Responding to Tomorrow Today: Profiling the Competition and Developing Strategies May 1, 2014 Noel Luell, MBA, MHA, Manager, Strategic Planning Brandon Luten, MHSA, Planning Associate Prepared by Strategic Planning Office Session Overview ● Learning Objectives ● Identifying Geographic Markets ● Emory Healthcare’s Profiling Process ● Developing Targeted Market Strategies ● Articulating Assumptions & Framing Decisions ● Implementing a Plan ● Lessons Learned ● Q&A Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 1 Learning Objectives ● Utilize little known or overlooked publically available information to paint a compelling and informative profile of your competitors ● Identify dynamics that differentiate geographic markets and determine if an offensive or defensive strategy is appropriate ● Select the right combination of hospital, physician, ancillary, and other strategies Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 2 Our Organization ●Emory Healthcare (EHC) is the clinical delivery arm of the Woodruff Health Sciences Center (WHSC) of Emory University, which includes: Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 3 Emory Healthcare and Health Sciences Mission: To serve humanity by improving health through integration of education, discovery, and health care School of Medicine School of Nursing School of Public Health Yerkes Winship Comprehensive Centers Allied Health WHSC Mission ● ● ● Education Research Clinical Care Emory Healthcare EUH EJCH EUHM EC EWWC ESA EUOSH EHN ESJH SRMC EAH Partners Grady Ga Tech CHOA CDC VAMC Others Atlanta Georgia Southeast National International Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 4 Emory Healthcare Network Largest and most comprehensive health system in Georgia, drawing patients from the Southeast. Emory University Hospital Emory Clinic Emory University Hospital Midtown Emory Johns Creek Hospital Emory University Orthopaedics & Spine Hospital Wesley Woods Geriatric Hospital Emory Saint Joseph’s Hospital* Emory Adventist Hospital* Southern Regional Medical Center** *Joint venture hospitals EMORY HEALTHCARE ● Delivers care at more than 200 sites in the state ● Generates $1.9 billion net revenue annually ● Comprises 1,918 beds (including JVs) ● Employs 14,582 individuals ● Includes Winship Cancer Institute, the only National Cancer Institute-designated center in Georgia. ● Provides telehealth services providing access to clinical care throughout rural Georgia. **Southern Regional affiliates with Emory through its CIN and Management Agreement Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 5 Our Office ● The role of the Strategic Planning Office is to: – Develop and lead the annual planning cycle and strategic management activities for the WHSC, EHC, and system strategic priorities. Included in this role is plan formation, communication, evaluation, and updates. – Facilitate and prepare strategic, program, business, and financial plans for system-wide research, teaching, and clinical priorities. – Evaluate trends and changes in the internal and external environment and anticipate new issues and opportunities to be addressed by the academic health sciences center. – Serve as a trusted and objective advisor on strategic issues and provide strategic services for the academic health sciences center to include: decision support analysis and dissemination, healthcare volume forecasting, Certificate-of-Need (CoN) activity oversight, system-based survey coordination and review (AHA, US News & World Report), retreat facilitation, and project management for strategic priorities. Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 6 Why Profile Other Providers? ● Amid market consolidation and ACO development, EHC needed to develop an organized and structured way to: – Constantly assess market opportunities – Monitor the activities of other hospitals and healthcare organizations ● On an annual basis EHC develops – Profiles of competitors – Scans of other “hospitals of interest" and other healthcare organizations Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 7 Identifying Geographic Markets ● EHC identified its core geographic markets prior to determining which hospitals to profile ● Primary Service Area (PSA) ● – STARK regulations governing physician recruitment define the PSA as the set of contiguous ZIP codes from which a facility draws 75% of its inpatient admissions – Due to a wide geographic service area, EHC defines its PSA at the county level EHC uses the same method to define the service area for profiled hospitals Secondary Service Area (SSA) – STARK does not provide formal guidance