WORKING PAPER 24 IHDUSTRIALIZATION IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: Phase One COUNTRY CASE STUDY -- CAMEROON by IGOR KARMILOFF ISBN 0 85003 112 5 OVERSEAS DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTE Regent's C o l l e g e Inner C i r c l e , Regent's Park LONDON, NWl 4HS Preface S i n c e e a r l y 1987, the Overseas Development I n s t i t u t e has been engaged on a major p i e c e of r e s e a r c h under the g e n e r a l t i t l e : ' I n d u s t r i a l i s a t i o n m sub-Saharan A f r i c a ' , i n v o l v i n g i n - d e p t h case s t u d i e s of seven A f r i c a n c o u n t r i e s : Botswana, Cameroon, Cote d ' l v o i r e , Kenya, N i g e r i a , Zambia and Zimbabwe. The case s t u d y work f a l l s i n t o two d i s t i n c t p a r t s . F i r s t an a n a l y s i s of the i n d u s t r i a l i s a t i o n process from the e a r l y 1960s t o the it[id-1990s, f o l l o w e d by d i s c u s s i o n of the o p t i o n s f o r and p o s s i b i l i t i e s of a c c e l e r a t e d i n d u s t r i a l i s a t i o n i n the l a t e 1980s and 1990s. T h i s Working Paper p r e s e n t s the f i r s t phase of the r e s e a r c h f o r Cameroon. Working Papers 25 and 26 present the f i r s t phase of the r e s e a r c h f o r Zambia and Zimbabwe. I t i s a l s o a n t i c i p a t e d t h a t the r e s e a r c h work on N i g e r i a w i l l be produced as an ODI Working Paper. The f i r s t phase a n a l y s i s f o r Kenya and Botswana are b e i n g reproduced as D i s c u s s i o n Paaers of the I n s t i t u t e of Development S t u d i e s at the U n i v e r s i t y of Sussex from where they can be o b t a i n e d . I t i s a n t i c i p a t e d t h a t the completed c o u n t r y s t u d i e s i n c o r p o r a t i n g both phases of the r e s e a r c h work w i l l be p u b l i s h e d t o g e t h e r as a book towards the end of 1989. Any f u r t h e r i n f o r m a t i o n on these Working Papers or the o v e r a l l r e s e a r c h p r o j e c t s h o u l d be addressed t o Mr Roger R i d d e l l at the ODI. CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION 1 2. MANUFACTURING PERFORMANCE: 3. THE FOOD PROCESSING INDUSTRIES 18 4. LINKAGES AND EFFICIENCY 27 b. CONCLUDING DISCUSSION 35 Subsector S t r u c t u r e and Growth ANNEX 1 ANNEX 2 6 38 CELLUCAH: e x c e r p t s trom t h e o f t i c i a l b r o c h u r e , 1984/5 Kfc'.fERENCES ' 40 43 TABLES Table 1 I n t e r n a t i o n a l Comparison of Cameroon's Economic Performance, 1970 - 1980 p r i c e s 4 Table 2 Value and S t r u c t u r e of E x p o r t s , 1970/1 1981/2 7 Table 3 C a p i t a l and Ownership S t r u c t u r e s of M a n u f a c t u r i n g E n t e r p r i s e s , 1984/5 8 Table 4 M a n u f a c t u r i n g growth, IDIC S t r u c t u r e and Employment 1975 -1985 9 Table 5 Performance of A p p a r e l M a n u f a c t u r i n g F i r m s , 1970 - 1982 12 Table 6 E x p o r t s of Raw and P r o c e s s e d Aluminium P r o d u c t s , 1977 - 1984 21 Table 7 P r o d u c t i o n (10^ tons i n 1984/5) 1983 D e f i c i t s (%) of Raw Food P r o d u c t s 23 Table 8 Consumption of Animal P r o d u c t s by O r i g i n , 1984/5 24 Table 9 Output Index of Food P r o c e s s i n g I n d u s t r i e s (1974/5 = 100) 24 Table 10 S t r u c t u r e of I n t e r m e d i a t e Consumption i n I n d u s t r y . 1979/80 28 Table 11 I n t e n s i t y of D i r e c t Domestic Input Procurement, 1985/6 i n a Sample of 18 M a n u f a c t u r i n g Firms 30 Table 12 Domestic Resource Cost C o e f f i c i e n t s (DRCs) of Sampled M a n u f a c t u r i n g A c t i v i t i e s i n 1975/6 34 Annex l A Cameroon's GDP: S t r u c t u r e and Growth, 1970 1984 38 Annex IB Cameroon's P o p u l a t i o n and Labour Force (1965 - 1985) 38 Annex IC a) M a n u f a c t u r i n g Value Added (MVA) b) Growth Rates (1975 - 1985) 39 Annex ID FCFA/US D o l l a r Average (1960 - 1986) 39 Par/Marltet Rates 1. INTRODUCTION S i t u a t e d a l o n g the Gulf of Guinea, between 2° and 12° n o r t h of the Equator, the c o u n t r y of j u s t under h a l f a m i l l i o n km^ and a p o p u l a t i o n of j u s t under 10 m i l l i o n i n 1984, enjoys a v a r i e t y of c l i m a t e s and of v e g e t a t i o n because of i t s d i v e r s i f i e d topography. I t a l s o has one of the h i g h e s t demographic growth r a t e s i n A f r i c a . R a i n f a l l i s abundant i n a l l but the N o r t h , b o r d e r i n g Chad, which p r o v i d e s Cameroon w i t h a l a r g e h y d r o e l e c t r i c p o t e n t i a l and the p o s s i b i l i t y not o n l y of s t a y i n g v i r t u a l l y s e l f - s u f f i c i e n t i n b a s i c f o o d s t u f f s , but a l s o to have l a r g e e x p o r t a b l e s u r p l u s e s of t r o p i c a l timber and of s e v e r a l i n d u s t r i a l c r o p s . (Cameroon's main economic c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s are l i s t e d i n Annex t a b l e 1.) For more than a decade a f t e r independence i n 1960, the c o u n t r y ' s socio-economic c l i m a t e was p e r t u r b e d by problems of p o l i t i c a l r e u n i f i c a t i o n between the two f e d e r a l s t a t e s — one E n g l i s h - s p e a k i n g , b o r d e r i n g N i g e r i a i n the West and the o t h e r , French-speaking, i n the South and E a s t . Because of h i g h r a t e s of economic growth and u r b a n i z a t i o n , the p r o p o r t i o n of townspeople shot up from 14% at independence, to 37% i n 1984, b r i n g i n g i n i t s wake s e r i o u s problems of imbalance between the r u r a l and urban a r e a s — p r i n c i p a l l y l o c a t e d i n the S o u t h — urban unemployment, overcrowding and inadequate s o c i a l i n f r a s t r u c t u r e . Cameroon's m i n e r a l wealth i n c l u d e s hydrocarbons, b a u x i t e and a s - y e t u n e x p l o i t e d r e s e r v e s of i r o n o r e . O i l began t o be marketed i n 1978, but the known d e p o s i t s have a time h o r i z o n of o n l y ten more years at c u r r e n t r a t e s of e x t r a c t i o n . In broad terms, the c o u n t r y ' s development s t r a t e g y u n t i l 1985 aimed at enhancing economic s e l f - r e l i a n c e , under the s l o g a n of "communitarian l i b e r a l i s m " . I n d u s t r i a l i z a t i o n r e s t e d on the t w i n p i l l a r s of c o n s o l i d a t i n g food s e l f - s u f f i c i e n c y , f i r s t stage import s u b s t i t u t i o n and more p r o c e s s i n g of domestic raw m a t e r i a l s f o r e x p o r t . The on-going s i x t h f i v e - y e a r p l a n (1986-91) adds the aims of d e v e l o p i n g n a t i o n a l norms and standards f o r improving the q u a l i t y of domestic p r o d u c t i o n , and of making more use of a v a i l a b l e p a t e n t s and manufacturing l i c e n s e s . Drawing l e s s o n s from the p a s t , the p h y s i c a l and f i n a n c i a l i n f r a s t r u c t u r e i s t o be strengthened and j u d i c i o u s use made of p o l i c y i n s t r u m e n t s t h a t i n v o l v e s u b s i d i e s and a f f e c t f a c t o r p r i c e s . Cameroon's c u r r e n c y — the CFA Franc — i s pegged t o the French f r a n c at the f i x e d r a t e of CFAF 1 = Ff 0.02 so that f o r e i g n exchange t r a n s a c t i o n s are based on the P a r i s exchange r a t e s . (The F C F A - d o l l a r market exchange r a t e s 1960 - 1986 are set out i n Annex 1.) P u r c h a s e s / s a l e s of f o r e i g n c u r r e n c i e s are not s u b j e c t t o any tax or s u b s i d y . A l l payments to France and to c o u n t r i e s l i n k e d to the French Treasury by an O p e r a t i o n s Account above CFAF 500,000 are f r e e of c o n t r o l . E x p o r t s t o a l l c o u n t r i e s r e q u i r e t h a t documents be d o m i c i l e d w i t h a u t h o r i z e d banks and proceeds r e p a t r i a t e d e x p e d i t i o u s l y . Non-franc export e a r n i n g s have t o be s u r r e n d e r e d . P r i o r a u t h o r i z a t i o n i s necessary f o r f o r e i g n c r e d i t o p e r a t i o n s . Under the 1984 Investment Code, f o u r types of f i s c a l b e n e f i t s are a v a i l a b l e f o r new p r o j e c t s m areas l i s t e d as s t r a t e g i c m the development p l a n and which generate employment, f o r e i g n exchange and h e l p to d e c e n t r a l i z e economic a c t i v i t i e s . The n a t u r e and d u r a t i o n o f the b e n e f i t s vary a c c o r d i n g t o s i z e of i n v e s t m e n t , l o c a t i o n , s t r u c t u r e , t e c h n o l o g y and f a c t o r mix. They are comparable t o those found i n most franco-phone A f r i c a n c o u n t r i e s . ' Cameroon's customs t a r i f f i s CCCW based, 6 - d i g i t , 5-column and i n c l u d e s the customs duty, p l u s complementary and f i s c a l t a x e s as w e l l as some o t h e r l e v i e s . The r a t e s of customs duty a r e g e n e r a l l y low ( < 30%) and m o s t l y ad valorem.^ But when the c a s c a d i n g a d d i t i o n a l taxes and charges are t a k e n i n t o f u l l account, t h e r e s u l t i n g l e v e l s of nominal t a r i f f p r o t e c t i o n becomes s u b s t a n t i a l . S i n c e A f r i c a n t r a n s p o r t c o s t s and commercial margins a r e r e l a t i v e l y h i g h , t h e w h o l e s a l e p r i c e of imported goods m Cameroon averages out at 155% of t h e i r CIF v a l u e (200% FOB). Imports from and e x p o r t s t o South A f r i c a a r e p r o h i b i t e d . A s p e c i a l a u t h o r i z a t i o n i s r e q u i r e d f o r the import of some " c o n t r o l l e d goods, i n a d d i t i o n to an import l i c e n s e . A l l o t h e r i m p o r t s , i r r e s p e c t i v e of o r i g i n , are s u b j e c t t o l i c e n s i n g when over s p e c i f i e d l e v e l s , but l i c e n s e s are issued f r e e l y . 3 'The average 1979-83 r a t i o of c o l l e c t e d customs revenue t o the t o t a l v a l u e of i m p o r t s came to l e s s than 30%, whereas the c o u n t r y ' s nominal import t a r i f f l e v e l s y i e l d e d at t h a t time a p o t e n t i a l average of c o l l e c t a b l e t r a d e revenue of 54% ad valorem; whence the importance f o r t h e Budget of the i n c e n t i v e s c o n t a i n e d i n the c o u n t r y ' s Investment Code. ^ D u t i e s f o r b a s i c foods range from 7.5 - 20%, w h i l e those f o r consumer goods and " l u x u r i e s " extend to 30%. On raw m a t e r i a l s , i n t e r m e d i a t e p r o d u c t s and c a p i t a l goods r a t e s vary between 2.5 and 20%, w i t h a few c a r r y i n g a 30% duty. The complementary import t a x adds on between 5 and 25% more on competing mass consumption i m p o r t s from non-UDEAC s o u r c e s . But f o r a s e r i e s of " i n f a n t " a c t i v i t i e s ' output the complementary t a x p r o t e c t i o n goes up t o 90%. A v a r i a b l e " u n l o a d i n g t a x " i s charged per u n i t weight as w e l l as v e t e r i n a r y , p h y t o - s a n i t a r y , c h e m i c a l and m i n e r a l "inspection" fees. S p e c i f i c a l l y l i s t e d i m p o r t s c a r r y an a d d i t i o n a l 10% t u r n o v e r tax. 3 Other c o n t r o l l e d import c a t e g o r i e s a r e : - l i s t e d " s e n s i t i v e " p r o d u c t s and those r e q u i r i n g authorization; - o t h e r p r o d u c t s , d i r e c t l y competing w i t h l o c a l manufactures, c o v e r e d by import quotas e s t a b l i s h e d as a percentage of d o m e s t i c purchases of such manufactures - t h e " t w i n n i n g " regime; - the i m p o r t a t i o n of used c l o t h i n g , c o l z a o i l , h u r r i c a n e lamps and l a r g e v e h i c l e s i s p r o h i b i t e d . prior I n d u s t r i a l i s a t i o n i n Cameroon has been the s u b j e c t of numerous i n v e s t i g a t i o n s m recent years.'' These have focused v a r i o u s l y on: - Cameroon's s i n g u l a r l y robust growth; a f t e r the coming on stream of o i l , and i t s r i s i n g i m p o i t a n c e f o r the balance of payments, on the "Dutch syndrome'""; - the p r o c r a s t i n a t i o n of the a u t h o r i t i e s m u t i l i s i n g the w i n d f a l l gains from f a v o u r a b l e o i l p r i c e s and volumes f o r domestic investment; - and, more r e c e n t l y , w i t h the d e p l e t i o n of Cameroon's monetary r e s e r v e s , - - the l i q u i d i t y s h o r t a g e , s t a g n a t i n g investment and i n f l a t i o n a r y pressures. CaraeEoon's o v e r a l l economic performance stands up v f t l l to a comparison w i t h the average f o r A f r i c a n c o u n t r i e s and, i n l e s p e c t of per c a p i t a income, imports and i n v e s t m e n t , s u r p a s s e s t h a t of d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r i e s i n g e n e r a l . The n o t a b l e e x c e p t i o n i s i t s r e l a t i v e l y low r a t i o of e x p o r t s t o GDP (see t a b l e i ) F i e l d work f o r the present study c o i n c i d e d w i t h an i n t e n s i v e e f f o r t under the a e g i s of the M i n i s t r y of P l a n n i n g (using c o n s i d e r a b l e e x t e r n a l e x p e r t i s e ) to f a s h i o n a long-term frame f o r the c o u n t r y ' s f u r t h e r i n d u s t r i a l development. I t s p o l i t i c a l backdrop was the r a t h e r sudden awakening of the l e a d e r s h i p to the harshness of the e x t e r n a l environipe"t and to the economy's v u l n e r a b i l i t y to the consequences of slow growth i n the North accompanied by exchange r a t e i n s t a b i l i t y and the h i g h cost of borrowing. U n c o n t r o l l e d goods are s u b j e c t to l i c e n s i n g when v a l u e d over CFAF 500,000, but the document i s i s s u e d f r e e l y . at " These s t u d i e s are l i s t e d m the Annex and were c a r r i e d ^>ul by the World Bank, UNIDO, SEDES EDIAFRIQUE TIERS MONDE and the EIU, to name the ones t h a t are most w i d e l y a v a i l a b l e . ' The Dutch syndrome i s the term used to denote the c o e x i s t e n c e , w i t h i n the t r a d e d goods s e c t o r , of booming and l a g g i n g s u b - s e c t o r s , r e s u l t i n g i n the r e l a t i v e d e c l i n e of m a n u f a c t u r i n g i . e . d e - i n d u s t r i a ] i z a t i o n . The e a r n i n g s from petroleum e x p o r t s have not been p u b l i c i z e d on a r e g u l a r b a s i s and have been kept i n an non-budgetary account. A c c o r d i n g to A f r i c a n news magazines, o i l revenue made up about 60% of Cameroon's t o t a l f o r e i g n exchange e a r n i n g s i n 1986/7. I n t e r n a t i o n a l Comparison of Cameroon's Economic Performance, 1970 - 1984 a t 1980 p r i c e s Indicator :Year:Cameroon: A l l A f r i c a : A l l D e v e l o p i n g C t r s . GDP p.c. (USS) :1970: :1975: :1980: :1984: 737 786 1007 1172 : : : : 654 719 762 692 : : : : 722 860 971 947 MVA p.c. (USS) :1970: :1975: :1980: :1984: 84 80 97 116 : : : : 46 51 59 59 : : : : 112 139 165 163 Recorded E x p o r t s : 1970: p.c.(USS) :1975: ;1980: :1984: 149 169 218 204 : : : : 289 217 251 185 : : : : 221 241 262 243 T o t a l Imports p.c. (US$) :1970: :1975: :1980: :1984: 174 182 259 293 : : : : 166 211 237 193 : : : : 129 182 240 226 Exports/GDP (per cent) :1970: :1975: :1980: :1984: 20.2 21.5 21.6 17.4 : : : : 44.2 30.2 32.9 26.7 : : : : 30.7 28.0 26.9 25.6 Imports/GDP (per cent) :1970: :1975: :1980: :1984: 23.6 23.2 25.7 25.0 : : : : 25.4 29.4 31.1 27.8 : : : : 17.9 21.2 24.7 23.8 GFCF p.c. (USS) :1970: :1975: :1980: :1984: 162 165 247 267 : : : : 101 150 175 151 : : : : 127 183 221 200 22.0 21.0 24.6 22.8 : : : : 15.5 20.9 23.0 21.8 : : : : 17.7 21.3 22.8 21.1 GFCF/GDP (%) :1970: :1975: :1980: :1984: Source: UKIDO, based on data from the UN S t a t i s t i c a l O f f i c e . The s t u d y i s d i v i d e d i n t o f i v e s e c t i o n s . S e c t i o n 2 p r e s e n t s an overview of the economy's development s i n c e the e a r l y s i x t i e s . That i s f o l l o w e d by an e x a m i n a t i o n of the part p l a y e d by the m a n u f a c t u r i n g s e c t o r , s t r e s s i n g the reasons behind r e l a t i v e successes and f a i l u r e s of m a n u f a c t u r i n g branches and e n t e r p r i s e s . The food i n d u s t r y i s the o b j e c t of a c l o s e l o o k i n s e c t i o n f o u r . The f i f t h s e c t i o n d i s c u s s e s i n t e r s e c t o r a l l i n k a g e s -- w i t h p a r t i c u l a r a t t e n t i o n to the a g r o - i n d u s t r i a l ones — as w e l l as the e f f i c i e n c y of r e s o u r c e use i n m a n u f a c t u r i n g . The l a s t s e c t i o n draws t o g e t h e r the v a r i o u s arguments developed i n the study to form the b a s i s f o r some c o n c l u d i n g observations. 