CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Georg Arlt How can Ireland Attract More Visitors from China, the World’s Largest International Tourism Source Market? Cork October 2012 Third Annual Tourism Policy Workshop Dromoland/Ireland Nov. 3rd, 2012 www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE COTRI China Outbound Tourism Research Institute is the world's leading independent research institute for information, training, quality assessment, research, and consulting relating to the Chinese outbound tourism market. Established: 2004 Director: Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Georg Arlt Headquarter: Heide/Germany China office: Beijing COTRI Headquarter Germany Fritz-Thiedemann Ring 20 25746 Heide, Germany Fax +49 481 8555 121 Phone +49 481 8555 523 info@china-outbound.com COTRI China Office 101/2B Gui Gu Liang Cheng 1 Nong Da Nan Rd Beijing 100084, P.R. of China Phone +86 13 4260 36722 china@china-outbound.com www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Information Training & Quality Consulting Success in the Chinese tourism source market www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Prof. Dr. Wolfgang Georg Arlt FRGS Active in P.R. of China since 1978 Former owner of Inbound Tour Operator China -> Europe COTRI founder and director since 2004 Professor for International Tourism Management at West Coast University of Applied Sciences Germany (Heide) Visiting Professor at universities in China and United Kingdom Fritz-Thiedemann Ring 20 25746 Heide / Germany Phone +49 481 85 55 523 Fax +49 481 85 55 121 E mail info@chinabound.com Room 101, Building 2B, Gui Gu Liang Cheng, No. 1 Nong Da Nan Rd., Haidian District, Beijing 100084/P.R. of China Phone +8613820418485 E mail china@china-outbound.com www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE China – A tale of two countries China has developed into the number one producer of many things - Gold, TV sets, Cell Phones, Solar Panels, Beer, Apples, Cars, Carbon Dioxide and much more. In cases where the country is still only number two, like tomatoes and space stations, this is going to change soon. We all know that spiel. www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE China – A tale of two countries Hope: Can Chinese Consumers save the world economy? And Gloom: Be very afraid of the China Bubble (Recent TIME Magazine headlines) www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE China – A tale of two countries 2012 - A critical year not only in the Maya calendar Bo Xilai www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Survey results from Bank of China/Hurun (10/2012): 44% of all Chinese with more than one 10 million RMB (1.25 million Euro) in personal wealth (about one million households) are considering emigration. 85% of all Chinese with more than one 10 million RMB in personal wealth are planning to send their child to study at a foreign university. www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE February 2012: Study “China 2030” by World Bank and the Development Research Center of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China Six messages: 1. Structural reform is needed, no more double-digit GDP growth rates 2. Pace of innovation needs to increase 3. Environmental problems need to be solved 4. Rising inequality needs to be reversed, stronger social system needed 5. Fiscal fiscal system is weak, needs to be strenghtened 6. Need to become a pro-active stakeholder in the global economy www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE So – if it does not appear to be a good idea to invest in Chinese real estate or stocks just now, why is China’s outbound tourism still growing (and will continue to do so)? China Outbound Tourism 1995-2011 in million border-crossings Source: COTRI, CNTA, CTA 80.0 70.0 57.4 28.9 31.0 7.1 7.6 8.2 8.4 9.2 10.5 12.1 16.6 34.5 41.0 45.8 47.5 20.2 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Est. www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE 2011: 70.3 million border crossing, 69 billion US$ total spending No. 3 source market globally in border crossing, No. 2 in spending 2012: COTRI estimate 80+ million border crossings, 85+ billion US$ total spending (up to June 39 million crossing App. 3 million Chinese travels within Europe (without Russia) “Golden Week” October 2012: 30% increase travels to Europe www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Impressive growth, but in the past: 90% of the Mainland Chinese travelers stayed within Asia Those who travel further concentrated mainly on the most famous sights in the most famous cities in major destinations Spending concentrated on shopping, not on tourism services Destinations and companies off the beaten track often experienced the much-hyped Chinese tourists a Fata Morgana. With the Second Wave of Chinese Outbound Tourism fuelled by the New Chinese Tourists, this is now changing. www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Enters the NEW CHINESE TOURIST www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE More self-organized travelers from China are slowing down and spreading further afield. Increasingly travel-savvy and globally connected, below 45 years and green, the New Chinese Tourist are arriving in special locations, doing special things and are staying for more than just a snapshot. Niche