2016 MARKET INSIGHT REPORT SUPPLY 11,489,210 SF VACANCY 4.1% AVERAGE RENT $65.00/SF Image Source: Shutterstock CAMBRIDGE OFFICE YTD ABSORPTION 31,473 SF *Arrows Indicate One Year Change MARKET TRENDS WALL STREET EFFECT Understanding 2016 could be a bumpy ride on Wall Street, large users could be looking to buy time before committing to large blocks of space. BLUE CHIPS STILL MOVING IN Notable, household brands (i.e. Toyota) who don’t currently have a presence in Cambridge continue to compete for space along MIT’s doorsteps. TIME TO MOVE EAST With rents in Alewife for Class A space eclipsing $45/SF, more companies are looking to Boston as a cost and convenience alternative. STILL A STARTUP COMMUNITY Incubator and small suites (<5,000 SF) throughout Cambridge still command a premium, as activity remains strong. Cresa Boston cresa.com/boston CAMBRIDGE OFFICE AVERAGE RENT & VACANCY RENT ($ | SF) VACANCY (%) 6.0% $70.00 $60.00 5.0% $50.00 4.0% $40.00 3.0% $30.00 2.0% $20.00 1.0% $10.00 $- Q3Q3 2013 2013 Q4Q4 2013 2013 Q1Q1 2014 2014 Q2Q2 2014 2014 Q3Q3 2014 2014 Q4Q4 2014 2014 Q1Q1 2015 2015 Q2Q2 2015 2015 Q3Q3 2015 2015 Q4Q4 2015 0.0% 2015 NOTABLE TRANSACTIONS TENANT ADDRESS SIZE (SF) HubSpot 25 First Street 218,000 TYPE Renewal/Extension Akebia Therapeutics 245 First Street 40,000 Expansion Ares Allergy 55 Cambridge Parkway 16,000 Relocation Car Gurus 55 Cambridge Parkway 30,000 Expansion 2016 Market Insight Report 1 CAMBRIDGE OFFICE DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE 1 3 8 10 EAST CAMBRIDGE DEVELOPMENT SITES 4 9 5 Permitted Development Sites (Total SF: 2,682,000) Non-Permitted Development Sites (Total SF: 2,714,700) Under Construction/Committed (Total SF: 2,196,500) 2 6 11 7 DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE DEVELOPMENT DEVELOPER SIZE (SF) STATUS 1 North Point Divco West 1,800,000 Permitted Development Site 2 Cambridge Center/North Garage Boston Properties 430,000 Permitted Development Site 3 40 Thorndike Street Leggat McCall Properties 452,000 Permitted Development Site 4 55 Broadway Volpe Transportation Center (Developer TBD) 5 Main Street/MIT 6 399 Binney Street 7 8 1,600,000 Non-Permitted Development Site MITIMCo 980,000 Non-Permitted Development Site Divco West 134,700 Non-Permitted Development Site 181 Massachusetts Avenue/22 Windsor Street Novartis 647,000 Under Construction/Committed 50 & 60 Binney Street Alexandria Real Estate Equities 541,000 Under Construction/Committed 9 100 Binney Street Alexandria Real Estate Equities 431,500 Under Construction/Committed (223,000 SF) 10 75-125 Binney Street Alexandria Real Estate Equities 339,000 Under Construction/Committed 11 610 Main Street (Phase 2) Pfizer/MIT 238,000 Under Construction/Committed MARKET PREDICTIONS 1 Asking rents will continue to hold all-time highs throughout Cambridge. 2 The world’s largest companies, across all sectors, will continue to seek a research & development post in Kendall Square. 3 Homegrown tech companies, if given the opportunity, will prefer to stay and expand in Cambridge vs. leave. 4 Startups will continue to seek shared space options or scatter along the Red Line to Alewife, Downtown Crossing, or South Station. Cresa Boston cresa.com/boston 2,682,000 SF 2,714,700 SF 2,196,500 SF 35% 36% 29% Permitted Development Sites Non-Permitted Development Sites Under Construction/ Committed EAST CAMBRIDGE DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE 2016 Market Insight Report 2 CAMBRIDGE OFFICE MARKET INSIGHT North Point Aerial North Point Rendering Image Source: boston.curbed.com (both) OWNER’S MARKET IN STILL-HOT CAMBRIDGE L ittle has changed across the Charles: Cambridge’s office market is still red hot. While Cambridge has seen a slight dip in the volume of active tenants, the market as a whole continues to outpace growth and demand compared to the rest of the region as companies’ desire to grow or establish a presence there continues. Blue chip technology and life science firms are competing for every space, causing average asking rates throughout all Cambridge submarkets and eclipsing previous record highs. In turn, many tenants are being driven to cost-effective alternatives in Boston and the surrounding suburbs. Meanwhile, strong organic growth, combined with the inward migration