2. MANUFACTURING PERFORHftNCE: S u b s e c t o r S t r u c t u r e and Growth O v e r a l l i n d u s t r i a l o u t p u t , d e f i n e d i n Cameroon to i n c l u d e p r i m a r y p r o c e s s i n g of a g r i c u l t u r a l and f o r e s t r y p r o d u c t s , as w e l l as p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s , expanded over the long p e r i o d 1960/1-1984/5 by a very h e a l t h y 9% p.a. on average and much h i g h e r than GDP growth. «ithin the i n d u s t r i a l aggregate, i t was m a n u f a c t u r i n g which was the s t a r p e r f o r m e r . That s e c t o r ' s average annual growth d u r i n g the f i r s t 15 y e a r s (10.7%) was double that of GDP. But i n the f o l l o w i n g nine y e a r s i t s expansion slowed down c o n s i d e r a b l y and j u s t Icept pace w i t h the then o i l - p r o p e l l e d domestic g r o s s output (7.5% p.a.).^ The p r i n c i p a l s o u r c e s of i n d u s t r i a l output growth d u r i n g the 1955-75 decade were e s t i m a t e d by M o r l d Banli economists to have been the following: Domestic demand Import s u b s t i t u t i o n Exporting 1965/6-1970/1 58% 25% 17% 1970/1-1975/6 51% 41% 8% Source: W.B.,Indus t r i a l Development and P o l i c y i n Cameroon v o l . 1 (MVA) p.26. C a l c u l a t i o n s of the sources of growth of m a n u f a c t u r i n g v a l u e added d u r i n g the 1975-80 and 1980-82 p e r i o d s by UNIDO concluded t h a t : - f o r the s e c t o r as a whole, d u r i n g the f i r s t p e r i o d the main impetus was p r o v i d e d by the growth of domestic demand, f o l l o w e d by e x p o r t s i n a p r o p o r t i o n of 4:1, w i t h l i t t l e c o n t r i b u t i o n by i m p o r t substitution . - In c o n t r a s t , d u r i n g the subsequent p e r i o d , the p r o p u l s i v e r o l e of the l a t t e r r o s e c o n s i d e r a b l y , w i t h e x p o r t s c o n s t i t u t i n g a drag on growth as t h e i r volume shrank i n r e l a t i v e terms. The shares of manufactured and semi-processed goods i n Cameroon's e x p o r t s f o r the y e a r s 1970/71 - 1981/2 are summarized i n Table 2. In the course of these e l e v e n y e a r s t h e i r combined share dropped from 23% t o 6% i n 1981/2 when petroleum p r o d u c t s ' share came to 72% of commodity e x p o r t e a r n i n g s . ' During the s i x t i e s MVA grew at about 12% p . a . i n r e a l terms. T h i s r a t e was r e g a i n e d d u r i n g the 1976-82 p e r i o d a f t e r a slowdown (under 4% p.a.) between 1971 and 1976. The World Bank's 1984 Country Economic Memorandum on the Cameroon compares i t s o v e r a l l m a n u f a c t u r i n g performance as e q u a l i n g t h a t of the I v o r y Coast. I n the y e a r s subsequent t o 1982, m a n u f a c t u r i n g output growth again slumped by about 3 percentage p o i n t s per annum. The share of manufactures (70% of which were semi-processed goods) i n Cameroon's commodity e x p o r t s f e l l from 22% i n 1975/6 t o a mere 6% i n 1981/2. Value and s t r u c t u r e of E x p o r t s , 1970/1 - 1981/2, (FCFA m i l l i o n s and per cent) 1970/1 1979/80 1981/2 312.3 297.0 57S.5 Petroleum p r o d u c t s 0..2% Other goods n.e.s. 3..3% A g r i c u l t u r a l p r o d u c t s 73..1% 0 .2% 8..0% 70..^% 28.,1% 5..4% 50..3% 71 . 1..8% 20. 9% Semi-processed goods Manufactured goods 14..7% 6..9% 11..7% 3 .9% . 3..9% 1 .7% T o t a l Export Value C u r r e n t FCA b i l l i o n s of which 60.2 1975/6 (per cent) 17..8% 5..6% Source: World Bank, CountrY_ Economic Memorandup;_, Cameroon, J u n e 1984, Annex t a b l e 6. Data on e x p o r t e d manufactured goods, l a b e l l e d p_roduits_ ludust t i t l s i n Cameroon's Note J\rmueJl^_de__Sta^ a slight rise m t h e i r share i n t o t a l e x p o r t s i n 1983/4 to 3.2%, but a d i o p t u 2.7% i\i t h i f o l l o w i n g year. These developments underscore the d i f f i c u l t i e s f a c e d by Camer'-.on's i n d u s t r i a l goods i n m a i n t a i n i n g t h e i r market shares abroad, i n c l u d i n g n e i g h b o u r i n g c o u n t r i e s , whose i m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i n g s t r a t e g i e s narrowed t ^ i i n d u s t r i a l c o m p l e m e n t a r i t i e s which e x i s t e d i n c o l o n i a l t i m e s . Import s u b s t i t u t i o n i n Cameroon up to the r p i d - s e v e n t i e s p r o g r e s s e d f a r t h e s t w i t h the manufacture of consumer goods, when about 3/4 of the apparent consumption of such goods was met out of domestic s u p p l y . ThL p r o d u c t i o n of i n t e r m e d i a t e s and c a p i t a l goods i n Cameroon expanded v e r y r a p i d l y but from a v e r y s m a l l base, l e a v i n g the i n d u s t r i a l s e c t o r dependent on i m p o r t i n g over o n e - h a l f of the v a l u e of i t s i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption. In o n l y f o o d , beverages and tobacco were dependency r.itio;-. i n the 10%-20% range. C a p a c i t y u t i l i z a t i o n i n i n d u s t r y as a whole was e s r i m a t e d Co hav,.. been i n the range of 2/3 t o 3/4 i n the years 1975 -77 and i n 1981,'when ' the h i g h e s t r a t e s were found m the beverages and tobacco i n d u s t r i e s and the lowest i n base metals and f a b r i c a t e d metals p r o d u c t i o n . No p u b l i s l i e d data are a v a i l a b l e f o r subsequent y e a r s but numerous i n d u s t r y - s p e c i f i < s t u d i e s p o i n t t o a s u b s t a n t i a l r e d u c t i o n i)i these r a t e s — as has been the case i n most Sub-Saharan A f r i c a n c o u n t r i e s . Lack of l o c a l s u p p l i e s has been an i m p o r t a n t c o n s t r a i n t on c a p a c i t y use i n the food s u b s e c t o r . " D i s l o y a l c o m p e t i t i o n " on the domestic f r o n t because of c o n t r a b a n d , p l u s consumer b i a s have depressed c a p a c i t y use i n s e v e r a l l i n e s of consumer goods. Some heavy i n d u s t r i e s vere p o o r l y o e r i j - i ^ - ^ r i z i o i l l j r r c z the o u t s e t ; o t h e r s were based on f a u l o y deza.o; s : _ d L = £ . ; o : l l o : i ; r s vere b e d e v i l e d by power f a i l u r e s . The rtiore co:o:oc;-ly s o i o = o O i . ^ e ; i - o l - d e i i n a d e q u a t e l y t r a i n e d p e r s o n n e l and the l o n g d e l a y s i i r=-.--ooj : f : i : i a . l a p p r o v a l f o r a d j u s t i n g producer p r i c e s t o r i s e s m i::p-_- oosos. As might be expected, f a s t growth of i n d u s t r i a l output vas -:: e v e n l y spread among c o n s t i t u e n t s u b s e c t o r s . The l a r g e s t subseotor be=r and s o f t d r i n k s m a n u f a c t u r i n g — ISIC 313) succeeded i n s t e a d i l y improving i t s growth performance and i n r a i s i n g i t s share of t o t a l MVA t c 20% (see t a b l e s 3 & 4 ) . The next l a r g e s t s u b s e c t o r — f o o d i n d u s t r i e s (ISIC 3 1 1 ) — d i d v e r y w e l l o n l y i n years when domestic a g r i c u l t u r e expanded s t r o n g l y . S e v e r a l poor h a r v e s t s i n the second h a l f of the s i x t i e s slowed down i t s e a r l i e r h i g h r a t e of growth so t h a t , over the whole p e r i o d t o 1984/5, the food s u b s e c t o r j u s t maintained i t s share of t o t a l MVA. Base metals m a n u f a c t u r i n g (ISIC 371) put i n a very s t r o n g performance throughout the l a s t d e c a d e — j u s t the r e v e r s e of the path t r a c e d by t e x t i l e s (ISIC 321). Chemicals f o r o t h e r than i n d u s t r i a l use (ISIC 352) and n o n - f e r r o u s metals (ISIC 372) both p l a y e d a v e r y dynamic p a r t i n the i n d u s t r i a l i z a t i o n process u n t i l 1980, when a g e n e r a l slowdown s e t i n . At t h i s j u n c t u r e , a l o o k at the ownership s t r u c t u r e of m a n u f a c t u r i n g a c t i v i t i e s m Cameroon, s e t out i n t a b l e 3, may be of i n t e r e s t . Table 3 C a p i t a l and ownership s t r u c t u r e s of m a n u f a c t u r i n g e n t e r p r i s e s , 1984/5 {FCFA b i l l i o n and per cent) Activity Agro-food Wood/paper Metals Chems.Plast. Text.Leather Other Indus. Capital FCFA 109 98.8 24.3 27.4 12.6 9.1 8.6 64% 42 30 21 36 39 National Publ. French Other 17% 16 64 32 10 32 7% 32 4 12 31 14 Priv. 12% 10 3 35 23 15 Source: IFC, reproduced i n UNIDO's I n d u s t r i a l Development Review —Cameroon, A p r i l 1987, t a b l e 9. The p a r t i c u l a r l y h i g h p r o p o r t i o n of non-French f o r e i g n p a r t i c i p a t i o n i n the wood and paper s u b s e c t o r i s s o l e l y due t o CELLUCAM's f i n a n c i a l s t r u c t u r e , where A u s t r i a n i n t e r e s t s were s u b s t a n t i a l . As f o r the t e x t i l e and l e a t h e r s u b s e c t o r , f o r e i g n ownership was weighted by Lebano/Syrian capital. M a n u f a c t u r i n g growth, ISIC s t r u c t u r e and Employment 1975-85 (per cent) Growth r a t e s 1975-84 M a n u f a c t u r i n g v a l u e added (MVA) Employment i n m a n u f a c t u r i n g Subsector's share i n MVA 1975 Food p r o d u c t s (ISIC 311) 8.0 Beverages (313) 24.9 Tobacco (314) 10.8 T e x t i l e s (321) 11.4 A p p a r e l (322) 3.1 L e a t h e r p r o d u c t s (323) 1.1 Footwear (324) 4.3 Wood p r o d u c t s (331) 1.2 F u r n i t u r e , wooden (332) 0.1 Paper & p r o d u c t s (341) 0.5 P r i n t i n g e t c (342) 1.0 I n d u s t r . c h e m i c a l s (351) 1.4 Other c h e m i c a l s (352) 7.9 Petroleum r e f i n i n g (353) 0.0 M i s c . hydrocarbons (354) 0.0 Rubber p r o d u c t s (355) 0.0 P l a s t i c p r o d u c t s (356) 2.1 P o t t e r y , c h i n a e t c (361) 1.5 G l a s s & p r o d u c t s (362) 1.1 Other n o n - m e t a l l i c miner.(369)3.1 Base metal p r o d u c t s (371) 1.9 4.8 Non-ferrous metals (372) F a b r i c a t e d metal prod. (381) 0.6 N o n - e l e c t r . machinery (382) 6.1 E l e c t r i c a l machinery (383) 1.6 0.7 T r a n s p o r t equipment (384) Other manufactured prod.(390) 0.7 MANUFACTURING VALUE ADDED 100.0 5.03* 3.50 1980 10,.3 22 .1 9,.3 9,.6 3,.9 0,.5 4,.1 7,.2 1,.6 0,.0 2..1 0..5 4.,2 0..9 0.,0 0..1 0..9 1.,4 1.,4 3..3 5.,1 4. 4 . 1985 11.2 31.2 8.1 6.6 2.2 1.4 2.9 1.6 0.2 1.1 1.3 1.5 4.6 0.3 0.5 2.1 1.1 0.9 2.3 5.3 4.0 0.0 5.0 1.4 0.6 2.6 . 1. 3 1. 6 100. 0 100.0 Note* See Annex f o r d e t a i l s . Source: UNIDO, A S t a t i s t i c a l Review of Economic and Performance, January 1987, t a b l e s 4, 5 and 8. Industrial To get an u n d e r s t a n d i n g of the reasons f o r t h i s s t r u c t u r a l p a t t e r n , the more i m p o r t a n t m a n u f a c t u r i n g s u b s e c t o r s are examined i n t u r n , l e a v i n g food i n d u s t r i e s f o r a s e p a r a t e and more d e t a i l e d c o n s i d e r a t i o n f u r t h e r on i n the t e x t . i ) Beverages Per c a p i t a consumption of beer i n Cameroon i s h i g h even by A f r i c a n s t a n d a r d s , h a v i n g reached some 60-70 l i t r e s per annum i n the e a r l y e i g h t i e s — p r o p e l l e d by an e s t i m a t e d income e l a s t i c i t y of 0.6. B r e w e r i e s (8) have doubled i n number over the l a s t 20 y e a r s . They a l s o manufacture s o f t d r i n k s and have t h e i r own d i s t r i b u t i o n and t r a n s p o r t f a c i l i t i e s . I n 1985 they accounted f o r no l e s s than 18% of t o t a l employment i n manufacturing and growth i n t h e i r value added (1975-19841 a v e r ; ; ; ; i r i p.a. L o c a l purchases of i n p u t s were l i m i t e d to sugar, botrlc-s -li£"^r c a s e s , crown c o r k s and l a b e l s , i n a d d i t i o n to water and e l e c t r i c i ' . y . z\i share of imported i n p u t s b e i n g h i g h , s e v e r a l I/S p r o j e c t s had been g e r m i n a t i n g f o r y e a r s e.g. growing b a r l e y l o c a l l y and p r o d u c i n g cassava s t a r c h . At time of w r i t i n g no more than 7% of the t o t a l b a r l e y r e s i d u e o: about 1S,000T were b e i n g s o l d as l i v e s t o c k feed. Another by-product of brewing — u n r e f i n e d yeast — amounting to some 12,000T a w a i t s the i m p l a n t a t i o n of p r o c e s s i n g f a c i l i t i e s f o r making i t i n t o an animal feed a d d i t i v e . Thus two p r o m i s i n g I/S o p p o r t u n i t i e s are yet to be e x p l o i t e d . Return on c a p i t a l i n brewing has been good, w i t h a steady 5% net p r o f i t on t u r n o v e r . The e a r l i e r - m e n t i o n e d World Bank study found brewing a c t i v i t i e s i n Cameroon to be v e r y e f f i c i e n t , w e l l managed, and p r i c e and q u a l i t y c o m p e t i t i v e . Indeed e x - f a c t o r y p r i c e s of beer have, on o c c a s i o n , been below those o f f i c i a l l y a l l o w e d . But s i n c e beer i s a d i f f e r e n t i a t e d p r o d u c t , brewing has not made a net c o n t r i b u t i o n to Cameroon's t r a d e b a l a n c e , as the q u a n t i t y e x p o r t e d has been r o u g h l y matched by imported beers i n recent y e a r s . (ii) Textiles Employing some 2,600 workers (1985) and w i t h two l a r g e p l a n t s l o c a t e d i n an u n d e r - i n d u s t r i a l i s e d area i n the North, t h i s s t r a t e g i c branch expanded s t r o n g l y f o r about a decade a f t e r 1968 and then entered a d e c l i n i n g phase. Yet domestic demand has been growing on average at 10% p.a. f o r c o t t o n piece-goods and at 16% f o r cotton-based undergarments, w i t h average per c a p i t a consumption e s t i m a t e d to be about 2 kg/p.a. A l l the weaving, s p i n n i n g and f i n i s h i n g p l a n t s have s u b s t a n t i a l government p a r t i c i p a t i o n through the S o c i e t e N a t i o n a l e d ' I n d u s t r i a l i s a t i o n (SNI) h o l d i n g company. The raw c o t t o n , of good q u a l i t y , i s d o m e s t i c a l l y grown, under the s u p e r v i s i o n of a j o i n t p u b l i c venture t h a t r e c e i v e s t e c h n i c a l support from abroad. Hence the o n l y problem w i t h s u p p l y i s the p r i c e t h a t has t o bepaid f o r ginned c o t t o n — which f o l l o w s world market q u o t a t i o n s -and the h i g h c o s t of e l e c t r i c i t y i n the N o r t h . Labour p r o d u c t i v i t y i n the m i l l s i s on par w i t h t h a t i n Europe and f i n i s h e d f a b r i c s are competitive i n q u a l i t y . At the i n d u s t r y ' s z e n i t h , i n 1980/1, when the CICAM s p i n n i n g and weaving m i l l operated b r i e f l y at f u l l c a p a c i t y , 57 m i l l i o n meters of c o t t o n f a b r i c were produced of which no l e s s than 37% were e x p o r t e d , l e a v i n g a net p r o f i t of 3.2% on t u r n o v e r . D e c l i n e ensued as the need f o r replacement of o b s o l e s c e n t machinery c o i n c i d e d w i t h h i g h w o r l d c o t t o n p r i c e s , that the a u t h o r i t i e s d i d not c u s h i o n f o r some time, as w e l l as w i t h high d o l l a r c o s t s of imported i n p u t s . Both of CICAM's s u b s i d i a r i e s , engaged i n downstream p r o c e s s i n g and b l e n d i n g , have been loss-makers f o r almost a decade. SOLICAM, n o t w i t h s t a n d i n g t h a t h a l f of i t s output of h o u s e l i n e n and t o w e l i n g had once been e x p o r t e d , developed an e n d e m i c a l l y n e g a t i v e cash f l o w . I t had been o v e r - s i z e d at the o u t s e t and debt s e r v i c i n g b u i l t up to almost onef i f t h of i t s t u r n o v e r . The r i s e i n the c o s t of c o t t o n t h r e a d r e s u l t e d m the c e s s a t i o n of i t s e x p o r t s to Europe, d i s m i s s a l of 20% of i t s w o r k f o r c e and very low c a p a c i t y u t i l i s a t i o n . To f l o a t i t anew, a merger f o l l o w e d w i t h CICAH's second s u b s i d i a r y SYNTECAH, manufacturing f a b r i c s out of 1.1 imported s y n t h e t i c t h r e a d . The c h i e f problems faced by i t had been i t s o b s o l e t e machinery, the poor h a n d l i n g of c l o t h — r e s u l t i n g i n a h i g h p r o p o r t i o n of d e f e c t s - - and the commonly shared i n a b i l i t y t o compete a g a i n s t f r a u d u l e n t l y imported (Asian) f a b r i c s t h a t were b e l i e v e d t o comprise over o n e - t h i r d of t o t a l apparent consumption. Two o t h e r t e x t i l e f i r m s , SICABO and SAFIL had not been a b l e t o tace i.ip t o c o m p e t i t i o n from a u t h o r i z e d imports, l e t alone the i l l e g a l ones, and c a r r i e d l o s s e s even w i t h reduced p e r s o n n e l . T h e i r c . i p a c i t y u t i l i z a t i o n had o s c i l l