North Queensland Resources Supply Chain Project Steering Committee Report December 2013 Introduction The Mount Isa to Townsville corridor is the strategic link between the North West Queensland Minerals Province and the processing and export port facilities in Townsville and Abbot Point. It is an important economic link, supporting the export of $15 billion worth of product per annum. In April 2012, the Queensland Government was successful in securing funding for infrastructure planning from the Australian Government Regional Infrastructure Fund (RIF) for the North Queensland resources supply chain corridor between Mount Isa and Townsville. This North Queensland Resources Supply Chain (NQRSC) Project will build on the 50 year Freight Infrastructure Plan recently developed by the Mount Isa-Townsville Economic Zone (MITEZ), with support from the Queensland Government and Infrastructure Australia, which outlines a long-term, demand-driven freight infrastructure plan for the region, encompassing road, rail and port, and recommending efficiency improvements along the corridor. The NQRSC Project aims to improve the efficiency and productivity of the supply chain by better coordination amongst infrastructure owners, operators and current and future users to manage the movement of freight along this economically important corridor. The RIF funding has also been used to develop a comprehensive demand model to enable the future prioritisation of infrastructure projects on the corridor. To provide oversight to the project the Deputy Premier, the Honourable Jeff Seeney MP, formed a 13 person steering committee. The membership of the steering committee reflects the full range of interests in the overall project and includes representatives from MITEZ, a local mayor, the key freight players in the region (including the mining industry, Queensland Rail and the Port of Townsville), the Commonwealth and relevant Queensland Government departments. In order to understand how to improve the efficiency and productivity of the supply chain, the steering committee initiated a work program to consider future demand for commodities from the region, determine the current performance, capacity, and operations of the supply chain as a whole, and to understand the current constraints on the system. In response to these issues the steering committee then looked at different operating models to improve the productivity and efficiency, and provide better transparency along the supply chain, including how a supply chain co-ordinator might contribute to this outcome. This report from the steering committee is intended to provide the Deputy Premier with a number of recommendations and advice in support of improved efficiency and productivity along the North Queensland Resources Supply Chain corridor in the future. It is the Committee’s view that the corridor is “fit for purpose”, meeting the needs for the current users, and has existing surplus capacity in both the rail and port systems. The Committee however sees opportunities to further enhance the supply chain by focusing on three broad areas of improvement. These are: 1. Improved long term strategic planning that can better identify infrastructure upgrade requirements. 2. Improved day to day operations of the corridor through better co-ordination amongst corridor operators and participants and; 3. Improved clarity and access arrangements for new, smaller entrants seeking export solutions on the corridor. Steve de Kruijff (Chair, NQRSC Steering Committee) 2 How was the work undertaken? The NQRSC project focussed on three (3) key priorities: 1. understanding demand 2. determining true capacity along the corridor 3. identifying optimal supply chain operation In support of these priorities the steering committee settled on a refined scope for the NQRSC project which included three (3) key pieces of work: A comprehensive demand modelling framework to enable prioritisation of projects, policy and investment decisions. The outputs of the demand model are to be used to undertake further analysis of the Mt Isa – Townsville corridor and will be fed into subsequent transport infrastructure forecasting and economic models run by the Queensland Government. Supply chain audit – a detailed assessment of the corridor’s performance, capacity, operations, planning and execution of the freight task across the supply chain to determine the true capacity of the NQRSC corridor from rail to port with the view to understanding current constraints and determining infrastructure development priorities. Supply chain coordination analysis - considered options for greater efficiency of operations along the corridor and options for greater transparency in decision making. The procurement process resulted in 3 separate consultants being appointed: GHD to prepare the demand model; Orion Advisory to undertake the supply chain audit; and Sinclair Knight Merz (SKM) for the supply chain coordination analysis. NQRSC Project Key Findings What does the supply chain look like? The NQRSC is a unique multi-dimensional supply chain that transports a range of commodities across the Townsville to Mount Isa regional economic zone. It is a high value, low volume supply chain covering vast distances and featuring extreme operating conditions and significant adverse weather events. In fact it is reasonable to suggest that if the North West Minerals Province were to be discovered today the infrastructure solution that exists on the Townsville to Mount Isa corridor would be identified as uneconomic. As such the region is fortunate to have the existing infrastructure in place to service the commodities that it does. The corridor is predominantly used by a small number of large base metals producers, each with their own specific logistics channels. These channels often are underpinned by supply chain infrastructure that is tailored to the product or company requirements and operating in relative equilibrium. For these operators the supply chain is effectively ‘fit for purpose’. Any failures in the supply chain therefore exist largely for smaller