for defining the SSA – EHC defines its SSA as the area from which EHC draws the next 15% of its inpatient admissions ● EHC draws 90% of its inpatient admissions from its PSA and SSA Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 8 Competing in the Atlanta Market ● ● The Atlanta marketplace is dynamic and competitive – Providers are fragmented – In the EHC PSA, EHC has a 19% share of discharges and the top 6 systems have 61% combined EHC operates in a large and diverse service area – – Primary Service Area (PSA) Secondary Service Area (SSA) 35 Mile Radius 90 Mile Radius Primary Service Area 15 Counties 4.9+ million population 51 Hospitals Secondary Service Area 57 Counties 2.4+ million population 55 Hospitals Strategic Planning Office Georgia has 159 counties, the 2nd highest number of counties in the nation behind Texas 5/1/2014 9 Tracking Market Dynamics ● Understanding the dynamics of one’s market is key to a system’s growth and survival ● EHC keeps its pulse on the market and other hospitals by tracking four main types of information: Volume & Service Lines Financial Position • • • • • • • Beds & Occupancy Case Mix Index Service Line Mix & Volume Discharge Trends Inpatient/Outpatient Mix Quality Indicators Income Statement Elements NPSR, Operating Income, EBITDA − • Performance Measures Operating Margin, Days Cash on Hand − • • Bond Ratings Payer Mix Service Area • − Demographics Competitive Position & Intelligence Population Size, Growth Rates, Racial Mix, Age Mix, Median Income • • • Employment • − Overall Position Service Line Position Wallet Share Top Employers, Unemployment Rate Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 10 ABC Hospital – Overview Beds XX% Occupancy CY12 Top Service Lines XXX Service Line 1 Service Line 2 Service Line 3 xx.x% xx.x% xx.x% xx.x% (all 2012 patients) Johns Creek (2012 Medicare) EUOSH EUHM Acute Care Discharge Trend EUH Wesley Woods 10,000 9,000 xxx xxx xxx Market Position Quality Indicators Main EUH/ EUHM Risk Adjusted 30-Day Readmission Rate Heart Attack Heart Failure Pneumonia xx.x% xx.x%; xx.x% xx.x% xx.x%; xx.x% xx.x% xx.x%; xx.x% Risk Adjusted 30Day Mortality Rate Heart Attack Heart Failure Pneumonia xx.x%; xx.x% xx.x% xx.x%; xx.x% xx.x% xx.x%; xx.x% Strategic Planning Office xx.x% xx.x% CY08 Wallet Share Market Position Hospital 1 xx.x% 1 Hospital 2 xx.x% 2 Hospital 3 xx.x% 3 Hospital 4 xx.x% 5 Service Line Service Line 1 Patient Satisfaction: Overall Hospital Rating Would Recommend the Hospital System (# of Hospitals) xx.x%; xx.x% xx.x%; xx.x% 10,500 10,000 9,500 CY09 CY10 CY11 CY12 EHC Data for Service Area NPSR from Svc Area $xxx,xxx Top Service Lines (CY12 GHA) Wallet Share by Service Line xx.x% x.xxxx CMI Cath Volume Diagnostic Therapeutic x.xxxx CMI Discharges % of EHC Svc Area DCs Wallet Share SL 1 xxx xx.x% xx.x% SL 2 xxx xx.x% xx.x% Wallet Share Market Position xx.x% 1 SL 3 xxx xx.x% xx.x% SL 4 xxx xx.x% xx.x% Total xxxx 100.0% xx.x% Service Line 2 xx.x% 1 Service Line 3 xx.x% 2 Service Line 4 xx.x% 1 # Referring Physicians County 1 5/1/2014 Xx County 2 xx 11 Overview: Volume & Service Lines ● EHC pulls hospital specific information from multiple sources Georgia Hospital Association (patient level data) American Hospital Directory (ahd.com) State Hospital Licensing websites State Service Specific Surveys Cardiac catheterization, open heart surgery, radiation therapy, ASC, etc. Typically available in states with Certificate of Need regulations CMS Quality Indicators Readmission rates Mortality rates Patient satisfaction Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 12 Wallet Share ● EHC does not use the traditional approach to calculate share (e.g., discharges) ● Discharges count an OB delivery the same as a heart transplant EHC use “Wallet Share,” based on percent of charges, to gauge market position using charges as a proxy for acuity – Wallet share is calculated using information available on state-wide average charges per DRG and cases from the Georgia Hospital Association patient level data – If charges are not available, but DRGs by hospital are available a proxy might be overall share based on CMI cases Hospital D had a low acuity Hospital E had a high acuity Strategic Planning Office FY09 Market Share Discharges Charges EHC 7.1% 10.1% Hospital A 9.7% 9.6% Hospital B 6.8% 7.8% Hospital C 6.2% 6.0% Hospital D 7.3% 5.6% Hospital E 3.4% 5.3% Hospital F 4.1% 3.8% 5/1/2014 FY09 Market Position Discharges Charges 3 1 1 2 4 3 5 4 2 5 11 7 7 11 13 ABC Hospital – Financial Moody’s Rating – xxx S&P Rating – xxx Fitch Rating – xxx $10,000 $xxx,xxx Operating Income $xxx,xxx Operating