a t e d around 50%. SCS was the c o u n t r y ' s s o l e "manuf act i i r e r " of ] u t e bags !out of imported m a t e r i a l s - - 2 / 3 j u t e c l o t h and 1./3 j u t e yarn) . I t had been burdened w i t h poor management and procurement, w i t h o v e r - s t a f f i n g and a n e g a t i v e cash flow i n the face of market i n r o a d s by p o l y e t h y l e n e s a c k s . S i n c e 1985 i t has passed i n t o new hands and may yet undertake weaving j u t e c l o t h out of imported t h r e a d and d i v e r s i f y i n g i t s product mix. U n t i l r e c e n t l y i t s e x p o r t s t o UDEAC markets have not exceeded 2% of t o t a l s a l e s . An attempt t o r e p l a c e j u t e w i t h l o c a l l y grown ker.af f i b r e had been s t u l t i f i e d by i t s h i g h labour c o s t , r e l a t i v e tn - o t t o n a>id food crop prices. In g e n e r a l , the c h i e f problem areas f o r t e x t i l e s i n C a m e r o o i i can be i d e n t i f i e d as b e i n g : - the magnitude of u n c o n t r o l l e d i m p o r t s ; - the i s s u e of import l i c e n s e s without good knowledge of domestic a v a i l a b i l i t i e s and inadequate customs c o n t r o l ovet the exact n a t u r e of a u t h o r i z e d t e x t i l e i m p o r t s ; - " s t i c k y " p r i c e s e t t i n g and adjustment procedures; - inadequate s p e c i a l i z a t i o n l e a d i n g to u n e c o n o m i c a l l y s l i u r t p r o d u c t i o n runs; - v e r y poor marketing and p r o m o t i o n a l knowhow. F i n a l l y i t s h o u l d be noted t h a t , as with b r e w e r i e s , t e x t i l e have t h e i r own t r a n s p o r t and maintenance f a c i l i t i e s . (ill) planis Apparel' Garment p r o d u c i n g e n t e r p r i s e s i n Cameroon have beer, m a c r i t i c a l phase f o r w e l l over a decade. I n c o n t r a s t t o the t e x t i l e branch, t h e i r p r o d u c t i v i t y has remained very low. They have been l o s i n g market shares both at home and abroad -- m a i n l y t o goods of A s i a n o r i g i n . A UNIDO e s t i m a t e of apparent consumption and t r a d e dependence i n the e a r l y e i g h t i e s g i v e s 29.2% f o r imports and 24.1% f o r e x p o r t s . N e a r l y a l l of the l a t t e r was s o l d t o n e i g h b o u r i n g markets. But i t s h o u l d be borne i n mind that u n a u t h o r i z e d imports of garments have been v e r y l a r g e , r a i s i n g t h L ' e f f e c t i v e import dependence t o probably 35%. As the consumption ot pagn-; i n Cameroon i s o n l y 1/3 of UDEAC average, there i s a l a r g e p o t e n t i d l s u r p l u s i n t h i s product l i n e w i t h e x i s t i n g i n s t a l l a t i o n s . ' The i n f o r m a t i o n i n t h i s and f o l l o w i n g paragraphs i s i l l u s t r a t i v e being based on d i s c u s s i o n s w i t h r e p r e s e n t a t i v e s of i n d u s t r y and commerce and not w i t h e n t e r p r i s e management. There have been numerous c l o s u r e s of i n d u s t r i a l - s i z e d garment f i r m s i n the past -- as shown i n t a b l e 5 -- and more were about t o take p l a c e at t h e time of our f i e l d work. Table 5 Performance of A p p a r e l M a n u f a c t u r i n g f i r m s , 1970 - 1982 1970 Number of f i r m s o p e r a t i n g Turnover (FCFA 10') Employees (10^) 10 3 2.5 Source: GICAM, L'economie camerounaise, 1978 6 2.2 1.2 1982 4 0.9 0.5 1982-83, tome I I H o s i e r y p r o d u c e r s , r e l y i n g on European i n p u t s , have had d i f f i c u l t y i n o b t a i n i n g import l i c e n s e s , f o r c i n g at l e a s t one f i r m (with l a b o u r p r o d u c t i v i t y at 30% of standard) t o operate at 10% of i t s c a p a c i t y and t o envisage l i q u i d a t i o n . Another f i r m , p r o d u c i n g o u t e r garments and impregnated c l o t h y i e l d i n g a h i g h p r o p o r t i o n of v a l u e added, h a v i n g a s t r o n g l i n k a g e w i t h t h e upstream producer of i t s major i n p u t and a l r e a d y e s t a b l i s h e d i n t h e UDEAC market, was i n a l i k e s i t u a t i o n because of a p r i c e squeeze, t h e l o s s of market shares from new I/S a c t i v i t i e s abroad and f r a u d u l e n t imports at home. Another e s t a b l i s h m e n t i n t r o u b l e had poor procurement p r a c t i c e s and too l i t t l e m a r k e t i n g e x p e r t i s e t o draw upon. In g e n e r a l , t h e volume of a p p a r e l e x p o r t s — m a i n l y t o UDEAC c o u n t r i e s and t o t a l l i n g 442 q u i n t a l s o n l y i n 1984 — have f l u c t u a t e d w i d e l y from year t o y e a r . A problem common t o many a p p a r e l producers was c o m p e t i t i o n from a r t i s a n a l producers f o r government t e n d e r s . The l a t t e r group have no overheads t o worry about, pay s a l a r i e s below the l e g a l l e v e l s , keep no a c c o u n t s , pay h a r d l y any t a x e s , and a r e exempt from h a v i n g t o p r o v i d e f o r m a l guarantees of q u a l i t y and d e l i v e r y t i m e s . The a p p a r e l f i r m w i t h the h i g h e s t r e c o r d of c a p a c i t y u t i l i z a t i o n i n 1986, was an e x p o r t - o r i e n t e d j o i n t v e n t u r e . But i t a c q u i r e d o n l y 10% of i t s i n p u t s l o c a l l y and had a n e g a t i v e cash f l o w . ( i v ) Leather and footwear Except f o r areas i n the n o r t h , Cameroon's ecology and c l i m a t e are not i d e a l f o r l a r g e - s c a l e animal husbandry. T o t a l animal p o p u l a t i o n i n 1984/5 i s e s t i m a t e d at about 4 m i l l i o n heads of horned c a t t l e — m a n y i n nomadic herds moving f r e e l y between f r o n t i e r ares of N i g e r i a , Chad and the C e n t r a l A f r i c a n R e p u b l i c — ; a l i k e number of s m a l l r u m i n a n t s , and 0.9 m i l l i o n p i g s . E x p o r t s of unprocessed h i d e s and s k i n s have dropped from an average of 2,000 tons i n 1973-74 t o about 900 tons i n 1983-85. Only one p a r a s t a t a l tannery (the STPC) has been e s t a b l i s h e d t o date, l o c a t e d i n the c a t t l e r e a r i n g area at a great d i s t a n c e from the c o u n t r y ' s two i n d u s t r i a l a b a t t o i r s . I t had to reduce i t s o p e r a t i o n s m a i n l y to the c o l l e c t i o n and export of raw h i d e s and s k i n s , s i n c e prime c o s t s of i t s f i n i s h e d l e a t h e r were u n c o m p e t i t i v e l y h i g h even t o r domestic consumers. Debts mounted, f o l l o w e d by bankruptcy and p r i v a t i s a t i o n i n 1985. Value added by s e m i - a r t i s a n a l manufacturers of l e a t h e r t r a v e l goods and a c c e s s o r i e s d i d expand at a h e a l t h y r a t e (13.9%) i n the 1975-85 decade and t h e i r employment at 2.7% p.a. However, import displacement by t h i s branch was not s i g n i f i c a n t as the n e g a t i v e t r a d e b a l a n c e f o r t h i s c a t e g o r y of p r o d u c t s more than doubled m v a l u e i n the e a r l y e i g h t i e s . The USS 0.6 m i l l i o n of e x p o r t s went p r i n c i p a l l y to SSA markets. Shoe manufacturing was a l s o dominated by a p a r a s t a t a l — B a t a . I t s p r o d u c t i v i t y reached European s t a n d a r d s and the q u a l i t y of i t s output made i t c o m p e t i t i v e m n e i g h b o u r i n g markets. But these have become p r o g r e s s i v e l y more s e l f - s u f f i c i e n t through i m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i o n t h a t , on o c c a s i o n , i n v o l v e d the same t e c h n o l o g y ( a c q u i r e d from the same soarc(~) m a n u f a c t u r i n g a r t i c l e s of l i k e d e s i g n and q u a l i t y . The q u a n t i t i e s of footwear exported from Cameroon d e c l i n e d as a consequence from 790 toi.b i n 1970 to 370 tons i n 1980 and to a mere 100 tons i n 1983, h a l v i n g i t s share i n the export v a l u e of a l l Cameroonian manufactures. S e v e r a l r e c e n t years were l o s s - m a k i n g ones f o r BATA -- a s c r i b e d by the h o l d i n g parent (SNI) to the domestic market b e i n g swamped by a c o n j u n c t i o n of authori.zed imports at dumped p r i c e s of shoes ( o s t e n s i b l y of a d i f f e r e n t q u a l i t y and type to those produced i n Cameroon) and e x t e n s i v e contraband. The r e c o r d e d n e g a t i v e trade b a l a n c e on footwear reached USSIO m i l l i o n i n 1980, coming dawn to $8.3 m i l l i o n by 1984/5, Because of u n c e r t a i n t y r e g a r d i n g the t o t a l supply of footwear i n Cameroon, o n l y a p a r t of the s h r i n k a g e i n the t r a d e d e f i c i t can be a s c r i b e d t o import s u b s t i t u t i o n . T o t a l employment i n shoe-making f e l l by 18% between 1975 and 19S5. The employment e l a s t i c i t y f o r t h i s group of i n d u s t r i e s (0.25 as computed by the World Bank's 1980 m i s s i o n ) was the lowest among a l l the manufacturing subsectors. v) Wood p r o d u c t s , paper and printing Cameroon's f o r e s t r e s o u r c e s are v a s t . They cover 24 m i l l i o n ha-- of which over 30% i s dense t r o p i c a l f o r e s t - - and rank i t f o u r t h i n a l l A f r i c a . Over 350 d i f f e r e n t s p e c i e s have been i d e n t i f i e d but they are i n t e r s p e r s e d , r e q u i r i n g l o g g i n g to be s e l e c t i v e and, hence, c o s t l y . T h i s n a t u r a l w e a l t h has been u n d e r - u t i l i z e d f o r reasons l i s t e d i n numerous s t u d i e s c a r r i e d out under the a u s p i c e s of the FAO, UNIDO and the World . Bank: - the absence of a comprehensive timber s t r a t e g y ; - low t e c h n i c a l p r o f i c i e n c y and o b s o l e t e machinery 70 foreign-owned s a w m i l l s ; - h i g h p r o d u c t i o n l o s s e s and v e r y l i t t l e waste recuperation; i n most of tlie - the inadequate secondary road network through t i m b e r l a n d c a u s i n g d e l i v e r i e s to be u n r e l i a b l e and c o s t l y ; - because of low p r o f i t a b i l i t y i n l o g g i n g , d i s a p p o i n t i n g l e v e l s of i n v e s t m e n t . The p r o p o r t i o n of l o g s d e l i v e r e d t o domestic p r o c e s s o r s — most o f t e n of second q u a l i t y -- has h a r d l y r i s e n , having been 54.7% i n 1975/6 and 57.6% i n 1983/4. The wood m a n u f a c t u r i n g e n t e r p r i s e s i n c l u d e d t h r e e match f a c t o r i e s , one woodpulp m i l l which was shut down i n 1985, f i v e c u t t i n g and shaping u n i t s , two plywood and veneer p l a n t s , and a m u l t i t u d e of s e m i - a r t i s a n a l manufacturers of b u i l d i n g t i m b e r , f u r n i t u r e e t c . None of the f o u r l a r g e p a r a s t a t a l s i n t h i s s u b s e c t o r has made a c o n s i s t e n t p r o f i t d u r i n g the l a s t f i v e y e a r s , although domestic demand f o r t h e i r p r o d u c t s has been growing at a h e a l t h y 8% p.a. Import s u b s t i t u t i o n has been complete i n veneers, plywood and improved wood, the consumption of which i n c r e a s e d from 26,000 i n 1975 to 46,000 m^ i n 1984. But I/S has been o n l y p a r t i a l i n manufactured wood p r o d u c t s and h a r d l y t r a c e a b l e i n f u r n i t u r e d u r i n g r e c e n t y e a r s . Domestic s u p p l i e s to these e n t e r p r i s e s have been u n s a t i s f a c t o r y i n q u a n t i t y and i n q u a l i t y , good l o g s b e i n g pre-empted by e x p o r t s — c h i e f l y to the EEC. But the q u a l i t y of f i n i s h e d l o c a l p r o d u c t s has a l s o been found wanting. The s u b s e c t o r u n q u e s t i o n a b l y p r e s e n t s the case of a "missed o p p o r t u n i t y " . Losses by the p a r a s t a t a l s have been n o t h i n g s h o r t of a s t r o n o m i c a l , mainly as the r e s u l t of the stoppage of the p u l p m i l l ' s o p e r a t i o n s two years a f t e r s t a r t - u p . In 1980 CELLUCAM was the showpiece of Cameroon's i n d u s t r i a l i z a t i o n s t r a t e g y and a turnkey model f o r C e n t r a l A f r i c a . (Excerpts from the f i r m ' s p u b l i c i t y brochure are reproduced i n Annex 2.) The s t o r y i s one of p o l i t i c a l m o t i v a t i o n s p r e v a i l i n g over economic c o n s i d e r a t i o n s . The o r i g i n a l f e a s i b i l i t y study turned out to have been s e r i o u s l y at f a u l t i n r e s p e c t of market demand, t e c h n i c a l p r a c t i c a b i l i t y , and the l e v e l s of f i x e d and o p e r a t i n g c o s t s . Located i n the same g e o g r a p h i c a l a r e a as Z a i r e ' s very c o m p e t i t i v e pulp m i l l , CELLUCAM boasted b e i n g the f i r s t i n the w o r l d t o c o n v e r t a l l s p e c i e s of timber i n t o paper p u l p . I t a l s o had the m i s f o r t u n e of h a v i n g a s e c t i o n of i t s p r o c e s s c h a i n blow up i n the f i r s t year of o p e r a t i o n . The i n i t i a l investment i n t h i s monument to North-South c o o p e r a t i o n came t o more than US$ 400 m i l l i o n . Two years a f t e r i t had been handed over t o the government i t s debts amounted to FCFA 80 b i l l i o n . By mid-1982 i t s t o t a l s a l e s covered o n l y o n e - t h i r d of v a r i a b l e c o s t s . ^ The f i r m ' s cumulated l o s s e s by mid-1985 amounted to FCFA 160 b i l l i o n — r o u g h l y e q u a l to the investment r e q u i r e d f o r f o r e s t r y development i n Cameroon c o v e r i n g the next 15 y e a r s ! The p l a n t was put up f o r s a l e or d i s p o s a l i n J u l y 1986. The more commonly shared problems of the wood p r o c e s s i n g branch included: - n o n - s t a n d a r d i z e d , low q u a l i t y domestic raw m a t e r i a l s t h a t are not " p r e - c u t " to meet commercial needs; - timber c o n c e s s i o n s are hard t o come by and the p e r i o d s SNI, Rapports d ' A c t i v i t e s , l e s E x e r c i c e s 1981-2 et 1984-5. g r a n t e d (5 years) too s h o r t t o recoup investment or get l o n g term banlc l o a n s , thus p r e v e n t i n g v e r t i c a l i n t e g r a t i o n : - i n a d e q u a t e l y weathered t i m b e r , ( u n s u i t a b l e f o r d i r e c t use as cement c a s i n g ) r e q u i r i n g users to i m m o b i l i z e c a p i t a l i n d r y i n g inventories; - l a g g i n g adjustment of a u t h o r i z e d p r i c e s to r e a l c o s t s . The s u b s e c t o r ' s employment e l a s t i c i t y has been v e r y h i g h (0.95) and I t s worli f o r c e expanded from 1,370 i n 1975 to 2,560 by 1985. Yet the v a l u e of f u r n i t u r e imported by Cameroon, c h i e f l y from Europe, came to US$ 11.6 m i l l i o n i n 1982. V I ) Chemicals, p e t r o c h e m i c a l s and plastics T h i s s u b s e c t o r i s of e s p e c i a l i n t e r e s t because i t comprises a number of e n t e r p r i s e s which have been p r o f i t a b l e , c o m p e t i t i v e i n the r e g i o n a l and UDEAC marlcets, yet imported a l l t h e i r c a p i t a l and over 95% of t h e i r i n t e r m e d i a t e i n p u t s , and d i d not r e c e i v e b l a n k e t p r o t e c t i o n from competing imports or o t h e r forms of s u b s i d y . VI.a) Chemicals Cameroon's n a t u r a l endowment of i n o r g a n i c raw m a t e r i a l s f o r the c h e m i c a l i n d u s t r y (1985 data) was l i m i t e d to the r e f r a c t o r y i n g r e d i e n t d i s t h e n e , k a o l i n , l i m e s t o n e , pouzzolane, coarse s i l i c a t e sand not s u i t a b l e f o r window g l a s s , rock and sea s a l t . The o r g a n i c r e s o u r c e base f o r a chemical i n d u s t r y i s much broader, w i t h crude petroleum and good n a t u r a l gas d e p o s i t s , as w e l l as abundant v e g e t a b l e o i l s and f a t s . Should o i l r e f i n i n g c o n t i n u e apace, the d e f i c i t i n s u l p h a t e s c o u l d be narrowed, but t h a t i n phosphates and c h l o r i d e s would s t i l l remain. The volume of d e f i c i t chemical i m p o r t s has remained s t a b l e over the l a s t 5 years and no new investment i n t h i s branch has taken p l a c e s i n c e 1982. I m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i o n has made i t s e l f f e l t o n l y m c o n t a i n e r g l a s s and has not a f f e c t e d the import r a t i o s of g l a s s tableware nor of rubber t y r e s . Cameroon's dependence on i m p o r t s of f e r t i l i z e r s rose a f t e r the c l o s u r e i n 1981 of the p a r a s t a t a l f a c t o r y -- SOCAME, whose b r i e f e x i s t e n c e i s i n s t r u c t i v e i n many r e s