External Publications The following is a list of research papers related to subjects in economics and/or finance, published externally by Banco de Mexico’s personnel in academic journals and books, and/or conference volumes. 2016 Alcaraz, C., D. Chiquiar, M. J. Orraca, and A. Salcedo. (2016). "The effect of publicly provided health insurance on education outcomes in Mexico", forthcoming in World Bank Economic Review, DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhw028. (Working Paper No. 2012-10, Banco de Mexico). Batiz-Zuk, E., F. López-Gallo, S. Martínez-Jaramillo, and J. Solórzano Margain. (2016). "Calibrating Limits for Large Interbank Exposures from a System-Wide Perspective", forthcoming in Journal of Financial Stability, DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2015.04.007. Benavides, G. (2016). "Exchange Rate Risk Premium: An Analysis of its Determinants for the Mexican Peso-USD", Revista Mexicana de Economía y Finanzas (REMEF), Vol. 11, No. 1, pp. 23. (Working Paper No. 2016-11, Banco de Mexico). Carrillo, J. (2016). "Discussion of 'The effect of unconventional monetary policy on inflation expectations: Evidence from firms in the UK'", forthcoming in International Journal of Central Banking. García, B. C., and J. Wen. (2016). "Income Instability and Fiscal Progression", forthcoming in Canadian Journal of Economics. (Working Paper No. 2016-07, Banco de Mexico). Gutierrez, E., L. Juárez, and A. Rubli. (2016). "The Effect of a Transfer Program for the Elderly in Mexico City on Co-Residing Children's School Enrollment", forthcoming in World Bank Economic Review, DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhw012. (Working Paper No. 2015-09, Banco de Mexico). Hernández del Valle, G. (2016). "On the zeros of the Pearcey integral and a Rayleigh-type equation", forthcoming in Boletín de la Sociedad Matemática Mexicana , DOI: 10.1007/s40590-016-0142-6. (Working Paper No. 2014-23, Banco de Mexico). Juárez-Torres, M., S. Guerrero, and G. Hernández del Valle. (2016). "A functional approach to test trending volatility: Evidence of trending volatility in the price of Mexican agricultural products", forthcoming in Agricultural Economics. (Working Paper No. 2016-04, Banco de Mexico). Leal, J. C. (2016). "Cross-Sector Misallocation with Sector-specific Distortions", forthcoming in World Bank Economic Review, DOI: 10.1093/wber/lhw017. Leal, J. C., and J. Alonso-Ortiz. (2016). "Cross-subsidies, and the elasticity of informality to social expenditures", forthcoming in Review of Income and Wealth. (Working Paper No. 2014-26, Banco de Mexico). Lopez Martin, B. (2016). "From Firm Productivity Dynamics to Aggregate Efficiency", forthcoming in World Bank Economic Review. Martínez-Fritscher, A. C., and C. Rodriguez Zamora. (2016). "An Evaluation of the 1997 Expenditure Decentralization Reform in Mexico: The Case of the Health Sector", Public Finance Review, DOI: 10.1177/1091142115571578, Vol. 44, No. 5, pp. 563-588. (Working Paper No. 2011-16, Banco de Mexico). Nuguer, V. (2016). "Financial Intermediation in a Global Environment", forthcoming in International Journal of Central Banking. (Working Paper No. 2015-05, Banco de Mexico). Roldán, J., J. Carrillo, and M. R. Elizondo. (2016). "Discussion of 'Should the U.S. Federal Reserve increase the federal funds rate in 2016? An assessment based on the neutral interest rate'", Investigación Económica, Vol. 75, No. 296, pp. 5-42. Tobal, M., and R. Yslas. (2016). "Dos Modelos de Intervención Cambiaria: Los Casos de México y Brasil.", forthcoming in Investigación Conjunta de Bancos Centrales de las Américas, CEMLA. (Working Paper No. 2016-14, Banco de Mexico). 