
Mitt Rom ney 23%
26%
19%
Mitt Rom ney 18%
19%
18%
10%
9%
Som eone 10%
else/Undecided
11%
9%
Som eone
else/Undecided
9%
Age
Age
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Bachm ann
Favorability
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Cain Favorability
Favorable 55%
38%
50%
61%
57%
Unfavorable 27%
43%
27%
23%
26%
Not sure 18%
19%
23%
16%
17%
July 7-10, 2011
survey of 400 Republican primary voters
Favorable 46%
38%
42%
50%
47%
Unfavorable 19%
14%
20%
17%
22%
Not sure 35%
48%
38%
33%
31%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Palin Favorability
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Paw lenty Favorability
Favorable 68%
81%
66%
63%
72%
Favorable 34%
24%
27%
38%
38%
Unfavorable 23%
10%
27%
27%
19%
Unfavorable 24%
10%
31%
20%
28%
10%
8%
10%
9%
Not sure 42%
67%
42%
42%
34%
Not sure
9%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Rom ney Favorability
Favorable 56%
62%
45%
59%
58%
Unfavorable 28%
14%
36%
27%
27%
Not sure 16%
24%
19%
14%
15%
Base
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Palin
Michele Bachm ann 17%
29%
13%
15%
20%
Herm an Cain
8%
10%
13%
7%
6%
New t Gingrich
8%
5%
11%
5%
11%
Jon Huntsm an
1%
-
-
1%
2%
19%
14%
12%
9%
11%
8%
3%
5%
3%
4%
-
16%
17%
15%
19%
14%
18%
22%
10%
5%
14%
7%
Sarah Palin 12%
Ron Paul
7%
5%
Tim Paw lenty
4%
5%
Rick Perry 14%
Mitt Rom ney 18%
Som eone
else/Undecided
July 7-10, 2011
survey of 400 Republican primary voters
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
9%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Area Code
Age
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w /o Palin
Michele Bachm ann 22%
43%
20%
17%
23%
Herm an Cain
9%
10%
9%
9%
7%
New t Gingrich
9%
-
13%
7%
13%
Jon Huntsm an
2%
-
2%
3%
2%
Ron Paul
6%
5%
14%
5%
2%
Tim Paw lenty
5%
5%
6%
4%
4%
-
16%
16%
16%
Mitt Rom ney 23%
33%
13%
25%
24%
Som eone 10%
else/Undecided
5%
8%
15%
8%
Rick Perry 14%
Base
252
336
336
704
828
910
919
Favorable 55%
55%
51%
52%
46%
63%
63%
Unfavorable 27%
29%
32%
31%
29%
20%
19%
Not sure 18%
16%
17%
17%
25%
17%
18%
Area Code
Base
252
Bachm ann
Favorability
Area Code
704
828
910
919
Cain Favorability
Base
252
336
704
828
910
919
Palin Favorability
Favorable 46%
52%
41%
48%
42%
54%
44%
Favorable 68%
77%
72%
66%
61%
63%
69%
Unfavorable 19%
17%
21%
19%
31%
9%
16%
Unfavorable 23%
17%
24%
24%
25%
27%
20%
Not sure 35%
31%
39%
32%
27%
36%
41%
6%
4%
10%
13%
10%
11%
July 7-10, 2011
survey of 400 Republican primary voters
Not sure
9%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Area Code
Base
252
336
Area Code
704
828
910
919
Paw lenty Favorability
Base
252
336
704
828
910
919
Rom ney Favorability
Favorable 34%
44%
25%
40%
21%
28%
43%
Favorable 56%
58%
52%
57%
54%
54%
60%
Unfavorable 24%
16%
27%
24%
36%
28%
15%
Unfavorable 28%
25%
30%
29%
27%
26%
26%
Not sure 42%
40%
49%
36%
43%
45%
43%
Not sure 16%
17%
17%
14%
19%
20%
14%
Area Code
Area Code
Base
252
336
704
828
910
Base
919
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Palin
252
336
704
828
910
919
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w /o Palin
Michele Bachm ann 17%
15%
13%
22%
18%
10%
22%
Michele Bachm ann 22%
19%
19%
20%
27%
20%
27%
Herm an Cain
8%
7%
11%
7%
7%
15%
5%
Herm an Cain
9%
7%
9%
7%
9%
19%
4%
New t Gingrich
8%
5%
7%
7%
7%
10%
12%
New t Gingrich
9%
11%
9%
8%
7%
11%
9%
Jon Huntsm an
1%
4%
1%
1%
-
-
1%
Jon Huntsm an
2%
6%
1%
2%
2%
-
2%
Sarah Palin 12%
20%
15%
11%
12%
13%
7%
Ron Paul
6%
4%
4%
6%
5%
7%
Tim Paw lenty
5%
9%
7%
6%
-
-
5%
11%
Ron Paul
7%
4%
8%
6%
6%
8%
8%
Tim Paw lenty
4%
7%
5%
3%
1%
1%
5%
Rick Perry 14%
18%
8%
19%
19%
18%
9%
Rick Perry 14%
20%
8%
18%
17%
20%
8%
Mitt Rom ney 23%
13%
30%
25%
20%
15%
24%
Mitt Rom ney 18%
12%
20%
15%
20%
16%
24%
15%
11%
7%
11%
10%
10%
6%
12%
10%
10%
7%
7%
Som eone 10%
else/Undecided
Som eone
else/Undecided
9%
July 7-10, 2011
survey of 400 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
New Jersey Survey Results
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q5
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Michele Bachmann?