p e c t s : L i k e the i l l - f a t e d CELLUCAM, i t was one of the c e n t e r p i e c e s of the 1971-76 P l a n and began o p e r a t i n g i n 1975 w i t h a l a b o u r f o r c e of 500. I t had been designed to produce 50,000 T of ammonium s u l p h a t e (which a c i d i f i e s s o i l ) , 20,000 T of s i n g l e superphosphate ( f o r which t h e r e was no demand), and 27,000 T of (expensive) complex f e r t i l i z e r s — a l l from imported i n p u t s ! No market study i s known to have preceded the d e c i s i o n t o go ahead w i t h the investment, on which debt s e r v i c i n g alone amounted to CFAF 3 b i l l i o n p.a. U t i l i s a t i i o n of p l a n t c a p a c i t y never exceeded 50% and the p a r a s t a t a l ' s d e f i c i t had to be f i n a n c e d out of p u b l i c funds u n t i l I t was c l o s e d down i n 1981. The f o l l o w i n g f a c t o r s had come i n t o p l a y : - d e l a y m s i t e p r e p a r a t i o n exceeded the c o n t r a c t u a l p e r i o d i n the o r i g i n a l c o s t i n g of the p l a n t , r e q u i r i n g c o n s i d e r a b l e upward adjustments r - i n the meantime, the v a l u e of s u p p l i e r c r e d i t s (denominated i n DM and F l o r i n s ) a p p r e c i a t e d v i s - a - v i s the FCFA by about 50%; - the p l a n t ' s t e c h n o l o g y was f a u l t y . The absence of a d r y e r i n the steam g r a n u l a t i o n segment produced frequent c o n g e s t i o n , had to be r e p l a c e d at h i g h e r c o s t — a l l to produce a d i l u t e d end product; - The p l a n t ' s i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption ( p r i n c i p a l l y imported) came to 92% of output v a l u e ; - the cost of imported i n p u t s i n 1981 was g r e a t e r than the landed p r i c e of competing f i n a l p r o d u c t s ; - f o r some of the p r o d u c t s , even t h e i r v a r i a b l e c o s t s exceeded the duty p a i d p r i c e s of competing i m p o r t s ; - the common e x t e r n a l UDEAC t a r i f f had zero d u t i e s on a l l f e r t i l i z e r i m p o r t s hence the p l a n t c o u l d not r e c e i v e any t a r i f f p r o t e c t i o n nor e n j o y p r e f e r e n t i a l access to member c o u n t r i e s ' marliets. T h i s f a c t s a n c t i o n e d a d i r e c t s u b s i d y to the p l a n t out of the p r e s i d e n t i a l e x t r a - b u d g e t a r y fund. A f t e r the p l a n t ' s c l o s u r e , 65% of the CIF cost of f e r t i l i z e r s (and of p e s t i c i d e s ) c o n t i n u e d to be s u b s i d i z e d out of t h i s fund. Thanks to i t , consumption of f e r t i l i z e r s i n Cameroon has expanded at more than 6% p.a., even though h a n d l i n g and t r a n s p o r t c o s t s add 100% to the CIF p r i c e of these goods. V1.b) M i n e r a l O i l R e f i n i n g The o n l y p a r a s t a t a l i n the c h e m i c a l s s u b s e c t o r — SONARA, began o p e r a t i n g m 1981 and worked f o r t h r e e y e a r s at below 50% c a p a c i t y b e f o r e the government agreed to cede to i t Cameroon crude at a p r e f e r r e d p r i c e . A f t e r two y e a r s , i t s output of f u e l o i l reduced the c o u n t r y ' s import d e f i c i t of SITC 332 products by USS 132 m i l l i o n . In a d d i t i o n , the q u a n t i t i e s of s u l p h a t e by-products have been l a r g e enough a l s o to h e l p improve the c h e m i c a l s ' t r a d e b a l a n c e . Given the w o r l d petroleum s i t u a t i o n and Cameroon's l i m i t e d known o i l r e s e r v e s , no c r a c k i n g u n i t has been added to the r e f i n e r y f o r p r o d u c i n g h i g h e r v a l u e d i s t i l l a t e s such as kerosene and d i e s e l o i l . Nor are any envisaged f o r the next f i v e y e a r s . The n a t u r a l gas a s s o c i a t e d w i t h r e f i n i n g has been mostly f l a r e d . The s u b s t a n t i a l proven r e s e r v e s of n o n - a s s o c i a t e d n a t u r a l gas have not begun to be e x p l o i t e d f o r the manufacture of e i t h e r ammonia or methane. In 1986 a bitumen p l a n t of 20,000 T c a p a c i t y was i n a u g u r a t e d . At l e a s t one h a l f of i t s p o t e n t i a l output s h o u l d be a v a i l a b l e f o r e x p o r t , even w i t h a c o n t i n u e d 6% growth r a t e i n the domestic consumption of asphalt. Vi.c) Pharmaceuticals and perfume e x t r a c t s Domestic demand f o r medicines e t c . has been growing f a s t i n Cameroon and t h e i r import v a l u e has doubled between 1977/8 and 1981, when i t amounted t o over FCFA 10 b i l l i o n . But o n l y one ( p r i v a t e ) p h a r m a c e u t i c a l f i r m has been e s t a b l i s h e d so f a r -- l i m i t e d to the manufacture of m e d i c i n a l herb e x t r a c t s and p e r f u s i o n l i q u i d . ' T h i s s u c c e s s f u l f i r m ' s export performance has been o u t s t a n d i n g , h a v i n g jumped from 61 T i n 1971 to 790 T i n 1983! M e d i c i n a l p l a n t s are p l e n t i f u l i n Cameroon and p r o v i d e a good base f o r f u r t h e r e x p a n s i o n . A l s o s u c c e s s f u l has been the manufacture, f o r both the l o c a l and r e g i o n a l markets, o f perfumery and c o s m e t i c s by two p r i v a t e f i r m s (one e n t i r e l y foreign-owned). Over the 1982-85 p e r i o d the l e v e l of t h e i r e x p o r t s has averaged around 1,800 T. v 1. d) Soajps__ and _de t ^ r g e n t s T h i s group of consumer goods, produced i n s e v e r a l modern f a c t o r i e s , was hampered i n e v o l v i n g out of i m p o r t - s u h s t i t u t i o n to c o m p e t i t i v e e x p o r t i n g by the f r e q u e n t pie-emption o f ttie raw m a t e r i a l iriput by domestic e x p o r t e r s of t h e i r c h i e f i n g r e d i e n t — p a l m o i l -- on the one hand, and by the e s t a b l i s h m e n t of competing p l a n t s i n inost of the n e i g h b o u r i n g c o u n t r i e s , on the o t h e r . The s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t on soap m a n u f a c t u r i n g caused the export quantum t o drop f r o m 6,520 T in 1982/3 t n o n l y 1,942 T m 1984/5. Detergents do not even f i g u r e among CaiTieroon's 15 t o p - r a n k i n g e x p o r t s of i n d u s t r i a l goods. vi.e) Plastics There were 22 d i f f e r e n t - s i z e d p r o c e s s o r s of p o l y m t r s i n Cameroon i n 1985/6, w i t h a combined c a p a c i t y of 32,000 T, of which o n l y 2/3 was being e x p l o i t e d . P e r c a p i t a consumption of p l a s t i c s (2.6 kg p.a.) was about o n e - t h i r d of that m near-by Gabon and i n K o r t h A f r i c a n c o u n t r i e s . The p r i n c i p a l reason f o r t h i s l i e s i n the c o m p e t i t i o n of a U m i n i u m and wood as b u i l d i n g m a t e r i a l s . At c u r r e n t UDEAC r a t e s of consumption, the l e v e l of r e g i o n a l demand, even 15 y e a r s hence, would not j u s t i f y — on econor^ir grounds — the p r o d u c t i o n of p o l y s t y r e n e or o t h e r base polymers. The PVC e x t r u d i n g and molding o p e r a t i o n s i n Cameroon have been f u n c t i o n i n g about 35% of t h e i r r a t e d c a p a c i t y . A major c o n t r i b u t i n g ^ S e v e r a l i n t e r e s t i n g c o u n t r y case s t u d i e s on the l i m i t e d e x t e n t of i m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i o n i n p h a r m a c e u t i c a l s i n d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r i e s have been p u b l i s h e d by UNCTAD i n c o o p e r a t i o n w i t h WHO over the l a s t 10 y e a r s . They h i g h l i g h t the o l i g o p o l i s t i c s t r u c t u r e of the w o r l d market f o r these p r o d u c t s as w e l l as the r e l a t i v e l y h i g h c o s t of t h e i r p r i m a r y manufacture. Hence i n most d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r i e s to d a t e , the s u b s e c t o r ' s a c t i v i t i e s are l i m i t e d to b l e n d i n g imported i n g r e d i e n t s , c o a t i n g , p a c k i n g and packaging. The major e x c e p t i o n i s i n the p r e p a r a t i o n of f i n a l p r o d u c t s u s i n g d o m e s t i c a l l y grown m e d i c i n a l h e r b s . For purposes of comparison, the s i n g l e Saudi A r a b i a n Al J u b a i l p e t r o c h e m i c a l complex produced 680,000 T of polymers annually. reason was t h e i r i n a b i l i t y to s a t i s f y the government's and donors' t e n d e r i n g c o n d i t i o n t h a t the s u p p l y of the p r o d u c t s be coupled w i t h t h e i r i n s t a l l a t i o n . M u l t i n a t i o n a l b i d d e r s were r e p o r t e d l y s u c c e s s f u l because they reduced the p r i c e s of m a t e r i a l s w h i l e i n f l a t i n g the c o s t of the l a t t e r . What i s p u z z l i n g i s why domestic c o n t r a c t o r s f a i l e d to i n v e s t i n broadening t h e i r range of s e r v i c e s i n t h i s r e s p e c t . Labour p r o d u c t i v i t y i n Cameroonian p l a s t i c s m a n u f a c t u r i n g i s about 2/3 of the European level. Although a l l of the i n p u t s of the f i r m s i n t h i s branch were imported, s e v e r a l have a c h i e v e d p r o f i t a b l e o p e r a t i o n s and s t a b l e f o o t h o l d s i n n e i g h b o u r i n g markets. These were c h a r a c t e r i s t i c a l l y s m a l l , modern, well-managed u n i t s , a d a p t i n g t h e i r output to narrow or s p e c i f i c segments of demand. I n the most s u c c e s s f u l f i r m the share of e x p o r t e d output reached 50% of i t s o u t p u t . Another s u c c e s s f u l u n i t had p o l y v a l e n t machinery a l l o w i n g i t s output to be c u s t o m i z e d . The l o s s - m a k i n g producers had the common problem of not b e i n g p r i c e c o m p e t i t i v e w i t h cheaper, d u t y - p a i d a r t i c l e s from abroad and government's u n w i l l i n g n e s s to g r a n t them a "buy l o c a l " p r i c e d i f f e r e n t i a l . The c o s t of t h e i r commercial borrowing ( r a t e s of i n t e r e s t of up to 40%) was too burdensome. A d m i n i s t r a t i v e a p p r o v a l of p r i c e adjustments t o r e f l e c t t h e i r r i s i n g c o s t s was too t a r d y . The absence of r i g o u r o u s i n - p l a n t q u a l i t y c o n t r o l was another commonly-shared s h o r t c o m i n g . (Vi1) Hon-metallic minerals The manufacture of cement i n Cameroon was c a r r i e d out by a j o i n t venture i n which the o r i g i n a l I t a l i a n p a r t n e r d i s p o s e d of i t s shares to the SNI i n 1981/2. P r o d u c t i o n i s based on imported c l i n k e r p l u s l o c a l l i m e s t o n e and marble, and shared between one l a r g e , modern i n s t a l l a t i o n i n Douala and a s m a l l p l a n t near the border w i t h Chad. Not o n l y has import replacement been e f f i c i e n t , but the volume of e x p o r t s to Chad and o t h e r neighbours has t r i p l e d between 1982/3 and 1984/5. S e v e r a l p l a n t e x t e n s i o n s have taken p l a c e to keep up w i t h the growth of b u i l d i n g c o n s t r u c t i o n . By 1984/5 the combined annual output of cement came t o almost 1 m i l l i o n t o n s . The a c t i v i t y has been g e n e r a l l y p r o f i t a b l e and downstream l i n k a g e s have i n c r e a s e d . The e x p e r i e n c e of a l a r g e p a r a s t a t a l b r i c k and h o l l o w - t i l e f a c t o r y , CERICAM, stands out i n sharp c o n t r a s t . T e c h n i c a l and m a n a g e r i a l problems have proved i n t r a c t a b l e . I t was b a i l e d out of bankruptcy i n 1982 w i t h a FCFA 500 m i l l i o n government g r a n t and, a f t e r f u r t h e r l o s s e s , was c l o s e d down f o r good. A p r i v a t e f i r m m a n u f a c t u r i n g g l a s s t a b l e w a r e and ceramic t i l e s has done w e l l by broadening i t s product mix. But i t s a c t i v i t i e s were not r e f l e c t e d i n reduced l e v e l s of i m p o r t s d u r i n g the l a s t few y e a r s . L o c a l b u i l d i n g m a t e r i a l s u p p l i e r s have o f t e n been edged out of l a r g e p u b l i c t e n d e r s by f o r e i g n c o n t r a c t o r s who e n j o y ready access t o c r e d i t through t h e i r mother companies and/or c l o s e t i e s w i t h f o r e i g n banks. Furthermore, as the World Bank's June 1984 Memorandum p o i n t e d out (page 27), no p r e s s u r e had been e x e r t e d by p u b l i c a u t h o r i t i e s on f o r e i g n c o n t r a c t o r s t o a s s o c i a t e w i t h Cameroonian f i r m s , p a r t i c u l a r l y w i t h the SMEs. A p r e s i d e n t i a l admonition had t o be d e l i v e r e d t o the p u b l i c s e c t o r (May 1986) t o p l a c a t e c o m p l a i n t s from l o c a l c o n t r a c t o r s about i n o r d i n a t e d e l a y s i n the s e t t l e m e n t of t h e i r c o n t r a c t u a l c l a i m s on the a d m i n i s t r a t i o n , c a u s i n g them s e r i o u s cash f l o w problems. I n t h e f o l l o w i n g month the p u b l i c a u t h o r i t i e s s e t t l e d FCFA 50 b i l l i o n ' s worth of o u t s t a n d i n g b i l l s . They e x p l a i n e d the d e l a y s by the l a r g e number of d e c i s i o n - t a l t e r s i n v o l v e d m p r o c e s s i n g c l a i m s — on average 15 t o 20 busy officials. ( v i i i ) Base metals, f a b r i c a t e d metal products and machinery I n t e r n a l demand i n Cameroon f o r base metals and t h e i r f a b r i c a t e d p r o d u c t s grew at a 10% r a t e , a p p r o x i m a t i n g that of GFCF and c o n s i d e r a b l y h i g h e r than GDP growth d u r i n g the 1972-85 p e r i o d , t o t h e l e v e l of 125,000 T. T h i s y i e l d e d a per c a p i t a consumption of 18 leg p.a. of i n g o t e q u i v a l e n t - - s l i g h t l y below the a l l - A f r i c a n average (20 k g ) . There were four main reasons f o r t h i s r e l a t i v e l y low r a t i o f o r a middle-income c o u n t r y . One was t h e absence of downstream manufacture of heavy a g r i c u l t u r a l and i n d u s t r i a l machinery, t r a n s p o r t equipment, and of d u r a b l e consumer goods u n t i l q u i t e r e c e n t l y . There was, s e c o n d l y , t h e h i g h f i n a l p r i c e of base metal p r o d u c t s . As an example, t h e ex-warehouse p r i c e s of base metals were on average 200% of t h e i r FOB p r i c e s , w h i l e t h e i r r e t a i l p r i c e s were t h r e e times t h e i r CIF p r i c e s . T h i s r e s u l t e d from d u t i e s and border taxes adding 50% t o the d e c l a r e d CIF p r i c e , w h o l e s a l e and r e t a i l margins another 32-45%, t h e t u r n o v e r t a x about 10%, p l u s the c o s t of i n l a n d t r a n s p o r t . The t h i r d reason was the widespread a v a i l a b i l i t y of s u b s t i t u t e c o n s t r u c t i o n m a t e r i a l s such as hardwood and aluminium and the absence of a s t e e l m i l l . F o u r t h , the a u t h o r i z e d c o s t p l u s d i s t r i b u t i o n margins encouraged t h e i m p o r t a t i o n of r e l a t i v e l y h i g h priced products. The p r o c e s s i n g of imported i n g o t s and b i l l e t s gave r i s e t o the f o l l o w i n g s t r u c t u r e of base metal i n t e r m e d i a t e s i n the e a r l y 1980s: - l o n g p r o d u c t s — 38%, f l a t p r o d u c t s — 15%, p i p i n g — 21%, b u i l d i n g s t e e l , c o n t a i n e r s , e t c . -- 26%. These covered 75% of domestic demand. Exports of these p r o d u c t s i n 1984 ( f r e e of export t a x but l i m i t e d t o UDEAC c o u n t r i e s and Chad) c o n s t i t u t e d a mere 8% of t o t a l o u t p u t . The r e s u l t i n g n e g a t i v e t r a d e balance amounted to more than USS 100 m i l l i o n . I m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i o n i n t h i s branch has not spread beyond the manufacture of s t e e l sheets and s t r i p s , cement r e i n f o r c i n g b a r s , welded p i p e s , n a i l s and b o l t s . Three p a r a s t a t a l f i r m s operated as a group (SCDM) and accounted f o r some 40% of t h e s u b s e c t o r ' s o u t p u t . The l a r g e s t — SOLADO — produced r e i n f o r c i n g b a r s , worked t o f u l l c a p a c i t y thanks t o q u a n t i t a t i v e r e s t r i c t i o n s on competing i m p o r t s , but whose h i g h p r o d u c t i o n c o s t s p r e c l u d e d e x p o r t i n g . A modern, e f f i c i e n t l y - r u n p l a n t , TROPIC, manufactured a wide spectrum of good q u a l i t y spare p a r t s and a g r i c u l t u r a l hand t o o l s , but was o v e r - s i z e d even f o r the whole UDEAC market. A foundry, COFREM, — the t h i r d p a r a s t a t a l — manufactured mechanical spare p a r t s and f o r g e d implements. Among p r i v a t e f i r m s , CAMSTEEL was the l a r g e s t u n i t , meeting 4/5 of domestic r e q u i r e m e n t s of welded p i p e and z i n c t u b i n g and 100% of demand f o r s t r i p s t e e l . Other f a b r i c a t o r s of metal i n t e r m e d i a t e s produced s c a f f o l d i n g , b o i l e r s , c o n t a i n e r s , t r a i l e r s , b u i l d i n g s t e e l , wheelbarrows, wagons and c h a s s i s , barges, and assembled equipment f o r o f f - s h o r e o i l p l a t f o r m s and r i g s . The manufacture i n Cameroon of machinery and consumer remains s t i l l embryonic, c o v e r i n g the assembly of b i c y c l e s , mopeds and m o t o r b i k e s , the housing of a i r c o n d i t i o n e r s , e l e c t r i c s t o v e s , ovens and r e f r i g e r a t o r s , as w e l l as the manufacture of enamelled k i t c h e n - w a r e . 