products for the first time get a chance to profit from Chinese customers – and even small niches in China mean big numbers. www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE New Chinese Tourists - where do they come from? 15 years experience since the official start of outbound leisure tourism from China More than 1.5 million Chinese have studied outside China since 1978; most of them went back More than 1 million persons in China enjoy a personal wealth of more than ten million RMB (1.6 million US$); average age of Chinese millionaire: 39 y China is the global no. 1 internet user country www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE “Self-organized” travellers are not be confused with “individual” travellers in the western sense. More experience and language skills still lead to “half-organized” trips with tour operators providing visa, air trip and maybe a few hotel bookings. New Chinese Tourists are still Chinese: They are still happy to see signage and other information in Chinese as a sign of respect for their country, they will still rely mainly on peer group information from other Chinese travellers, they will still travel, especially outside Asia, for prestige and education, not for holidays. www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Travelling long distance means for Chinese outbound travellers first of all: Investment in - Personal prestige - Social capital - Learning - Business opportunities - Real Estate / companies - Soft power www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE The low price, low quality Chinese package outbound tourism will suffer from the pending economic crash in China, annual growth rates in terms of number of persons travelling may fall below the 20% mark. But the New Chinese Tourists will continue to go abroad, as the motives for international travel – prestige, networking, distinction – will stay the same. New Chinese Tourists provide new opportunities to new destinations, but require adapted products and the usage of relevant marketing channels. www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE How can Ireland Attract More New Chinese Tourists? Necessity for product, process, organisational and marketing innovation based on sound information: a. Good market research about how to position Ireland for different market segments in China b. Training and know-how for the Irish tourism service providers and DMOs c. Adapting tourism services to Chinese expectations d. Increasing visibility in China as a destination actively Welcoming Chinese visitors www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Training and Quality Chinese Tourists Welcoming City Label Chinese Tourists Welcoming Quality Label Chinese Tourists Welcoming Training Programme Are You Ready For Chinese International Travellers? CTW Chinese Tourists Welcoming www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Consulting Market Research Product Development, Adaptation and Marketing Coaching • Online and offline customised interviews and questionnaires • Dedicated Focus groups • Market segment specific product development • Adaptation of existing products to Chinese customer demands and expectations • Online and offline media Marketing plan development • Short term and long term support to individual companies, organisations and cooperation networks www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE What attracts Chinese Tourists to Ireland? Results of interview (Nov. 1st, 2012) with UK-based ITO bringing Chinese groups into UK & Ireland: - Lot of interest, positive image, Visa problem solved - Selling Scotland and Ireland together - Selling ferry trip as “mini cruise” experience - Not enough story-telling - Not enough symbolic acts of welcoming Chinese - Not enough product adaptation - Great potential for coming years www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE What attracts New Chinese Tourists to Ireland – or keeps them from coming? Helping Hindering „Ireland“ known place (picturesque island somewhere near England, but not UK) Not in the mental map of Chinese visitors to Europe (less than Iceland) Empty page, easy to fill with positive image (green, clean, authentic, easy to reach) Not known as place welcoming Chinese guests General Ireland image fitting for New Chinese Tourists Not clear what to see and do, peers have not visited the place English speaking inhabitants No Schengen visa (but UK visa) Good place for investment, studies and golf No direct flights (but ferry and air to UK) Ambassadors in place: No participation at B2B fairs like COTTM www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE To sum up: Is there a chance to earn serious money from Chinese visitors to Ireland? YES. Has been done enough to use the new opportunities the Chinese market offers in the form of the New Chinese Tourists? NO. When should Ireland start to put itself onto the mental map of affluent sophisticated Chinese travelers? NOW. www.china-outbound.com CHINA OUTBOUND TOURISM RESEARCH INSTITUTE Thank you for you attention – looking forward to your questions and comments during the discussion! Contact: arlt@china-outbound.com www.china-outbound.com www.chinatraveltrends.com MEET COTRI AT WTM LONDON (Stand AS95) Nov. 5-8 COTRI CHINA OUTBOUND WORKSHOP AT WTM: Wed. Nov. 7 16.30-18.00 h South Gallery Room 17 www.china-outbound.com