base metals operators looking to gain access to the corridor. In most cases, commentary on system failures for these smaller operators reflected their inability to under-write the usual commercial contracts with most companies typically focusing their funds on key priorities that appeal to their investor base. 3 How does it operate? Operating environment The Demand Model has produced five volumetric outlook scenarios for the corridor, with three primary scenarios (low, medium and high) based on current publicly available Joint Ore Reserves Committee (JORC) information. Freight volumes vary over the corridor, reaching highest levels at the Port (ultimately affecting the whole corridor). From a base volume of 12 million tonnes per annum, the future freight task could involve limited growth of 1-2 million tonnes per annum over the next 20 years under a low growth scenario, or could result in an increase of 6-7 million tonnes per annum over this period under a high growth scenario, The future freight task for the Mount Isa – Townsville corridor will be dependent upon a number of considerations, most notably commodity demand and prices, exchange rates and the commercial viability and competitiveness of mines (existing, new or expanding), including cost of the freight task. The above scenarios do not include the impact of inferred resources (i.e. JORC data resulting from new drilling or exploration) or energy commodities (coal and shale oil) which could result in a significant increase in corridor volume (Further scenarios have been developed as part of the demand model that include demand increases for these scenarios). If this were to eventuate, proponents of these projects would need to factor in the costs of appropriate upgrades to the corridor in their economic modelling as part of their project feasibility assessments. As such, the infrastructure servicing the corridor is largely adequate to deal with the forecast commodity growth in the longer term. An assessment of the existing infrastructure has found that the road and rail corridor west of Charters Towers has spare capacity and that, with continued maintenance, it is fit for purpose, albeit, train speeds along the corridor will be restricted in some places due to soil and climactic conditions. The Capacity Audit however, identifies opportunities for improved operations and development of more efficient rail handling infrastructure for that part of the corridor from Stuart (immediately south east of Townsville), where the corridor interacts with the North Coast Line, to the Port of Townsville. A notable constraint on the corridor is train length. The system train length for the Mount Isa corridor is 1000 m. The limitation of the rail infrastructure at the Port due to constraints associated with handling long trains and limitations with customer sidings and loops means that no 1000 m rail service currently enters the Port precinct. Rail services to the Port are either operating at shorter lengths or are split up at Stuart to enable shorter shunt transfer operations to the Port. This impacts rail capacity to the Port. Corridor capacity is further constrained by the convergence of the Mount Isa to Townsville corridor with the North Coast Line at Stuart. Delays caused by operational congestion in the Port rail area are a further challenge of the system. The Port rail system has in fact been identified as the current major system capacity constraint within the rail supply chain. This includes congestion from rail movements, and the impacts from constraints from loading/unloading, due to unloading rates or train length constraints. The system is at or near sustainable capacity with the concurrent operation of local sugar, nickel ore and imported zinc concentrate trains, on top of the Mount Isa Line traffics during peak operating periods. 4 Much of the rail infrastructure in the port rail system, that is privately owned, has remained unchanged for many years and each customer has established its own component supply chain operation to meet its specific needs. Without a step change in volume throughput, each operation has continued to operate in equilibrium. If enhancements could be undertaken to the track layout more capacity would be created and congestion decreased. Overall, the steering committee found that there are no chronic stand-alone bottlenecks along the corridor. Rather, despite some operations approaching their system capacity limits, most of the major supply chains on an individual basis are operating in equilibrium. It is more when interface complexity in the system is subjected to peak period stresses that system failures begin to occur and recovery capability is reduced. Moreover the supply chain is considered fit for purpose for larger, established players however the emergence of new, smaller players has identified some constraints around access and supply chain solutions. Competing interests The NQRSC has a range of stakeholders including infrastructure providers, transport operators, customers and Port of Townsville potential customers who are seeking to maximise their return from operations on the corridor or facilitate new developments and ventures in the region. Over time, the individual supply chain components have worked to meet their individual goals and objectives. These operations have responded to key drivers and are operated under the respective governance arrangements that have evolved with the operations. However, the NQRSC is a single corridor, and as such, decisions made by individual operators over time, tend to impact the overall efficiency of the entire system. The “third party” access regime administered by Queensland Rail and regulated by the Queensland Competition Authority, negates opportunity for any one supply chain participant to exert influence over the entire system; however evidence identified in the program of works suggests restrictions in the first and last kilometres of the supply chain. Opportunity exists for a more integrated whole of system, strategic planning framework that can alleviate some of these