Margin x.x% EBITDA EBITDA % Days Cash On Hand Debt to Capitalization $15,000 $15,000 NPSR Excess Margin $xx million $20,000 Audited FY12 Financial Information Net Income Total LT Debt Operating Income $5,000 FY06 ABC Payer Mix (Discharges) FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 Medicare $x,xxxx x.x% $x,xxx x.x% Xx Xx% 20% 20% Revenues Outpatient Revenue as % of Total Patient Revenue xx.x% % of Non-OB Admits Thru ED xx.x% 20% 20% 20% Medicaid Self Pay Managed Care Other COMPETITIVE INTELLIGENCE ● Intelligence provided by hospital websites, local newspapers, Bond Prospectus, Chambers of Commerce, Economic Development Councils, Certificate of Need requirements, and other sources. Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 14 Financial Position ● EHC gathers financial data to gauge the financial health of other hospitals and assess market opportunities Financial Information See the Appendix for additional feebased financial sources EMMA - A free source for bond statements and annual audits IRS Form 990s - Available for free on GuideStar and ERI Certificate of Need applications American Hospital Directory - Fee-based service providing profiles of hospitals nationwide based on cost report data Bond Ratings Available for free on rating agency websites (Moody’s, Fitch Ratings, and S&P) Always check the footnotes on financial sources Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 15 Electronic Municipal Market Access (EMMA) ● EMMA is one of the most valuable (and cheapest!) resources for EHC EMMA: http://emma.msrb.org/ ● EMMA provides audits and bond prospectus for municipal bonds (most non-profits issue municipal bonds) ● Effective July 2009, municipal bond issuers were required to post audits on EMMA Bond Prospectus Appendix A includes: Financials Utilization Statistics Service Area Facilities Patient Services Corporate Structure Strategic Planning Office Non-profits Tips: Figuring out the issuing body on EMMA can be a challenge (often a county or city) Municipalbonds.com provides a list of hospital/health system municipal bond issuers by state 5/1/2014 For-profits Tips: Information is not available on EMMA Other sources include SEC filings available on EDGAR (sec.gov/edgar.shtml) and the investor tab of a company’s website 16 What other sources are used by your organization? Are there other elements that your organization tracks? Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 17 Market Dynamics ● EHC gathers market dynamics information from sources including: – Georgia Hospital Association (GHA) inpatient patient level data for all hospitals in Georgia Other states including NC and FL offer databases. Fees vary by state. – State Surveys supporting health planning “Snapshot” market dynamics information – Certificate of Need applications – Media including: “Continuous” market dynamics information Google “Alerts” Hospital websites Local newspapers An ongoing searchable Word file of media stories is kept in a central shared location with multiple departments contributing. Grapevine Physician liaisons Bond Prospectus GHA Newspaper clipping service Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 18 ABC Hospital – Service Area Racial Mix Service Area Discharges (CY13 – xx,xxx) Service Area % of ABC Discharges ABC Mkt Share County 1 xx.x% xx.x% County 2 xx.x% xx.x% Total xx.x% xx.x% 57% Demographics Atlanta MSA 55% 34% 30% 9% White Black Goods Producing County 2 Service Producing Government Strategic Planning Office 40.0% 70.0% 40.0% 20.0% Top Employers – 2013 County 1 20.0% 10.0% 15% All Others Employment Industry Mix County 1 Service Area: County 1 County 2 County 2 Company 1 Company 1 Company 2 Company 2 Company 3 Company 3 Company 4 Company 4 Company 5 Company 5 5/1/2014 2013 Population Raw Growth 2013 – 2018 % Annual Growth Xxx,xxx xx,xxx xx.x% Median Income % of GA Median Income $xx,xxx xx.x% % of Medicaid/Charity/SelfPay Discharges xx.x% % Ages 65+ - Service Area % Ages 65+ - Georgia x.x% x.x% Unemployment Rate, December 2013 10.0% 8.0% County 1 County 2 19 Service Area ● EHC utilizes multiple sources of information to understand demographics and employment trends for the service area of each profiled hospital Demographics Truven Health Analytics Market Expert, a fee-based service that utilizes Claritas data Census Bureau reports Primary Service Area (PSA) Contiguous ZIPs producing 75% of IP admissions Secondary Service Area (SSA) Contiguous ZIPs producing next 15% of IP admissions Employment Trends State Labor Profiles created by Georgia Department of Labor U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics Dun & Bradstreet, Hoovers.com, and other fee-based business information services Local Chambers of Commerce Local Economic Development Councils Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 20 What other sources are used by your organization? Are there other elements that your organization tracks? Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 21 ABC Management ABC Management and Board Members ● ABC Management – CEO: Name – CFO: Name – COO: Name – CIO: Name – CNO: Name ABC Hospital Authority ‒ Name ‒ Name ‒ Name ● Board of Directors – Name – Name – Name – Name Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 22 Hospital Management ● EHC also gathers information on hospital management – Management information is particularly important for “hospitals of interest” EHC compiles information from: Hospital websites American Hospital Directory Dun & Bradstreet – Hoovers.com State registered authorities directory Bond prospectus IRS Form 990s ● ● Beware of information lag time. Different years may be available on each source. Economic Research Institute (ERI) Guidestar.org Details related party transactions (e.g., physician partnerships, lease agreements with physicians) Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 23 Profiling Other Healthcare Players ● EHC has extended its profiling process to non-traditional competitors including health plans with associated physician groups (e.g., Kaiser Permanente), ambulatory surgery centers, and community hospital corporations ● To profile a non-hospital competitor, EHC uses other information sources including: – Annual Reports filed with the Georgia Office of Insurance and Fire Safety Commissioner – Health Plan websites – Plan Booklets – Marketing collateral – Dun & Bradstreet, Hoovers.com – SEC filings available on EDGAR Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 24 Physician Market Dynamics ● While EHC’s competitor profiling process is hospital centric, keeping a pulse on physician activities in the market is also important but poses challenges Information on attending and operating physicians is available from the GHA data and is used to determine referral activity – The value of data from the attending physician field is diminishing as more facilities use hospitalists The use of the operating physician field to determine where surgeons perform inpatient surgeries is important – Physician Liaisons Internal Sources EHC employs liaisons in areas around its hospitals to manage relationships with community physicians The liaisons are often a good source for information on physicians EHC also turns to internal sources and its physician community to understand physician market dynamics and happenings EHC also uses products (e.g., Crimson Market Advantage by The Advisory Board) to track physician referral activity Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 25 Developing Hospital Profiles ● EHC uses its competitor and market assessments to: – Develop internal growth strategies – Identify where opportunities for affiliation or acquisition may arise – Assess affiliation and acquisition opportunities Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 26 Articulating Assumptions ● Market strategies should be rooted in a set of assumptions ● Different assumptions will lead to different strategies and guide the overall development of strategies Assumption Implication Consolidation will continue as hospitals struggle Profiling hospitals will pave the way for strategic moves Primary care physicians will drive ACOs Hospitals need to develop relationships with primary care practices The rate of technology dissemination will increase Opportunities for technology driven partnerships with physicians will arise The number of private practices will continue declining Time should be devoted to understanding practices in core and outlying markets Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 27 Framing Decisions ● A well-articulated vision for the future environment is key to assessing strategic opportunities ● A number of important questions need to be considered as hospitals devise strategies and assess opportunities including: What market strategy will best accomplish the organization’s role and support its mission/vision? Where should your organization focus its growth efforts (e.g., geography, service lines)? How does your organization pursue growth in targeted areas? What is the desired/required scope and size necessary to support the goals? Is the primary focus on growth at existing sites, new sites, or a combination? What is the right combination of hospital, physician, ancillary, and other service strategies? What are the access points? What are the top priorities among the strategies? Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 28 Developing Targeted Market Strategies ● EHC uses its hospital scans to inform its strategies in different markets Market A (xxx miles from EHC) Market Dynamics Strategy Offensive Assess financial position of local hospitals Describe market dynamics Consider population growth rate in the area How many patients come from area to EHC for care? Increase business in the area Develop relationship with the local hospital and physicians Market B (xxx miles from EHC) Market Dynamics Strategy Defensive Strategic Planning Office Assess financial position of local hospitals Describe market dynamics Consider population growth rate in the area How many patients come from area to EHC for care? Protect referral stream and revenue from the market Engage in outreach efforts with current referring physicians 5/1/2014 29 Selecting the Right Combination of Strategies ● EHC supports its market strategies with a combination of hospital, physician, ancillary, and other strategies ● EHC often has to explore multiple strategies to attain its goals, especially in markets located within its 35 mile radius Hospital Ancillary Are facilities affiliated with another system? Are there any hospitals to partner with or acquire? Is there a need for any services in the area – ASC, Imaging, other? Is a CON required? Is a facility with a CON available for purchase? Specialists Primary Care Physicians Other Do any multi-specialty groups want to become part of a clinically integrated network? Does is make sense to hire certain specialties? Launch a new practice? Acquire existing? Educational pipeline for future workforce Develop clinically integrated network Example of Combination of Strategies: Target PCP growth and open freestanding ASC Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 30 Implement a Plan ● Challenges must be considered when implementing any market strategy including: – Ensuring buy-in of strategies at all levels – Attaining the tools, resources, skill set, and coordination activities necessary to enable each set of strategies (e.g., capital, IT connectivity/availability) – Developing global strategies to ensure long-term success (e.g., relationship management) Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 31 Lessons Learned ● Tracking market dynamics is an ongoing process ● EHC’s hospital profiling process is extensive and continues evolving to meet the needs of the system and the market ● Hospitals can benefit from investing time in tracking any piece of the market dynamics puzzle Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 32 Questions Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 33 Contact Noel Luell Manager, Strategic Planning Emory Healthcare noel.luell@emoryhealthcare.org 404.778.4312 Strategic Planning Office Brandon Luten Planning Associate, Strategic Planning Emory Healthcare brandon.luten@emoryhealthcare.org 404.778.3102 5/1/2014 34 Appendix: Sources Data Sources Data Element Source Data Element Source Licensed Beds Office of Regulatory Svcs www.ors.dhr.state.ga.us # Referring Physicians EHC Financial System ADC/Patient Days GHA Database Credit Ratings Moody’s, Fitch Ratings, and S&P Cath Volumes DCH State Survey NPSR and Financial Ratios Audit from EMMA Quality Indicators CMS website www.hospitalcompare.hhs. gov for 9/30/09 to 9/30/10 Operating Income Trend Graphs Audits from EMMA Top Service Lines GHA Database OP Revenue as % of Total AHD Distance from EUH and Other Facilities Google Maps Admits Thru the ED GHA Database based on admission source=7 Market Position GHA Database Hospital Payer Mix GHA Database Merritt Research Services Wallet Share by Service Line GHA Database Competitive Intelligence EHC Competitive Intelligence file merrittresearch.com $50/report Discharges GHA Database Service Area Discharges GHA Database CMI Medicare – AHD.com All Pts – GHA Database Employment Mix and Unemployment rate US Bureau of Labor Statistics; Georgia Department of Labor profiles EHC NPSR EHC Financial System Top Employers Georgia Dept of Labor EHC Top Service Lines from Service Area GHA Database Demographics Thomson Reuters Market Expert GHA Database for Service Area Payer Mix Management and Board Members Hospital website – Mgmt and Board; www.dca.state.ga.us – Hosp Auth Note: All data derived from GHA Database data WHSC Strategic Planningdischarges Office excludes of those ages 0-14. Strategic Planning Office 5/1/2014 Fee-based Financials Cost Report Data costreportdata.com $90/report 5 35