of notable, out-of-market tenants, has driven inventory to an all-time low. Car Gurus recently committed to another 30,000 SF at 55 Cambridge Parkway, nearly doubling its footprint in that part of town. In Lechemere, HubSpot proclaimed its commitment to Cambridge by renewing its lease for 119,000 SF at 25 First Street and grabbing an additional 67,000 SF for expansion. Finally, the trend of new household names planting a flag in Cambridge continues as Toyota committed to 15,000 SF at One Kendall for its proximity to, MIT’s research labs. TENANTS IN THE MARKET INVESTMENT SALES TENANT ADDRESS BUYER SIZE (SF) So, if you’re a larger user looking for space in Cambridge, what’s left? Short answer: not much. Some notable tenants, including Akamai and Biogen, are working through long-term planning and paying close attention to a few key development sites in East Cambridge, such as MIT’s Main Street development, the federal government’s Volpe site, along with Divco’s new energy into North Point and OKS. Other than that, inventory for larger tenants remains microscopic. As a result of the fierce competition for space, developers are in the enviable position of selecting between office and lab users. A company opting to stay in Cambridge has likely weighed its necessity to stay vs. contemplating a move. Although delivery and occupancy is still 3+ years away (even longer in some cases), developers remain confident they will ultimately get to choose the tenant they want. Akamai Technologies 600,000 200 Cambridge Park Drive Morgan Stanley Biogen 250,000 NorthPoint Divco West Car Gurus 30,000 Canal Park TBD* Pulse (GE) 30,000 *currently on the market Seven Bridges Genomics 20,000 Wuxi/Nexcode 20,000 Cambridge Biomarketing 20,000 Cresa Boston cresa.com/boston PRICE/SF AREA (SF) $746 221,850 $66 (land deal) 4,500,000+ $750+ 775,000 2016 Market Insight Report 3 CAMBRIDGE OFFICE STATISTICS 16 3 Bro les Ma ss t th Hw y LECHMERE STATION Ave 2 T r St Main St Bro ad T St Rive CENTRAL SQUARE STATION oo kli ne KENDALL STATION Br MIT Porter Square Station, Cambridge, MA T St 2 dge St 93 ire R iv er ay Cambri sh mp Ha r Cha adw 3 Mc Gr a 1 Av e T nd St Kirkla Cambri dge St ial HARVARD UNIVERSITY r ubu Mt A n St HARVARD SQUARE STATION erc 16 28 St St ALEWIFE/WEST CAMBRIDGE Som ervil le A ve on ac dA ve 99 MID CAMBRIDGE Be Brattle Massachuse tts Ave 16 co r ? LECHMERE T PORTER SQUARE STATION Co n KNOW KENDALL 2 ct S ord A ve ve sA Conc KEY ett Cambridge Park Dr DID YOU 28 wa r ial D or Mem y mm T 38 T DAVIS STATION Co Ma Alewife Brook P ky ALEWIFE STATION 16 s hu ac ss Tpk e spe Con cor d Pro 2 28 3 3 Because the Porter Square station was made out of rock rather than clay, it is built much deeper into the ground than other stations. As a result, there are 199 steps in the station, and many long escalators. Fact Source: cambridge.com Image Source: universalhub.com 90 SUBMARKET MARKET SIZE (SF) VACANT SUBLEASE AVAILABLE CLASS A RENT/SF CLASS B RENT/SF KENDALL 4,242,406 2.6% 0.4% 3.7% $80.00 $72.00 LECHMERE 1,817,707 6.8% 4.3% 12.5% $65.00 $55.00 MID CAMBRIDGE 2,959,328 1.2% 0.7% 2.4% $58.00 $47.00 ALEWIFE/WEST CAMBRIDGE 2,469,769 7.9% 4.0% 12.6% $45.00 $35.00 11,489,210 4.1% 1.9% 6.7% $68.00 $60.00 TOTAL About Cresa Boston For more than 30 years, Cresa has served as an objective, stable business partner to Boston-area commercial tenants. We join our clients’ teams, working to align their business plans and their real estate needs, increase their productivity, and consistently save them money — results that have earned us numerous industry awards along the way. Our brilliant team of real estate advisors, project managers, strategic planners, analysts, and space planners listen to tenants’ needs, meticulously research market conditions, firmly negotiate terms, and manage the design and construction of projects to customize the best possible occupancy solutions. We are Cresa – The Tenant’s Advantage Cresa Boston cresa.com/boston CONTACT For more information about Cresa Boston and the Cambridge Market, please contact: Cresa Boston 200 State Street, 13th Floor Boston, MA 02109 +FOLLOW US Check out our social media channels often to stay up on current market trends and availability. t: 617.758.6000 cresa.com/boston 2016 Market Insight Report 4