1X) Raw and p r o c e s s e d aluminium, i n c l u d i n g alloys In c o n t r a s t to i r o n and s t e e l m a n u f a c t u r i n g , Cameroon has a m e t a l l u r g i c a l base i n n o n - f e r r o u s metals — an alumina s m e l t i n g p l a n t ALUCAH. I t manufactures aluminium i n g o t s from imported Guinean ore and i s adjacent to a r o l l i n g m i l l . The p r i m a r y s m e l t e r , employing some 1,300 workers, has been working at near f u l l c a p a c i t y (82,000 T m 1984) and e x p o r t i n g between 2/3 and 3/4 of i t s output — c h i e f l y to France and Japan. Yet even though b e n e f i t t i n g from reduced e l e c t r i c i t y r a t e s and being w e l l l o c a t e d f o r the ore d e l i v e r i e s , i t has made l o s s e s d u r i n g the l a s t 4 f i n a n c i a l years because of the depressed w o r l d p r i c e f o r i t s output'' and of the d o l l a r - d e n o m i n a t e d c o s t of the alumina i t purchased. On a per c a p i t a b a s i s Cameroonian consumption of unprocessed aluminium i s among the h i g h e s t i n the T h i r d World. However, the consumption of processed aluminium p r o d u c t s has been r e l a t i v e l y low: 2.8 kg/head i n 1980 and 3.1 kg/head i n 1984, as i t i n v o l v e d a narrow range of items ( c o r r u g a t e d s h e e t s , k i t c h e n w a r e , w i r e and c a b l e , bars and t u b e s ) . Except f o r t h i n f o i l , s p e c i a l i z e d c a b l e s and w i r e , import s u b s t i t u t i o n of p r o c e s s e d aluminium goods has been very v i s i b l e i n t r a d e f i g u r e s . The nominal t a r i f f p r o t e c t i o n r e c e i v e d by t h i s c a t e g o r y of domestic goods was h i g h -- a v e r a g i n g 75% ad valorem. The l e v e l of e x p o r t s of p r o c e s s e d aluminium p r o d u c t s has been d r o p p i n g s i n c e the l a t e s e v e n t i e s as shown i n t a b l e 6 i n the f a c e of s h a r p e n i n g c o m p e t i t i o n f o r market shares i n Cameroon's t r a d i t i o n a l f o r e i g n o u t l e t s , and which UDEAC's taxe unique p r i v i l e g e c o u l d not o f f s e t . " ^ Cameroonian e x p o r t e r s of these p r o d u c t s found themselves at a " T h e average annual p r i c e of aluminium i n g o t s quoted on the London M e t a l Exchange (cash b a s i s ) was as f o l l o w s : £ s t e r l i n g / metric ton 1975 1980 1984 1985 1986 430.6 756.2 933.1 814.2 784.2 Source: UNCTAD. Monthly Commodity P r i c e B u l l e t i n , various. '2 I n d u s t r i e s accorded UDEAC " r e g i o n a l " s t a t u s a r e not quota-bound. The taxe unique on output i s l e v i e d at source i n l i e u of a l l charges on i m p o r t e d i n p u t s , of a l l i n d i r e c t t a x e s on i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption, and of a l l e x c i s e t a x e s on the f i n i s h e d d i s a d v a n t a g e because of the absence of e x p o r t f i n a n c i n g and of i n s u r a n c e a g a i n s t f o r e i g n exchange r i s k s . Table 6 E x p o r t s of raw and p r o c e s s e d aluminium p r o d u c t s , 1977 (tons) Product/market Aluminium i n g o t s ( a l l ) of which t o : France Japan 1977 1980 1982 1983 1984 20,244 9,708 59,014 52,515 60,998 9,625 - 33,088 19,765 36,404 11,129 10,373 8,559 9,208 5,264 1,336 1,024 1,079 2,536 672 33 2,163 2,316 1,031 3,420 68 32 83 13 92 19 Sheets,strips,disks 11,240 of which t o : I v o r y Coast 5,406 Cen.Afr.Rep. . 1,087 P.R. Congo 161 Gabon Household a r t i c l e s Other alum, goods 1984 240 35 7,778 -• 37 13 Source: Note A n n u e l l e de S t a t i s t i g u e , 1978-1983 and UNIDO d a t a . The p r i m a r y s m e l t e r and r o l l i n g m i l l ALUCAM undertook a FCFA 7 b i l l i o n investment at the end of the s e v e n t i e s , the s e r v i c i n g of which became ever more burdensome as i n t e r e s t r a t e s r o s e . By 1981/2 i t owed FCFA 4 b i l l i o n i n bank o v e r d r a f t s and ended the y e a r w i t h a net FCFA 6.4 b i l l i o n l o s s ! I n the y e a r s t h a t f o l l o w e d , r i s i n g c o s t s of p r o d u c t i o n and stagnant demand at home and abroad p r e v e n t e d the f i r m from i m p r o v i n g i t s performance. The p r o c e s s i n g m i l l -- SOCATRAL— l i k e w i s e was not a b l e t o o p e r a t e p r o f i t a b l y d u r i n g the e a r l y e i g h t i e s , p r i n c i p a l l y because of i n a d e q u a t e l y t i g h t l i c e n s i n g of competing i m p o r t s as w e l l as i n e f f i c i e n t customs c o n t r o l s over the nature of goods a c t u a l l y e n t e r i n g under l i c e n c e . As s e v e r a l SNI Annual Reports have p o i n t e d out, much remained to be done by aluminium-based manufacturers t o t r i m overheads and t h e i r v a r i a b l e c o s t s , which tended t o r i s e s t e a d i l y even a f t e r c u t s i n t h e i r labour f o r c e . p r o d u c t . The p r i v i l e g e has no time l i m i t a t i o n . The p r e f e r e n t i a l margin the taxe unique c o n f e r s to the " r e g i o n a l " i n d u s t r i e s v a r i e s among UDEAC member s t a t e s . 3. THE FOOD PROCESSING INDUSTRIES Cameroon's d i v e r s i f i e d a g r i c u l t u r a l p r o d u c t i o n p r o v i d e s food p r o c e s s i n g a c t i v i t i e s w i t h a wide and r e l a t i v e l y stablf> base, a l t h o u g h p e r i o d s of drought (such as i n 1982/3 and a g a i n i n 1984/5) have caused c a p a c i t y u t i l i s a t i o n i n food i n d u s t r i e s t o f a l l s i g n i f i c a n t l y . V i r t u a l food s e l f - s u f f i c i e n c y has been reached i n recent y e a r s , but the c o u n t r y ' s h i g h p o p u l a t i o n growth (2.8%) IS bound t o make i t s maintenance p r o g r e s s i v e l y more d i f f i c u l t . When lumped w i t h beverages and tobacco, the food s u b s e c t o r i s t h e l a r g e s t m a n u f a c t u r i n g a c t i v i t y and, i n 1975/6, accounted f o r almost oneh a l f of MVS and one-quarter of t o t a l modern s e c t o r employment. Subsequently, because of raw m a t e r i a l s s u p p l y c o n s t r a i n t s , the food p r o c e s s i n g branch's s t r o n g growth d e c e l e r a t e d , but i t s wor)cforce i n 1985 s t i l l made up about 8% of m a n u f a c t u r i n g employment and i t s value added more than 11% of MVA. There was o n l y a s m a l l increment i n employment, and a l a r g e r i s e i n c a p i t a l a s s e t s per employee. During t h e e a r l y p e r i o d 1969 - 1975, most of the i n c r e a s e i n processed food output was absorbed by domestic consumption, not e x p o r t s . But i n the f o l l o w i n g y e a r s , food p r o d u c t s ' share i n t o t a l e x p o r t s r o s e t o almost t h r e e - q u a r t e r s i n 1978, t o drop t o 33% i n 1982, a g a i n because of s u p p l y - s i d e b o t t l e n e c l i s . The 1984/5 s t r u c t u r e of d o m e s t i c a l l y - p r o d u c e d raw m a t e r i a l s f o r the l o c a l food i n d u s t r i e s and f o r e x p o r t are g i v e n i n t a b l e 7, a l o n g w i t h e s t i m a t e d d e f i c i t r a t i o s (domestic output t o apparent consumption) . Although the t a r g e t of food s e l f - s u f f i c i e n c y may be w i t h i n r e a c h , the f i g u r e s i n t a b l e 7 p o i n t t o t h e r e l a t i v e p a u c i t y of food p r o c e s s i n g i n Cameroon. S e v e r a l such a c t i v i t i e s have f i g u r e d among p r i o r i t y o b j e c t i v e s m s u c c e s s i v e 5-year p l a n s w i t h o u t the necessary investment being m o b i l i z e d . The absence of secondary p r o c e s s i n g of f i s h and c r u s t a c e a n s i s p a r t i c u l a r l y r e g r e t t a b l e i n view of t h e v e r y d e r i v a t i o n of the c o u n t r y ' s name (Portuguese: camaroes) and the remunerative f i s h i n g o p e r a t i o n s of s e v e r a l c o a s t a l S t a t e s i n s u r r o u n d i n g waters. The t o t a l number of f i s h i n g c r a f t has f a l l e n i n r e c e n t y e a r s , and the volume of maritime i n d u s t r i a l f i s h e r y output has shrunlt by 2/3! Although shrimp output has improved over the l a s t 4 y e a r s , import dependence i n a l l f i s h p r o d u c t s has become more pronounced. The tonnage of imported frozen f i s h p r o d u c t s rose from 17,000 t o over 20,000 T between 1975/6 and 1982/3. A m u l t i - n a t i o n a l agreement t o r e g u l a t e f i s h i n g r i g h t s i n o f f - s h o r e waters i s u r g e n t l y needed m view of the inadequacy of the i n - s h o r e f i s h i n g potential. P r o d u c t i o n (10^ tons i n 1984/5) & 1983 D e f i c i t s of Raw Food P r o d u c t s Product Quantity CEREALS 207 Millet/sorghum 410 Maize 111 Paddy STARCHY FOODS 188 Macabo-taro 1,375 Cassava 96 Yams 50 Sweet p o t a t o e s 42 I r i s h potatoes 1,001 Plantain LEGUMES 99 Groundnuts 70 Beans & peas 13 Sesame seed 56 Courge seeds FRUITS 6. VEGETABLES 703 Bananas 32 Pineapple 23 Other f r u i t 185 Vegetables VEGETABLE OILS 82 Palm o i l 10 Cotton-seed o i l INDUSTRIAL CROPS 71 Sugar cane 120 Cocoa C o f f e e Arab.4 Rob. 139 2.3 Tea ANIMAL PRODUCTS 91 C a t t l e (meat e q u i v Small ruminants 16 Pork 19 Poultry 11 (TOTAL) Game e t c M i l k i eggs F i s h & shrimps Deficit Jiemar k s 41.6% 24.0% subsistence production 7% i n modern s e c t o r processing & importation 64.5% no p r o c e s s i n g a c t i v i t y s u r p l u s (>700.000 T) planned p r o c . no p r o c e s s i n g 62.0% "—" 64.0% —" 43.; crushing for o i l one canning plant surplus surplus 44.6% 51.0% surplus ?) (137) 26 15 115 (%) factory 5 mills & plantations 3 crushers 4 3 r e f i n e r y surplus 6.3.0% (1984) SOSUCAM r e f i n e r y surplus p r o c e s s i n g up t o choc, surplus processing started 3 C.D.C. f a c t o r i e s ; 1 i> 340,000 T) s m a l l 3uiee 26.0% 2 a b a t t o i r s , 1 tannery p r o c e s s i n g planned (95.0%) (1984/5 i m p o r t s 8,000 T! ) 1 p r o c e s s i n g by 2 p l a n t s f r e e z i n g only; + imports Note: .. = d a t a u n a v a i l a b l e Source, S i x t h P l a n op. c i t . and UNIDO d a t a . Another major gap i s i n cassava p r o c e s s i n g and i n i n d u s t r i a l - s c a l e f a b r i c a t i o n of f r u i t - b a s e d p r o d u c t s . Furthermore, t h e e x p o r t s of cocoabased food p r o d u c t s have wavered between 12,000 and 24,000 T d u r i n g the l a s t 13 years w i t h o u t any apparent growth t r e n d , w h i l e the quantum of raw cocoa bean e x p o r t s r o u g h l y doubled between 1977 and 1984. There i s a l s o an obvious I/S p o t e n t i a l i n the f a b r i c a t i o n of animal fodder from the many by-products of e x i s t i n g p r i m a r y p r o c e s s i n g a c t i v i t i e s . Import s u b s t i t u t i o n m t h e meat, d a i r y and f i s h s e c t o r has been d i s a p p o i n t i n g . The F i f t h P l a n (1980-85) had t a r g e t e d a r e d u c t i o n of import dependence i n terms of per c a p i t a meat e q u i v a l e n t s . The o u t - t u r n , however, showed a r i s e from 2.7 t o 4.4 k g / i n h a b i t . / y e a r . By 1984/5 i m p o r t s made up 14% of apparent consumption of a l l animal food p r o d u c t s (see t a b l e 8) . Table 8 Consumption o f Animal P r o d u c t s by O r i g i n , 1984/5 (Kg/inhab/year of meat e q u i v a l e n t ) Year N a t i o n a l output Cattle 1984/5 9.3 Import Goats Pigs Poultry 1.6 1.9 1.2 Fish 9.0 Apparent Consum. Other 4.2 4.5 31.7 Source: S i x t h P l a n , o p . c i t . p.86. P r o d u c t i o n growth i n food-based i n d u s t r i e s (ISIC 311) a c c e l e r a t e d at the b e g i n n i n g o f t h e present decade thanks t o new c a p a c i t i e s i n g r a i n and v e g e t a b l e p r o c e s s i n g , as w e l l as i n " o t h e r " food f a b r i c a t i o n as shown m t a b l e 9. During t h e s e v e n t i e s , t h e annual growth r a t e of MVA i n food p r o c e s s i n g came t o 6% and t h a t of employment t o under 2% . I n the f i r s t f o u r years of t h e present decade MVA i n food manufacturing j u s t about doubled i t s p a s t r a t e of growth, w h i l e the l e v e l of employment dropped i n Table 9 Output i n d e x of food p r o c e s s i n g i n d u s t r i e s Process. A c t i v i t y Grains t vegetables I n d u s t r i a l food crops Bakeries i confectionery Other foods 1976/7 142 105 82 188 Source: I b i d , pp 128-9. 1980/1 168 267 121 650 (1974/5 = 100) 1983/4 240 197 150 ] ,723 1984/5 288 229 .. = not a v a i l a b l e . a b s o l u t e terms. T h i s a c c e l e r a t i o n i n output growth r e f l e c t e d p a r t i c u l a r l y good r e t u r n s on c a p i t a l . The newly c r e a t e d i n d u s t r i e s p r o c e s s e d agrop a s t o r a l p r o d u c t s as w e l l as f r u i t — p r o d u c i n g some y e a s t and a l c o h o l , c e r e a l foods and canned p i n e a p p l e s . Product d i v e r s i f i c a t i o n and reduced import-dependence a r e r e f l e c t e d i n t h e drop of " o t h e r " foods imports between 1982 and 1985 from 4,103 T t o 2,604 T. T h i s development stands i n sharp c o n t r a s t w i t h imports of r e f i n e d sugar which, n o t w i t h s t a n d i n g t h e e x i s t e n c e i n Cameroon of 3 r e f i n e r i e s , s k y - r o c k e t e d i n 1984/5 t o 14,487 T, but much of which was r e - e x p o r t e d t o UDEAC and other n e i g h b o u r s . The t r a d i t i o n a l l y - p r o d u c e d f o o d s t u f f s c o n t i n u e d t o be plagued by: - inadequate t r a n s p o r t and c o o l s t o r a g e f a c i l i t i e s , and by the i r r e g u l a r s u p p l i e s of domestic raw m a t e r i a l s t o i n d u s t r i e s and t o marketing c e n t r e s ; - the absence of i n d u s t r i a l - s c a l e primary p r o d u c i n g u n i t s (except f o r palm o i l , sugar and wheat); - an u n s t r u c t u r e d i n t e r n a l marketing network, g i v i n g r i s e t o severe p r i c e d i s t o r t i o n s and p e r i o d s of g l u t and s c a r c i t y w i t h large, u n c o n t r o l l e d s h i f t s of r e g i o n a l s u r p l u s e s t r i g g e r e d by u n c o o r d i n a t e d cross-border p r i c e s ; - the o f t - m e n t i o n e d d i f f e r e n c e s between r e a l c o s t s and the a u t h o r i z e d market p r i c e s of processed goods: - i n e f f i c i e n t p r o t e c t i o n of domestic i n d u s t r i e s ; - poor c o n t r o l over t h e q u a l i t y of marketed p r o d u c t s ; - absence or s c a r c i t y of v o c a t i o n a l t r a i n i n g e.g. i n b a k i n g , b u t c h e r i n g e t c . , g i v i n g r i s e i n t e r a l i a to t h e misuse of machinery; - t h e s m a l l s i z e of the domestic market i n terms of e f f e c t i v e p u r c h a s i n g power, and the r e l a t i v e l y h i g h u n i t c o s t of t r a n s p o r t i n g f o o d s t u f f s t o n e i g h b o u r i n g markets; - no complementarity i n food i m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i o n between UDEAC member s t a t e s . A noteworthy f a c t i s the f a r lower use of f e r t i l i z e r s i n food-crops than i n i n d u s t r i a l ones. The two r a t i o s i n 1984 were at about 1 : 6 Kg/farm/year! P r o d u c t i o n of i n d u s t r i a l c r o p s , as w e l l as of processed f o o d s , — whether o n l y d o m e s t i c a l l y - o r i e n t e d o r a l s o e x p o r t e d — i s t o a g r e a t extent c o n t r o l l e d by the SNI through m i n o r i t y share h o l d i n g s . C o n s i d e r i n g o n l y the secondary food i n d u s t r i e s , the f o l l o w i n g p i c t u r e emerges of t h e p a r a s t a t a l a c t i v i t i e s d u r i n g two r e c e n t y e a r s - - 1981/2 ( i n b