2015 Batiz-Zuk, E., G. Christodoulakis, and S. Poon. (2015). "The Robustness of Estimators in Structural Credit Loss Distributions", The Journal of Credit Risk, Vol. 11, No. 2. Batiz-Zuk, E., G. Christodoulakis, and S. Poon. (2015). "Credit Contagion in the Presence of Non-Normal Shocks", International Review of Financial Analysis, Vol. 37, pp. 129-139. Caamal Olvera, C. G., and E. Rangel. (2015). "Measuring the Impact of the Chinese Competition on Mexican Labor Market: 1990-2013", The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.09.004, Vol. 34, pp. 351-363. Calderón, G., A. Diaz-Cayeros, B. Magaloni, and G. Robles. (2015). "The Beheading of Criminal Organizations and the Dynamics of Violence in Mexico's Drug War", Journal of Conflict Resolution, Vol. 59, No. 8, pp. 1455-1485. Campos Ortiz, F., and M. Oviedo Pacheco. (2015). "Extensión de los Predios Agrícolas y Productividad: El Caso del Campo Cañero en México", El Trimestre Económico, Vol. LXXXII, No. 325, pp. 147-181. (Working Paper No. 2013-16, Banco de Mexico). Chiquiar, D., and M. Tobal. (2015). "Macro-Financial Policy Challenges in the Face of a Complex Environment: The Case of Mexico", The International Trade Journal , DOI: 10.1080/08853908.201, Vol. 29, No. 5, pp. 361-375. Colunga Ramos, L. F., and L. Torre. (2015). "Patterns of TFP Growth in Mexico: 19912011", The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.09.007, Vol. 34, pp. 398-420. (Working Paper No. 2015-24, Banco de Mexico). de Melo, G., and M. Piaggio. (2015). "The Perils of Peer Punishment: Evidence from a Common Pool Resource Experiment", Ecological Economics, DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.05.011, Vol. 120, pp. 376-393. (Working Paper No. 2015-12, Banco de Mexico). Elizondo, M. R., P. Padilla, and M. Bladt. (2015). "Pricing American Options Using Transition Probabilities: A Dynamical Systems Approach", Open Journal of Statistics , DOI: 10.4236/ojs.2015.56056, Vol. 5, No. 6, pp. 525-542. (Working Paper No. 2009-06, Banco de Mexico). Juárez, L., and T. Pfutze. (2015). "The Effects of a Non-Contributory Pension Program on Labor Force Participation: The Case of 70 y Mas in Mexico", Economic Development and Cultural Change, DOI: 10.1086/681668, Vol. 63, No. 4, pp. 685-713. (Working Paper No. 2014-12, Banco de Mexico). López Noria, G. (2015). "El Efecto de la Liberalización Comercial sobre los Márgenes de Precios a Costos Marginales del Sector Manufacturero: El caso de México, 1994-2003", El Trimestre Económico, Vol. LXXXIV, No. 327, pp. 593-616. (Working Paper No. 2013-10, Banco de Mexico). López Noria, G. (2015). "The Effect of Trade and FDI on Inter-Industry Wage Differentials: The Case of Mexico", The North American Journal of Economics and Finance , DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.09.006, Vol. 34, pp. 381-397. (Working Paper No. 2011-10, Banco de Mexico). López Videla Mostajo, B., and E. Rodríguez-Oreggia. (2015). "Imputación de Ingresos Laborales: Una Aplicación con Encuestas de Empleo en México", El Trimestre Económico, Vol. LXXXII, No. 325, pp. 117-146. (Working Paper No. 2014-21, Banco de Mexico). Ramos-Francia, M., and S. García-Verdú. (2015). "Is Trouble Brewing for EMEs?", BIS Papers, No. 83, pp. 243-272. (Working Paper No. 2015-08, Banco de Mexico). Rangel, E., E. Aguayo Téllez, and J. Martínez. (2015). "Explaining the Mexican-American Health Paradox Using Selectivity Effects", International Migration Review , DOI: 10.1111/imre.12112, Vol. 49, No. 4, pp. 878-906. (Working Paper No. 2015-02, Banco de Mexico). Rangel, E., and L. Torre. (2015). "Determinants