Q6
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Mike Doherty?
Favorable........................................................ 49%
Favorable........................................................ 10%
Unfavorable .................................................... 33%
Unfavorable .................................................... 18%
Not sure .......................................................... 18%
Not sure .......................................................... 72%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Herman Cain?
Q7
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Kim Guadagno?
Favorable........................................................ 37%
Favorable........................................................ 17%
Unfavorable .................................................... 22%
Unfavorable .................................................... 17%
Not sure .......................................................... 41%
Not sure .......................................................... 65%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Sarah Palin?
Q8
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Woody Johnson?
Favorable........................................................ 56%
Favorable........................................................ 8%
Unfavorable .................................................... 37%
Unfavorable .................................................... 17%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%
Not sure .......................................................... 75%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tim Pawlenty?
Q9
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Tom Kean, Jr.?
Favorable........................................................ 35%
Favorable........................................................ 48%
Unfavorable .................................................... 28%
Unfavorable .................................................... 13%
Not sure .......................................................... 37%
Not sure .......................................................... 39%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Mitt Romney?
Q10 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion
of Joseph Kyrillos?
Favorable........................................................ 56%
Favorable........................................................ 11%
Unfavorable .................................................... 29%
Unfavorable .................................................... 13%
Not sure .......................................................... 14%
Not sure .......................................................... 75%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 300 Republican primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
July 15-18, 2011
Q11 Given the choices of Michele Bachmann,
Herman Cain, Chris Christie, Newt Gingrich,
Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick
Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you most
like to see as the Republican candidate for
President next year?
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 12%
Herman Cain................................................... 5%
Chris Christie .................................................. 38%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 4%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 1%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 9%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 2%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 8%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 13%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 8%
Q12 If Chris Christie didn’t end up running for
President, and the candidates were Michele
Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon
Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick
Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote
for?
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 21%
Herman Cain................................................... 8%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 7%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 3%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 11%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 5%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 10%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 22%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 12%
Q13 What if Sarah Palin ran for President, and the
candidates were Michele Bachmann, Herman
Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah
Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Rick Perry, and
Mitt Romney. Who would you vote for?
Michele Bachmann ......................................... 18%
Herman Cain................................................... 5%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 6%
Jon Huntsman................................................. 2%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 16%
Ron Paul ......................................................... 10%
Tim Pawlenty .................................................. 6%
Rick Perry ....................................................... 10%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 21%
Someone else/Not sure .................................. 5%
Q14 Given the choices of Mike Doherty, Kim
Guadagno, Woody Johnson, Tom Kean, Jr.,
Joseph Kyrillos, Anna Little, and Tim Smith,
who would you most like to see as the
Republican candidate for Senate next year?
Mike Doherty................................................... 7%
Kim Guadagno................................................ 10%
Woody Johnson .............................................. 9%
Tom Kean, Jr................................................... 36%
Joseph Kyrillos................................................ 3%
Anna Little....................................................... 4%
Tim Smith........................................................ 2%
Someone else/Undecided............................... 30%
Q15 Would you describe yourself as very liberal,
somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat
conservative, or very conservative?