pressures. Different infrastructure operators Each of the key infrastructure owners and operators along the corridor have planning functions that operate independently, providing an environment for poor communication and coordination that left unchecked, will result in capacity constraints during peak periods brought about by a lack of full supply chain strategic planning. The steering committee has identified an opportunity for improved coordination through greater levels of shared strategic planning between QR and operators and the Port of Townsville, as well as improved infrastructure facilitation and development options. In addition, the separation of the rail functions in Queensland in 2010 into two separate entities resulted in Townsville below rail track infrastructure remaining with Queensland Rail (QR) and the above rail operations being transferred to the above rail operator Aurizon. Despite this split, the custodian and control of the Port rail infrastructure after the separation was allocated to Aurizon despite ownership residing with QR. This has created some operational issues. The return of control of the Port rail infrastructure from Aurizon to QR should assist with a number of these issues. 5 Is it fit for purpose? In short, the steering committee found there are multiple commodities that are transported within the NQRSC system across different modes and with different equipment configurations that are based on ageing infrastructure or product requirements. As such, the NQRSC is not one supply chain, but an amalgamation of many sub-component supply chains. These sub-component supply chains are either product or infrastructure driven and may overlap each other or remain distinct and independent. Most of the commodities have product or company specific logistics channels. These channels often are underpinned by supply chain infrastructure that is tailored to the product or company requirements. These sub-component supply chains will often operate in equilibrium. However the operation of the NQRSC system as a whole is sub-optimal. Moreover the supply chain is considered fit for purpose for larger, established players however the emergence of new, smaller players has identified some constraints around access and supply chain solutions. Overall the NQRSC System has low volumes, struggling to gain the economies of scale required to maximise efficiency largely due to sparse volumes and the length of the corridor. So whilst the supply chain is essentially fit for purpose for the larger operators, operational and organisational issues appears to restrict its efficiency and functionality. Action Plan Can it be improved? The steering committee has identified a number of opportunities along the corridor for improved operations. Broadly, these opportunities can be grouped into three areas: 1. Improved long term strategic planning that can better identify infrastructure upgrade requirements. 2. Improved day to day operations of the corridor through better co-ordination amongst corridor operators and participants and; 3. Improved clarity and access arrangements for new, smaller entrants seeking export solutions on the corridor. 1. Improved long term strategic planning that can better identify infrastructure upgrade requirements. Opportunities for improved co-ordination along the corridor exist through improved strategic planning between rail infrastructure developers and operators and the Port of Townsville, supported by significant stakeholders and users of the corridor. The NQRSC has developed a comprehensive demand model for future commodities that will be using the system. This model should form the basis of future planning on the corridor. Additionally, there are conflicts in the system that can only be resolved through combined planning of all infrastructure providers. 6 STRATEGY ONE: Improve Strategic Planning for the NQRSC 1.0 POSSIBLE INITIATIVES AND ACTIONS 1.1 The outputs of the NQRSC demand model are used to undertake further analysis of the Mt Isa – Townsville corridor and be incorporated into the Infrastructure Future Analysis Platform (IFAP) run by the Queensland Government. DTMR / DSDIP 1.2 That the NQRSC Demand Model is made available to QR and the Port of Townsville for ongoing planning activities. DSDIP 1.3 That funding is allocated to ensure that the NQRSC Demand Model is updated on an annual basis with possible future expansion to capture all trades through Townsville Port by berth. DSDIP / DTMR AGENCY STRATEGY TWO: Address Identified Infrastructure Bottlenecks 2.0 POSSIBLE INITIATIVES AND ACTIONS AGENCY 2.1 QR and the Port of Townsville investigate the feasibility of operating 1000 m train services to the Port. This should include upgrades to customer owned sidings at the Port, the development of holding/staging sidings prior to entry to the Port and at other strategic locations on the network. QR / PoTL 2.2 An assessment is undertaken of the conflicts on the Jetty Branch (Townsville Port) and systems to streamline conflicts in peak periods including optimisation of the track layout to allow more operations to occur in parallel. QR/PoTL 2.3 The Port of Townsville investigates opportunities to develop a multi user berth or berths including market interest in the development and operation of Berths 4 and 12 as multi-user berths. PoTL 2.4 Rail infrastructure and services within the Port precinct and adjacent rail marshalling areas be subject to a detailed planning review by QR and PoTL to address limitations, maximise operational flexibility with landside logistics and berth connectivity. QR/PoTL 7 2. Improved day to day operations of the corridor through better co-ordination amongst corridor operators The NQRSC believes further capacity can be achieved in the system through better network planning and a better integrated approach to day of operations activities. This includes rail and road movements as well as berthing operations. There is room for further capacity gains, particularly between Stuart and the Port of Townsville through improving day to day operational activities and longer term network planning that will delay the need for expensive infrastructure upgrades. This is the most immediate requirement to improve capacity options on the NQRSC and will require commitment from all entities involved in the supply chain to participate and align current operational practices. STRATEGY THREE: Investigate Options for improved berthing operations. 