of the Cost of Starting a Business in Mexico", The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2015.09.003, Vol. 34, pp. 430-449. (Working Paper No. 2014-25, Banco de Mexico). Rodríguez, M. C., and E. Rangel. (2015). "¿Tener Obesidad es Realmente una Desventaja en el Mercado Laboral Mexicano?", Ensayos Revista de Economía, Vol. XXXIV, No. 2, pp. 3562. Rodriguez Zamora, C., and J. Lim. (2015). "La regla del impuesto óptimo en presencia del uso del tiempo. Una aplicación utilizando datos de México", El Trimestre Económico, Vol. LXXXIV, No. 327, pp. 707-739. (Working Paper No. 2010-05, Banco de Mexico). Sanchez-Romeu, P., and E. Rattia-Lima. (2015). "Estrategias de Ajuste ante Choques Hipotéticos de Oferta y Demanda: Resultados de una Encuesta a Empresas Mexicanas", El Trimestre Económico, Vol. LXXXIV, No. 327, pp. 617-674. (Working Paper No. 2013-11, Banco de Mexico). Ventosa Santaularia, D., M. D. J. Gómez Zaldívar, and F. H. Wallace. (2015). "The real Exchange rate, regime changes and volatility shifts", Applied Economics , DOI: 10.1080/00036846.201, Vol. 47, No. 24, pp. 2445-2454. 2014 Aguilar, A. M., G. Cuadra, C. Ramírez, and D. Sámano. (2014). "Anchoring of Inflation Expectations after Adverse Supply Shocks", Monetaria, Vol. II, No. 1, Article 2, pp. 49-81. (Working Paper No. 2014-20, Banco de Mexico). Arim, R., and G. de Melo. (2014). "La "Incapabilidad" para Ser Autosuficiente como un Indicador de Pobreza. Uruguay 1991-2005", Desarrollo como libertad en América Latina: fundamentos y aplicaciones, Universidad Iberoamericana, Chapter 6. Calderón, G. (2014). "¿Cómo Afectan las Guarderías en las Decisiones Laborales de las Madres?", Mexicanos Primero (ed.), Los Invisibles: Las Niñas y los Niños de 0 a 6 Años, MEXICANOS PRIMERO VISION 2030, A.C., Chapter 4, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 60-78. Cañón Salazar, C. I., and P. Margaretic. (2014). "Correlated Bank Runs, Interbank Markets and Reserve Requirements", Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 49, pp. 515-533. Carrillo, J., and C. Poilly. (2014). "Investigating the Zero Lower Bound in the Nominal Interest Rate under Financial Instability", Julio Leal and Stephen McKnight (ed.), Contemporary Topics In Macroeconomics, El Colegio de México. (Working Paper No. 201401, Banco de Mexico). Chávez Martín del Campo, J. C. (2014). "Un Enfoque no Paramétrico para la Descomposición de la Productividad del Trabajo en la Industria Manufacturera Regional", Ensayos Revista de Economía, Vol. XXXIII, No. 2, pp. 33-58. (Working Paper No. 2013-08, Banco de Mexico). Covarrubias, E., and E. Accinelli. (2014). "An Extension of the Sard-Smale Theorem to Convex Domains with an Empty Interior", Journal of Mathematical Economics , DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmateco.2014.10.005, Vol. 55, pp. 123-128. Delajara, M., S. Freije, and I. Soloaga. (2014). "Evaluación del Programa de Capacitación a Desempleados en México: Aprendiendo del Programa Mediante la Comparación de Métodos de Evaluación.", Políticas Públicas, Vol. 1, No. 1, pp. 9-41. Garcia-Almanza, A. L., B. Alexandrova-Kabadjova, and S. Martinez-Jaramillo. (2014). "Bankruptcy Prediction for Banks: An Artificial Intelligence Approach to Improve Understandability", Xin-She Yang (ed.), Artificial Intelligence, Evolutionary Computing and Metaheuristics, Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg, pp. 633-656. García-Verdú, S., and M. Ramos-Francia. (2014). "Interventions and Expected Exchange Rates in Emerging Market Economies", Quarterly Journal of Finance , DOI: 10.1142/S20101392145, Vol. 4, No. 1, pp. 34. (Working Paper