Very liberal ...................................................... 2%
Somewhat liberal ............................................ 6%
Moderate......................................................... 27%
Somewhat conservative.................................. 41%
Very conservative ........................................... 23%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 300 Republican primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
July 15-18, 2011
Q16 If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.
Woman ........................................................... 48%
Man................................................................. 52%
Q17 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to
45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you are
older than 65, press 4.
18 to 29........................................................... 6%
30 to 45........................................................... 28%
46 to 65........................................................... 38%
Older than 65 .................................................. 28%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
Survey of 300 Republican primary voters
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
July 15-18, 2011
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
Base liberal
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Bachm ann
Favorability
Cain Favorability
Favorable 49%
53%
28%
29%
49%
79%
Unfavorable 33%
21%
64%
44%
31%
15%
Not sure 18%
25%
9%
26%
20%
6%
Favorable 37%
21%
23%
27%
36%
58%
Unfavorable 22%
11%
50%
23%
21%
15%
Not sure 41%
68%
27%
51%
43%
27%
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Palin Favorability
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Paw lenty Favorability
Favorable 56%
53%
32%
44%
52%
80%
Favorable 35%
Unfavorable 37%
47%
60%
50%
38%
12%
Unfavorable 28%
-
7%
5%
9%
8%
Not sure 37%
Not sure
7%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
39%
34%
28%
29%
53%
-
44%
33%
25%
25%
61%
22%
39%
46%
22%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Rom ney Favorability
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Doherty Favorability
Favorable 56%
50%
55%
52%
62%
53%
Favorable 10%
-
21%
9%
8%
14%
Unfavorable 29%
25%
42%
35%
22%
34%
Unfavorable 18%
11%
47%
17%
18%
12%
Not sure 14%
25%
4%
13%
17%
12%
Not sure 72%
89%
32%
74%
74%
74%
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
Base liberal
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Guadagno
Favorability
Johnson Favorability
8%
11%
26%
3%
9%
Unfavorable 17%
11%
33%
25%
14%
9%
Not sure 75%
79%
41%
72%
77%
83%
Favorable
-
20%
10%
23%
18%
Unfavorable 17%
11%
59%
21%
13%
11%
Not sure 65%
89%
21%
69%
64%
72%
Favorable 17%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
8%
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Kean Favorability
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Kyrillos Favorability
Favorable 48%
Unfavorable 13%
Not sure 39%
21%
52%
52%
46%
49%
Favorable 11%
-
35%
16%
12%
7%
Unfavorable 13%
79%
13%
33%
42%
44%
Not sure 75%
Ideology
11%
31%
8%
10%
-
33%
15%
14%
12%
6%
89%
36%
77%
76%
82%
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Base liberal
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w /o Christie
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Christie
Michele Bachm ann 12%
-
7%
10%
10%
20%
Michele Bachm ann 21%
53%
15%
16%
21%
Herm an Cain
5%
11%
21%
1%
5%
4%
Herm an Cain
8%
11%
36%
6%
6%
6%
Chris Christie 38%
68%
52%
45%
33%
31%
New t Gingrich
7%
11%
5%
6%
7%
10%
Jon Huntsm an
3%
New t Gingrich
4%
11%
-
1%
4%
6%
Jon Huntsm an
1%
-
-
2%
2%
-
Ron Paul
9%