r a c k e t s ) and 1984/5: - SIC-CACAOS and CHOCOCAM have s t a r t e d t o t u r n i n p r o f i t s . They employed over 500 workers i n 1984/5 (800 t h r e e years e a r l i e r ) . T h e i r combined t u r n o v e r was FCFA 17.4 b i l l i o n (11.4bn) and t h e i r v a l u e added came t o FCFA 3.8 b i l l i o n (2.0bn) e q u a l , i n 1984/5, t o t h e i r t o t a l medium and l o n g term debt. That same year f i s c a l payments'made ' up 100% of v a l u e added so t h a t t h e o t h e r c o n s t i t u e n t s o f VA had t o come out of c a r r i e d - o v e r p r o v i s i o n s and p r o f i t s . I n 1981/2 bank charges added up t o t w o - t h i r d s of v a l u e added. E x i s t i n g p r i c e c o n t r o l s prevented t h e f i r m s from p a s s i n g the a d d i t i o n a l c o s t s onto domestic consumers. Cashflow i n 1984/5 was p o s i t i v e at about 10% of t u r n o v e r ( o n l y 5% i n 1981/2). Cost and q u a l i t y c o n t r o l s have been t h e i r A c h i l l e s ' h e e l i n recent y e a r s . - SCM comprised f l o u r m i l l s and has r e c e n t l y been making l o s s e s , p r i m a r i l y because of t i g h t l y f i x e d bread p r i c e s ' ' , on the one hand and unwarranted i m p o r t s of EEC ( s u b s i d i z e d ) f l o u r , on the o t h e r hand. T h u s , i n 1981/2 imports covered 3/4 of n a t i o n a l consumption, l e a v i n g the f l o u r m i l l s w i t h demand r e q u i r i n g the use of o n l y oneh a l f of t h e i r i n s t a l l e d c a p a c i t y . C a p a c i t y u t i l i z a t i o n i n 1984/5 was but l i t t l e h i g h e r (65%) and i n 1985/6 f l o u r i m p o r t s came to 122,000 T, a l l o w i n g o n l y 45% of the newly-extended domestic c a p a c i t y to be e x p l o i t e d . The m i l l s c a r r i e d out sharp c u t s m t h e i r p e r s o n n e l i n the l a s t f i v e y e a r s , r a i s i n g t h e i r c a p i t a l i n t e n s i t y and VS per employee. Working c a p i t a l has been v e r y inadequate throughout. The r a t i o of VA to t u r n o v e r was 15% i n 1981/2 and o n l y 10% f o u r years l a t e r . The l e v e l of medium and long-term debt came to 8% of t u r n o v e r i n 1984/5, h a v i n g been c l o s e t o 20% i n 1981/2. CAMLAIT o f f e r s a not u n t y p i c a l example of the s t r u c t u r e and o p e r a t i o n of a p r i v a t e , p r o f i t a b l e , food p r o c e s s i n g SHE, e n j o y i n g the a t t e n d a n t f i s c a l p r i v i l e g e s , but not h a v i n g easy access t o bank c r e d i t . The company's output covered a f u l l range of d a i r y p r o d u c t s and m i l k based d e s s e r t s . I t s v a l u e added c o e f f i c i e n t m 1985/6 was 28.5% of which s a l a r i e s added up to 42%, b e f o r e - t a x p r o f i t s came to o n e - f i f t h , taxes t o merely 3%, bank charges to 11% and a m o r t i s a t i o n to one q u a r t e r of t u r n o v e r . The t a x r a t e on p r o f i t s t h a t year was j u s t over 50%. Although I t s s a l e s were l i m i t e d to the domestic market, l e s s than o n e - t w e n t i e t h of i t s i n t e r m e d i a t e r e q u i r e m e n t s were d i r e c t i m p o r t s , p o i n t i n g to v e r y s u b s t a n t i a l l i n k a g e s w i t h o t h e r domestic a c t i v i t i e s . T h i s t o p i c i s c o n s i d e r e d a c r o s s a l l manufacturing s u b s e c t o r s i n the next section. '3 With 1975/6 = 100, the p r i c e index f o r f o o d s t u f f s i n 1983/4, as e s t i m a t e d by GICAM, s t o o d at 250, whereas t h a t f o r bread came to o n l y 164. 4. LINKAGES AND a) I n t e r - s e c t o r a l EFFICIENCY linkages The data on which the f o l l o w i n g d i s c u s s i o n of l i n k a g e s f o r Cameroon I S based do not permit a comprehensive and d e t a i l e d t r e a t m e n t . The o n l y attempt at p u t t i n g t o g e t h e r an i n p u t / o u t p u t t a b l e r e s u l t e d i n an uno f f i c i a l document of the M i n i s t r y of P l a n n i n g fot which no t e c h n i c a l d e s c r i p t i o n s c o u l d be l o c a t e d by the a u t h o r . The t a b l e c o v e r s 8 p r o d u c t i v e s e c t o r s , p l u s c o n s t r u c t i o n , commercial and non-commercial s e r v i c e s . As w i t h many other SSA c o u n t r i e s ' I,'0 e x e r c i s e s , i n t e r m e d i a t t consumption i s not d i f f e r e n t i a t e d at the s e c t o r a l l e v e l between imported and d o m e s t i c a l l y produced goods and s e r v i c e s as few f i r m s make such n d i s t i n c t i o n i n t h e i r own accounts. The v a l u e s i n the t a b l e a r t at f a c t o r cost. Data on i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption at a d i s a g g r e g a t e d l e v e l f o r a sample of 18 m a n u f a c t u r i n g f i r m s were a l s o made a v a i l a b l e to i h e author i n the course of i n t e r v i e w s . Although an i n d u s t r i a l census had been c a r r i e d out i n Cameroon i n 1985/5, the raw data had not betn processed or checked by May 1987 for l a c k of r e s o u r c e s w i t h m the D i r e c t o r a t e of S t a t i s t i c s and N a t i o n a l Accounts. The I/O t a b l e f o r 1979/80 shows t h a t , f o r the Cameroonian economy as a whole, o n l y o n e - q u a r t e r of i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption was accounted f o r by direc_t i m p o r t s of goods and s e r v i c e s -ind the v a l u e added c o e f f i c i e n t stood at about 2/3 of the v a l u e of o u t p u t . The s t r u c t u r e of i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption, a c c o r d i n g to the s e c t o r a l breakdown used f o r the above-mentioned I/O e x e r c i s e , i s set out i n t a b l e 10. Given i t s high l e v e l of a g g r e g a t i o n , there i s l i t t l > . - m t a b l e 10 that d i s t i n g u i s h e s the Cameroonian economy from the t y p i c a l A f r i c a n middle-income case. In 1979/80 the share of imported i n p u t s was the lowest m the food p r o c e s s i n g s e c t o r , w i t h over 40% of a l l i n p u t s coming from p r i m a r y a g r i c u l t u r e . The b u l k of c a p i t a l and i n t e r m e d i a t e i n p u t s was a c q u i r e d through the commercial network, whose share of d e l i v e r i e s was about the same as those of ceriient and metal manufactures, as w e l l as of construction. Over o n e - h a l f of consumer goods s u p p l i e s came through d i s t r i b u t i o n s e r v i c e s , about 2/3 of whose i n t e r m e d i a t e purchases were imported goods and s e r v i c e s . D i r e c t procurement of i n t e r m e d i a t e goods came to about 17% of a l l consumer goods i n p u t s and that of i n t r a - s e c t o r a l purchases -around 11%. The i n t e r m e d i a t e goods s e c t o r a c q u i r e d as many d i r e c t i n p u t s from w i t h i n the s e c t o r as from the l o c a l t r a d e r s (32%). These, on average, purchased 36% of t h e i r t o t a l requirements from abroad. The balance of i n p u t s needed by the i n t e r m e d i a t e goods s e c t o r (around 22%) was e v e n l y spread over cement and m e t a l s , c a p i t a l goods, and c o n s t r u c t i o n . S t r u c t u r e of I n t e r m e d i a t e Consumption i n I n d u s t r y , ( per cent of output SECTORS 1 1979/80 value) Manufacturing 3 2 subsectors 4 5 : 6 Primary a g r i c u l t u r e 41..7 2..5 4 .0 I n d u s t r y , of which: 1 Food p r o c e s s i n g 2 Consumer goods manuf. 3 Intermed. goods manu. 4 Cement & metal f a b r i . 5 C a p i t a l goods S: equip 4,.5 0..0 5..8 16. .5 0..1 2..2 10..6 16.,7 9..9 2..5 0 .6 0 .6 33 .2 7..6 7..5 30 .9 45..0 3..5 6 14. .8 3..4 7..0 0 .0 Services (commercial)* "—" (non-coramercial) 15. .1 0..1 51..5 0..1 31 .9 1 .3 19 .6 0 .1 TOTAL INTERMED. CONSUM. of which domestic i n p u t s 100 100 100 100 100 100 62 39 39 28 7 52 Construction 5..7 :: 29 .1 40. .7 : 35..6 18. .2 : 5..2 0..0 : 2..7 35..1 :; 26..6 0..0 :; 0 .1 Note: * I n c l u d i n g t r a n s p o r t and communications. Source: Author's c a l c u l a t i o n s based on Cameroon's I/O table. As c o u l d be expected, n e i t h e r of the remaining t h r e e s e c t o r s made d i r e c t purchases of p r i m a r y a g r i c u l t u r a l p r o d u c t s , p r o c e s s e d foods or of consumer goods. The bulk (45%) of the i n t e r m e d i a t e needs of the cement and metals f a b r i c a t i o n s e c t o r was met by i n t r a - s e c t o r a l purchases, f o l l o w e d by 31% of i n p u t s from d i r e c t d e l i v e r i e s by the c a p i t a l goods and equipment m a n u f a c t u r i n g s e c t o r . Only o n e - f i f t h of i t s t o t a l i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption was s e r v i c e d by l o c a l t r a d e r s , making i t almost as importindependent as food p r o c e s s i n g . The c a p i t a l goods and eguipment s e c t o r ' s i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption s t r u c t u r e showed t h a t 2/3 of the i n p u t s came from o n l y t h r e e p r o d u c i n g s e c t o r s . J u s t as the f o r e g o i n g s e c t o r , i t c a r r i e d out almost a l l of i t s c o n s t r u c t i o n work w i t h i t s own means. These f i n d i n g s suggest t h a t the t h r e e a c t i v i t i e s w i t h the g r e a t e s t d i r e c t m u l t i p l i e r e f f e c t s on the Cameroonian economy i n 1979/80 were i n food p r o c e s s i n g , cement and metals m a n u f a c t u r i n g , and c o n s t r u c t i o n . The 18 f i r m sample data f o r 1985/6 on d i r e c t procurement of i n t e r m e d i a t e i n p u t s c o n f i r m the view t h a t resource-based m a n u f a c t u r i n g a c t i v i t i e s are s t r a t e g i c a l l y the most important f o r advancing i n d u s t r i a l i z a t i o n i n c o u n t r i e s w i t h endowments s i m i l a r to those of Cameroon. The sample e n t e r p r i s e s are ranked i n t a b l e 11 a c c o r d i n g to the i n t e n s i t y of d i r e c t domestic procurement of i n t e r m e d i a t e i n d u s t r i a l i n p u t s , i n c l u d i n g e l e c t r i c i t y and water. Because the output of the l o c a l r e f i n e r y does not extend t o f u e l and l u b r i c a n t s , domestic purchases of these Items a r e t r e a t e d as d i r e c t i m p o r t s . The f o l l o w i n g are the s a l i e n t f e a t u r e s of the sample f i r m s ' procurement p r o f i l e s : - f o r d a i r y p r o d u c t s {ISIC 311/2) i n t e r m e d i a t e i n p u t s were almost e n t i r e l y (93.6%) of domestic o r i g i n , w i t h m i l k , sugar and p l a s t i c c o n t a i n e r s a c c o u n t i n g f o r 70% of the t o t a l , f o l l o w e d by l o c a l l y produced b o t t l e s and aluminium s t r i p s . The f i r m ' s o p e r a t i o n s were p r o f i t a b l e . Added v a l u e came t o 28.5% of s a l e s . - Two t e x t i l e - b a s e d , household goods manufacturers (ISIC 321) had d i s t i n c t l y d i f f e r e n t procurement p a t t e r n s . For b l a n k e t s and bed l i n e n , almost 90% of i n p u t s were imported, of which 60% were yarn and sewing s u p p l i e s . Another 36% was i n imported c l o t h . These items a r e p r o b a b l y good c a n d i d a t e s f o r e a r l y i m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i o n . The l o c a l purchases were c o n c e n t r a t e d on packaging m a t e r i a l ( 3 3 % ) , t h r e a d and y a r n (19%) sewing a c c e s s o r i e s (12%), w i t h the b a l a n c e of i n p u t s u n d e f i n e d . Only 3.6% of output was e x p o r t e d and s o l e l y t o UDEAC markets. The manufacture of m a t t r e s s e s and canvas c o v e r i n g , i n c o n t r a s t , f i l l e d 95% of i t s input r e q u i r e m e n t s from domestic s u p p l i e s : about o n e - h a l f from the t e x t i l e s s u b s e c t o r , o n e - f i f t h Irom the p l a s t i c s one, and o n e - t e n t h from l o c a l metal f a b r i c a t o r s . The f i n a l q u a r t e r comprised u n i d e n t i f i e d l o c a l goods. One-quarter of t o t a l s a l e s were m UDEAC c o u n t r i e s . - A l l i n t e r m e d i a t e i n p u t s of the o n l y l a r g e furjii''ur_e manufacturer (ISIC 332) i n the sample, except f o r f u e l s and l u b r i c a n t s were d o m e s t i c a l l y produced. Raw timber made up over 40% of the t o t a l , w h i l e the o t h e r i n p u t s were spread over some 10 s u b s e c t o r s , w i t h h e a v i e r purchases of p a i n t , s y n t h e t i c foam and items produced by o t h e r s m the woodworking s u b s e c t o r . Hence the m u l t i p l i e r e f f e c t s of wooden f u r n i t u i o making i n Cameroon a r e very c o n s i d e r a b l e , w i t h v a l u e added coming t o 33% of s a l e s . The f i r m had no e x p o r t s i n 1985/6 and i t s p r e - t a x p t - j f i t vas small. - Upstream l i n k a g e s of one sampled f i r m m a n u f a c t u r i n g s o a p s j _ o i l s ^ and d e t e r g e n t s (ISIC 352) were n e i t h e r s t r o n g nor v a r i e d , a l t h o u g h i t s by-products were s o l d as c a t t l e cake t o domestic animal-husbandry. The e n t e r p r i s e was r e s o u r c e - b a s e d — palm o i l and k e r n e l s making up about t h r e e - q u a r t e r s of a l l domestic i n p u t s . Yet more than o n e - h a l f of t o t j l i n p u t s were imported, w i t h h i g h shares o c c u p i e d by animal f a t s (43.4%), c h e m i c a l s r e q u i r e d f o r soap-making (43.2%) and packaging m a t e r i a l s ( 9 . 0 % ) . T h i s r e l a t i v e l y h i g h import-dependency p o i n t s t o o t h e r I/S o p p o r t u n i t i e s , at l e a s t i n the l a s t - m e n t i o n e d p r o d u c t s , s m a l l amount-i o f which were a l r e a d y b e i n g purchased l o c a l l y by the f i r m (about 10% of t o t a l domestic i n p u t s ) . Almost o n e - f i f t h of the f i r m ' s output m 1985/6 was d i s p o s e d of i n UDEAC and o t h e r n e i g h b o u r i n g markets. I n t e n s i t y of d i r e c t domestic i n p u t procurement, 1985/6 i n (per ISIC Products " — 372 381 383 384 390 Mam Domestic Inputs Domestic i n p u t share Export share 28 miIk,sugar,piastics 94 nil 11 98 43 37 31 11 22 19 92 30 85 98 23 2 nil 6 nil 1 11 35 Batteries E l e c t r . assembly Transp.equipment Household goods 22 18 29 61 packaging m a t e r l , y a r n , t h r e a d timber,paint,synth.sponge palm o i l , k e r n e l s , p a c k i n g mat. timber,proc.wood,packing mat. l a t e x , v e g e t . o i l , cartons chemicals,tools,apparel etc spare p a r t s , c h e m i c a l s e t c sand,clay,spares,apparel c e m e n t , s a n d , g r a v e l , s t e e l bars p a c k i n g mat.puzzolane,spares alum.disks & sheets, packing alum, s h e e t , c h e m i c a l s , p a c k i n g i r o n i s t e e l semi's, p a i n t . spare p a r t s paper & c a r t o n s , c h e m i c a l s nil i r o n & s t e e l semi's,hardware p a c k i n g mat. enamel, metals 4 ml 19 Glassware Reinf.Concrete Cement Alum, houseware Alum.processing Agric.handtools 29 33 36 40 42 44 42 43 19 27 34 14 32 13 22 0 98 11 6 69 5 nil 3 311/2 D a i r y produce 321 B l a n k e t s , bed linen 332 Wood f u r n i t u r e 352 Soap,detergent 352? Matches 355 Tyres 356 P l a s t i c s 362 369 VA cent) " " Source: I n t e r v i e w i n f o r m a t i o n and UNIDO. - The manufacture of matches (ISIC 352?) was mainly aimed at s a t i s f y i n g domestic demand and was based on l o c a l raw and p r o c e s s e d timber ( 5 8 % ) , domestic p a c k i n g m a t e r i a l s , t y r e s and spare p a r t s . These and o t h e r minor i n p u t s came t o 40% of t o t a l i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption. Value added comprised a s i m i l a r p r o p o r t i o n of o u t p u t . Heavy i m p o r t s of match-boxes i n v i t e a p o s s i b l e I/S investment. - Less than o n e - t h i r d of t o t a l i n p u t s f o r t h e manufacture of t y r e s (ISIC 355) o r i g i n a t e d i n Cameroon and was dominated by purchases of n a t u r a l rubber, v e g e t a b l e o i l s , c a r t o n s and boxes. The v a l u e added i n t h i s a c t i v i t y was 42% and e x p o r t s t o n e i g h b o u r i n g c o u n t r i e s ( e x c l u s i v e l y ) made up 23% of f i n a l s a l e s . - The two p l a s t i c goods (ISIC 356) manufacturers met 11% and 22% of t h e i r r e s p e c t i v e i n t e r m e d i a t e requirements w i t h l o c a l goods. Both generated h i g h (40% p l u s ) added v a l u e , w i t h l i t t l e o r no e x p o r t s . The domestic purchases i n c l u d e d c h e m i c a l s , h a n d - t o o l s , c o v e r a l l s and spare p a r t s . Both were heavy u s e r s of e l e c t r i c i t y and water. - Glassmakinq (ISIC 362) was a l s o h e a v i l y import-dependent, n o t w i t h s t a n d i n g the a v a i l a b i l i t y of l o c a l m i n e r a l r e s o u r c e s , which made up about o n e - t h i r d of a l l l o c a l purchases, f o l l o w e d by spare p a r t s (19%). The a c t i v i t y a l s o made heavy use of p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s (41% of a l l domestic i n p u t s ) . E x p o r t s (6% of s a l e s ) d i d not go beyond the UDEAC a r e a . The VA r a t i o -was h i g h — 4 3 . 