No. 2014-11, Banco de Mexico). Hernández del Valle, G., and C. Pacheco González. (2014). "Hitting Times for Bessel Processes", Communications on Stochastic Analysis, Vol. 9, No. 1, pp. 14. (Working Paper No. 2014-27, Banco de Mexico). Hernandez, M. A., R. Ibarra-Ramírez, and D. R. Trupkin. (2014). "How Far Do Shocks Move Across Borders? Examining Volatility Transmission in Major Agricultural Futures Markets", European Review of Agricultural Economics, DOI: 10.1093/erae/jbt020, Vol. 41, No. 2, pp. 301-325. (Working Paper No. 2011-15, Banco de Mexico). Leal, J. C. (2014). "The Informal Sector in Contemporary Models of the Aggregate Economy", Julio Leal and Stephen McKnight (ed.), Contemporary Topics In Macroeconomics, El Colegio de México, Chapter 4, pp. 105-127. (Working Paper No. 2014-24, Banco de Mexico). Leal, J. C. (2014). "Tax Collection, The Informal Sector, and Productivity", Review of Economic Dynamics, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.red.2013.07.004, Vol. 17, No. 2, pp. 262-286. (Working Paper No. 2013-22, Banco de Mexico). Leal, J. C., and S. McKnight. (2014). "Reflections on Modern Macroeconomics", Julio Leal & Stephen McKnight (ed.), Contemporary Topics In Macroeconomics, El Colegio de México, Chapter 1, pp. 19-42. Leal, J. C., and S. McKnight. (2014). "Contemporary Topics in Macroeconomics", Julio Leal and Stephen McKnight (ed.), Contemporary Topics In Macroeconomics , El Colegio de México, pp. 183. Martínez-Fritscher, A. C. (2014). "Política Fiscal en Brasil y México: Convergencias, Divergencias y Retos, 1980-2010", En Busca del Crecimiento: Una Comparación de las Estrategias de Desarrollo de Brasil y México (1982-2012), CIDE, Chapter 3. Martínez-Fritscher, A. C., A. Musacchio, and M. Viarengo. (2014). "Colonial Institutions, Trade Shocks, and the Diffusion of Elementary Education in Brazil, 1889?1930", Journal of Economic History, DOI: 10.1017/S0022050714000588, Vol. 74, No. 3, Article 73. (Working Paper No. 2010-18, Banco de Mexico). Martinez-Jaramillo, S., B. Alexandrova-Kabadjova, B. Bravo-Benitez, and J. P. SolorzanoMargain. (2014). "An Empirical Study of the Mexican Banking System's Network and its Implications for Systemic Risk", Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 40, pp. 242-265. (Working Paper No. 2012-07, Banco de Mexico). Martinez-Ovando, J. C., S. I. Olivares-Guzman, and A. Roldan-Rodriguez. (2014). "A Bayesian Nonparametric Framework to Inference on Totals of Finite Populations", E. Lanzarone, and F. Ieva (eds.), Contributions of Young Researchers to Bayesian statistics, DOI: ISBN: 978-3-319-02083-9, Springer, Chapter 15, pp. 77-81. Medellín Mendoza, S., and E. Rangel. (2014). "Efectos de Vecindario y Crímenes Violentos en el Área Metropolitana de Monterrey", EconoQuantum, Vol. 12, No. 1. 2013 Alcaraz, C., and C. Nakashima. (2013). "Inflación y Pobreza en México 1993-2009", A. Mendoza (ed.), Aplicaciones en Economía y Ciencias Sociales con Stata, Stata Press, Chapter 3, pp. 47-74. Amuedo-Dorantes, C., and L. Juárez. (2013). "Old-Age Government Transfers and the Crowding Out of Private Gifts: The 70 and Above Program for the Rural Elderly in Mexico", Southern Economic Journal, DOI: 10.4284/0038-4038-2013.055, Vol. 81, No. 3, pp. 782802. Antón, A., and J. C. Leal. (2013). "Aggregate Effects of a Universal Social Insurance Fiscal Reform", IDB Working Paper Series, No. IDB-WP-429. Batiz-Zuk, E., G. Christodoulakis, and S. H. Poon. (2013). "Structural Credit Loss Distributions under Non-Normality", Journal of Fixed Income, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp. 1-20. Cañón Salazar, C. I., G. Friebel, and