-
10%
11%
12%
2%
Tim Paw lenty
2%
-
-
3%
2%
3%
Rick Perry
8%
Mitt Rom ney 13%
Som eone else/Not
sure
8%
26%
-
-
3%
5%
1%
11%
10%
16%
11%
6%
14%
10%
1%
6%
6%
Rick Perry 10%
-
-
4%
13%
19%
Ron Paul 11%
Tim Paw lenty
5%
4%
10%
15%
Mitt Rom ney 22%
-
13%
34%
19%
18%
11%
5%
13%
16%
10%
-
10%
16%
13%
9%
-
5%
10%
6%
9%
Som eone else/Not 12%
sure
-
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
-
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Ideology
Ideology
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
Base liberal
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
Very Som ew hat
Som ew hat
Very
Base liberal
liberal Moderate conservative conservative
2012 GOP Sen
Prim ary
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Palin
Michele Bachm ann 18%
25%
30%
13%
17%
20%
Herm an Cain
5%
11%
26%
1%
5%
4%
New t Gingrich
6%
21%
-
3%
7%
10%
Jon Huntsm an
2%
-
-
5%
3%
-
Sarah Palin 16%
Ron Paul 10%
7%
-
8%
4%
5%
13%
Kim Guadagno 10%
-
54%
6%
8%
8%
21%
4%
10%
8%
8%
-
30%
36%
39%
34%
Mike Doherty
Woody Johnson
9%
Tom Kean, Jr. 36%
43%
5%
19%
11%
20%
Joseph Kyrillos
3%
-
-
4%
3%
-
-
10%
16%
10%
5%
Anna Little
4%
11%
-
-
3%
10%
2%
6%
-
10%
3%
6%
6%
Tim Sm ith
Rick Perry 10%
-
-
6%
11%
17%
Mitt Rom ney 21%
-
13%
24%
26%
14%
Som eone 30%
else/Undecided
-
5%
9%
3%
5%
Tim Paw lenty
Som eone else/Not
sure
5%
-
-
68%
Gender
Base Wom an
4%
2%
3%
1%
37%
29%
27%
Gender
Man
Bachm ann
Favorability
Base Wom an
Man
Cain Favorability
Favorable 49%
50%
49%
Unfavorable 33%
32%
33%
Not sure 18%
18%
18%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
Favorable 37%
36%
39%
Unfavorable 22%
18%
26%
Not sure 41%
46%
35%
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Palin Favorability
Base Wom an
Man
Paw lenty Favorability
Favorable 56%
54%
57%
Favorable 35%
30%
40%
Unfavorable 37%
35%
39%
Unfavorable 28%
26%
29%
11%
4%
Not sure 37%
44%
31%
Not sure
7%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Rom ney Favorability
Base Wom an
Man
Doherty Favorability
Favorable 56%
55%
58%
Favorable 10%
11%
10%
Unfavorable 29%
25%
34%
Unfavorable 18%
14%
22%
Not sure 14%
20%
9%
Not sure 72%
75%
69%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Guadagno
Favorability
Base Wom an
Man
Johnson Favorability
8%
4%
12%
Unfavorable 17%
11%
23%
Not sure 75%
85%
65%
Favorable
Favorable 17%
16%
19%
Unfavorable 17%
15%
19%
Not sure 65%
69%
62%
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
Kean Favorability
Base Wom an
Man
Kyrillos Favorability
Favorable 48%
44%
51%
Favorable 11%
11%
11%
Unfavorable 13%
12%
14%
Unfavorable 13%
7%
19%
Not sure 39%
44%
35%
Not sure 75%
81%
70%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Christie
Base Wom an
Man
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w /o Christie
Michele Bachm ann 12%
10%
13%
Michele Bachm ann 21%
19%
23%
Herm an Cain
5%
3%
6%
Herm an Cain
8%
7%
9%
Chris Christie 38%
38%
37%
New t Gingrich
7%
7%
8%
Jon Huntsm an
3%
4%
2%
Ron Paul 11%
7%
14%
5%
6%
5%
New t Gingrich
4%
4%
3%
Jon Huntsm an
1%
2%
0%
Ron Paul
9%
5%
13%
Tim Paw lenty
2%
2%
3%
Rick Perry 10%
8%
13%
Rick Perry
8%
7%
10%
Mitt Rom ney 22%
25%
19%
Mitt Rom ney 13%
18%
8%
7%
6%
Som eone else/Not 12%
sure
17%
9%
Som eone else/Not
sure
8%
Tim Paw lenty
Gender
Base Wom an
Gender
Man
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Palin
Base Wom an
2012 GOP Sen
Prim ary
Michele Bachm ann 18%
19%
17%
Herm an Cain
5%
4%
6%
New t Gingrich
6%
7%
5%
Jon Huntsm an
2%
3%
2%
Sarah Palin 16%
15%
16%
Joseph Kyrillos
Ron Paul 10%
6%
14%
6%
5%
Rick Perry 10%
Mitt Rom ney 21%
Tim Paw lenty
Som eone else/Not
sure
Man
5%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
7%
6%
7%