5 % . - Two n o n - m e t a l l i c m i n e r a l s producers (ISIC 369) had q u i t e d i f f e r e n t i n p u t p r o f i l e s by v i r t u e of b e i n g at two l e v e l s of t h e p r o c e s s i n g c h a i n . The cement manufacturer procured o n l y 30% of t o t a l i n p u t s from Cameroonian s o u r c e s , as i t s major i n p u t — c l i n l c e r — had t o be imported. Domestic l i n l c s were w i t h producers of l i n e d bags, pouzzolane, spare p a r t s , hardware and of e l e c t r i c i t y . Only 1% of output got exported — a l l t o Chad. The p r o d u c t i o n of r e i n f o r c e d c o n c r e t e i t e m s , on t h e o t h e r hand, was a l a r g e down-stream consumer of l o c a l cement, g r a v e l , sand and i r o n / s t e e l r o d s . Host of i t s minor i n p u t s were a l s o manufactured l o c a l l y , r a i s i n g the share of d o m e s t i c a l l y procured i n p u t s t o 92%. Value added was r e l a t i v e l y low (19%) and no e x p o r t s were made i n 1985/6. - A very s i m i l a r s i t u a t i o n p r e v a i l e d i n r e s p e c t of two aluminiumbased f i r m s (ISIC 372 — non f e r r o u s metals f a b r i c a t i o n ) . The upstream p r o c e s s o r of p r i m a r y aluminum had a s m a l l VA c o e f f i c i e n t , exported over 1/3 of i t s output and o n l y imported some c h e m i c a l s , f u e l and l u b r i c a n t s , l e a v i n g l o c a l products t o meet 98% of the f i r m ' s i n t e r m e d i a t e needs. The manufacturer of aluminium u t e n s i l s e t c . had a much h i g h e r VA ( 3 4 % ) , but exported o n l y 11% of i t s o u t p u t . I t s i n p u t s were dominated by l o c a l aluminium semi's (such as d i s l i s ) and pac)iaging m a t e r i a l . - The p r o d u c t i o n of a g r i c u l t u r a l hand t o o l s (ISIC 381) was h i g h l y import-dependent as domestic i n p u t s c o n s t i t u t e d a mere 13% of the t o t a l . However, they were w i d e l y d i s t r i b u t e d among manufacturing s u b s e c t o r s and p u b l i c u t i l i t i e s . Added v a l u e reached almost 32% of t u r n o v e r ; o n l y 6% of the l a t t e r came from s a l e s abroad (UDEAC). - E l e c t r i c b a t t e r y manufacture (ISIC 383), a l t h o u g h as i m p o r t dependent ( o n l y 12% of a l l i n p u t s p r o c u r e d i n Cameroon), was a b l e t o export 69.2% of i t s output t o s e v e r a l marlcets other than t h e UDEAC. L o c a l purchases were c o n f i n e d m a i n l y t o paper-based items and packaging m a t e r i a l s , p l u s some c h e m i c a l s . The VA c o e f f i c i e n t was 22%. W i t h i n the same ISIC c a t e g o r y , but l i m i t e d t o e l e c t r o n i c assembly, another f i r m r e c o r d e d no l o c a l l y purchased i n p u t s whatsoever (except f o r e l e c t r i c i t y ) . I t s VA came t o 18.3% and e x p o r t s t o about 5% of t u r n o v e r . -The metal products f a b r i c a t i n g s u b s e c t o r (ISIC 384) was r e p r e s e n t e d i n the sample by the manufacture of s i m p l e t r a n s p o r t equipment, c h a s s i s e t c . , s i t u a t e d w e l l downstream of e x i s t i n g i n d u s t r i e s which c o u l d s u p p l y i t w i t h a l l but f u e l and l u b r i c a n t i n p u t s . Value added came t o 29.5% of s a l e s , which were l i m i t e d t o t h e domestic market, a l t h o u g h i n p r e v i o u s years s m a l l q u a n t i t i e s had been e x p o r t e d . -The l a s t of the sample f i r m s — manufacturing household goods (ISIC 390 — o t h e r manuf.) was a l s o v e r y import-dependent. Locally produced i n p u t s made up o n l y 10.5% of i t s i n t e r m e d i a t e consumption, h e a v i l y weighted by enamel s u p p l i e s and packaging m a t e r i a l s . The v a r i e t y of i t s imported i n t e r m e d i a t e s e.g. h a n d l e s , metal s h e e t i n g and some a r t i c l e s s i m i l a r t o l o c a l l y made ones, a g a i n present scope f o r s u b s t i t u t i o n . The f i r m ' s VA c o e f f i c i e n t was the h i g h e s t i n the sample — 66.3%. b) Efficiency The r e v i e w of s e c t o r a l and f i r m l i n k a g e s and t h e i r d i r e c t m u l t i p l i e r p o t e n t i a l concluded t h a t domestic r e s o u r c e p r o c e s s i n g o f f e r e d the best l e v e r a g e f o r f u r t h e r i n g i n d u s t r i a l i z a t i o n i n Cameroon w i t h i n the e x i s t i n g p o l i c y and i n s t i t u t i o n a l framework. I t a l s o d e t a i l e d the g e n e r a l l y poor c o m p e t i t i v e n e s s of Cameroon's manufactures, as r e f l e c t e d i n the f a l l o f the share o f a l l manufactures I.e., i n c l u d i n g semi-processed goods, i n t o t a l e x p o r t s from about 20% m the l a t e s i x t i e s t o below 10% i n the e a r l y e i g h t i e s . The f i r s t of these f i n d i n g s i s c o n s i s t e n t w i t h that about changes m r e l a t i v e l a b o u r p r o d u c t i v i t y i n m a n u f a c t u r i n g i n UNIDO's most r e c e n t study on the Cameroon.i'' The f i v e h i g h e s t performance r a t i n g s (expected p r o d u c t i v i t y g a i n s / o b s e r v e d ones) were i n the f o l l o w i n g o r d e r : 1st — p r o c e s s i n g of n o n - f e r r o u s m e t a l s ; 2nd S, 3rd — p r o c e s s i n g and f a b r i c a t i n g wood products 4th — food p r o c e s s i n g ; 5th — l e a t h e r p r o c e s s i n g and f a b r i c a t i o n . An e a r l i e r comparison of e x - f a c t o r y p r i c e s of a sample of manufactured Cameroonian p r o d u c t s w i t h those of d u t y - p a i d competing i m p o r t s concluded a f f i r m a t i v e l y as t o the economic e f f i c i e n c y of such food and d r i n k i n d u s t r i e s as c h o c o l a t e and p a s t a making, and beer brewing. These items were f r e q u e n t l y s o l d at l e s s than the maximum p r i c e s a l l o w e d by the t a r i f f s so as t o f a c e up t o the c o m p e t i t i o n of contraband supplies. The p r e v a i l i n g i n c e n t i v e ( p r o t e c t i v e ) regime p r o v i d e d o n l y n e g l i g i b l e support t o many o t h e r r e s o u r c e - b a s e d p r o c e s s i n g a c t i v i t i e s and, i n the case of f r o z e n shrimps, p e n a l i z e d t h e i r manufacture through t a x e s on i n p u t s and on e x p o r t s . The s t u d i e s of the i n c e n t i v e system c a r r i e d out f o r the World Bank i n 1977-80 concluded t h a t the r e l a t i v e l y g r e a t e s t m a t e r i a l and f i n a n c i a l encouragements were b e i n g r e c e i v e d by t h e most import-dependent m a n u f a c t u r i n g a c t i v i t i e s but which s t i l l f a i l e d i n h e l p i n g them win or even m a i n t a i n market shares abroad. I t i s i m p o r t a n t t o note t h a t the p r o t e c t i v e / i n c e n t i v e regime i n Cameroon has not changed s i g n i f i c a n t l y from the time of independence i n 1960, save t h a t the Investment Code of 1986 extended customs and f i s c a l advantages t o SMEs. New investment c o n t i n u e s t o be p r o v i d e d w i t h exemptions from import d u t i e s on c a p i t a l and i n t e r m e d i a t e i n p u t s , t a x h o l i d a y s on p r o f i t s and w i t h o t h e r t a x " b r e a k s " . Upon the e x p i r y of t h e UNIDO, "Cameroon", I n d u s t r i a l Development Review s e r i e s , Oct. 1986. The p r i n c i p a l t o o l of the performance a n a l y s i s i s t h e r e g r e s s i o n o f the observed r e l a t i o n s h i p between the growth r a t e of v a l u e added i n a s u b s e c t o r ( i n d e p e n d e n t v a r i a b l e ) and t h e i n c r e a s e i n VA per employee (dependent v a r i a b l e ) , and a normative one developed by Verdoorn. f r a n c h i s e s , the e n t e r p r i s e s u s u a l l y r e c e i v e " r e g i o n a l taxe unique s t a t u s " under which t a r i f f exemptions are not time-bound. More i r e p o r t a n t l y , q u a n t i t a t i v e r e s t r i c t i o n s on competing imports — when c o r r e c t l y a p p l i e d — p r o v i d e i n d u s t r i e s w i t h " t a i l o r - m a d e " p r o t e c t i o n . The net e f f e c t 'jf the p r e v a i l i n g regime s t i l l encourages i m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i o n at a s u b s t a n t i a l l y h i g h cost to t a x p a y e r s . Over time, the p r o t e c t i v e system must have a c t e d to the detriment of the e f f i c i e n c t use of r e s o u r c e s i n manufacturing and of Cameroonian p r o d u c t s ' c o m p e t i t i v e n e s s by encouraging the use of up-market, c a p i t a l - i n t e n s i v e technology m mainly inwardly-oriented a c t i v i t i e s . " ' S e v e r a l Cameroonian food i n d u s t r i e s were found (o have been e f f i c i e n t i n the l a t e s e v e n t i e s , i n the sense that the domestic r e s o u r c e c o s t s of t h e i r products were l e s s than the b e n e f i t s i n terms ot fhv f o r e i g n exchange saved (earned) by t h e i r a c t i v i t i e s . D i r e c t r e s o u r c e cost c o e f f i c i e n t s (DRCs), c a l c u l a t e d f o r the World Bank'*, p o i n t e d to e f f i c i e n t o p e r a t i o n s i n f r o z e n shrimps, p a s t a , c h o c o l a t e , beer, s o f t d r i n k s and cocoa b u t t e r — p r o v i d e d t h e i r c a p a c i t y u t i l i z a t i o n c o u l d reach a c c e p t a b l e l e v e l s . The major e x c e p t i o n i n the sampled food and beverage i n d u s t r i e s was f l o u r i-nillmr;, whose opc-ratiuns r e s u l t e d i n net f o r e i g n exchange l o s s e s ( n e g a t i v e VA and DRC). As we hav> seen, the i n d u s t r y was a l s o f i n a n c i a l l y i n s o l v e n t d u r i n g the e a r l / eighties. At the o t h e r end of the e f f i c i e n c y spectrum are a 'iniriher ot i r i i p ' j i i dependent and/or c a p i t a l i n t e n s i v e i n d u s t r i e s . The one? for which DRC v a l u e s have been e s t i m a t e d i n c l u d e some t e x t i l e m a n u f a c t u r i n g and t h p r o d u c t i o n of cemeiit bags and of f l a s h l i g h t b a t t e r i e s , a l l of whose DRCs i n 1975/6 were above 1.3 i . e . they wc-re on the borderlmv; of i ne f t i c i . ncv (See t a b l e 1 1 ) . Those w i t h a n e g a t i v e VA and DRC -- henfc p a t e n t l y w a s t e f u l of p r o d u c t i v e r e s o u r c e s -- i n c l u d e d wheat f l o u r , j u t e bags, f e r t i l i z e r s , r e i n f o r c i n g bars and the assembly of e l e c t r o n i c goods, uhose handicaps and i n e f f i c i e n c i e s have been noted e a r l i e r . " As p o i n t e d out i n the World Bank's Country Meii.ordnduK of June 1984, (page 15): "The slow growth o f manufactured e x p o r t s and the d e c l i n e m the share m i n d u s t r i a l output of i n d u s t r i e s p r o c e s s i n g domestic raw m a t e r i a l s , c o n s t r a s t e d w i t h r a p i d growth of manufactured imports run counter to the expected path of a c o u n t r y r e l a t i v e l y r i c h i n n a t u r a l r e s o u r c e s and l a b o u r ". "> A DRC v a l u e of l e s s than u n i t y f o r an a c t i v i t y i n d i c a t e s t h a t a u n i t of f o r e i g n exchange can be earned or saved through i t w i t h l e s s than the e q u i v a l e n t value (at f r e e t r a d e p r i c e s ) of the domestic r e s o u r c e consumed by the a c t i v i t y . But when the DRC i s c a l c u l a t e d f o r a s i n g l e y e a r , i t may not be r e p r e s e n t a t i v e of an i n d u s t r y ' s average e f f i c i e n c y . S i m i l a r l y , i n d i v i d u a l DRCs cannot be e x t r a p o l a t e d to e n t i r e s u b s e c t o r s as i n d i c a t o r s of e f f i c i e n c y . See WB, I n d u s t r i a l Development and P o l i c y i n Cameroon, Sept. 1980, v o l . 1. Domestic Resource Cost C o e f f i c i e n t s (DRCs) of sampled M a n u f a c t u r i n g A c t i v i t i e s i n 1975/6* Subsector & product DRC Food p r o c e s s i n g : - wheat f l o u r negative - cocoa b u t t e r ( f o r e x p o r t ) 1.03 - c h o c o l a t e f o r t h e UDEAC market 0.50 - p a s t a f o r domestic S UDEAC s a l e 0.27 - f r o z e n shrimps f o r export 0.65 Beverages: - beer f o r domestic s a l e s 0.17 - 0.19 Textiles: - c o t t o n goods f o r export 1.97 - cement bags f o r domestic s a l e 1.36 - jute sacking negative Chemicals: - soap f o r the UDEAC market 0.89 - matches " " " 0.85 - fertilizers negative - f l a s h l i g h t b a t t e r i e s f o r export 1.53 Non-metallic mineral products: - cement ( f o r South Cameroon) 0.14 - cement ( " North " " ) 0.83 Base metal p r o d u c t s : - s t e e l r e i n f o r c i n g rods negative F a b r i c a t e d metal p r o d u c t s : - a g r i c u l t u r a l t o o l s f o r export 0.75 Other manufactures: - assembly o f r a d i o s & a p p l i a n c e s negative Note* For a d e f i n i t i o n of DRCs, see f o o t n o t e # 16. These v a l u e s were based on the c a p a c i t y l e v e l s then being u t i l i z e d and subsumed a shadow wage r a t e e q u a l t o 3/4 of the g o i n g one, and an 11% d i s c o u n t r a t e t o be the o p p o r t u n i t y c o s t of c a p i t a l . Source: World Bank, op. c i t . 1984, t a b l e 4 and r e f e r e n c e s . In the n e x t , c o n c l u d i n g , s e c t i o n we sum up the evidence adduced, d e p i c t b r i e f l y the s t a t e of p l a y i n r e s p e c t of the l e v e l of investment a n t i c i p a t e d by the authors of Cameroon's s i x t h development p l a n (19861990) and, i n the l i g h t of t h e s h o r t term economic o u t l o o k f o r primary producing c o u n t r i e s , s e t out what we b e l i e v e t o be p r i o r i t i e s f o r forward-looking reforms. 