P. Seabright. (2013). "Market Design and Market Failure", Wittek, R., T.A.B. Snijders, V. Nee (ed.), Handbook of Rational Choice Social Research, Stanford University Press, pp. 473-513. Chávez Martín del Campo, J. C., and F. Fonseca Hernández. (2013). "Technical Efficiency, Technological Development, and The Labor Productivity Gap in Mexican Manufacturing", Regional and Sectoral Economic Studies, Vol. 13, No. 2, pp. 43-58. (Working Paper No. 2012-03, Banco de Mexico). Cortés Espada, J. F. (2013). "Estimación del Traspaso del Tipo de Cambio a los Precios en México.", Monetaria, Vol. XXXV, No. 2, pp. 311-344. (Working Paper No. 2013-02, Banco de Mexico). Covarrubias, E. (2013). "The Number of Equilibria of Smooth Infinite Economies", Journal of Mathematical Economics, Vol. 49, No. 4, pp. 263-265. (Working Paper No. 2011-02, Banco de Mexico). Delajara, M. (2013). "Comovimiento y Concordancia Cíclica del Empleo en los Estados Mexicanos", Economía Mexicana Nueva Época, Vol. XXII, No. 2, pp. 297-340. Delajara, M., and F. Wendelspiess Chávez Juárez. (2013). "Birthweight Outcomes in Bolivia: The Role of Maternal Height, Ethnicity, and Behavior", Economics and Human Biology, Vol. 11, pp. 56-68. Guerrero, S., and R. Innes. (2013). "Self-Policing Statutes: Do They Reduce Pollution and Save Regulatory Costs?", The Journal of Law, Economics, & Organization, Vol. 29, No. 3, pp. 608-668. Ibarra-Ramírez, R. (2013). "A Spatial Dominance Approach to evaluate the Performance of Stocks and Bonds: Does the Investment Horizon Matter?", The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10, Vol. 53, No. 4, pp. 429-439. (Working Paper No. 2011-03, Banco de Mexico). Lopez Castañon, C., S. Martinez-Jaramillo, and F. Lopez-Gallo. (2013). "Systemic Risk, Stress Testing, and Financial Contagion: Their Interaction and Measurement", Simulation in Computational Finance and Economics: Tools and Emerging Applications , IGI Global, Chapter 10, pp. 181-210. Murillo, J. A., and P. Sanchez-Romeu. (2013). "Evaluación del Poder de Predicción de las Expectativas de Inflación de los Consumidores en México", El Trimestre Económico, Vol. LXXXI, No. 322, pp. 311-355. (Working Paper No. 2012-13, Banco de Mexico). Noriega, A. E., C. Capistrán, and M. Ramos-Francia. (2013). "On the Dynamics of Inflation Persistence Around the World", Empirical Economics , Vol. 44, No. 3, pp. 1243-1265. (Working Paper No. 2009-02, Banco de Mexico). Ramos-Francia, M., A. M. Aguilar, S. García-Verdú, and G. Cuadra. (2013). "Heading into Trouble: A Comparison of the Latin American Crises and the Euro Area´s Current Crisis", Monetaria, Vol. I, No. 1, pp. 87-165. (Working Paper No. 2014-17, Banco de Mexico). Ramos-Francia, M., and S. García-Verdú. (2013). "Cooperation among Central Banks during Crises: Lessons from the Recent Experience", Central Bank Cooperation at the Beginning of the 21st Century. CEMLA 60th Anniversary Conference, pp. 191-206. Solorzano-Margain, J. P., S. Martinez-Jaramillo, and F. Lopez-Gallo. (2013). "Financial Contagion: Extending the Exposures Network of the Mexican Financial System", Computational Management Science, Vol. 10, No. 2 - 3. Yates, D. N., F. Vásquez Lavin, D. P. Purkey, S. Guerrero, M. Hanemann, and J. Sieber. (2013). "Using Economic and other Performance Measures to Evaluate a Municipal Drought Plan", Water Policy, Vol. 15, pp. 648-668. 