3.0 POSSIBLE INITIATIVES AND ACTIONS AGENCY 3.1 The Port of Townsville manage and implement where possible, a system of control and incentive for Berth Operators to maximise efficiencies in cargo handling. PoTL 3.2 The Port of Townsville investigates strategies to optimise Berth utilisation and tonnage through berth and cargo alignment planning and scheduling including an assessment to identify options to facilitate upgraded cargo handling equipment on strategic berths. PoTL STRATEGY FOUR: Improve Day of Operations Oversight on the NQRSC 4.0 POSSIBLE INITIATIVES AND ACTIONS AGENCY 4.1 Consider the co-location of day of operations control staff (Port of Townsville ship / berth / pilot control, MSQ VTS and QR train control) DTMR / MSQ / QR / PoTL 4.2 PoTL, QR, and port berth managers (as well as stevedores and ships’ agents) to investigate options and costs for providing visibility of landside cargo availability to load and cargo deliveries scheduled to enhance ship berthing decisions. PoTL / QR to lead 4.3 Port of Townsville and QR to investigate options and costs to provide full train control visibility for train movements within Port of Townsville. PoTL / QR 4.4 Review NQRSC maintenance planning and alignment and consider options for web based maintenance planning software. DTMR / QR / PoTL 8 STRATEGY FIVE: Enhance Long Term Network Planning. 5.0 POSSIBLE INITIATIVES AND ACTIONS AGENCY 5.1 Establish a framework for longer term network development and planning including KPI performance reporting; cause of disruption and plan departure analysis; and reporting on maintenance activities, expenditure plans and upgrade scheduling. To be determined 5.2 Undertake a Proof of Concept study to evaluate the benefits and costs of developing a comprehensive supply chain model for NQRSC. To be determined 5.3 Compile or update a schedule of all rail assets in the port which includes asset owner, land arrangements, description, capacity / rate, purpose, utilisation. QR / PoTL Assess Port of Townsville for all rail assets to be acquired by Port of Townsville or QR and centrally managed including all costs associated with management and operations of the asset. 5.4 Townsville Port, QR and any others affected to compile a listing of legacy agreements, assets, arrangements and common practices that impede efficiency, utilisation or development. Develop prioritised action plan for each including desired outcome, changes required. To be determined 3. Improved clarity and access arrangements for new, smaller entrants seeking export solutions on the corridor. The NQRSC Committee, through the course of its deliberations with stakeholders has been regularly made aware of the uncertainty and difficulty smaller entrants have faced in accessing export solutions on the supply chain. In some cases, this is caused by confusion over the most appropriate course of action to take, and which authorities to speak to, to receive advice on how a whole supply chain solution can be reached. Additionally, smaller users have regularly raised the costs associated with accessing the supply chain, particularly where mis-matched investment horizons may make a project uneconomic if one project was required meet the costs of significant infrastructure upgrades. Given the future commodity make up of the corridor, there is a need to consider options for facilitating bundled solutions for multiple parties who may be interested in pooling resources to fund significant infrastructure upgrades in the future. 9 STRATEGY SIX: Supporting New Entrants. 6.0 POSSIBLE INITIATIVES AND ACTIONS AGENCY 6.1 Develop an access map for new users on the corridor to clarify existing logistical arrangements and how export solutions can be developed. DSDIP 6.2 Investigate opportunities for bundled and shared logistics solutions to facilitate streamlined access options for new Port customers requiring integrated supply chain solutions. DSDIP / DTMR 6.3 The Port of Townsville investigates opportunities to develop a multi user berth or berths including market interest in the development and operation of Berths 4 and 12 as a multi-user berths. PoTL 10 Implementation The NQRSC Committee acknowledges that, when taken in totality, the recommendations outlined represent a significant change to the way the NQRSC currently operates. One of the key elements of the Committee’s Terms of Reference was to consider whether a ‘Supply Chain Co-ordinator’ was required on this corridor and what form it may take. Through its deliberations, the Committee’s findings are that, while a Co-ordinator overseeing individual commodity movements is not possible, a better co-ordinated approach to whole of system operations and planning, is warranted. As outlined in the recommendations above, a co-ordinated approach to implementing these recommendations is required to ensure that effective changes are implemented across the range of stakeholders involved in the NQRSC It is recommended that the Deputy Premier consider the appointment of an independent Co-ordinator with appropriate ministerial oversight, to be supported by Queensland Rail, Port of Townsville Limited, Supply Chain stakeholders and the Queensland Government to oversee the implementation of the NQRSC recommendations. The NQRSC Committee has sought the advice of its consultants in how this Coordinator may be established. There are a number of options available to the Government to consider. The Committee has elected not to provide a recommendation in how this Co-ordinator may be established or structured, however the Committee has made all of its consultant studies available to the Department of State Development, Infrastructure and Planning to provide advice to you on your response to this report. 11