Kim Guadagno 10%
10%
11%
9%
11%
6%
Tom Kean, Jr. 36%
33%
38%
3%
1%
4%
Anna Little
4%
3%
4%
6%
Tim Sm ith
2%
2%
2%
9%
11%
33%
27%
25%
18%
Som eone 30%
else/Undecided
7%
4%
Mike Doherty
Woody Johnson
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Age
Age
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Bachm ann
Favorability
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Cain Favorability
Favorable 49%
40%
44%
53%
51%
Unfavorable 33%
40%
33%
33%
31%
Not sure 18%
20%
23%
14%
18%
Favorable 37%
30%
33%
40%
41%
Unfavorable 22%
40%
21%
23%
17%
Not sure 41%
30%
47%
37%
42%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Palin Favorability
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Paw lenty Favorability
Favorable 56%
50%
44%
66%
54%
Favorable 35%
10%
28%
46%
33%
Unfavorable 37%
40%
53%
29%
31%
Unfavorable 28%
60%
30%
24%
23%
10%
2%
5%
15%
Not sure 37%
30%
42%
30%
44%
Not sure
7%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Rom ney Favorability
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Doherty Favorability
Favorable 56%
44%
60%
52%
60%
Favorable 10%
10%
14%
11%
6%
Unfavorable 29%
56%
28%
33%
21%
Unfavorable 18%
20%
21%
19%
13%
-
12%
15%
19%
Not sure 72%
70%
65%
70%
81%
Not sure 14%
Age
Age
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Guadagno
Favorability
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Johnson Favorability
8%
10%
14%
6%
4%
Unfavorable 17%
30%
21%
18%
10%
Not sure 75%
60%
65%
76%
86%
Favorable
Favorable 17%
20%
16%
22%
12%
Unfavorable 17%
30%
23%
17%
9%
Not sure 65%
50%
60%
61%
79%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Kean Favorability
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Kyrillos Favorability
Favorable 48%
30%
44%
48%
55%
Favorable 11%
-
12%
13%
11%
Unfavorable 13%
30%
12%
13%
11%
Unfavorable 13%
20%
16%
15%
7%
Not sure 39%
40%
44%
39%
34%
Not sure 75%
80%
72%
72%
83%
Age
Base
Age
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w /o Christie
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Christie
Michele Bachm ann 12%
-
12%
12%
15%
Michele Bachm ann 21%
20%
19%
23%
20%
Herm an Cain
-
5%
4%
7%
Herm an Cain
8%
-
12%
6%
9%
40%
42%
39%
32%
New t Gingrich
7%
-
5%
7%
12%
-
2%
4%
5%
Jon Huntsm an
3%
10%
-
3%
4%
Ron Paul 11%
30%
16%
7%
7%
5%
-
7%
5%
5%
-
9%
13%
11%
5%
Chris Christie 38%
New t Gingrich
4%
Jon Huntsm an
1%
-
-
2%
2%
Ron Paul
9%
30%
14%
6%
5%
Tim Paw lenty
2%
-
5%
2%
1%
Rick Perry 10%
Rick Perry
8%
-
9%
9%
9%
Mitt Rom ney 22%
10%
23%
22%
24%
20%
9%
11%
18%
30%
9%
14%
9%
10%
2%
11%
7%
Som eone else/Not 12%
sure
Mitt Rom ney 13%
Som eone else/Not
sure
8%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
Tim Paw lenty
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Crosstabs
Age
Age
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
Base
18 to 30 to 46 to Older
29
45
65 than 65
2012 GOP Sen
Prim ary
2012 GOP Pres
Prim ary w / Palin
Michele Bachm ann 18%
10%
19%
19%
18%
Herm an Cain
5%
-
5%
5%
7%
New t Gingrich
6%
-
2%
6%
11%
7%
10%
5%
7%
8%
Kim Guadagno 10%
20%
12%
9%
9%
Mike Doherty
9%
10%
9%
6%
11%
Tom Kean, Jr. 36%
10%
35%
37%
41%
Woody Johnson
-
2%
2%
3%
Sarah Palin 16%
30%
14%
18%
11%
Joseph Kyrillos
3%
-
2%
3%
2%
Ron Paul 10%
20%
16%
9%
4%
Anna Little
4%
-
5%
3%
5%
10%
9%
4%
3%
Tim Sm ith
2%
10%
2%
2%
1%
-
12%
10%
11%
40%
30%
34%
22%
30%
19%
19%
25%
Som eone 30%
else/Undecided
-
2%
7%
7%
Jon Huntsm an
Tim Paw lenty
2%
6%
Rick Perry 10%
Mitt Rom ney 21%
Som eone else/Not
sure
5%
July 15-18, 2011
survey of 300 Republican primary voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.
Raleigh, NC 27604
information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988