2012 Abarca, G., G. Benavides, and J. G. Rangel. (2012). "Exchange Rate Market Expectations and Central Bank Policy: The Case of the Mexican Peso/U.S. Dollar from 2005-2009", Journal of Derivatives, Vol. 19, No. 4, pp. 70-90. (Working Paper No. 2010-17, Banco de Mexico). Alcaraz, C., D. Chiquiar, and A. Salcedo. (2012). "Remittances, Schooling, and Child Labor in Mexico", Journal of Development Economics, Vol. 97, pp. 156-165. (Working Paper No. 2010-14, Banco de Mexico). Alexandrova-Kabadjova, B., and F. Solís. (2012). "The Mexican Experience in How the Settlement of Large Payments is Performed in the Presence of High Volume of Small Payments", M. Hellqvist, and T. Laine (eds.), Diagnostics for the Financial Markets Computational Studies of Payment System, Scientific Monographs, Chapter 16, pp. 431-460. Alexandrova-Kabadjova, B., and F. Solís. (2012). "Managing Intraday Liquidity: The Mexican Experience", B. Alexandrova-Kabadjova, S. Martinez-Jaramillo, A. L. Garcia-Almanza, and E. Tsang (eds.), Simulation in Computational Finance and Economics: Tools and Emerging Applications, IGI Global, Chapter 8, pp. 143-160. Alexandrova-Kabadjova, B., S. G. Castellanos, and A. L. Garcia-Almanza. (2012). "The Adoption Process of Payment Cards - An Agent-Based Approach", B. AlexandrovaKabadjova, S. Martinez-Jaramillo, A. L. Garcia-Almanza, and E. Tsang (eds.), Simulation in Computational Finance and Economics: Tools and Emerging Applications , IGI Global, Chapter 1, pp. 1-28. (Working Paper No. 2012-02, Banco de Mexico). Benavides, G. (2012). "Predictive Accuracy of Futures Options Implied Volatility: The Case of the Exchange Rate Futures Mexican Peso - U.S. Dollar", Panorama Económico, Vol. V, No. 9, pp. 55-95. (Working Paper No. 2006-04, Banco de Mexico). Benavides, G., and C. Capistrán. (2012). "Forecasting Exchange Rate Volatility: The Superior Performance of Conditional Combinations of Time Series and Option Implied Forecasts", Journal of Empirical Finance, Vol. 19, pp. 627-639. (Working Paper No. 2009-01, Banco de Mexico). Blackman, A., and S. Guerrero. (2012). "What Drives Voluntary Eco-Certification in Mexico?", Journal of Comparative Economics, Vol. 40, pp. 256-268. Capistrán, C., R. Ibarra-Ramírez, and M. Ramos-Francia. (2012). "El Traspaso de Movimientos del Tipo de Cambio a los Precios: Un Análisis para la Economía Mexicana", El Trimestre Económico, Vol. LXXIX (4), No. 316, pp. 813-838. (Working Paper No. 2011-12, Banco de Mexico). Cortés Espada, J. F., and M. Ramos-Francia. (2012). "Un modelo Afín de la Estructura Temporal de Tasas de Interés en México", La Deuda Pública en México, Número Especial de la Gaceta de Economía, pp. 331-350. (Working Paper No. 2008-09, Banco de Mexico). Crost, B., and S. Guerrero. (2012). "The Effect of Alcohol Availability on Marijuana Use: Evidence from the Minimum Legal Drinking Age", Journal of Health Economics, Vol. 31, pp. 112-121. Fernández, R. O., and J. E. Vera-Valdés. (2012). "Simulation Analysis as a Way to Assess the Performance of Important Unit Root and Change in Persistence Tests", B. AlexandrovaKabadjova, S. Martinez-Jaramillo, A. L. Garcia-Almanza, and E. Tsang (eds.), Simulation in Computational Finance and Economics: Tools and Emerging Applications , IGI Global, Chapter 18, pp. 378-396. García-Verdú, S. (2012). "Algunas Consideraciones sobre la Estructura Temporal de las Tasas de Interés en México", La Deuda Pública en México, Número Especial de la Gaceta de Economía, pp. 351-397. (Working Paper No. 2011-18, Banco de Mexico). Ibarra-Ramírez, R. (2012). "Do Disaggregated CPI Data Improve the Accuracy of Inflation Forecasts?", Economic Modelling, DOI: http://10.0.3.248/j.econmod.2012.04.017, Vol. 29, No. 4, pp. 1305-1313. (Working Paper No. 2010-01, Banco de Mexico). Kaiser, K., and R. Schwabe. (2012). "Preference for Variety", The B.E. Journal of Theoretical Economics Contributions, Vol. 12, No. 1, Article 