5 CONCLUDIMG DISCUSSION The o v e r a l l i m p r e s s i o n t h a t i s l e f t a f t e r a c l o s e look at Cameroon's e x p e r i e n c e w i t h d i v e r s i f y i n g i t s r e s o u r c e - r i c h economy, i s one of d i s o r i e n t a t i o n and u n d e r - u t i l i s a t i o n of a v a i l a b l e p o l i c y i n s t r u m e n t s , much of i t due to inadequate b a s i c d a t a , p o o r l y p r o c e s s e d , and to an o v e r l y accommodating a p p l i c a t i o n of economic ground r u l e s . Since world economic growth began t o d e c e l e r a t e at the s t a r t of the p r e s e n t decade, Cameroon has been i n the Doldrums, r e f l e c t e d i n n e g l i g i b l e l e v e l s of new p r o d u c t i v e investment and a d d i t i o n s to i n d u s t r i a l employment. A f t e r t h r e e y e a r s of q u a s i - s t a g n a t i o n i n r e a l i n d u s t r i a l o u t p u t , 1984/5 was marked by a 10% drop i n t h a t of SYNDUSTRICAM's member-companies. The t e r m i n a l year of the f i f t h development p l a n saw p r i v a t e investment undershoot i t s t a r g e t l e v e l by o n e - t h i r d . Indeed, out of the 29 i n d u s t r i a l p r o j e c t s encompassed by the p l a n , o n l y one had been implemented. The expansion of t o t a l c r e d i t t o the economy i n the same year came to o n l y 5.9% i n nominal terms — f a r below the r a t e of i n f l a t i o n and of which 74% was i n s h o r t - t e r m advances, 24.9% i n medium, and a mere 1.1% i n l o n g term loans t o i n d u s t r y . FOGAPE's l e n d i n g c a p a c i t y to SMEs was n e g l i g i b l e . Yet the c o u n t r y ' s r e s o u r c e endowment was being enhanced by c o n f i r m a t i o n of n o n - a s s o c i a t e d gas r e s e r v e s adequate to feed two p r o c e s s i n g p l a n t s to manufacture methanol and ammoniacal urea f o r f e r t i l i z e r s . Rubber p r o s p e c t s were i m p r o v i n g as new p l a n t a t i o n s began t o mature and t o promise a t r i p l i n g of the 1983/4 l a t e x removals by 1990. The output of U n i v e r s i t y graduates was expanding s t r o n g l y and l o c a l businessmen put no l e s s than 40 i n d u s t r i a l p r o j e c t s up f o r a p p r o v a l by the s t a t u t o r y body concerned. And s t i l l growth performance remained disappointing. The l a t e s t f i v e - y e a r development p l a n , 1986-1991 does i d e n t i f y the many shortcomings of the recent past but, as f a r as the m a n u f a c t u r i n g s e c t o r i s concerned, proposes e s s e n t i a l l y "more of the same".'" Perhaps c l o s e r t o our concern, however, i s the s t a t e d of the a u t h o r i t i e s t o : intention - b o l s t e r t h e p r o v i s i o n s of the 1986 Investment A c t w i t h a r e v i s i o n of the f i s c a l s t r u c t u r e and the i n t r o d u c t i o n of VAT. - r e l a t e a u t h o r i s e d p r i c e s c l o s e r t o t r u e c o s t s of p r o d u c t i o n : - t i g h t e n up p r o t e c t i v e measures through b e t t e r customs c o n t r o l and valuation: - p r o v i d e more d i v e r s i f i e d a i d t o domestic m a n u f a c t u r e r s , i n c l u d i n g p r e f e r e n t i a l p u r c h a s i n g of l o c a l i n p u t s ; - s t a n d a r d i z e goods and e n f o r c e q u a l i t y norms; - ensure c l o s e r v e t t i n g of new t e c h n o l o g y and a f u l l e r use of n a t i o n a l l y - h e l d p a t e n t s and l i c e n s e s ; - delineate a c t i v i t i e s reserved for private enterprise; - a s s i s t w i t h p r o j e c t i d e n t i f i c a t i o n and p r e p a r a t i o n . Most, i f not a l l , of these i n t e n t i o n s have been the o b j e c t of c o n t i n u i n g d i s c u s s i o n between o r g a n i s e d businessmen and p u b l i c a u t h o r i t i e s and i t remains t o be seen how they w i l l be f u l f i l l e d . The s t r e s s on s t a n d a r d s and norms i s s a l u t a r y i n many r e s p e c t s as i t w i l l not o n l y p r o t e c t t h e consumer, but a l s o reduce i m p o r t s . M e d i o c r i t y of l o c a l l y manufactured goods (e.g. beer b o t t l e s ) as w e l l as t h e i r u n c o m p e t i t i v e c o s t , have been f r e q u e n t l y c r i t i c i s e d . I t should a l s o reduce the p u b l i c s e c t o r ' s r e t i c e n c e t o o r i e n t procurement p r e f e r e n t i a l l y to l o c a l p r o d u c e r s . On t h e o t h e r hand i t c o u l d i n c i t e the l a t t e r t o make l a r g e r and more r e g u l a r p r o v i s i o n f o r a m o r t i z a t i o n and m o d e r n i s a t i o n of i n s t a l l e d equipment. But s e v e r a l obvious p o l i c y gaps were l e f t unaddressed, asiiong them: I n d u s t r i a l s t r a t e g y i s t o f o l l o w a Master P l a n t o the year 2000, which was s t i l l i n t h e p r o c e s s of being d r a f t e d i n mid-1987. But t h e i n d u s t r i a l s e c t o r ' s share of t o t a l investment to 1990 was s e t at j u s t 7% (FCFA 290.4 b i l l i o n ) t o be channeled into: -more p r o c e s s i n g of t r a d i t i o n a l a g r i c u l t u r a l p r o d u c t s , such as sugar cane, palm o i l , e d i b l e o i l , f r u i t , v e g e t a b l e s and t i m b e r . T h i s would presumably i n c l u d e such l e f t - o v e r s from the e a r l i e r p l a n as tomato p r o c e s s i n g and p i n e a p p l e c a n n i n g . - C o n s t r u c t i n g more g r a i n , r i c e and s a w m i l l s ; - A new c h o c o l a t e and cocoa r e s i d u e p r o c e s s i n g f a c t o r y ; - I n c r e a s i n g the c a p a c i t y of the petroleum r e f i n e r y ; - E x t e n d i n g the e x i s t i n g cement c a p a c i t y and adding t h e manufacture of p r e - s t r e s s e d c o n c r e t e ; - B u i l d i n g one or more urea-based f e r t i l i z e r f a c t o r i e s ; - E s t a b l i s h i n g more b a s i c metal p r o c e s s i n g p l a n t s ; - E x t e n d i n g aluminium output by 2,500 m e t r i c t o n s ; - M a n u f a c t u r i n g n a t u r a l gas c a n i s t e r s out of imported sheet m e t a l ; - Several small firms for e l e c t r i c bulbs, hurricane lamps, s m a l l e l e c t r i c motors, s t o r a g e b a t t e r i e s and u n i v e r s a l spare p a r t s . (See: R e p u b l i c of Cameroon, V l t h F i v e Year Economic, S o c i a l and C u l t u r a l Development P l a n , 1986-1991, Secondary S e c t o r , Yaounde, 1987. - the need to exact the f u l f i l l m e n t by e n t e r p r i s e s b e n e f i t t i n g from the Investment Code of t h e i r c o u n t e r p a r t o b l i g a t i o n s ; - the urgent need to f a c i l i t a t e access to medium and long term c r e d i t , e s p e c i a l l y by SMEs; - d i s c o u r a g e i m p o r t s by d r f f e r e n t l a t i n g commercial margins i n fauout of l o c a l p r o d u c t s ; - l i m i t the scope of e x i s t i n g p r i c e c o n t r o l s to " s e n s i t i - e " product"; ( i . e . those r e q u i r i n g p r i o r a u t h o r i s a t i o n f o r import) or those d e s t i n e d f o r mass consumption; - as m S e n e g a l , f o r i n s t a n c e , have a r e p r e s e n t a t i v e body pass on the need f o r the r m p o r t a t i o n of goods o s t e n s i b l y m s h o r t s u p p l y ; - set a f i r m time l i m i t f o r the s e t t l e m e n t of c l a i m s on the p u b l i c sector; - take the l e a d i n d e v e l o p i n g i n d u s t r i a l complementai i t y inth.'!. UDEAC. N e g l e c t of these i s s u e s w i l l not hel.o Cameroon to shake o f f i t s l e t h a r g y . The t i m i d r e c o v e r y of commodity p r i c e s m the f i r s t h a l f of 1987 has p r o b a b l y been nipped m the bud by the stock-market "shake out" of October 1987 and which l e s s e n e d the chances of a p i c k - u p ir, the world's economy. In such a b l e a k c o n t e x t , what a r . ; Cameroon's chances of m o b i l i s i n g n o n - p r o d u c t i v e domestic s a v i n g s and a t t r a c t i n g f o r e i g n venture c a p i t a l , t e c h n o l o g y and marketing know-how? Can i t c o n v i n c o the oi^nei . .4 p e t r o - d o l l a r s to i n v e s t i n t r o p i c a l hardwoods, f i u i t s and v e g e t a b l e s " In c o n c l u s i o n , the author should l i k e to advance some p o l i c y measur. t h a t might complement those a l r e a d y i n t r a m or merely e n v i s a g e d : i ) focus e f f o r t s on l o w e r i n g c o s t s of p r o d u c t i o n through j i o r e i n t i m a t e s u b - r e g i o n a l c o o r d i n a t i o n of procurement and the expansion of p r o d u c t i v e c a p a c i t i e s . C o m p e t i t i v e i m p o r t - s u b s t i t u t i o n by c o u n t r i e s members of UDEAC must be h a l t e d . I n d u s t r i a l complementarity c o u l d be f a c i l i t a t e d by s a n c t i o n i n g m a r k e t - s h a r i n g arrangements between e x i s t i n g f i r m s . E x t e r n a l l y a i d e d p r o j e c t s c o u l d be u n t i e d by donors t n s t i m u l a t e the use of l o c a l or UDEAC i n p u t s . L i n e m i n i s t r i e s c o u l d be i n s t r u c t e d t r"buy l o c a l " w i t h o u t n e c e s s a r i l y r e q u i r i n g European q u a l i t y s t a n d a r d s to be s a t i s f i e d . i i ) Y i e l d s m a g r i c u l t u r e , f o r e s t r y and f i s h i n g must be l a i s e d ir-A raw m a t e r i a l s u p p l i e s to the m a n u f a c t u r i n g s e c t o r a s s u r e d , both m r e s p e c t of q u a n t i t y and of q u a l i t y . i i i ) I n s t r u c t the Cameroon Development Bank to be luore s.i.npott;ve ot m a n u f a c t u r e r s ' c r e d i t and t e c h n i c a l a s s i s t a n c e needs, as w e l l as to p r o v i d e the SMEs w i t h adequate s u b s i d i s e d c r e d i t and t e c h n i c a l a i d through CAPME and FOGAPE. i v ) F o l l o w through w i t h the divestment o p t i o n a l r e a d y put forward the SNI and mop up as much as p o s s i b l e the p r i v a t e s a v i n g s o t h e r w i s e flowing into s e r v i c e s or b e i n g i n v e s t e d abroad. v) Undertake a r e v i e w of the CPA's p a r i t y so as to take f u l l account of the e v o l v i n g s t r u c t u r e of e x t e r n a l t r a d e and payments, to ensure t h a t t h e r e are no r e a s o n a b l e grounds f o r a devaluation. by ANHEXURE 1 A. Cameroon's GDP : s t r u c t u r e and growth, 1970-1984 (constant GDP Value growth 1970 : 1980 US$ 10^ and p e r c e n t ) C o n t r i b u t i o n of V a l u e Added by: Trans/Stor. Agric Manuf Constr Trade 27 11 3 21 6 28 10 4 15 7 27 10 6 13 6 25 10 6 13 6 5.0 3.5 1975 5.9 7.5 1980 8.5 6.5 1984 10.9 S e r v i c e s : GFCF : 22 17 : 21 20 : 25 21 : 23 21 1970 1975 1980 1984 EXPORTS 20 21 22 17 : IMPORTS (-) : 24 : 23 : 26 : 25 Source: UNIDO, S t a t i s t i c s and Survey U n i t . B. Cameroon's P o p u l a t i o n and Labour F o r c e , (1965-1985) ( m i l l i o n and p e r c e n t ) Population Number Growth r a t e 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 Source: 6.1 6.7 7.6 8.6 9.9 Ibid. 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.8 T o t a l Labour Force Number Growth r a t e 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.9 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 C. a) b) a) b) K a n u f a c t u r i n q Value Added (MVA), growth r a t e s (1975 - 1985). i n c u r r e n t producer v a l u e s , a t c o n s t a n t 1980 p r i c e s a. MVA i n FCFA 10' Subsector 1975 b. growth r a t e 1985 1975-1982 Food p r o c e s s i n g 3.4 Beverages 10.4 Textiles 4.8 Apparel 1.2 Leather products 0.5 Footwear 1.8 Wood p r o d u c t s 0.5 F u r n i t u r e (non a r t i s ) neg. Paper and products 0.2 P r i n t i n g & p u b l i s h . 0.4 Ind. c h e m i c a l s 0.6 Other c h e m i c a l s 3.3 Rubber products neg. P l a s t i c products 0.9 Ceramic ware 0.6 G l a s s products 0.5 N o n - m e t a l l i c min. 1.3 Iron i s t e e l 0.8 Non-ferrous metals 2.0 F a b r i c a t e d metal 0.2 Non-elec. machinery 2.6 E l e c t r i c a l machin. 0.7 Transport equip. 0.3 Other manufactures 0.3 42.7 119.4 25.1 8.5 5.2 11.1 6.0 0.8 4.3 5.2 5.8 17.6 2.0 8.1 4.3 3.3 8.8 20.4 15.1 n.a. 19.1 5.2 2.4 10.0 5.0 15.2* n.a. 6.3 13.9 13.9 6.5* 6.5* n.a. n.a. -0.8 7.8 n.a. n.a. 2.5 2.6 2.5 n.a. 4.1* 5.7** 5.7** -2.7 3.5 n.a. TOTAL 383.0 41.8 5.0*** Note; Petroleum r e f i n i n g not i n c l u d e d f o r l a c k of d a t a . * 1975 - 1983 ** 1975 - 1980 *** 1975 - 1984 Source: UNIDO, o p . c i t . 1987, t a b l e s 4 and 8. D. FCFA / US DOLLAR AVERAGE PAR/MARKET RATES (1960 - 1986) CFA f r a n c s per US d o l l a r 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1986 246.85 246.85 277.71 214.31 211.28 449.26 346.30 Source: IMF, I n t e r n a t i o n a l F i n a n c i a l S t a t i s t i c s , 1987. (%) ANNEXURE 2 CELLUCAM: E x c e t p t s from the o f f i c i a l brochure, 1984/5. "Introduction " Cellucara, w i t h i t s FCFA 75 b i l l i o n investment i s not o n l y the l a r g e s t i n d u s t r i a l venture m C e n t r a l A f r i c a , but a l s o I S the f i r s t i n the w o r l d i n terms of t e c h n o l o g y . Indeed, nowhere e l s e has i t been p o s s i b l e to manufacture wood pulp on an i n d u s t r i a l s c a l e u s i n g n a t u r a l t r o p i c a l f o r e s t timber "Impact on the Economy " the C e l l u c a l pulp m i l l p r o v i d e s an example of how the i n d u s t r i a l i z a t i o n of a d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r y s h o u l d be pursued. The q u e s t i o n of whether o r not l a r g e i n d u s t r i a l complexes a r e at a l l s u i t e d t o the needs of the d e v e l o p i n g c o u n t r i e s , o r i f an i n d u s t r i a l (environment) must be c r e a t e d beforehand, does not a r i s e here ( s i c . ) . Cameroon demonstrates, w i t h Cellucam, t h a t l a r g e i n d u s t r i a l developments and the n e c e s s a r y i n f r a s t r u c t u r e can be c r e a t e d s i m u l t a n e o u s l y . When a n a t i o n wishes t o b e n e f i t from the dynamics of w o r l d t r a d e , t h e r e a r e no o t h e r a l t e r n a t i v e s ( s i c ) . For a r a t i o n a l e x p l o i t a t i o n of Cameroon's f o r e s t w e a l t h , i t would not have been e c o n o m i c a l l y e f f i c i e n t t o have b u i l t a s m a l l e r p l a n t . 120,000 tons of pulp a n n u a l l y r e p r e s e n t t h e a p p r o p r i a t e throughput n e c e s s a r y t o p r o v i d e a r e t u r n on the capital invested. " A f t e r p r e p a r a t o r y f e a s i b i l i t y s t u d i e s , t e s t s of l o c a l wood and d i s c u s s i o n s r e g a r d i n g f i n a n c i n g , on May 11 1974 the Government of Cameroon, t o g e t h e r w i t h V o e s t - A l p i n e , t h e l a r g e s t s t e e l and p l a n t c o n s t r u c t i o n company m A u s t r i a , s i g n e d a c o n t r a c t f o r the e r e c t i o n of t h e t u r n k e y p u l p m i l l . " At the request of the government, t h e m i l l i s t o p r o c e s s the i n d i g e n o u s t r o p i c a l hardwoods and t o have the r e s u l t i n g h i g h q u a l i t y bleached s u l p h a t e p u l p earn v a l u a b l e f o r e i g n c u r r e n c y f o r the c o u n t r y . I n a d d i t i o n , pulp p r o d u c t i o n i s t o p r o v i d e the b a s i s f o r a f u t u r e paper i n d u s t r y . "The forest concession " A f o r e s t i n v e n t o r y has shown t h a t t h e timber r e s e r v e s a r e of a g r e a t v a r i e t y no l e s s than 350 s p e c i e s of t r e e s , 110 of which make up 80% of t o t a l r e s o u r c e s . Cellucara has accepted the r e s p o n s i b i l i t y f o r m a r k e t i n g these ( r a r e ) t r e e s s e p a r a t e l y . "Personnel "Cellucam employs 1,300 persons and has arranged r e g u l a r t r a n s p o r t f o r a l l between t h e i r homes and the m i l l a career development p l a n has been f o r m u l a t e d "Future p r o s p e c t s " In coming y e a r s Cellucam w i l l develop i n t o an i n t e g r a t e d wood m a n u f a c t u r i n g e n t e r p r i s e . Concrete p l a n s i n c l u d e the b u i l d i n g of a s a w m i l l to process between 25,000 and 30,000 t'' of wood i n t o cut t i m b e r , and the i n s t a l l a t i o n of a paper-making machine....fot w r i t i n g , p r i n t i n g and l i g h t wrapping paper. The annua] productior. c a p a c i t y w i l l be around 40,000 t o n s . T h i s w i l l not o n l y serve to s a t i s f y domestic demand, but a l s o p r o v i d e s u f f i c i e n t e x p o r t s to neighbouring countries. " ^„.mod e_l_qf_ _mu 1 t i n a 11 ona 1 _ c qope r ajti on " The A u s t r i a n company V o e s t - A l p i n e i s a d i r e c t p a r t n e r of C e l l u c a m , the m a j o r i t y s h a r e h o l d e r of which i s the Caraerooniau state I t was a s s i s t e d by a number of s u b c o i j t r a c t o r s , i n particular: R a z e l Co. (France/Cameroon; Costain Intl.(UK) Montalev 'France) Technisches Euro P l e s s l i n g e r (Austria). "The equipment used was s u p p l i e d by companies from c o u n t r i e s which shared i n the f i n a n c i n g of the p r o j e c t , the most important are: S t e m I n d u s t r i e s (France) Escher Uyss ( S w i t z e r l a n d ) Brimont et B e r l i e t (France) Asea and Sunds AB (Sweden) I n v e s t - E x p o r t (GDR) Polimex (Poland) Fakom ( Y u g o s l a v i a ) PW (Austria) A n d r i t z (Austr 'a) Rutlmer ( A u s t r i a ) Kullauer (Austiia) V o e s t - A l p i n o (flustri.i) "Finance " F i n a n c i a l c r e d i t s were guaranteed by the Chase Manhattan Bank (New York) and the Arab Bank f o r Economic Development i n A f r i c a (Khartoum) "Marketing "A marketing and management c o n t r a c t with....Svenska C e l l u l o s a AB...to a s s i s t w i t h the s e l e c t i o n and t r a i n i n g of p e r s o n n e l , t o g e t h e r w i t h the o r g a n i z a t i o n and management of the p l a n t and c o n t r o l the marketing of the p u l p . "From the i d e a to the realization " the Cameroon p l a n t i s above a l l remarkable f o r the f a c t that here, f o r the f u s t time, a new raw m a t e r i a l i s to be p r o c e s s e d on an i n d u s t r i a l s c a l e : mixed t r o p i c a l hardwood. "Studies and analyses " L a b o r a t o r y and s e m i - i n d u s t r i a l t e s t s have shown t h a t , f o l l o w i n g a p r e l i m i n a r y s e p a r a t i o n of u n s u i t a b l e s p e c i e s , tlie average p h y s i c a l and c h e m i c a l p r o p e r t i e s can be o p t i m i z e d to a degree that r e a d i l y p e r m i t s the p r o d u c t i o n of p u l p comparable i n q u a l i t y to that demanded on the world market. " The f i n a n c i n g p o s s i b i l i t i e s a l s o determined the s c a l e of the p r o j e c t and i t s phasing." (Requiescat i n pace.) 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September 1980; Coun_try_Economic MemorandumCameroon - I n d u s t r i a l S e c t o r P o l i c i e s and Planni.n^., June 1984; d i t t o 1986, Washington D.C., 1987. ***************************** A*