3, pp. 1-30. (Working Paper No. 2011-13, Banco de Mexico). Noriega, A. E., and C. A. Rodríguez-Pérez. (2012). "Estacionariedad, Cambios Estructurales y Crecimiento Económico en México: 1895-2008", El Trimestre Económico, Vol. LXXIX (2), No. 314, pp. 333-378. (Working Paper No. 2011-11, Banco de Mexico). Noriega, A. E., and D. Ventosa-Santaulária. (2012). "The Effects of Structural Breaks on the Engle-Granger Test for Cointegration", Estudios Económicos, Vol. 17, No. 1, pp. 99-132. Ramos-Francia, M., C. Capistrán, and G. Cuadra. (2012). "Policy Response to External Shocks: Lessons from the Crisis", J. Braude, Z. Eckstein, S. Fischer, and K. Flug (eds.), The Great Recession: Lessons for Central Bankers, MIT Press, Chapter 8, pp. 211-243. (Working Paper No. 2011-14, Banco de Mexico). Ramos-Francia, M., and J. G. Rangel. (2012). "Revisiting the Effects of Country Specific Fundamentals on Sovereign Default Risk", Economics Bulletin, Vol. 32, No. 4, pp. 30083016. Rangel, J. G., and R. F. Engle. (2012). "The Factor-Spline-GARCH Model for High and Low Frequency Correlations", Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, Vol. 30, No. 1, pp. 109-124. (Working Paper No. 2009-03, Banco de Mexico). Salcedo, A., T. Schoellman, and M. Tertilt. (2012). "Families as Roommates: Changes in U.S. Household Size from 1850 to 2000", Quantitative Economics, Vol. 3, pp. 133-175. Sánchez-Valadez, M. (2012). "Decisiones Financieras, Competencia en el Mercado y Desempeño de las Empresas: Evidencia Empírica para Iberoamérica", Estudios de Economía Aplicada, Vol. 30, No. 1, pp. 1-36. (Working Paper No. 2013-06, Banco de Mexico). Sánchez-Valadez, M. (2012). "Entorno Competitivo, Endeudamiento y Especificidad de los Activos: Evidencia en el Caso de las Empresas Españolas", EconoQuantum, Vol. 9, No. 1, pp. 101-129. (Working Paper No. 2013-15, Banco de Mexico). 2011 Aiolfi, M., C. Capistrán, and A. Timmermann. (2011). "Forecast Combinations", M. P. Clements, and D. F. Hendry (eds.), Oxford Handbook of Economic Forecasting, Oxford University Press, Chapter 12, pp. 355-388. (Working Paper No. 2010-04, Banco de Mexico). Alcaraz, C., D. Chiquiar, and M. Ramos-Francia. (2011). "Wage Differentials in Mexico's Urban Labor Market", Economics Bulletin, Vol. 31, No. 3, pp. 2500-2508. (Working Paper No. 2008-06, Banco de Mexico). Alexandrova-Kabadjova, B., E. Tsang, and A. Krause. (2011). "Market Structure and Information in Payment Card Markets", International Journal of Automation and Computing, Vol. 8, No. 3, pp. 364-370. Alexandrova-Kabadjova, B., E. Tsang, and A. Krause. (2011). "Competition is Bad for Consumers: Analysis of an Artificial Payment Card Market", Journal of Advanced Computational Intelligence and Intelligent Informatics, Vol. 15, No. 2, pp. 188-196. Alexandrova-Kabadjova, B., E. Tsang, and A. Krause. (2011). "Profit-Maximizing Strategies for an Artificial Payment Card Market. Is Learning Possible?", Journal of Intelligent Learning Systems and Application, Vol. 3, No. 2, pp. 63-74. Amoroso, N., D. Chiquiar, and M. Ramos-Francia. (2011). "Technology and Endowments as Determinants of Comparative Advantage: Evidence from Mexico", The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Vol. 22, No. 2, pp. 164-196. (Working Paper No. 200801, Banco de Mexico). Chortareas, G., J. G. Garza-García, and C. Girardone. (2011). "Banking Sector Performance in Latin America: Market Power versus Efficiency", Review of Development Economics, Vol. 15, No. 2, pp. 307-325. (Working Paper No. 2010-20, Banco de Mexico). Chortareas, G., J. G. Garza-García, and C. 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